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At least 973 records · Page 54

Operational Forecasting Inundation Extents using REOF analysis (FIER) over Lower Mekong and its Economic Impact on Agriculture

In the Lower Mekong River Basin floodplains, rice cultivation is highly crucial for regional and global food security. However, prolonged flooding can pose damage to rice cultivation and other socio-economic aspects. Yet, there is no rapid operational inundation forecasting system that can help decision-makers proactively mitigate flood damages. Here, we integrated the so-called Forecasting Inundation Extents using Rotated empirical orthogonal function analysis (FIER) framework with an altimetry-based operational Mekong River level forecasting system and built an operational web application, FIER-Mekong, (https://fier-mekong.streamlit.app/) that generates daily skillful forecasted inundation extents (>70% of critical success index) and depths in about 3 and 30 s, respectively, with up to 18-day lead times. One of its applications, predicting flood-induced rice economic losses, is also presented. Had FIER-Mekong being adopted, we estimated that the rice damages, up to 87 and 53 million US dollars during the 2020 and 2021 harvest time, respectively, could have been avoided.

Chi-Hung Chang↗

Mapping Recent Coastal Shoreline Changes in Southwestern Alaska Using Landsat 8 Satellite Imagery

Coastal communities in Alaska are frequently subjected to storm surges that erode shorelines and riverbanks, which increases flood risks around critical village infrastructure. Coastal erosion in western Alaska may be occurring currently at rates as high as 15 m per year, but the region has not been mapped in enough detail to accurately assess recent shoreline and inland riverbank erosion rates. To update the mapping of changes in all of SWAlaska’s coastal margins, Landsat 8 satellite imagery was analyzed to detect trends in the normalized difference water index collected from 2013 to 2023. The normalized difference water index values range from -1 to 1, with negative values indicating majority land that includes soil and live vegetation cover and positive values indicating majority water coverage. Results showed marked coastal shoreline erosion at Chagvan Bay, Hagemeister Island, and Nanvak Bay over the past decade. Additional locations of recent bank erosion were detected on the Kuskokwim River, from its upriver mouth past the city of Bethel. Riverbank erosion was also detected in northern Nushagak Bay, and extensive surface-wetting trends around wetlands and riverbanks were detected near the village of Togiak. Moreover, many villages on the west coast of Alaska and in the Kuskokwim River Delta have recently documented climate change case studies highlighting bank erosion, indicating that a variety of related ecological disturbances are ongoing across the region.

Imagery↗

Estimating the concentration of total suspended solids in inland and coastal waters from Sentinel-2 MSI: A semi-analytical approach

Inland and coastal waters provide key ecosystem services and are closely linked to human well-being. In this study, we propose a semi-analytical method, which can be applied to Sentinel-2 MultiSpectral Instrument (MSI) images to retrieve high spatial-resolution total suspended solids (TSS) concentration in a broad spectrum of aquatic ecosystems ranging from clear to extremely turbid waters. The presented approach has four main steps. First, the remote sensing reflectance ( R rs ) at a band lacking in MSI (620 nm) is estimated through an empirical relationship from R rs at 665 nm. Second, waters are classified into four types (clear, moderately turbid, highly turbid, and extremely turbid). Third, semi-analytical algorithms are used to estimate the particulate backscattering coefficient ( b bp ) at a reference band depending on the water types. Last, TSS is estimated from bbp at the reference band. Validation and comparison of the proposed method with three existing methods are performed using a simulated dataset ( N = 1000), an in situ dataset collected from global inland and coastal waters ( N = 1265) and satellite matchups ( N = 40). Results indicate that the proposed method can improve TSS estimation and provide accurate retrievals of TSS from all three datasets, with a median absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 14.88 %, 31.50 % and 41.69 % respectively. We also present comparisons of TSS mapping between the Sentinel-3 Ocean and Land Colour Instrument (OLCI) and MSI in Lake Kasumigaura, Japan and the Tagus Estuary, Portugal. Results clearly demonstrate the advantages of using MSI for TSS monitoring in small water bodies such as rivers, river mouths and other nearshore waters. MSI can provide more detailed and realistic TSS estimates than OLCI in these water bodies. The proposed TSS estimation method was applied to MSI images to produce TSS time-series in Lake Kasumigaura, which showed good agreements with in situ and OLCI-derived TSS time-series.

Sentinel-2↗

Influence of SMAP Soil Moisture Retrieval Assimilation on Runoff Estimation Across South Asia

This study was designed to characterize and quantify the influence of surface soil moisture assimilation on estimated runoff (surface flow and baseflow) and hydraulically-routed streamflow across three large river basins in South Asia that are at risk of impending water stress. Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) surface soil moisture retrievals were assimilated into the Noah-MP land surface model. The gridded runoff was hydraulically routed to obtain volumetric streamflow values for a river network using a runoff routing module (Hydrological Modeling and Analysis Platform, HyMAP). The open loop (OL, model-only) and data assimilated (DA, includes soil moisture retrieval assimilation) Noah-MP runoff estimates highlighted the improvements in estimated total runoff across irrigated areas. Soil moisture assimilation impacted baseflow more relative to surface runoff. The HyMAP-based OL and DA streamflow generally underestimated the streamflow at upstream stations and overestimated the streamflow at downstream stations within the Indus basin due to missing physics related to reservoir operations. For stations located in the Ganges–Brahmaputra basins, the OL and DA estimation performance varied. The OL and DA results showed that the assimilation of soil moisture retrievals improves gridded runoff and volumetric streamflow across irrigated areas. Considerable relative change in streamflow (>70% increase in magnitude relative to OL) is noted after assimilation across the highly irrigated lower Indus basin and high precipitation regions in Bangladesh. Improving the modeling system’s representativeness of ground conditions via inclusion of water management information could improve large-scale streamflow modeling across South Asia.

soil moisture↗

Downscaled and Bias-Adjusted Climate Projections for Afghanistan

Climate change is already having devastating impacts on human communities and natural landscapes, from increasing severity and frequency of natural disasters to drought and desertification that degrade both natural ecosystems and human livelihoods. However, the impacts of climate change are not evenly distributed across the world—some places are at far greater risk than others. These highly vulnerable places should be a higher priority for investments and interventions to help people and nature adapt to changing climatic conditions. Afghanistan is one of the most at-risk countries from climate change. Within the country, the river basins are particularly sensitive as climate change will dramatically alter their water regimes upon which ecosystems and a vast proportion of the Afghan population and millions of people in neighbouring countries rely. As part of an EU-funded project implemented by the Wildlife Conservation Society (WCS), WCS conducted a vulnerability assessment for the Amu Darya River Basin that drains c. 14% of Afghanistan’s land area and is critically important for supporting both people and sensitive biodiversity (Elsen et al., 2023). Central to the vulnerability assessment was the development of downscaled and bias-adjusted climate projections, produced by the Center for Climate Systems Research (CCSR)1. The climate projections were produced at a much higher resolution (1 km2) than were otherwise available and were tailored to the local environment.

climate projections↗

Openet: Applications of Satellite-Based Evapotranspiration Data for Water Resources Management in the Western United States

Advancing water security in overallocated river basins globally requires consistent and reproducible information on consumptive use of water that can anchor the development of data-driven solutions to the challenge of balancing water supply and demand. OpenET is a fully automated system for field-scale (30 m), satellite-based mapping of evapotranspiration (ET) at daily, monthly and annual timesteps. OpenET currently provides spatially contiguous data throughout the 23 westernmost states in the continental US, and includes both current information as well as multi-year timeseries of ET. The OpenET consortium has implemented an ensemble of satellite-based ET models (ALEXI/DisALEXI, eeMETRIC, PT-JPL, geeSEBAL, SIMS and SSEBop) on Google Earth Engine, which provides a shared computing platform for collaboration on processing of data from Landsat and other satellites, land cover and meteorological inputs, leading to increased consistency and accuracy across the ensemble of models. Earth Engine also facilitates hosting and distribution of data via open data collections and an application programming interface. We provide updates on the OpenET framework, open data services and data access tools, approach to geographic expansion, recent accuracy assessments, and describe how a user-driven design approach has facilitated successful applications of OpenET data for a wide range of water resource management activities. Applications to date include: use of ET data to improve quantification of ET and consumptive use in Oregon, Utah and the Upper Colorado River Basin; streamlining of water use reporting requirements in the California Delta; support for calculation of water budgets for the implementation of the Sustainable Groundwater Management Act in California; and integration into decision support tools for irrigation management. The use cases demonstrate how satellite-derived ET data that are easily accessed and seen as broadly accepted can accelerate adoption of innovative water management practices at scale, and support advances in the sustainability of water supplies. Uptake and use of data by the OpenET science community has also led to advances in our understanding of the impacts of landcover change, irrigation intensification and wildfire events on hydrology and the water security.

Applications↗

Hydrocarbon Burn Facility, SWMU 007 Per- and Polyfluoroalkyl Substances (PFAS) Assessment Report Addendum

This document discusses the Per-and Polyfluoroalkyl Substances (PFAS) assessment activities performed from May through August 2023 at the Hydrocarbon Burn Facility (HBF) located at Kennedy Space Center (KSC), Florida. HBF was used for firefighting training between 1966 and 1994. Aqueous film-forming foams (AFFFs) that contained PFAS were used as suppressants for fighting petroleum fuel fires during training. PFAS sampling was first completed at HBF in 2015. This PFAS Assessment Report Addendum (ARA) is a continuation of sampling efforts, with an overall objective to further delineate PFAS concentrations in groundwater to the pGCTLs and the United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) Tapwater Regional Screening Levels (RSLs) dated November 2023 and better understand groundwater to surface water interaction at the Site. The field activities presented in this PFAS ARA were conducted between May and August 2023 and included the collection of 132 direct push groundwater samples and the collection of five colocated surface water, sediment, and pore water samples from locations south/southeast of HBF in August 2023. Exceedances of the pGCTLs and Tapwater RSLs were observed in the direct push groundwater results; however, groundwater has been delineated to the pGCTLs. Exceedances of the Florida provisional Surface Water Screening Levels (pSWSLs) were observed in surface water and porewater, and concentrations of PFAS in these media confirm PFAS migration within surface channels to the south of the HBF site area. Maximum sediment concentrations, which correlate with the maximum surface water and porewater concentrations, demonstrate that PFAS impacted surface water is the source of sediment impacts. Overall, elevated concentrations of PFAS are centered on the HBF site area that trend north and south along the surface water filled swales and along the edge of Banana River. Based on analytical results, not all surface water features in this area exhibit evidence of transport. PFAS migration/transport appears to be more dominant in surface water features during the wet season. Discharges to the Banana River primarily occur where surface water facilitates transport. In contrast, groundwater transport is more effective during the dry season. During precipitation events in either the dry season or the wet season, there appears to be migration from the intermediate groundwater zone to the shallow zone into the surface water features. Additional sampling and data collection is recommended to support further refinement of PFAS groundwater delineation, a remedial alternative evaluation, and the fate and transport model.

Jennifer Buel↗

To Cage or Not to Cage Seagrass; Is There Even a Question?

To Cage or Not to Cage Seagrass; Is There Even a Question? Loraé T. Simpson1, Morgan K. Gilligan1, Douglas M. Scheidt2 1Florida Oceanographic Society, Stuart, FL; 2Herndon Solutions Group/NEMCON, Kennedy Space Center, FL Contact email: lsimpson@floridaocean.org Diminished water quality has led to the decline of seagrasses and their associated ecosystem services in the Banana River Lagoon (BRL), resulting in increased restoration initiatives. Restoration success may be hindered by herbivory and the addition of herbivore exclusion devices may limit grazing stress on newly established seagrasses. These structures may alter sediment dynamics, influencing seagrass productivity. To test whether herbivore exclusion devices impact restoration success and sediment dynamics, we caged half of our seagrass restoration plots in the BRL. Treatments were monitored monthly for seagrass growth, and at three months for porewater nutrients, sediment bulk density, and carbon to nitrogen ratio. On average, caged plots had 87% more seagrass cover and 81% taller blades than control plots, highlighting the importance of caging newly transplanted seagrasses. There was no significant difference in porewater or sediment characteristics between treatments, suggesting that pedogensis and nutrient cycling need extended monitoring to capture changes in temporal scales.

Indian River Lagoon↗

To Cage or Not to Cage Seagrass; Is There Even a Question?

Diminished water quality has led to the decline of seagrasses and their associated ecosystem services in the Banana River Lagoon (BRL), resulting in increased restoration initiatives. Restoration success may be hindered by herbivory and the addition of herbivore exclusion devices may limit grazing stress on newly established seagrasses. These structures may alter sediment dynamics, influencing seagrass productivity. To test whether herbivore exclusion devices impact restoration success and sediment dynamics, we caged half of our seagrass restoration plots in the BRL. Treatments were monitored monthly for seagrass growth, and at three months for porewater nutrients, sediment bulk density, and carbon to nitrogen ratio. On average, caged plots had 87% more seagrass cover and 81% taller blades than control plots, highlighting the importance of caging newly transplanted seagrasses. There was no significant difference in porewater or sediment characteristics between treatments, suggesting that pedogensis and nutrient cycling need extended monitoring to capture changes in temporal scales.

Indian River Lagoon↗

Levee Monitoring with Radar Remote Sensing

Topics in this presentation are: 1. Overview of radar remote sensing 2. Surface change detection with Differential Interferometric Radar Processing 3. Study of the Sacramento - San Joaquin levees 4. Mississippi River Levees during the Spring 2011 floods.

Differential Interferometric Radar Processing↗

Projecting exposure to extreme climate impact events across six event categories and three spatial scales

The extent and impact of climate‐related extreme events depend on the underlying meteorological, hydrological, or climatological drivers as well as on human factors such as land use or population density. Here we quantify the pure effect of historical and future climate change on the exposure of land and population to extreme climate impact events using an unprecedentedly large ensemble of harmonized climate impact simulations from the Inter‐Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project phase 2b. Our results indicate that global warming has already more than doubled both the global land area and the global population annually exposed to all six categories of extreme events considered: river floods, tropical cyclones, crop failure, wildfires, droughts, and heatwaves. Global warming of 2°C relative to preindustrial conditions is projected to lead to a more than five‐fold increase in cross‐category aggregate exposure globally. Changes in exposure are unevenly distributed, with tropical and subtropical regions facing larger increases than higher latitudes. The largest increases in overall exposure are projected for the population of South Asia.

climate‐related extreme events↗

Estuarine Dissolved Organic Carbon Flux From Space: With Application to Chesapeake and Delaware Bays

This study uses a neural network model trained with in situ data, combined with satellite data and hydrodynamic model products, to compute the daily estuarine export of dissolved organic carbon (DOC) at the mouths of Chesapeake Bay (CB) and Delaware Bay (DB) from 2007 to 2011. Both bays show large flux variability with highest fluxes in spring and lowest in fall as well as interannual flux variability (0.18 and 0.27 Tg C/year in 2008 and 2010 for CB; 0.04 and 0.09 Tg C/year in 2008 and 2011 for DB). Based on previous estimates of total organic carbon (TOCexp) exported by all Mid-Atlantic Bight estuaries (1.2 Tg C/year), the DOC export (CB + DB) of 0.3 Tg C/year estimated here corresponds to 25% of the TOCexp. Spatial and temporal covariations of velocity and DOC concentration provide contributions to the flux, with larger spatial influence. Differences in the discharge of fresh water into the bays (74 billion cu. m/year for CB and 21 billion cu. m/year for DB) and their geomorphologies are major drivers of the differences in DOC fluxes for these two systems. Terrestrial DOC inputs are similar to the export of DOC at the bay mouths at annual and longer time scales but diverge significantly at shorter time scales (days to months). Future efforts will expand to the Mid-Atlantic Bight and Gulf of Maine, and its major rivers and estuaries, in combination with coupled terrestrial-estuarine-ocean biogeochemical models that include effects of climate change, such as warming and CO2 increase.

Estuarine DOC export↗