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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 955 records · Page 53
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2023

CTF Theory Manual: Version 4.4

Coolant-Boiling in Rod Arrays – Two Fluids (COBRA-TF) is a thermal/hydraulic (T/H) simulation code designed for light-water reactor (LWR) vessel analysis. It uses a two-fluid, three-field (i.e., fluid film, fluid drops, and vapor) modeling approach. Both subchannel and 3D Cartesian forms of its governing equations are available for the solution. The code was originally developed by Pacific Northwest Laboratory in 1980 and has been used and modified by several institutions over the last few decades. COBRA-TF also found use at the Pennsylvania State University (PSU) by the Reactor Dynamics and Fuel Modeling Group (RDFMG) and has been improved, updated, and subsequently rebranded as CTF. CTF was later adopted in the early 2010s by Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) for use in the Consortium for Advanced Simulation of Light Water Reactors (CASL) program, which led to a significant advancement of the code’s software quality, modeling accuracy, testing systems, and capabilities for improved support in modeling common LWR nominal and transient behavior. As part of the improvement process, it was necessary to generate sufficient documentation for the public domain code which had lacked such material upon being adopted by RDFMG. This document serves as a theory manual for CTF, detailing the many two-phase heat transfer, drag, and important accident scenario models contained in the code, as well as the numerical solution process utilized. Additional documents available in the CTF documentation suite include the user manual and the verification and validation manual.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2026

Uncertainty Quantification and Sensitivity Analysis of Nuclear Construction Cost Reduction Pathways

High construction costs have plagued recent nuclear projects and they hamper the widespread deployment of nuclear technology. The Nuclear Cost Reduction Tool is a plant economic framework that quantifies the impact that various plant design and construction attributes have on construction costs and cost overruns and shows the positive effects of learning over a series of deployments. However, a downside of the current model is that all model outputs and capabilities are deterministic. To provide a more comprehensive view, this study evaluated the impact of model parameter uncertainty through a sensitivity analysis applied to 18 model parameters. This approach quantified the impact of model uncertainty on the output variables of Net Overnight Capital Cost (Net OCC), Construction Duration (CD), and Levelized Cost of Electricity (LCOE). Monte Carlo analysis revealed uncertainty distributions for these variables, showing that absolute uncertainty decreases over a series of deployments. A local sensitivity analysis showed that even small parameter perturbations (5%) can have a significant impact on project execution, highlighting areas that could reduce costs by billions across an order book of plants. The results of this study have improved the understanding of the model and identified the most impactful model parameters and construction attributes.

Levelized Cost of Electricity↗
DOE OSTI2026

Precise Modeling of a Complex Solenoidal Magnetic Field Using a Combination of Analytic Functions and a PINN

We demonstrate an iterative approach to modeling a sparsely measured magnetic field in a large-bore solenoid. This approach uses a hybrid of traditional and machine learning techniques. The traditional technique is a linear least-squares fit using a series solution to Laplace's equation, while the machine learning technique involves the training of a physics-informed neural network (PINN) on the least-squares fit residuals. We use a newly defined activation function "DELTAsnake," a modification to the snake activation function proposed by Ziyin et al. that allows for stronger curvature and non-monotonicity. The combined model approximately obeys Maxwell's equations to a level sufficient for producing high quality physics simulations and analysis. Our approach is applied to a highly realistic calculation of the expected magnetic field in the Mu2e experiment's Detector Solenoid which includes a simple model for the expected statistical measurement uncertainties. Using ten toy measurement simulations, we demonstrate the capabilities of our model in comparison to the least-squares method alone; the least-squares method alone results in a reduced chi-squared statistic of ${2.15 \pm 0.01}$, while our approach improves the reduced chi-square to ${1.034 \pm 0.005}$. Furthermore, for an average toy simulation, we show that the range of the RMS of the three field component residuals reduces from ${0.07-0.37}$ Gauss to ${0.05-0.07}$ Gauss. We find that this novel method is robust against a realistic systematic uncertainty deriving from Hall probe calibration bias and can be used to significantly reduce the number of measurements required to achieve an accurate model.

Kampa, Cole [Caltech] (ORCID:0000000192972920)↗
DOE OSTI2020

Development and Validation of Quantitative Model-Based Image Reconstruction for NDE of Reinforced Steel-Lined Concrete Structures: Kal-El FY 2020

This project studied the capabilities of Model-Based Image Reconstruction (MBIR) and Machine Learning (ML) algorithms in the imaging and estimation of rebar corrosion from ultrasound signals. The application was challenging due to the introduction of a steel liner between the sensor and the concrete containing the rebar. The study focused in a synthetic specimen with a 6.35 mm thick steel liner, and a 19.05 mm diameter rebar at a depth of 44.5 mm and with four levels of corrosion; 0%, 20%, 50%, and 100% corrosion level. The corrosion was applied uniformly around the rebar, generating a ring in the perimeter of the rebar with different acoustic density. In order to generate a realistic synthetic dataset, we added random texture to the concrete of the synthetic specimens. This texture will mimic the variations encountered in real concrete specimens.We adapted our MBIR algorithm for the application and enhanced the algorithm to integrate in the physical model known specimen features, such as the steel liner thickness. The new MBIR method was able to cancel out reverberation from the steel liner and properly image the rebar. In particular, corrosion for the 50% and 100% cases were easily visible and quantitative metrics showed a slight separation for the 0% and 20% levels. The quantitative results were in agreement with the qualitative assessment. We also developed a ML XGBoost model to estimate corrosion level from the ultrasound signals. By combining the ML method with MBIR, we can pinpoint in the ultrasound signals the section that corresponds to the echoes from the rebar. The extract signals are processed by the XGBoost model for prediction. From each system scan, we obtain 15 predictions. The median prediction value is used as the final prediction. The True Acceptance Rate for the method is over 99%.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

SeismoGen: Seismic Waveform Synthesis Using GAN With Application to Seismic Data Augmentation

Abstract Detecting earthquake arrivals within seismic time series can be a challenging task. Visual, human detection has long been considered the gold standard but requires intensive manual labor that scales poorly to large data sets. In recent years, automatic detection methods based on machine learning have been developed to improve the accuracy and efficiency. However, the accuracy of those methods relies on access to a sufficient amount of high‐quality labeled training data, often tens of thousands of records or more. We aim to resolve this dilemma by answering two questions: (1) provided with a limited amount of reliable labeled data, can we use them to generate additional, realistic synthetic waveform data? and (2) can we use those synthetic data to further enrich the training set through data augmentation, thereby enhancing detection algorithms? To address these questions, we use a generative adversarial network (GAN), a type of machine learning model which has shown supreme capability in generating high‐quality synthetic samples in multiple domains. Once trained, our GAN model is capable of producing realistic seismic waveforms of multiple labels (noise and event classes). Applied to real Earth seismic data sets in Oklahoma, we show that data augmentation from our GAN‐generated synthetic waveforms can be used to improve earthquake detection algorithms in instances when only small amounts of labeled training data are available.

Wang, Tiantong↗
DOE OSTI2020

Wind Energy High-Fidelity Model Verification and Validation Roadmap

The development of a next generation high-fidelity modeling code for wind plant applications is one of the central focus areas of the U.S. Department of Energy Atmosphere to Electrons (A2e) initiative. The code is based on a highly scalable framework, currently called Nalu-Wind. One key aspect of the model development is a coordinated formal validation program undertaken specifically to establish the predictive capability of Nalu-Wind for wind plant applications. The purpose of this document is to define the verification and validation (V&V) plan for the A2e high-fidelity modeling capability. It summarizes the V&V framework, identifies code capability users and use cases, describes model validation needs, and presents a timeline to meet those needs.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2022

Emulation Modeling for Development of Cyber-Defense Capabilities for Satellite Systems

The objective of this project was to develop a novel capability to generate synthetic data sets for the purpose of training Machine Learning (ML) algorithms for the detection of malicious activities on satellite systems. The approach experimented with was to a) generate sparse data sets using emulation modeling and b) enlarge the sparse data using Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs). We based our emulation modeling on the Open Source NASA Operational Simulator for Small Satellites (NOS3) developed by the Katherine Johnson Independent Verification and Validation (IV&V) program in West Virginia. Significant new capabilities on NOS3 had to be developed for our data set generation needs. To expand these data sets for the purpose of training ML, we experimented with a) Extreme Learning Machines (ELMs) and b) Wasserstein-GANs (WGAN-GP).

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗
DOE OSTI2025

Exploring Flood Predictability in Taiwan through Coupled Atmospheric–Hydrological and High-Performance Hydrodynamic Models

Effective flood simulation capabilities can tremendously support early warning and disaster prevention. To examine the applicability of a fully physics-based and high-performance flood simulation and forecasting modeling framework for a flood-prone region in Taiwan, we conduct a numerical experiment that couples the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model, WRF-Hydrological modeling system (WRF-Hydro), and the Two-Dimensional Runoff Inundation Toolkit for Operational Needs (TRITON) to perform integrated rainfall, streamflow, and flood simulations. Furthermore, we first use the coupled WRF and WRF-Hydro (WWH) to predict rainfall and streamflow and then drive TRITON with the predicted streamflow hydrographs to simulate flood depth and inundation area. With the refined spatial resolution and parameterization, this framework can better predict rainfall with reasonable spatial patterns. Although WWH could overestimate the amount of rainfall in some areas, the uncertain rainfall–streamflow predictions produce reasonable flood maps able to pinpoint regions at risk of flooding. In terms of model efficiency, the graphics processing unit–based computation can yield a speed-up factor as high as ∼13 compared to the central processing unit–based computation, promoting the efficacy of the coupled modeling framework in practical real-time flood forecasting.

Coupled models↗
DOE OSTI2023

FEOTS v0.0.0: a new offline code for the fast equilibration of tracers in the ocean

Abstract. In this paper we introduce a new software framework for the offline calculation of tracer transport in the ocean. The Fast Equilibration of Ocean Tracers Software (FEOTS) is an end-to-end set of tools to efficiently calculate tracer distributions on a global or regional sub-domain using transport operators diagnosed from a comprehensive ocean model. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first application of a transport matrix model to an eddying ocean state. While a Newton–Krylov-based equilibration capability is still under development and not presented here, we demonstrate in this paper the transient modeling capabilities of FEOTS in an application focused on the Argentine Basin, where intense eddy activity and the Zapiola Anticyclone lead to strong mixing of water masses. The demonstration illustrates progress in developing offline passive tracer simulation capabilities, while highlighting the challenges of the impulse response functions approach in capturing tracer transports by a non-linear advection scheme. Our future work will focus on improving the computational efficiency of the code to reduce time-to-solution, using different basis functions to better represent non-linear advection operators, applying FEOTS to a parent model with unstructured grids (Ocean Model for Prediction Across Scales, MPAS-Ocean), and fully implementing a Newton–Krylov steady-state solver.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Feasibility of Formulating Ecosystem Biogeochemical Models From Established Physical Rules

Abstract To improve the predictive capability of ecosystem biogeochemical models (EBMs), we discuss the feasibility of formulating biogeochemical processes using physical rules that have underpinned the many successes in computational physics and chemistry. We argue that the currently popular empirically based approaches, such as multiplicative empirical response functions and the law of the minimum, will not lead to EBM formulations that can be continuously refined to incorporate improved mechanistic understanding and empirical observations of biogeochemical processes. Instead, we propose that EBM parameterizations, as a lossy data compression problem, can be better formulated using established physical rules widely used in computational physics and chemistry, and different biogeochemical processes can be more robustly integrated within a reactive‐transport framework. Through several examples, we demonstrate how mathematical representations derived from physical rules can improve understanding of relevant biogeochemical processes and enable more effective communication between modelers, observationalists, and experimentalists regarding essential questions, such as what measurements are needed to meaningfully inform models and how can models generate new process‐level hypotheses to test in empirical studies. Finally, while empirical models with more parameters are often less robust, physical rules‐based models can be more robust and show lower predictive equifinality, stemming from their enhanced consistency in representations of processes, interactions and spatial scaling.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Accurate parameterization of the kinetic energy functional for calculations using exact-exchange

In this report, electronic structure calculations based on Kohn-Sham density functional theory (KSDFT) that incorporate exact exchange or hybrid functionals are associated with large computational expense, a consequence of the inherent cubic scaling bottleneck and large associated prefactor, which limits the length and time scales that can be accessed. Though orbital-free density functional theory (OFDFT) calculations scale linearly with system size and are associated with significantly smaller prefactor, they are limited by the absence of accurate density-dependent kinetic energy functionals. Therefore, the development of accurate density-dependent kinetic energy functionals is important for OFDFT calculations of large realistic systems. To this end, we propose a method to train kinetic energy functional models at the exact-exchange level of theory by using a dictionary of physically relevant terms that have been proposed in the literature in conjunction with linear or nonlinear regression methods to obtain the fitting coefficients. For our dictionary, we use gradient expansion of the kinetic energy, nonlocal models proposed in the literature and their nonlinear combinations, such as a model that incorporates spatial correlations between higher order derivatives of electron density at two points. The predictive capabilities of these models are assessed by using a variety of model one-dimensional systems that exhibit diverse bonding characteristics, such as a chain of eight hydrogens, LiF, LiH, C 4 H 2 , C 4 N 2 and C 3 O 2 . We show that by using data from model one-dimensional KSDFT calculations performed using the exact-exchange functional for only a few neutral structures, it is possible to generate models with high accuracy for charged systems as well as electron and kinetic energy densities during self-consistent field iterations. In addition, we show that it possible to learn both the orbital dependent terms, i.e., the kinetic energy and the exact-exchange energy, and models that incorporate additional nonlinearities in spatial correlations, such as a quadratic model, are needed to capture subtle features of the kinetic energy density that are present in exact-exchange-based KSDFT calculations.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2021

PAO 1.0: A Python Library for Adversarial Optimization

PAO is a Python-based package for Adversarial Optimization. The goal of this package is to provide a general modeling and analysis capability for bilevel, trilevel and other multilevel optimization forms that express adversarial dynamics. PAO integrates two different modeling abstractions: 1. Algebraic models extend the modeling concepts in the Pyomo algebraic modeling language to express problems with an intuitive algebraic syntax. Thus, we expect that this modeling abstraction will commonly be used by PAO end-users. 2. Compact models express objective and constraints in a manner that is typically used to express the mathematical form of these problems (e.g. using vector and matrix data types). PAO denes custom Multilevel Problem Representations (MPRs) that simplify the implementation of solvers for bilevel, trilevel and other multilevel optimization problems.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2021

Analysis of secondary organic aerosol simulation bias in the Community Earth System Model (CESM2.1)

Organic aerosol (OA) has been considered as one of the most important uncertainties in climate modeling due to the complexity in presenting its chemical production and depletion mechanisms. To better understand the capability of climate models and probe into the associated uncertainties in simulating OA, we evaluate the Community Earth System Model version 2.1 (CESM2.1) configured with the Community Atmosphere Model version 6 (CAM6) with comprehensive tropospheric and stratospheric chemistry representation (CAM6-Chem) through a long-term simulation (1988–2019) with observations collected from multiple datasets in the United States. We find that CESM generally reproduces the interannual variation and seasonal cycle of OA mass concentration at surface layer with a correlation of 0.40 compared to ground observations and systematically overestimates (69%) in summer and underestimates (-19%) in winter. Through a series of sensitivity simulations, we reveal that modeling bias is primarily related to the dominant fraction of monoterpene-formed secondary organic aerosol (SOA), and a strong positive correlation of 0.67 is found between monoterpene emission and modeling bias in the eastern US during summer. In terms of vertical profile, the model prominently underestimates OA and monoterpene concentrations by 37%–99% and 82%–99%, respectively, in the upper air (>500 m) as validated against aircraft observations. Our study suggests that the current volatility basis set (VBS) scheme applied in CESM might be parameterized with monoterpene SOA yields that are too high, which subsequently results in strong SOA production near the emission source area. We also find that the model has difficulty in reproducing the decreasing trend of surface OA in the southeastern US probably because of employing pure gas VBS to represent isoprene SOA which is in reality mainly formed through multiphase chemistry; thus, the influence of aerosol acidity and sulfate particle change on isoprene SOA formation has not been fully considered in the model. This study reveals the urgent need to improve the SOA modeling in climate models.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2020

Argonne’s global critical materials agent-based model (GCMat)

Several studies have identified rare earths as critical materials. Although reasonably abundant in the Earth’s crust, rare earths typically occur in low concentrations of mined ores. Processes for recovering rare earth concentrates from these ores are complex and capital intensive. Further, lead times for deposit development, licensing, and construction are long, with reports of 10- 15 years. China is a major player in the rare earths supply chain, both in production capacity and technology innovation. In 2017, China supplied more than 80% of global rare earth oxide demand. Rare earth elements (REEs) have unique magnetic, catalytic, and phosphorescent properties that significantly improve performance of a wide range of technologies. These technologies span aerospace, energy, telecommunications, electronics, transportation, defense, and other diverse applications. Consequently, disruptions in rare earth supply can have a significant societal impact. Estimating that impact requires understanding of the dynamics across the supply chain, from rare earth oxide extraction to end use application. This report documents Argonne’s Global Critical Materials model (GCMat), first described by Riddle et al. 2015. GCMat provides capabilities to explore supply chain dynamics and uncertainty under scenarios of demand growth or shrinkage, technology adoption, supply disruptions, and trade policies and mitigation strategies of new supply sources, product substitution, consumer thrifting, and stockpiling. Supply chain participants from rare earth mining through final demand are modeled as interacting agents who make market decisions independently as time progresses. Since the version documented in Riddle et al. 2015, GCMat has been expanded to cover additional REEs, derived products and supply chains that use these REEs, and includes new agent behaviors and modeling capabilities. Section 2 provides a summary of the GCMat model design, including the structure of the model and key assumptions, section 3 summarizes methods used for model calibration and sensitivity analysis, and section 4 provides examples of model results.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Constraining nuclear mass models using 𝑟-process observables with multiobjective optimization

Modeling nuclear masses, particularly for nuclei far from stability, remains a key objective in nuclear physics. One contemporary approach is machine learning (ML), which trains on experimental data, but can suffer large errors when extrapolating toward neutron-rich species. In nature, such masses shape observables for the rapid neutron capture process (𝑟 process), which in principle could inform ML models. Here, we introduce a multiobjective optimization approach using the Pareto front algorithm. We show that this technique, capable of identifying models that generate 𝑟-process abundances aligning with both solar and stellar data, is a promising method to select ML models with reliable extrapolation power.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Reserve Model of Energy Storage in Day-ahead Joint Energy and Reserve Markets: A Stochastic UC Solution

With many favorable advantages including fast response ability in particular, utility-level energy storage systems (ESS) are being integrated into energy and reserve markets to help mitigate uncertain renewable resources and fluctuant demands. This paper discusses a stochastic unit commitment (UC) model to explore capabilities of ESSs in providing valuable grid services by simultaneously joining energy and reserve markets. The proposed reserve model of ESSs presents the following features: (i) two constraints are proposed to formulate ESS’s reserve provision ability in each hour via six operation modes, namely increasing/reducing the level of charge, switching to discharge, increasing/reducing the level of discharge, switching to charge; (ii) as an energy-limited asset, constraints on ESS’s reserve deliverability across multiple hours is introduced to hold enough state of charge (SOC) headroom and floor room, guaranteeing that reserves cleared in individual hours are continuously deliverable over multiple successive hours without violating operation limits. Furthermore, a scenario-based UC model, which addresses uncertainties of renewables and demands, is adopted to evaluate reserves provided by ESSs and generators. To effectively solve the stochastic UC problem, the progressive hedging algorithm with heuristic approaches is discussed. A 6-bus system and a modified IEEE 118-bus system are used to illustrate effectiveness of the proposed approaches.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Emergent Behaviors and the Limits of Large Language Model Generalization

Over the past couple years, large language models (LLMs) have rapidly grown in size and performance across wide numbers of tasks, leading some to herald them as machine learning models with truly “general” capabilities. We address some of the ways that the language used to describe these models can be both deceptive and a poor framing for making progress towards understanding their capabilities, and also review arguments on to what extent these models can represent and interact with the meaning of language. Emergent behaviors in these highly complex models are unpredictable and research into understanding them is still in early phases, which limits the strength of claims of generality about them. Moreover, while these models demonstrate surprising emergent reasoning capabilities on many tasks, there are still many limitations in generalization that overall high benchmark performance can hide. We review the literature showcasing limitations of LLMs as well as techniques to mitigate or overcome these challenges, while also highlighting how fundamental problems in model evaluation may prevent true claims of generality. We conclude with a practical section on using LLMs on real world problems while appropriately evaluating and validating these tasks to prevent or mitigate the downstream impacts of incorrect results.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2026

Evaluation of RMI Ejecta Sourcing from Reconstructed Interfaces in 2D FLAG Flyer-Plate Simulations

This study investigates the performance of RMI ejecta sourcing from a reconstructed interface in two-dimensional FLAG ejecta flyer-plate simulations. Enabling the RMI ejecta model to operate on reconstructed interfaces has been a longstanding challenge in FLAG, limiting its applicability to experiments in which interface reconstruction is not required. Addressing this limitation is therefore an important step toward expanding the model’s predictive capability. The first phase of this effort focused on identifying a flyer-plate/target configuration that produces large ejecta clouds from two distinct shocks using the standard RMI ejecta model. A series of simulations examined the effects of flyer composition, layer thickness, and mesh resolution on shock structure and ejecta formation. VISAR traces were used to evaluate shock timing and identify configurations that produced a clear double-shock response. A copper middle-layer flyer with a doubled tin layer yielded the most favorable shock characteristics and was selected as the baseline configuration. After confirming this configuration performed as expected when running a reference FLAG version, it became the basis for three simulations: (1) a standard two-dimensional ejecta flyer-plate calculation using a reference FLAG version, (2) the same calculation with the reconstructed interface option enabled, and (3) a calculation employing ALE strategies to force the ejecta model to operate on the reconstructed interface. While the baseline simulation produced the expected ejecta response, the reconstructed interface approach did not result in measurable ejecta, indicating that this capability remains under development. These results highlight both the progress made and the remaining challenges in extending the RMI ejecta model to reconstructed interfaces.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗