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Predicted intensities of all significant transitions within the ground configurations of six-, seven-, and eight-electron ions are tabulated for solar conditions, on a common scale. Some applications of the table entries to line identification and emission measure analysis are presented, including proposed Mg VI classifications for the coronal lines 3488.5 A and 3502.5 A.
Some classes of influential events in solar system history are class-predictable but not event-predictable. Theories of lunar origin should not ignore class-predictable stochastic events. Impacts and close encounters with large objects during planet formation are class-predictable. These stochastic events, such as large impacts that triggered ejection of Earth-mantle material into a circum-Earth cloud, should not be rejected as ad hoc. A way to deal with such events scientifically is to investigate their consequences; if it can be shown that they might produce the Moon, they become viable concepts in theories of lunar origin.
The effect of slow-mode acoustic-type MHD waves propagating outward in the solar atmosphere on the temperature structures predicted by empirical models is investigated analytically. A model is constructed, and numerical results are presented for wing intensities, line profiles, temperature enhancements, waves with higher energy flux, temperature depression, and the Si continuum. The flux in the MgII and CaII UV resonance lines is found to be increased relative to that in the IR continuum, leading to model temperatures which depend systematically on which observations are used in the computation. It is suggested that mechanical heating may take place in smaller regions such as flux tubes rather than uniformly over the surface.
Observed meridional plasma flow and its connection with other plasma parameters in the outer heliosphere are discussed. The dynamics of the flow are examined locally and compared with observed plasma parameters and a global flow model which predicts such flows in a steady solar wind. The observational evidence supports stream dynamics and associated pressure gradients as responsible for driving the flow. Such a meridional flow may result in a net transport of magnetic flux from regions near the heliographic equator. The amplitude of the observed meridional component of solar wind flow is consistent with observed magnetic flux deficits in the outer heliosphere. The limited coverage of heliographic latitude by Voyager 2 precludes a direct measurement of the full flow pattern; however, the magnitude of reported magnetic flux deficits and the unambiguous, regular variations in the meridional flow suggest that the stream interactions do produce a net movement of magnetic flux away from the heliographic equator.
The effect of the coronal streamer belt on the propagation of a shock front in the solar wind is modeled. The model predicts a meridional deviation in the shock normal, resulting in a tendency for the shock normals to point toward the current sheet, which is straddled by the coronal streamer belt. Normals of eight shocks indpendently assessed to be within the expected range of influence of the belt are presented. Six of the eight shocks showed the predicted distortion. The null hypothesis would yield the same result in one out of 14 tries. The dimple shape induces a postshock confluence in the center of the belt of material pushed centerward from the top and bottom of the belt. It is suggested that this confluence of material might drive field line reconnection at the heliospheric current sheet in the center of the belt, as MHD simulations have observed.
The most recently accepted environment data are used as inputs for the Langley nucleon and heavy-ion transport codes, BRYNTRN and HZETRN, to examine the shield effectiveness of lunar regolith in comparison with commercially-used shield materials in nuclear facilities. Several of the fabricated materials categorized as neutron absorbers exhibit favorable characteristics for space radiation protection. In particular, polyethylene with additive boron is analyzed with regard to response to the predicted lunar galactic cosmic ray and solar proton flare environment during the course of a complete solar cycle. Although this effort is not intended to be a definitive trade study for specific shielding recommendations, attention is given to several factors that warrant consideration in such trade studies. For example, the transporting of bulk shield material to the lunar site as opposed to regolith-moving and processing equipment is assessed on the basis of recent scenario studies. The transporting of shield material from Earth may also be a viable alternative to the use of regolith from standpoints of cost-effectiveness, EVA time required, and risk factor.
The total column ozone response to 11-year solar ultraviolet (UV) variations is estimated here from the observed response to 27-day solar variations adjusted for the theoretical difference between the 27-day response and 11-year response. The estimate is tested by comparing two data sets where long-term drifts have been removed, the Nimbus 7 TOMS Version 6 total column ozone and the 280 nm core-to-wing ratio (a proxy for solar UV variations). The 365-day running means of data area-weighted between 40 deg N to 40 deg S latitude give a 1.9% ozone variation related to the 11-year solar cycle compared with the estimate of 1.8%. Estimates of linear trends were reduced by a factor of 2 by including solar effects. The standard deviation from the empirical model was reduced from 1.0 to 0.6 Dobson Units, by including the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO), but the QBO did not significantly alter trend estimates. Both the ozone responses to 27-day and 11-year solar variations were considerably stronger than predicted by a 2-D theoretical model.
An 8- to 13-micron spectrum of comet Mueller 1993a, a dynamically new comet, was acquired when the comet was at R = 2 AU. Strong, structured silicate emission is present, closely resembling that seen in Comet P/Halley at smaller R. For the first time in a new comet, the 11.2-micron peak of crystalline olivine was detected, demonstrating that crystalline olivine particles were widespread in the solar nebula. Crystalline olivine particles could have formed in the inner protosolar nebula at temperatures greater than 1200 K; extensive radial mixing would have been required to transport these grains to the region of comet formation. Either there was more radial mixing in the solar nebula than some current theories predict or the olivine grains have a presolar origin.
Numerical simulations have been used to study high velocity two-body impacts. In this paper, a two-dimensional Largrangian finite difference hydro-code and a three-dimensional smooth particle hydro-code (SPH) are described and initial results reported. These codes can be, and have been, used to make specific predictions about particular objects in our solar system. But more significantly, they allow us to explore a broad range of collisional events. Certain parameters (size, time) can be studied only over a very restricted range within the laboratory; other parameters (initial spin, low gravity, exotic structure or composition) are difficult to study at all experimentally. The outcomes of numerical simulations lead to a more general and accurate understanding of impacts in their many forms.
The photovoltaic array space power (PASP)-Plus solar cell flight experiment is described, and the observed performances of different solar cell types during the first six months of their operation, are summarized. The solar cell types include single crystal and amorphous silicon, GaAs, several multijunction cell types, indium phosphide and GaAs/GaSb concentrator cells. The radiation degradation experienced by some of the solar cell types agrees with theoretical predictions. Other samples, including silicon, are degraded less than predicted. Effects, including the increase in temperature of all the experiments and the effect of sun glint on cell measurement, are discussed.
During this reporting period, the phase 1 interim report was written and submitted. Detailed computer models were used to predict exposure to atomic oxygen and solar ultraviolet radiation. ESCA survey measurements were started on the tray wall section cut from LDEF tray location EIO-3. At this time there are no technical issues impeding the progress of the required tasks. Cost are in line withn the percentage of completion of tasks. The expended budget is 18% of the total and the project is approximately 18% complete. During the next reporting period we will continue to analyze points from tray locations E10-3 and A4-1 using ESCA and auger surface analysis techniques and a detailed location map will be produced.
The objective of this work is to study different mechanisms of solar flare heating by comparing their predictions with simultaneous hard and soft X-ray observations. The datasets used in this work consist of hard X-ray observations from the Bragg Crystal Spectrometer (BCS) and Soft X-ray telescope (SXT) on the Japanese Yohkoh spacecraft.
We propose to use high-sensitivity Burst and Transient Source Experiment (BATSE) hard X-ray observations to test the thick-target and electric field acceleration models of solar flares. We will compare the predictions made by these models with hard X-ray spectral observations obtained with BATSE and simultaneous soft X-ray Ca XIX emission observed with the Yohkoh Bragg Crystal Spectrometer (BCS). The increased sensitivities of the BATSE and BCS (relative to previous detectors) permits a renewed study of the relationship between heating and dynamical motions during the crucial rise phase of flares. With these observations, we will: (1) investigate the ability of the thick-target model to explain the temporal evolution of hard X-ray emission relative to the soft X-ray blueshift during the earliest stages of the impulsive phase; and (2) search for evidence of electric-field acceleration as implied by temporal correlations between hard X-ray spectral breaks and the Ca XIX blueshift. The proposed study will utilize hard X-ray lightcurve and spectral measurements in the 10-100 keV energy range obtained with the BATSE Large Area Detectors (LAD). The DISCLA and CONT data will be the primary data products used in this analysis.
This report describes research performed under the Phase 3 Compton Gamma-Ray Observatory (CGRO) Guest Investigator Program. The objective of this work is to study different mechanisms of solar flare heating by comparing their predictions with simultaneous hard and soft X-ray observations. The datasets used in this work consist of hard X-ray observations from the CGRO Burst and Transient Source Experiment (BATSE) and soft X-ray observations from the Bragg Crystal Spectrometer (BCS) and Soft X-ray telescope (SXT) on the Japanese Yohkoh spacecraft.
A large telescope aperture, stringent thermal stability and temperature range requirements, and a passively-cooled 1500K module presented major challenges in thermal design and hardware fabrication of this Small Explorer satellite. This paper reviews briefly the thermal design of the SWAS science instrument, and examines the first three months of on-orbit thermal history. Measured temperatures for both the science payload and the spacecraft module and solar arrays are compared with those predicted by the correlated analytical model. Similarities and differences are interpreted in terms of the major uncertainties remaining after thermal-balance testing, especially those of MLI performance and telescope aperture properties. Review of the thermal model adequacy and thermal design verification are included to suggest improvements in the thermal design process for future missions.
We present the results of magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) modeling of winds from luminous late-type stars using a 2.5-dimensional, nonlinear MHD computer code. We assume that the wind is generated within an initially hydrostatic atmosphere and is driven by torsional Alfven waves generated at the stellar surface. Two cases of atmospheric topology are considered: case I has longitudinally uniform density distribution and isotropic radial magnetic field over the stellar surface, and case II has an isotropic, radial magnetic field with a transverse density gradient, which we refer to as an "atmospheric hole." We use the same set of boundary conditions for both models. The calculations are designed to model a cool luminous star, for which we assume an initial hydrostatic pressure scale height of 0.072 Stellar Radius, an Alfven wave speed of 92 km/s at the surface, and a wave period of 76 days, which roughly corresponds with the convective turnover time. For case I the calculations produce a wind with terminal velocity of about 22 km/s and a mass loss rate comparable to the expected value of 10(exp -6) Solar Mass/yr. For case II we predict a two-component wind: a fast (25 km/s) and relatively dense wind outside of the atmospheric hole and a slow (1.5 km/s), rarefied wind inside of the hole.
A large telescope aperture, stringent thermal stability and temperature range requirements, and a passively-cooled 150 K module presented major challenges in thermal design and hardware fabrication of this Small Explorer satellite. This paper reviews briefly the thermal design of the SWAS science instrument, and examines the first three months of on-orbit thermal history. Measured temperatures for both the science payload and the spacecraft module and solar arrays are compared with those predicted by the correlated analytical model. Similarities and differences are interpreted in terms of the major uncertainties remaining after thermal-balance testing, especially those of MLI performance and telescope aperture properties. Review of the thermal model adequacy and thermal design verification are included to suggest improvements in the thermal design process for future missions.
CRMFLX (Chandra Radiation Model of ion FluX) is a radiation environment risk mitigation tool for use as a decision aid in planning the operations times for Chandra's Advanced CCD Imaging Spectrometer (ACIS) detector. The accurate prediction of the proton flux environment with energies of 100 - 200 keV is needed in order to protect the ACIS detector against proton degradation. Unfortunately, protons of this energy are abundant in the region of space Chandra must operate, and on-board particle detectors do not measure proton flux levels of the required energy range. This presentation will describe the plasma environment data analysis and modeling basis of the CRMFLX engineering environment model developed to predict the proton flux in the solar wind, magnetosheath, and magnetosphere phenomenological regions of geospace. The recently released CRMFLX Version 2 implementation includes an algorithm that propagates flux from an observation location to other regions of the magnetosphere based on convective ExB and VB-curvature particle drift motions. This technique has the advantage of more completely filling out the database and makes maximum use of limited data obtained during high Kp periods or in areas of the magnetosphere with poor satellite flux measurement coverage.