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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 973 records · Page 54
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2021

Leveraging machine learning to improve understanding and predictability of weather/climate extremes and the resilience of human systems

Focal Area(s): Developing hybrid models for predicting weather/climate extremes at the intersection of the urban environment (focal area #2). Science Challenge: Limited by many sources of uncertainty, numerical models are unable to accurately simulate weather and climate processes and this problem is particularly acute for modeling extreme events, including hurricanes. Moreover, computational limits within these numerical models bound our ability to develop large ensembles to explore this uncertainty and the implications relative to characterization of risk and resilience within the human systems that are impacted by changes in extremes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Modeling Noise: Paths toward AI-Enabled Stochastic Earth System Models and Parameterizations

Some of the key challenges in Earth system prediction arise from an uncertain representation of unpredictable natural variability, across time and space scales. This variability, hereafter referred to as noise, represents the quantity against which the strength of a signal of interest is measured to assess predictability. Underestimating or overestimating this noise in Earth system models can lead to issues ranging between overconfidence in an erroneous prediction and a lack thereof in an otherwise accurate one. Noise is part of the physical processes in the Earth system and can amplify or damp a signal of interest in a complex manner that is not systematically characterized. Specifically, while there has been significant progress in our understanding of multiscale interactions among known modes of variability (potentially predictable signals), how these are impacted by the noise is not clear. Recent effort toward stochastic parametrization schemes that provide a representation of noise due to uncertain sub-grid processes in climate models (Berner et al., 2017 and references therein) has shown promise not only in reducing biases and improving probabilistic prediction but also in improving the representation of natural variability in the model toward what is observed. However, today’s standard schemes for stochastic parametrization are still simplistic as they do not take the state of the atmosphere into account (other than by the use of multiplicative noise for model tendencies). Furthermore they require hand-tuning and trial-and-error testing for the magnitude of the added noise, which is difficult in a chaotic system that is as complex as the Earth system.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Multi-scale Multi-physics Scientific Machine Learning for Water Cycle Extreme Events Identification, Labelling, Representation, and Characterization

Impacts of climate are usually felt through extreme events such as droughts, floods, thunderstorms, windstorms, wildfires, and so on, that are intimately tied to the water cycle. Predicting the frequency and severity of extreme events under climate change remains a significant challenge; meanwhile, the mechanisms and impacts of these extremes are far from well understood. There are several major science challenges: (1) Lack of labelled extreme events data and missing standards in defining extremes; (2) Computational demand of high-resolution ensemble climate modeling; (3) Modeling the multiscale multi-physics hierarchical structure of compound extremes; (4) Lack of understanding of mechanisms of extreme events; (5) Large uncertainty in extreme events impacts on infrastructure; (6) Subjective assessment of weather-related risk from seasonal to multi-decadal time scales and lack of metrics for risk assessment and mitigation control.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Physics-Informed Learning for Predictive Multi-Scale Modeling of Water Cycle and Extreme Events

Climate and earth system models have limited skill in predicting water cycle and associated extremes such as intense rain- and wind-producing storms and resulting hazards across all timescales. Water cycle predictions are inherently limited by the predictability of the chaotic system, but large potential for improving predictions remains untapped due to limited use of data-model integration to improve predictive modeling. This white paper proposes a hybrid data-physics paradigm based on physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) to improve the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM). In particular, we aim to predict and quantify uncertainties of water cycle processes and low probability high impact events.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2019

Additively Manufactured Intensified Device for Enhanced Carbon Capture

Additively manufactured packed bed devices for the enhancement of carbon capture were successfully developed, built, characterized, and tested in this project. The objective was to demonstrate that in situ cooling of chemical absorption could have beneficial effects on the absorption rate of CO 2 . This was achieved in two stages, divided between FY 2018 and FY 2019. First, the feasibility of printing conventional packing elements was investigated, and the core hydrodynamic metrics were experimentally validated. The data obtained in those studies informed the operating conditions set for the next stage, which was to validate the efficacy of in situ cooling provided by an additively manufactured packed bed element, referred to as the intensified device. The intensified device is designed to enable heat exchange between an internally flowing coolant and the gas-liquid system flowing on the external corrugated surface of the packing. Polymer and metal were both considered as the base materials for the device, and comparative studies on hydrodynamic properties were performed. These considerations, as well as thermal properties and leak tests led to aluminum being chosen as the base material for experimental validation of capture enhancement. The experimental validation was first conducted under non-reactive conditions, and after establishing heat-exchange capabilities, was subsequently conducted under reactive conditions. These studies demonstrated that in situ cooling can benefit absorption given the appropriate operating conditions.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2021

Demonstration and Validation of Additively Manufactured Intensified Device for Enhanced Carbon Capture

In FY 2018 and 2019, ORNL personnel designed, prototyped, characterized, and tested the enhancement of amine-based carbon capture using additively manufactured intensified devices, i.e., devices combining multiple thermodynamic and kinetic processes into one unit operation. State of the art scrubbing technology often employs inter-stage cooling which requires multiple stages of single-purpose unit operations, leading to larger equipment size, higher capital cost, and sometimes less than optimal operating conditions for each piece of equipment. It was proposed that integrating multiple thermodynamic and kinetic operations into one unit could mitigate or negate these drawbacks. Heat and mass transfer studies demonstrated that an additively manufactured intensified device could significantly improve capture efficiency at bench scale. This project is a continuation of FEAA130 and aims at (1) demonstration and validation of enhanced CO 2 capture with 3D printed intensified devices (i.e., mass exchanger packing with internal cooling channels), for low-aqueous-solvent (LAS) based capture at the ORNL-constructed laboratory-scale (4.5-feet tall) column, namely Column A, with built-in cooling and (2) computational scoping on the conceptual design of a flexible and modular larger column, namely Column B, at ORNL for further demonstration of enhanced capture for aqueous solvent. To execute this multi-faceted project scope, an integrated project team from ORNL’s Manufacturing Science Division is tasked with applying capabilities in computational fluid dynamics (CFD), additive manufacturing, and absorber-scale demonstration/validation experiments.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2021

ORNL Slicer 2 v0.93 BETA

ORNL Slicer 2 v0.93 BETA is the fourth BETA release of the ORNL Slicer 2 software package. It was released on 3/31/2021 to all users of v0.92, currently totaling over 100 users. This technical memo will highlight all of the new features, updates, and bug fixes released in this latest iteration of the ORNL Slicer 2.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2021

A hierarchical evaluation framework for assessing climate simulations relevant to the energy-water-land nexus (Final Report)

The overarching goal was to construct a hierarchy of new and well-tested metrics and analysis tools that support both fundamental and use-inspired research. Motivating this goal was a convergence of needs from climate scientists and stakeholders alike for a systematic, robust framework of model evaluation and diagnosis to provide scientific insights, inform model development, support best practices for the use of climate model outputs, and facilitate communication of climate information in the evolving landscapes of multi-model, multi-resolution, and large ensemble simulations that generate terabytes of data for any single climate run. Steps toward attaining these goals benefited from expertise and established capability of the project team, which included leadership of the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP) and the Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX), development of hierarchical model evaluation approaches, and successful research in the analysis and diagnosis of climate model skill, as well as the understanding and modeling of regional climate processes in North America. As part of the overarching goal, the project worked to disseminate a suite of methodologies, algorithms, and software components that the wider community can employ to advance climate science and applications. With rigorous demonstration, the evaluation framework and the mix of standard and high risk / high reward approaches helped form the basis for future development of a computationally enabled user-friendly system for community use.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2022

Membrane Carbonation for 100% Efficient Delivery of Industrial CO 2 Gases

Industrial processes generate about one quarter of all greenhouse gases emissions in the US, about 80% of which is carbon dioxide (CO 2 ). Biological processes are one of the largest natural sinks for atmospheric CO 2 , but the rate of capture is limited by the low concentration in air (~0.04%). Industrial emissions have significantly higher CO 2 concentrations, ranging from 5–80% CO 2 , which can significantly increase the rate of biological CO 2 capture, including many-fold improvements for cultivating microalgae to produce food, fertilizer, and renewable fuel. However, traditional methods for delivering CO 2 to microalgae using bubbling is < 40% efficient, leading to significant residual CO 2 emissions and increased cost. This project developed the Membrane Carbonation (MC) technology to significantly improve the CO 2 delivery efficiency to microalgae from power plant flue gas, wastewater treatment plant anaerobic digesters biogas (Figure 1), and other CO 2 -containing industrial sources.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2023

The Case for an EIC Theory Alliance

This documents outlines the case for the creation of an EIC Theory Alliance. The EIC will be a unique and versatile facility that will enable the understanding of some of the most compelling questions in the physics of the strong nuclear force. To fully exploit the potential of the EIC, a focused theory effort will be required. The goal of the EIC Theory Alliance is to provide support and stewardship of the theory effort in EIC physics, broadly defined, over the lifetime of the facility. It will promote EIC theory and contribute to workforce development through: support of graduate students; EIC Theory Fellowships for postdocs; bridge positions at universities; and short and long term visitor programs to enhance collaboration between groups. In addition, the alliance will organize topical schools and workshops. The EIC Theory Alliance will be a decentralized organization, open to participation by anyone in the community who is interested in EIC physics, i.e., it will be a membership organization, where members elect an executive board which will effectively run the alliance. The executive board will determine the major scientific thrusts of the theory alliance, make decisions regarding at which universities bridge faculty positions will be created, and serve as a search committee for EIC-related positions. Furthermore, the executive board will coordinate the organization of workshops and schools related to the research activities of the alliance. In addition, the EIC theory alliance will seek out and nurture international cooperation to maximally leverage the available funding. The EIC theory alliance has a wider range of physics goals and longer lifetime, commensurate with that of the EIC research program, than individual nuclear theory topical collaborations. The structure of the EIC Theory Alliance will build on previous examples of successful alliances in nuclear theory.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Model Advancements to Enable Impact Analysis of Climate Change on Streamflow Temperature

With support from the Department of Energy’s Water Power Technologies Office, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) has developed new tools that incorporate cutting-edge climate and hydrological science capabilities to assess the potential long-term impacts of future climate conditions on unregulated streamflow and water temperature within watershed-river-reservoir systems. The objectives of this project were achieved by enhancing key hydrologic and hydrodynamic models and transferring them to a high-performance computing environment to provide a high-spatiotemporal resolution, multi-scale modeling framework. The new modeling framework has the potential to quantify risks related climate change impacts on runoff, unregulated streamflow, and water temperature. Initial development and demonstration of the modeling framework was conducted under historical and future climate conditions in the Columbia River Basin in the Pacific Northwest and the Connecticut River Basin in New England.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

The case for an EIC Theory Alliance: Theoretical Challenges of the EIC

We outline the physics opportunities provided by the Electron Ion Collider (EIC). These include the study of the parton structure of the nucleon and nuclei, the onset of gluon saturation, the production of jets and heavy flavor, hadron spectroscopy and tests of fundamental symmetries. We review the present status and future challenges in EIC theory that have to be addressed in order to realize this ambitious and impactful physics program, including how to engage a diverse and inclusive workforce. In order to address these many-fold challenges, we propose a coordinated effort involving theory groups with differing expertise is needed. We discuss the scientific goals and scope of such an EIC Theory Alliance.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Understanding the Physics Representation of Deep Learning Models in Environmental Applications

Deep learning (DL) models have been popular in earth and environmental modeling and analysis, which exhibit huge potential in capturing and reconstructing the non-linearity of relevant environmental processes. They are extensively used as analytical tools or emulators for multiple domains (atmosphere, land surface, ocean, and biogeochemistry). Despite their success, their internal working mechanism remains largely unknown. Such a lack of knowledge hinders the identification of physically consistent models that are fully adaptive to non-stationary climate, as well as the development of physics-informed machine learning such as physics-informed neural network (PINN). To establish preliminary knowledge and framework of such physics representation evaluation, this project focuses on an improved understanding of DL models in the environmental applications. DL models are increasingly applied to environmental modeling and prediction. However, they have been evaluated mostly from a performance perspective, and there is a gap in understanding how they represent the known physics internally. Such knowledge is especially critical when applying DL models under climate change conditions, where new inputs are likely outside the ranges of the training datasets. In this project, we reveal how the known physical processes are represented within DL models from both statistical and mechanistic perspectives. Leveraging the traditional model evaluations that focus more on the accuracies of predictions, we establish a framework that examines both the accuracy and physics representation of DL models. This analysis framework can identify DL models that make the correct predictions based on correct physics, thus enhancing the existing explainable artificial intelligence (explainable-AI) portfolio. It lays a foundation for developing novel metrics to evaluate the emerging DL models in environmental applications. This knowledge also informs the development of physics-informed DL models by revealing the direct connections between the known physical processes and specific model components or structures.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

The Uniform Methods Project: Smart Thermostat Evaluation Protocol

A smart thermostat is an internet-connected device that controls home heating, ventilation, and air-conditioning (HVAC) equipment and can automatically adjust temperature set points to optimize performance and achieve energy savings. Smart thermostat features often include two way communication, occupancy detection (such as geofencing and occupancy sensors), schedule learning, and seasonal optimization algorithms. Smart thermostats can control most conventional HVAC systems, including central air conditioners, heat pumps, and forced air furnaces. Several types of residential utility programs offer smart thermostats as replacements measures. Working with smart thermostat vendors, utilities can offer separate optimization programs to produce energy savings beyond those achieved by installing a smart thermostat. From an evaluation perspective, smart thermostat programs have several noteworthy features. First, the energy savings from a smart thermostat may change over the life of the device. As a smart thermostat is connected to the internet, original equipment manufacturers can update the thermostat software to improve the thermostat's energy efficiency. Likewise, users can adjust the thermostat settings and schedules over time in response to changes in weather, thermal comfort, energy prices, or preferences for energy efficiency. Additionally, many thermostat manufacturers offer seasonal optimization programs that recommend changes or make minor, automated adjustments to the thermostat settings to improve energy efficiency. These opt-in programs are now standard offerings for many smart thermostat manufacturers and provided at no additional cost to users. The potential for software updates and continuous optimization and the evolving nature of user interactions mean future energy savings may differ from first-year savings and the energy savings of smart thermostats may need to be evaluated more than once. Second, smart thermostats often have small unit energy savings relative to a home's total energy consumption, especially in comparison to whole- home retrofit programs. This can make it difficult to detect the smart thermostat savings in billing or advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) meter consumption data. For example, as cooling loads in many regions average about 20% of annual electricity consumption, smart thermostat savings of 10% of cooling energy use would equate to a 2% reduction in home electricity consumption. Evaluators should use regression analysis of whole-home billing consumption or advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) meter consumption data to evaluate smart thermostat savings because, as explained at greater length below , these data are usually available to evaluators and regression can control for the impacts of weather and other potentially confounding factors on a home's energy consumption. Finally, as with other energy efficiency programs, participation in smart thermostat programs is self-selective. As discussed at greater length below , smart thermostat participants tend to be, among other things, younger, higher-income, and more likely to adopt electric vehicles (EVs) and internet connected devices than nonparticipants. These differences are often unobservable to the evaluator and correlated with a home's energy consumption, creating the potential for bias in estimating savings. Due to the small unit savings of thermostats, errors and biases from self-selection that may not be very consequential when evaluating a whole- home retrofits (e.g., ±2% of home electricity consumption) can have a major impact when evaluating the savings and cost-effectiveness of smart thermostat programs. A percentage point change in the estimated savings could affect the cost-effectiveness of a program. This means it is important for evaluators to assess and to minimize the potential for error from selection bias in estimating smart thermostat program savings. The Uniform Methods Project provides model protocols for determining energy savings and demand reductions that result from specific energy efficiency measures implemented through state and utility programs. In most cases, the measure protocols are based on a particular option identified by the International Performance Verification and Measurement Protocol ; however, this work provides a more detailed approach to implementing that option. Each chapter is written by technical experts in collaboration with their peers, reviewed by industry experts, and subject to public review and comment. The UMP protocols can be used by utilities, program administrators, public utility commissions, evaluators, and other stakeholders for both program planning and evaluation.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2022

Single DC Source Based Cascaded Multilevel Inverter

The objective of this project is to develop a high-efficiency solid-state transformer that converts a fixed DC voltage to a medium-voltage AC for utility distribution network connections without having the conventional low-frequency bulky transformers and switch gears. The initial target of 99% efficiency was achieved with the use of wide bandgap semiconductor devices using a proposal novel multilevel inverter. The medium-voltage was successfully tested at 7.2/12.47 kV phase/line voltage level for a 100-kW three-phase inverter.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Future Response of Coastal Wetlands to Environmental Stresses: Algorithm Comparison of Numerical Models

Coastal wetlands are a critical component of the earth system that strongly influence the global water and biogeochemical cycles. They are also likely important sentinel of climate change. Because eco-geomorphological processes have long been recognized to be important for coastal wetland survival under accelerated sea-level rise (SLR), many eco-geomorphology models have been developed to assess the impact of climate change on coastal wetlands. Although these models differ substantially in complexity and numerical methods, few studies have investigated the algorithm-level uncertainties in these models. In this study, we developed a multiple-algorithm model framework of coastal wetlands that represents coastal hydrodynamics (such as water level, significant wave height and bottom shear stress) and four eco-geomorphological processes: mineral accretion, organic matter accretion, storm surge erosion and landward migration. We validated the model at three representative coastal wetland sites (Venice Lagoon, Plum Island Estuary and Hunter Estuary) for hydrodynamics, mineral accretion and organic matter accretion. Through model-data comparison, we showed that the model can well capture the dynamics of hydrodynamical and eco-geomorphological conditions in the study sites. Importantly, analysis of the multiple-algorithm simulations suggests that differences in the process representation of mineral and organic matter accretion may contribute to the recent contradicting predictions of coastal wetland evolution under accelerated SLR.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Activation of Hydrogen Under Ambient Conditions by Main Group Molecules

The major goals as indicated by the title are the detailed understanding of the interactions of main group compounds with small molecules such as H 2 , NH 3 , CO, C 2 H 4 and related species as well as the development of catalysts based on inexpensive main group (13 or 14) elements such as aluminum or silicon. A key feature of the compounds studied is the existence of Lewis acidic and basic sites at the main group element such that the small molecules become activated in a synergistic manner under relatively mild conditions.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗