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Domestic and International Consensus Standards for Nuclear Criticality Safety - Overview & Status

The domestic and international consensus standards for nuclear criticality safety (NCS) were developed based on the lessons-learned from process criticality accidents. These consensus standards were developed to reduce the rate of process criticality accidents in facilities that process, store, handle, or transport fissionable materials by hand. After a significant increase in criticality accidents through the mid-1960s, the rate of criticality accidents decreased as a result of these standards, and the criticality accident rate is extremely low from an industrial safety perspective. The last known criticality accident inside the United States was in 1978 (nearly 47 years ago) at the Idaho Chemical Processing Plant, and outside the United States, an accident occurred at Tokai-mura, Japan, in 1999 (almost 26 years ago). The domestic consensus standards for NCS include the American National Standards (ANS) that are prepared and published by the American Nuclear Society and approved by the American National Standards Institute (ANSI). The ANS Standards Board, the NCS Consensus Committee, and the ANS-8 Subcommittee oversee the development and maintenance of these standards. There are currently 18 standards in the ANS-8 series. Nine ANS-8 standards are either in revision mode or planned for revision. A new standard for the use of nondestructive assay measurements (ANSI/ANS-8.28-2024) for NCS was approved in March of 2024. The international consensus standards for NCS calculations, procedures, and practices are maintained and developed within the International Organization for Standardization, Technical Committee 85 “Nuclear Energy,” Subcommittee 5, “Nuclear Fuel Technology,” and Working Group 8, “Nuclear Criticality Safety.” Eleven standards are currently available, four standards are proposed for revision, and four standards are at various stages of development. This paper provides the NCS community with a high-level overview and status report of domestic and international NCS consensus standards to stimulate interest and to support their continued development.

Bowen, Douglas G [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000212460026)↗

Identifying Nuclear Cost Targets for Competitive Maritime Decarbonization

The shipping industry contributes to a substantial quantity of global carbon emissions. Reaching a “Net-Zero World” will ultimately require complete decarbonization of the existing fleet. Nuclear energy may provide a viable solution toward this end goal. To better understand the economic dynamics of relying on nuclear energy to power maritime fleets, cost targets were identified in this study. Two use cases were considered: (1) nuclear energy is used to generate synthetic fuel (termed synfuel) to power maritime propulsion, and (2) nuclear reactors for vessel propulsion. The study found that in both cases realistic cost targets for nuclear reactor costs could be reached. However, option 2 was deemed to be much more competitive overall but with higher technical risks.

29 - ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY AND ECONOMY↗

Advancing Multi-Hazard Risk and Safety Considerations for Aging Nuclear Facilities

While probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) of nuclear facilities is expected to include internal and external hazards for a risk-informed and performance-based design, the current state of practice treats each hazard independently. However, such an independent treatment of hazards may not account for the correlations between different hazards and their response of and damage to the structures, systems, and components (SSCs) in a plant resulting in underestimating the overall risk. This project proposes to advance the multi-hazard PRA of nuclear facilities to more adequately evaluate concurrent hazards and contribute to an increased safety of nuclear plants. A framework for multi-hazard PRA will be developed by identifying concurrent hazard events (both internal and external) and event sequences that include interdependencies through the response of SSCs. An example application of the multi-hazard PRA framework will be demonstrated by considering a generic pressurized water reactor (PWR) subjected to seismic and internal flooding hazards. Computational models for the response of components will be developed to generated multi-hazard fragility surfaces under seismic and flooding loads. A PRA model consisting of event and fault trees will also be developed to quantify the multi-hazard risk profile and compare it with the independent hazard risk profile. Overall, by advancing the multi-hazard PRA of nuclear facilities, this project enhances nuclear safety and reduces costs by mitigating unforeseen consequences caused by correlations between concurrent hazards.

97 - MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

First-Principles Cost Analysis of Advanced High-Temperature Nuclear Plants

Due to the vast number of recent nuclear reactor innovations, particularly those pertaining to generation IV reactor types like high-temperature gas cooled reactors (HTGRs) and sodium-cooled fast reactors (SFRs), and the newer deployment strategies envisioned, such as use of small modular reactors (SMRs) or even microreactors, reliable, detailed, and complete costs of these nuclear innovations are needed in wide availability. The types of models that generally achieve these objectives are those incorporating the fundamental nature of the real-world systems they aspire to predict, such as first-principles models. Furthermore, first principles models typically offer predictiveness that is not attained by most other types of individual-models. However, detailed, first-principles cost modeling of nuclear reactors and entire nuclear plants is relatively limited. To address this limitation in the availability of detailed, predictive models based on fundamentals, we recently developed a range of cost models, mostly based on first-principles methodologies, to project full lifecycle costs (LCCs) of nuclear power plants (NPPs) based on multiple parallel SM-HTG-pebble bed reactors (PBRs) and SM-SFRs.

Prosser, Jacob H. [Strategic Analysis, Inc., Arlin↗

Chemical Interaction of Palladium in Uranium Oxycarbide Nuclear Fuel Kernel

Chemical Interaction of Palladium in Uranium Oxycarbide Nuclear Fuel Kernel Jana Howard1,3, Guang Yang3, Haiyan Zhao1*, Patrick Warren4, Tiankai Yao3, Steven Cavazos4 Elizabeth Sooby Wood4*, Ching-heng Shiau2 1 University of Idaho, Environmental Science, Idaho Falls, Idaho, USA 2 Boise State University, Microscopy and Characterization Suite, Idaho Falls, Idaho, USA 3 Idaho National Laboratory, Idaho Falls, Idaho, USA 4 University of Texas San Antonio, Department of Physics and Astronomy, San Antonio, Texas, USA *Corresponding author: haiyanz@uidaho.edu; elizabeth.soobywood@utsa.edu Tri-structural Isotropic (TRISO) particle fuel is the preferred choice for the newest and next-generation high-temperature nuclear reactors due to its robust construction [1]. The fuel design effectively contains fission products inside the particle at extremely high temperatures [2]. However, the effect of transition metal fission products on fuel performance and structural integrity remains largely unknown, creating uncertainties in predicting fuel performance and potential failure mechanisms [2]. For example, palladium (Pd) has a strong tendency to form intermetallic phases with uranium (U). These new phases tend to be hard and brittle which could lead to fracture of fuel kernel during irradiation [3,4]. Pd is not normally produced in high concentrations in normal fission reactions however, driving the production of Pd into the locality of a Uranium Oxycarbide (UCO) nuclear fuel provides an opportunity to closely observe the diffusion and chemical interactions. This study focuses on detailed transmission electron microscopy characterization of the intermetallic phases formed by the interaction between a UCO kernel and a Pd bar after annealing at 1100 °C for 100 hours. Figure 1 provides an overview of the UCO kernel in contact with the Pd bar. The UCO-Pd sample surface was examined using a Focused Ion Beam (FIB) Quanta 3D FEG FEI in VCD detector mode at 10kV, 83pA to reveal surface features. Several key surface features in the interaction region were observed including: (1) a small area with dendritic microstructure, (2) color contrast near the UCO kernel and Pd boundary, and (3) darker and lighter regions throughout the sample surface. To analyze diffusion behavior, FIB was used to prepare lamellae from five different areas of the UCO-Pd sample, as well as one for the as-received sample. These lamellae were examined using a Scanning Transmission Electron Microscope ThermoFisher Spectra 300 (STEM-Spectra). Energy Dispersive Spectroscopy results confirmed the diffusion between the UCO fuel and Pd bar. Figure 2 shows the identified phases of UC, UO2, and Pd dispersed throughout the interaction region. It was also found that the Pd concentration decreases as the radial distance from the UCO-Pd interface increases. The Pd concentration was 36.93% atomic fraction 11µm from the interaction region then decreased to 7.51% atomic fraction at 257 µm away from the interaction region. Figure 3 shows how concentrations of U and Pd vary across the interaction zone, highlighting the extent of diffusion. This study confirms that Pd interacts with surrounding material to form U-Pd phase and diffusion zones. These diffusion zones vary in composition depending on its radial distance from the point of contact with the Pd bar. These findings contribute to a deeper understanding of the fission product behavior in high temperature nuclear fuels, aiding in the prediction and mitigation of potential fuel degradation mechanisms. A B C Fig. 1. SEM micrographs of UCO fuel kernel in contact with solid Pd bar and the lift out locations. Figure 1A shows UCO fuel kernel in contact with solid Pd bar. Figure 1B shows a higher magnification image of the UCO fuel-Pd interaction zone. Figure 1C shows lift out sites for the lamellae. A B C Fig 2. EDS maps reveal the distribution of U, O, and Pd in location 3. Figure 2A shows the distribution of uranium. Figure 2B shows the distribution of oxygen. Figure 2C shows the distribution of palladium. A B C Fig 3. Palladium and uranium concentration across interaction zone in location 2. Figure 3A shows EDS map of lift out number 2. Figure 3B shows a zoomed in EDS map taken from the interaction zone. Figure 3C shows a line graph of uranium and palladium concentrations across the interaction zone. References: 1. B.E. Wells, N.R. Phillips, K.J. Geelhood. Pacific West Laboratory. (2021). TRISO Fuel: Properties and Failure Modes. https://www.nrc.gov/docs/ML2117/ML21175A152.pdf (Accessed January 16, 2025). 2. American Nuclear Society. TRISO Fuel Development Progresses in INL, ORNL. https://www.gen-4.org/gif/upload/docs/application/pdf/2014-03/nov13nn_fuel_reprint.pdf (Accessed January 16, 2025) 3. Clark R.A., M.A. Con

36 - MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Chemical Interaction of Palladium in Uranium Oxycarbide Nuclear Fuel Kernel

Chemical Interaction of Palladium in Uranium Oxycarbide Nuclear Fuel Kernel Jana Howard1,3, Guang Yang3, Haiyan Zhao1*, Patrick Warren4, Tiankai Yao3, Steven Cavazos4 Elizabeth Sooby Wood4*, Ching-heng Shiau2 1 University of Idaho, Environmental Science, Idaho Falls, Idaho, USA 2 Boise State University, Microscopy and Characterization Suite, Idaho Falls, Idaho, USA 3 Idaho National Laboratory, Idaho Falls, Idaho, USA 4 University of Texas San Antonio, Department of Physics and Astronomy, San Antonio, Texas, USA *Corresponding author: haiyanz@uidaho.edu; elizabeth.soobywood@utsa.edu Tri-structural Isotropic (TRISO) particle fuel is the preferred choice for the newest and next-generation high-temperature nuclear reactors due to its robust construction [1]. The fuel design effectively contains fission products inside the particle at extremely high temperatures [2]. However, the effect of transition metal fission products on fuel performance and structural integrity remains largely unknown, creating uncertainties in predicting fuel performance and potential failure mechanisms [2]. For example, palladium (Pd) has a strong tendency to form intermetallic phases with uranium (U). These new phases tend to be hard and brittle which could lead to fracture of fuel kernel during irradiation [3,4]. Pd is not normally produced in high concentrations in normal fission reactions however, driving the production of Pd into the locality of a Uranium Oxycarbide (UCO) nuclear fuel provides an opportunity to closely observe the diffusion and chemical interactions. This study focuses on detailed transmission electron microscopy characterization of the intermetallic phases formed by the interaction between a UCO kernel and a Pd bar after annealing at 1100 °C for 100 hours. Figure 1 provides an overview of the UCO kernel in contact with the Pd bar. The UCO-Pd sample surface was examined using a Focused Ion Beam (FIB) Quanta 3D FEG FEI in VCD detector mode at 10kV, 83pA to reveal surface features. Several key surface features in the interaction region were observed including: (1) a small area with dendritic microstructure, (2) color contrast near the UCO kernel and Pd boundary, and (3) darker and lighter regions throughout the sample surface. To analyze diffusion behavior, FIB was used to prepare lamellae from five different areas of the UCO-Pd sample, as well as one for the as-received sample. These lamellae were examined using a Scanning Transmission Electron Microscope ThermoFisher Spectra 300 (STEM-Spectra). Energy Dispersive Spectroscopy results confirmed the diffusion between the UCO fuel and Pd bar. Figure 2 shows the identified phases of UC, UO2, and Pd dispersed throughout the interaction region. It was also found that the Pd concentration decreases as the radial distance from the UCO-Pd interface increases. The Pd concentration was 36.93% atomic fraction 11µm from the interaction region then decreased to 7.51% atomic fraction at 257 µm away from the interaction region. Figure 3 shows how concentrations of U and Pd vary across the interaction zone, highlighting the extent of diffusion. This study confirms that Pd interacts with surrounding material to form U-Pd phase and diffusion zones. These diffusion zones vary in composition depending on its radial distance from the point of contact with the Pd bar. These findings contribute to a deeper understanding of the fission product behavior in high temperature nuclear fuels, aiding in the prediction and mitigation of potential fuel degradation mechanisms. A B C Fig. 1. SEM micrographs of UCO fuel kernel in contact with solid Pd bar and the lift out locations. Figure 1A shows UCO fuel kernel in contact with solid Pd bar. Figure 1B shows a higher magnification image of the UCO fuel-Pd interaction zone. Figure 1C shows lift out sites for the lamellae. A B C Fig 2. EDS maps reveal the distribution of U, O, and Pd in location 3. Figure 2A shows the distribution of uranium. Figure 2B shows the distribution of oxygen. Figure 2C shows the distribution of palladium. A B C Fig 3. Palladium and uranium concentration across interaction zone in location 2. Figure 3A shows EDS map of lift out number 2. Figure 3B shows a zoomed in EDS map taken from the interaction zone. Figure 3C shows a line graph of uranium and palladium concentrations across the interaction zone. References: 1. B.E. Wells, N.R. Phillips, K.J. Geelhood. Pacific West Laboratory. (2021). TRISO Fuel: Properties and Failure Modes. https://www.nrc.gov/docs/ML2117/ML21175A152.pdf (Accessed January 16, 2025). 2. American Nuclear Society. TRISO Fuel Development Progresses in INL, ORNL. https://www.gen-4.org/gif/upload/docs/application/pdf/2014-03/nov13nn_fuel_reprint.pdf (Accessed January 16, 2025) 3. Clark R.A., M.A. Con

36 - MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Influence of pre-existing defects on thermal transport in nuclear graphite

Nuclear graphite is a critical material in high-temperature nuclear reactors due to its superior thermal and mechanical properties. The manufacturing process leaves multi-scale ‘pre-existing’ defects that can affect thermal transport characteristics. Because these defects are remnant of graphitization temperature, they cannot be thermally annealed. This study employs a non-thermal electron wind force (EWF) annealing technique to avoid this obstacle. 2 min of EWF treatment of the as-received graphite IG-110 at temperatures below 100 °C led up to 67% increase in thermal diffusivity and ~ 35% decrease in electrical resistivity in average. Differential scanning calorimetry also showed similar outcome for specific heat. X-ray diffraction characterization was performed by fitting a bi-modal crystallite size distribution model to reveal the enhancement in crystallinity after the EWF treatment. The findings emphasize the potential of EWF annealing for optimizing thermal performance in nuclear graphite and its implications for reactor efficiency and safety.

Annealing↗

Morphology and particle size (MaPS) exercise: testing the applications of image analysis and morphology descriptions for nuclear forensics

Image analysis techniques have been applied and shown to be a valuable tool in nuclear forensics analysis. The interlaboratory exercise reported here has tested quantitative and qualitative approaches for characterizing nuclear materials. Particle size, surface features and morphology descriptions were compared by four laboratories on a common image set generated by Scanning Electron Microscopy and Digital Light Microscopy. Quantitative analysis of the image sets through the Morphological Analysis for MAterials software highlighted the strength of image analysis, but also that the application of the software alone can introduce significant bias in the analysis. Qualitative morphology descriptions following the process outlined by Tamasi et al. (J Radioanal Nuclear Chem 307:1611–1619, 2015) were compared with a discussion on the robustness and reproducibility of the results. Finally, future work should continue to focus on proficiency and standardization of image analysis through continued exercises within the extended nuclear forensics community.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Fullerene-like defects in high-temperature neutron-irradiated nuclear graphite

Irradiation-induced defect evolution in graphite is particularly important for its application in graphite-moderated nuclear reactors. The evolution of defects directly influences macroscopically observed property changes in irradiated nuclear graphite which, in turn, can govern the lifetime of graphite components. This article reports novel defect structures and the irradiation response of microstructural features occurring in high-temperature irradiated nuclear graphite IG-110. High resolution transmission electron microscopy (HRTEM) was used to characterize specimens neutron-irradiated at a high temperature (≥ 800°C) at doses of 1.73 and 3.56 atomic displacements per atom (dpa). Concentric shelled and fullerene-like defects were found to result in swelling along the c-axis and contraction along the a/b-axis of crystallites. Furthermore, such defects are shown to occur within, and partially fill, Mrozowski cracks prior to turnaround dose. In addition, in situ TEM under similar irradiation conditions was used to capture the real-time dynamic evolution of defects, providing unambiguous analysis of the evolution of the graphite structures during irradiation. Here, the results suggest the mainstream theory for radiation damage in nuclear graphite (which assumes additional basal plane formation as the sole reason) to be an incorrect interpretation of defect evolution contributing to irradiation-induced property changes at higher temperatures.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Accelerated thermal property mapping of TRISO advanced nuclear fuel

TRistructural ISOtropic (TRISO) fuel is a leading-edge nuclear fuel form representing a departure from the more traditional nuclear fuel forms utilized in the reactor fleet of today. Rather than a monolithic fuel pellet of uranium dioxide, integral fuel forms containing TRISO fuel are composed of thousands of microencapsulated uranium-bearing fuel kernels and individually coated with multiple layers of pyrolytic carbon and silicon carbide. These multilayered ceramic coatings serve as an environmental barrier to ensure radioactive and chemically reactive fission products are contained within the reactor fuel elements, but also participate in the transfer of heat generated in the nuclear fuel to the coolant – the primary purpose of a nuclear reactor. Since traditional thermal property measurement techniques, such as laser flash analysis, would be unable to resolve the thermal properties of the individual TRISO coating layers, a simplified frequency-domain thermoreflectance technique has been developed to rapidly map the thermal properties of TRISO particles. Using this technique, the thermal properties of TRISO particles have been mapped from room temperature up to 1000 °C to examine the spatial variation and temperature-dependency of the thermal properties within each layer. Additionally, spatial-domain thermoreflectance was used to examine the anisotropy of the thermal properties for each layer at different locations within a single TRISO particle, and across multiple TRISO particles to assess the intra- and inter-particle uniformity of thermal properties, respectively. To elucidate the underlying causes for the measured variations in thermal properties, scanning electron microscopy and Raman spectroscopy were used to examine variations in microstructure and chemical bonding within the different coating layers. Results from this work are then compared with previous examinations of TRISO fuel particles and microstructurally driven mechanisms for the variations in the measured thermal properties of the different carbonaceous layers are discussed.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Correlated characterization of 20 Ne-implanted targets using nuclear reaction analysis, Rutherford backscattering spectrometry, and ion transport modeling

In this article, we present the preparation and characterization of a large sample of implanted noble gas targets for use in precision nuclear astrophysics measurements with intense proton beams. Tantalum and titanium backings were prepared using wet-acid etching, outgassed via resistive heating, and implanted with 20 Ne + beams from differing ion sources. These experimental targets were investigated using both nuclear reaction analysis techniques on the 1169-keV resonance in 20 Ne(p, $\gamma$) 21 Na and Rutherford backscattering spectrometry analysis with 2-MeV α-particle beams. Results from these analyses reveal small target-to-target variations in stoichiometry, while exhibiting excellent agreement independent of ion-beam analysis method. We also present a self-consistent validation of the nuclear reaction analysis results using ion transport simulations in TRIM-2013 that rely on input parameters from SIMNRA scattering-yield fits to Rutherford backscattering spectra. In addition to a complete description of the implantation profile, this analysis method provides an alternate solution for characterizing a large sample of implanted targets when no suitable resonances are available for nuclear reaction analysis.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Performance evaluation of neutron noise analysis in detecting special nuclear materials

Reliable and rapid inspection techniques play a vital role in preventing illicit trafficking of special nuclear materials. Active interrogation systems using neutrons produced by portable, high-flux deuterium-deuterium or deuterium-tritium neutron generators are being actively developed as a secondary scanning tool for this purpose. In this study, a neutron noise analysis-based approach for detecting unshielded and shielded special nuclear materials by using a pulsed deuterium-tritium neutron generator was evaluated. Here, this approach analyzes the fluctuation of neutron counts. Its performance was quantified with regard to time-to-detection to achieve a minimum probability of detection of 99% and a probability of false alarm of less than 1% considering various amounts of special nuclear materials and different shielding configurations. It was demonstrated that this approach could detect 17 uranium slugs in 5 s given a neutron generator yield of 8.1 × 10 7 n/s. These slugs could be detected within a reasonable time frame (200 s) when they were shielded by 10.16 cm of high-density polyethylene. The results obtained using the neutron noise analysis approach were compared with those obtained using the commonly used differential die-away analysis technique, a sensitive technique for detecting the presence of fissile materials by utilizing the prompt fission neutrons produced when the source neutrons from a neutron generator are completely diminished. For example, the time to detect 2 unshielded uranium slugs was 2.1 s when using the differential die-away analysis technique; it increased to 93 s for the neutron noise analysis approach. Although the noise analysis-based approach exhibits an overall performance which is not as good as that of differential die-away, neutron noise provides an alternative method for effective detection of special nuclear materials.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Nuclear data uncertainty propagation applied to the versatile test reactor conceptual design

We report the Versatile Test Reactor (VTR) currently under development is a 300 MWth sodium-cooled fast reactor (SFR) fueled with ternary metal alloy fuel, which aims to accelerate the testing of advanced nuclear fuels, materials, instrumentation, and sensors in high flux environments that are necessary to license the next generation of advanced reactor concepts. To support the VTR design process, uncertainties associated with the nuclear data has been propagated through the reactor core neutronics calculation to global parameters of interest, such as the core multiplication factor, kinetic parameters, and various reactivity feedback coefficients, following the sensitivity based uncertainty propagation approach. By folding the sensitivity coefficients, separately computed by the generalized perturbation theory code PERSENT and Monte Carlo code Serpent 2, with the variance-covariance matrices from COMMARA-2.0, we obtain the reaction-wise, isotope-wise, and overall uncertainties for each response of interest due to nuclear data uncertainty. With Serpent 2, the statistical error of the uncertainty is obtained by propagating the statistical error of the sensitivity coefficients through the same process using a newly developed uncertainty propagation method. From both codes, the overall top uncertainty contributors are found to be the cross section of Fe-56 elastic scattering, Na-23 elastic scattering, and U 238 inelastic scattering. The large contributions of the Fe-56 elastic scattering cross sections to global parameters are due to its relatively large relative uncertainty of 5–10% in nuclear data and the large volume of Fe-containing reflector assemblies in the fairly compact VTR core design. Both codes agreed well for the overall uncertainty estimates of all responses of interest, except the delayed neutron fraction, prompt neutron generation time, and the coolant density feedback coefficient, where Serpent 2 yielded a much larger value than PERSENT due to the large statistical error of sensitivity coefficients. The calculated uncertainties are also compared to those associated with other SFR cores. Another outcome of this study is a variance-covariance matrix of reactivity coefficients, which can be used in the subsequent uncertainty propagation to the system level to investigate the impact of identified uncertainties on system responses in the safety analysis.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

A mortar thermomechanical contact computational framework for nuclear fuel performance simulation

Nuclear fuel performance simulations involve the modeling of complex physical phenomena, ranging from fission gas release to fuel swelling and other temperature-induced effects. For light-water reactors (LWRs), swelling of the fuel and the pressure it imposes on the clad when they come into contact causes permanent clad deformation. Accurately characterizing the fuel-cladding interaction, which involves multiple physics, is essential to accurately simulate the fuel/cladding system. Thermomechanical modeling of this problem using a variationally consistent enforcement (e.g., a mortar approach) has been shown to improve the quality of results and facilitate convergence. Here, we present a general multiphysics computational framework for solving nuclear fuel problems using a mortar approach in BISON, a nuclear fuel performance code. In this study analyses show that using the mortar approach, which enables variationally consistent constraint enforcement, improves the quality of results as compared to the more commonly used node-on-face enforcement for representative LWR nuclear fuel simulations.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Controlling extrapolations of nuclear properties with feature selection

Predictions of nuclear properties far from measured data are inherently inaccurate because of uncertainties in our knowledge of nuclear forces and in our treatment of quantum many-body effects in strongly-interacting systems. While the model bias can be directly calculated when experimental data is available, only an estimate can be made in the absence of such measurements. Current approaches to compute the estimated bias quickly lose predictive power when their input variables are taken far from the training region, resulting in uncontrolled uncertainties in applications such as nucleosynthesis simulations. In this letter, we present a novel technique to identify the input variables of machine learning algorithms that can provide robust estimates of model bias. Our process is based on selecting input variables, or features, based on their probability distribution functions across the entire nuclear chart. We illustrate our approach on the problem of quantifying the model bias in nuclear binding energies calculated with Density Functional Theory (DFT). We prove that building model biases with only Z and N as features leads to highly unreliable extrapolations. Conversely, we show that proper feature selection can systematically improve theoretical predictions without increasing uncertainties.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

A review of neutronics and thermal hydraulics–based screening methods applied to accelerated nuclear fuel qualification

This paper reviews the state-of-the-art engineering approach for using thermal hydraulic (TH) and neutronics modeling and simulation (M&S) tools to perform rapid screening studies of novel nuclear fuel concepts within the context of accelerated fuel qualification. Global research efforts have introduced nuclear fuel and material concepts that mark a significant departure from traditional reactor materials. The number of new technologies being considered for development for light water reactors and advanced reactor types has created the need for an accelerated fuel qualification procedure. A key component of this procedure is the rapid identification of the most promising fuel concepts using computational screening studies. Advanced TH and neutronic M&S tools should be leveraged to efficiently determine whether the reactor performance and safety characteristics of a given concept warrant additional studies or whether the concept requires modification or elimination. This paper reviews best practices for performing these TH and neutronics screening studies at various stages during a fuel concept's progression through the qualification procedure. The motivation behind standardizing this approach is to minimize time and resources spent on qualification activities for fuel concepts that could be quickly refined or eliminated from consideration based on their reactor physics and TH characteristics. Adoption of this screening procedure—which focuses primarily on nuclear fuels but may be applicable to other reactor materials—will also help accelerate new material qualification by generating boundary conditions crucial to fuel performance evaluations and highlighting needed areas of separate effects experimentation. This article reviews the motivation behind the introduction of novel nuclear fuel concepts, provides incentive for utilizing TH- and neutronics-based screening studies, describes the screening approach and methodology, and includes discussion on how to interpret screening results to provide recommendations for the continued development of a given concept.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Recent advances in chiral EFT based nuclear forces and their applications

During the past two decades, chiral effective field theory has evolved into a powerful tool to derive nuclear forces from first principles. Nearly all two-nucleon interactions have been worked out up to sixth order of chiral perturbation theory, while, with few exceptions, three-nucleon forces, which play a subtle, but crucial role in microscopic nuclear structure calculations, have been derived up to fifth order. We review the current status of these forces as well as their applications in nuclear many-body systems. While the ab initio description of light nuclei is generally very successful, we point out and analyze problems encountered with medium-mass nuclei. We also survey the construction of equations of state for symmetric nuclear matter and neutron-rich matter based on chiral forces. A focal point is the symmetry energy and its impact on neutron skins and systems of astrophysical relevance. The physics of neutron-rich systems, from nuclei to compact stars, is essentially determined by the density dependence of the symmetry energy. Here, we review the status of predictions in comparison with latest empirical constraints, with particular attention to those extracted from parity-violating electron scattering.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Ab initio predictions link the neutron skin of 208 Pb to nuclear forces

Heavy atomic nuclei have an excess of neutrons over protons, which leads to the formation of a neutron skin whose thickness is sensitive to details of the nuclear force. This links atomic nuclei to properties of neutron stars, thereby relating objects that differ in size by orders of magnitude. The nucleus 208 Pb is of particular interest because it exhibits a simple structure and is experimentally accessible. However, computing such a heavy nucleus has been out of reach for ab initio theory. By combining advances in quantum many-body methods, statistical tools and emulator technology, we make quantitative predictions for the properties of 208 Pb starting from nuclear forces that are consistent with symmetries of low-energy quantum chromodynamics. We explore 10 9 different nuclear force parameterizations via history matching, confront them with data in select light nuclei and arrive at an importance-weighted ensemble of interactions. We accurately reproduce bulk properties of 208 Pb and determine the neutron skin thickness, which is smaller and more precise than a recent extraction from parity-violating electron scattering but in agreement with other experimental probes. This work demonstrates how realistic two- and three-nucleon forces act in a heavy nucleus and allows us to make quantitative predictions across the nuclear landscape.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗