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At least 955 records · Page 53

Probabilistic Modeling of Climate Change Impacts on Renewable Energy and Storage Requirements for NM's Energy Transition Act (SAND Report)

This report provides a study of the potential impacts of climate change on intermittent renewable energy resources, battery storage, and resource adequacy in Public Service Company of New Mexico’s Integrated Resource Plan for 2020 – 2040. Climate change models and available data were first evaluated to determine uncertainty and potential changes in solar irradiance, temperature, and wind speed in NM in the coming decades. These changes were then implemented in solar and wind energy models to determine impacts on renewable energy resources in NM. Results for the extreme climate-change scenario show that the projected wind power may decrease by ~13% due to projected decreases in wind speed. Projected solar power may decrease by ~4% due to decreases in irradiance and increases in temperature in NM. Uncertainty in these climate-induced changes in wind and solar resources was accommodated in probabilistic models assuming uniform distributions in the annual reductions in solar and wind resources. Uncertainty in battery storage performance was also evaluated based on increased temperature, capacity fade, and degradation in round-trip efficiency. The hourly energy balance was determined throughout the year given uncertainties in the renewable energy resources and energy storage. The loss of load expectation (LOLE) was evaluated for the 2040 No New Combustion portfolio and found to increase from 0 days/year to a median value of ~2 days/year due to potential reductions in renewable energy resources and battery storage performance and capacity. A rank-regression analyses revealed that battery round-trip efficiency was the most significant parameter that impacted LOLE, followed by solar resource, wind resource, and battery fade. An increase in battery storage capacity to ~25,000 – 30,000 MWh from a baseline value of ~14,000 MWh was required to reduce the median value of LOLE to ~0.2 days/year with consideration of potential climate impacts and battery degradation.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Thermocouple Testing in Support of the AGR-5/6/7 Experiment

This report documents thermocouple testing performed in IRC Lab C-15 over a period of seven years. This testing supported selection and characterization of the thermocouple set used in the AGR-5/6/7 experiment. The following summary was taken directly from the report. Temperature measurement is a challenging aspect of very high temperature irradiation experiments because commonly used high-temperature commercial thermocouples such as platinum-rhodium (Types S, R, and B) and tungsten-rhenium (Type C), suffer dramatic drift because of neutron-induced transmutation. As a result, these types of thermocouples, which are used routinely for industrial temperature measurements outside of reactors, are used only in very special circumstances for reactor experiments. Conversely, because of their low neutron cross-sections, Type N thermocouples are affected to only a limited extent by neutron irradiation. However, the use of these nickel-based thermocouples is limited when the temperature exceeds 1050°C due to drift arising from minor alloying elements migrating from the thermocouple's metal sheath to the thermoelements. This change in the composition of the thermo-elements results in significant decalibration of the signal. The issues described above were recognized during the early planning stages of the final AGR experiment (designated AGR-5/6/7), and a thermocouple furnace testing program was performed over a seven-year period (2014-2019, 2021) to first select and then characterize the best thermocouple set for the high temperature regions of the AGR-5/6/7 irradiation experiment. The calculated temperature range of the AGR-5/6/7 experiment was 600–1500°C. For temperatures below 1000°C standard Type N thermocouples were deemed adequate. The furnace testing campaign identified two thermocouple types suitable for measuring temperatures above 1000°C, a Mo/Nb thermocouple developed at INL called HTIR-TC, and a Type N thermocouple developed by Cambridge University (called herein Cambridge Type N), which featured a custom high nickel alloy sheath. One of the original goals of the furnace testing program was to identify a thermocouple capable of low drift operation near the peak temperature expected in AGR-5/6/7, i.e., about 1400°C. The HTIR-TC design appeared promising in this regard, however a manufacturing difficulty proved to be a barrier and instead the furnace testing focused on drift performance at 1250°C. The manufacturing difficulty was that the Nb sheaths of the HTIR-TCs experienced extreme embrittlement when heat treated at 1600°C or greater. Heat treatment is needed to stabilize the emf output of this TC type, and the higher the heat treatment temperature the higher the peak temperature of stable operation. Because of the sheath embrittlement the heat treatment temperature had to be lowered to 1450°C resulting in a stable operating temperature of about 1250°C. One of the successes of the furnace testing program was identification of a shortcoming in the heat treatment procedure that had been traditionally used in the production of HTIR-TCs. The shortcoming was that the entire heated length of the HTIR-TC sensor was not being heat treated, but rather only the part of the sensor expected to experience temperatures above 1000°C. The problem manifested itself when the thermocouples were removed from the heat treat furnace and placed in another furnace with a different geometry, their indicated temperatures would be widely scattered, but mostly in the negative direction. The solution was to heat treat the entire heated length of the sensor. Since the deepest immersion depth in the AGR-5/6/7 experiment was about 40 inches, a heat treatment length of 48 inches was used. After this change was implemented, thermocouples which were moved into a new environment with a different temperature profile (i.e., a different furnace), produced accurate temperature measurements. Although assembly of the AGR-5/6/7 experiment was completed in September of 2017 (and irradiation begun in 2018), furnace testing of thermocouples continued in 2018 and 2019. The main purpose of this testing was to establish very long-term drift characteristics of the HTIR and Cambridge Type N thermocouples installed in the experiment. Representative thermocouples from the same lots as those installed in the AGR-5/6/7 experiment were used. Additionally, thermocouples of different designs, (particularly variations on the HTIR-TC design) were "piggy-backed" on this testing program to provide insights for instrumenting future very high temperature irradiation experiments. This two-year testing program demonstrated that HTIR-TCs and Cambridge Type N TCs could operate at 1250°C for up to 10,000 hrs (and in some cases longer) while experiencing negative drifts on the order of 2-4°C/1000 hrs. This performance was considered acceptable given the extreme operating environment the sensors faced.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Gemini Planet Imager Spectroscopy of the Dusty Substellar Companion HD 206893 B

We present new near-infrared Gemini Planet Imager (GPI) spectroscopy of HD 206893 B, a substellar companion orbiting within the debris disk of its F5V star. The J, H, K1, and K2 spectra from GPI demonstrate the extraordinarily red colors of the object, confirming it as the reddest substellar object observed to date. The significant flux increase throughout the infrared presents a challenging atmosphere to model with existing grids. Best-fit values vary from 1200 to 1800 K for effective temperature and from 3.0 to 5.0 for log(g), depending on which individual wavelength band is fit and which model suite is applied. The extreme redness of the companion can be partially reconciled by invoking a high-altitude layer of submicron dust particles, similar to dereddening approaches applied to the peculiar red field L dwarf population. However, reconciling the HD 206893 B spectra with even those of the reddest low-gravity L dwarf spectra still requires the contribution of additional atmospheric dust, potentially due to the debris disk environment in which the companion resides. Orbit fitting from 4 yr of astrometric monitoring is consistent with a ∼30 yr period, an orbital inclination of 147°, and a semimajor axis of 10 au, well within the estimated disk inner radius of ∼50 au. As one of a very few substellar companions imaged interior to a circumstellar disk, the properties of this system offer important dynamical constraints on companion–disk interaction and provide a benchmark for substellar and planetary atmospheric study.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Flexible Vanadium Dioxide Photodetectors for Visible to Longwave Infrared Detection at Room Temperature

Abstract Flexible optoelectronics is a rapidly growing field, with a wide range of potential applications. From wearable sensors to bendable solar cells, curved displays, and curved focal plane arrays, the possibilities are endless. The criticality of flexible photodetectors for many of these applications is acknowledged, however, devices that are demonstrated thus far are limited in their spectral range. In this study, flexible photodetectors are demonstrated using a VO x nanoparticle ink, with an extremely broad operating wavelength range of 0.4 to 20 µm. This ink is synthesized using a simple and scalable wet‐chemical process. These photodetectors operate at room temperature and exhibit minimal variance in performance even when bent at angles of up to 100 ° at a bend radius of 6.4 mm. In addition, rigorous strain testing of 100 bend and release cycles revealed a photoresponse with a standard deviation of only 0.55%. This combination of mechanical flexibility, wide spectral response, and ease of fabrication makes these devices highly desirable for a wide range of applications, including low‐cost wearable sensors and hyperspectral imaging systems.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

LA100 Equity Strategies. Chapter 7: Housing Weatherization and Resilience

The LA100 Equity Strategies project integrates community guidance with robust research, modeling, and analysis to identify strategy options that can increase equitable outcomes in Los Angeles' clean energy transition. This chapter focuses on housing weatherization and access to cooling as means to achieve more equitable resilience to heat waves during unplanned power outages. Specifically, NREL used weather, housing, and socioeconomic data to characterize LA's residential building stock. We?developed a residential building stock model to simulate the energy use of 50,000 dwellings representing the diversity of housing types, appliances, climate zones, and household incomes across Los Angeles. We then simulated and evaluated the impacts of 10 building envelope and cooling upgrades on indoor temperature - a main cause of heat-induced health risks-over a 4-day power outage during a heat wave. We examined occupant exposure to extreme heat and how heat exposure changes with each upgrade across income, tenure (renter/owner status), building type, and disadvantaged community (DAC) status. We also examined upgrade costs and utility bills. Based on the results of our analysis and community guidance, we identified building envelope upgrades and cooling strategies that could save lives and maintain safe home temperatures for LA's low-income households in the event of a planned or unplanned power outage during a summer heat wave. Research was guided by input from the community engagement process, and associated equity strategies are presented in alignment with that guidance.

building envelope↗

High‑performance cold‑climate heat pump using tandem compressors with and without vapor injection: Laboratory investigation and field demonstration

Cold‑climate air‑source heat pumps must maintain heating capacity and stable operation at low ambient temperatures for residential applications. This study adapts tandem single-speed compressors—proven in commercial systems —for residential CCHPs, integrating VI and validating performance across laboratory and extreme field conditions to achieve cold-climate targets. That is to achieve ≥75% of the rated heating capacity at −25.0 °C relative to 8.3 °C and heating coefficient of performance (COP) greater than 4.0 at 8.3 °C. Laboratory testing confirmed that both configurations met these targets while operating within acceptable discharge‑temperature limits. Relative to the non‑VI configuration, the VI system provided up to 15% higher heating capacity and up to 9% higher heating COP under identical conditions, yielding a 5.6–9.1% increase in heating seasonal performance factor (HSPF). Field tests in Ohio and Alaska, with minimum outdoor temperatures of −25.0 °C and −34.0 °C, respectively, showed stable operation, minimal supplemental heating (<3.2%), low defrost penalties, and consistent output. Tandem‑compressor architectures proves promising for cold-climate residential heating.

Hu, Yifeng [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000242875185)↗

Scalable Bottom-Up Synthesis of Nanoporous Hexagonal Boron Nitride ( h -BN) for Large-Area Atomically Thin Ceramic Membranes

Nanopores embedded within monolayer hexagonal boron nitride (h-BN) offer possibilities of creating atomically thin ceramic membranes with unique combinations of high permeance (atomic thinness), high selectivity (via molecular sieving), increased thermal stability, and superior chemical resistance. However, fabricating size-selective nanopores in monolayer h-BN via scalable top-down processes remains nontrivial due to its chemical inertness, and characterizing nanopore size distribution over a large area remains extremely challenging. Here, we demonstrate a facile and scalable approach of exploiting the chemical vapor deposition (CVD) process temperature to enable direct incorporation of subnanometer/nanoscale pores into the monolayer h-BN lattice, in combination with manufacturing compatible polymer casting to fabricate centimeter-scale nanoporous atomically thin ceramic membranes. We leverage diffusive transport of analytes including size-selective Ficoll sieving to characterize subnanometer-scale and nanoscale defects that manifest as pores in centimeter-scale h-BN membranes, overcoming previous limitations in large-area characterization of nanoscale defects in h-BN. Our approach opens a new frontier to advance atomically thin membranes to 2D ceramic materials, such as h-BN via facile and direct formation of nanopores, for size-selective separations.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Field-induced quantum critical point in the itinerant antiferromagnet Ti 3 Cu 4

New phases of matter emerge at the edge of magnetic instabilities, which can occur in materials with moments that are localized, itinerant or intermediate between these extremes. In local moment systems, such as heavy fermions, the magnetism can be tuned towards a zero-temperature transition at a quantum critical point (QCP) via pressure, chemical doping, and, rarely, magnetic field. By contrast, in itinerant moment systems, QCPs are more rare, and they are induced by pressure or doping; there are no known examples of field induced transitions. This means that no universal behaviour has been established across the whole itinerant-to-local moment range—a substantial gap in our knowledge of quantum criticality. Here we report an itinerant antiferromagnet, Ti 3 Cu 4 , that can be tuned to a QCP by a small magnetic field. We see signatures of quantum criticality and the associated non-Fermi liquid behaviour in thermodynamic and transport measurements, while band structure calculations point to an orbital-selective, spin density wave ground state, a consequence of the square net structural motif in Ti 3 Cu 4 . Ti 3 Cu 4 thus provides a platform for the comparison and generalisation of quantum critical behaviour across the whole spectrum of magnetism.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Gyrokinetic benchmark of the electron temperature-gradient instability in the pedestal region

Transport from turbulence driven by the electron temperature-gradient (ETG) instability is likely a major source of electron heat losses through the pedestal. Due to extreme gradients and strong shaping, ETG instabilities in the pedestal are distinct from those in the core, having, for example, multiple branches (toroidal and slab) in different wavenumber ranges. Due to its importance for pedestal transport, and its rather exotic character, a rigorous multi-code benchmarking exercise is imperative. In this work, we describe such an exercise, wherein we have carried out a detailed comparison of local linear pedestal ETG simulations using three gyrokinetic codes, CGYRO, GEM, and GENE and testing different geometric parameters (such as circular, Miller, and equilibrium EFIT geometry). The resulting linear frequencies, growth rates, and eigenfunctions show very good agreement between the codes in the three types of employed geometries. A nonlinear benchmark between CGYRO and GENE is also described, exhibiting good agreement (a maximum of 20% difference in the heat fluxes computed) at two locations in the pedestal. This lays the foundation for confidently modeling ETG turbulence in the pedestal

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Large-field magnetoresistance of nanometer scale nickel films grown on molybdenum disulfide

The magnetoresistance of thin nickel films grown on molybdenum disulfide was measured in perpendicular magnetic fields as high as 90 kOe. Films with thicknesses of 20 nm provided continuous surfaces for measurement. The magnetoresistance was found to be linear with respect to the applied magnetic field with no sign of saturation. There was also no evidence of hysteresis or temperature dependence between 100 to 300 K. STM measurement showed the deposited Ni forms a continuous film of extremely small nanoclusters. However, the field dependence of magnetoresistance was found to be significantly larger than bulk Ni, which is in turn larger than Ni with nanoscale grains. We expect the unusual magnetoresistance behavior to arise from some property of the Ni-MoS 2 interface.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Machine learning the electronic structure of matter across temperatures

Here, we introduce machine learning (ML) models that predict the electronic structure of materials across a wide temperature range. Our models employ neural networks and are trained on density functional theory (DFT) data. Unlike most other ML models that use DFT data, our models directly predict the local density of states (LDOS) of the electronic structure. This provides several advantages, including access to multiple observables such as the electronic density and electronic total free energy. Moreover, our models account for both the electronic and ionic temperatures independently, making them ideal for applications like laser heating of matter. We validate the efficacy of our LDOS-based models on a metallic test system. They accurately capture energetic effects induced by variations in ionic and electronic temperatures over a broad temperature range, even when trained on a subset of these temperatures. These findings open up exciting opportunities for investigating the electronic structure of materials under both ambient and extreme conditions.

Fiedler, Lenz↗

Possible Kitaev Quantum Spin Liquid State in 2D Materials with S=3/2

Quantum spin liquids (QSLs) form an extremely unusual magnetic state in which the spins are highly correlated and fluctuate coherently down to the lowest temperatures, but without symmetry breaking and without the formation of any static long-range-ordered magnetism. Such intriguing phenomena are not only of great fundamental relevance in themselves, but also hold promise for quantum computing and quantum information. Further, among different types of QSLs, the exactly solvable Kitaev model is attracting much attention, with most proposed candidate materials, e.g., RuCl 3 and Na 2 IrO 3 , having an effective $\textit{S}$ = 1/2 spin value. Here, via extensive first-principles-based simulations, we report the investigation of the Kitaev physics and possible Kitaev QSL state in epitaxially strained Cr-based monolayers, such as CrSiTe 3 , that rather possess a $\textit{S}$ = 3/2 spin value. Our study thus extends the playground of Kitaev physics and QSLs to 3$\textit{d}$ transition metal compounds.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Challenges in Continuous In-Field Critical Current Testing of High-Temperature Superconducting Tapes: Thermal and Mechanical Perspectives

High-temperature superconductors (HTS) are essential for ultra-high-field applications requiring exceptional current-carrying capacity under extreme conditions. However, systematic characterization of critical current in long-length conductors remains challenging due to complex thermal, electromag netic, and mechanical interactions during continuous testing. This study reports the development of a continuous in-field magnetization testing system for position-dependent critical current measurement in HTS tapes at 20 K under 7.5 T fields applied normal to the tape plane, enabling identification of performance-limiting regions that could compromise magnet stability. Here, the system addresses two fundamental challenges inherent to cryogenic reel to-reel testing. First, thermal management requires continuous cooling of a moving conductor to 20 K, achieved through liquid nitrogen precooling combined with a 100 W@20 K Gifford McMahon cryocooler. Second, screening currents in high fields generate Lorentz forces that induce twisting, bowing, and potential delamination. To mitigate these risks, we propose mechanical reinforcement and active current density suppression strategies. Numerical simulations using the stream function formulation reveal four primary failure modes: frictional heating at guide interfaces, unstable equilibria causing deformation, transverse current-induced stresses at guide transitions, and unsupported forces in vertical spans. Our mitigation strategies include PTFE coated guides to minimize friction, spring-loaded stabilization mechanisms to maintain tape alignment, controlled pre-heating using the liquid nitrogen thermal jacket to suppress critical current at stress points, and optimized guide positioning to minimize force accumulation. The experimental system is nearing completion, with testing planned to commence within two months. Preliminary validation at 65 K under 0.5 T demonstrates strong correlation between simulation-predicted mechanical instabilities and observed critical current variations during conductor tran sitions through the measurement region. These findings establish a robust foundation for quality assurance protocols essential to next-generation superconducting magnet applications.

Chen, Siwei [Princeton Plasma Physics Laboratory (↗

Evaluating MetGlasTM Solderability with Tin-Silver-Copper and Tin-Silver-Bismuth Solder Alloys

The solderability of MetGlas TM (subsidiary of Hitachi Metals, America Ltd) 2826 MB, a rapidly solidified metallic foil, was evaluated by the meniscus height/wetting force method for tin-silver-copper (SnAgCu) and tin-silver-bismuth (SnAgBi) solders to understand the effects of the extreme non-equilibrium condition of the MetglasTM surface on solderability performance. Of the variables studied here (solder temperature, heat treatment, and solder composition), solder composition had the largest impact on contact angle. Flux and foil composition remained constant throughout; but, these factors would also be predicted to significantly affect solderability. A greater understanding of the manner whereby non-equilibrium cooling affects solderability of these foils will broaden the application of soldering technology of structures fabricated by rapid cooling process (i.e. additively manufactured coatings and parts). Developing a robust database for Pb-free solderability behavior is also necessary, as industry transitions from tin-lead (SnPb) to lead free (Pb-free) solders.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Machine learning to generate gridded extreme precipitation data sets for global land areas with limited in situ measurements

There is a strong need for gridded observational data sets that describe the climatology of extreme precipitation across the globe; such data sets are critical for quantifying precipitation extremes and their corresponding influence on large perturbations on surface and groundwater systems and flooding. Machine learning (ML) methods can be used to generate pseudo in situ measurements of the climatology of extreme precipitation for land regions with poor sampling by matching relevant geographic (e.g., orography) and atmospheric (e.g., surface temperature, precipitation, and pressure) variables for densely sampled regions and those with limited geographic sampling.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Development of Niobium-based alloys for Turbine Applications: 20/CJ000/08/09 (ULTIMATE Phase I project)

Current Ni-based alloys used in turbine blade applications are operating at 1100°C which is approximately 90% of the solidus of Ni-based alloys. Further increases in temperature can be achieved only through the use of alloys with higher solidus temperatures such as refractory alloys which include Mo, Nb, W, Ta alloys. Niobium has a unique combination of physical properties that include a high melting point (2468°C), lowest density (8.57 g/cc), and the lowest modulus amongst refractory alloys, a good thermal conductivity that increases from 45 W/mK at room temperature to 62 W/mK at 1093°C, good ductility with fabricability using traditional techniques, high strength, good creep resistance, and general chemical inactivity. Hence niobium alloys offer many advantages for use at the desired temperature of 1300°C. One of the major deterrents to the use of niobium and its alloys at high temperatures is achieving good oxidation resistance. In addition, achieving balanced properties of room temperature strength, ductility, fracture toughness, high temperature strength, and creep resistance required for 1300°C operation at a density of 9 g/cm 3 is extremely challenging since the addition of W which is a potent strengthener increases the density of the alloy. This project seeks to enable the development of a tri-layered turbine blade that can operate continuously at 1300°C with the core of the turbine blade providing good creep resistance, the second layer providing improved oxidation resistance over the core layer, and the third layer being an environmental barrier providing oxidation resistance. The objective of this Phase 1 project was to use computational modeling and advanced characterization tools to develop two classes of Nb alloys which could be used as the core layer and the transition layer.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Atmospheric teleconnection processes linking winter air stagnation and haze extremes in China with regional Arctic sea ice decline

Abstract. Recent studies suggested significant impacts of boreal cryosphere changes on wintertime air stagnation and haze pollution extremes in China. However, the underlying mechanisms of such a teleconnection relationship remains unclear. Here we use the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model (WACCM) to investigate dynamic processes leading to atmospheric circulation and air stagnation responses to Arctic sea ice changes. We conduct four climate sensitivity experiments by perturbing sea ice concentrations (SIC) and corresponding sea surface temperature (SST) in autumn and early winter over the whole Arctic and three subregions in the climate model. The results indicate distinct responses in circulation patterns and regional ventilation to the region-specific Arctic changes, with the largest increase of both the probability (by 132 %) and the intensity (by 30 %) of monthly air stagnation extremes being found in the experiment driven by SIC and SST changes over the Pacific sector of the Arctic (the East Siberian and Chukchi seas). The increased air stagnation extremes are mainly driven by an amplified planetary-scale atmospheric teleconnection pattern that resembles the negative phase of the Eurasian (EU) pattern. Dynamical diagnostics suggest that convergence of transient eddy forcing in the vicinity of Scandinavia in winter is largely responsible for the amplification of the teleconnection pattern. Transient eddy vorticity fluxes dominate the transient eddy forcing and produce a barotropic anticyclonic anomaly near Scandinavia and wave train propagation across Eurasia to the downstream regions in East Asia. The piecewise potential vorticity inversion analysis reveals that this long-range atmospheric teleconnection of Arctic origin takes place primarily via the middle and upper troposphere. The anomalous ridge over East Asia in the middle and upper troposphere worsens regional ventilation conditions by weakening monsoon northwesterlies and enhancing temperature inversions near the surface, leading to more and stronger air stagnation and pollution extremes over eastern China in winter. Ensemble projections based on state-of-the-art climate models in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) corroborate this teleconnection relationship between high-latitude environmental changes and midlatitude weather extremes, though the tendency and magnitude vary considerably among each participating model.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗