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At least 973 records · Page 54

Impact of Wildfires on Solar Resource Availability in California in a Changing Climate

Wildfires can emit large amounts of atmospheric particulate matters and influence not only air quality but also availability of photovoltaic (PV) generation due to scattering and absorption of solar radiation. Under anthropogenic changing climate, wildfire activity is projected to increase over western North America due to drier and warmer climate, implying increasing impact on solar resource and larger uncertainty in solar generation especially in regions with faster PV penetration. This study focuses on quantifying the impact of wildfires on aerosol optical depth (AOD) and thus solar resource over California using National Solar Radiation Database (NSRDB), developed by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL). This assessment includes historical analysis and estimation of solar resource under wildfire scenarios (2020 wildfire and an enhanced wildfire scenario based on 2020 wildfires). Historical analysis for the period of July-October 2019/2020 (low/high fire activity period) shows that the averaged global horizontal irradiance (GHI) and direct normal irradiance (DNI) are reduced by about 30 and 90 W m-2 (5.6 and 15.3%), respectively, during high fire activity period. To create AOD dataset for enhanced fire scenario, 165% increase in burn area (in around 2050) is selected based on comprehensive literature review, which is further applied to the Fire INventory from NCAR (FINN) fire emission. WRF-Chem model with the enhanced FINN emissions is used to simulate and represent a preserving spatial distribution of burned areas and wildfire-emitted aerosols. Our initial analysis suggests that the"enhanced 2020 wildfire" AOD can increase by a factor of 1.3 - 2, which can significantly reduce solar irradiance and increase uncertainty in generation and reliability of power system in extreme wildfire events under a high solar penetration scenario. Overall, this study provides an estimate of the impacts of wildfires on solar resource to make informed decisions on reserve planning, generation scheduling, and reliability investments.

aerosol optical depth↗

Optimizing Hydride Stability in U-ZrH x Nuclear Fuel: The “Goldilocks Radius”

Nuclear-powered microreactors show great promise for opening new nuclear energy markets due to the flexibility offered by their rapid/streamlined in-factory fabrication, transportability, and self-regulating nature. The economic benefits of any commercialized nuclear reactor, however, rely on the system’s ability to produce large amounts of heat and efficiently convert that heat into electrical power reliably for long periods of time. Uranium-zirconium hydride (U-ZrH x ) is currently being considered for compact reactor designs because it is a well-known nuclear fuel system that is self-moderating, but this fuel, which has historically been used for research reactors, has not been optimized for commercial power production. Here, this paper analyzes the hydride stability of standard 304 stainless steel–clad U-ZrH x fuel under commercially relevant conditions. Fuel element design parameters, including physical dimensions, as-fabricated hydrogen content, burnup, peak fuel temperature, temperature gradient, operational fuel cycle duration, and volumetric heat generation rate, are discussed with a focus on hydrogen distribution and phase stability within the fuel element. Hydride stability declines more rapidly as the coolant temperature, burnup, and fuel cycle duration increase. Using a fuel-cladding gap material with heat transfer properties superior to air, such as helium or sodium, is essential to prolonging fuel hydride stability. The fuel’s physical dimensions are also important. At very small fuel diameters, the H/Zr ratio in the fuel meat decreases too rapidly due to the hydrogen content’s dependence on fuel meat volume. Conversely, the fuel meat temperature and temperature gradient exacerbate hydrogen loss at very large fuel diameters. We find that the most important parameter to consider when optimizing the hydride stability of U-ZrH x fuel is the relationship between the fuel meat radius and the power density in the fuel. A simple equation is empirically determined that relates the “Goldilocks radius,” that is, the fuel radius for which the H/Zr ratio is most stable, to the power density in the fuel.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Application of Mobile Energy Storage for Enhancing Power Grid Resilience: A Review

Natural disasters can lead to large-scale power outages, affecting critical infrastructure and causing social and economic damages. These events are exacerbated by climate change, which increases their frequency and magnitude. Improving power grid resilience can help mitigate the damages caused by these events. Mobile energy storage systems, classified as truck-mounted or towable battery storage systems, have recently been considered to enhance distribution grid resilience by providing localized support to critical loads during an outage. Compared to stationary batteries and other energy storage systems, their mobility provides operational flexibility to support geographically dispersed loads across an outage area. This paper provides a comprehensive and critical review of academic literature on mobile energy storage for power system resilience enhancement. As mobile energy storage is often coupled with mobile emergency generators or electric buses, those technologies are also considered in the review. Allocation of these resources for power grid resilience enhancement requires modeling of both the transportation system constraints and the power grid operational constraints. These aspects are discussed, along with a discussion on the cost–benefit analysis of mobile energy resources. The paper concludes by presenting research gaps, associated challenges, and potential future directions to address these challenges.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

2D k -th nearest neighbour statistics: a highly informative probe of galaxy clustering

ABSTRACT Beyond standard summary statistics are necessary to summarize the rich information on non-linear scales in the era of precision galaxy clustering measurements. For the first time, we introduce the 2D k-th nearest neighbour (kNN) statistics as a summary statistic for discrete galaxy fields. This is a direct generalization of the standard 1D kNN by disentangling the projected galaxy distribution from the redshift-space distortion signature along the line-of-sight. We further introduce two different flavours of 2D kNNs that trace different aspects of the galaxy field: the standard flavour which tabulates the distances between galaxies and random query points, and a ‘DD’ flavour that tabulates the distances between galaxies and galaxies. We showcase the 2D kNNs’ strong constraining power both through theoretical arguments and by testing on realistic galaxy mocks. Theoretically, we show that 2D kNNs are computationally efficient and directly generate other statistics such as the popular two-point correlation function (2PCF), voids probability function, and counts-in-cell statistics. In a more practical test, we apply the 2D kNN statistics to simulated galaxy mocks that fold in a large range of observational realism and recover parameters of the underlying extended halo occupation distribution (HOD) model that includes velocity bias and galaxy assembly bias. We find unbiased and significantly tighter constraints on all aspects of the HOD model with the 2D kNNs, both compared to the standard 1D kNN, and the classical redshift-space 2PCF.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Grid Edge Visibility: Gaps and a Road Map

Behind-The-Meter (BTM) resources at the grid edge are rapidly becoming an important component of the electric grid, requiring a substantial reconfiguration of traditional grid practices, such as policy changes, market redesign, and infrastructure upgrades. This adjustment is challenged by the fact that, by definition, grid edge elements are not easily observable by grid control entities. Increasing the visibility of these resources is therefore an important goal, one that is experiencing much research and discussion by various power system stakeholders. For example, policy makers are analyzing the tradeoffs of using grid edge meters to impose charges on grid edge electricity generation. System operators, such as the Midcontinent Independent System Operator (MISO) in the United States, can identify visibility information on the electrical location and the size of the grid edge resources as a critical consideration across the transmission-and-distribution (T&D) spectrum. This article summarizes the challenges and needs of grid entities resulting from the introduction of grid edge resources as well the gaps in the extant grid edge visibility frameworks.

behind-the-meter↗

Design and Operation of Energy Systems with Large Amounts of Variable Generation: IEA Wind TCP Task 25 (Final Summary Report)

This report summarizes findings on wind integration from the 17 countries or sponsors participating in the International Energy Agency Wind Technology Collaboration Program (IEA Wind TCP) Task 25 from 2006-2020. Both real experience and studies are reported. Many wind integration studies incorporate solar energy, and most of the results discussed here are valid for other variable renewables in addition to wind. The national case studies address several impacts of wind power on electric power systems. In this report, they are grouped under long-term planning issues and short-term operational impacts. Long-term planning issues include grid planning and capacity adequacy. Short-term operational impacts include reliability, stability, reserves, and maximizing the value of wind in operational timescales (balancing related issues). The first section presents the variability and uncertainty of power system-wide wind power, and the last section presents recent studies toward 100% shares of renewables. The appendix provides a summary of ongoing research in the national projects contributing to Task 25 for 2021-2024. The design and operation of power and energy systems is an evolving field. As ambitious targets toward net-zero carbon energy systems are announced globally, many scenarios are being made regarding how to reach these future decarbonized energy systems, most of them involving large amounts of variable renewables, mainly wind and solar energy. The secure operation of power systems is increasingly challenging, and the impacts of variable renewables, new electrification loads together with increased distribution system resources will lead to somewhat different challenges for different systems. Tools and methods to study future power and energy systems also need to evolve, and both short-term operational aspects (such as power system stability) and long-term aspects (such as resource adequacy) will probably see new paradigms of operation and design. The experience of operating and planning systems with large amounts of variable generation is accumulating, and research to tackle the challenges of inverter-based, nonsynchronous generation is on the way. Energy transition and digitalization also bring new flexibility opportunities, both short and long term.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Protection System Validation with Machine Learning Anomaly Classification

A poster for the Early Career Poster Session. Power system protection devices have transitioned over the past few decades from mechanical to analog devices, then to solid state and finally digital. Relays and their associated critical network of equipment have significantly increased in complexity. Even internally, relays have gained significant intricacy, with relatively simple overcurrent or differential functions now being assisted by a myriad of other functions. This is necessary as the grid becomes more complex, but it brings increased difficulty in monitoring and upkeep. Misoperation caused by improper relay settings or malicious actions is a constant challenge faced by all utilities. These improper settings can be difficult to identify and may require exhaustive post-mortem analysis, typically after a major outage event has already occurred. A mechanism is needed for monitoring the behavior of protection systems to validate that they act and perform as expected. This work presents a concept for a machine learning (ML) system capable of validating the performance of protection systems by classifying anomalous events and characterizing protection system responses based solely on available current and voltage measurements. As a first step in its development, an experimental dataset is generated, and a random forest model is implemented with high accuracy in distinguishing four power system scenarios.

24 - POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

An Investigation into the Effects of Swirl on the Performance and Emissions of an Opposed-Piston Two-Stroke Engine using Large Eddy Simulations

Opposed-piston two-stroke (OP-2S) engines have the potential to achieve higher thermal efficiency than a conventional four-stroke diesel engine. However, the uniflow scavenging process is difficult to control over a wider range of speed and loads due to its sensitivity to pressure dynamics, port timings, and port design. Specifically, the angle of the intake ports can be used to generate swirl which has implications for open and closed cycle effects. This study proposes an analysis of the effects of port angle on the in-cylinder flow distribution and combustion performance of an OP-2S using computational fluid dynamics engine. Large Eddy Simulation (LES) was used to model turbulence given its ability to predict in-cylinder mixing and cyclic variability. A three-cylinder model was validated to experimental data collected by Achates Power and the grid was verified using an LES quality approach from the literature. The model was used to simulate port angles from 12 to 29 degrees at constant pressure and temperature boundary conditions. Results indicated that the higher bulk swirl ratio generated by larger port angles tends to trap more internal residuals. This effect on the scavenging performance, combined with the larger trapped swirl ratio, also has a significant impact on the combustion performance in a two-stroke engine. It was concluded that there exists a tradeoff of efficiency and emissions that must be considered when increasing the port angle in a uniflow two-stroke engine. 1. Introduction Two-stroke engines were developed in the 1800s and are commonly used in practice today for lightweight power applications such as motorcycles or handheld power tools, as well as large-bore low speed engines for stationary power and marine applications. Two-stroke engines provide the distinct advantage of higher torque/power output but present challenges due to its coupled intake and exhaust process. Four-stroke engines have the benefit of using two full piston strokes to induct intake charge and to expel exhaust gases. Controlling the trapped charge composition in a twostroke engine via a scavenging process is crucial for reliable and efficient engine operation.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Creation of Synthetic Electric Grids (SPP/MISO) Supporting PERFORM (Final Report)

Over the course of the project, two “realistic but not real” synthetic transmission-level grid models over the SPP-MISO and ERCOT footprints were created to provide more realistic data and increase the reliability and resiliency of the grids under a variety of scenarios. The synthetic ERCOT transmission grid is compatible with the distribution grid developed in collaboration with NREL. All generators are based on the EIA 860 data and a column with EIA plant code and Gen ID is added to generators of both grids so that they can be easily mapped. The improvements are also made to electric grids including N-1 contingencies with some remedial actions, improving the transmission lines to avoid lines in lakes, including an HVDC line to the SPP-MISO case, providing several generator parameters and their temporal constraints that were not included in EIA 860 form, generators’ cost curves, load offer curves, adding phase shifters and tap changers with impedance correction tables, adding reactive power control and partitioning the grids into active and reactive reserve zones and determine different types of the required reserve for each zone. Hourly load time series at the bus level were generated to create scenarios for solving power flow in different loading conditions. Weather measurement information and the models of renewable generators are used to directly include the impact of weather on the grids. Based on a variety of load and weather conditions the grids are improved to accommodate different conditions. The ERCOT 7k-bus grids were also modeled for the year 2030 with predicted improvements in renewable resources. The renewable generation model was also improved with historic weather data included. The impact of electric vehicles on the ERCOT grid is also modeled.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

The Effect of Prosumer Duality on Power Market: The Effect of Market Regulation

Electricity prosumers are energy subsystems that not only consume, but also produce electricity. They are present in distribution level networks as traditional utility customers who have installed distributed energy resources. They are also present in transmission level networks as large conglomerates own both generation assets and large industrial loads. Previous work on the economics of prosumers has demonstrated that prosumers in a market have incentives to behave more competitively compared to producers and consumers in traditional markets. This paper further explores the behavior of prosumers and their response to market policies including the allocation of network losses and the impact of net metering. We extend a Cournot model of a dual prosumer and find that prosumers respond with higher supply quantities if network losses are allocated to demand base. They respond with lower supply quantities if network losses are allocated to supply base. Allocating network losses to demand base also causes equilibrium prices to decline. Markets where prosumers first satisfy their own load and then sell the balance of electricity to the grid have lower quantities and higher prices compared to markets where prosumers buy and sell at locational marginal price.

Tsybina, Eve↗

Emergency Voltage Regulation in Power Systems via Ripple-Type Control: Preprint

With increasing penetration of volatile renewable generation and cyber-physical disruptions, ensuring safe operation of bulk power systems has become unprecedentedly challenging. Since communication and computational costs restrict centralized system dispatch to be called upon every few minutes; and purely local schemes are shown to be insufficient, distributed controls have been advocated for handling unanticipated system conditions in real time. However, the applicability of distributed control schemes is fundamentally limited by their need for widespread communication and model cognizance. In this con-text, we put forth a hybrid low-communication saturation-driven protocol for the coordination of control agents that are distributed over a physical system and are allowed to communicate with peers over a ‘hotline’ communication network. Under this protocol, when agents observe a constraint violation based on local measurements, they respond locally until their control resources saturate, in which case they send a beacon for assistance to peer agents. The scheme ensures that minor violations are efficiently mitigated via fast local controls, while severe violations may be handled by a collaboration of a relatively small set of agents. We evaluate the performance of this scheme via extensive numerical tests on the IEEE 14-bus test feeder, where agents act upon noisy measurements under diverse scenarios of random load variations and severe low/high voltage events.

distributed control↗

Chapter 7: Learning Stable Local Volt/Var Controllers in Distribution Grids

This chapter describes a framework to synthesize provably stable local Volt/Var controllers for distributed energy resources (DERs) in power distribution grids (DGs). The goal is to control the reactive power injections of DERs to improve the system performance as quantified by a generic optimal reactive power flow (ORPF) problem. To achieve this, we jointly design for each DER the control function, which prescribes the reactive power update rule, and the equilibrium function, which approximates the ORPF solutions from local measurements of voltages and powers. We provide conditions on the equilibrium functions and the control parameters ensuring the stability of the closed-loop system. In particular, we discuss the trade-offs between each set of conditions accounting for practical considerations, like fully exploiting the DERs' generation capabilities and reducing the optimality gap. These conditions are then translated into learning constraints on the neural networks' parameters that are enforced in the training phase. We validate our framework with numerical simulations on the IEEE 37-bus network and through a comparison with an optimized version of standard piece wise linear control rules.

closed-loop asymptotic stability↗

Reinforcement Learning-based Output Structured Feedback for Distributed Multi-Area Power System Frequency Control

Load frequency control (LFC) is a key factor to maintain the stable frequency in multi-area power systems. As the modern power systems evolve from centralized to decentralized paradigm, LFC needs to consider the decentralized scheme that considers limited information from the information-exchange graph for the generator control of each interconnected area. This paper aims to solve a data-driven constrained LQR problem with mean-variance risk constraints and output structured feedback, and applies this framework to solve the LFC problem in multi-area power systems. By reformulating the constrained optimization problem into a minimax problem, the stochastic gradient descent max-oracle (SGDmax) algorithm with zero-order policy gradient (ZOPG) is adopted to find the optimal feedback gain from the learning, while guaranteeing the convergence. In addition, to improve the adaptation of the proposed learning method to new or varying models, we construct an emulator grid that approximates the dynamics of a physical grid and performs training based on this model. Once the feedback gain is obtained from the emulator grid, it is applied to the physical grid with a robustness test to check whether the controller from the approximated emulator applies to the actual system. Numerical tests show that the obtained feedback controller can successfully control the frequency of each area, while mitigating the uncertainty from the loads, with reliable robustness that ensures the adaptability of the obtained feedback gain to the actual physical grid.

Kwon, Kyung-bin↗

Layered Coordination Architecture for Resilient Restoration of Power Distribution Systems

The current practices for restoring critical services in the distribution system during a disaster, align with the traditional centralized ideology of distribution systems operations. A central processor evaluates the distribution system after a disruption and attains a restoration plan. However, the centralized operational paradigm is susceptible to single-point failures, requires full situational awareness of the distribution system, and poses scalability challenges for large multifeeder distribution systems. This motivates a distributed decision-making paradigm where multiple agents solve smaller subproblems and jointly coordinate their individual decisions to achieve the global/network-level objective. Toward this goal, we propose a layered architecture for distributed algorithms for resilience and a two-stage distributed algorithm for distribution system restoration. The proposed distributed decision-making framework enables the bottom-up restoration of the distribution system using all available resources, including distributed generation, while only requiring local awareness and limited communications with neighboring connected regions. The proposed framework is robust to single-point failures, enables autonomy using distributed algorithms, and had reduced computational cost compared to centralized optimization solutions.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Probing and Tuning Strain‐Localized Exciton Emission in 2D Material Bubbles at Room Temperature

In monolayer transition metal dichalcogenides bubbles-nanoscale deformations typically exhibiting a dome-like shape-Excitons are confined by the strain effect, which exhibits extraordinary emission properties, such as single photon generation, enhanced light emission, and spectrally tunable excitonic states. While the strain profiles of these bubbles are extensively studied, this work provides an approach 1) to directly visualize the associated exciton properties in bubbles formed in WSe2 monolayer, revealing an intrinsic emission wavelength shift of ≈40 nm, and 2) actively modify local strain, enabling further exciton emission tuning over a range of 50 nm. These are achieved by emission mapping and nanoindentation using a dielectric near-field probe, which enables the detection of local emission spectra and emission lifetimes within individual bubbles. Statistical analysis of 67 bubbles uncovers an emission wavelength distribution centered around 780 nm. Furthermore, saturation behavior in the power-dependent studies and the associated lifetime change reveal the localized nature of the strain-induced states. These findings provide direct insights into the strain-localized emission dynamics in bubbles and establish a robust framework for non-destructive, reversible, and predictable nanoscale emission control, presenting a potential avenue for developing next-generation tunable quantum optical sources.

2D materials bubbles↗

What Role Do Aggregators Play in Power System Security and Resilience?

Barriers to the participation of distributed energy resources (DERs) in wholesale electricity markets have limited the use of DERs for power system security and resilience. In September 2020, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) approved an order to reduce these barriers. FERC Order No. 2222 enables the participation of DER aggregators in wholesale electricity markets. DERs include renewable generation and technologies that support the integration of renewable generation by increasing grid flexibility and resilience. Requiring wholesale energy markets to allow DER aggregator participation provides a path for DERs to become competitive in these markets. As the contribution from aggregated DERs continues to increase, the aggregator's role in supporting grid security and resilience will become more critical. This paper reviews work that demonstrates how DER aggregators can provide resilience support through technical capabilities, operational strategies, and secure communication architectures. Socioeconomic influences and impacts of aggregators, including implications for social resilience, are presented. In surveying the current state-of-the-art across different but interconnected topics, we illustrate how aggregators can be power system participants that enhance grid security. There is no one-size-fits-all approach to enhancing resilience in a power grid that includes a growing cohort of DER aggregators, but there are many options for aggregators to contribute to a more resilient and secure power grid.

aggregator↗

Using probabilistic solar power forecasts to inform flexible ramp product procurement for the California ISO

How can independent system operators (ISOs) take advantage of probabilistic solar forecasts to lower generation costs and improve reliability of power systems? We discuss one three-step approach for doing so, focusing on how such forecasts might help the California Independent System Operator (CAISO) prepare unexpected net load ramps, where net load equals gross demand minus wind and solar production. First, we enhance an existing solar forecasting system to provide well-calibrated hours-ahead probabilistic forecasts. We then relate the degree of uncertainty reflected in the forecasted prediction intervals (independent variables) to error distributions for net load ramp forecasts for the CAISO real-time market (dependent variable) using machine learning and quantile regression. Projected ramp forecast errors conditioned on solar uncertainty are translated into flexible ramp requirements that therefore reflect real-time meteorological and solar conditions, improving on typical ISO procedures. Detailed descriptions are provided on the quantile regression and kth-nearest neighbor categorization methods for accomplishing that translation. Finally, a multiple time-scale look-ahead market simulation model is applied to a 118-bus IEEE Reliability Test System, modified to represent the CAISO generation mix and demand distributions. The model runs quantify how solar-conditioned ramp requirements can, first, decrease operating costs by reducing requirements compared to often conservative unconditional methods and, second, decrease generation scarcity events and consequently improve reliability by increasing flexibility requirements at times when unconditional forecast-based requirements understate actual ramp uncertainty. Solar-conditioned ramp requirements are found to reduce generation operating costs by about 2% for the test system (which would be equivalent to over $\$100$ million per year for a CAISO-size system).

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Smart-DS: Synthetic Models for Advanced, Realistic Testing: Distribution Systems and Scenarios

The explosion of new ideas for distributed energy resources and advanced distribution grid algorithms faces a critical challenge: how can one effectively develop and evaluate these breakthrough technologies without an adequate set of power systems network, load, and resource data to test against? Today's open test systems, particularly for distribution systems, are tiny and incomplete; and though with enough effort, obtaining utility data under NDA can overcome scale challenges, the results can't be openly shared, preventing fair comparison. The Smart-DS project-led by NREL in partnership with MIT, Universidad Pontificia Comillas, CYME, and EDD-is working to overcome this gap by generating multiple large-scale, open, synthetic, distribution systems that are realistic but not real. These datasets go beyond a single medium voltage feeder (~1000 customers) to cover entire metropolitan areas and their surrounds with up to hundreds of feeders and millions of customers, complete with low voltage customer connections and high voltage sub-transmission. This scale allows adequate testing and analysis of not just local controls and advanced DERs, but also multiple substation interactions, optimized switching, full-scale distribution-OPF, and more. To accompany these datasets, the project is also building a rich set of scenario generation tools that can be used for distribution and transmission systems alike. This includes automated, spatially aware access to world-class, high-resolution solar, wind, and weather data: forward looking generation mixes: and highly configurable DER, load, climate, outage, control-scheme, and other scenarios. We will also highlight DiTTo, an exciting open-source, multi-way distribution dataset transformation tool for many-to-many format translation with scenario, merge/split, and many other manipulation capabilities.

DERs↗