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At least 955 records · Page 53

A Practical Probabilistic Benchmark for AI Weather Models

Since the weather is chaotic, it is necessary to forecast an ensemble of future states. Recently, multiple AI weather models have emerged claiming breakthroughs in deterministic skill. Unfortunately, it is hard to fairly compare ensembles of AI forecasts because variations in ensembling methodology become confounding and the baseline data volume is immense. We address this by scoring lagged initial condition ensembles—whereby an ensemble can be constructed from a library of deterministic hindcasts. This allows the first parameter‐free intercomparison of leading AI weather models' probabilistic skill against an operational baseline. Lagged ensembles of the two leading AI weather models, GraphCast and Pangu, perform similarly even though the former outperforms the latter in deterministic scoring. These results are elaborated upon by sensitivity tests showing that commonly used multiple time‐step loss functions damage ensemble calibration.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Enabling selective zinc-ion intercalation by a eutectic electrolyte for practical anodeless zinc batteries

Abstract Two major challenges hinder the advance of aqueous zinc metal batteries for sustainable stationary storage: (1) achieving predominant Zn-ion (de)intercalation at the oxide cathode by suppressing adventitious proton co-intercalation and dissolution, and (2) simultaneously overcoming Zn dendrite growth at the anode that triggers parasitic electrolyte reactions. Here, we reveal the competition between Zn 2+ vs proton intercalation chemistry of a typical oxide cathode using ex-situ/ operando techniques, and alleviate side reactions by developing a cost-effective and non-flammable hybrid eutectic electrolyte. A fully hydrated Zn 2+ solvation structure facilitates fast charge transfer at the solid/electrolyte interface, enabling dendrite-free Zn plating/stripping with a remarkably high average coulombic efficiency of 99.8% at commercially relevant areal capacities of 4 mAh cm −2 and function up to 1600 h at 8 mAh cm −2 . By concurrently stabilizing Zn redox at both electrodes, we achieve a new benchmark in Zn-ion battery performance of 4 mAh cm −2 anode-free cells that retain 85% capacity over 100 cycles at 25 °C. Using this eutectic-design electrolyte, Zn | |Iodine full cells are further realized with 86% capacity retention over 2500 cycles. The approach represents a new avenue for long-duration energy storage.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Best practices for in-situ and operando techniques within electrocatalytic systems

In-situ and operando techniques in heterogeneous electrocatalysis are a powerful tool used to elucidate reaction mechanisms. Ultimately, they are key in determining concrete links between a catalyst’s physical/electronic structure and its activity en route to designing next-generation systems. To this end, the exact execution and interpretation of these lines of experiments is critical as this determines the strength of conclusions that can be drawn and what uncertainties remain. Instead of focusing on how techniques were used to understand systems, as is the case with most reviews on the topic, this work instead initiates a nuanced discussion of 1) how to best carry out each technique and 2) initiate a nuanced analysis of which level of insights can be drawn from the set of in-situ or operando experiments/controls carried out. We focus on several commonly used techniques, including vibrational (IR, Raman) spectroscopy, X-ray absorption spectroscopy and electrochemical mass spectrometry. In addition to this, we include sections of reactor design and the link with theoretical modelling that are applicable across all techniques. While we focus on heterogeneous electrocatalysis, we make links when appropriate to the areas of photo- and thermo-catalytic systems. We highlight common pitfalls in the field, how to avoid them, and what sets of complementary experiments may be used to strengthen the analysis. We end with an overview of what gaps remain in in-situ and operando techniques and what innovations must be made to overcome them.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

High-entropy electrolytes for practical lithium metal batteries

Electrolyte engineering is crucial for improving battery performance, particularly for lithium metal batteries. Recent advances in electrolytes have greatly improved cyclability by enhancing electrochemical stability at the electrode interfaces, but concurrently achieving high ionic conductivity has remained challenging. Here we report an electrolyte design strategy for enhanced lithium metal batteries by increasing the molecular diversity in electrolytes, which essentially leads to high entropy electrolytes (HEEs). We find that in weakly solvating electrolytes, the entropy effect reduces ion clustering while preserving the characteristic anion-rich solvation structures, which is characterized by synchrotron-based X-ray scattering and molecular dynamics simulations. Electrolytes with smaller- sized clusters exhibit a 2-fold improvement in ionic conductivity compared to conventional weakly- solvating electrolytes, enabling stable cycling at high current densities up to 2C (6.2 mA cm -2 ) in anode- free LiNi 0.6 Mn 0.2 Co 0.2 (NMC622)||Cu pouch cells. In conclusion, the efficacy of the design strategy is verified by performance improvements in three disparate weakly solvating electrolyte systems.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Mild pH-decoupling aqueous flow battery with practical pH recovery

Establishing a pH difference between the two electrolytes (pH decoupling) of an aqueous redox flow battery (ARFB) enables cell voltages exceeding the 1.23 V thermodynamic water-splitting window, but acid–base crossover penalizes efficiency and lifetime. Here we employ mildly acidic and mildly alkaline electrolytes to mitigate crossover, achieving high round-trip energy efficiency with open circuit voltage >1.7 V. We implemented an acid–base regeneration system to periodically restore electrolytes to their initial pH values. The combined system exhibited capacity fade rate <0.07% per day, round-trip energy efficiency >85% and approximately 99% Coulombic efficiency during stable operation for over a week. Cost analysis shows that the tolerance of acid–base crossover could be increased if the pH-decoupling ARFB achieved a higher voltage output and lower resistance. Finally, this work demonstrates principles for improving lifespan, rate capability and energy efficiency in high-voltage pH-decoupling ARFBs and pH recovery concepts applicable for pH-decoupling systems.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Explaining the trends and variability in the United States tornado records using climate teleconnections and shifts in observational practices

The annual frequency of tornadoes during 1950–2018 across the major tornado-impacted states were examined and modeled using anthropogenic and large-scale climate covariates in a hierarchical Bayesian inference framework. Anthropogenic factors include increases in population density and better detection systems since the mid-1990s. Large-scale climate variables include El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), Arctic Oscillation (AO), and Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (AMO). The model provides a robust way of estimating the response coefficients by considering pooling of information across groups of states that belong to Tornado Alley, Dixie Alley, and Other States, thereby reducing their uncertainty. The influence of the anthropogenic factors and the large-scale climate variables are modeled in a nested framework to unravel secular trend from cyclical variability. Population density explains the long-term trend in Dixie Alley. The step-increase induced due to the installation of the Doppler Radar systems explains the long-term trend in Tornado Alley. NAO and the interplay between NAO and ENSO explained the interannual to multi-decadal variability in Tornado Alley. PDO and AMO are also contributing to this multi-time scale variability. SOI and AO explain the cyclical variability in Dixie Alley. This improved understanding of the variability and trends in tornadoes should be of immense value to public planners, businesses, and insurance-based risk management agencies.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A simple and practical wax-encapsulation method for air-sensitive XAS samples

To facilitate X-ray absorption spectroscopy (XAS) measurements of air-sensitive samples, we present a simple method in which materials are encased in common paraffin wax to protect them from air and moisture. We demonstrate the efficacy of this approach using a highly reducing, air- and moisture-sensitive uranium(III) complex, the tris(amide) U[N(SiMe 3 ) 2 ] 3 (1). When finely dispersed in a boron nitride matrix and subsequently encased in inert paraffin wax, samples of 1 remain stable with no visible or spectroscopic degradation after several days under ambient conditions. The viability of this method for XAS measurements was further evaluated across a series of uranium compounds, ranging from uranyl species to highly air- and moisture-sensitive molecular complexes, at the uranium L 3 -edge. Edge energy determinations were highly reproducible (±0.1 eV between replicates) and, where available, showed excellent agreement with literature values. In conclusion, this low-cost, effective, and versatile method offers a viable solution for XAS studies of air-sensitive compounds and materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Pitfalls in parameters: practical process development in chemical vapor processing of SiC

Vapor processing of high-value materials, such as silicon carbide (SiC), is of interest for many industries, including aerospace and energy production. Chemical vapor infiltration (CVI) of additively manufactured components is an especially attractive manufacturing process currently in development. Here, a novel development workflow is demonstrated with the H 2 –CH 3 SiCl 3 gas system for SiC to accelerate the process optimization of CVI SiC. A combination of calculated thermodynamics and high-throughput experimental chemical vapor deposition (CVD) coatings substantially reduced the experiments required with slow CVI processes. The computational results accurately predicted changes in the thermodynamic conditions tested, while CVD coatings – characterized by Raman spectroscopy – addressed changes in kinetic parameters. This workflow is also applicable to other vapor-processing systems, such as pyrolytic carbon, ZrC, or Si 3 N 4 .

Lamm, Benjamin W. [Oak Ridge National Laboratory (↗

Employing Technology to Enable Remote Research Charrettes as a Method for Engaging Industry and Uncovering Best Practices: A Novel Approach for a Post-COVID-19 World

Methods to collect data in construction engineering and management (CEM) research are evolving, informed by recent technological advancements. One such method is research charrettes that allow effective interactions and knowledge sharing between expert industry practitioners and academic researchers, all colocated in a single venue, enabling rich data collection and live communication. A pivot point in technological evolution occurred with the COVID-19 pandemic, forcing a global shift to remote work. Hence, planned in-person research charrettes had to shift to remote sessions, relying on virtual conferencing platforms and online data collection mechanisms. Technology-enabled charrettes have allowed the authors to collect significantly richer data sets and ensure a more diverse representation of participants, while saving tremendous amounts of time. With the continuing emergence of technological applications, the world might not go back to functioning fully in person. The authors believe remote research charrettes (RRCs) will still be used in a post-COVID-19 world because of their superior performance. This paper builds on a previous publication that described traditional research charrettes as a method to enhance CEM research a decade ago; it offers a significantly updated and improved RRC method based on the knowledge gained from transitioning a dozen in-person charrettes into RRCs. It also presents performance comparisons between RRCs and traditional charrettes by quantifying metrics indicating how RRCs are more time-efficient and cost-saving, harness more participants from more diverse locations, and enable the collection of richer data sets and four times more industry comments and expert feedback. This paper also provides guidance on the integration of technology with traditional research charrettes, hence contributing to the CEM body of knowledge.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Laser-free GHz stroboscopic transmission electron microscope: Components, system integration, and practical considerations for pump–probe measurements

In this work a 300 keV transmission electron microscope was modified to produce broadband pulsed beams that can be, in principle, between 40 MHz and 12 GHz, corresponding to temporal resolution in the nanosecond to picosecond range without an excitation laser. The key enabling technology is a pair of phase-matched modulating and de-modulating traveling wave metallic comb striplines (pulsers). An initial temporal resolution of 30 ps was achieved with a strobe frequency of 6.0 GHz. The placement of the pulsers, mounted immediately below the gun, allows for preservation of all optical configurations, otherwise available to the unmodified instrument, and therefore makes such a post-modified instrument for dual-use, i.e., both pulsed-beam mode (i.e., stroboscopic time-resolved) and conventional continuous waveform mode. In this article, we describe the elements inserted into the beam path, challenges encountered during integration with an in-service microscope, and early results from an electric-field-driven pump–probe experiment. We conclude with ideas for making this class of instruments broadly applicable for examining cyclical and repeatable phenomena.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Determining best practices for using genetic algorithms in molecular discovery

Genetic algorithms (GAs) are a powerful tool to search large chemical spaces for inverse molecular design. However, GAs have multiple hyperparameters that have not been thoroughly investigated for chemical space searches. In this tutorial, we examine the general effects of a number of hyperparameters, such as population size, elitism rate, selection method, mutation rate, and convergence criteria, on key GA performance metrics. Here, we show that using a self-termination method with a minimum Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient of 0.8 between generations maintained for 50 consecutive generations along with a population size of 32, a 50% elitism rate, three-way tournament selection, and a 40% mutation rate provides the best balance of finding the overall champion, maintaining good coverage of elite targets, and improving relative speedup for general use in molecular design GAs.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗