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At least 955 records · Page 53

Advanced Modeling Techniques to Study Anthropogenic Influences on Atmospheric Chemical Budgets

This research work is a collaborative effort between research groups at MCNC and the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. The overall objective of this research is to improve the level of understanding of the processes that determine the budgets of chemically and radiatively active compounds in the atmosphere through development and application of advanced methods for calculating the chemical change in atmospheric models. The research performed during the second year of this project focused on four major aspects: (1) The continued development and refinement of multiscale modeling techniques to address the issue of the disparate scales of the physico-chemical processes that govern the fate of atmospheric pollutants; (2) Development and application of analysis methods utilizing process and mass balance techniques to increase the interpretive powers of atmospheric models and to aid in complementary analysis of model predictions and observations; (3) Development of meteorological and emission inputs for initial application of the chemistry/transport model over the north Atlantic region; and, (4) The continued development and implementation of a totally new adaptive chemistry representation that changes the details of what is represented as the underlying conditions change.

Mathur, Rohit↗

Experimental dehydration of natural obsidian and estimation of DH2O at low water contents

Water diffusion experiments were carried out by dehydrating rhyolitic obsidian from Valles Caldera (New Mexico, USA) at 510-980 degrees C. The starting glass wafers contained approximately 0.114 wt% total water, lower than any glasses previously investigated for water diffusion. Weight loss due to dehydration was measured as a function of experiment duration, which permits determination of mean bulk water diffusivity, mean Dw. These diffusivities are in the range of 2.6 to 18 X 10(-14) m2/s and can be fit with the following Arrhenius equation: ln mean Dw (m2/s) = -(25.10 +/- 1.29) - (46,480 +/- 11,400) (J/mol) / RT, except for two replicate runs at 510 degrees C which give mean Dw values much lower than that defined by the above equation. When interpreted according to a model of water speciation in which molecular H2O is the diffusing species with concentration-independent diffusivity while OH units do not contribute to the transport but react to provide H2O, the data (except for the 510 degrees C data) are in agreement with extrapolation from previous results and hence extend the previous data base and provide a test of the applicability of the model to very low water contents. Mean bulk water diffusivities are about two orders of magnitude less than molecular H2O diffusivities because the fraction of molecular H2O out of total water is very small at 0.114 wt% total water and less. The 510 degrees C experimental results can be interpreted as due to slow kinetics of OH to H2O interconversion at low temperatures.

NASA Program Exobiology↗

Self-irradiated cooling condensations - The source of the optical line emission from cooling flows

The optical filaments seen at the centers of clusters of galaxies, which cannot be explained by standard photoionization or shock models, can be straightforwardly interpreted as self-irradiated cooling condensations. Fully developed (about 10,000 K) condensations embedded in thermally unstable 10 million K gas will be bathed in a powerful EUV/soft X-ray flux emanating from the surrounding condensing regions. The present models of the condensation/irradiation process give line ratios and luminosities similar to those observed. Because it is assumed that the condensations arise from linear perturbations, which grow significantly only when the local cooling time is less than the free-fall time, condensing regions of the type modeled here should arise only in cooling flows of central pressure less than about 1 billion ergs/cu cm and should extend only over the inner regions of the cluster.

Voit, G. Mark↗

A mechanistic understanding of oxygen isotopic changes in the Western United States at the Last Glacial Maximum

At the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM), records suggest drier conditions in the northwest United States and wetter conditions in the southwest United States relative to present-day as well as widespread changes in the isotopic composition of water. However, the mechanisms responsible for these changes remain ambiguous. Here, we explore differences in western United States hydroclimate between the LGM and preindustrial with a water isotope tracer enabled Earth System Model. We then use proxy forward models to compare simulated and recorded δ 18 O in speleothems. We find that the pattern of hydroclimate response in the western United States at the LGM relates to a combination of 1) increased frequency and southward shifted wintertime extratropical cyclones in the North Pacific, 2) greater rainout of moisture as it moves over the continent, and 3) reduced evaporation in the cooler LGM climate. The simulated lower δ 18 O of precipitation at the LGM relates predominantly to an increase in cool season moisture removal efficiency, with a secondary contribution from relatively more cool season precipitation. Both surface temperatures and North American ice sheets contribute to these hydroclimate changes at the LGM. Comparisons between δ 18 O from proxy forward models and speleothem records in the western United States show general agreement at the LGM, with increasing depletion moving towards the continental interior. Finally, this study highlights the similarities and differences between hydrologic and δ 18 O changes at the LGM and emphasizes the utility of model-proxy comparison for interpretation.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Bayesian Hierarchical Air-Sea Interaction Modeling: Application to the Labrador Sea

The objectives are to: 1) Organize data from 26 MINIMET drifters in the Labrador Sea, including sensor calibration and error checking of ARGOS transmissions. 2) Produce wind direction, barometer, and sea surface temperature time series. In addition, provide data from historical file of 150 SHARP drifters in the Labrador Sea. 3) Work with data interpretation and data-modeling assimilation issues.

Niiler, Pearn P.↗

Rapid data-driven model reduction of nonlinear dynamical systems including chemical reaction networks using ℓ 1 -regularization

We develop a new data-driven paradigm for efficient model reduction of a broad class of nonlinear dynamical systems. Our model reduction method directly enables the interpretation of key components of the dynamical system, unlike traditional projection-based model reduction methods that focus on reducing computational complexity more than interpretability. Our method is not application specific and is simple to implement on nonlinear dynamical systems arising from a variety of different fields. It requires minimal parameterization using a single parameter to trade-off between model complexity and estimation error. We use a data-driven paradigm to formulate model reduction as an efficient convex optimization problem that scales polynomially in the original size of the complex system, enabling systems with as many as thousands of components to be reduced in a matter of minutes.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Dislocation loop evolution in Kr-irradiated ThO 2

Here, the early stage of microstructural evolution of ThO 2 , under krypton irradiation at 600, 800, and 1000°C, was investigated using in situ transmission electron microscopy (TEM). Dislocation loops grew faster, whereas their number density decreased with increasing irradiation temperature. Loop density was found to decrease with ion dose. Interstitial dislocation loops, including Frank loops with Burgers vector of $\textit{a}/3\langle111\rangle$ and perfect loops with Burgers vector of $\textit{a}/2\langle110\rangle$, were determined by traditional TEM and atomic resolution–scanning TEM techniques. Atomistic and mesoscale level modeling are performed to interpret experimental observations. The migration energy barriers of defects in ThO 2 were calculated using density-functional theory. The energetics of different dislocation loop types were studied using molecular dynamics simulations. Loop density and diameter were analyzed using a kinetic rate theory model that considers stoichiometric loop evolution. This analysis reveals that loop growth is governed by the mobility of cation interstitials, whereas loop nucleation is determined by the mobility of anion defects. Lastly, a rate theory model was used to extract the diffusion coefficients of thorium interstitials, oxygen interstitials, and vacancies.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Modern chemical graph theory

Abstract Graph theory has a long history in chemistry. Yet as the breadth and variety of chemical data is rapidly changing, so too do graph encoding methods and analyses that yield qualitative and quantitative insights. Using illustrative cases within a basic mathematical framework, we showcase modern chemical graph theory's utility in Chemists' analysis and model development toolkit. The encoding of both experimental and simulation data is discussed at various levels of granularity of information. This is followed by a discussion of the two major classes of graph theoretical analyses: identifying connectivity patterns and partitioning methods. Measures, metrics, descriptors, and topological indices are then introduced with an emphasis upon enhancing interpretability and incorporation into physical models. Challenging data cases are described that include strategies for studying time dependence. Throughout, we incorporate recent advancements in computer science and applied mathematics that are propelling chemical graph theory into new domains of chemical study. This article is categorized under: Molecular and Statistical Mechanics > Molecular Dynamics and Monte‐Carlo Methods Structure and Mechanism > Computational Materials Science Structure and Mechanism > Molecular Structures

Leite, Leonardo S. G.↗

New Evidence that CMEs are Self-Propelled Magnetic Bubbles

We briefly describe the "standard model" for the production of coronal mass ejections (CMEs), and our view of how it works. We then summarize pertinent recent results that we have found from SOHO observations of CMEs and the flares at the sources of these magnetic explosions. These results support our interpretation of the standard model: a CME is basically a self-propelled magnetic bubble, a low-beta plasmoitl, that (1) is built and unleashed by the tether-cutting reconnection that builds and heats the coronal flare arcade, (2) can explode from a flare site that is far from centered under the full-blown CME in the outer corona, and (3) drives itself out into the solar wind by pushing on the surrounding coronal magnetic field.

Moore, Ronald L.↗

Use of Rig Parameter Data in Bit Constraint Models for Improved Drilling Performance at The Geysers

Surface parameter measurements are routinely used during deep well construction to monitor and guide drilling conditions for improved performance and reduced costs. However, these measurements are of reduced value without a standard to aid in evaluation and decision making. A method is demonstrated whereby drill bit constraint models are used to interpret drilling response parameters. Drill rig parameter data for well GDC-36 at the Geysers Geothermal Field Power were acquired by Geysers Power Company and drilling contractor Kenai Drilling using Pason US DataHub and evaluated. Drilling parameters are evaluated using laboratory-validated rock reduction models for predicting the phenomenological response of drag bits (Detournay and Defourny, 1992) along with other model constraints in computational algorithms. The method is used to evaluate overall bit performance, monitor bit integrity, and detect the presence of drillstring vibrations and other conditions contributing to bit failure; comparisons are made to observations of bit wear and damage. The method will be applied in real-time to improve decision-making on subsequent wells and has applicability to development of advanced analytics on future geothermal wells using real-time electronic drilling recorder (EDR) data for improved performance and reduced drilling costs.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Leveraging public AI tools to explore systems biology resources in mathematical modeling

Predictive mathematical modeling is an essential part of systems biology and is interconnected with information management. Systems biology information is often stored in specialized formats to facilitate data storage and analysis. These formats are not designed for easy human readability and thus require specialized software to visualize and interpret results. Therefore, comprehending modeling and underlying networks and pathways is contingent on mastering systems biology tools, which is particularly challenging for users with no or little background in data science or system biology. To address this challenge, we investigated the usage of public Artificial Intelligence (AI) tools in exploring systems biology resources in mathematical modeling. We tested public AI’s understanding of mathematics in models, related systems biology data, and the complexity of model structures. Our approach can enhance the accessibility of systems biology for non-system biologists and help them understand systems biology without a deep learning curve.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

A model of Jupiter's sulfur nebula

A simple model of Jupiter's S II emission nebula is developed on the basis of a complete treatment of electron-impact excitation of sulfur ions. Forbidden line emission from S II ions excited by electron collisions in the Jovian nebula is analyzed, and existing observations are interpreted using a simple model of an S II nebula which is uniform in depth. The results show that the depth of the nebula is 300,000 to 600,000 km, the electron density is about 3160 per cu cm, the electron temperature is approximately 25,000 K, and the S II concentration is roughly 79 ions per cu cm. It is noted that these plasma conditions are quite different from those reported for the same region on the basis of Pioneer 10 data, indicating that the S II nebula is a sporadic event. Io is suggested as the source of the sulfur.

Brown, R. A.↗

Unsupervised Process Anomaly Detection and Identification Using the Leave-One-Variable-Out Approach

Automated anomaly detection and identification can signal equipment issues and pinpoint causes in large-scale industrial systems. For systems with limited failure history, unsupervised machine learning methods can be utilized as they do not require past failures. This study introduces the leave-one-variable-out (LOVO) model, which masks one variable at a time to predict the others, learning underlying process correlations. Detection performance was assessed with synthetic and experimental data, while identification performance used only synthetic data due to its ability to generate labeled anomaly types. For detection using synthetic data, the LOVO model generally outperformed comparative models; while using experimental data, the comparative methods outperformed the LOVO model. However, the comparative methods required selecting a latent size, and these conclusions pertain to using the optimal size. In practice, it would not be feasible to always select the optimal value, and incorrect selections impacted performance. In contrast, the LOVO model does not require a latent space. For identification using synthetic data, the LOVO model was slightly outperformed in interpretability and repeatability but still demonstrated impressive results. These outcomes suggest that the LOVO model is an effective model and may be more easily implemented without the challenging tuning process of selecting a latent size.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Research on lunar Mare emplacement and impact cratering experiments

A model was derived enabling the interpretation of lunar styles of volcanism through the analysis of various surface features. The model was applied to several areas on the Moon, including the Orientale Basin, the Smythii Basin, the Herigonious region, and several highland areas. Concurrent with the application of the model, several topical studies of various aspects of lunar volcanism were completed. A series of impact crater experiments was conducted at NASA Ames in order to determine the effect that viscous targets would have on cratering mechanics and morphology for application in studies of Martian ejecta flow craters. The results of the experiments led to a model that can account for the formation of multiple flow lobes and the general morphology of some aspects of Martian craters.

Greeley, R.↗

Multispectral studies of selected crater- and basin-filling lunar Maria from Galileo Earth-Moon encounter 1

New visible and near-infrared multispectral data of the Moon were obtained by the Galileo spacecraft in December, 1990. These data were calibrated with Earth-based spectral observations of the nearside to compare compositional information to previously uncharacterized mare basalts filling craters and basins on the western near side and eastern far side. A Galileo-based spectral classification scheme, modified from the Earth-based scheme developed by Pieters, designates the different spectral classifications of mare basalt observed using the 0.41/0.56 micron reflectance ratio (titanium content), 0.56 micron reflectance values (albedo), and 0.76/0.99 micron reflectance ratio (absorption due to Fe(2+) in mafic minerals and glass). In addition, age determinations from crater counts and results of a linear spectral mixing model were used to assess the volcanic histories of specific regions of interest. These interpreted histories were related to models of mare basalt petrogenesis in an attempt to better understand the evolution of lunar volcanism.

Williams, D. A.↗

Future Global Mortality from Changes in Air Pollution Attributable to Climate Change

Ground-level ozone and fine particulate matter (PM (sub 2.5)) are associated with premature human mortality; their future concentrations depend on changes in emissions, which dominate the near-term, and on climate change. Previous global studies of the air-quality-related health effects of future climate change used single atmospheric models. However, in related studies, mortality results differ among models. Here we use an ensemble of global chemistry-climate models to show that premature mortality from changes in air pollution attributable to climate change, under the high greenhouse gas scenario RCP (Representative Concentration Pathway) 8.5, is probably positive. We estimate 3,340 (30,300 to 47,100) ozone-related deaths in 2030, relative to 2000 climate, and 43,600 (195,000 to 237,000) in 2100 (14 percent of the increase in global ozone-related mortality). For PM (sub 2.5), we estimate 55,600 (34,300 to 164,000) deaths in 2030 and 215,000 (76,100 to 595,000) in 2100 (countering by 16 percent the global decrease in PM (sub 2.5)-related mortality). Premature mortality attributable to climate change is estimated to be positive in all regions except Africa, and is greatest in India and East Asia. Most individual models yield increased mortality from climate change, but some yield decreases, suggesting caution in interpreting results from a single model. Climate change mitigation is likely to reduce air-pollution-related mortality.

Atmohspheric chemistry↗

Q -score as a reliability measure for protein, nucleic acid and small-molecule atomic coordinate models derived from 3DEM maps

Atomic coordinate models are important for the interpretation of 3D maps produced with cryoEM and cryoET (3D electron microscopy; 3DEM). In addition to visual inspection of such maps and models, quantitative metrics can inform about the reliability of the atomic coordinates, in particular how well the model is supported by the experimentally determined 3DEM map. A recently introduced metric, Q-score, was shown to correlate well with the reported resolution of the map for well fitted models. Here, we present new statistical analyses of Q-score based on its application to ∼10 000 maps and models archived in the EMDB (Electron Microscopy Data Bank) and PDB (Protein Data Bank). Further, we introduce two new metrics based on Q-score to represent each map and model relative to all entries in the EMDB and those with similar resolution. We explore through illustrative examples of proteins, nucleic acids and small molecules how Q-scores can indicate whether the atomic coordinates are well fitted to 3DEM maps and also whether some parts of a map may be poorly resolved due to factors such as molecular flexibility, radiation damage and/or conformational heterogeneity. These examples and statistical analyses provide a basis for how Q-scores can be interpreted effectively in order to evaluate 3DEM maps and atomic coordinate models prior to publication and archiving.

B factors↗

Tidal disruption and the appearance of periodic comet Shoemaker-Levy 9

A unified model is formulated to interpret quantitatively the observed characteristics of the nuclear train, the two dust trails, and the tail region of P/Shoemaker-Levy 9 in terms of a collisionally modified rotation velocity distribution of the comet's debris. Since there is no evidence for the comet's out-gassing, the model does not assume activity. The discruption of the parent comet was due primarily to tidal stesses during its extremely close approach to Juptier in July 1992. The original nucleus is found to have been most probably approximately 5 km in radius or, equivalently, approximately 10(exp 17) g in mass. The dynamical separation of the debris occurred apparently approximately 2.2 hr after the perijove passage, even though the actual fragmentation of the original mass is likely to have begun before closest approach. Physical breakp was accompanied by ubiquitous low-velocity collisions among the particulates, resulting in a rearrangement of the initial rotaional velocities into a rapidly 'thermalized' distribution, characterized by a long tail of relatively high velocities for the debris that populates the dust trails far from the nuclear train. Compelling evidence is presented for secondary fragmentation events, indicative of the comet's continuing disintegration. Secondary fragmentation may be caused by rotational bursting of the massive fragments that had been cracked but unbroken during the tidal disruption. Impact conditions and possible interactions of the comet's debris with the jovian system during the encounter in July 1994 are described.

Sekanina, Z.↗