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TMAP7 was developed by the Fusion Safety Program at INL primarily as a safety analysis code, to analyze tritium retention and loss in fusion reactor structures and systems during normal operation and accident conditions. TMAP7 solves one-dimensional thermal- and mass-diffusive transport and trapping equations for transport through structures, across the interface between enclosures and structures, and zero dimensional fluid transport between enclosures.
Source term modeling for TRi-structural ISOtropic (TRISO) fuel has been performed for previous reactor designs, but few are available in the open literature. Thus, there is a need to develop a simple, versatile, and mechanistic model of fission product release and transport in gas reactor cores that can be applied to a variety of reactors through user inputs and reactor-specific radionuclide inventories. To meet this need, the TRISO Analysis Tool for Predictive Source terms (TRISO-ATOPS) was developed. This model calculates the release of the key safety-important fission products by diffusion through the kernel, silicon carbide and graphite based on fuel and graphite temperatures in the reactor under normal operation. These releases from the fuel enter the coolant where they can plate-out on cooler surfaces. A clean-up model is included for designs with a coolant purification system for removing fission gases. This initial distribution of fission products in the reactor serves as an initial condition for potential releases under postulated accident conditions. From this initial condition, the model calculates the fission product release for any transient temperature profile, and the fission product releases can then be used to assess radiological dose to the workers and the public using conventional radiological dose tools. Data on the diffusion of fission products is based on historic German TRISO experiments and the more current Department of Energy Advanced Gas Reactor TRISO fuel development program. The example cases in this work demonstrate the flexibility of the model
TMAP4 was developed by the Fusion Safety Program at INL primarily as a safety analysis code, to analyze tritium retention and loss in fusion reactor structures and systems during normal operation and accident conditions. TMAP4 solves one-dimensional thermal- and mass-diffusive transport and trapping equations for transport through structures, across the interface between enclosures and structures, and zero dimensional fluid transport between enclosures.
The pressing need to improve traffic safety has become a societal concern in many cities around the world. Many traffic accidents are not occurring as stand-alone events but as consequences of other road incidents and hazards. To capture the traffic safety indications from a holistic aspect, this paper presents a suite of visualization techniques to explore large traffic safety datasets collected from different sources using adaptive study areas which include the whole region (Hamilton County, Ohio, U.S.) as well as smaller sub-areas. In the present study, these data source include (1) Hamilton County’s 911 emergency response data, which includes traffic incidents as well as other types of incidents throughout the county, and (2) Tennessee crash data, which contains only vehicle crashes with more detail on the circumstances of each crash. We find that both abstract and spatial visualization techniques are used to derive a better understanding of traffic safety patterns for different traffic participants in various urban environments. In addition to the entire region of Hamilton County, safety is examined on the highways, in the downtown area, and in a shopping district east of the city center. It is possible to characterize incidents in the different areas, gain a better understanding of common incident patterns, and identify outliers in the data. Finally, a textured tile calendar is presented to compare spatiotemporal patterns.
Nuclear power plant (NPP) risk assessment is broadly separated into disciplines of nuclear safety, security, and safeguards. Different analysis methods and computer models have been constructed to analyze each of these as separate disciplines. However, due to the complexity of NPP systems, there are risks that can span all these disciplines and require consideration of safety-security (2S) interactions which allows a more complete understanding of the relationship among these risks. In this work, a novel leading simulator/trailing simulator (LS/TS) method is introduced to integrate multiple generic safety and security computer models into a single, holistic 2S analysis. A case study is performed using this novel method to determine its effectiveness. The case study shows that the LS/TS method avoided introducing errors in simulation, compared to the same scenario performed without the LS/TS method. A second case study is then used to illustrate an integrated 2S analysis which shows that different levels of damage to vital equipment from sabotage at a NPP can affect accident evolution by several hours.
Employing integrated energy systems (IESs) with nuclear power plants (NPPs) can improve NPP utilization by leveraging dedicated thermal and electric power delivery, but it may also increase operational safety risks. This paper presents a framework to identify and quantify hazards and risks for such IESs. The framework combines accidentology to review past industrial accidents with failure modes and effects analysis (FMEA) to identify potential future incidents. Hydrogen explosion and toxic chemical release hazards are of particular concern. Explosion consequences are quantified using the Bauwens-Dorofeev (Bauwens) and trinitrotoluene equivalent mass (TNT-EM) methods, while chemical release consequences are computed using the Gaussian atmospheric dispersion method. Operational disturbances from direct electrical and thermal integration that may affect NPP safety are modeled using probabilistic risk analysis (PRA). Hazards and risks are then evaluated for regulatory compliance. The framework is applied to IESs comprising pressurized or boiling water reactors supplying three levels of thermal and electrical power to industrial customers. Case studies include high-temperature steam electrolysis hydrogen plants of varying capacities and a synthetic fuel production plant. Sensitivity analysis examines piping component failures in the PRA model as a precursor to cost estimation for thermal extraction line design. Additionally, Fussel-Vessely (FV) and risk increase importance (RII) measures identify risk-informed design improvements for the thermal extraction system. FMEA highlights hazards such as loss of offsite power, prompt loss of electrical load, loss of thermal output, and immediate steam diversion, in addition to hydrogen explosions and toxic chemical releases. Both Bauwens and TNT-EM methods suggest maintaining several hundred meters of separation between the NPP and hydrogen facility to mitigate explosion risks. PRA results show a maximum initiating event frequency increase of 1.15% and an overall risk increase of 0.28%. Importance measure analysis identifies upstream pipe leak isolation components as critical. Evaluating the results against safety regulations, it is concluded that hazards and risks can be managed to comply with regulations through risk-informed thermal and electrical connection designs, component selection, maintenance programs, and safe separation distances between NPPs and integrated industrial facilities.
The Proton Power Upgrade (PPU) project [1] at Spallation Neutron Source (SNS) is aiming at increasing the neutron beam intensities at the First Target Station (FTS) and advancing accelerator capability to additionally power a future Second Target Station (STS) [2]. PPU will involve upgrading the SNS accelerator complex to double the currently available proton beam power from 1.4 to 2.8 MW, by increasing the proton beam energy from 1 GeV to 1.3 GeV and by increasing the proton beam current.PPU will enable new science capabilities enhancing the experiment throughput of the 19 existing FTS instruments, which are heavily oversubscribed. STS will include 22 additional neutron scattering instruments. Numerous neutronics analyses are performed to support PPU evaluating the FTS systems for higher beam power and for system upgrades. Part of the PPU scope is an extension of the Ring to Target Beam Transport (RTBT) line, a stub out of the accelerator tunnel for the future Ring to STS Transport (RTST) line[3]. As the RTST tunnel will not be built within the PPU project, the stub will be shielded by a plug, which is planned to be made from regular concrete.In order to provide radiation protection safety, analyses are required to design adequate plug thickness for the stub. The thickness of the stub is driven by the criterion that the area downstream of the plug is “unrestricted access area”, demanding the dose rate downstream the stub be below 0.25 mrem/h at 30 cm from the surface at normal operation and below 20 Rem/hr for accident cases. Additionally, analyses verifying the amount of soil for shielding the accelerator tunnel to the above stated requirements are performed.
Advanced computational tools and techniques such as artificial intelligence and machine learning (AI/ML) can transform the nuclear power industry. This is necessary given that the economic viability of the existing fleet is in jeopardy and its labor-centric approach to operations and maintenance. Currently, AI/ML research is being undertaken for reactor system design and analysis including fault and accident prognosis, nuclear risk analysis such as plant safety and security evaluation, and plant operations and maintenance including predictive maintenance. Applications include both existing and advanced reactor technologies with the aim of improving operational and business efficiencies. Most every aspect of the organization can benefit, from instrumentation and control, to work planning, to human-machine interactions and business management. AI/ML in nuclear can simplify complex problems and produce more effective decision-making. Nonetheless, careful consideration must be given to the implementation of an AI/ML initiative. The aims of this research are to 1) review barriers to AI/ML adoption within the nuclear power industry, and 2) suggest potential solutions. These barriers are organized along five distinct categories (Figure 1) that are interconnected. The first are historical barriers that track the industry’s development over the decades including worldwide nuclear events that shaped public perceptions. The resulting federal scrutiny and intense safety culture that emerged are discussed. Technical barriers to AI/ML adoption are considerable, and include data privacy concerns, data governance, and the current lack of AI/ML expert knowledge at the plants. The main business case barrier remains cost, but an absence of an industry-wide vision and wide-scale adoption also produces reluctance. Stakeholder readiness is reviewed with special attention given to regulatory readiness. The 5-year strategic plan for AI readiness recently published by the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission is highlighted. Last, adoption barriers at the user level are addressed including the importance of user experience and explainable AI. The AI adoption barriers described here are inter-related and ideally should be addressed in a holistic fashion.
This study presents new data-driven models to estimate the effect of capacity on the percentage of cost overruns in the United States for nuclear power plant construction projects before and after the Three Mile Island accident. Parametric and nonparametric models have been developed that describe the significant shifts in nuclear energy costs during the dynamic environment. Employing a contemporary descriptive methodology and a quantitative analysis, we furnish a comprehensive overview of the alterations in cost overrun distribution and show the changes observed in other pivotal metrics alongside cost overruns. Our emphasis lies in documenting the fluctuations in cost overruns alongside nuclear reactor capacity levels and the increase of the overnight capital costs to build nuclear reactors. Our results show that increasing the size of nuclear reactors is not a factor statistically significant to decrease the percentage of cost overruns, and the probit model results provide evidence that an increase in size increases the probability of having cost overruns larger than 100% (double the estimated cost). We also compare our findings to two other regions: Asia and Europe.
The development of accident-tolerant fuel and advanced reactors fueled with high-assay low-enriched uranium has created an increased focus on systems with uranium enrichments between 5 and 20 wt % 235 U. SCALE criticality safety validation reports generated at Oak Ridge National Laboratory contain very few benchmark experiments in this range. The work presented herein is an initial investigation of expanded validation of the entire range of enrichments for uranium-fueled systems, including consideration of over 300 newly developed KENO models. The vast majority of the new models are between 4.4 wt % and 37.5 wt % enrichment and include a variety of thermal, intermediate, and mixed neutron spectra. This work finds no strong evidence of an enrichment-dependent bias, but there are indications of a spectrum-dependent bias. There are, however, only a limited number of independent experiments included at this time to distinguish intermediate enrichment effects from intermediate spectrum effects. Further work in this area is ongoing for intermediate enrichment systems. In the long run, the addition of these models to the Verified, Archived Library and Inputs and Data is planned, as funding and staff availability allow.
Generally, passive gamma spectroscopy (PGS) is known as a useful technique for nondestructive measurement of burnup and nuclide production in normal spent nuclear fuel. However, PGS can be used not only for normal spent fuel, but also for molten fuel generated in severe accidents involving core meltdowns. In such cases, it is estimated by the radioactivity ratios of specific nuclides. At the time of the decommissioning of the Three Mile Island's unit 2 reactor, fission products (FPs) such as Cs{sup 134}, Cs{sup 137}, Ce{sup 144}, Eu{sup 154}, Ru{sup 106}, and Sb{sup 125} were concerned. The radioactivity ratios are estimated by numerical simulations. However, there are various uncertainties in numerical simulations. In this study, we evaluated the effect of the difference in fission yield data. We compared the productions of concerned nuclides of Three Mile Island's unit 2 reactor by using Tokyo-tech and JENDL FP Fission Yields Data File 2011(FPY- 2011). Tokyo-tech is newly created by Tsubakihara et al. at Tokyo Institute of Technology. FPY-2011 is currently the latest fission yield data in Japan. In the concerned nuclides, the relative difference (Tokyo-tech/FPY-2011 -1) in the production of Sb{sup 125} is 4.5% and that of Eu{sup 154} is -5.6%. The relative difference in the production of Sb{sup 125} is found to be caused by the difference in the independent yields of Sn{sup 125}, In{sup 125}, Cd{sup 125}, Ag{sup 125}, and Pd{sup 125}. The relative difference in Eu{sup 154} is found to be caused by the relative difference in the production of Sm{sup 152} and the relative difference in the cumulative yield of Eu{sup 153}.
The Transformational Challenge Reactor (TCR) program was conceived with the goal to reduce costs and time frames associated with advanced reactor deployment by leveraging developments in advanced manufacturing, advanced materials, data science, and rapid prototyping and testing. The final deliverable of the TCR program was to be an operational test of a novel reactor design. The TCR core design incorporates a dense tri-structural-isotropic/SiC fuel form and volumetrically efficient yttrium hydride moderator, both of which were manufactured and characterized under the TCR program. The TCR is a 3 MW{sub th} He-cooled experimental nuclear reactor designed to reach a total integrated burnup of less than 24 effective full-power hours to keep the radioactive source term to a very low level. TCR design process revealed a positive moderator coefficient; however, the negative doppler coefficients for the fuel and thermal expansion of fuel, moderator, and core support plate yield an overall negative reactivity coefficient. Calculated fuel element temperatures and stresses are well within safety margins. The maximum hypothetical accident (i.e., de-pressurized loss of forced cooling) yields only a modest increase in reactor temperatures that are all within safety margins. This paper summarizes the high-level TCR design characteristics, which were derived from neutronics, thermohydraulics, thermomechanics, and safety analyses.
The ANSWERS WIMS reactor physics code is being developed for whole core multi-physics modelling. The established neutronics capability for lattice calculations has recently been extended to be suitable for whole core modelling of Small Modular Reactors (SMRs). A whole core transport, SP3 or diffusion flux solution is combined with fuel assembly resonance shielding. An integrated thermal hydraulic solver permits temperature and density variations to feedback to the neutronics calculation. This capability can be applied to both steady state and time dependent transient problems. Nuclear reactor design and safety case development requires assessment of a range of reactor transients, to inform both normal operation limitations and accident scenario analysis. This paper presents new methodology developed in WIMS to couple the core neutronics to the integrated core thermal hydraulics solver for the simulation of reactor transients in whole core models. To support the validation of the multi-physics capability of WIMS, this capability has been applied to the reactivity insertion transient experiments performed in the plate fuelled SPERT-IV reactor. This study employs WIMS using the whole core solver MERLIN, which calculates the time-dependent flux distribution and magnitude, coupled to ARTHUR, which solves for the time-dependent thermal hydraulics solution, and provides thermal feedback via the cross sections generated by GEOM, which performs resonance shielding calculations and generates cross section data for the plate geometry. This spatial kinetics model, with dynamic cross section generation, allows for variations in the temperature and neutron flux profile with time.
The current paper presents a simulation-based analysis of aerosol dispersion in the near-field and far-field of a generic, conceptual microreactor operating at pressures close to the ambient pressure; therefore, in the event of an accident that causes radionuclide leakage from the microreactor containment, the radionuclide particles are less likely to travel too far from the reactor, as opposed to conventional reactors. Accordingly, the presented work provides estimates of average and 95-percentile values of the relative effluent concentration. A parametric study is then performed to narrow down the parameters which affect the aerosol dispersion characteristics most significantly. Simulations were performed in the computer code ARCON96, and the parameters found to affect aerosol dispersion characteristics are the atmospheric stability class, and the distance between the release point and the receptor. It is recommended that the computer code RADTRAD be used to calculate actual dosage over distance, using the outputs from ARCON96 as inputs, along with reactor-specific core term inventories. (authors)
Polaris is a two-dimensional (2D) transport lattice physics capability in the SCALE code system for light-water reactor (LWR) analysis. SCALE/Polaris is being extended to treat doubly heterogeneous particulate fuels in LWRs with accident-tolerant fuels and prismatic high-temperature gas-cooled reactor (HTGR) fuel. Recently, a Dancoff-based Wigner-Seitz approximation capability based on the embedded self-shielding method (DWA-ESSM) was implemented into Polaris for efficient computation. A new double heterogeneity treatment capability based on DWA-ESSM in conjunction with the Hebert's collision probability method for double heterogeneity was developed and implemented for Polaris. The new capability was verified by performing benchmark calculations for the prismatic HTGR fuel compact problems with various design parameters through a code-to-code comparison between the Polaris and continuous-energy Monte Carlo results. (authors)
RELAP5-3D has historically focused on accurate modeling of design-basis and beyond-design-basis accidents in solid fuel light-water reactors. The assumption used in solid fuel reactors that delayed neutron precursors remain at the location in which they were produced is inherently incorrect for a molten salt reactor with flowing fuel. Therefore, new methods for modeling MSR kinetics were required. Subroutine used in RELAP5-3D were updated to analyze point kinetics in a molten salt reactor during both steady state and transient analyses. The phenomena related to MSR kinetics that were added to RELAP5-3D include arrays to store previous values for independent and dependent variables, arrays to add terms to existing kinetics equations, and a new reactivity bias term. A custom MATLAB assessment code was used to establish a suite of verification tests. This capability is undergoing final documentation and testing for public release with a future version of RELAP5-3D.
The current practice for natural phenomena hazards (NPH) risk assessment of nuclear facilities is to compute the risk for each hazard independently and then compound the total risk as a combination of single hazard risks. This state of practice does not consider correlations between hazards and the cascading impacts to structures, systems, and components (SSCs), and could thus underestimate the NPH risk or overestimate the nuclear facility safety. Events such as the Fukushima Daiichi accident have highlighted the importance of multi-hazard risk considerations to nuclear power plants (NPPs) that quantify the cascading damage effects to SSCs in the risk models. Moreover, the current fleet of NPPs in the United States is aging; these NPPs are now expected to operate well beyond their initially planned design life. Aging-related deterioration can potentially decrease the capacity of critical structures such as containment vessels to withstand NPH. Such aging considerations may not be adequately accounted for by the current NPH risk assessment guidelines. This paper presents a preliminary modeling and simulation of a representative reinforced concrete containment vessel subjected to seismic mainshock and aftershock considering concrete degradation due to alkali silica reaction. The broader aim is to develop multi-hazard time-dependent fragility functions that could be subsequently used in the probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) model. The multi-hazard component comes into play due to the consideration of damage to the containment vessel under seismic loads and concrete degradation. Consideration of concrete degradation also brings into play the time-dependent nature of the containment vessel response. The response of the containment vessel under varying degrees of concrete degradation to seismic loads is investigated. The results presented are simulated using the Multi-hazard Analysis for STOchastic time-DOmaiN phenomena (MASTODON) software for seismic analysis and the Blackbear software for concrete degradation and damage modeling. Both software are open source and developed within the Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE).
As part of their duties, Human Reliability Analysis must often evaluate if crews in nuclear power plants (NPPs) can complete tasks associated with a human-failure event within time limits. For example, the time required in NPP scenarios is determined by systematic and structured walkthroughs, feasibility studies, recorded times from training exercises, and interviews with experienced operators and experts. Typically, a point estimate is derived for the estimate (mean, maximum, or 95th percentile of time required). Using point-estimate values can mask the risk associated with variability among crews, plant conditions and set-up, environmental conditions, and other impact factors under which these actions are executed. While point estimates for time required and time available have served the industry well, without considering the uncertainty they could lead to biased understanding about the risk. The Integrated Human Event Analysis System - General Methodology (IDHEAS-G) model (developed by the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission, NRC) for human error probability calculates human error probability by summing two probabilities: insufficient time and cognitive error. As such, the model takes a more holistic approach by considering the full distributions for time required and time available to calculate the human error probability because the time available to complete the task is insufficient. In this study, we expand on the work of the NRC and discuss methods for estimating these time considerations. For example, for the time required, the impact of Performance Influencing Factors (PIFs) on the distribution was divided into impacts that are aleatory in nature, such as crew-to-crew variability, and those that are epistemic (i.e., the PIFs). Starting with the factors that introduce aleatory uncertainty, a first-order distribution was developed from a large set of time required (i.e., NPP task completion times) data for the range of operator actions that occur in the NPP control room under simulated accident conditions. The first-order distribution can then be adjusted to account for epistemic uncertainty using research associated with the impact of applicable PIFs on the time required. We also develop guidance for analysts to address the probability distributions for the time available. The guidance we developed on how to estimate time required and time available distributions is based on the identification of pertinent research and data, data analyses, and expert knowledge elicitation.