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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 955 records · Page 53
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2020

Automated Cloud Based Long Short-Term Memory Neural Network Based SWE Prediction

Snow derived water is a critical component of the US water supply. Measurements of the Snow Water Equivalent (SWE) and associated predictions of peak SWE and snowmelt onset are essential inputs for water management efforts. This paper aims to develop an integrated framework for real-time data ingestion, estimation, prediction and visualization of SWE based on daily snow datasets. In particular, we develop a data-driven approach for estimating and predicting SWE dynamics using the Long Short-Term Memory neural network (LSTM) method. Our approach uses historical datasets (precipitation, air temperature, SWE, and snow thickness) collected at NRCS Snow Telemetry (SNOTEL) stations to train the LSTM network and current year data to predict SWE behavior. The performance of our prediction was compared for different prediction dates and prediction training datasets. Our results suggest that the proposed LSTM network can be an efficient tool for forecasting the SWE timeseries, as well as Peak SWE and snowmelt timing. Results showed that the window size impacts the model performance (where the Nash Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) ranged from 0.96 to 0.85 and the Rooted Mean Square Error (RMSE) ranged from 0.038 to 0.07) with an optimum number that should be calibrated for different stations and climate conditions. In addition, by implementing the LSTM prediction capability in a cloud based site-monitoring platform, we automate model-data integration. By making the data accessible through a graphical web interface and an underlying API which exposes both training and prediction capabilities. The associated results can be made easily accessible to a broad range of stakeholders.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Validation and Comparison of HyRAM Physics Models

The Hydrogen Risk Assessment Models (HyRAM) software version 3 uses a real gas equation of state rather than the Abel-Noble equation of state that is used in 2.0 and previous versions. This change enables the use of HyRAM 3 for cryogenic hydrogen flows, whereas the Abel-Noble equation of state is not accurate at low temperatures. HyRAM 3.1 results were compared to experimental data from the literature in order to demonstrate the accuracy of the physics models. HyRAM 3.1 results were also compared to HyRAM 2.0 for high-pressure, non-cryogenic flows to highlight the differences in predictions between the two major versions of HyRAM. Validation data sets are from multiple groups and span the range of HyRAM physics models, including tank blowdown, unignited dispersion jet plume, ignited jet flame, and accumulation and overpressure inside an enclosure. Both versions 2.0 and 3.1 of HyRAM are accurate for predictions of blowdowns, diffusion jets, and diffusion flames of hydrogen at pressures up to 900 bar, and HyRAM 3.1 also shows good agreement with cryogenic hydrogen data. Overall, HyRAM 3.1 improves on the accuracy of the physical models relative to HyRAM 2.0. In most cases, this reduces the conservatism in risk calculations using HyRAM.

08 HYDROGEN↗
DOE OSTI2024

Heterostructural Alloy Phase Diagram for (Cd 1-x Zn x ) 3 As 2

Alloying the topological semimetal Cd 3 As 2 with Zn 3 As 2 provides a potential route for controlling the electronic properties. We predict the alloy phase diagram from first-principles calculations, considering that both end members have a crystal structure derived from the antifluorite lattice, but with different arrangements of the unoccupied cation sites. To overcome the limitations of the regular solution approximation and to include short-range order effects, we perform Monte Carlo simulations, parameterize the temperature dependence of the mixing enthalpy ΔH m , and perform thermodynamic integration of the free energy. The resulting phase diagram exhibits features that are unique to heterostructural alloy systems and provides computational predictions of solubility limits and composition ranges that are stable against spinodal decomposition.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Electronic structure and optical properties of halide double perovskites from a Wannier-localized optimally-tuned screened range-separated hybrid functional

Halide double perovskites are a chemically diverse and growing class of compound semiconductors that are promising for optoelectronic applications. However, the prediction of their fundamental gaps and optical properties with density functional theory (DFT) and ab initio many-body perturbation theory has been a significant challenge. Recently, a nonempirical Wannier-localized optimally tuned screened range-separated hybrid (WOT-SRSH) functional has been shown to accurately produce the fundamental band gaps of a wide set of semiconductors and insulators, including lead halide perovskites. Here, in this study, we apply the WOT-SRSH functional to five halide double perovskites and compare the results with those obtained from other known functionals and previous GW calculations. We also use the approach as a starting point for GW calculations and we compute the band structures and optical absorption spectrum for Cs 2 AgBiBr 6 , using both time-dependent DFT and the GW-Bethe-Salpeter equation approach. We show that the WOT-SRSH functional leads to accurate fundamental and optical band gaps, as well as optical absorption spectra, consistent with spectroscopic measurements, thereby establishing WOT-SRSH as a viable method for the accurate prediction of optoelectronic properties of halide double perovskites.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

The damage Mechanics challenge Results: Participant predictions compared with experiment

In this article, We present results from a recent exercise where participating organizations were asked to provide model-based blind predictions of damage evolution in 3D-printed geomaterial analogue test articles. Participants were provided with a range of data characterizing both the undamaged state (e.g., ultrasonic measurements) and damage evolution (e.g., 3-point bending, unconfined compression, and Brazilian testing) of the material. In this paper, we focus on comparisons between the participants’ predictions and the previously secret challenge problem experimental observations. We present valuable lessons learned for the application of numerical methods to deformation and failure in brittle-ductile materials. The exercise also enables us to identify which specific types of calibration data were of most utility to the participants in developing their predictions. Further, we identify additional data that would have been useful for participants to improve the confidence of their predictions. Consequently, this work improves our understanding of how to better characterize a material to enable more accurate prediction of damage and failure propagation in natural and engineered brittle-ductile materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Machine Learning Based Prediction of Airflow Maldistribution in A-Type Heat Exchangers

Airflow maldistribution is one of the primary causes of performance degradation in air-to refrigerant heat exchangers (HX) and has been shown to decrease heat transfer by as much as 35%. As a result, many units are oversized to meet the target capacity, resulting in increased system cost and refrigerant charge. Several studies have explored how characteristics like package type and HX geometry impact the flow profile, but results are restricted to a limited range of parameters and cannot be extrapolated to new designs. In this work, a machine learning (ML) model is trained to predict the inlet flow profile of dry air entering A-type HXs across a broad range of geometries and conditions. Flow profiles are generated using a porous media CFD model and used to train an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) which exhibits maximum and average relative L2 norm errors of 0.48 and 0.05. Additionally, these predictions take less than a second to generate resulting in a speed up factor of 2.42E5 compared to CFD. Component-level simulations are conducted to determine the performance degradation resulting from the predicted airflow maldistribution profiles. The new ML model will enable rapid and accurate prediction of performance degradation resulting from airflow maldistribution in A-type HXs, allowing for more accurate and cost-effective HX design.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2020

Validation and application of a multiphase CFD model for hydrodynamics, temperature field and RTD simulation in a pilot-scale biomass pyrolysis vapor phase upgrading reactor

Accurate prediction of transport phenomena is critical for VPU reactor design, optimization, and scale-up. The current study focused on the validation and application of a multiphase CFD model within an open-source code MFiX for hydrodynamics, temperature field, and residence time distribution (RTD) simulation in a non-reacting circulating fluidized bed riser for biomass pyrolysis vapor phase upgrading (VPU). First, an Eulerian-Eulerian approach three-dimensional CFD model was employed to simulate the pilot-scale VPU riser on the supercomputer Joule. Excellent quantitative agreement between experimental and simulated results was achieved for pressure drops and temperature field in a range of operating conditions. Then the validated multiphase CFD model was applied to predict gas and solid residence time distributions (RTDs) since prediction and analysis of RTD is an important tool to study the complex multiphase flow behavior and mixing inside chemical reactors. The predictions show that solid mean residence time is 3.5 times the gas residence time; the solid RTD is more sensitive to the process gas flow rate than the solids circulation rate.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2021

End-exclusion zones in strongly stretched, molten polymer brushes of arbitrary shape

Theories of strongly stretched polymer brushes, particularly the parabolic brush theory, are valuable for providing analytically tractable predictions for the thermodynamic behavior of surface-grafted polymers in a wide range of settings. Furthermore, the parabolic brush limit fails to describe polymers grafted to convex curved substrates, such as the surfaces of spherical nanoparticles or the interfaces of strongly segregated block copolymers. It has previously been shown that strongly stretched curved brushes require a boundary layer devoid of free chain ends, requiring modifications of the theoretical analysis. While this “end-exclusion zone” has been successfully incorporated into the descriptions of brushes grafted onto the outer surfaces of cylinders and spheres, the behavior of brushes on surfaces of arbitrary curvature has not yet been studied. We present a formulation of the strong-stretching theory for molten brushes on the surfaces of arbitrary curvature and identify four distinct regimes of interest for which brushes are predicted to possess end-exclusion zones, notably including regimes of positive mean curvature but negative Gaussian curvature. Through numerical solutions of the strong-stretching brush equations, we report predicted scaling of the size of the end-exclusion zone, the chain end distribution, the chain polarization, and the free energy of stretching with mean and Gaussian surface curvatures. Through these results, we present a comprehensive picture of how the brush geometry influences the end-exclusion zones and exact strong-stretching free energies, which can be applied, for example, to model the full spectrum of brush geometries encountered in block copolymer melt assembly.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Elimination of QCD Renormalization Scale and Scheme Ambiguities

The setting of the renormalization scale (μ r ) in the perturbative QCD (pQCD) is one of the crucial problems for achieving precise fixed-order pQCD predictions. The conventional prescription is to take its value as the typical momentum transfer Q in a given process, and theoretical uncertainties are then evaluated by varying it over an arbitrary range. The conventional scale-setting procedure introduces arbitrary scheme-and-scale ambiguities in fixed-order pQCD predictions. The principle of maximum conformality (PMC) provides a systematic way to eliminate the renormalization scheme-and-scale ambiguities. The PMC method has rigorous theoretical foundations; it satisfies the renormalization group invariance (RGI) and all of the self-consistency conditions derived from the renormalization group. The PMC has now been successfully applied to many physical processes. In this paper, we summarize recent PMC applications, including event shape observables and heavy quark pair production near the threshold region in e + e – annihilation and top-quark decay at hadronic colliders. In addition, estimating the contributions related to the uncalculated higher-order terms is also summarized. These results show that the major theoretical uncertainties caused by different choices of μ r are eliminated, and the improved pQCD predictions are thus obtained, demonstrating the generality and applicability of the PMC.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2023

An Integrated Approach to Predicting Ash Deposition and Heat Transfer in Coal-Fired Boilers

The overall goal of this project is to develop via measurements and simulations an advanced online technology to predict, monitor and manage fireside ash deposition in a coal-fired boiler allowing for more efficient operations under a range of load conditions and fuel property variability. With this in place fuel sorting and blending can be done upstream and operations can be optimized to compensate for load and fuel properties. In support of this objective, three experimental campaigns were undertaken during the course of the project to measure ash deposition rates within the boiler at different fuel flow rates and its ash composition variability. Simulations of the experimental conditions representing actual geometry, operational scenarios in terms of air flow rates, coal flow rates as well as coal compositions, heating values, and particle size distributions were also carried out. Deposition rates were predicted using a unique particle kinetic energy and viscosity based ash deposition methodology whose validity was ascertained by comparing against deposition rate measurements for widely varying operating conditions and ash compositions in a lab-scale furnace. With a unique end-to-end combustion modeling methodology established and different simulation scenarios carried out, the results from our computational fluid dynamic (CFD) simulations in conjunction with the plant data summarized in this report were used to refine Microbeam Technology Incorporated’s MTI CSPI-CT Tool to predict and monitor fire-side ash deposition under a range of load conditions and fuel property variability in real time.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
DOE OSTI2020

Validation of two-layer model for underexpanded hydrogen jets

Previous studies have shown that the two-layer model more accurately predicts hydrogen dispersion than the conventional notional nozzle models without significantly increasing the computational expense. However, the model was only validated for predicting the concentration distribution and has not been adequately validated for predicting the velocity distributions. In the present study, particle imaging velocimetry (PIV) was used to measure the velocity field of an underexpanded hydrogen jet released at 10 bar from a 1.5 mm diameter orifice. The two-layer model was the used to calculate the inlet conditions for a two-dimensional axisymmetric CFD model to simulate the hydrogen jet downstream of the Mach disk. The predicted velocity spreading and centerline decay rates agreed well with the PIV measurements. The predicted concentration distribution was consistent with data from previous planar Rayleigh scattering measurements used to verify the concentration distribution predictions in an earlier study. The jet spreading was also simulated using several widely used notional nozzle models combined with the integral plume model for comparison. These results show that the velocity and concentration distributions are both better predicted by the two-layer model than the notional nozzle models to complement previous studies verifying only the predicted concentration profiles. Thus, this study shows that the two-layer model can accurately predict the jet velocity distributions as well as the concentration distributions as verified earlier. Though more validation studies are needed to improve confidence in the model and increase the range of validity, the present work indicates that the two-layer model is a promising tool for fast, accurate predictions of the flow fields of underexpanded hydrogen jets.

08 HYDROGEN↗
DOE OSTI2025

Range-separated thermal hybrid exchange-correlation density functional for accurate band-gap calculations of warm dense matter

Here, in this study, we present a range-separated thermal hybrid exchange-correlation (XC) functional, termed RS-KDT0, which provides highly accurate band-gap predictions at elevated temperature while reducing the computational cost relative to thermal global hybrid functionals. At zero temperature, RS-KDT0 recovers the widely used ground-state range-separated hybrid functional HSE06. To assess its performance across temperature regimes, we conducted static calculations of electronic pressure, band gaps, and band structures. RS-KDT0 exhibits the same level of accuracy as HSE06 in the low-temperature regime and demonstrates improved agreement with finite-temperature GW calculations at elevated temperatures when compared to other thermal XC functionals such as the generalized gradient approximation (GGA)-level KDT16 and the global hybrid KDT0.

density functional theory↗
DOE OSTI2022

Applicability of Allen–Heine–Cardona Theory on MO x Metal Oxides and ABO 3 Perovskites: Toward High-Temperature Optoelectronic Applications [plus supplemental information]

We report characterizing the temperature-dependent electronic structures of optoelectronic materials is vital for their application in high-temperature processes. Allen–Heine–Cardona (AHC) theory is an established theory to determine the impact of electron–phonon coupling on the temperature renormalization of the electronic structure. A question of fundamental interest is how applicable this approach can be in a broad range of materials. Herein, we establish the consensus on the temperature dependence of band gaps between AHC predictions and experimental measurements, in a versatile set of nine MO x metal oxides and six ABO 3 perovskites that are utilized as gas sensors. Both calculations and measurements point to the appreciable band gap downshifts within the temperature range relevant to typical high-temperature applications in all examined materials. The correlation between the band gaps and temperatures was quantified at zero- and finite-temperature limits using the analytical parameters of the O’Donnell model. We found fairly comparative agreements between AHC- and experiment-derived parameters, especially for the parameters (S and $\langle\hbar$ω$\rangle$) defining the temperature dependence behavior of band gaps at the finite-temperature regime. Our findings provide important implications for the first-principles modeling of the electronic structures and their temperature dependency, which should be the focus toward high-temperature optoelectronic applications.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Anomalous localization in a kicked quasicrystal

Abstract Quantum transport can distinguish between dynamical phases of matter. For instance, ballistic propagation characterizes the absence of disorder, whereas in many-body localized phases, particles do not propagate for exponentially long times. Additional possibilities include states of matter exhibiting anomalous transport in which particles propagate with a non-trivial exponent. Here we report the experimental observation of anomalous transport across a broad range of the phase diagram of a kicked quasicrystal. The Hamiltonian of our system has been predicted to exhibit a rich phase diagram, including not only fully localized and fully delocalized phases but also an extended region comprising a nested pattern of localized, delocalized and multifractal states, which gives rise to anomalous transport. Our cold-atom realization is enabled by new Floquet engineering techniques, which expand the accessible phase diagram by five orders of magnitude. Mapping transport properties throughout the phase diagram, we observe disorder-driven re-entrant delocalization and sub-ballistic transport, and we present a theoretical explanation of these phenomena based on eigenstate multifractality.

Physics↗
DOE OSTI2021

Improving Prediction of Peroxide Value of Edible Oils Using Regularized Regression Models

We present four unique prediction techniques, combined with multiple data pre-processing methods, utilizing a wide range of both oil types and oil peroxide values (PV) as well as incorporating natural aging for peroxide creation. Samples were PV assayed using a standard starch titration method, AOCS Method Cd 8-53, and used as a verified reference method for PV determination. Near-infrared (NIR) spectra were collected from each sample in two unique optical pathlengths (OPLs), 2 and 24 mm, then fused into a third distinct set. All three sets were used in partial least squares (PLS) regression, ridge regression, LASSO regression, and elastic net regression model calculation. While no individual regression model was established as the best, global models for each regression type and pre-processing method show good agreement between all regression types when performed in their optimal scenarios. Furthermore, small spectral window size boxcar averaging shows prediction accuracy improvements for edible oil PVs. Best-performing models for each regression type are: PLS regression, 25 point boxcar window fused OPL spectral information RMSEP = 2.50; ridge regression, 5 point boxcar window, 24 mm OPL, RMSEP = 2.20; LASSO raw spectral information, 24 mm OPL, RMSEP = 1.80; and elastic net, 10 point boxcar window, 24 mm OPL, RMSEP = 1.91. The results show promising advancements in the development of a full global model for PV determination of edible oils.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2026

Introduction to and comparison of deep learning and optimization approaches to analytical wake modeling of a tilted wind turbine

This paper introduces innovative optimization and deep learning techniques to enhance the prediction of complex wake dynamics in the downstream wind velocity of tilted wind turbines. Traditional methods for calibrating the Bastankhah wake model often lead to increased errors in wind velocity distribution due to overfitting of the local wake characteristics. To address this issue, we propose an additional global optimization step to reduce errors in wind velocity predictions with respect to various wake parameters. Despite this improvement, the Bastankhah model's axisymmetric Gaussian wake shape limits its accuracy for complex wake structures. Therefore, we also propose a deep learning approach, which demonstrates promising results by accurately modeling complex wake shapes across a broader range of tilt angles with minimal computational cost. The deep learning approach achieves near-identical predictions to high-fidelity large-eddy simulations, representing a promising advancement in wake modeling.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Density pedestal prediction model for tokamak plasmas

Abstract A model for the pedestal density prediction based on neutral penetration combined with pedestal transport is presented. The model is tested against a pedestal database of JET-ILW Type I ELMy H-modes showing good agreement over a wide range of parameters both in standalone modelling (using the experimental temperature profile) and in full Europed modelling that predicts both density and temperature pedestals simultaneously. The model is further tested for ASDEX Upgrade and MAST-U Type I ELMy H-modes and both are found to agree with the same model parameters as for JET-ILW. The JET-ILW experiment where the isotope of the main ion is varied in a D/T scan at constant gas rate and constant β N is successfully modelled as long as the separatrix density ( n e,sep ) and pedestal transport coefficient ratio ( D / χ ) are varied in accordance with the experimentally observed variation of n e,sep and the isotope dependence of D / χ found in gyrokinetic simulations. The predictions are found to be sensitive to n e,sep which is why the model is combined with an n e,sep model to predict the pedestal for the STEP fusion reactor.

Physics↗
DOE OSTI2021

Spectroscopy and electronic structure of the low-energy states of ThN

The electronic spectrum of ThN over the range 19,600–21,200 cm -1 is remarkably congested, showing at least twenty vibronic bands originating from the ground state zero-point level. Rotationally resolved spectra for eleven of these bands have been examined to probe the underlying reasons for the dense manifold of states. Dispersed fluorescence spectra and fluorescence decay lifetimes were measured to provide addition insights. Our experimental measurements were complemented by electronic structure calculations for the low-energy doublet and quartet states. The ab initio calculations yielded a density of excited states that was consistent with the congested spectrum. These states were derived from the formal configurations Th 3+ (6d)N 3- , Th 2+ (7s 2 )N 2- (2p 5 ) and Th 2+ (7s6d)N 2 -(2p 5 ). The calculations indicated that the rotational and vibrational constants would be characteristic of the electronic configurations. This prediction was not borne out by the experimental data, suggesting that the full range of inter-configurational state interactions were not captured by the computational model.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗