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At least 937 records · Page 52

Perspective on Solar Energy Materials, Design and Discovery, Defects, Disorder, and Interfaces

The energy transition still faces a daunting math. Currently, more than three quarters of final energy consumption occurs in form of fuels vs less than one quarter in electricity. On the other hand, renewable energy additions come almost exclusively in the form of electricity (dominantly photovoltaics and wind). Thus, meeting the terawatt challenge requires enormous growth in renewables, sufficient to convert excess electricity into fuels, as well as the development of non-electricity based solar fuel technologies, for example via solar thermochemical routes. In this presentation, we will review successes and challenges in photovoltaic materials from silicon to CdTe to halide perovskites and potential emerging materials, with a particular perspective on the role of first principles calculations and predictions. Materials design and discovery is evolving to incorporate defects, disorder, and interfaces. These phenomena play also an important role in the thermochemical generation of hydrogen, allowing to utilize synergies between renewable electricity and fuels in computational research. At the same time, machine learning approaches are increasingly geared toward properties of non-ideal materials, for example defect formation, allowing the screening for more complex material behavior as needed for the respective applications.

fuels↗

The Design of a Multiphase CO2 Turbine Test Facility

As the energy market continues to evolve with increased renewables, such as solar and wind energy, the need to balance energy demand with its availability has become increasingly more challenging. The country’s aggressive decarbonization goals in the upcoming decades will increase renewable energy market penetration, thus exacerbating the disparity between energy demand and renewable resource availability. Long-duration energy storage technologies, such as pumped thermal energy storage (PTES), are potential solutions to this challenge with high potential round-trip efficiency (RTE), no geological or geographical constraints, and low safety risks. The charge mode of a PTES system operates a heat pump cycle, converting input power to thermal energy in hot and cold reservoirs. Fundamentally, heat pumps are commonly used in daily life, but the operating conditions required by high RTE PTES systems are outside the design experience of these systems. The low-pressure side of the cycle for a supercritical CO2 (sCO2) PTES operates just above the vapor-dome and potentially drives the turbine to expand into the dome, resulting in multiphase operation in the rear stages of the turbine. This paper presents the design of the test facility for an advanced multiphase-tolerant sCO2 turbine for the heat pump of a PTES system. Heat rejection and pressure loss estimations for the multiphase sections of the test loop presented unforeseen challenges.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Upgrading Biogas through in situ Conversion of Carbon Dioxide to Biomethane in Anaerobic Digesters

Organic waste streams generated by wastewater treatment plants, agricultural operations, and food processing industries represent an important yet underutilized opportunity for renewable energy production in the United States. Through anaerobic digestion, these waste streams can produce biogas, a mixture primarily composed of methane (CH4) and carbon dioxide (CO2), that can be upgraded to pipeline-quality natural gas. However, most existing upgrading technologies remove CO2 from biogas rather than utilizing it, leaving a significant portion of the potential energy unused. This project investigates a novel biological upgrading approach that converts CO2 into additional CH4 by supplying hydrogen (H2) to specialized microorganisms capable of performing hydrogenotrophic methanation. The main challenges associated with biological biogas upgrading are related to hydrogen supply, gas-liquid mass transfer, and process stability. First, due to the high cost of hydrogen gas, it is preferable that H2 be produced on-site using renewable energy sources such as wind or solar power. Second, hydrogen has low solubility in liquids, which limits its availability to microorganisms and requires strategies to improve gas dissolution and transfer within the reactor. Third, process inhibition may occur as a result of increased pH caused by CO2 consumption or elevated H2 partial pressure, both of which can negatively affect methanogenic activity. Although research in these areas has advanced during the course of this project, these challenges have not yet been fully resolved. To date, the biological systems that have achieved the highest methane concentrations are typically ex-situ reactors, where operational conditions can be more easily controlled. For this reason, the findings of the present project remain highly relevant. The project goal was to develop an innovative system that can accomplish biogas upgrading via biological conversion of CO2 to CH4, in a novel hybrid approach that combines the advantages of both in-situ and ex-situ systems. The proposed system employs a three-phase upflow anaerobic bioreactor with H2 delivery through a gas-permeable membrane, enabling efficient hydrogen transfer and microbial conversion. Under optimized operating conditions, the system achieved 99% H2 consumption and 90% CO2 conversion. A subsequent gas cleaning stage was implemented to further improve gas quality and meet target purity standards. The upgraded gas composition reached 97.7% CH4, 2.2% CO2, and 0.97% O2, while H2S concentrations remained below detection limits. In addition, a flue gas-driven inorganic thermoelectric generator (TEG) system was designed and experimentally validated as a potential source of electricity for H2 production. The system consisted of six TEG modules connected in series and achieved an open-circuit voltage of 4.5 V and a maximum power output of 224 mW at a temperature difference of approximately 53.5 °C, demonstrating effective conversion of waste heat into electrical power under simulated flue gas conditions. Finally, a comprehensive techno-economic analysis was completed to evaluate the capital and operating costs associated with the proposed system. The results provide important insights to guide future scale-up, optimization, and potential deployment of integrated biological biogas upgrading technologies.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Development of a Lower Cost, High Volume, Commercially Available, Precursor for Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Automotive and Wind Blade Applications

Essentially all carbon fibers used in structural applications are presently manufactured from solution spun polyacrylonitrile (PAN) precursor. Solution spinning is accomplished at relatively low temperatures using very large amounts of environmentally unfriendly solvents that impart major impact to line speed and costs involved with handling and reclaiming the solvents and associated “waste streams” required in spinning and extracting those solvents. Dralon and others have demonstrated the dry spinning of PAN in the production of some acrylic fibers for textile applications, but to this point it has not been demonstrated in the production of carbon fibers. In dry spinning, the PAN polymer is also dissolved into similar solvents, although typically less solvent is utilized to maintain a somewhat higher solids content of 20-50%. The use of lower overall solvent quantities and elimination of the need for solvent/water separation simplifies and reduces the cost of solvent recovery operations. Other portions of the precursor production and carbon fiber manufacturing processes are quite similar. The work described in this report demonstrated that dry spun acrylic fiber can be an attractive candidate for carbon fiber precursor of potential interest to applications looking to capture the specific stiffness (stiffness per unit mass) and specific strength (strength per unit mass) of carbon fiber when produced at a discount relative to commercial carbon fibers in the market today. Dralon has determined that the dry spinning process utilized for producing fibers used as precursors in this project requires 27% less energy versus producing comparable fibers via the industry standard wet spinning process. Identification of carbon fiber manufacturers, as well as applications development and targeted marketing, will be required to achieve significant in-roads into mission areas of interest to DOE, such as automotive applications and wind turbine blades. In support of that activity, initial data produced in this project indicate the innovative approach as described in this report can meet at least the baseline property requirements identified for these applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Ensemble flow reconstruction in the atmospheric boundary layer from spatially limited measurements through latent diffusion models

Due to costs and practical constraints, field campaigns in the atmospheric boundary layer typically only measure a fraction of the atmospheric volume of interest. Machine learning techniques have previously successfully reconstructed unobserved regions of flow in canonical fluid mechanics problems and two-dimensional geophysical flows, but these techniques have not yet been demonstrated in the three-dimensional atmospheric boundary layer. Here, we conduct a numerical analogue of a field campaign with spatially limited measurements using large-eddy simulation. We pose flow reconstruction as an inpainting problem, and reconstruct realistic samples of turbulent, three-dimensional flow with the use of a latent diffusion model. The diffusion model generates physically plausible turbulent structures on larger spatial scales, even when input observations cover less than 1% of the volume. Through a combination of qualitative visualization and quantitative assessment, we demonstrate that the diffusion model generates meaningfully diverse samples when conditioned on just one observation. These samples successfully serve as initial conditions for a large-eddy simulation code. We find that diffusion models show promise and potential for other applications for other turbulent flow reconstruction problems.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Performance Modeling of a Variable-Geometry Oscillating Surge Wave Energy Converter on a Raised Foundation: Preprint

This paper analyzes the power capture potential, structural loadings, and costs associated with an oscillating surge wave energy converter (OSWEC) operating on a raised foundation. The raised OSWEC offers opportunities for reduced installation costs, improved energy production, and greater flexibility of deployment when compared with bottom-fixed models. In this investigation, several different foundation geometries were simulated using WEC-Sim to estimate power capture and structural loads. In an effort to maximize power capture, several cases in which flat plates of varying size were attached to the top of the foundation, under and parallel with the OSWEC, were also simulated. These plates were found to enhance power capture by preventing the wave induced pressure from passing underneath the OSWEC, diverting this pressure towards the OSWEC instead. The OSWEC was simulated in the six Wave Energy Prize sea states, which were chosen as a representative sample of U.S. deployment sites. A first-order estimate of structural costs was calculated using the Wave Energy Prize ACE metric, with the foundation comprised predominantly of steel-reinforced concrete and the OSWEC comprised of A36 steel. Influence of foundation geometry on power capture, structural loadings, and ACE are topics of particular interest. This work has been inspired by advances in large scale additive manufacturing techniques that have the potential to dramatically reduce the cost of subsea foundations. These advancements may enable cost effective WEC systems to be deployed on raised foundations.

50 EE - Wind and Water Power Program - Water (EE-4↗

PR100 One-Year Progress Update: Preliminary Modeling Results and High-Resolution Solar and Wind Data Sets

The Puerto Rico Grid Resilience and Transitions to 100% Renewable Energy Study (PR100) is a 2-year study by the U.S. Department of Energy's (DOE's) Grid Deployment Office and six national laboratories to comprehensively analyze stakeholder-driven pathways to Puerto Rico's clean energy future. In Year 1 of the study, the PR100 team rigorously modeled and analyzed scenarios that meet Puerto Rico's renewable energy targets and achieve short-term recovery goals and long-term energy resilience. This presentation will be showcased in the form of a public webinar, which summarizes PR100 progress in Year 1, provides considerations that can inform potential funding and implementation decisions by key federal and local agencies and stakeholders. The presentation follows the publication in July 2022 of a PR100 Six-Month Progress Update (in English and Spanish), as well as public webinars in February 2022 to kick off the study and in July 2022 to present the 6-month update. A final written report and web-based visuals will be published in late 2023. All publications and public events associated with the study will be available in Spanish and English. This report is also available in Spanish: https://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy23osti/85201.pdf.

100%↗

Role of mechanical stress localizations on the radiation hardness of AlGaN/GaN high electron mobility transistors

Multi-material, multi-layered systems such as AlGaN/GaN high electron mobility transistors (HEMTs) contain residual mechanical stresses that arise from sharp contrasts in device geometry and materials parameters. These stresses, which can be either tensile or compressive, are difficult to detect and eliminate because of their highly localized nature. We propose that their high-stored internal energy makes potential sites for defect nucleation sites under radiation, particularly if their locations coincide with the electrically sensitive regions of a transistor. In this study, we validate this hypothesis with molecular dynamic simulation and experiments exposing both pristine and annealed HEMTS to 2.8 MeV Au +3 irradiation. Our unique annealing process uses mechanical momentum of electrons, also known as the electron wind force (EWF) to mitigate the residual stress at room temperature. High-resolution transmission electron microscopy and cathodoluminescence spectra reveal the reduction of point defects and dislocations near the two-dimensional electron gas region of EWF-treated devices compared to pristine devices. The EWF-treated HEMTs showed relatively higher resilience with approximately 10% less degradation of drain saturation current and ON-resistance and 5% less degradation of peak transconductance. Both mobility and carrier concentration of the EWF-treated devices were less impacted compared to the pristine devices. Our results suggest that the lower density of nanoscale stress localization contributed to the improved radiation tolerance of the EWF-treated devices. Intriguingly, the EWF is found to modulate the defect distribution by moving the defects to electrically less sensitive regions in the form of dislocation networks, which act as sinks for the radiation induced defects and this assisted faster dynamic annealing.

AlGaN/GaN HEMTs↗

Fabrication and Test of C3a: A Six-Layer Subscale Canted $\cos \theta$ Dipole Magnet Using High-Temperature Superconducting corc Wires

REBCO coated conductors have a strong potential for high-field magnet applications. The REBCO technology, however, is still in its infancy for accelerator magnet applications. As part of the U.S. Magnet Development Program (MDP), we developed a six-layer canted cos θ dipole magnet, C3a, using CORC® wires developed by Advanced Conductor Technologies LLC. All the layers were wound using a semi-automated winding machine. Three layers of the magnet used CORC® wires containing the SuperPower “AP” REBCO tapes and the remaining layers used the wires containing the “HM” tapes. At 77 K, both kinds of CORC® wires showed 5% to 10% degradation, after bending to a minimum bend radius of 30 or 35 mm, with respect to the self-field critical current measured before winding. At 4.2 K, the magnet reached 9.5 kA at a ramp rate of 9 A s -1 and generated a dipole field of 1.4 T. Further, the critical current of one layer degraded by 4% after a current transient up to 10.5 kA ramped in an averaged rate of 175 kA s -1 or 20 T s -1 . We confirmed the HM CORC® wire can carry a higher current than the AP CORC® wire at 4.2 K. The test results of the C3a magnet showed that the fabrication and assembly procedure can be used for the upcoming full-scale C3 magnet.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Numerical Mixing Suppresses Submesoscale Baroclinic Instabilities Over Sloping Bathymetry

Abstract The impacts of spurious numerical salinity mixing on the larger‐scale flow and tracer fields are characterized using idealized simulations. The idealized model is motivated by realistic simulations of the Texas‐Louisiana shelf and features oscillatory near‐inertial wind forcing. can exceed the physical mixing from the turbulence closure in frontal zones and within the mixed layer. This suggests that simulated mixing processes in frontal zones are driven largely by . Near‐inertial alongshore wind stress amplitude is varied to identify a base case that maximizes the ratio of to in simulations with no prescribed horizontal mixing. We then test the sensitivity of the base case with three tracer advection schemes (MPDATA, U3HC4, and HSIMT) and conduct ensemble runs with perturbed bathymetry. Instability growth is evaluated using the volume‐integrated eddy kinetic energy and available potential energy . While all schemes have similar total mixing, the HSIMT simulations have over double the volume‐integrated and 20% less relative to other schemes, which suppresses the release of and reduces the by roughly 25%. This results in reduced isohaline variability and steeper isopycnals, evidence that enhanced suppresses instability growth. Differences in and between the MPDATA and U3HC4 simulations are marginal. However, the U3HC4 simulations have 25% more . Experiments with variable horizontal viscosity and diffusivity coefficients show that small amounts of prescribed horizontal mixing improve the representation of the ocean state for all advection schemes by reducing the and increasing the .

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Machine Learning Derived Dynamic Operating Reserve Requirements in High-Renewable Power Systems

Accurately forecasting wind and solar power output poses challenges for deeply decarbonized electricity systems. Grid operators must commit resources to provide reserves to ensure reliable operations in the face of forecast errors, a process which can increase fuel consumption and emissions. We apply neural network-based machine learning to expand the usefulness of median point forecast data by creating probabilistic distributions of short-term uncertainty in demand, wind, and solar forecasts that adapt to prevailing grid conditions. Machine learning derived estimates of forecast errors compare favorably to estimates based on incumbent methods. Reserves derived from machine learning are usually smaller than values derived using incumbent methods, which enables fuel savings during most hours. Machine learning reserves are generally larger than incumbent reserves during times of higher forecast error, potentially improving system reliability. Performance is tested using multi-stage production simulation modeling of the California Independent System Operator (CAISO) system. Machine learning reserves provide production cost and greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reductions of approximately 0.3% relative to historical 2019 requirements. Savings in the 2030 timeframe are highly dependent on battery storage capacity. At lower levels of battery capacity, savings of 0.4% from machine learning reserves are shown. Significant quantities of battery storage are expected to be added to meet California's resource adequacy needs and GHG reduction targets. Addition of these batteries saturate reserve needs and results in minimal within-hour balancing costs in 2030.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

U.S. Industry Opportunities for Advanced Nuclear Technology Development Phase II (Final Report)

This limited scope study aims at preserving the results of experimental programs for the safety of light water cooled and advanced reactors by locating and documenting, to the extent possible, where the experimental test information for these programs has been archived. The Light Water Reactor Data Preservation Activity Team initially identified seven (7) experimental programs, exceeding the required five (5) in the scope of work, which were determined to be “at risk” of potentially losing valuable data. The seven (7) experimental programs/subject areas identified are (descriptions of each experiment/experience are provided in Section 3.0): 1. FERMI-1 Reactor Accident 2. Fission Product Behavior During the In-Pile Severe Fuel Damage Test SFD I-4 3. Containment Iodine Computer Code Exercise Based on Radioiodine Test Facility (RTF) Experiment 4. Wide Range Piping Integrity Demonstration (WIND) Project 5. Iodine Chemical Research in Canada 6. High Temperature Fission Product Chemistry and Transport in Steam 7. Anything related to radioactive Methyl Iodide.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Vehicle-to-Grid Electric School Bus Commercialization Project

The Vehicle-to-Grid Electric School Bus Commercialization Project was chartered to advance the idea that the batteries in electric vehicles can play a valuable role in supporting the electric grid. As deployment of wind and solar generating resources accelerates to provide an ever-greater share of the nation’s electricity, concurrent investment in solutions that can offset their inherent intermittency will be necessary. Many types of energy storage systems have been proposed, and more than one type will find an economic fit in the grid of the future. Electric vehicle batteries have the potential to provide grid support services in an advantaged manner. The project’s method of exploring this proposition called for development and demonstration of a fleet of vehicle-to-grid (V2G) electric school buses. School buses were chosen because their energy storage capacity is large relative light-duty vehicles; they are typically domiciled in fleet settings; and the number of hours per year they are available for grid support services is high on an absolute basis (generally 80-85% of the hours in a year) and relative to other categories of medium- and heavy-duty vehicles.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

BatAnalysis - A Comprehensive Python Pipeline for Swift BAT Survey Analysis

The Swift Burst Alert Telescope (BAT) is a coded-aperture gamma-ray instrument with a large field of view that primarily operates in survey mode when it is not triggering on transient events. The survey data consist of 80- channel detector plane histograms that accumulate photon counts over periods of at least 5 minutes. These histograms are processed on the ground and are used to produce the survey data set between 14 and 195 keV. Survey data comprise >90% of all BAT data by volume and allow for the tracking of long-term light curves and spectral properties of cataloged and uncataloged hard X-ray sources. Until now, the survey data set has not been used to its full potential due to the complexity associated with its analysis and the lack of easily usable pipelines. Here, we introduce the BatAnalysis Python package, a wrapper for HEASoftpy, which provides a modern, opensource pipeline to process and analyze BAT survey data. BatAnalysis allows members of the community to use BAT survey data in more advanced analyses of astrophysical sources, including pulsars, pulsar wind nebula, active galactic nuclei, and other known/unknown transient events that may be detected in the hard X-ray band. We outline the steps taken by the Python code and exemplify its usefulness and accuracy by analyzing survey data of the Crab Nebula, NGC 2992, and a previously uncataloged MAXI transient. The BatAnalysis package allows for ~18 yr of BAT survey data to be used in a systematic way to study a large variety of astrophysical sources.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Renewable Energy Integration in Remote Alaska Communities

This guide was developed through the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Energy Transitions Initiative Partnership Project (ETIPP) technical assistance (TA) projects for Nikolski and St. George. Both communities had wind turbine projects that failed due to integration and maintenance issues. Due to these failures, Nikolski and St. George sought help to investigate renewable energy alternatives and associated integration strategies, with a focus on technologies that could be easily maintained within the community. The primary objective of this guide was to interview subject matter experts and document lessons learned to address potential renewable energy and storage integration issues in remote Alaskan communities. This guide is intended to provide information to rural Alaskan communities considering renewables with the purpose of sharing best practices and case studies to facilitate the successful implementation of future renewable energy projects.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Editorial: Advanced water splitting technologies development: Best practices and protocols

As the level of deployment and utilization of renewable energy sources, including wind and solar, continues to rise, large-scale, long-term energy storage technologies that could accommodate weekly and seasonal energy fluctuations will play a significant role in the overall deployment of renewable energies in the future. Harnessing and storing renewable energy resources via electrochemical, photoelectrochemical, or thermochemical processes by converting renewable energy into sustainable (energy storage) fuels have the potential to meet the long-term, terawatt scale energy storage challenge. Renewable hydrogen production is the cornerstone for sustainable fuel production and deep decarbonization of multiple sectors in our society. Cost-competitive clean hydrogen provides value to applications, such as 1) in the transportation sector for fuel cell vehicles, 2) in the electric grid sector for system stability and load balancing, and 3) in the industrial sector with metal refineries, cement production, and biomass upgrading (carbon-free fertilizer production). In addition, coupling clean renewable hydrogen with the carbon and nitrogen cycles enables known and well-established thermal-chemical processes to generate renewable hydrocarbon fuels and ammonia. The Advanced Water Splitting Technologies (AWST): low temperature electrolysis (LTE), high temperature electrolysis (HTE), photoelectrochemical (PEC) and solar thermo-chemical hydrogen (STCH) provide four unique and parallel approaches to produce low cost, low greenhouse gas (GHG) emission hydrogen at scale (Figure 1). Cost competitive clean hydrogen production using these four technologies is a current high priority focus for governments and industry. In June of 2022, the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) launched the first in a series of Earthshot Initiatives. The Hydrogen Shot, “1 1 1” aims to reduce the cost of clean hydrogen by more than 80% to one dollar per one kilogram in 1 decade ($\$$1/kg H 2 ). The European Green Deal and the International Energy Agency (IEA) have implemented a strong focus on green hydrogen production for a clean and secure energy future.

benchmarking, low temperature electrolysis↗

Gauging the Impact of Cosmic-ray Feedback on the Stellar Initial Mass Function

Cosmic rays (CRs) drive ionization and influence gas dynamics in molecular clouds (MCs), potentially impacting the resulting star formation outcomes. Although previous simulations of individual star formation have included methods for CR transport (CRT), none have been large enough to resolve the stellar initial mass function (IMF). We conduct numerical simulations following the collapse of a 20,000 M ⊙ MC and the subsequent star formation including CRT, both with and without CRs accelerated by winds from the young massive stars, and compare against a non-CRT simulation. We show that after the first massive stars form, the cavity produced by feedback is more pronounced in the CRT simulations because the external CRs are able to propagate inward and compress the gas into higher-density structures. This increases the subsequent star formation in the cloud; by the end of the simulation, the star formation efficiency (SFE) in the CRT simulation including stellar wind CRs is 43% higher than the non-CRT simulation. The IMF is also top-heavy in comparison, with a slope above 1 M ⊙ that is shallower by ∼20%. These effects are also present in the simulation without wind-accelerated CRs, but they are not as pronounced; the SFE is only 16% higher than the non-CRT simulation, and the IMF high-mass slope is shallower by ∼10%. These results may explain some of the observed top-heavy IMFs, which typically occur in high-CR environments such as the Galactic center.

Fitz Axen, Margot [Oak Ridge National Laboratory (↗

Toward on-demand measurements of greenhouse gas emissions using an uncrewed aircraft AirCore system

This paper evaluates the performance of a multirotor uncrewed aircraft and AirCore system (UAAS) for measuring vertical profiles of wind velocity (speed and direction) and the mole fractions of methane (CH 4 ) and carbon dioxide (CO 2 ), and it presents a use case that combines UAAS measurements and dispersion modeling to quantify CH 4 emissions from a dairy farm. To evaluate the atmospheric sensing performance of the UAAS, four field deployments were performed at three locations in the San Joaquin Valley of California where CH 4 hotspots were observed downwind of dairy farms. A comparison of the observations collected on board the UAAS and an 11 m meteorological tower show that the UAAS can measure wind velocity trends with a root mean squared error varying between 0.4 and 1.1 m s -1 when the wind magnitude is less than 3.5 m s -1 . Findings from UAAS flight deployments and a calibration experiment also show that the UAAS can reliably resolve temporal variations in the mole fractions of CH 4 and CO 2 occurring over periods of 10 s or longer. Results from the UAAS and dispersion modeling use case further demonstrate that UAASs have great potential as low-cost tools for detecting and quantifying CH 4 emissions in near real time.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗