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Tests of the Grobner Basis Solution for Lightning Ground Flash Fraction Retrieval

Satellite lightning imagers such as the NASA Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission Lightning Imaging Sensor (TRMM/LIS) and the future GOES-R Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM) are designed to detect total lightning (ground flashes + cloud flashes). However, there is a desire to discriminate ground flashes from cloud flashes from the vantage point of space since this would enhance the overall information content of the satellite lightning data and likely improve its operational and scientific applications (e.g., in severe weather warning, lightning nitrogen oxides studies, and global electric circuit analyses). A Bayesian inversion method was previously introduced for retrieving the fraction of ground flashes in a set of flashes observed from a satellite lightning imager. The method employed a constrained mixed exponential distribution model to describe the lightning optical measurements. To obtain the optimum model parameters (one of which is the ground flash fraction), a scalar function was minimized by a numerical method. In order to improve this optimization, a Grobner basis solution was introduced to obtain analytic representations of the model parameters that serve as a refined initialization scheme to the numerical optimization. In this study, we test the efficacy of the Grobner basis initialization using actual lightning imager measurements and ground flash truth derived from the national lightning network.

Koshak, William↗

Current Usage and Future Prospects of Multispectral (RGB) Satellite Imagery in Support of NWS Forecast Offices and National Centers

Current and future satellite sensors provide remotely sensed quantities from a variety of wavelengths ranging from the visible to the passive microwave, from both geostationary and low-Earth orbits. The NASA Short-term Prediction Research and Transition (SPoRT) Center has a long history of providing multispectral imagery from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) aboard NASA s Terra and Aqua satellites in support of NWS forecast office activities. Products from MODIS have recently been extended to include a broader suite of multispectral imagery similar to those developed by EUMETSAT, based upon the spectral channel s available from the Spinning Enhanced Visible and InfraRed Imager (SEVIRI) aboard METEOSAT-9. This broader suite includes products that discriminate between air mass types associated with synoptic-scale features, assists in the identification of dust, and improves upon paired channel difference detection of fog and low cloud events. Similarly, researchers at NOAA/NESDIS and CIRA have developed air mass discrimination capabilities using channels available from the current GOES Sounders. Other applications of multispectral composites include combinations of high and low frequency, horizontal and vertically polarized passive microwave brightness temperatures to discriminate tropical cyclone structures and other synoptic-scale features. Many of these capabilities have been transitioned for evaluation and operational use at NWS Weather Forecast Offices and National Centers through collaborations with SPoRT and CIRA. Future instruments will continue the availability of these products and also expand upon current capabilities. The Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI) on GOES-R will improve the spectral, spatial, and temporal resolution of our current geostationary capabilities, and the recent launch of the Suomi National Polar-Orbiting Partnership (S-NPP) carries instruments such as the Visible Infrared Imager Radiometer Suite (VIIRS), the Cross-track Infrared Sounder (CrIS), and the Advanced Technology Microwave Sounder (ATMS), which have unrivaled spectral and spatial resolution, as precursors to the JPSS era (i.e., the next generation of polar orbiting satellites). At the same time, new image manipulation and display capabilities are available within AWIPS II, the next generation of the NWS forecaster decision support system. This presentation will present a review of SPoRT, CIRA, and NRL collaborations regarding multispectral satellite imagery and articulate an integrated and collaborative path forward with Raytheon AWIPS II development staff for integrating current and future capabilities that support new satellite instrumentation and the AWIPS II decision support system.

Molthan, Andrew L.↗

Quantifying Black Carbon Deposition Over the Greenland Ice Sheet from Forest Fires in Canada

Black carbon (BC) concentrations observed in 22 snowpits sampled in the northwest sector of the Greenland ice sheet in April 2014 have allowed us to identify a strong and widespread BC aerosol deposition event, which was dated to have accumulated in the pits from two snow storms between 27 July and 2 August 2013. This event comprises a significant portion (57 on average across all pits) of total BC deposition over 10 months (July 2013 to April 2014). Here we link this deposition event to forest fires burning in Canada during summer 2013 using modeling and remote sensing tools. Aerosols were detected by both the Cloud-Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization (on board CALIPSO) and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (Aqua) instruments during transport between Canada and Greenland. We use high-resolution regional chemical transport modeling (WRF-Chem) combined with high-resolution fire emissions (FINNv1.5) to study aerosol emissions, transport, and deposition during this event. The model captures the timing of the BC deposition event and shows that fires in Canada were the main source of deposited BC. However, the model underpredicts BC deposition compared to measurements at all sites by a factor of 2100. Underprediction of modeled BC deposition originates from uncertainties in fire emissions and model treatment of wet removal of aerosols. Improvements in model descriptions of precipitation scavenging and emissions from wildfires are needed to correctly predict deposition, which is critical for determining the climate impacts of aerosols that originate from fires.

albedo↗

CMB-HD: an Ultra-Deep, High-Resolution Millimeter-Wave Survey over Half the Sky

A millimeter-wave survey over half the sky, that spans frequencies in the range of 30 to 350 gigahertz, and that is both an order of magnitude deeper and of higher-resolution than currently funded surveys would yield an enormous gain in understanding of both fundamental physics and astrophysics. By providing such a deep, high-resolution millimeter-wave survey (about 0.5 microK-arcminutes noise and 15 arcseconds resolution at 150 gigahertz), CMB-HD (Cosmic Microwave Background - Henry Draper catalog entry) will enable major advances. It will allow 1) the use of gravitational lensing of the primordial microwave background to map the distribution of matter on small scales (k approximately equal to 10 h per megaparsec), which probes dark matter particle properties. It will also allow 2) measurements of the thermal and kinetic Sunyaev-Zel’dovich effects on small scales to map the gas density and gas pressure profiles of halos over a wide field, which probes galaxy evolution and cluster astrophysics. In addition, CMB-HD would allow us to cross critical thresholds in fundamental physics: 3) ruling out or detecting any new, light (less than 0.1 electronvolts), thermal particles, which could potentially be the dark matter, and 4) testing a wide class of multi-field models that could explain an epoch of inflation in the early Universe. Such a survey would also 5) monitor the transient sky by mapping the full observing region every few days, which opens a new window on gamma-ray bursts, novae, fast radio bursts, and variable active galactic nuclei. Moreover, CMB-HD would 6) provide a census of planets, dwarf planets, and asteroids in the outer Solar System, and 7) enable the detection of exo-Oort clouds around other solar systems, shedding light on planet formation. The combination of CMB-HD with contemporary ground and space-based experiments will also provide powerful synergies. CMB-HD will deliver this survey in 5 years of observing 20,000 square degrees, using two new 30-meter-class off-axis cross-Dragone telescopes to be located at Cerro Toco in the Atacama Desert. The telescopes will field about 2.4 million detectors (600,000 pixels) in total. The CMB-HD survey will be made publicly available, with usability and accessibility a priority.

Sehgal, Neelima↗

CMB-HD: An Ultra-Deep, High-Resolution Millimeter-Wave Survey Over Half the Sky

A millimeter-wave survey over half the sky, that spans frequencies in the range of 30 to 350 GHz, and that is both an order of magnitude deeper and of higher-resolution than currently funded surveys would yield an enormous gain in understanding of both fundamental physics and astrophysics. By providing such a deep, high-resolution millimeter-wave survey (about 0.5 Karcmin noise and 15 arcsecond resolution at 150 GHz), CMB-HD will enable major advances.It will allow 1.) the use of gravitational lensing of the primordial microwave background to map the distribution of matter on small scales (k 10 hMpc1), which probes dark matter particle properties. It will also allow 2.) measurements of the thermal and kinetic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich effects on small scales to map the gas density and gas pressure profiles of halos over a wide field,which probes galaxy evolution and cluster astrophysics. In addition, CMB-HD would allow us to cross critical thresholds in fundamental physics: 3.) ruling out or detecting any new, light (< 0:1 eV), thermal particles, which could potentially be the dark matter, and 4.) testing a wide class of multi-field models that could explain an epoch of inflation in the early Universe. Such a survey would also 5.) monitor the transient sky by mapping the full observing region every few days,which opens a new window on gamma-ray bursts, novae, fast radio bursts, and variable active galactic nuclei. Moreover, CMB-HD would 6.) provide a census of planets, dwarf planets, andasteroids in the outer Solar System, and 7.) enable the detection of exo-Oort clouds around othersolar systems, shedding light on planet formation. The combination of CMB-HD with contemporaryground and space-based experiments will also provide powerful synergies. CMB-HD willdeliver this survey in 5 years of observing 20,000 square degrees, using two new 30-meter-classoff-axis cross-Dragone telescopes to be located at Cerro Toco in the Atacama Desert. The telescopeswill field about 2.4 million detectors (600,000 pixels) in total. The CMB-HD survey willbe made publicly available, with usability and accessibility a priority.

Sehgal, Neelima↗

Evaluation of NASA’s Remote-Sensing Capabilities in Coastal Environments

This work represents the second part of a two-part study set up by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) and Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM) in 2017. The study summarizes a three-year investigation on the feasibility of using satellite remote sensing to monitor emissions of oil and gas operations over the outer continental shelf (OCS) to determine if they have negative impacts on coastal air quality (AQ). The target pollutant is nitrogen dioxide (NO2), for which BOEM conducts regular emissions surveys. The major data source for this report is a May 2019 oceanographic cruise (“SCOAPE” = Satellite Coastal and Oceanic Atmospheric Pollution Experiment) conducted in the Gulf of Mexico (GoM) off Louisiana with the Research Vessel Point Sur, loaded with a suite of trace-gas analyzers and a direct-sun remote sensor Pandora spectrometer that measures column NO2. The SCOAPE cruise, augmented by in situ NO2 and Pandora measurements at Cocodrie (Louisiana; 29.25° N, 90.66° W) showed that (1) under cloud-free conditions, satellites can detect elevated column NO2 amounts near isolated large platforms and from clusters of smaller operations; (2) satellite (the European Space Agency’s TROPOspheric Monitoring Instrument [TROPOMI]) total column (TC) NO2 agrees well with TC NO2 from ground-based Pandora spectrometers (to 11–18%), with the satellite biased low when pollution levels are higher; (3) in general, NO2 measured in situ and in column amounts by Pandora or TROPOMI is greater over coastal Louisiana than over the OCS; (4) the extent to which Pandora or satellite measurements correlate with surface NO2 is highly variable.

NO2↗

Cubespark: A New Satellite-Based 3d Lightning Observing Concept

Legacy and current space-based optical lightning detectors are insensitive to small and dim pulses that make up much of the lightning activity produced by severe storms. Moreover, lightning flashes produced at low altitudes within optically thick clouds are severely under-detected by current optical detectors. Lastly, there is currently no capability to characterize the 3D structure of lightning both day and night at the global scale, yet this information is critical for identifying lightning produced in updraft regions, including lightning occurring in overshooting tops, which is a distinctive signature of severe weather. Global 3D lightning information is also critical for understanding the vertical distribution of NOx production and identifying anomalously electrified storms. Furthermore, the vertical distribution of lightning has implications for how microphysical (e.g., ice-based) and thermodynamical (e.g., latent heat release) processes vary regionally, as well as seasonally – e.g., winter lightning typically occurs at lower altitudes than summer lightning and is often associated with tall, man-made structures. Finally, global-scale 3D lightning observations would directly provide flash type (i.e., CG or IC) information that is very useful in all of the studies mentioned in this paragraph and is fundamental in identifying/documenting deleterious CG-caused impacts (e.g., wildfires, power-outages, crop and property damage, and associated insurance claims). A new, satellite mission concept called CubeSpark is being designed to address these shortcomings and fill this measurement gap by providing novel 3D observations of total lightning activity. CubeSpark will utilize a constellation of low-Earth orbiting small satellites that make radio frequency (RF) and bi-spectral optical measurements of lightning. Two options for combining these measurements to retrieve the 3D location of lightning are considered with corresponding measurement simulators built to understand the level of detail and viability of each approach. Although the level of detail varies for each combined measurement approach, results indicate that a 3D location accuracy of < 1-2 km in each dimension is feasible across 300-500 km wide swaths, which suggests that CubeSpark can resolve the charge structure of thunderclouds from the tropics to the mid- and high-latitudes.

lightning↗

Winds at the Mars 2020 Landing Site. 2. Wind Variability and Turbulence

Wind speeds measured by the Mars 2020 Perseverance rover in Jezero crater were fitted as a Weibull distribution. InSight wind data acquired in Elysium Planitia were also used to contextualize observations. Jezero winds were found to be much calmer on average than in previous landing sites, despite the intense aeolian activity observed. However, a great influence of turbulence and wave activity was observed in the wind speed variations, thus driving the probability of reaching the highest wind speeds at Jezero, instead of sustained winds driven by local, regional, or large-scale circulation. The power spectral density of wind speed fluctuations follows a power-law, whose slope deviates depending on the time of day from that predicted considering homogeneous and isotropic turbulence. Daytime wave activity is related to convection cells and smaller eddies in the boundary layer, advected over the crater. The signature of convection cells was also found during dust storm conditions, when prevailing winds were consistent with a tidal drive. Nighttime fluctuations were also intense, suggesting strong mechanical turbulence. Convective vortices were usually involved in rapid wind fluctuations and extreme winds, with variations peaking at 9.2 times the background winds. Transient high wind events by vortex-passages, turbulence, and wave activity could be driving aeolian activity at Jezero. We report the detection of a strong dust cloud of 0.75–1.5 km in length passing over the rover. The observed aeolian activity had major implications for instrumentation, with the wind sensor suffering damage throughout the mission, probably due to flying debris advected by winds.

D. Viúdez-moreiras↗

Lunar Rover Localization Using Craters as Landmarks

Onboard localization capabilities for planetary rovers to date have used relative navigation, by integrating combinations of wheel odometry, visual odometry, and inertial measurements during each drive to track position relative to the start of each drive. At the end of each drive, a “ground-in-the-loop” (GITL) interaction is used to get a position update from human operators in a more global reference frame, such as a map frame defined by orbital reconnaissance imaging of a large region around the rover’s current position. For Mars rovers, this typically has involved downlinking imagery from the rover mast cameras and using interactive visualization tools on Earth to register such images to the orbital reconnaissance images. For safety purposes, rover mission operations typically specify “keep out zones”, which human operators recognize as being unsafe in the orbital images. Autonomous rover drives are limited in distance so that accumulated relative navigation error does not risk the possibility of the rover driving into a keep out zone. The allowable autonomous drive distance in this mode of operation depends on the distribution of keep out zones and the accuracy of relative navigation; in practice, drive limits of a few hundred meters between GITL cycles are to be expected. Several rover mission concepts have recently been studied that require much longer drives between GITL cycles, particularly for the Moon. This includes lunar rover mission concepts that involve (1) driving mostly in sunlight at low latitudes, (2) driving in permanently shadowed regions near the south pole, and (3) a mixture of day and night driving in mid-latitudes. These concepts include total traverse distance requirements of up to 1,800 km in 4 Earth years, with individual drives of several kilometers between stops for downlink. These concepts require greater autonomy to minimize GITL cycles to enable such large range; onboard global localization is a key element of such autonomy. Multiple techniques have been studied in the past for onboard rover global localization, including radio navigation aiding from an orbiter, recognizing horizon landmarks that are known in a regional elevation map, and correlating a local elevation map created onboard the rover with a regional elevation map. These techniques all have drawbacks, including requiring an expensive extra mission element (navigation orbiter), unavailability of sufficient regional elevation map data, or limited accuracy in resulting position estimates (e.g. a few hundred meters with horizon landmarks). For the Moon, the ubiquitous craters offer another possibility, which involves mapping craters from orbit, then recognizing crater landmarks with cameras and/or a lidar onboard the rover. This approach is applicable everywhere on the Moon, does not require high resolution stereo imaging from orbit as some other approaches do, and has potential to enable position knowledge with order of 10 m accuracy at all times. This paper will provide more detail on our technical approach to crater-based lunar rover localization and will present initial results on crater detection using 3-D point cloud data from onboard lidar or stereo cameras and using shading cues in monocular onboard imagery.

Ono, M.↗

The response of the Seasat and Magsat infrared horizon scanners to cold clouds

Cold clouds over the Earth are shown to be the principal cause of pitch and roll measurement noise in flight data from the infrared horizon scanners onboard Seasat and Magsat. The observed effects of clouds on the fixed threshold horizon detection logic of the Magsat scanner and on the variable threshold detection logic of the Seasat scanner are discussed. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Earth photographs marked with the scanner ground trace clearly confirm the relationship between measurement errors and Earth clouds. A one to one correspondence can be seen between excursion in the pitch and roll data and cloud crossings. The characteristics of the cloud-induced noise are discussed, and the response of the satellite control systems to the cloud errors is described. Changes to the horizon scanner designs that would reduce the effects of clouds are noted.

Bilanow, S.↗

Velocity fields in binary protostellar clouds - An alternative to retrograde rotation

Observations of the emission from optically thin molecular species in several dense interstellar clouds have been interpreted as indicating rotating of cloud envelopes in one direction and of cloud cores in the opposite direction (retrograde rotation). This has been taken as evidence for the presence of magnetic fields sufficiently strong to have caused the retrograde rotation. However, it is shown that the velocity fields that are produced when a nonmagnetic interstellar cloud collapses to form a binary protostellar system yield spatial velocity maps that appear to be at least qualitatively consistent with the (C-13)O observations. An embedded star has been detected recently in one of these clouds (Barnard 5). If the binary protostar model is correct, then another protostar, as yet undetected, should also be present in Barnard 5.

Boss, A. P.↗

Cloud top structure of a tornadic thunderstorm from 3 min interval stereo satellite images compared with radar and other observations

Cloud heights from 3 min interval GOES EAST/GOES WEST stereo pairs are shown to provide an important new tool for studying severe convective storms with potential for the detection of severe local storms. It is possible to use these data for observing cloud top structure as a function of time on a size scale of few kilometers with quantitative height measurements with relative and absolute accuracies on the order of + or - 0.5 km. It is noted that stereo height measurements detect cirrus anvil cloud decks at two altitudes corresponding to a lower stable layer and the main tropopause.

Hasler, A. F.↗

Differential Absorption Radar at 170 GHz for Atmospheric Boundary Layer Water Vapor Profiling

We are developing a frequency-modulated continuous-wave (FMCW) radar between 167 and 174.8 GHz to measure differential absorption due to water vapor within the atmospheric boundary layer. In this work, we report on single-frequency measurements performed within this band in the presence of precipitating clouds. Despite the relatively low transmit power of 6-10 dBm, the high transmit/receive isolation and low noise figure of the system enables detection of radar echos from rain or clouds with high signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) out to about one kilometer. Near future upgrades to the system that will lengthen significantly the detectable range include a 15 to 20 dB increase in output power and 20 dB increase in antenna gain. This work builds on technology developed and measurements performed in our group in the 183.5 to 193 GHz band, which is subject to transmission restrictions due to passive remote sensing platforms that rely on those frequencies.

Rodriguez Monje, Raquel↗

HFPK 334: An unusual supernova remnant in the Small Magellanic Cloud

We present new Australia Telescope Compact Array radio-continuum and XMM-Newton/Chandra X-ray Observatory observations of the unusual supernova remnant (SNR) HFPK 334 in the Small Magellanic Cloud (SMC). The remnant follows a shell-type morphology in the radio continuum and has a size of ∼20 pc at the SMC distance. The X-ray morphology is similar; however, we detect a prominent point source close to the center of the SNR exhibiting a spectrum with a best-fit power law with a photon index of Γ = 2.7 ± 0.5. This central point source is most likely a background object and cannot be directly associated with the remnant. The high temperature, nonequilibrium conditions in the diffuse region suggest that this gas has been recently shocked and points toward a younger SNR with an age of ≲ 1800 yr. With an average radio spectral index of α = –0.59 ± 0.09, we find that an equipartition magnetic field for the remnant is ∼90 μG, a value typical of younger SNRs in low-density environments. Also, we report the detection of scattered radio polarization across the remnant at 20 cm, with a peak fractional polarization level of 25% ± 5%.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Plasma-Based Detector of Outer-Space Dust Particles

A report presents a concept for an instrument to be flown in outer space, where it would detect dust particles - especially those associated with comets. The instrument would include a flat plate that would intercept the dust particles. The anticipated spacecraft/dust-particle relative speeds are so high that the impingement of a dust particle on the plate would generate a plasma cloud. Simple electric dipole sensors located equidistantly along the circumference of the plate would detect the dust particle indirectly by detecting the plasma cloud. The location of the dust hit could be estimated from the timing of the detection pulses of the different dipoles. The mass and composition of the dust particle could be estimated from the shapes and durations of the pulses from the dipoles. In comparison with other instruments for detecting hypervelocity dust particles, the proposed instrument offers advantages of robustness, large collection area, and simplicity.

Tsurutani, Bruce↗

Can Embedded Liquid Cloud Layer Volumes Be Classified in Polar Clouds Using a Single- Frequency Zenith-Pointing Radar?

Observational knowledge about polar cloud processes requires information about the hydrometeor phase structure of the clouds, preferentially at high resolutions. Therefore, there are various attempts to classify ground-based radar observations using different techniques. Here, we examine the potential of detecting air-volumes containing liquid water in polar clouds using the Ka-band zenith-pointing radar (KAZR). We utilized the measurements gathered at Barrow, Alaska, in 2015, to produce comprehensive statistics about the Doppler-radar moments and the Doppler spectra. We find that the cloud-top liquid-bearing cloud layers (LBCLs) can potentially be reliably detected at high percentages with the KAZR when the signal is above the radar noise floor. However, embedded LBCLs are significantly more challenging to detect and could potentially be reliably separated in bulk processing only in exceptional cases, which account for not more than a few tens of percent of these cloud layer occurrences.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

MULTI-WAVELENGTH STUDIES OF SPECTACULAR RAM PRESSURE STRIPPING OF A GALAXY: DISCOVERY OF AN X-RAY ABSORPTION FEATURE

We report the detection of an X-ray absorption feature near the galaxy M86 in the Virgo cluster. The absorber has a column density of 2-3 × 10{sup 20} cm{sup –2}, and its position coincides with the peak of an intracluster H I cloud which was removed from the galaxy NGC 4388 presumably by ram pressure. These results indicate that the H I cloud is located in front of M86 along the line-of-sight, and suggest that the stripping was primarily created by an interaction between NGC 4388 and the hot plasmas of the Virgo cluster, not the M86 halo. By calculating an X-ray temperature map, we further detected an X-ray counterpart of the H I cloud up to ≈3' south of M86. It has a temperature of 0.89 keV and a mass of ∼4.5 × 10{sup 8} M {sub ☉}, exceeding the estimated H I gas mass. The high hot-to-cold gas ratio in the cloud indicates a significant evaporation of the H I gas, probably by thermal conduction from the hotter cluster plasma with a sub-Spitzer rate.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

THOR: Cloud Thickness from Off beam Lidar Returns

Conventional wisdom is that lidar pulses do not significantly penetrate clouds having optical thickness exceeding about tau = 2, and that no returns are detectable from more than a shallow skin depth. Yet optically thicker clouds of tau much greater than 2 reflect a larger fraction of visible photons, and account for much of Earth s global average albedo. As cloud layer thickness grows, an increasing fraction of reflected photons are scattered multiple times within the cloud, and return from a diffuse concentric halo that grows around the incident pulse, increasing in horizontal area with layer physical thickness. The reflected halo is largely undetected by narrow field-of-view (FoV) receivers commonly used in lidar applications. THOR - Thickness from Off-beam Returns - is an airborne wide-angle detection system with multiple FoVs, capable of observing the diffuse halo, detecting wide-angle signal from which physical thickness of optically thick clouds can be retrieved. In this paper we describe the THOR system, demonstrate that the halo signal is stronger for thicker clouds, and validate physical thickness retrievals for clouds having z > 20, from NASA P-3B flights over the Department of Energy/Atmospheric Radiation Measurement/Southern Great Plains site, using the lidar, radar and other ancillary ground-based data.

Cahalan, Robert F.↗