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DOE OSTI2016

Cost-Benefit of Improving the Efficiency of Room Air Conditioners (Inverter and Fixed Speed) in India

Improving efficiency of air conditioners (ACs) typically involves improving the efficiency of various components such as compressors, heat exchangers, expansion valves, refrigerant and fans. We estimate the incremental cost of improving the efficiency of room ACs based on the cost of improving the efficiency of its key components. Further, we estimate the retail price increase required to cover the cost of efficiency improvement, compare it with electricity bill savings, and calculate the payback period for consumers to recover the additional price of a more efficient AC. We assess several efficiency levels, two of which are summarized below in the report. The finding that significant efficiency improvement is cost effective from a consumer perspective is robust over a wide range of assumptions. If we assume a 50% higher incremental price compared to our baseline estimate, the payback period for the efficiency level of 3.5 ISEER is 1.1 years. Given the findings of this study, establishing more stringent minimum efficiency performance criteria (one star level) should be evaluated rigorously considering significant benefits to consumers, energy security and environment.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2012

Advancing the Renewable Industry in Minnesota

This report deals with seven topics: 1. "Utilizing Ash Wastes as a Nutrient Source for Corn": As forms of gasification and combustion grow in the area of renewable energy in Minnesota the question arises regarding the utilization/application of the ash co product produced from these processes. Currently there are four facilities in Minnesota producing an ash co product (three ethanol facilities and one combusting biomass to produce energy). These ash wastes are generated from using ethanol by-products as a fuel or heating source for fermentation. Other ash wastes from agricultural sources include turkey litter ash. When applied to agricultural fields, ash wastes can be a source of nutrients for agricultural crops. Chemical analyses of ash wastes vary, but 200 to 300 lb of P 2 O 5 and K 2 O per ton of ash is typical. The value of ash wastes as a fertilizer has increased because commercial fertilizer prices have increased significantly over the last few years. Specifically: Compaction/Agglomeration research- Research included development of an appropriate product for use in current delivery systems by densifying the ash into the form of pellets or briquettes which may reduce fertilizer input cost to farmers. The initiative addresses the use of phosphorus and potassium from co-firing or gasification processes as a fertilizer source. 2. "Use of Glycerol as a Corn Replacement in Calf Starter Diets": Glycerol is a sugar alcohol by-product of bio-diesel production. About 1 gallon of glycerin is produced for every 10 gallons of bio-diesel of which the glycerol content may vary between 63 and almost 100%. There is some uncertainty of the exact energy value of glycerol as an ingredient for animal feed but it has been successfully used as a replacement for corn up to 10% of the diet dry matter for lactating dairy cows. There is a lack of information on incorporating glycerol into diets for pre- and post weaned dairy heifer calves which has the potential to expand the market for this by product. Preliminary work at SROC indicates that there are no palatability problems using glycerol up to 6% of the mix in post weaning pellets for group fed dairy heifers. 3. "Intervention Strategies for Reduction of Food-borne Pathogens in Cattle Fed Ethanol Byproducts": Ethanol plants and cattle producers create a symbiotic relationship: The use of wet and dry distiller’s grains in beef cattle rations provides significant improvement in overall feedlot performance for many producers in Minnesota and the Upper Midwest. Distiller’s grain is the coproduct that remains following the distillation of ethanol. It may be dehydrated to produce dried distiller’s grain (DDG) which is then commonly used as livestock feed. The use of distiller’s grains in livestock rations has been the subject of numerous research projects over the past ten years. Recently published research data conducted at Kansas State University (K-State) has created controversy over the feeding of distiller’s grains in beef cattle rations. The research indicates that cattle fed distiller’s grain may have an increased probability of Escherichia coli O157 in their hindgut. Specifically: This research assessment was a two part project consisting of feeding trials conducted at the University of Minnesota and an intervention study conducted at Kansas State University. This report is the Kansas State University portion. This report is a task-level final technical report. 4. "Impact of Distillers' Grains and Glycerin on Cattle Fecal Shedding of Escherichia coli O157:H7" 5. "Study Assessing the Opportunities and Potential of Soybean Based Products and Technologies": Based on demand/market potential, economic feasibility, stage of development and strength of institutional support, Informa Economics, Inc. ("Informa") narrowed down a list of more than 100 emerging soybean products and to 8 of the most promising for soybean, considered to have the greatest potential to add significant value to Minnesota's soybean commodity production. However, as with the potential of any biobased product or technology, the development of these emerging soybean products and technologies will be heavily reliant on future market price environments (especially for petroleum) and government policies. This report identifies what the contractor believes are the top 8 products and technologies for soybeans at the time of publishing. 6. "Study Assessing the Opportunities and Potential of Corn-Based Products and Technologies": Based on demand/market potential, economic feasibility, stage of development and strength of institutional support, Informa Economics, Inc. ("Informa") narrowed down a list of more than 100 emerging corn products and technologies to 8 of the most promising for corn, considered to have the greatest potential to add significant value to Minnesota's corn commodity production. However, as with the potential of any biobased product or technology, the development of these emerging corn products and technologies will be heavily reliant on future market price environments (especially for petroleum) and government policies. This report identifies what the contractor believes are the top 8 products and technologies for corn at the time of publishing. 7. "Distributed Power Generation Technology (Roseau Gasification)."

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

DOE OSTI2016

Economic and Market Challenges Facing the U.S. Nuclear Commercial Fleet

This report identifies underlying economic and electricity market factors that have led to early retirements of U.S. operating nuclear power plants, assesses the Gap between operating revenues and operating costs for selected nuclear power plants, and discusses a range of actions that might be taken to stop early retirement of operating nuclear power plants. The Kewaunee and Vermont Yankee nuclear power plants were retired early for economic and financial reasons. Early retirement has been announced or proposed for Clinton and Quad Cities in Illinois, Fitzpatrick and Ginna in New York, Fort Calhoun in Nebraska. Other nuclear power plants, including Palisades, Davis-Besse, Prairie Island, and Three Mile Island Unit 1, have been identified as facing financial stress that might lead to early retirement. The early retirement of operating nuclear power plants will mean the loss of a large amount of zero-emission electricity, inconsistent with the goal of reducing carbon emissions in the electricity sector. This report provides a high-level view of the major factors driving early retirement: • The U.S. market and private ownership approach to the electricity sector; • Low electricity market prices resulting from low natural gas prices, low demand growth, increased penetration of renewable generation, and negative electricity market prices; and • No compensation to nuclear power plants for public benefits including zero-emission electricity.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2015

Using learning curves on energy-efficient technologies to estimate future energy savings and emission reduction potentials in the U.S. iron and steel industry

Increasing concerns on non-sustainable energy use and climate change spur a growing research interest in energy efficiency potentials in various critical areas such as industrial production. This paper focuses on learning curve aspects of energy efficiency measures in the U.S iron and steel sector. A number of early-stage efficient technologies (i.e., emerging or demonstration technologies) are technically feasible and have the potential to make a significant contribution to energy saving and CO 2 emissions reduction, but fall short economically to be included. However, they may also have the cost effective potential for significant cost reduction and/or performance improvement in the future under learning effects such as ‘learning-by-doing’. The investigation is carried out using ISEEM, a technology oriented, linear optimization model. We investigated how steel demand is balanced with/without the availability learning curve, compared to a Reference scenario. The retrofit (or investment in some cases) costs of energy efficient technologies decline in the scenario where learning curve is applied. The analysis also addresses market penetration of energy efficient technologies, energy saving, and CO 2 emissions in the U.S. iron and steel sector with/without learning impact. Accordingly, the study helps those who use energy models better manage the price barriers preventing unrealistic diffusion of energy-efficiency technologies, better understand the market and learning system involved, predict future achievable learning rates more accurately, and project future savings via energy-efficiency technologies with presence of learning. We conclude from our analysis that, most of the existing energy efficiency technologies that are currently used in the U.S. iron and steel sector are cost effective. Penetration levels increases through the years, even though there is no price reduction. However, demonstration technologies are not economically feasible in the U.S. iron and steel sector with the current cost structure. In contrast, some of the demonstration technologies are adapted in the mid-term and their penetration levels increase as the prices go down with learning curve. We also observe large penetration of 225kg pulverized coal injection with the presence of learning.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2016

Cost-Benefit of Improving the Efficiency of Room Air Conditioners (Inverter and Fixed Speed) in India

Improving efficiency of air conditioners (ACs) typically involves improving the efficiency of various components such as compressors, heat exchangers, expansion valves, refrigerant,and fans. We estimate the incremental cost of improving the efficiency of room ACs based on the cost of improving the efficiency of its key components. Further, we estimate the retail price increase required to cover the cost of efficiency improvement, compare it with electricity bill savings, and calculate the payback period for consumers to recover the additional price of a more efficient AC. The finding that significant efficiency improvement is cost effective from a consumer perspective is robust over a wide range of assumptions. If we assume a 50% higher incremental price compared to our baseline estimate, the payback period for the efficiency level of 3.5 ISEER is 1.1 years. Given the findings of this study, establishing more stringent minimum efficiency performance criteria (one-star level) should be evaluated rigorously considering significant benefits to consumers, energy security, and environment

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2017

U.S. Renewables Portfolio Standards: 2017 Annual Status Report

Berkeley Lab’s annual status report on U.S. renewables portfolio standards (RPS) provides an overview of key trends associated with U.S. state RPS policies. The report, published in slide-deck form, describes recent legislative revisions, key policy design features, compliance with interim targets, past and projected impacts on renewables development, and compliance costs. The 2017 edition of the report presents historical data through year-end 2016 and projections through 2030. Key trends from this edition of the report include the following: -Evolution of state RPS programs: Significant RPS-related policy revisions since the start of 2016 include increased RPS targets in DC, MD, MI, NY, RI, and OR; requirements for new wind and solar projects and other major reforms to the RPS procurement process in IL; and a new offshore wind carve-out and solar procurement program in MA. -Historical impacts on renewables development: Roughly half of all growth in U.S. renewable electricity (RE) generation and capacity since 2000 is associated with state RPS requirements. Nationally, the role of RPS policies has diminished over time, representing 44% of all U.S. RE capacity additions in 2016. However, within particular regions, RPS policies continue to play a central role in supporting RE growth, constituting 70-90% of 2016 RE capacity additions in the West, Mid-Atlantic, and Northeast. -Future RPS demand and incremental needs: Meeting RPS demand growth will require roughly a 50% increase in U.S. RE generation by 2030, equating to 55 GW of new RE capacity. To meet future RPS demand, total U.S. RE generation will need to reach 13% of electricity sales by 2030 (compared to 10% today), though other drivers will also continue to influence RE growth. -RPS target achievement to-date: States have generally met their interim RPS targets in recent years, with only a few exceptions reflecting unique state-specific policy designs. -REC pricing trends: Prices for renewable energy certificates (RECs) used to meet general RPS obligations fell in most markets in 2016, as surplus RPS supplies emerged in many regions. Price trends for solar RECs were more varied, with a particularly pronounced drop in MD. -RPS compliance costs and cost caps: RPS compliance costs totaled $3.0 billion in 2015 (the most-recent year for which relatively complete data are available), which equates to 1.6% of average retail electricity bills in RPS states. Though total U.S. RPS compliance costs rose from 2014, future cost growth in most RPS states will be capped by cost containment mechanisms.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2017

The Value of Transparency in Distributed Solar PV Markets

Distributed solar photovoltaic (PV) markets are relatively non-transparent: PV price and product information is not readily available, searching for this information is costly (in terms of time and effort), and customers are mostly unfamiliar with the new technology. Quote aggregation, where third-party companies collect PV quotes on behalf of customers, may be one way to increase PV market transparency. In this paper, quote aggregation data are analyzed to study the value of transparency for distributed solar PV markets. The results suggest that easier access to more quotes results in lower prices. We find that installers tend to offer lower prices in more competitive market environments. We supplement the empirical analysis with key findings from interviews of residential PV installers.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2017

Fuel Cell Electric Vehicles: Drivers and Impacts of Adoption.

We present scenario and parametric analyses of the US light duty vehicle (LDV) stock, sim- ulating the evolution of the stock in order to assess the potential role and impacts of fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEVs). The analysis probes the competition of FCEVs with other LDVs and the effects of FCEV adoption on LDV fuel use and emissions. We parameterize commodity and technology prices in order to explore the sensitivities of FCEV sales and emissions to oil, natural gas, battery technology, fuel cell technology, and hydrogen produc- tion prices. We additionally explore the effects of vehicle purchasing incentives for FCEVs, identifying potential impacts and tipping points. Our analyses lead to the following conclu- sions: (1) In the business as usual scenario, FCEVs comprise 7% of all new LDV sales by 2050. (2) FCEV adoption will not substantially impact green house gas emissions without either policy intervention, significant increases in natural gas prices, or technology improve- ments that motivate low carbon hydrogen production. (3) FCEV technology cost reductions have a much greater potential for impact on FCEV sales than hydrogen fuel cost reductions. (4) FCEV purchasing incentives must be both substantial and sustained in order to motivate lasting changes to FCEV adoption.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

DOE OSTI2018

Putting the Potential Rate Impacts of Distributed Solar into Context

The rapid growth of distributed solar in a number of states has raised questions about its potential effects on retail electricity prices, prompting concerns by some utilities and stakeholders about costshifting between solar and non-solar customers. These concerns have, in turn, led to a proliferation of proposals to reform retail rate structures and net metering rules for distributed solar customers, often extending to states that have yet to witness significant solar growth. These proposals have typically been met with a great deal of contention and often absorb substantial time and administrative resources, potentially at the expense of other issues that may ultimately have greater impact on utility ratepayers. Given these inevitable tradeoffs, state regulators might ask: How large could the effect of distributed solar on retail electricity prices conceivably be? And how does that compare to the many other factors that also influence electricity prices—and over which state regulators and utilities might also have some control?

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2019

The Vineyard Wind Power Purchase Agreement: Insights for Estimating Costs of U.S. Offshore Wind Projects

This report analyzes the power purchase agreements (PPAs) between Massachusetts electric distribution utilities (EDC) and Vineyard Wind LLC filed on July 31, 2018, and derives insights for estimating cost of U.S. offshore wind systems and broader cost modeling activities. The documented price for delivery of offshore wind generation and renewable energy certificates under the Vineyard Wind/electric distribution utilities PPA is 74 $/megawatt-hour (MWh) (2022$) for facility 1 (400 MW) and 65 $/MWh (2023$) for facility 2 (400 MW). However, this PPA price does not comprise the complete set of expected revenue sources and tax benefits available to the Vineyard Wind LLC project. A comprehensive accounting of expected revenue sources inclusive of those that are exogenous to the reported PPA is conducted in this study to estimate the project's levelized revenue of energy (LROE). This allows for a more equivalent comparison of the PPA pricing with bottom-up modeled (unsubsidized) levelized cost of energy (LCOE) estimates. LROE from the Vineyard LLC/EDC PPA is estimated to be 98$/MWh (2018$). This LROE estimate for the first commercial-scale offshore wind project in the United States appears to be within the range of LROE estimated for offshore wind projects recently tendered in Northern Europe with a start of commercial operation by the early 2020s. This suggests that a cost and risk premium for the initial set of U.S. offshore wind projects may be less pronounced than anticipated by many industry observers and analysts.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2019

THF Co-Solvent Biomass Fractionation to Catalytic Fuel Precursors with High Yields (Final Report)

The overall goal of this project is to utilize the Co-Solvent Enhanced Lignocellulosic Fractionation (CELF) as a platform technology to realize transformation of real biomass feedstocks to fungible transportation fuels. CELF is a solvolysis method that seeks to break the cost barrier for biomass deconstruction so that high yield liquid intermediates from both sugars and lignin can be recovered for their subsequent catalytic conversion to fungible transportation fuels. It is important for the DOE EERE mission to focus on supporting platform technologies that enable greater end-to-end utilization of biomass whereby the co-development of both process and catalyst is streamlined. CELF is one of the most competitive platform technologies that uses multifunctional co-solvents THF and water to provide the cleanest intermediate product streams that can allow advanced catalysts to be developed on real feedstocks instead of model compounds. For this project, we developed a hybrid catalytic process that first applies CELF homogeneous catalysis to convert solid biomass to a liquid stream containing intermediate fuel precursors (FPs) such as furfural (FF) and 5-hydroxymethylfurfural (5-HMF). Afterwards, a second heterogeneous catalytic step was then applied to selectively hydrodeoxygenate (HDO) the FPs produced from biomass into gasoline blendstocks methylfuran (MF) and dimethylfuran (DMF). Concurrently, capitalizing on CELF’s efficient lignin extraction capabilities, we further explored production C9+ cyclic hydrocarbons from biomass lignin to improve overall process economics. For the first step, the CELF process was optimized to achieve yields of >95% for FF and >60% for HMF from the xylan and glucan fractions in poplar wood, respectively. For the second step, we created a patent-pending bifunctional Cu-Ni solid catalyst that is tolerant to real product streams from the CELF process and simultaneously produce MF and DMF blendstocks at >80% yields. To provide more market versatility, we further explored the production of 2-pentanol from MF and have achieved >70% yields. During this project’s three year period, we also developed a dynamically informed technoeconomic computer model that helped to guide key project decisions that allowed us to reach a final biofuel selling price (MFSP) of <$\$$3/GGE (gallon gasoline equivalent) and total biomass carbon utilization of 60%. We also determined that the MFSP in our model could be further reduced to below $\$$2/GGE if the value of the lignin-derived aromatic hydrocarbon fuels could be sold at diesel-range prices (>$\$$500/tonne). Our process model was designed to consume 288 tonnes per day of poplar wood chips with minor consumption of hydrogen to produce a range of fuel blendstocks suitable for use in the transportation sector. The project was successful in meeting DOE EERE program criteria for application of an all-catalytic biofuels process to achieve a biofuel selling price target of <$\$$3/GGE as well as to achieve a 60% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) compared to conventional fossil petroleum processes. At project completion, the outlined catalytic process reported total utilization of up to 60% of the carbon found in biomass, rivaling more mature biological cellulosic ethanol technologies at a fraction of the fixed and operating costs. This project also resulted in 7 peer-reviewed publications, 2 provisional inventions, and 1 patent pending. NOTE: This public version of the document contains redacted text, tables, and figures as indicated within the document.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

DOE OSTI2018

Heat Storage Options for Sodium, Salt and Helium Cooled Reactors to Enable Variable Electricity to the Grid and Heat to Industry with Base-Load Reactor Operations

Electricity markets are changing rapidly because of (1) the addition of wind and solar and (2) the goal of a low-carbon electricity grid. These changes result in times of high electricity prices and very low or negative electricity prices. California has seen its first month where more than 20% of the time (mid-day) the wholesale price of electricity was zero or negative. This creates large incentives for coupling heat storage to advanced reactors to enable variable electricity and industrial-heat output (to maximize revenue) while the reactor operates at base load (minimize cost). Recent studies have examined coupling various types of heat storage to Rankine and Brayton power cycles. However, there has been little examination of heat-storage options between (1) the reactor and (2) the power-conversion system or industrial customer. Heat-storage systems can be incorporated into sodium , helium-, and salt-cooled reactors. Salt-cooled reactors include the fluoride-salt-cooled high-temperature reactor (FHR) with its solid fuel and clean coolant and the molten salt reactor (MSR) with its fuel dissolved in the salt. For sodium and salt reactors, it is assumed that a heat-storage system would be in the secondary loop between the reactor and power cycle. For helium-cooled reactors, heat storage can be in the primary or secondary loop. This report is a first look at the rational and the heat storage options for deploying gigawatt-watt hour heat-storage systems with GenIV reactors. Economics and safety are the primary selection criteria. The leading heat-storage candidate for sodium-cooled systems (a low-pressure secondary system with small temperature drop across the reactor core) is sodium coolant stored in large steel tanks, with the coolant transferring heat in channels. The design minimizes sodium volume in the storage and, thus, the risks and costs associated with sodium. For helium systems (high-pressure with large temperature drop across the core), the leading heat storage options are (1) varying the temperature of the reactor core, (2) steel or alumina firebrick in a secondary pressure vessel and (3) nitrate or hot-rock/firebrick at atmospheric pressure. For salt systems (low pressure, high temperatures, and small temperature drop across the reactor core) the leading heat-storage systems are secondary salts. In each case, options are identified and questions to be addressed are identified. In some cases there is a strong coupling between the heat-storage technology and the power cycle. The leading sodium heat-storage technology may imply changes in the power cycle. High-temperature salt systems couple efficiency to Brayton power cycles that may create large incentives for the heat storage to remain within the power cycle rather than in any intermediate heat transfer loop.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2019

Implications of Rate Design for the Customer-Economics of Behind-the-Meter Storage

This work provides insights for the two main sources of bill savings for residential and commercial customers – demand charge reductions and arbitrage of energy charges – considering a range of customer profiles and retail rate designs. Storage can reduce monthly demand charges, which are dependent on the customer’s billing demand in kW rather than the amount of energy they consume in kWh, by charging during times of low energy consumption and discharging during peak consumption hours, thereby reducing peak power consumption from the grid. Storage can also reduce electricity bills by charging the storage during low-priced hours and discharging during high-priced hours, taking advantage of price-differentials of time-varying rates. This study considers a variety of demand charge designs and rates that allow for energy arbitrage.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2019

Analysis of Differential Financial Impacts of LWR Load-Following Operations. Revision 1

This document reports the application of HERON (Holistic Energy Resource Optimization Network), a newly-developed RAVEN (Risk Analysis Virtual ENvironment) plugin for grid and capacity optimization, to a case study conducted in collaboration with Arizona Public Service (APS). The study is a work in progress; this report presents a description of current models and corresponding results for a particular consideration. APS is anticipating several operational challenges. The first is rapid growth of Variable Renewable Energy (VRE) sources such as wind and solar power providing energy to the grid in the APS service region. This creates challenges for baseload operation of the Palo Verde Generating Station (PVGS), a nuclear power plant co-owned and operated by APS. The second challenge for APS is a change in the cooling water acquisition contract with the Sub Regional Operating Group (SROG). The existing contract is expiring soon, and a renewal is only available for a significantly higher price of water. These two challenges represent a difficulty in maintaining profitability for PVGS as local area demand is highly fluctuant and water prices may increase. Furthermore, excess production at PVGS is currently traded on the Palo Verde energy Hub (PVH), which occasionally offers very low or negative locational marginal prices (LMP) for electricity. This analysis considers the potential benefits of occasional curtailment of PVGS as a method to mitigate unprofitable production hours. Similar to load following, optional daily curtailment would allow APS to elect curtailment of PVGS as low as 70% of its nominal operating level between the hours of 08:00 and 16:00 provided local area demand is met and it is profitable to do so. This document reports a stochastic differential analysis of the Net Present Value (NPV) of PVGS as operated by NPS as a result of optional curtailment operation. To model this differential case, HERON has been designed from previous efforts in this study as a generic tool to accelerate the design and execution of RAVEN workflows for technoeconomic analysis of grid energy systems. HERON leverages both RAVEN and the CashFlow plugin for RAVEN to stochastically explore or optimize a response surface with energy grid system production capacities as inputs and mean NPV as a goal function. HERON performs these evaluations by stochastically sampling market, weather, and demand events using RAVEN’s ARMA reduced-order model capability to generate boundary conditions for dispatch optimization. The algorithm performs the dispatch optimization for each of the synthetic scenarios. For this case, HERON designs workflows to simulate behavior of the PVH, wind, solar, and APS local area demand, and use these synthetic scenarios to stochastically evaluate the differential benefit of optional curtailment for each scenario. While this study finds optional curtailment to be a potential source of revenue, the magnitude of the differential NPV is sufficiently small that it is unlikely a priority for increasing the profitability of PVGS. Further, the differential NPV shrinks throughout the simulated years, suggesting the long-term benefit of such operation given current assumptions is negligible.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2019

Hot Topic Brief: Emerging Policies for Mobilizing Private Sector Investment into Clean Energy in the Philippines

The Philippines has one of the highest electricity prices for commercial and residential consumers in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) region with prices between $0.12 (commercial) and $0.20 (residential) per kilowatt-hour (kWh) (ERIA 2018). Significant reliance on imported coal and diesel is the primary cause of this cost to ratepayers. This 'hot topic brief' details new policies in the Philippines designed to diversify the country's fuel-mix and the opportunities for investments in renewable energy to reduce prices for consumers and industry. This brief focuses on two recent policies: 1. Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS): The RPS establishes mandatory targets for each electric distribution utility--both publicly and privately owned--to procure renewable energy through 2030. 2. Green Energy Option Program (GEOP): The GEOP enables companies to independently procure renewable energy from third-party power producers, which can be used to help meet private sector renewable energy goals, unlock lower electricity costs, and increase energy security.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2020

A New Process for Carbon Dioxide Conversion to Fuel

In this project, TDA developed a new mixed metal oxide-based sorbent that converts CO 2 (captured from coal fired power plant) to CO, which can then be combined with renewable H 2 generated by water electrolysis to produce different liquid fuels. TDA’s absorbent-based CO 2 conversion process uses a redox process, which splits the reverse water gas shift reaction steps into two stages: CO 2 reduction to CO and H 2 oxidation to H 2 O and eliminates the equilibrium limitations. The CO produced in the two-stage reactor system can then be further reacted with renewable H 2 to produce methanol, naphtha, diesel, or gasoline. We worked with the Gas Technology Institute (GTI) and Advanced Power & Energy Program (APEP) of University of California, Irvine (UCI) to design and develop the liquid fuel synthesis process that is built around this new material. We demonstrated the techno-economic viability of the new sorbent based redox process to convert CO 2 into synthesis gas by: 1) demonstrating continuous carbon dioxide reduction in a prototype test system for over 500 hours while converting up to 0.4 kg CO 2 /day. With the successful completion of the R&D effort, the technology is now ready for a larger pilot-scale demonstration and the technology readiness has been raised from TRL 3 to TRL 5. In collaboration UCI, we also completed a high-fidelity process design and economic analysis. The required selling price (RSP) for methanol (Case 1 H2-MeOH) is $\$$3.06/gal, naphtha and diesel (Case 2 H2-FT) are $\$$6.21/gal and $\$$8.91/gal, and for gasoline (Case 3 H2-MTG) is $\$$6.96/gal on a 2011 dollar basis. To put these costs in perspective, the recent (June 2020) U.S. price for methanol made from natural gas is about $\$$1.19/gal according to Methanex, a major methanol producer in North America. The recent (June 2, 2020) California prices for gasoline and diesel with California’s strict specifications are $\$$3.35/gal and $\$$3.73/gal according to the U.S. Energy Information Agency. On the other hand, it should be noted that the gasoline and diesel produced by the designs of Case 2 and Case 3 would be both nitrogen and sulfur free. These RSPs are based on a cost of imported electricity of $\$$64/MWh based on the low-end current wind generated electricity cost (Genevieve and Ramsden, Wind Electrolysis: Hydrogen Cost Optimization, Technical Report, June 2011, NREL/TP-5600-50408). This cost is by far the largest component of the variable costs used in computing the RSPs. The cost of the imported electricity has to approach zero for the RSP to be competitive for methanol produced in Case 1 and naphtha and diesel produced in Case 2 while the cost of electricity has to be less than $\$$10/MWh for gasoline produced in Case 3.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

DOE OSTI2020

Optimizing an Integrated Solar-Electrolysis System (CRADA CRD-18-749 Final Report)

Electrolysis powered by renewable sources provides a range of potential values such as carbon-free fuel for power, heat, or transportation; storage; and ancillary grid services. Each of these potential benefits has been studied as individual value streams. However, real-world demonstrations of these benefits working in concert are limited in the United States today as electrolyzers lack access to wholesale electricity prices. High power prices make electrolysis uncompetitive compared to traditional steam methane reformation (SMR). A potentially cost-effective way to demonstrate the value of renewable electrolysis is by powering an electrolyzer directly from a renewable generation source rather than from the electric grid. Integrated with a renewable generation source, the cost of fueling an electrolyzer is the opportunity cost of not selling power from the renewable plant to the grid - effectively, the wholesale electricity price. Additionally, an electrolyzer tied directly to a renewable generator potentially reduces excess generation and increases the value of the ancillary services that the renewable generator can provide to the grid.

08 HYDROGEN↗

DOE OSTI2020

Wood-to-Fuel for California's Transportation Sector using Autothermal Pyrolysis (FRD-17-002 Progress Report)

Both our subcontract with ISU and the one with Frontline have been finalized and the requisitions for the initiation of them have been submitted (this places defined amounts of funding available to the subcontracts, for the first allotment of work to be done, for which we already have funds from the CEC). Once the requisitions are approved, the subcontracts will be fully executed. During the month of August, further work on the Market Report was carried out, and will continue, as this is the most adaptable of the LLNL-main tasks to working remotely, so will not have any delays due to the shelter-in-place orders. Organization of our databases and sources on availability, and potential availability of all woody biomass was continued. Tables and figures for the report were begun as well, and the outline was finalized. Additionally, a parametric study for pyrolysis’ different products was done, with a metric of return on capital investment being chosen. Evaluated parameters include feedstock price, CO2 credit price, CO2 transport cost, and minimum fuel selling price, for drop-in fuels.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗