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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Flexible Data and Frame Synchronization Structure for the LunaNet PNT Signal

A LunaNet Lunar Augmented Navigation Service (LANS) is being developed to enable a position, navigation, and timing service for future Lunar operations [1]. The signal includes two components. An in-phase data channel signal is spread by a 1.023 MCPS ranging code that provides a high-rate data message at 250 bps and is encoded by a strong Low Density Parity Check (LDPC) code. A pilot channel with a 5.115 MCPS spreading code is also provided. The pilot code is configured with a secondary (overlay) code that does not currently provide absolute time or frame Synchronization as is the case for L1C [2] [3]. This work shows the advantage of implementing an overlay structure that provides absolute time for the LunaNet LANS signal structure known as the Augmented Forward Signal (AFS). The LunaNet AFS structure was developed to service two classes of user receivers. The first class is a low-complexity user receiver that only receives the 1.023 MCPS signal and does not use the 5.115 MCPS pilot channel. For this class of user, a data frame Sync word is needed. The second class of receiver is a high-end receiver that can processes both data and pilot channels to take advantage of the higher chip rate pilot channel for enhanced robustness and improved accuracy. In the current draft LunaNet LANS AFS design, these users must employ the frame Sync word in the data channel and obtain absolute time after decoding the AFS navigation message [2]. The signal structure would greatly benefit from the addition of a pilot overlay structure that provides absolute time and robust frame Sync for high-end users as done for L1C [3]. To provide a more robust and interoperable AFS structure, this work summarizes a study and recommends alternatives for a new overlay code on the pilot channel that provides absolute time and a Sync word approach on the data channel. The overlay code and Sync word are designed to allow for flexible and robust data synchronization for both low- complexity and high-end user receivers. The new overlay code structure permits frame synchronization performance that is as good as or better than the L1 C signal, while enabling a determination of absolute time upon frame Sync to aid high-end assisted LANS AFS user receivers at low signal to noise levels. We also present the design of rate-matched 5G new radio (5GNR) LDPC codes that fit within the current 6000-symbol frame size along with a time of interval (TOI) word, frame ID (FID) word, and the remaining LunaNet AFS data message blocks. The paper describes and demonstrates robust frame Synchronization performance of the overlay code and Synch word approaches. The results are described in terms of probability of missed detection and probability of false alarm for a correct frame Synchronization at low Eb/No levels expected for decoding the TOI word and LDPC encoded data. Advantages of the proposed data Synchronization structure will be described along with use cases for low-end and high-end receivers. Practical implementation considerations will also be described.

Philip Dafesh↗
DOE OSTI2024

EVs@Scale Lab Consortium High-Power Charging Pillar Deep-Dive Technical Meeting

Managed under the the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)-funded EVs@Scale Consortium, the High-Power Electric Vehicle Charging Hub Integration Platform (eCHIP) project aims to create an experimental platform for integration and control approaches in a direct current (DC), distribution-based high-power charging (HPC) system. The eCHIP project addresses the crucial need to design and validate efficient, low-cost, reliable, and interoperable solutions for a DC-coupled charging hub ("DC hub" for short). This report explains the design, development, and implementation process of an experimental platform for the DC hub. DC distribution holds significant potential for enhancing the operation of an HPC station architecture. However, there are challenges in establishing a DC hub, including interoperability, commoditization, distributed energy resource integration, stability, DC protection, and a lack of common system-level controllers. To address these challenges, a testing setup is required that accommodates commercial off-the-shelf (COTS) products, as well as novel, in-house designed solutions, to evaluate different use cases at rated power and voltage levels. The developed proof-of-concept charging platform and open-source SEMS allow the development and testing of various controllers and chargers from different vendors. The DC hub platform integrated EVs, an ESS, a PV system, and building load to demonstrate the flexibility of the platform. The open-source SEMS controlled the devices within the hub using a rule-based implementation, realizing available standards.

ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Trust Not Verify? The Critical Need for Data Curation Standards in Materials Informatics

The importance of data curation has been recognized in multiple areas of research; however, the discussion of this important issue is only beginning to emerge in materials science. In this Perspective, we highlight the benefits of using the standardized data curation protocols in materials science and discuss current gaps in accurate and reproducible data reporting using case studies drawn from high-impact materials science papers and well-known databases such as the Crystallography Open Database (COD) and the Cambridge Structural Database (CSD). We argue that both experimental and computational materials scientists need to embrace a culture of rigorous data curation as part of modern research data management. We propose a sample data curation pipeline for materials chemistry and illustrate its use by creating two new materials chemistry databases. Here, we hope that this perspective will serve to catalyze further discussion and promote the continuous development of rigorous data curation practices within the materials science research community. We posit that adherence to best practices of data curation will promote and enhance the reliability, reproducibility, and integrity of materials research and enable the development of reliable AI and machine learning models that critically depend on the use of quality data.

Chemical structure↗
NASA NTRS2004

Modeling and Composing Scenario-Based Requirements with Aspects

There has been significant recent interest, within the Aspect-Oriented Software Development (AOSD) community, in representing crosscutting concerns at various stages of the software lifecycle. However, most of these efforts have concentrated on the design and implementation phases. We focus in this paper on representing aspects during use case modeling. In particular, we focus on scenario-based requirements and show how to compose aspectual and non-aspectual scenarios so that they can be simulated as a whole. Non-aspectual scenarios are modeled as UML sequence diagram. Aspectual scenarios are modeled as Interaction Pattern Specifications (IPS). In order to simulate them, the scenarios are transformed into a set of executable state machines using an existing state machine synthesis algorithm. Previous work composed aspectual and non-aspectual scenarios at the sequence diagram level. In this paper, the composition is done at the state machine level.

Araujo, Joao↗
NASA NTRS2014

MARGInS: Model-Based Analysis of Realizable Goals in Systems

Under NASAs Constellation effort, the Exploration Technology Development Program funded research toward a system validation capability that applied machine learning and test-case generation techniques to the analysis of black-box system behavior. The behavior analysis capability scaled to spaces of hundreds of input parameters and tens of thousands of test cases. Aerospace systems at the vehicle level, especially those systems which contain some level of autonomy, are best described by hybrid and non-linear mathematics. Even simplified models of such systems need parameter dimensionalities in the hundreds or thousands of parameters in order to capture sufficient fidelity. The System Safety Assessments (such as those described in the SAE ARP 4761A Safety Assessment Process guidelines) for these systems are prone to errorinteractions between the vehicles subsystems are complex, and can display emergent behaviors. NASA captured this new analysis in the Model-based Analysis of Realizable Goals in Systems (MARGInS) tool and applied it to the Pad Abort 1 (PA-1) simulation as part of the independent validation and verification cycle before the PA-1 flight test in May of 2010. MARGInS evaluated the adherence of the high-fidelity simulation to its requirements, and deter- mined the margins to failure from the expected nominal input conditions. Following the PA-1 test, the capabilities within the MARGInS framework have been extended with sophisticated statistical and white-box test case generation techniques and applied to other NASA missions. The frame- work now includes a critical factors analysis that was applied to NASAs Orion simulation and design. NASAs Aeronautics Research Mission Directorate (ARMD) leveraged the existing MARGInS framework for work on aviation safety for civil transport vehicles and for research on autonomy issues. The NASA ARMD effort created a time series output prediction capability that has been used to characterize trajectories for a plane with an adaptive control system, and a safety boundary detection capability that has been applied to an air traffic control concept of operation for the Federal Aviation Administration. The statistical and machine- learning based techniques within MARGInS have been successfully combined with concolic execution to improve the coverage of a critical unit by driving system-level inputs. The use case driving the concolic execution and MARGInS integration was inspired by the Air France 447 disaster in which the loss of a critical functionality (the airspeed calculation from the pitot tubes) led to loss of the entire plane with the people aboard. To illustrate capabilities and limitations, we will highlight the analyses for the applications listed above. We will then discuss the future plans for MARGInS and its interfaces with other tools.

Validation↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

A Distributed Approach to High-Rate Delay Tolerant Networking Within a Virtualized Environment

The High-Rate Delay Tolerant Networking (HDTN) project has taken a distributed service-based approach to the development of a highly efficient delay tolerant networking (DTN) implementation. Through the analysis of many DTN implementations, system and mission requirements as well as the DTN protocol specifications, HDTN has worked to infuse modern computing technologies into the NASA approach to interplanetary networking. The initial use case of the HDTN software runs on a hypervisor representative of the International Space Station (ISS) DTN Gateway. In this scenario, multiple emulated payloads will send science data through HDTN to a mission operations center. HDTN will provide store and forward capability as well as network flow management. This paper discusses the infusion path of cognitive networking technologies in the NASA Space Communications and Navigation (SCaN) networks using the DTN architecture and protocols as the basis for cognitive routing and network management capabilities. HDTN has been developing the Bundle Protocol encoding and decoding mechanisms and messaging framework that can be used as the basis for integrating DTN with various learning and decision-making processes. The concepts of distributed computing, network virtualization, software defined networking and delay tolerant networking are basic building blocks which will further the development of cognitive networking. In addition to discussion of the HDTN software development and testing, this paper examines the role that each of these technologies play in the evolution of the current state of space networking into an intelligent network of networks.

Rachel Mary Dudukovich↗
DOE OSTI2021

A Multi-Stage Stochastic Risk Assessment With Markovian Representation of Renewable Power

Probabilistic forecasts provide a distribution of possible outputs and so can capture the uncertainty and variability of Variable Renewable Energy (VRE). However, taking advantage of uncertainty information has practical challenges that make it difficult to integrate probabilistic forecasting into control room decision-making. This paper proposes a novel use-case for probabilistic forecasts by incorporating them into the hour-ahead operations for situational awareness via a risk-averse multi-stage stochastic program. We employ a Markovian representation of the probabilistic forecasts that enables the formulation of the multi-stage problem and avoids a scenario generation phase. We test the model on a realistically sized system to assess risk and showcase the capability of using probabilistic renewable forecast as input to produce probabilistic output forecasts of future system states. The results show that the model can capture time consistency in the reserves and Area Control Error (ACE) forecast. The solution times are adequate for risk profiling in hour-ahead timescales.

forecasting↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

NASA’s Rotating Detonation Rocket Engine Development

The Rotating Detonation Rocket Engine has maintained steady development at NASA with many staggering performance advantages demonstrated to date over the state-of-the-art (SOA). The implementation of additive manufacturing and specialized NASA developed alloys have enabled rapid maturation of the technology. Several hot fire test projects have been successfully conducted at Marshall Space Flight Center under an early career initiative project funded by NASA Space Technology Mission Directorate. In addition, a new start Technology Demonstration Mission (TDM) project has been funded to investigate challenges relating to integration of turbomachinery with an RDRE thrust chamber assembly. This engine system demonstration will leverage a methane/oxygen single shaft turbopump with fuel rich gas generator and a 10,000 lbf thrust chamber assembly. The configuration was down selected based on feedback from both US industry collaborators and power balance trades in combination with technical feasibility. To date, industry has identified several use cases for RDRE ranging from thruster to primary launch vehicle propulsion. A wide range of fuel and oxidizers were also identified including but not limited to Methane, Kerosene and other liquid hydrocarbon (LH) fuels, and hydrogen. Recent work at NASA and in partnership with NASA has investigated these major fuels of interest with oxygen, air, and hydrogen peroxide (HTP) for various applications. NASA Marshall has already investigated the use of hydrogen/oxygen, methane/oxygen, kerosene/oxygen, and has plans in partnership with industry and academia to investigate LH/air and LH/HTP. In addition to propellants, hardware geometry has been investigated with some critical lessons learned toward greater theoretical performance over the SOA. To this end, several experimental and computational activities are ongoing to further advance the RDRE towards flight missions. Given the rate of advancement, it is highly likely the technology will be flown in space mission in the coming decade. This work documents and overviews many of these investigations and overviews NASA’s future plans for the technology maturation.

Thomas Teasley↗
DOE OSTI2021

ESPC ESA Webinar Series: ESPC IDIQ Contract Vehicle Overview

This webinar provides instructions and resources for financing distributed energy projects (e.g. on-site renewable energy, storage, and combined heat and power) using an energy savings performance contract (ESPC) energy sales agreement (ESA) through the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) indefinite-delivery, indefinite-quantity (IDIQ) energy savings performance contract (ESPC) vehicle. The DOE IDIQ ESPC contract vehicle uses a streamlined master contract that allows federal agencies to work with 21 energy service companies holding the current DOE IDIQ ESPC. Topics covered in the webinar include: An overview of the DOE IDIQ contract vehicle; ESA-specific considerations for IDIQ contracts; and Specific use cases. The webinar also provides an overview of the resources available on the Federal Energy Management Program website, such as IDIQ tools and templates. This webinar is the fifth in a series that provides information, best practices, and resources for implementing an ESPC ESA project. ESPC ESAs are a great option for federal sites that are motivated to reduce site costs, have no capital investment funding, and cannot use the U.S. Department of Defense 10 USC 2922a authority for long-term contracting.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

ASEAN Technical Exchange Workshop for System Operators, Regulators, and Policymakers

This presentation provides an in-depth exploration of power system planning, cross-border electricity trading, and battery energy storage systems (BESS), offering actionable insights for system operators, regulators, and policymakers. The first section delves into power system planning and analysis, focusing on capacity expansion models and resource adequacy studies, including their role in optimizing system efficiency, managing emissions, and addressing system reliability risks. Key considerations, such as integration of transmission into generation planning and the forecasting versus optimization of customer distributed energy resources (DER) technologies, are explored. The session highlights critical trade-offs in spatial granularity and model runtimes, as well as the feasibility of aligning distribution investments with capacity expansion efforts. The second section examines cross-border electricity trading, with an emphasis on resource adequacy concepts such as reliability targets, loss of load expectation (LOLE), and planning reserve margins (PRM). Case studies on reserve market design and coordination across US regions provide insights into improving reserve deliverability and managing interregional power balance and congestion. This section also addresses market-to-market congestion management, including advanced strategies for high-voltage direct current (HVDC) optimization and ancillary service delivery. Finally, the presentation covers the rapid evolution of Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS), highlighting their operational growth, regulatory frameworks, and use cases in grid flexibility, energy storage, and reliability. The discussion focuses on the benefits of BESS for system stability, resilience, and integration of renewable energy, offering insights into its role as a vital component in the transition toward a more sustainable and flexible grid. Key performance parameters, such as throughput, round-trip efficiency, and state of charge, are also examined.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
NASA NTRS1991

A self-consistent model for the particles and fields upstream of an outgassing comet. I - Gyrotropic and isotropic ion distributions

The magnetic field and solar wind flow parameters in the vicinity of a weakly outgassing comet are determined using a self-consistent model which treats the cometary ions kinetically. Two different assumptions are made concerning the cometary ion distribution function; the pickup cometary ions from either a velocity space gyrotropic ring distribution or a velocity space isotropic shell distribution in the solar wind frame of reference. The individual currents due to the solar wind and cometary ions, which determine the magnetic field, are calculated in each case. Using theoretically determined parameters which reflect the conditions expected to comet Kopff (a typical short-period comet and one possible target for the future CRAF/Cassini mission) for various heliocentric distances, the way in which global field and flow characteristics are influenced by the nature of the cometary ion distribution function is determined.

Flammer, K. R.↗
NASA NTRS2017

A New Architecture for Visualization: Open Mission Control Technologies

Open Mission Control Technologies (MCT) is a new architecture for visualisation of mission data. Driven by requirements for new mission capabilities, including distributed mission operations, access to data anywhere, customization by users, synthesis of multiple data sources, and flexibility for multi-mission adaptation, Open MCT provides users with an integrated customizable environment. Developed at NASAs Ames Research Center (ARC), in collaboration with NASAs Advanced Multimission Operations System (AMMOS) and NASAs Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL), Open MCT is getting its first mission use on the Jason 3 Mission, and is also available in the testbed for the Mars 2020 Rover and for development use for NASAs Resource Prospector Lunar Rover. The open source nature of the project provides for use outside of space missions, including open source contributions from a community of users. The defining features of Open MCT for mission users are data integration, end user composition and multiple views. Data integration provides access to mission data across domains in one place, making data such as activities, timelines, telemetry, imagery, event timers and procedures available in one place, without application switching. End user composition provides users with layouts, which act as a canvas to assemble visualisations. Multiple views provide the capability to view the same data in different ways, with live switching of data views in place. Open MCT is browser based, and works on the desktop as well as tablets and phones, providing access to data anywhere. An early use case for mobile data access took place on the Resource Prospector (RP) Mission Distributed Operations Test, in which rover engineers in the field were able to view telemetry on their phones. We envision this capability providing decision support to on console operators from off duty personnel. The plug-in architecture also allows for adaptation for different mission capabilities. Different data types and capabilities may be added or removed using plugins. An API provides a means to write new capabilities and to create data adaptors. Data plugins exist for mission data sources for NASA missions. Adaptors have been written by international and commercial users. Open MCT is open source. Open source enables collaborative development across organizations and also makes the product available outside of the space community, providing a potential source of usage and ideas to drive product design and development. The combination of open source with an Apache 2 license, and distribution on GitHub, has enabled an active community of users and contributors. The spectrum of users for Open MCT is, to our knowledge, unprecedented for mission software. In addition to our NASA users, we have, through open source, had users and inquires on projects ranging from Internet of Things, to radio hobbyists, to farming projects. We have an active community of contributors, enabling a flow of ideas inside and outside of the space community.

Trimble, Jay↗
DOE OSTI2022

EUCLID Sensitivity Database

This report documents the EUCLID sensitivity database along with its several use-cases. EUCLID computed sensitivities for the following integral responses: Criticality of ICSBEP critical assemblies, LLNL pulsed-sphere neutron-leakage spectra, reaction rates in selected ICBSEP critical assemblies, delayed neutron factions of selected ICSBEP critical assemblies, reactivity coefficients in two ICSBEP critical assemblies, sub-critical assembly responses and Rossi-alpha of selected critical assemblies. It is described for each response what the reported observable constitutes, the method we used to obtain the sensitivities, and which integral experiments were studied. It is also documented briefly in what format these sensitivities are stored. These sensitivities were used for many aspects of the EUCLID project, like ML-supported large-scale nuclear-data validation, or optimization of integral experiments. But these sensitivities can also be applied for more established processes in the nuclear-data application field such as adjustment or assessing the upper sub-critical limit.

Delayed Neutron Fraction↗
DOE OSTI2025

Toward a persistent event-streaming system for high-performance computing applications

High-performance computing (HPC) applications have traditionally relied on parallel file systems and file transfer services to manage data movement and storage. Alternative approaches have been proposed that use direct communications between application components, trading persistence and fault tolerance for speed. Event-driven architectures, as popularized in enterprise contexts, present a compelling middle ground, avoiding the performance cost and API constraints of parallel file systems while retaining persistence and offering impedance matching between application components. However, adapting streaming frameworks to HPC workloads requires addressing challenges unique to HPC systems. This paper investigates the potential for a streaming framework designed for HPC infrastructures and use cases. We introduce Mofka, a persistent event-streaming framework designed specifically for HPC environments. Mofka combines the capabilities of a traditional streaming service with optimizations tailored to the HPC context, such as support for massively multicore nodes, efficient scaling for large producer-consumer workflows, RDMA-enabled high-performance network communications, specialized network fabrics with multiple links per node, and efficient handling of large scientific data payloads. Built using the Mochi suite of HPC data service components, Mofka provides a lightweight, modular, and high-performance solution for persistent streaming in HPC systems. We present the architecture of Mofka and evaluate its performance against Kafka and Redpanda using benchmarks on diverse platforms, including Argonne's Polaris and Oak Ridge's Frontier supercomputers, showing up to 8× improvement in throughput in some scenarios. We then demonstrate its utility in several real-world applications: a tomographic reconstruction pipeline, a workflow for the discovery of metal-organic frameworks for carbon capture, and the instrumentation of Dask workflows for provenance tracking and performance analysis.

HPC↗
NASA NTRS2011

Preparation and Testing of Ice-Enriched Lunar Regolith Simulant for RESOLVE OVEN

The RESOLVE (Regolith and Environment Science and Oxygen and Lunar Volatile Extraction) project seeks to deploy a robotic ISRU lander at the lunar south pole to determine the accessibility of frozen ice and the resource potential at various locations. The OVEN (Oxygen and Volatiles Extraction Node) component will be used to heat samples to 150 C or higher in order to drive off ice and other volatiles, which will then be identified and measured. An ice volatilization system has been developed to specifically collect data on the extraction of water vapor from a sample. Testing of the system was begun in April of this year. This report addresses our current work to test the system in a relevant environment in this case, using simulants with up to 10wt% water ice at 76K, in reduced atmosphere.

Cooper, Bonnie↗
DOE OSTI2025

Explicit block encodings of boundary value problems for many-body elliptic operators

Simulation of physical systems is one of the most promising use cases of future digital quantum computers. In this work we systematically analyze the quantum circuit complexities of block encoding the discretized elliptic operators that arise extensively in numerical simulations for partial differential equations, including high-dimensional instances for many-body simulations. When restricted to rectangular domains with separable boundary conditions, we provide explicit circuits to block encode the many-body Laplacian with separable periodic, Dirichlet, Neumann, and Robin boundary conditions, using standard discretization techniques from low-order finite difference methods. To obtain high-precision, we introduce a scheme based on periodic extensions to solve Dirichlet and Neumann boundary value problems using a high-order finite difference method, with only a constant increase in total circuit depth and subnormalization factor. We then present a scheme to implement block encodings of differential operators acting on more arbitrary domains, inspired by Cartesian immersed boundary methods. We then block encode the many-body convective operator, which describes interacting particles experiencing a force generated by a pair-wise potential given as an inverse power law of the interparticle distance. This work provides concrete recipes that are readily translated into quantum circuits, with depth logarithmic in the total Hilbert space dimension, that block encode operators arising broadly in applications involving the quantum simulation of quantum and classical many-body mechanics.

Kharazi, Tyler [University of California, Berkeley↗
DOE OSTI2024

An exploration of online-simulation-driven portfolio scheduling in Workflow Management Systems

Workflow Management Systems used to automate the execution of scientific workflow applications on parallel and distributed computing platforms must make scheduling decisions at runtime. A large number of workflow scheduling algorithms have been proposed in the literature, but often these algorithms are evaluated based on simplifying assumptions that may not hold in practice. Furthermore, published algorithm evaluation and/or comparison results are necessarily only for a subset of all possible scenarios, and thus may not include scenarios relevant to particular use-cases. Consequently, it is difficult for Workflow Management Systems (WMSs) developers to decide which scheduling algorithm should be implemented. To obviate this difficulty, one possible approach is to implement a portfolio of scheduling algorithms and select the most effective algorithm at runtime. One method for performing this selection is to run an online simulation for each algorithm in the portfolio. The algorithm that leads to the best performance, in simulation, is selected for future use. The above simulation-driven portfolio scheduling (SDPS) approach has been proposed in a few parallel and distributed computing contexts. The main objective of this work is to evaluate the feasibility and potential merit of SDPS if implemented in WMSs. Here we perform this evaluation using simulated WMS executions, where the simulations are instantiated from real-world platform and workflow configurations. Our main finding is that SDPS is on par with or outperforms an approach in which a single algorithm is used, where this algorithm is the one that performs best on average across all our experimental scenarios. Furthermore, we find that SDPS remains an attractive proposition even in the presence of high levels of simulation error and for simulators with relatively low levels of sophistication. In many of our experimental scenarios we find that mitigating simulation error at runtime can further improve performance. Finally, we show that simulation overhead can be made sufficiently low for SDPS to be feasible in practice.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2022

Projected network performance for multiple isotopes using next-generation xenon monitoring systems

Since about 2000 (Bowyer et al., 1998), radioxenon monitoring systems have been under development and testing for the verification of the Comprehensive Nuclear Test-Ban Treaty (CTBT). Operation of the systems since then has resulted in development of a next-generation of systems that are nearly ready for operational deployment. By 2010, the need to screen out civilian sources was well known (Auer et al., 2010; Saey, 2009), and isotopic ratio approaches were soon considered (Kalinowski et al., 2014) to identify specific sources. New generation systems are expected to improve the ability to verify the absence of nuclear tests by using isotopic ratios when multiple isotopes are detected. In this work, thousands of releases were simulated to compute the global detection probability of 131m Xe, 133m Xe, 133 Xe, and 135 Xe at 39 noble gas systems in the International Monitoring System (IMS) for both current and next-generation systems. Three release scenarios are defined at 1 h, 1 d, and 10 d past a 1 kt TNT equivalent 235U explosion event. Multiple cases using from one part in a million to the complete release of the xenon isotopic activity are evaluated for each scenario. Coverage maps and global integrals comparing current and next-generation monitoring systems are presented showing that next-generation noble gas systems will create measurable improvements in the IMS. The global detection probability for 133 Xe is shown to be strong in all scenarios, but only modestly improved by next-generation equipment. However, the detection probability for 131m Xe and 133m Xe increased to about 50% in different scenarios, providing a second detectable isotope for many events. As anticipated from shorter sampling intervals, the expected number of detecting samples roughly doubled and the expected number of detecting stations rose by approximately 50% for all release scenarios. Thus, it might be anticipated that future events would consist of multiple 133 Xe detections and one or more second isotope detections. In conclusion, signals of this nature should increase detection confidence, tighten release location estimates, improve rejection of civilian signals, and lessen the impacts from individual systems being offline for maintenance or repair reasons.

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗