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At least 955 records · Page 53

SMART Deliverable 6.1.2a: Application of the ORION tool to the IBDP Carbon Storage Site

Forecasting and managing potential induced seismic activity is one of the challenges facing commercialscale geologic carbon sequestration (GCS), as well as other geologic energy extraction and byproduct disposal technologies. Historically, the process to develop robust, science-based forecasts of induced seismicity has required an integrated effort from experts in seismology, geomechanics, and reservoir engineering to manage data, develop and evaluate models of subsurface processes, and to calibrate and interpret the results from a range of models to understand site behavior relative to prescribed standards and in the context of uncertainty in geologic characterization data, forecasting models, and operational scenario uncertainty. The Operational Forecasting of Induced Seismicity (ORION) toolkit is an open-source, observation-based forecasting toolkit that is being co-developed by two U.S. DOE-funded initiatives: the National Risk Assessment Partnership (NRAP) and the Scienceinformed Machine Learning for Accelerating Real Time Decisions in Subsurface Applications (SMART) Initiative. ORION is designed to provide functionality to support decision making about seismic hazard analysis and risk management for GCS stakeholders ranging from the public to site operators to expert seismologists. The tool, which is written as open-source code in the Python programming language, is composed of a desktop graphical user interface (GUI) and an underlying forecasting engine. The forecasting engine uses available reservoir properties, well and fluid injection scenario details, and observed seismic catalog data as inputs to produce a set of temporal and spatio-temporal seismic forecasts.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Enabling Efficient Surveillance, Control, and Automation of Geothermal Operations with Advanced Predictive Analytics

Automation and control of geothermal energy production and operations require reliable and efficient predictive tools. While physics-based simulation offers a comprehensive tool for predicting energy production performance in geothermal systems, predicting the behavior of geothermal reservoirs involves complex multi-physics processes with coupling effects, highly uncertain input parameters and subsurface descriptions. Moreover, building, running, and integrating simulation models into standard model calibration and optimization workflows entail significant technical and computational efforts. An emerging alternative to physics-based simulation is data-driven predictive analytics models that have gained popularity in energy industry. In this report, we develop novel predictive models for integration into real-time fault diagnosis and model predictive control algorithms to improve the efficiency of energy production operations in geothermal reservoirs. The report includes two major research Thrust Areas, that is, the surface power plant and the subsurface reservoir.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Recent Developments in Hydrogeologic Applications for Strain Tensor Analyses

Changes in fluid pressure deform porous media and this effect occurs in a variety of hydrogeologic processes, from the change in storage during pumping or injection to fluctuations in water levels caused by barometric pressure. We have developed instruments for measuring small strains in porous media, and we have used the resulting strain data to evaluate well testing, hydraulic fracturing, manual loading at the ground surface, and ambient hydrologic processes, like rainfall and evaporation. A particularly important application is the use of strain tensor data measured at shallow depths to analyze well tests or hydraulic fractures conducted at much greater depths. An early demonstration of this technique was conducted at the North Avant Field north of Tulsa, Oklahoma, where Pennsylvanian sandstone creates a confined aquifer and oil reservoir at a depth of 530m. We have showed that the strains caused by injecting into the aquifer could be measured at a depth of 30m and used to evaluate the properties of the aquifer. We recently expanded the array of strainmeters at the North Avant Field by deploying three more instruments at shallow depth (30m) along with a deep instrument at 520m depth in the winter, 2021. The deep instrument is deployed in shale caprock slightly above the aquifer. To our knowledge, the deep strainmeter at the North Avant Field is the deepest strainmeter ever deployed and this required refining methods originally developed for shallow deployments. The instrument was lowered to depth on oil field tubing and cemented in place using techniques and materials developed for use in oil wells. Optical fiber used to communicate with the instrument was cemented in the annulus on the outside of tubing. This is significant because the techniques we used could readily be extended to greater depth, suggesting that strainmeters can be deployed over a wide range of depths for monitoring critical subsurface processes. For example, it suggests that strainmeters could be deployed through the caprock to monitor for leaks from underlying CO2 storage reservoirs. The strainmeter array at the North Avant Field has been used to characterize deformation during a series of injection tests in the spring and summer, 2021. All the new strainmeters respond to pumping, and the strainmeters we installed earlier also responded. To our knowledge, this is the first application of well testing in a deep aquifer that was monitored by an array of strainmeters—our earlier work used strainmeters at a single location. We are currently analyzing the strain data using an analytical solution, a proxy-based Bayesian inversion algorithm, and other methods. Strainmeter data has also been used to characterize periodic pumping tests by us and Riley Blais. A periodically varying pumping rate causes both hydraulic head and strain signals that vary with the same period as the pumping. The peaks and troughs of the head in monitoring wells lag behind the peaks and troughs of the head in the pumping well, and this lag time increases with distance from the pumping well. The lag time of the pressure and the distance to the monitoring well can be used in a simple analysis to estimate the hydraulic diffusivity of the aquifer. The lag time determined from strain data can be used to estimate aquifer properties using the same analysis that works for the pressure only for strain data measured at particular locations. That is because the strain field in a confining unit advances upward, laterally and then downward even though the pressure in the underlying aquifer only advances laterally, according to our recent simulations. We have field data showing that a small periodic signal superimposed on an injection rate at the North Avant Field will create a periodic strain signal at shallow strainmeters. The field data and the recent simulations suggest that including a periodic component to injection or pumping and then monitoring the resulting strain signal could be a way to monitor the subsurface.

Murdoch, Larry↗

Interpreting strain tensor data to characterize and monitor reservoirs for CO2 storage and other applications

Recent advances in instrumentation have made it feasible to measure the transient strain tensor caused by small changes in fluid volume or pressure in the subsurface and this has opened the door to new opportunities for characterization and monitoring. We have deployed strainmeters and then conducted injection well tests in an underlying reservoir at 530m depth. The resulting data indicated that the horizontal strain at shallow strainmeters (30 to 40m depth) was tensile and the vertical strain was compressive. The radial strain was less than the horizontal strain, and the strain rates decreased from 100 nanostrain/day to roughly 10 n/d over a few days. The signal at two strainmeters at shallow depth were consistent, although the magnitude of the horizontal strains were different reflecting the different radial directions from the well. The signal at a deep strainmeter deployed at reservoir depth was much different, with tensile vertical strains and compressive horizontal strains. These data can be interpreted by inverting poroelastic forward models developed using numerical and analytical methods. The average horizontal strain in the caprock resembles the transient pressure in the underlying reservoir and classic type-curve methods from transient well testing can be used for preliminary interpretations of strain data. We have developed closed-form analytical solutions to a pressurized poroelastic inclusion and inhomogeneity in a half-space. This model is fast and can be inverted to estimate reservoir stiffness and geometry. Numerical models developed using finite element methods allow more details of the subsurface to be included in the inversion, but they require much longer run times and this makes inversion cumbersome using standard methods. We have developed an inversion approach that uses a proxy model created using machine learning to do most of the forward calculations. The proxy model is periodically updated and refined using the finite element model to ensure accuracy. This approach significantly reduces the computational requirements and makes it feasible to use Bayesian inversion with large numerical models. We have shown that the strain tensor in the caprock is sensitive to pressure in the reservoir, boundaries in the reservoir, and pressure in the caprock caused by leaks. These results indicate that coupling strain tensor data with inversion has the potential to help evaluate reservoirs during initial characterization, and to monitor them during the CO2 injection and storage process.

Murdoch, Larry↗

Recent Developments in Hydrogeologic Applications for Strain Tensor Analyses

Changes in fluid pressure deform porous media and this effect occurs in a variety of hydrogeologic processes, from the change in storage during pumping or injection to fluctuations in water levels caused by barometric pressure. We have developed instruments for measuring small strains in porous media, and we have used the resulting strain data to evaluate well testing, hydraulic fracturing, manual loading at the ground surface, and ambient hydrologic processes, like rainfall and evaporation. A particularly important application is the use of strain tensor data measured at shallow depths to analyze well tests or hydraulic fractures conducted at much greater depths. An early demonstration of this technique was conducted at the North Avant Field north of Tulsa, Oklahoma, where Pennsylvanian sandstone creates a confined aquifer and oil reservoir at a depth of 530m. We have showed that the strains caused by injecting into the aquifer could be measured at a depth of 30m and used to evaluate the properties of the aquifer. We recently expanded the array of strainmeters at the North Avant Field by deploying three more instruments at shallow depth (30m) along with a deep instrument at 520m depth in the winter, 2021. The deep instrument is deployed in shale caprock slightly above the aquifer. To our knowledge, the deep strainmeter at the North Avant Field is the deepest strainmeter ever deployed and this required refining methods originally developed for shallow deployments. The instrument was lowered to depth on oil field tubing and cemented in place using techniques and materials developed for use in oil wells. Optical fiber used to communicate with the instrument was cemented in the annulus on the outside of tubing. This is significant because the techniques we used could readily be extended to greater depth, suggesting that strainmeters can be deployed over a wide range of depths for monitoring critical subsurface processes. For example, it suggests that strainmeters could be deployed through the caprock to monitor for leaks from underlying CO2 storage reservoirs. The strainmeter array at the North Avant Field has been used to characterize deformation during a series of injection tests in the spring and summer, 2021. All the new strainmeters respond to pumping, and the strainmeters we installed earlier also responded. To our knowledge, this is the first application of well testing in a deep aquifer that was monitored by an array of strainmeters—our earlier work used strainmeters at a single location. We are currently analyzing the strain data using an analytical solution, a proxy-based Bayesian inversion algorithm, and other methods. Strainmeter data has also been used to characterize periodic pumping tests by us and Riley Blais. A periodically varying pumping rate causes both hydraulic head and strain signals that vary with the same period as the pumping. The peaks and troughs of the head in monitoring wells lag behind the peaks and troughs of the head in the pumping well, and this lag time increases with distance from the pumping well. The lag time of the pressure and the distance to the monitoring well can be used in a simple analysis to estimate the hydraulic diffusivity of the aquifer. The lag time determined from strain data can be used to estimate aquifer properties using the same analysis that works for the pressure only for strain data measured at particular locations. That is because the strain field in a confining unit advances upward, laterally and then downward even though the pressure in the underlying aquifer only advances laterally, according to our recent simulations. We have field data showing that a small periodic signal superimposed on an injection rate at the North Avant Field will create a periodic strain signal at shallow strainmeters. The field data and the recent simulations suggest that including a periodic component to injection or pumping and then monitoring the resulting strain signal could be a way to monitor the subsurface.

Murdoch, Larry↗

Developing Methods to Assess Changes in Mechanical Properties of Shale Modified by Engineered Mineral Precipitation

Fractures in subsurface shale formations serve multiple purposes, for example, in the recovery of resources in hydraulic fracturing or as potential harmful leakage passages through caprocks that may contribute undesired fluids to the atmosphere or functional groundwater aquifers. A proposed method to seal or influence fracture properties is Ureolysis-Induced Calcium Carbonate Precipitation (UICP), a bio-mineralization technology driven by the enzymatic hydrolysis of urea, resulting in the formation of calcium carbonate. Sporosarcina pasteurii is a common microbe used as the source of the urease enzyme that catalyzes the chemical reaction. The resulting calcium carbonate can bridge the gaps in fractured shale and reduce fluid flow through fractures. However, there is little information on how this process affects the mechanical properties of the resulting biomineralized shale. This study represents the first step toward determining the influence of UICP treatment on shale material and its subsequent mechanical strength properties. This methods development study aims to determine the effect that temperature has on the tensile strength of intact, unfractured shale cores (2.54 cm (1 in) diameter, 5.08 cm (2 in) long). Tensile strength was determined indirectly using a modified Brazilian test where the splitting tensile strength is attained by applying a compressive load onto the core. Shale cores from Eagle Ford and Wolfcamp formations were tested at both room temperature and 60°C to determine if increased temperature influences the tensile strength of the rock. This data will help to assess the necessity of testing biomineralized cores at temperature. Though 60°C may not mimic subsurface temperatures of the shales used in this study, it was chosen due to limitations of the UICP process while still approaching temperatures of shale formations. This project aims to evaluate what effect temperature has on the mechanical properties of intact shale cores so that engineered or natural rock fractures that are sealed by biomineralization can be better understood.

Bedey, Kayla↗

Final Technical Report: Center for Mechanistic Control of Unconventional Formations

The overarching mission of the Center for Mechanistic Control of Unconventional Formations (CMC-UF) was to garner cross-cutting, fundamental, geoscience knowledge to achieve mechanistic control over the strongly coupled nonequilibrium physical and geochemical processes in extreme geological environments including shale, mudstone, marls, and other tight rocks with nanoscale pores. Collectively, these are referred to as unconventional formations and they often play the role of seals for other subsurface storage formations. The fundamental knowledge garnered by CMC-UF enabled science-based management of US unconventional formations for subsurface storage of carbon dioxide and TWh quantities of renewable energy as hydrogen and/or compressed air over longer timeframes as well as for natural gas production, with reduced environmental impacts, in the short term.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Ecosystems and Networks Integrated with Genes and Molecular Assemblies (ENIGMA): Molecular and Computational Technologies for Environmental Microbiology (Final Scientific/Technical Report)

The ENIGMA science focus area (SFA) is a multi-disciplinary, multi-institutional research effort focused on addressing foundational knowledge gaps in environmental microbial communities by studying groundwater and sediment microbiomes in the shallow subsurface at the contaminated Oak Ridge Reservation (ORR). We seek to discover and characterize the reciprocal interactions between the microbial communities and the geochemical and geophysical parameters of the shallow subsurface within the contamination plume. The primary goal of this subcontract was to develop experimental and computational tools to advance our understanding of microbial adaptation and community assembly in contaminated environments, with specific efforts in high-throughput genomic methods, microbial ecology tools, and studies of heavy metal contamination impacts.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Influence of Antarctic and Greenland Continental Shelf Circulation on High‐Latitude Oceans in E3SM

The science objectives of this project are to simulate and understand the impacts of both deep-basin warm-water intrusions and land-ice melt on the continental shelf circulations and sea-ice distributions around the margins of Greenland and Antarctica. As well, the role of subsurface ocean heat from the Atlantic on declining sea-ice cover in the Arctic is explored. Mesoscale processes and fine bathymetry are implicated in cross-shelf property transports around both Greenland and Antarctica. Therefore, we configured and ran an atmospheric reanalysis-forced global ocean/sea-ice simulation on a grid that reduces from 8 km at the Equator to 2 km at the poles (UH8to2) with 60 vertical levels. It was produced using the Energy Exascale Earth System Model ‘‘HiLAT’’ code (E3SMv0-HiLAT) that uses the Parallel Ocean Program (POP) and CICE5 as its ocean and sea-ice components, respectively. Two main UH8to2 simulations were carried out: one for 1975-2009 and the other for July 2016-2020 after it was initialized from a 1/25° data-assimilative ocean/sea-ice prediction system ocean/sea-ice state. The UH8to2 is not coupled to an active land-ice model. Rather, land-ice melt is represented by observationally informed freshwater fluxes (FWFs). Short (multi-year) UH8to2 simulations were conducted to understand sensitivities when Greenland ice sheet (GrIS) melt is released only at the ocean surface or when it is distributed over the upper water column in accordance with fjord melt plume behavior; these cases were compared with a no GrIS melt case. West Greenland continental shelf currents were fastest in the vertical distribution case and an increase in baroclinic conversion at the shelf break associated with increased eddy kinetic energy was found relative to the surface release case. Further, salinity is lower and meltwater volume greater in the eastern Labrador Sea in the vertical distribution case. For the Arctic, the veracity of the UH8to2 was evaluated for 2017-2020 using available observations. Simulated seasonal sea-ice thickness and concentration are realistic, but the ice is unrealistically thin in the central and eastern Arctic in the fall. Comparisons of vertical sections of ocean temperature, salinity, and buoyancy collected from Ice-Tethered Profilers (ITPs) in the eastern Arctic in the fall and winter of 2019/2020 and co-located/concurrent UH8to2 fields show the stratification over the top 100 m of the water column is too low in the model, the simulated mixed layer too deep, and the simulated subsurface Atlantic Water (AW) too warm; these biases may contribute to the sea-ice biases. A model intercomparison study using the UH8to2 and a forced 1/25° regional Arctic ocean/sea-ice (uses the HYbrid Coordinate Ocean Model and CICE5) simulation further investigates the relationship between AW and sea-ice in the eastern Arctic. The models show a mesoscale-rich pulse of Atlantic Water extending into the eastern basin that reaches maximum intensity in late winter of 2018, after which it decreases in strength. Concurrent and co-located sea-ice melt or the inhibition of sea-ice growth is seen and is attributed to halocline mesoscale eddies doming into the mixed layer with convection bringing this heat into the vicinity of the sea-ice.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Idaho National Laboratory Integrated Multisite SSHAC Level 3: Probabilistic Volcanic Hazards Assessment

The Idaho National Laboratory (INL) resides on the eastern Snake River Plain (ESRP), part of the Snake River Plain (SRP) with a complex origin and geologic history of volcanism. Much of the Quaternary (last 2.58 million years) volcanism within 400 km of INL is genetically associated with a major thermal anomaly referred to as the Yellowstone hotspot, which is currently located more than 180 km northeast of INL. Near INL, local volcanic sources include silicic domes near its southern border, and numerous dike-fed basaltic vents of the ESRP, some of which are near or within the INL boundaries. Quantitative probabilistic assessments of screened-in volcanic hazardous phenomena for nine different facility complexes at the INL are presented for a Senior Seismic Hazard Analysis Committee (SSHAC) Level 3 (SL3) study. The comprehensive, integrated multisite SSHAC study consists of a single regional Probabilistic Volcanic Hazards Assessment (PVHA) that pertains to all nine INL facility complexes, with site-specific information developed at each respective area of interest (AOI), referred to as the "INL facility AOI" (Figure ES-1). Hazard products are generated for specified INL facility AOIs for use by multiple stakeholders from different agencies in risk-informed decision-making regarding site selection, operations, and design of nuclear facilities at INL, consistent with U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) and U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) regulatory guidance. The study also serves as the basis for future periodic safety assessments required for existing DOE facilities, such as 10-year evaluations of natural-phenomena hazards. Elements of the INL PVHA including initial characterization, screening, quantitative assessments of eruption and hazard potential, and consideration of facility needs are conducted using the three phases of the SSHAC process: evaluation, integration, and documentation. As per regulatory guidance, the SSHAC framework provided the necessary processes and procedures for the PVHA Technical Integration (TI) team, at three workshops, five formal working meetings and many TI team remote meetings, to conduct initial characterization, screen the volcanic hazards, create PVHA model inputs, exercise those models in the PVHA, consider facility-specific volcanic hazard needs, and perform final hazard calculations. The Participatory Peer Review Panel (PPRP) provided independent oversight and performed process and technical reviews of the PVHA throughout its duration. The study included an extensive New Data Collection and Analyses (NDCA) program developed by the PVHA TI team to reduce uncertainties in hazard-significant elements in the PVHA model. NDCA activities generated 20 reports providing important contributory datasets and results to the project database for characterizing the ESRP. For example, a report compiling the dimensions of ESRP shield volcanoes and lava fields was used to construct volcanic footprints (areas of impact), was compared with data from INL subsurface cores, and was used to validate the results of lava-flow inundation modeling on the contemporary terrain. Another example is the acquisition of aeromagnetic data over INL and its surrounding area, with maps of buried magmatic features (e.g., subsurface volcanoes and swarms of feeder dikes) that informed the PVHA conceptual model of volcanism. The SSHAC evaluation process was used to conduct all elements of the PVHA including initial characterization and screening. Existing data and NDCA activities provided the foundation to develop the tectonomagmatic conceptual model of volcanism for the region of geographical interest in the SRP and Yellowstone hotspot volcanic system, and for considering volcanoes in the western US. Considering Quaternary volcanic sources active during this period, the screening approach identified and evaluated magma compositions, types of eruptive and intrusive phenomena, types of hazardous phenomena, and proximity of sources to INL. The PVHA TI team evaluated 18 types of magmatic sources in terms of 20 potentially hazardous phenomena, resulting in 360 screening decisions. The screening process resulted in 140 screened-in hazardous volcanic phenomena for Quaternary volcanic sources 1) proximal to INL facility complexes in the ESRP (64 basaltic and 54 silicic), 2) regional sources associated with the Yellowstone caldera system and Blackfoot Reservoir volcanic field (7), and 3) more distal sources from thirteen Cascade volcanoes and two volcanoes at Long Valley caldera (CA).

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Measurement of Close-in Ground Motion from an Underground Chemical Explosion

Understanding the geophysical response near an underground explosion is crucial for generating insights into the source and emplacement conditions that produce distinct observations in monitoring scenarios occurring at greater distances. Recently, Shot A of the Low Yield Nuclear Monitoring (LYNM) Physics Experiment 1 (PE1) series was conducted at the Nevada National Security Site to provide ground truth for subsurface explosion signal models. This experiment resulted in measuring near-source ground motion at distances ranging from 70 to 1000 m/kt with a 99% success rate, yielding high-fidelity knowledge of the near-field response that can serve as benchmarks for future numerical modeling and experiment planning. However, technical challenges exist in observing near-source phenomena while safeguarding sensitive data acquisition components from the detrimental effects of ground motion in the subsurface. This report outlines tools and techniques to address challenges associated with observing near-source accelerations and within the tunnel drift of the PE1 test bed. Additionally, we describe key systems designed with both modern advancements and legacy guidance to maximize the collection of high-quality ground motion data, which may be applied to constitutive and computational models, leading to new or improved understanding of the near- and far-field signals produced by underground explosions.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Supersaturating Water with CO 2 via Nanobubble Formation

The subsurface storage of CO 2 is limited by the solubility of CO 2 in brine. One proposed solution to increase the volume fraction of CO 2 in a reservoir is by injecting the CO 2 at high pressure in nanobubble form. These nanobubbles, diameter <50 nm, would be small enough that they would only undergo Brownian motion, preventing them rising under buoyancy and escaping the formation. There has also been some experimental work that suggests the present of these nanobubbles significantly (~2x) increase the solubility of gaseous CO 2 in the aqueous phase. NETL and ExxonMobil will test the viability of this strategy to increase the volume fraction of CO 2 in a subsurface reservoir, determine the stability of these nanobubble systems, and understand the ultimate limits of increasing the CO 2 volume fraction.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Complete Performance Comparison Between the Optimized Image Construction Algorithm (U-MBIR) and the Existing Reconstruction Algorithm for Detecting Defects and Damage in Concrete

Reinforced concrete (RC) is a composite material subjected to mechanical, thermal, and chemical loads throughout its service life. Because of these external stressors and the susceptibility of RC structural members to shrinkage and microcracking, the material degrades throughout its life cycle. This deterioration can lead to a decrease in member capacity and, ultimately, poses a threat to the structural integrity. Thus, it is crucial that the damage caused by aging and degradation be monitored and assessed at regular intervals throughout the material’s service life. Since coring of the material is typically not feasible for in-service structural systems, non-destructive evaluation (NDE) methodologies are used to assess remaining structural capacity. NDE methods enable surface and subsurface examination without damaging or degrading the medium. Moreover, RC is a critical component of nuclear power plants; thus, its safety and reliability must be thoroughly examined throughout the life cycle of the structural system. Ultrasonic measurements have been an industry standard for both surface and subsurface inspections. To this end, Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) has researched and developed advanced image reconstruction algorithms to capture internal damage. The results and discussion presented herein summarize the current state of the ultrasonic model–based iterative reconstruction (U-MBIR) algorithm developed at ORNL. More specifically, this report presents a comparison between reconstruction images produced via a widely employed ultrasonic NDE technique—the synthetic aperture focusing technique (SAFT)—and the ORNL-developed U-MBIR algorithm. These NDE methodologies are demonstrated using ultrasonic data collected from four concrete specimens. Overall, the U-MBIR algorithm eliminates artifacts and noise that are typically present within the SAFT reconstructions, and it shows defects and anomalies more clearly than the SAFT images. In conclusion, this algorithm is suitable for identifying concrete defects, although more improvements and optimization could be done to better define internal defects.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Estimating Vadose Zone Flow Properties at the 100 K-East Soil Flushing Site Using ERT Monitoring Data: 2023 Interim Report - 100 KE Soil Property Estimation

In situ soil flushing is being using at the Hanford 100 K-East (100 KE) area to transport mobile chromium contamination in the vadose zone to the water table, where it can be collected and treat through pump and treat operations. The efficacy of soil flushing is directly related to the volume of clean water that infiltrates through contaminated soils. In practice, it is infeasible to comprehensively monitor which regions of the vadose zone are being infiltrated through direct sampling of pore water. Consequently, there can be significant uncertainty about which regions of the subsurface have been treated, especially if hydrogeologic conditions are favorable for the development of unstable flows and preferred flow pathways through the vadose zone (Jarvis, Koestel, and Larsbo 2016). Current approaches for quantitative monitoring of soil flushing performance rely on contaminant concentration measurements collected from extractions wells. There is no quantitative information on the volume of flush water delivered to targeted regions of the vadose zone at the Hanford Site, leading to significant uncertainty regarding source term removal and long-term impacts to groundwater. If the subsurface hydrogeologic properties at the 100 KE Area were adequately known, qualitative metrics of soil flushing performance could be simulated, thereby negating expenses required to obtain quantitative performance information through borehole drilling/sampling. However, estimating in situ hydrogeologic properties has long proven elusive, due primarily to a lack of sufficient information to constrain heterogeneous property estimates to a useful degree of certainty. Estimating vadose zone hydrogeologic properties is particularly challenging due the dependence of hydraulic conductivity on saturation. This report describes progress toward a first-of-its-kind demonstration using surface time-lapse 3D electrical resistivity tomography (ERT) monitoring data to estimate the hydrogeologic properties that control flush water transport at the 100 KE soil flushing site. The ultimate objective is (1) to verify sufficient information exists in the ERT monitoring data to adequately resolve vadose zone hydraulic properties, and (2) generate a “digital twin” (i.e., a numerical simulator) that can be used to simulate the amount of flush water that has been delivered to each targeted region of the vadose zone, and thereby assess the efficacy of flush water delivery. Resulting performance estimates can be used in leu of comprehensive borehole drilling and direct sampling (or wellbore logging) that would otherwise be required to obtain the same information.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Big Data Meets Geothermal Exploration (CRADA Final Report)

As part of the Cyclotron Road program, Zanskar Geothermal & Minerals, Inc. investigated the application of micro-earthquake and ambient noise seismology methods to imaging and characterizing the structural characteristics and hydrothermal flux of subsurface faults. Significant advances in what could be resolved were enabled by two major developments in seismology: 1) the availability of large-n arrays of low-cost seismometers, and 2) the availability of increased computational power and semi-automated data reduction algorithms. In tandem, these advances may improve the signal-to-noise ratio and spatial precision of the data collected and enable higher-resolution characterization of subsurface fracture systems and their spatio-temporal evolution. These tools supported efforts to reduce dry-hole risk and to improve wellfield productivity for geothermal resource development. In particular, two applications of these advances were evaluated: 1) fracture-seismic imaging, which was used to detect ambient emissions from fluid-filled fractures, and 2) reservoir tomography, which used information about travel paths, source locations, and source parameters of micro-earthquakes to identify areas of enhanced permeability. Integration of these methods provided guidance for siting wells and served as prior constraints for reservoir models, informing forecasts of power potential and production and injection strategies aimed at minimizing temperature decline and improving overall resource productivity.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

FY 2026 Midyear Report: Seismic Monitoring of Underground Vibration Sources Using Distributed Acoustic Sensing and Seismometers

Safeguards-relevant temporal changes in underground facilities can be observed using geophysical monitoring techniques. Seismic waves, in particular, provide valuable insights into subsurface activities and can serve as an important tool for detecting anomalous events that may indicate containment breaches at geological repositories. This midyear report summarizes ongoing efforts to automatically and rapidly detect and locate anomalous vibration signals that could be indicative of potential containment breaches. Previous work during FY25 focused on compiling continuous seismic datasets from two underground sites and developing a database of continuous waveforms and ground-truth event data derived from multiple sensing modalities. Building on this foundation, we are adapting anomaly detection and geolocation algorithms to explore methods for monitoring underground activities using two relatively low-maintenance sensing technologies: a dense surface geophone array deployed at the Pleasant Gap mine in Pennsylvania, and a three-dimensional fiber-optic cable array for distributed acoustic sensing (DAS) installed in the subsurface at the Sanford Underground Research Facility (SURF) in South Dakota. This report summarizes work conducted during the first two quarters of FY26, during which we refined a dynamic power spectral density (PSD)-based detector, applied it independently to each geophone station, and then combined the per‑station detections with density-based spatial clustering of applications with noise (DBSCAN) to cluster events and produce spatial maps over a nine‑day interval. In addition, we outline plans for a field trial at the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP) in New Mexico to compare traditional seismic monitoring approaches with DAS techniques and to evaluate the benefits of combined data analysis. Activities during the past two quarters have included the preparation and submission of a Field Test Plan to WIPP for approval, as well as submission to headquarters for review and feedback.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

A Play-Based Exploration of CO 2 Storage in the Illinois Basin: Development and Application of the Play-Based Exploration Workflow

This report documents the workflow developed and applied for a play-based exploration (PBE) of carbon capture and storage (CCS) potential in the Illinois Basin, conducted under U.S. Department of Energy Cooperative Agreement DE-FE0032366. The project was led by the Illinois State Geological Survey (ISGS) at the University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign in collaboration with Visage Energy. The goal of this workflow is to identify locations where subsurface, surface, and societal conditions align to support safe and effective geologic CO 2 storage. To achieve this, the project team developed a systematic, seven-step workflow for conducting play-based exploration: (1) defining play elements, (2) collecting data, (3) constructing a geodatabase, (4) defining suitability criteria, (5) conducting suitability mapping, (6) generating Common Risk Segment (CRS) maps, and (7) creating composite play maps. The workflow is designed to be repeatable and adaptable for CCS assessments in other regions or for alternative subsurface energy applications such as hydrogen or natural gas storage.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Carbon Tetrachloride Degradation Results for 200-ZP-1 Operable Unit

Carbon tetrachloride (CT) contamination in the 200-ZP-1 Operable Unit (OU) at the Hanford Site originated from large-volume discharges to the subsurface during plutonium production operations between 1955 and 1973. Contamination migrated through more than 70 meters of unsaturated sediment to reach the underlying unconfined aquifer, where it persists as a large and complex groundwater plume. The 200-ZP-1 OU Record of Decision (ROD) requires that groundwater CT concentrations be reduced to 3.4 µg/L within 125 years. Current groundwater modeling projections estimate that the existing pump-and-treat, even when combined with monitored natural attenuation (specifically hydrolysis), will not achieve this target within the designated timeframe. A fundamental contributor to this shortfall is the extremely slow rate of CT hydrolysis under Hanford aquifer conditions, which has been estimated to have a half-life of 630 years. If faster-acting biotic and abiotic degradation processes are operating within the aquifer, their contribution to CT mass reduction could have a meaningful impact. However, site-specific measurements of these processes and their rates have not previously been performed. This report documents the results of a two-phase laboratory investigation designed to characterize and quantify the capacity of site-specific 200-ZP-1 OU sediments and groundwater to support natural attenuation of CT through biotic and abiotic pathways. In this context, degradation capacity is defined as the intrinsic potential of the subsurface matrix to transform CT under optimized, controlled conditions. System capacity is evaluated in two ways: (1) as rate-limited capacity, which establishes the maximum kinetic velocity of CT transformation and is measured using half-lives and first order rate constants; and (2) as mass limited capacity, which defines the total contaminant mass the batch experimental system can degrade before reactants are exhausted, representing the maximum amount of contaminant the microbial community and reactive mineral phases can transform under the experimental conditions.

abiotic degradation↗