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DOE OSTI2019

Leveraging Industry Research to Educate a Future Electric Grid Workforce

GridEd is a collaborative educational initiative consisting of the Electric Power Research Institute, seven (7) Partner universities (Arizona State University, Clarkson University, Georgia Institute of Technology, Portland State University, University of California–Riverside, University of North Carolina-Charlotte, and University of Puerto Rico Mayaguez), and participating utility and industry sponsors. This educational initiative focuses on developing and training the next generation of power engineers so they can help shape the electric grid of the future by anticipating and fulfilling the needs of changing electric industry requirements. GridEd is leveraging electric industry research to educate a future electric grid workforce by empowering new and continuing education students, not only to become competent and well-informed engineers, but also to participate and influence major technological, social, and policy decisions that address critical global challenges.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2019

Leveraging Industry Research to Educate a Future Electric Grid Workforce

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2019

Finding Pennsylvania's Solar Future (Final Technical Report)

Finding Pennsylvania’s Solar Future (Project) was a project of the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection (DEP) Energy Program’s Office (EPO) with funding from the U.S. Department of Energy Solar Energy Technologies Office. DEP brought together a project team that included Citizens for Pennsylvania’s Future (PennFuture), the Vermont Energy Investment Corporation (VEIC), and Pennsylvania-based solar subject matter experts (“Facilitators”) Sharon Pillar, Dr. Jeffrey Brownson, Ron Celentano, and Maureen Mulligan. The goals of the project were to explore whether Pennsylvania has sufficient technical and economic potential to increase in-state solar generation to provide 10 percent of its electricity consumption by 2030 and to identify potential pathways to achieve this target, as well as to explore the associated economic, environmental, and health impacts of achieving the goal. The project had four essential activities: stakeholder engagement, scenario modeling and analysis, strategy development, and dissemination and outreach.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2019

Future High Performance Computing Capabilities: Summary Report of the Advanced Scientific Computing Advisory Committee (ASCAC) Subcommittee

The ASCAC Subcommittee on Future High Performance Computing (HPC) Capabilities has reviewed opportunities and challenges related to the most promising technologies that are currently planned for the post-exascale (2020's) and post-Moore (2030's and beyond) timeframes. We briefly summarize in this report the key findings and recommendations from this review, from the perspective of planning and research directions that need to be given priority to prepare for the very significant challenges that await us in the post-Moore computing era. An overarching concern that emerged from the subcommittee's deliberations is that DOE has lost considerable momentum in funding and sustaining a research pipeline in the applied math and computer science areas that should have been the "seed corn" for preparing for these future challenges, and it is therefore critical to correct this gap as soon as possible. While the subcommittee understands the paramount importance of DOE's commitment to deliver exascale capabilities, we believe that it is essential for DOE ASCR to fund research and development that looks beyond the Exascale Computing Project (ECP) horizon so as to ensure our nation's continued leadership in HPC and we were glad to learn about the ASCAC exascale transition subcommittee in this regard.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2020

Development of Advanced Nb 3 Sn Superconductors for Future Energy-Frontier Colliders

Development of Advanced Nb 3 Sn Superconductors for Future Energy-Frontier Colliders: • Present record of particle collision energy: 13 TeV, by the LHC. • Further push of the energy frontier requires higher magnetic field in circular accelerators: E (in TeV) = 0.3R (in km)•B (in T). • The proposed Future Circular Collider (FCC) plans to increase B from 8 T (in LHC) to 16 T. • Nb3Sn wires will be the workhorse conductor for building dipole and quadrupole magnets for FCC.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

DOE OSTI2018

Future Online Analysis Platform Workshop Report

Recent technology trends, such as the increasing focus on data management technologies and the emergence of sustainable on-demand computing and commercial cloud facilities provide initial steps and potential building blocks for creating such a compute facility. How do we fill the gap between what we have now and the capabilities we need to make the vision of an online data facility a reality? What research challenges need to be addressed – and can be addressed – in the coming 5-10 years? How should we adjust our vision if they are not solved? Is such a facility compatible with the existing and evolving exascale resources and/or how should they evolve to be compatible? How do “beyond Moore’s law” technologies enable advanced data analysis? Those are the challeges that the Future Platform workshop was organized to address. This report is organized as follows. Section 2 summarizes data challenges and patterns related to the exemplar use cases presented during the first half day of the workshop. Section 3 summarizes the requirements presented by those use cases as well as a synthesis of those requirements into a Future Platform definition achieved on the 3rd half day of the workshop (morning of the 2nd day). Section 4 includes area breakout reports from the areas on the 2nd half day of the workshop (afternoon of the 1st day). Finally Section 5 has a report on recommendation for building methodology and metrics. The report concludes in Section 6.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2020

Options for Future Fuel/Basket Modifications for DPC Disposition

Deliverable Description: Identify and evaluate options for fuel and basket modifications, for dual-purpose canisters (DPCs) to be loaded in the future, that would substantially reduce the probability of post closure criticality after waste package breach and flooding with ground water. Planned work in FY20 will examine the feasibility of criticality control features, particularly neutron absorbing inserts or replacement channels for boiling water reactor (BWR) fuel assemblies. The expected outcome is additional engineering information that can be used to guide the R&D program, and to support future stakeholder interactions. This document will be incorporated into planned deliverable DPC Disposal Concepts of Operation (M3 SF-20SNO10305052, 18S ep20).

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2020

ESGF Future Architecture Report (V.1.1)

This document reports the findings of the Earth System Grid Federation Future Architecture Face-to-Face Meeting held in the UK 5-7 November 2019, attended by technical representatives from the ESGF partner organisations. ESGF is an International federated archive that provides access to Earth science data. It is fundamentally a distributed file management system with its main function being data dissemination through the provision of services for efficient replication and search. It has been in operation for over ten years and has undergone continuous improvements and enhancements over this time span. The Future Architecture is a major review of the software system including a fundamental reassessment of its requirements with a view to develop a new overall system architecture. This has been initiated in the light of challenges around the maintenance of the existing software legacy and a changing technology landscape and practices in the communities it serves. The work is being carried out under the oversight of the ESGF Executive Committee1,2 and is coordinated activity between ESGF and the European IS-ENES3 project.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2020

Cost & Performance Requirements for Flexible Advanced Nuclear Plants in Future U.S. Power Markets

This report summarizes a modeling effort to estimate the highest allowable CapEx for advanced nuclear plants in future power market environments to still achieve a market rate of return for their owners. This is not a policy report making recommendations to policymakers about how to regulate power markets. Rather, the study’s assumptions and scenarios reflect likely market conditions across a large percentage of US electricity markets. Its goal is to define target cost and performance parameters determined by future market conditions in order to guide design choices and tradeoffs in the early stage of the reactor and power plant development process. Although this was not a deployment modeling exercise to determine the market size for a given technology at selected price points, it does suggest that advanced reactors delivered under the allowable CapEx thresholds identified in this report could cost competitively serve a significant fraction of load in the modeled power markets.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2020

Hybrid Ceramic-CMC Vane with EBC for Future Coal Derived Syngas Fired 65% Efficient Turbine Combined Cycle

The efficiency of both simple cycle and combined cycle power generation systems scale with the peak temperature at which the gas exits the combustor to drive the turbine. In conventional systems, a substantial fraction of the total turbine core flow exiting the compressor is diverted downstream to cool metallic turbine hardware rather than power the turbine, much of which is used to cool the first-stage turbine vane. The use of coal derived syngas fuels provides an additional challenge to the lifetime of materials utilized in the turbine, as particulate byproducts created in the coal gasification process melt in the combustion gas, and can subsequently deposit and interact with the turbine hardware. The development of durable hot-section materials capable of operating at temperature well above that of single crystal superalloy airfoil/zirconia based thermal barrier coatings is critical to realizing 65% efficient coal derived syngas fired gas turbine based power systems. To enable higher turbine inlet temperatures while lowering cooling air requirements, United Technologies Research Center (UTRC), the central R&D laboratory supporting UT Pratt & Whitney, led the conceptual design of a new type of ceramic composite turbine hot section materials system. The design focused on a novel hybrid monolithic ceramic-fiber reinforced ceramic matrix composite (CMC) first stage turbine vane having an environmental barrier coating. By utilizing ceramic construction in the turbine hot-section, the core flow normally used to cool metallic components will be substantially reduced, increasing efficiency and reducing emissions. To provide the framework for future demonstration testing, UTRC partnered with University of North Dakota Energy and Environmental Research Center (UNDEERC) to provide a conceptual design for a gasified coal fed high-pressure turbine combustor system designed to mimic the conditions expected in a future 65% fuel to busbar efficient syngas fueled gas turbine based combined cycle. The UNDEERC and UTRC collaborated on characterizing dusts from coal gasifier filtration systems.

10 SYNTHETIC FUELS↗

DOE OSTI2018

The Grid of the Future Workshop Summary Report

The Grid of the Future was a one-day workshop to discuss a resilient grid for the 21st and 22nd century. The workshop gathered experts from various fields to explore concepts for the electric power grid of the future with an emphasis on improving resilience. The event was co-sponsored by Sandia National Laboratories, the Albuquerque IEEE Section, the University of New Mexico, New Mexico State University, and the Santa Fe Institute. The presenters identified radical changes to the grid that are expected to occur over the next 25-50 years and the role of resilience. The workshop was held at the University of New Mexico on Wednesday, August 22nd, 2018. This report summarizes presentations and discussions from the workshop.

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DOE OSTI2021

Critical steps in preventing future pandemics. Early lessons from the Covid-19 crisis for addressing natural and deliberate biological threats.

This report summarizes a virtual workshop on early lessons from the COVID-19 pandemic as they pertain to proactively addressing future biological threats. Co-hosted by Sandia National Laboratory (Sandia) and the Council on Strategic Risks (CSR) in August 2020, the discussion involved experts who at that time were leading innovative efforts in various U.S. government agencies, industry, and academia sharing observations from their ongoing pandemic response efforts. Based on the input by these expert participants, it is clear that even though the pandemic response is ongoing, the following recommendations will be important to consider for more successfully addressing biological threats in the future: Continue building on the cross-sector collaboration and agility shown in the COVID-19 response; Expand capabilities for detecting biological threats early; Prioritize ways to create and disseminate medical countermeasures even faster; Create the U.S. bio industrial base needed for rapid response to biological threats, and keep it healthy; and, Major government reorganization may not be needed if there is effective work to form coalitions, improve coordination, and expand steady-state and surge capacities.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2019

Summary Report of the Tri-Lab Workshop on Modeling & Analysis of Current & Future Energy Systems

The workshop identified how modeling and analysis can be used for energy system design, optimization, and planning to help identify opportunities to enhance the performance and potential of current and future energy systems, with a specific focus on integrated, hybrid energy systems. Comprehensive understanding of these systems requires models at different scales (from market to grid to process system to energy device). As discussed within the context of three detailed case studies, there is a need to develop useful datasets for a variety of purposes and to extend and connect existing models and analysis tools across scales and across domains to address the challenges associated with developing technologies to enable the integrated energy systems of the future.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2021

Future of Water Infrastructure and Innovation Summit

Energy and water systems are interdependent, and the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) has invested in energy and water for several years, including the Energy-Water Desalination Hub (led by the National Alliance for Water Innovation, NAWI), and research and development (R&D) in resource recovery from wastewater, among other areas. The Advanced Manufacturing Office (AMO) at the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) held The Future of Water Infrastructure and Innovation Summit to inform the understanding of future opportunities in the water space. The virtual summit was held on October 27 and 28, 2020. The organizers gathered information from a diverse group of relevant water and wastewater stakeholders representing academia, industry, government, nongovernmental organizations, and local/regional utilities. Topics from Day 1 discussions included: desalination, water and wastewater treatment/recovery, produced water, industrial management of water, and hydropower, conveyance, and water systems.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2021

Electrification Futures Study: Operational Analysis of U.S. Power Systems with Increased Electrification and Demand-Side Flexibility

This report provides a high-resolution U.S. national-scale power systems assessment of scenarios with widespread electrification using detailed grid simulations. We find that high electrification scenarios envisioned in the Electrification Futures Study can be operated at the hourly level to meet future increased levels of electrified demand and, under the most aggressive cases, with up to 66% of generation from wind and solar technologies. The analysis also examines the value of flexibility from demand by supporting system operability under high electrification and high renewable systems. Demand-side flexibility—especially flexibility from newly electrified loads—is found to enhance the operational efficiency by reducing VRE curtailment and increasing utilization of generators with lower operating costs. It can also enhance the ability of electrification to decarbonize the energy sector.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2021

Storage Futures Study: Storage Technology Modeling Input Data Report

The Storage Futures Study (SFS) is a multiyear research project to explore the role and impact of energy storage in the evolving electricity sector of the United States. The SFS is designed to examine the potential impact of energy storage technology advancement on the deployment of utility-scale storage and the adoption of distributed storage, and the implications for future power system infrastructure investment and operations. This specific report synthesizes current and projected cost performance assumptions along with location availability for storage technologies through 2050 that will be used in scenario analysis for the SFS at both the bulk power and distribution system scales. For comparison and context, this report also presents a synthesis of current cost and performance characteristics of energy storage technologies for storage durations ranging from minutes to months and including mechanical, thermal, and electrochemical storage technologies for the electricity sector. This information is intended to cover a broad range of storage technologies that are currently receiving significant attention from the investment community as well as in the media. In the report, we emphasize that energy storage technologies must be described in terms of both their power (kilowatts [kW]) capacity and energy (kilowatt-hours [kWh]) capacity to assess their costs and potential use cases.

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DOE OSTI2021

Keystone Solar Future Project (KSFP)

The Keystone Solar Future Project (KSFP, also referred to as “Keystone Project” in the report) implements a cost-effective, secure, reliable, and safe technology platform that paves the way for future interconnected distributed energy resources (DER), creates a framework that enables high penetration of DER, and transforms the DER interconnection process. The project is important and necessary in a few aspects. First, the industry definition of Distributed Energy Resource Management System (DERMS) is not yet validated against field deployments and mostly implemented in small pilots relying on third party integration. Keystone project implements a direct plug and play communication to inverter based DER systems. Secondly, most interconnection application portal is not yet fully integrated with back-end system, thus lacks the capability to drive a complete and accurate modeling of DER assets into the planning and operational systems. Keystone project rolled out a fully integrated modeling process of DERs from interconnection to operational management. Lastly, customers were given an opportunity to learn about the advanced functions of the inverters and take full advantages of their benefits through participation in the pilot program. During the project, the technical effectiveness and economic feasibility of DER management were investigated and demonstrated in real life events and simulation studies. The project highlighted the importance of coordinated DER interconnection, installation and management with the rest of the distribution system.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2021

Disaggregating Future Retail Electricity Rate Growth [Slides]

Recent Berkeley Lab research found that modest retail rate increases over the past 10 years were mostly driven by large increases in capital expenditures (CapEx) that were offset in part by substantial wholesale price reductions. Decision-makers are increasingly concerned about the potential future rate impacts of a number of policies and industry trends that support rapid decarbonization, electrification, and grid modernization. Using historical FERC Form 1 data and the existing literature on policies and industry trends that are likely to affect utility-incurred costs and retail sales, Berkeley Lab researchers developed ranges of forecasted growth rates for cost-related rate drivers (i.e., fuel and purchased power; transmission, distribution, generation, and other categories of both non-fuel operations & maintenance and CapEx) and non-cost related rate drivers (i.e., retail sales, peak demand, and customers). These were then used as inputs to a pro-forma utility financial model (FINDER) that estimated the growth in retail electric rates between 2020 and 2030 for a prototypical vertically-integrated investor-owned utility in the United States. The analysis produced the following results: 1. Assuming average growth rates in all rate drivers, future retail rate growth is driven by sizable increases in all CapEx costs, where fuel and purchased power costs are replaced by generation CapEx as the largest rate component between 2020 and 2030. 2. Growth in sales/peak demand/customers, generation CapEx costs, and fuel and purchased power (FPP) costs, in isolation, produce the most uncertainty in rate growth. Specifically, a 1% increase in the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of retail sales, coincident peak demand (CP), and customers (Sales-CP-Cust) results in a 0.88-0.93% decrease in the CAGR of rates, in isolation. However, a 1% increase in the CAGR of generation CapEx budgets results in a 0.07-0.14% increase in the CAGR of rates, while a 1% increase in the CAGR of FPP costs causes a 0.10-0.14% increase in the CAGR of rates, all else being equal. 3. Taking into account the correlation and variability of the growth in all rate drivers jointly, generation CapEx is expected to be both the largest and most uncertain rate component by 2030 (20-25% share of the retail rate). Transmission and distribution CapEx, along with fuel and purchased power costs are each expected to comprise between 12% and 17% of retail rates.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗