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DOE OSTI2014

Meeting the Radiative Forcing Targets of the Representative Concentration Pathways in a World with Agricultural Climate Impacts

This study assesses how climate impacts on agriculture may change the evolution of the agricultural and energy systems in meeting the end-of-century radiative forcing targets of the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs). We build on the recently completed ISI-MIP exercise that has produced global gridded estimates of future crop yields for major agricultural crops using climate model projections of the RCPs from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5). For this study we use the bias-corrected outputs of the HadGEM2-ES climate model as inputs to the LPJmL crop growth model, and the outputs of LPJmL to modify inputs to the GCAM integrated assessment model. Our results indicate that agricultural climate impacts generally lead to an increase in global cropland, as compared with corresponding emissions scenarios that do not consider climate impacts on agricultural productivity. This is driven mostly by negative impacts on wheat, rice, other grains, and oil crops. Still, including agricultural climate impacts does not significantly increase the costs or change the technological strategies of global, whole-system emissions mitigation. In fact, to meet the most aggressive climate change mitigation target (2.6 W/m2 in 2100), the net mitigation costs are slightly lower when agricultural climate impacts are considered. Key contributing factors to these results are (a) low levels of climate change in the low-forcing scenarios, (b) adaptation to climate impacts, simulated in GCAM through inter-regional shifting in the production of agricultural goods, and (c) positive average climate impacts on bioenergy crop yields.

agricultural climate impacts↗

DOE OSTI2016

Towards a comprehensive climate impacts assessment of solar geoengineering

Despite a growing literature on the climate response to solar geoengineering—proposals to cool the planet by increasing the planetary albedo—there has been little published on the impacts of solar geoengineering on natural and human systems such as agriculture, health, water resources, and ecosystems. An understanding of the impacts of different scenarios of solar geoengineering deployment will be crucial for informing decisions on whether and how to deploy it. Here we review the current state of knowledge about impacts of a solar-geoengineered climate and identify the major research gaps. We suggest that a thorough assessment of the climate impacts of a range of scenarios of solar geoengineering deployment is needed and can be built upon existing frameworks. However, solar geoengineering poses a novel challenge for climate impacts research as the manner of deployment could be tailored to pursue different objectives making possible a wide range of climate outcomes. We present a number of ideas for approaches to extend the survey of climate impacts beyond standard scenarios of solar geoengineering deployment to address this challenge. Reducing the impacts of climate change is the fundamental motivator for emissions reductions and for considering whether and how to deploy solar geoengineering. This means that the active engagement of the climate impacts research community will be important for improving the overall understanding of the opportunities, challenges, and risks presented by solar geoengineering.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

Earthquake-induced impact of base-isolated buildings: theory, numerical modeling, and design solutions

Earthquake shaking more intense than that used to size the horizontal clearance between a base–isolated building and near–rigid perimeter moat wall will result in hard impact, producing high–frequency, high–amplitude acceleration response in the structure and supported equipment. Herein this paper provides a design solution for the damaging effects of hard impact by installing a compliant engineered element in the load path between the base–isolated building and the moat wall, resulting in soft impact and a much smaller acceleration response. The engineered element assumed herein is a commercial–off–the–shelf marine fender with mechanical properties determined by physical testing. The attachment of a flexible engineered element, with well–defined stiffness and damping, to a near–rigid moat wall, simplifies the numerical modeling of the building–moat wall system and eliminates the need to bound the lateral stiffness of the wall for impact calculations. The simple model of the engineered element can be implemented in commercial finite element codes. Theory is developed for two–sided impact of a single–degree–of–freedom oscillator. Analytical solutions are derived for the shifted first–mode frequency of the impacted oscillator and for its free–vibration response. The shifted first–mode frequency is a function of the composite lateral stiffness of the isolator–engineered element assembly and its earthquake–induced displacement. Local peaks in the spectral response of the impacted oscillator form at odd integer multiples of the shifted first–mode frequency. The analytical solutions can be used to verify, in part, the numerical model used for impact analysis.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2013

Modeling High-Impact Weather and Climate: Lessons From a Tropical Cyclone Perspective

Although the societal impact of a weather event increases with the rarity of the event, our current ability to assess extreme events and their impacts is limited by not only rarity but also by current model fidelity and a lack of understanding of the underlying physical processes. This challenge is driving fresh approaches to assess high-impact weather and climate. Recent lessons learned in modeling high-impact weather and climate are presented using the case of tropical cyclones as an illustrative example. Through examples using the Nested Regional Climate Model to dynamically downscale large-scale climate data the need to treat bias in the driving data is illustrated. Domain size, location, and resolution are also shown to be critical and should be guided by the need to: include relevant regional climate physical processes; resolve key impact parameters; and to accurately simulate the response to changes in external forcing. The notion of sufficient model resolution is introduced together with the added value in combining dynamical and statistical assessments to fill out the parent distribution of high-impact parameters. Finally, through the example of a tropical cyclone damage index, direct impact assessments are resented as powerful tools that distill complex datasets into concise statements on likely impact, and as highly effective communication devices.

climate↗

DOE OSTI2015

Framing effectiveness in impact assessment: Discourse accommodation in controversial infrastructure development

There is ongoing debate about the effectiveness of impact assessment tools, which matters both because of the threat to future practice of the tools which are frequently perceived to be ineffective, and because of the disillusionment that can ensue, and controversy generated, amongst stakeholders in a decision context where opportunities for meaningful debate have not been provided. In this article we regard debate about the meaning of effectiveness in impact assessment as an inevitable consequence of increased participation in environmental decision-making, and therefore frame effectiveness based on an inclusive democracy role to mean the extent to which impact assessment can accommodate civil society discourse. Our aim is to investigate effectiveness based on this framing by looking at one type of impact assessment – environmental impact assessment (EIA) – in two controversial project proposals: the HS2 rail network in England; and the A4DS motorway in the Netherlands. Documentary analysis and interviews held with key civil society stakeholders have been deployed to identify discourses that were mobilised in the cases. EIA was found to be able to accommodate only one out of four discourses that were identified; for the other three it did not provide the space for the arguments that characterised opposition. The conclusion in relation to debate on framings of effectiveness is that EIA will not be considered effective by the majority of stakeholders. EIA was established to support decision-making through a better understanding of impacts, so its ineffectiveness is unsurprising when its role is perceived to be broader. However, there remains a need to map discourses in different decision contexts and to analyse the extent to which the range of discourses are accommodated throughout the decision process, and the role of impact assessment in those processes, before recommendations can be made to either improve impact assessment effectiveness, or whether it is simply perceptions of effectiveness that need to be improved. - Highlights: • Effectiveness of EIA is defined in terms of its ability to accommodate discourses. • Four separate discourses were identified across two controversial cases. • EIA is considered to mobilize one out of four discourses only. • Discourse mapping is recommended to improve EIA effectiveness.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2015

How to mitigate impacts of wind farms on bats? A review of potential conservation measures in the European context

Wind energy is growing worldwide as a source of power generation. Bat assemblages may be negatively affected by wind farms due to the fatality of a significant number of individuals after colliding with the moving turbines or experiencing barotrauma. The implementation of wind farms should follow standard procedures to prevent such negative impacts: avoid, reduce and offset, in what is known as the mitigation hierarchy. According to this approach avoiding impacts is the priority, followed by the minimisation of the identified impacts, and finally, when residual negative impacts still remain, those must be offset or at least compensated. This paper presents a review on conservation measures for bats and presents some guidelines within the compensation scenario, focusing on negative impacts that remain after avoidance and minimisation measures. The conservation strategies presented aim at the improvement of the ecological conditions for the bat assemblage as a whole. While developed under the European context, the proposed measures are potentially applicable elsewhere, taking into consideration the specificity of each region in terms of bat assemblages present, landscape features and policy context regarding nature and biodiversity conservation and management. An analysis of potential opportunities and constraints arising from the implementation of offset/compensation programmes and gaps in the current knowledge is also considered. - Highlights: • Wind energy impacts bat populations in ways not yet fully understood. • As the use of windfarms is growing worldwide greater impacts on bat populations are also expected. • Mitigation hierarchy provides a way to reduce impacts from new wind farm facilities. • Compensation measures may be used to reduce the residual effects on bat populations. • Identify bats ecological needs and compensate according to the existing surroundings.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2017

Improving social impact assessment of protected areas: A review of the literature and directions for future research

Protected areas are the most widely applied policy tool for biodiversity conservation. However, effective management of protected areas is often obstructed by conflicts mainly associated with the social impacts imposed on local communities and other users by their establishment. Despite the importance of these social impacts they remain significantly under-researched. There is now an increasing need to incorporate social impacts in decision making processes by providing accurate estimations and develop ways to forecast their change in the future. Considering the increase of studies identifying this need, the present paper aims to indicate three main directions that will assist in designing effective tools for measuring and most importantly understanding social impacts: a) perceptions on social impacts of individuals who are directly affected by protected areas need to be incorporated in management evaluation techniques in a meaningful and accurate way and be combined with objective measurements of impact; b) understanding the factors determining the actual and perceived levels of social impacts is a key step for the design of effective management frameworks of protected areas and c) social impacts should not be seen as static concepts but should be seen as a dynamic and long-term factor which needs to be incorporated in decision-making processes.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Plasma production and composition from hypervelocity impacts on solar cell cover glass

Satellites are subjected to detrimental effects from the space environment, including impacts by orbital debris and meteoroids that can cause mechanical or electrical damage. While mechanical damage is well studied, electrical effects resulting from hypervelocity impact (HVI) remain poorly understood. In HVIs, where the projectile speed exceeds the speed of sound in the target material, the impact energy ionizes the material near the surface, creating a plasma that can cause radio frequency emission. This emission is the main source of electrical anomalies in satellites, but the mechanism behind its creation is still unknown. Ground-based experiments have been used to characterize HVI plasma, including the empirical power law relations that describe the impact charge produced as a function of impactor mass and speed. Quantifying these power law relations gives us a better understanding of the species formed in the impact which can eventually lead to plasma evolution models and help us first, understand the mechanism behind radio frequency emission and second, ways to prevent its damage to the satellites. In this paper, we interpret the results of the HVI experiments on solar cell coverglass targets and identify the potential chemical or molecular reactions that form the impact ion species. This is done by looking simultaneously at multiple data sets for different species within the same impact configuration, and using a new technique for quantifying the power law relations for each emitted species. We use time of flight analysis (TOF) to detect the charged particle compositions and determine their initial speeds. The results suggest that the charge production power law is species specific, with different formation mechanisms involved in a single HVI event, some of which are associated with dissociation and some with ionization of a molecule. Furthermore, our results also show that electrons have different power laws that depend on the spacecraft surface charge. TOF measurements of ions from impact events on solar cell cover glass shows the presence of SiO + and SiO – 2 as the dominant species present in plasmas on positively and negatively charged targets, respectively, as well as the formation of FeO + .

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Multi-objective automatic discovery of optimized metamaterials for varying velocity impact protection

Mechanical metamaterials have demonstrated exceptional impact performance while remaining lightweight. Impact resistance has traditionally been investigated using quasi-static simulations, often with the assumption that performance will translate to high-velocity impact scenarios. However, critical crash protection parameters—such as peak stress and absorbed energy—are highly sensitive to impact velocity, leading to inconsistent performance under dynamic loading. To address this, we introduce a strain-rate-aware, active deep learning framework that enables multi-objective optimization of impact protection metrics across a wide range of impact velocities. Our framework captures the strain-rate sensitivity of architected lattices by learning to control spatial gradation in cellular metamaterials, resulting in over 200 % enhancement in impact protection relative to state-of-the-art designs such as Voronoi and re-entrant lattices. We demonstrate its practical utility by designing next-generation lattice structures for automotive bumper systems that satisfy multiple, velocity-specific safety criteria—capabilities beyond those of conventional designs. More than just a predictive tool, this framework marks the first step towards enabling adaptable impact-resistant structures across dynamic regimes.

Deep learning↗

DOE OSTI2015

Climate change impacts on US agriculture and forestry: benefits of global climate stabilization

Increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide levels, higher temperatures, altered precipitation patterns, and other climate change impacts have already begun to affect US agriculture and forestry, with impacts expected to become more substantial in the future. There have been numerous studies of climate change impacts on agriculture or forestry, but relatively little research examining the long-term net impacts of a stabilization scenario relative to a case with unabated climate change. We provide an analysis of the potential benefits of global climate change mitigation for US agriculture and forestry through 2100, accounting for landowner decisions regarding land use, crop mix, and management practices. The analytic approach involves a combination of climate models, a crop process model (EPIC), a dynamic vegetation model used for forests (MC1), and an economic model of the US forestry and agricultural sector (FASOM-GHG). We find substantial impacts on productivity, commodity markets, and consumer and producer welfare for the stabilization scenario relative to unabated climate change, though the magnitude and direction of impacts vary across regions and commodities. Although there is variability in welfare impacts across climate simulations, we find positive net benefits from stabilization in all cases, with cumulative impacts ranging from $32.7 billion to $54.5 billion over the period 2015-2100. Our estimates contribute to the literature on potential benefits of GHG mitigation and can help inform policy decisions weighing alternative mitigation and adaptation actions.

agricultural modeling↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

TEM and XRD Investigation of Impact Glass Alteration Products: Amorphous Materials, Phyllosilicates and Everything in Between

Impact cratering is one of the most ubiquitous geologic processes shaping the surface of all solid bodies in our solar system. Impacts are also a major source of clay minerals and poorly crystalline, clay-like materials on Earth and Mars[1,2].These phyllosilicates and related clay-like phases comprise an incredibly complex group of materials, and their characterization, even in controlled laboratory settings, remains a challenging endeavor. The nature and origin of clay minerals and amorphous materials on Mars, which form a major component (~20-70 wt %) of rock and soil samples in Gale Crater as determined by the CheMin instrument on Curiosity, have remained ambiguous[3]. These amorphous phases likely fall on a spectrum between pristine volcanic and/or impact-produced primary materials and clay minerals and related phases formed from aqueous alteration. Amorphous materials are common weathering products in terrestrial sediments, soils, and paleosols [e.g., 4,5].Primary impact materials (glass, melt rocks)are comparable in some ways to those generated volcanically [6], and so it may be possible that an amorphous component is preserved within altered impactites. There are hundreds of thousands of impact craters on Mars, and Curiosity and Perseverance are currently exploring ancient impact craters. We hypothesize that the sediments and lithologies in Gale and Jezero Craters and elsewhere contain altered impact products; it is therefore important to better understand the composition and structure of these materials. Here we present the first results from a study characterizing materials produced from impact glass alteration–clay minerals, poorly crystalline/amorphous materials–in terrestrial craters using Transmission Electron Microscopy (TEM), powder X-ray diffraction (pXRD)and chemical (EDS) analysis.

Impact crater↗

NASA NTRS2022

Impacts of Climate Change on Global Food Trade Networks

Countries' reliance on global food trade networks implies that regionally different climate change impacts on crop yields will be transmitted across borders. This redistribution constitutes a significant challenge for climate adaptation planning and may affect how countries engage in cooperative action. This paper investigates the long-term (2070–2099) potential impacts of climate change on global food trade networks of three key crops: wheat, rice and maize. We propose a simple network model to project how climate change impacts on crop yields may be translated into changes in trade. Combining trade and climate impact data, our analysis proceeds in three steps. First, we use network community detection to analyse how the concentration of global production in present-day trade communities may become disrupted with climate change impacts. Second, we study how countries may change their network position following climate change impacts. Third, we study the total climate-induced change in production plus import within trade communities. Results indicate that the stability of food trade network structures compared to today differs between crops, and that countries' maize trade is least stable under climate change impacts. Results also project that threats to global food security may depend on production change in a few major global producers, and whether trade communities can balance production and import loss in some vulnerable countries. Overall, our model contributes a baseline analysis of cross-border climate impacts on food trade networks.

climate change↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

High Resolution Imaging and Analysis of Terrestrial Impact Glass: Amorphous Materials, Phyllosilicates and Everything in Between

Introduction: Impact cratering is one of the most ubiquitous geologic processes shaping the surface of all solid bodies in our solar system. Impacts are also a major source of clay minerals, poorly crystalline clay-like phases and amorphous (i.e., lacking long-range atomic order) materials on Earth and Mars. Phyllosilicates and amorphous materials have consistently formed a major component (~20-70 wt%) of every single drilled rock and soil sample in Gale Crater on Mars, as determined by the CheMin instrument on Curiosity. The origin of the amorphous component is speculative, but could be primary impact or volcanic-produced glass(es) deposited via aeolian or fluvial processes, secondary aqueous alteration products or chemical precipitates; it is likely to be a combination of all three possibilities. Efforts to determine the composition of these materials across the rover’s traverse through Gale Crater are ongoing. Naturally occurring amorphous phases are found in a variety of environments on Earth, and terrestrial analogue studies may help shed light on how they may have formed on Mars. Primary and altered impact glass are likely widespread on Mars and may have contributed to the amorphous component found throughout Gale Crater. In its pristine, unaltered state, impact glass (i.e., melt glass) is considered amorphous. However, truly unaltered glass is rarely preserved in crater fill impactites as it quickly alters in the post-impact environ-ment, commonly forming a mixture of hydrated aluminosilicate phases whose structures are not always discernable at the microscale (i.e., they may be amorphous or contain short-range order). These phases are part of an incredibly complex group of materials; differences in their composition and crystalline structure (or lack thereof) and genetic relationship to the more well-crystalline clay minerals are often only discernable at the nanoscale, beyond the resolution of traditional X-ray diffractometers (XRD) and scanning electron microscopes/microprobes (SEM/EPMA) alone. In this contribution, we summarize recent results from ongoing characterization of clay minerals, poorly crystalline clay-like phases, and amorphous materials preserved in altered terrestrial impact glass from the Chicxulub (~66 Ma) and Ries (~15 Ma) impact structures. This work has been performed using a combination of high-resolution transmission electron microscopy (HR-TEM), SEM, microprobe/EPMA, Raman spectroscopy and XRD.

Impact crater↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

IMPACT, a Tool Suite for Crew Health and Performance System Trade Analyses and Decision Support - Status of Development

Mission planners, systems engineers, and clinicians that support crew health and performance face very difficult choices on upcoming exploration missions. Given that there will be a heavily constrained mass and volume allocation for a medical system on these missions, what medical capability should be manifested to minimize both medical risk and mission risk? Given that not all promising research and technology proposals can be funded, how can proposals be prioritized so that those funded research investments produce the maximum benefit in reducing overall medical risk? The Informing Mission Planning via Analysis of Complex Tradespaces (IMPACT) project seeks to answer these kinds of questions and others to support upcoming exploration missions. IMPACT enables risk-informed and evidence-based trade space analysis for future space vehicles, missions, and systems. This presentation will discuss the long-term HRP and ExMC vision for the larger ecosystem of tools, which include an updated medical database, consisting of an Evidence Library for medical conditions and a medical item database (MedID) for medical resources, dynamic Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA) capabilities, System Modeling Language (SysML) models, and contextual data visualizations of output data. IMPACT is the result of a multi-center collaborative effort. The trade space analyses performed by IMPACT can directly inform mission, vehicle, and habitat development by quantifying medical risk, given a design reference mission, crew attributes and a set of medical capabilities. This presentation will update the audience on the development status of the tool suite as it nears its System Acceptance Review (SAR). It will review IMPACT’s constituent parts, briefly discuss typical outputs and outline the plans for transitioning to operations, currently scheduled for later in FY23. Recent development successes on the IMPACT project include the integration of the Medical Extensible Dynamic Probabilistic Risk Assessment Tool (MEDPRAT) v2.0 to accommodate segmented missions with multiple carriers and medical systems, full onboarding of the IMPACT Medical Database (IMPACT-MD), clustering medical resources and skills into medical capabilities and mutually-dependent bundles, and the ability to perform trade analyses on different medical sets, different design reference missions (DRM), with different crew complements and extra-vehicular activity (EVA) schedule.

IMPACT↗

NASA NTRS2024

Hopkinson Bar Impact Force Measurement for Application to Development of an Artificial Bird

A test method has been published for measuring forces from bird cadavers and artificial birds to demonstrate equivalency to support the use of artificial birds in aircraft certification testing. The test method involves a large diameter Hopkinson bar as the technique for measuring and comparing forces. The method involves the assumption that a force on one end of the bar results in a one-dimensional plane wave that travels down the bar. To avoid reflected waves from the end of the bar overlapping the input pulse, and due to practical limitations on the length of the bar, strain transducers are located relatively close to the impacted face of the bar, raising questions about the validity of the assumption of one-dimensional wave propagation. In addition, the large diameter of the bar can introduce dispersion effects in the propagated pulse. These must be assessed to determine the impact on the accuracy of impact force measurements and, if significant, dispersion correction techniques must be used. In this study analytical, experimental, and computational methods are used to analyze the wave propagation characteristics for impact forces expected from realistic bird impacts. While wave dispersion and effects of non-concentric impacts are present, the resulting errors are relatively small. For the response we expect to see in bird impacts up to velocities of approximately 300 m/sec the large diameter Hopkinson bar test appears to be an acceptable method for measuring the impact forces and comparing the response of real and proposed artificial birds.

Birdstrike↗

DOE OSTI2018

Remove Welding Residual Stress for CFETR Vacuum Vessel by Trailing Ultrasonic Impact Treatment

The China fusion engineering test reactor (CFETR) vacuum vessel is welded by narrow gap TIG (NG-TIG) welding, and the welding residual stress of the CFETR vacuum vessel can be redistributed by trailing welding ultrasonic impact treatment. In order to investigate the feasibility of the residual stress removing scheme, and to obtain the optimal trailing ultrasonic impact treatment technological parameters in the process of removing welding residual stress, a welding model that similar to vacuum vessel welding seam is established by using ABAQUS software, a NG-TIG welding heat source subroutine which is written in FORTRAN language used to simulate NG-TIG welding. According to the welding simulation results, a trailing welding ultrasonic impact treatment model is established, and the effects of the impact pin number, the impact method, the impact pin diameter and the impact frequency on welding residual stress are studied. The results show that the longitudinal residual stress in welding seam and its adjacent area and the lateral residual stress in the whole region have been obviously decreased by different trailing welding ultrasonic impact processes, and have made the tensile stress in the welding seam and its adjacent area has been changed into compressive stress, which can provide theoretical guidance and reference for actual production.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2019

Impact Behavior of Polyetheretherketone/Nickel Foam Co-continuous Composites

In this study, we prepared eight types of polyetheretherketone/nickel (PEEK/Ni) foam co-continuous phase composites (named “PEEK-Nis”) in which virgin PEEK was infiltrated into homologous hollow Ni structures by using hot pressing. Their Charpy impact behavior was investigated in accordance with ISO: 179-1, and the effect of the structure of the foam Ni on the impact properties of the PEEK-Nis was also studied. Compared with unfilled PEEK, the Ni prisms can effectively disperse, transfer, and absorb the energy of the pendulum, further improve the impact toughness of the PEEK-Nis and eventually lead to different fracture modes. The impact toughness of PEEK-Nis was mainly affected by Ni volume fraction, coating thickness, and pores per inch (PPI) value, which are mutually restricted. When the Ni content was less than 8.5%, the impact toughness of PEEK-Nis increased with an increase in PPI value. When the Ni content was between 8.5 and 18%, the impact toughness of PEEK-Nis increased with the coating thickness. When the Ni content exceeded 18%, the impact toughness decreased dramatically possibly because of the mechanical mismatch of the two-phase materials in PEEK-Nis. For further optimization, PEEK-NiB-2 was fabricated and had the most reasonable structure of the reinforcing phase. Among all PEEK-Nis, PEEK-NiB-2 exhibited the best impact toughness, with a value over two times that of unfilled PEEK.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2016

Impact of thermal spectrum small modular reactors on performance of once-through nuclear fuel cycles with low-enriched uranium

Small modular reactors (SMRs) offer potential benefits, such as enhanced operational flexibility. However, it is vital to understand the holistic impact of SMRs on nuclear fuel cycle performance. The focus of this paper is the fuel cycle impacts of light water SMRs in a once-through fuel cycle with low-enriched uranium fuel. A key objective of this paper is to describe preliminary example reactor core physics and fuel cycle analyses conducted in support of the U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Nuclear Energy, Fuel Cycle Options Campaign. The hypothetical light water SMR example case considered in these preliminary scoping studies is a cartridge type one-batch core with slightly less than 5.0% enrichment. Challenges associated with SMRs include increased neutron leakage, fewer assemblies in the core (and therefore fewer degrees of freedom in the core design), complex enrichment and burnable absorber loadings, full power operation with inserted control rods, the potential for frequent load-following operation, and shortened core height. Each of these will impact the achievable discharge burnup in the reactor and the fuel cycle performance. This paper summarizes a list of the factors relevant to SMR fuel, core, and operation that will impact fuel cycle performance. The high-level issues identified and preliminary scoping calculations in this paper are intended to inform on potential fuel cycle impacts of one-batch thermal spectrum SMRs. In particular, this paper highlights the impact of increased neutron leakage and reduced number of batches on the achievable burnup of the reactor. Fuel cycle performance metrics for a hypothetical example SMR are compared with those for a conventional three-batch light water reactor in the following areas: nuclear waste management, environmental impact, and resource utilization. The metrics performance for such an SMR is degraded for the mass of spent nuclear fuel and high-level waste disposed of, mass of depleted uranium disposed of, land use per energy generated, and carbon emissions per energy generated. Finally, it is noted that the features of some SMR designs impact three main aspects of fuel cycle performance: (1) small cores which means high leakage (there is a radial and axial component), (2) no boron which means heterogeneous core and extensive use of control rods and BPs, and (3) single batch cores. But not all of the SMR designs have all of these traits. As a result, the approach used in this study is therefore a bounding case and not all SMRs may be affected to the same extent.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗