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At least 955 records · Page 53

Towards Trust-Augmented Visual Analytics for Data-Driven Energy Modeling

The promise of data-driven predictive modeling is being increasingly realized in various science and engineering disciplines, where experts are used to the more conventional, simulation-driven modeling practices. However, trust remains a bottleneck for greater adoption of machine learning-based models for domain experts, who might not be necessarily trained in data science. In this paper, we focus on the building energy domain, where physics-based simulations are being complemented or replaced by machine learning-based methods for forecasting energy supply and demand at various spatio-temporal scales. We study the trust problem in close collaboration with energy scientists and engineers and describe how visual analytics can be leveraged for alleviating this trust bottleneck for stakeholders with varying degrees of expertise and analytics goals in this domain.

Kandakatla, Akshith R.↗

PMU Data Integrity Evaluation through Analytics on a Virtual Test-Bed

Power systems are rapidly becoming populated by phasor measurement units (PMUs) in ever increasing numbers. PMUs are critical components of today s energy management systems, designed to enable near real-time wide area monitoring and control of the electric power system. They are able to measure highly accurate bus voltage phasors as well as branch current phasors incident to the buses at which PMUs are equipped. Synchrophasor data is used for applications varying from state estimation, islanding control, identifying outages, voltage stability detection and correction, disturbance recording, and others. However, PMU-measured readings may suffer from errors due to meter biases or drifts, incorrect configurations, or even cyber-attacks. Furthermore, the testing of early PMUs showed a large disparity between the reported values from PMUs provided by different manufacturers, particularly when frequency was off-nominal, during dynamic events, and when harmonic/inter-harmonic content was present. Detection and identification of PMU gross measurement errors are thus crucial in maintaining highly accurate phasor readings throughout the system. In this paper, we present our work in conducting analytics to determine the trustworthiness and worth of the PMU readings collected across an electric network system. By implementing the IEEE 118 bus test case on a virtual test bed (VTB) , we are able to emulate PMU readings (bus voltage and branch current phasors in addition to bus frequencies) under normal and abnormal conditions using (virtual) PMU sensors deployed across major substations in the network. We emulate a variety of failures such as bus, line, transformer, generator, and/or load failures. Data analytics on the voltage phase angles and frequencies collected from the PMUs show that specious (or compromised) PMU device(s) can be identified through abnormal behaviour by comparing the trend of its frequency and phase angle reading with the ensemble of all other PMU readings in the network. If the reading trend of a particular PMU deviates from the weighted average of the reading trends of other PMUs at nearby substations, then it is likely that the PMU is malfunctioning. We assign a weight to each PMU denoting how electric-topology-wise close it is from where the PMU under consideration is located. The closer a PMU is, the higher the weight it has. To compute the closeness between two nodes in the power network, we employ a form of the resistance distance metric. It computes the electrical distance by taking into consideration the underlying topology as well as the physical laws that govern the electrical connections or flows between the network components. The detection accuracy of erroneous PMUs should be improved by employing this metric. We present results to validate the proposed approach. We also discuss the effectiveness of using an end-to-end VTB approach that allows us to investigate different types of failures and their responses as seen by the ensemble of PMUs. The collected data on certain types of events may be amenable to certain types of analysis (e.g., alerting for sudden changes can be done on a small window of data) and hence determine the data analytics architectures is required to evaluate the streaming PMU data.

and data analytics architecture.↗

Analytics-at-scale of Sensor Data for Digital Monitoring in Nuclear Plants: 2nd Annual Report

For economic reasons, the nuclear industry is witnessing premature closure of nuclear power plants, despite excellent safety records. Operations and Maintenance (O&M) activities are some of the largest costs in operating legacy light-water plants. By reducing O&M costs, nuclear energy can become more economically competitive with other energy sources. This can be achieved by leveraging machine-learning and artificial intelligence technologies to develop data-driven algorithms to better diagnose potential faults within the system. Improved accuracy of the models can lead to a reduction in unnecessary maintenance, thus reducing costs associated with parts, labor, and unnecessary planned, forced, or extended outages. To address these challenges, the goal of this project is to perform research and development in the area of digital monitoring, i.e., the application of advanced sensor technologies (particularly wireless sensor technologies) and data science based analytic capabilities, to advance online monitoring and predictive maintenance in nuclear plants and improve plant performance (efficiency gain and economic competitiveness). This report summarizes the fiscal year 2020 research progress encompassing (1) different wireless vibration sensor and data indicators used to assess the health of a plant asset; (2) development of diagnostic models for fault detection; and (3) development of prognostic models for estimating the health of the system up to 7 days ahead.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

ALACRITY: Analytics-Driven Lossless Data Compression for Rapid In-Situ Indexing, Storing, and Querying. In: Transactions on Large-Scale Data- and Knowledge-Centered Systems X. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 8220

High-performance computing architectures face nontrivial data processing challenges, as computational and I/O components further diverge in performance trajectories. For scientific data analysis in particular, methods based on generating heavyweight access acceleration structures, e.g. indexes, are becoming less feasible for ever-increasing dataset sizes. We present ALACRITY, demonstrating the effectiveness of a fused data and index encoding of scientific, floating-point data in generating lightweight data structures amenable to common types of queries used in scientific data analysis. We exploit the representation of floating-point values by extracting significant bytes, using the resulting unique values to bin the remaining data along fixed-precision boundaries. To optimize query processing, we use an inverted index, mapping each generated bin to a list of records contained within, allowing us to optimize query processing with attribute range constraints. Overall, the storage footprint for both index and data is shown to be below numerous configurations of bitmap indexing, while matching or outperforming query performance.

Compression Ratio↗

Roadmap and Benchmarking: Privacy in Federated Load Forecasting

Data-driven techniques for energy demand forecasting continue to emerge with promising impacts on distribution grid planning. However, the development of robust and generalizable machine learning models requires that representative high quality training data are available. Distributed energy resources have begun to embed intelligence, gathering large amounts of data on customer demand, behavior, and household devices that are connected to the grid. Though utilities aggregate meter-level demand data for load shaping, demand response, outage management, reliability planning, and billing applications, there lies an inherent privacy concern in sharing consumption data that may identify individual consumer behavioral patterns. Hence, while sharing the data is crucial, the private sensitive customer data must be safeguarded from being exposed or manipulated. In this study, we propose a roadmap for implementing a based privacy preserving framework to support the advancement of data-driven analytics in data-sensitive distributed energy resources environments. The roadmap incorporates federated learning–a distributed training framework, differential privacy–a statistical framework that provides guarantees to safeguard the leakage of sensitive data, secure multiparty computation and homomorphic encryption– techniques for encrypting model gradients and applying secure aggregation on the server. Moreover, we perform baseline experiments on the federated short-term load forecasting (STLF) task using open-source residential load profile datasets, offering insights into the challenges of integrating differential privacy into federated learning.

Abebe, Waqwoya [Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORN↗

Synthesizing pseudo-Kossel lines from neutron transmission data. I. An analytical approach for recovering single-crystal orientation

The energy-dispersive neutron spectra transmitted through single crystals are characterized by sharp Bragg dips at specific wavelengths, where Bragg's law is being fulfilled for certain crystallographic planes. This phenomenon allows for developing methods for crystal-orientation determination techniques similar to electron backscatter diffraction and X-ray diffraction microscopy. This work presents a new procedure to recover the orientation matrix for single crystals using transmission spectra recorded during rotation of a crystal about an axis perpendicular to a polychromatic neutron beam. The proposed method consists of an initial transformation of the as-collected wavelength–rotation maps to a wavevector $\textit{K}$ space, resulting in linear pseudo-Kossel lines that are suitable for analysis and indexing using image-processing procedures. Further, simulated neutron transmission spectra through a copper crystal with known orientations were used to set and prove the numerical approach. This technique may be expanded for cases where the neutron beam intersects multiple single-crystal grains with different orientations.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Query Optimization for Graph Analytics on Linked Data Using SPARQL

Triplestores that support query languages such as SPARQL are emerging as the preferred and scalable solution to represent data and meta-data as massive heterogeneous graphs using Semantic Web standards. With increasing adoption, the desire to conduct graph-theoretic mining and exploratory analysis has also increased. Addressing that desire, this paper presents a solution that is the marriage of Graph Theory and the Semantic Web. We present software that can analyze Linked Data using graph operations such as counting triangles, finding eccentricity, testing connectedness, and computing PageRank directly on triple stores via the SPARQL interface. We describe the process of optimizing performance of the SPARQL-based implementation of such popular graph algorithms by reducing the space-overhead, simplifying iterative complexity and removing redundant computations by understanding query plans. Our optimized approach shows significant performance gains on triplestores hosted on stand-alone workstations as well as hardware-optimized scalable supercomputers such as the Cray XMT.

96 KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT AND PRESERVATION↗

Comprehensive Data Analysis and Analytic Method Development for PBX9501 Material (FY2019 Annual Report of Aging and Lifetimes Program)

In the polymer bonded explosive (PBX) 9501, a binder consisting of 2.5 wt% nitroplasticizer (NP) and 2.5 wt% Estane R 5703 (Estane) is combined with 94.9 wt% of the high-explosive HMX and 0.1 wt% stabilizer. Because of its flexibility and tensile strength, this binder lowers the sensitivity and improves the manufacturability of PBX 9501. However, like many plasticizers comprised of low molecular weight components, NP has a tendency to diffuse out of the PBX 9501 matrix and can decompose at moderate temperatures into reactive byproducts, such as NO, NO 2 , H 2 O, and HNO x . Through oxidation and hydrolysis, these molecules can further degrade NP and Estane, ultimately degrading the properties of PBX 9501. While gaseous molecules can readily diffuse out of the PBX 9501 charges, the intermediates with lower volatility are more likely trapped in the condensed phase inside the charges and, in a closed system, will co-exist with Estane for an extended period of time creating an ongoing reactive environment. Understanding the rates of formation for these volatiles and intermediates during the NP degradation is therefore a critical prerequisite for understanding the long-term stability of polymeric binders used in munition systems. To work toward this ultimate goal, in the past year, we have conducted comprehensive studies on the physical properties of NP and finished three-year long aging experiment to understand the aging behavior of NP under thermal treatment. Important results are summarized in this annual report. Although NP is widely used in the DOE complex, their physical properties are rather scattered and inconsistent in the open literature. For example, there are at least two widely different values, 14.5°C and -15°C, for the melting point of NP. Although it is known that NP is a eutectic 50:50 mixture of BDNPA and BDNPF, their eutectic phase diagram is not well documented. Furthermore, the effect of temperature on the miscibility between water and eutectic BDNPA/F mixture is rarely reported. To fill these knowledge gaps, a large set of BDNPA/F mixtures with BDNPA concentration ranging from 0 to 100 wt% was analyzed using DSC techniques. In addition to determining the eutectic melt point as -25°C, a phase diagram of the BDNPA/F system was constructed from -30°C to 45°C. With this phase diagram, the phase transition temperatures and composition can be readily found for the BDNPA/F mixtures with various mass ratios.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Carbon Storage Technical Viability Approach (CS TVA): An Integrated Approach for Feasibility and Data Resource Assessment

There is currently a poor understanding and lack of workflow to understand the technical viability of carbon storage spatially. To address this gap, the multi-faceted Carbon Storage Technical Viability Approach (CS TVA) is being developed to incorporate CO2 storage resources, environmental and socio-economic justice (EJ/SJ) factors to enable more comprehensive assessments. The CS TVA includes a (1) matrix framework, (2) an integrated and labeled database, (3) a data availability assessment workflow, and (4) spatial data availability assessment results. This approach leverages spatial and data science analytics to communicate data density, uncertainty, and gaps. The workflow can be applied in whole or in part, based on user needs.

Rodriguez, Neyda Cordero↗

Data Visualization and Analytics for Optimal Process Parameter Selection in Turning

The objective of this project is to research physics-guided machine learning methods to recommend optimal tools and machining process parameters for turning applications using the MSC test database. For a given turning application, the MSC metalworking specialist needs to make decisions on tools and the associated process parameters for the MSC customer. For a given material, there are many alternatives for tools and a wide range of process parameters to consider. MSC has built a database of tools and parameters for different applications from the historical turning tests completed at various customer sites. The research project aims to use machine learning methods to predict optimal tools and process parameters for the MSC metalworking specialists using the MSC test database. This enables continuous learning of optimal tool and process parameters for different applications as new information is collected from testing. Through MSC, this information can be shared with machining shops across the US leading to improved productivity and efficiency.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Grid-Ready Energy Analytics Training with Data (“GREAT with Data”)

GridEd is a collaborative educational initiative consisting of the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI), 5 Partner Universities (Stony Brook University, The University of Texas at Austin, University of California – Riverside, Virginia Tech, Washington State University), and participating industry sponsors. This educational initiative focuses on developing and training the next generation of power engineers so they can help shape the electric grid of the future by anticipating and fulfilling the needs of changing electric industry requirements. GridEd is leveraging electric industry research to educate a future electric grid workforce by empowering new and continuing education students, not only to become competent and well-informed engineers, but also to participate and influence major technological, social, and policy decisions that address critical global challenges. GridEd’s activities are centered around four core pillars: Enhancement of university power systems engineering curricula; Professional development and training for a diverse electric industry workforce; Stimulating students to join the movement for the next generation of power engineers, and; Improve workforce development efforts in the electric utility industry. Major accomplishments over the course of the project were: Over 50 unique professional short courses were delivered by more than 30 instructors across the GridEd network; Over 3,600 unique learners, many who took multiple courses, received more than 27,000 professional development hours (PDH) and over 1,000 certificates of completion; Approximately 2,900 unique learners undertook a course that was offered LIVE online or in-person; Approximately 700 unique learners undertook a course that was offered as computer-based training (CBT); Over 35 unique university courses were delivered by more than 30 instructors to 1,500 university students across the GridEd network; One-hundred-and-fifty-seven (157) students were funded to completed 43 student projects in topics of power systems and data science, and; Six (6) Historically Black Colleges and Universities (HBCUs) recruited as Affiliate Universities via Utility Partners. The professional training initiative and workforce development activities launched by this project will be sustained through EPRI’s collaborative business model with industry. Stimulating students to join the power engineering workforce of the future and the enhancement of tertiary training may continue to need government support.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

The MGGB equation-of-state for multifield applications: a numerical recipe for analytic expression of sesame EOS data

Abstract A thermodynamically consistent and fully general equation–of– state (EOS) for multifield applications is described. EOS functions are derived from a Helmholtz free energy expressed as the sum of thermal (fluctuational) and collisional (condensed–phase) contributions; thus the free energy is of the Mie–Gr¨uneisen1 form. The phase–coexistence region is defined using a parameterized saturation curve by extending the form introduced by Guggenheim,2 which scales the curve relative to conditions at the critical point. We use the zero–temperature condensed–phase contribution developed by Barnes,3 which extends the Thomas–Fermi–Dirac equation to zero pressure. Thus, the functional form of the EOS could be called MGGB (for Mie– Gr¨uneisen–Guggenheim–Barnes). Substance–specific parameters are obtained by fitting the low–density energy to data from the Sesame4 library; fitting the zero–temperature pressure to the Sesame cold curve; and fitting the saturation curve and latent heat to laboratory data,5 if available. When suitable coexistence data, or Sesame data, are not available, then we apply the Principle of Corresponding States.2 Thus MGGB can be thought of as a numerical recipe for rendering the tabular Sesame EOS data in an analytic form that includes a proper coexistence region, and which permits the accurate calculation of derivatives associated with compressibility, expansivity, Joule coefficient, and specific heat, all of which are required for multifield applications. 1

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗