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At least 973 records · Page 54

Benchmarking Soft Sensors for Remote Monitoring of On-Site Wastewater Treatment Plants

On-site wastewater treatment plants (OSTs) are usually unattended, so failures often remain undetected and lead to prolonged periods of reduced performance. To stabilize the performance of unattended plants, soft sensors could expose faults and failures to the operator. In a previous study, we developed soft sensors and showed that soft sensors with data from unmaintained physical sensors can be as accurate as soft sensors with data from maintained ones. The monitored variables were pH and dissolved oxygen (DO), and soft sensors were used to predict nitrification performance. In the present study, we use synthetic data and monitor three plants to test these soft sensors. We find that a long solids retention time and a moderate aeration rate improve the pH soft-sensor accuracy and that the aeration regime is the main operational parameter affecting the accuracy of the DO soft sensor. We demonstrate that integrated design of monitoring and control is necessary to achieve robustness when extrapolating from one OST to another in the absence of plant-specific fine-tuning. Additionally, we provide a unique labeled dataset for further feature and data-driven soft-sensor development. Our benchmarking results indicate that it is feasible to monitor OSTs with unmaintained sensors and without plant-specific tuning of the developed soft sensors. This is expected to drastically reduce monitoring costs for OST-based sanitation systems.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Quantified limits of the nuclear landscape

The chart of the nuclides is limited by particle drip lines beyond which nuclear stability to proton or neutron emission is lost. Predicting the range of particle-bound isotopes poses an appreciable challenge for nuclear theory as it involves extreme extrapolations of nuclear masses well beyond the regions where experimental information is available. Still, quantified extrapolations are crucial for a wide variety of applications, including the modeling of stellar nucleosynthesis. We use microscopic nuclear global mass models, current mass data, and Bayesian methodology to provide quantified predictions of proton and neutron separation energies as well as Bayesian probabilities of existence throughout the nuclear landscape all the way to the particle drip lines. Here, we apply nuclear density functional theory with several energy density functionals. We also consider two global mass models often used in astrophysical nucleosynthesis simulations. To account for uncertainties, Bayesian Gaussian processes are trained on the separation-energy residuals for each individual model, and the resulting predictions are combined via Bayesian model averaging. This framework allows to account for systematic and statistical uncertainties and propagate them to extrapolative predictions. We establish and characterize the drip-line regions where the probability that the nucleus is particle- bound decreases from 1 to 0. In these regions, we provide quantified predictions for one- and two-nucleon separation energies. According to our Bayesian model averaging analysis, 7759 nuclei with Z ≤ 119 have a probability of existence ≥ 0.5. The extrapolation results obtained in this study will be put through stringent tests when new experimental information on existence and masses of exotic nuclei becomes available. In this respect, the quantified landscape of nuclear existence obtained in this study should be viewed as a dynamical prediction that will be fine-tuned when new experimental information and improved global mass models become available.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Reliable IR Line Lists for N2O and OCS Isotopologues for High Temperature Applications up to 2000 K

To address the needs of planetary and exoplanetary atmosphere studies towards JWST, HWO and future IR astronomy missions, theoretical IR line lists of Carbonyl Sulfide (OCS) and Nitrous Oxide (N2O) are generated to provide complete, reliable, and consistent IR reference data in the range of 0 - 15,000 cm-1, or wavelength longer than 0.67 Å, for temperature up to 2000 K. The line lists are quantum mechanically computed using spectroscopically accurate potential energy surfaces empirically refined with reliable high-resolution experimental data, and high-quality dipole moment surfaces constructed at CCSD(T) level with aug-cc-pVT/Q/5(+d)Z basis and extrapolations to complete basis set limit. The Ames N2O line list includes the primary isotopologue 14N2 16O (denoted "446") with J=0-210 and E' up to 25,000 cm-1, and 11 minor isotopologues of 15N and 17/18O with J=0-150 and lower E' cutoffs. For OCS, Ames "natural" 296 K line list includes 12 most abundant isotopologues. The intensity contribution of OCS minor isotopologues at higher temperature is non-negligible, e.g., 8.6 ± 4.9% at 1000 K. The 16O12C32S (93.7%) and 16O12C34S (4.2%) transitions are computed with J=0-240 and E'< 22,000 cm-1, plus J=0-150 and E' < 16,000 cm-1 for five more minor isotopologues. Reliable Effective Hamiltonian models (e.g., NOSL-296 for 14N2 16O), experimental data collections, and reliable HITRAN or MARVEL levels are combined with quantum rovibrational calculations to deliver accurate and consistent empirical corrections for line positions. The reliability and accuracy of our IR intensity predictions are demonstrated by comparison with available databases, line lists, and experiments, at both room temperature and at high temperature. The line lists will be freely available to public online at ZENODO and NAS data portal. We acknowledge the financial support from NASA XRP and APRA programs.

Planetary↗

Ta, Ti and Hf effects on Nb 3 Sn high-field performance: temperature-dependent dopant occupancy and failure of Kramer extrapolation

The increasing demand for improving the high-field (16-22 T) performance of Nb 3 Sn conductors requires a better understanding of the properties of modern wires much closer to irreversibility field, H Irr . In this study we investigated the impact of Ta, Ti and Hf doping on the high-field pinning properties, the upper critical field, H c2 , and H Irr . We found that the pinning force curves of commercial Ti and Ta doped wires at different temperatures do not scale and that the Kramer extrapolation, typically used by magnet designers to estimate high-field critical current density and magnet operational margins from lower field data, is not reliable and significantly overestimates the actual H Irr . In contrast, new laboratory scale conductors made with Nb-Ta-Hf alloy have improved high-field J c performance and, despite contributions by both grain boundary and point defect pinning mechanisms, have more predictable high-field behavior. Using Extended X-ray Absorption Fine Structure spectroscopy, EXAFS, we found that for the commercial Ta and Ti doped conductors, the Ta site occupancy in the A15 structure gradually changes with the heat treatment temperature whereas Ti is always located on the Nb site with clear consequences for H c2 . Finally, this work reveals the still limited understanding of what determines H c2 , H Irr and the high-field J c performance of Nb 3 Sn and the complexity of optimizing these conductors so that they can reach their full potential for high-field applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Some remarks about simulation of cosmic ray phenomena with use of nuclear interaction models based on the current SPS proton-antiproton data

The x-y controversy is studied by introducing models with as many features (except for x and y distributions) in common, as possible, to avoid an extrapolation problem, only primary energies of 500 TeV are considered. To prove the point, Monte Carlo simulations are performed of EAS generated by 500 TeV vertical primary protons. Four different nuclear interaction models were used. Two of them are described elsewhere. Two are: (1) Model M-Y00 - with inclusive x and y distributions behaving in a scaling way; and (2) Model M-F00 - at and below ISR energies (1 TeV in Lab) exactly equivalent to the above, then gradually changing to provide the distributions in rapidity at 155 TeV as given by SPS proton-antiproton. This was achieved by gradual decrease in the scale unit in x distributions of produced secondaries, as interaction energy increases. Other modifications to the M-Y00 model were made.

Wrotniak, J. A.↗

Eta-Sub-Earth Projection from Kepler Data

Outline of talk: (1) The Kepler database (2) Biases (3) The radius distribution (4) The period distribution (5) Projecting from the sam ple to the population (6) Extrapolating the period distribution (7) The Habitable Zone (8) Calculating the number of terrestrial, HZ plan ets (10) Conclusions

habitable zone↗

Intelligent Prediction of States in Multi-port Autonomous Reconfigurable Solar power plant (MARS)

In power electronics, prediction of states may be used for identification of faults, determination of aging of components, identification of bad data measurements, among others. Prediction of states in power electronics have broadly been based on: (a) physics-based models, (b) data-driven models, and (c) hybrid models. In this paper, data-driven approaches are presented for intelligent prediction of states in multi-port autonomous reconfigurable solar power plant (MARS) and compared. The data-set needed to train the data-driven models based on artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms has been identified and the trained models are evaluated under different extrapolated normal and abnormal operating conditions. The AI algorithms include nonlinear auto-regressive exogenous model (NARX), spiking neural networks (SNN), and decision tree. The models are compared and contrasted. The best model (NARX) is evaluated under different normal and abnormal operating conditions that have indicated accurate prediction.

Debnath, Suman↗

Advancing Multiscale Simulation of Plasma-Surface Interfaces

We report the development of an atomistic-informed, surface-state-dependent predictive model for particle exchange in a carbon-tungsten plasma-surface interface. The predictive model uses machine learning (ML) techniques to learn the energy and angular distributions for particle exchange and rate functions for surface state evolution from molecular dynamics simulations of cumulative bombardment of tungsten by energetic carbon ions. Each predictive component is sensitive to the energy and trajectory of incident plasma species and the surface state. The surface state is represented by a set of surface state descriptors, which were derived from the atomistic surface state for each independent carbon bombardment event. These descriptors are representative of the composition and degree of amorphization of the outermost angstrom of surface material and were chosen to optimize predictive performance for particle exchange at the interface. The distributions for particle exchange (reflection/sputtering) are demonstrated to vary with each surface state descriptor, motivating the development of surface-state-dependent particle exchange models for plasma simulations. The performance of various ML methods was compared, including polynomial quantile regression, artificial neural networks, k-nearest neighbors, and random forest algorithms, with polynomial regression performing the best for interpolation and extrapolation of learned relationships. In addition to the particle exchange model, a neutral network was developed and used to identify data sufficiency throughout surface descriptor space, which will enable real-time feedback during future data production to ensure data is produced where it is most needed, and we provide commentary on improvements to the data production workflow for future endeavors.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Evaluation of digitally corrected ERTS imagery

Utilizing all digital processing techniques, precision rectified ERTS multispectral imagery have been produced. Precision geometric correction is accomplished by: (1) utilizing a low order piecewise approximation to the image distortions; (2) incorporating spacecraft attitude refinement derived from ground control points utilized in a Kalman filter; (3) utilizing interpolation techniques which preserve value and slope continuity in the image data. Imagery produced is represented in a UTM projection, and has been evaluated for precision by statistical and analytical methods. Extrapolations to modest size computers indicate good throughput with no sacrifice in precision.

Rifman, S. S.↗

Critical flow and pressure ratio data for LOX flowing through nozzles

LOX and LN2 data for two-phase critical flow through nozzles have been acquired with precision control. The principal measured parameters were inlet conditions, critical flow rate and critical flow pressure ratio. The data conclusively demonstrate that the principle of corresponding states can be applied to two-phase choked flow through nozzles. These data also demonstrate that the proper normalizing parameters have been developed and current theories can provide an adequate means for extrapolating to other fluids.

Hendricks, R. C.↗

Divergence study of a high-aspect ratio, forward-swept wing

An experimental wind-tunnel study to determine the divergence characteristics of a high-aspect ratio, forward-swept wing has been conducted in the NASA Langley Research Center (LaRC) Transonic Dynamics Tunnel (TDT). The rectangular wing used for this study had a panel aspect ratio of 9.16 (lambda = 0 deg.) and the sweep angle could be set at lambda = 0 deg., -15 deg., -30 deg., -45 deg., or -60 deg. A rectangular wing tip shape was tested at each of these sweep angles. In addition, a tip shape parallel to the freestream flow was tested for a wing sweep angle of lambda = -45 deg. The root of the wing was cantilever mounted to the wall of the wind tunnel. Divergence conditions were measured at M = 0.4 for each sweep angle and tip configuration tested. Subcritical response techniques were used to extrapolate to the divergence conditions during the wind-tunnel test. The primary objective of this test was to obtain data which could be used to verify for this configuration the divergence prediction capability of an aeroelastic analysis code. Subsonic lifting surface theory (kernel function) aerodynamics are utilized by this particular code. The analytical predictions of divergence were found to be significantly conservative at all forward sweep angles. At lambda = -45 deg., the analysis was 14 percent conservative. The effect of the two tip shapes on the divergence dynamic pressure was predicted accurately by the analysis. The divergence condition for the tip shape parallel to the flow occurred at a dynamic pressure 14 percent higher than the divergence condition with a rectangular tip shape.

Cole, S. R.↗

Evidence for Phanerozoic reactivation of the Najd Fault System in AVHRR, TM, and SPOT images of central Arabia

SPOT stereoscopic and TM multispectral images support evidence in AVHRR thermal-IR images of a major unmapped shear zone in Phanerozoic cover rocks southeast of the ancient Najd Fault System in the Arabian Shield. This shear zone and faults of the Najd share a common alignment, orientation, and sinistral sense of movement. These similarities suggest a 200-km extension of the Najd Fault System and reactivation since it formed in the late Precambrian. Topographic and lithologic features in the TM and SPOT data along one of three faults inferred from the AVHRR data indicate sinistral offsets up to 2.5 km, en echelon folds and secondary faults like those predicted by models of left-lateral strike-slip faulting. The age of the affected outcrops indicates reactivation of Najd faults in the Cretaceous, judging from TM and SPOT data or in the Tertiary, based on AVHRR data. The total length of the system visible at the surface measures 1300 km. If the Najd Fault System is extrapolated beneath sands of the Empty Quarter to faults of a similar trend in South Yemen, the shear zone would span the Arabian Plate. Furthermore, if extensions into the Arabian Sea bed and into Egypt proposed by others are considered, it would exceed 3000 km.

Andre, Constance G.↗

On the Choice of Variable for Atmospheric Moisture Analysis

The implications of using different control variables for the analysis of moisture observations in a global atmospheric data assimilation system are investigated. A moisture analysis based on either mixing ratio or specific humidity is prone to large extrapolation errors, due to the high variability in space and time of these parameters and to the difficulties in modeling their error covariances. Using the logarithm of specific humidity does not alleviate these problems, and has the further disadvantage that very dry background estimates cannot be effectively corrected by observations. Relative humidity is a better choice from a statistical point of view, because this field is spatially and temporally more coherent and error statistics are therefore easier to obtain. If, however, the analysis is designed to preserve relative humidity in the absence of moisture observations, then the analyzed specific humidity field depends entirely on analyzed temperature changes. If the model has a cool bias in the stratosphere this will lead to an unstable accumulation of excess moisture there. A pseudo-relative humidity can be defined by scaling the mixing ratio by the background saturation mixing ratio. A univariate pseudo-relative humidity analysis will preserve the specific humidity field in the absence of moisture observations. A pseudorelative humidity analysis is shown to be equivalent to a mixing ratio analysis with flow-dependent covariances. In the presence of multivariate (temperature-moisture) observations it produces analyzed relative humidity values that are nearly identical to those produced by a relative humidity analysis. Based on a time series analysis of radiosonde observed-minus-background differences it appears to be more justifiable to neglect specific humidity-temperature correlations (in a univariate pseudo-relative humidity analysis) than to neglect relative humidity-temperature correlations (in a univariate relative humidity analysis). A pseudo-relative humidity analysis is easily implemented in an existing moisture analysis system, by simply scaling observed-minus background moisture residuals prior to solving the analysis equation, and rescaling the analyzed increments afterward.

Dee, Dick P.↗

The UV to Near-IR Optical Properties of PAHs: A Semi-Empirical Model

Interstellar Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbon (PAH) infrared emission features represent an important and unique diagnostic tool of the chemical and physical conditions throughout the universe. However, one challenge facing the widely accepted PAH emission model has been the detection of infrared features in regions of low UV flux. Utilizing recently published laboratory Near Infrared VIR) PAH ion absorption data measured in our laboratory, we build upon previous models for PAH ion absorption in the UV-Vis to extrapolate a new model which incorporates PAH ion absorption in the NIR. This model provides a basis for comparing the relative energy absorption of PAH ions in the UV-Vis and NIR regions for a wide variety of stellar types. This model demonstrates that the radiation from late-type stars can pump the mid-IR PAH features.

Mattioda, A. L.↗

A Technology Pathway for Airbreathing, Combined-Cycle, Horizontal Space Launch Through SR-71 Based Trajectory Modeling

Access to space is in the early stages of commercialization. Private enterprises, mainly under direct or indirect subsidy by the government, have been making headway into the LEO launch systems infrastructure, of small-weight-class payloads of approximately 1000 lbs. These moderate gains have emboldened the launch industry and they are poised to move into the middle-weight class (roughly 5000 lbs). These commercially successful systems are based on relatively straightforward LOX-RP, two-stage, bi-propellant rocket technology developed by the government 40 years ago, accompanied by many technology improvements. In this paper we examine a known generic LOX-RP system with the focus on the booster stage (1st stage). The booster stage is then compared to modeled Rocket-Based and Turbine-Based Combined Cycle booster stages. The air-breathing propulsion stages are based on/or extrapolated from known performance parameters of ground tested RBCC (the Marquardt Ejector Ramjet) and TBCC (the SR-71/J-58 engine) data. Validated engine models using GECAT and SCCREAM are coupled with trajectory optimization and analysis in POST-II to explore viable launch scenarios using hypothetical aerospaceplane platform obeying the aerodynamic model of the SR-71. Finally, and assessment is made of the requisite research technology advances necessary for successful commercial and government adoption of combined-cycle engine systems for space access.

Kloesel, Kurt J.↗

Enhancing Remote Sensing Based Yield Forecasting: Application to Winter Wheat in United States

Accurate and timely crop yield forecasts are critical for making informed agricultural policies and investments, as well as increasing market efficiency and stability. In Becker-Reshef et al. (2010) and Franch et al. (2015) we developed an empirical generalized model for forecasting winter wheat yield. In this study we present a new model based on the extrapolation of the pure wheat signal (100 percent of wheat within the pixel) from MODIS (Moderate-resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) data at 1-kilometer resolution and using the Difference Vegetation Index (DVI). The model has been applied to monitor the national and state level yield of winter wheat in the United States from 2001 to 2016.

Agriculture↗

High-Throughput Electric-Field-Assisted Sintering and Characterization Techniques for Materials Discovery

Despite improvements in computing and modeling capabilities, the performance of new materials, particularly those which deviate greatly in composition from well-studied materials (e.g., high-entropy alloys), can be difficult to simulate given the lack of available experimental property data. While some modeling techniques may attempt to predict the properties of these exotic materials, most are forced to make extrapolations from more traditional materials. To fulfill the need for accelerated material synthesis and property measurement, a high-throughput methodology has been developed. Utilizing electric-field-assisted sintering (EFAS), also known as spark plasma sintering (SPS), equipped with custom tooling, samples of differing alloy compositions can be produced simultaneously as a single alloy array. Several arrays have been produced with compositions spanning the Co-Cr-Fe-Mn-Ni alloy family, including many high-entropy alloys, while the novel array geometry has enabled the samples to be polished and characterized in parallel, using X-ray diffraction, scanning-electron microscopy, and laser-based thermal diffusivity measurements.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Deep glassy state dynamic data challenge glass models: Elastic models

The idea of an “ideal” glass transition temperature has persisted at least since the work from Kauzmann when it was observed that the entropy of glass-forming liquids extrapolated to below that of the crystal, thus suggesting the need for a phase transition at a finite or non-zero absolute temperature. This thermodynamic paradox was also found to be related to the observations of a diverging of the extrapolated viscosity or relaxation times at a temperature near to this ideal glass transition. Recently, however, we have carried out experiments using both an ancient amber material and an ultra-stable amorphous fluoropolymer that challenge the ideas of the divergence of the viscosity or relaxation times at this ideal glass transition. In the present manuscript we have evaluated two theories of the glass transition that are based on ideas related to elasticity of the amorphous glass-forming material. We find that the models from both J. Dyre and his group and of K.S. Schweizer and his group not only show non-diverging behavior but are also in some agreement with the new data, though still showing somewhat slower dynamics than those observed in the experiments. The work shows that the data are good enough to distinguish between theories and it is suggested that other mechanisms may be needed to fully describe the non-diverging responses of the ultra-stable glasses.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗