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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Cleanroom Microbes Survive Drying, Vacuum, and Proton Irradiation

Introduction : The goal of planetary protection at NASA is to mitigate the risk of contaminating sensitive target bodies with biological life. While many cleaning procedures have been put in place to reduce bioburden on spacecraft, microbes are experts at evolving to survive harsh conditions. Specifically, the dry, low-nutrient environment of a cleanroom (commonly used for assembly of spacecraft) can represent an environment where extremophiles can survive. Methods : Scientists at NASA MSFC wished to gather a snapshot of the microbial population within a variety of cleanrooms on site. A study was undertaken to collect air, surface, and floor samples from clean-rooms and isolate unique morphologies. From this study, 95 isolates were collected and saved in a microbial library. About 86% of these were identified at least to a genus level. Following identification, 24 microbes were selected, based on a literature review, as potential extremophiles. These were grown in liquid cultures, diluted to a set optical density, washed with water, and then applied to a sterilized Kapton coupon. Droplets were allowed to dry overnight in a biosafety cabinet. Coupons were then installed in a pelletron and pumped down to high vacuum (~1E-6 Torr). Samples were then subjected 100 keV protons at a fluence of 2x10 15 p+/cm 2 up to 4x10 15 p+/cm 2 . Following exposure, samples were returned to the microbiology lab where they were pro-cessed by submerging in water, vortexing, and then plating either droplets or spread plates. Recovery data collected was qualitative with a ranking or +, minor, or – for growth. Some selected radiotolerant strains were sequenced using the Illumina sequencing platform. The resulting genomes were annotated with the Rapid Annotations using Subsystems Technology (RAST) server and analyzed for conserved and unique stress response relevant genomic signatures to identify clues related to specific tolerances. Results and Discussion : After five rounds of proton radiation, we narrowed our isolates to five, non-spore forming bacteria that demonstrated survival: Arthrobacter koreensis, Paenarthrobacter nitroguajacolicus, Mycetocola manganoxydans , and an Erwinia sp. Furthermore, we exposed these four microbes to 254 nm wavelength light at an intensity of 80 W/m 2 at a distance of ~18 cm for 10 minutes. Only A. koreensis demonstrated survival following UV exposure. Finally, we performed whole genome sequencing on the four strains to look for genetic markers of stress resistance. When we compared the genomes of the four strains, we found that genes coding for GGDEF and EAL domains with PAS/PAC sensors were only found in A. koreensis . These domains, modulated by PAS/PAC sensors, are hypothesized to facilitate survival under drying, desiccation, and proton irradiation. Drying and Desiccation : PAS domains sense hydration changes and modulate GGDEF and EAL domain activity to adjust c-di-GMP levels, enhancing resistance to desiccation. For instance, in Pseudomonas aeruginosa , the PAS domain of RbdA modulates activity under varying hydration conditions, affecting stress responses [1]. Proton Irradiation : Proton irradiation causes oxidative stress, leading to ROS generation. PAS domains detect this stress and modulate GGDEF and EAL domains to manage oxidative stress responses. In Shewanella , EAL domain proteins modulated by PAS sensors help bacteria adapt to extreme conditions [2]. These genes upregulate other stress response genes, protecting membrane function, protein stability, DNA repair, and antioxidant defenses. The modulation of c-di-GMP by PAS domains is crucial for bacterial adaptation to stress conditions, enabling dynamic physio-logical adjustments [3]. Understanding these mechanisms provides insights into bacterial stress responses and strategies for controlling bacterial growth [4]. Conclusions : These findings indicate that clean-rooms harbor extremophile microbes that may be able to survive conditions in deep space. Furthermore, while we identified certain stress-response genes that may be at least partly responsible for the phenotypes observed in this study, there are likely unidentified genes or characteristics about A. koreensis , and other bacteria, that may allow them to survive in harsh environments. Future studies will focus on identifying these unknown genes and characteristics, further elucidating the mechanisms of extremophile survival and potentially informing the development of new biotechnologies for space exploration and other extreme environments.

Chelsi Cassilly↗
NASA NTRS2024

The Role of Magnetic Reconnection in the Structure and Dynamics of Fast Coronal Mass Ejections

Both observations and models of flare-associated coronal mass ejections (CMEs) suggest that magnetic reconnection in an ejection's wake substantially increases the net, outward Lorentz force acceler­ating the CME. A stronger outward force can cause a feedback loop, driving further magnetic reconnection in a "reconnective instability." The flux accretion model captures this by relating reconnected flux, ∆ rec , and magnetic field strength, B CME , to increased outward Lorentz force, ∆F r . To better understand recon­nection's role in CME dynamics, we analyze two snapshots from a 2.5D, MHD simulation of a breakout eruption. Outward Lorentz forces increase substantially as reconnection proceeds, caused primarily by "flank currents," which flow just inside the boundary of the rising ejection's wake and parallel to its axis. This model's reconnection jet also alters the ejection's internal structure, an effect that could be sought in observations. Analyzing reconnection-induced Lorentz forces in 3D simulations could provide additional insights into CME dynamics.

Magnetic Reconnection↗
NASA NTRS2024

Using Satellite Observations of Lightning and Precipitation to Diagnose the Behavior of Deep Convection in Tropical Cyclones Traversing the Midlatitudes

This study uses a unique combination of geostationary and low-Earth orbiting satellite-based lightning and precipitation observations, respectively, to examine the evolution of deep convection during the tropical cyclone (TC) lifecycle. The study spans the 2018-2021 Atlantic Basin hurricane seasons and is unique as it provides the first known analysis of total lightning (intra-cloud and cloud-to-ground) observed in TCs through their extratropical transition and post-tropical cyclone (PTC) phases. We consider the TC lifecycle stage, geographic location (e.g., land, coast, and ocean), shear strength, and quadrant relative to the storm motion and environmental shear vectors. Total lightning maxima are found in the forward right quadrant relative to storm motion and downshear of the TC center, consistent with previous studies using mainly cloud-to-ground lightning. Increasing environmental shear focuses the lightning maxima to the downshear right quadrant with respect to the shear vector in tropical storm phases. Vertical profiles of radar reflectivity from the Global Precipitation Measurement mission show that super electrically active convective precipitation features (>75 flashes) within the PTC phase of TCs have deeper mixed phase depths and higher reflectivity at -10°C than other phases, indicating the presence of more intense convection. Differences in the net convective behavior observed throughout TC evolution manifest in both the TC-scale frequency of lightning-producing cells and the intensity variations amongst individual convective cells. The combination of continuous lightning observations and precipitation snapshots improves our understanding of convective scale processes in TCs, especially in PTC phases, as they traverse the tropics and mid-latitudes.

Lightning↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Calculating Mode Mixity in Interlaminar Fracture of Composite Laminates

To accurately predict delamination under mixed-mode loading, cohesive elements must partition the energies dissipated in Mode I and Mode II correctly. The ability of cohesive models to predict mode mixity was evaluated by performing analyses of the single leg bending (SLB) test, which exhibits a variable mode mixity with crack length. Accordingly, two numerical integration methods were developed to compute the energy partitioning: (i) a local calculation of the accumulated work of tractions at each point along the crack path, and (ii) a global J-integral “snapshot” calculation along a contour around the process zone. In the case of a composite laminate with properties characterized by short fracture process zone (FPZ), the results of these two methods correlate well with each other and with a linear elastic fracture mechanics solution. However, FPZscan be long due to fiber bridging or due to the intrinsic toughness of the material. Then, the results of mode-mixity calculations obtained with various methods vary widely from each other. It is argued that the global J-integral calculation is the most accurate interpretation of the energy release rate and mode mixity for either short or long process zones. This solution will provide a more accurate characterization of resistance curves and mode mixity in experimental results, and it will also guide the development of more accurate mixed-mode cohesive laws for tougher materials characterized by strong R-curve responses, such as thermo-plastic composites.

cohesive zone analysis↗
NASA NTRS2024

X-Ray Polarization Measurement of the Gold Standard of Radio-Quiet Active Galactic Nuclei: NGC 1068

Context.NGC 1068 is the most observed radio-quiet active galactic nucleus (AGN) in polarimetry, yet its high-energy polarization has never been probed before due to a lack of dedicated polarimeters.Aims.Using the first X-ray polarimeter sensitive enough to measure the polarization of AGNs, we want to probe the orientation and geometric arrangement of (sub)parsec-scale matter around the X-ray source. Methods. We used the Imaging X-ray Polarimetry Explorer (IXPE) satellite to measure, for the first time, the 2–8 keV polarization of NGC 1068.We pointed IXPE at the target for a net exposure time of 1.15 Ms, in addition to using two Chandra snapshots of∼10 ks each in order to account for the potential impact of several ultraluminous X-ray sources (ULXs) within IXPE’s field of view. Results. We measured a 2–8 keV polarization degree of 12.4%±3.6% and an electric vector polarization angle of 101◦±8◦at a 68% confidence level. If we exclude the spectral region containing bright Fe K lines and other soft X-ray lines where depolarization occurs, the polarization fraction rises to 21.3%±6.7% in the 3.5–6.0 keV band, with a similar polarization angle. The observed polarization angle is found to be perpendicular to the parsec-scale radio jet. Using a combined Chandra and IXPE analysis plus multiwavelength constraints, we estimated that the circum nuclear“torus” may sustain a half-opening angle of 50–55◦(from the vertical axis of the system). Conclusions. Thanks to IXPE, we have measured the X-ray polarization of NGC 1068 and found comparable results, both in terms of the polarization angle orientation with respect to the radio jet and the torus half-opening angle, to the X-ray polarimetric measurement achieved for the other archetypal Compton-thick AGN: the Circinus galaxy. Probing the geometric arrangement of parsec-scale matter in extragalactic objects is now feasible thanks to X-ray polarimetry

active galaxies↗
NASA NTRS2024

Implementation Plan for a NASA Integrated Lunar Science Strategy in the Artemis Era

This Implementation Plan provides a snapshot of NASA’s plans to implement the strategy recommended in OWL and to address the M2M objectives relevant to lunar science. The word “integrated” in the title refers to integrating the capabilities and new opportunities afforded by Artemis and CLPS alongside more traditional mechanisms such as The Discovery and New Frontiers Programs and various Research and Analysis (R&A) elements to achieve our lunar science objectives. It is an opportunity to present the full scope of tools currently available to NASA and how they map to high-priority lunar science that can be accomplished on and at the Moon. It is also an opportunity to build a plan for future NASA-led, lunar focused science and exploration activities that is flexible and can be adapted to a changing landscape (i.e., capability growth, priority evolution, and budgetary fluctuation).

Moon↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Three Dimensionally Woven Mid-Density Carbon Phenolic (3MDCP) is a Novel Single Piece Ablative TPS for Extreme Entry Environments

Three Dimensionally Woven Mid-Density Carbon Phenolic (3MDCP) is robust, single piece, carbon phenolic ablative thermal protection system under development at NASA Ames Research Center initially for the Mars Sample Return Earth Entry System (MSR EES). The MSR EES requirements drove the need for TPS with no seams, capable of surviving the highest entry conditions for any NASA Earth return capsule with heat fluxes >2000 W/cm2 and pressures >1.5 atmospheres. To produce 3MDCP required development of new weaving infrastructure to enable weaving of preforms large enough to form into a single piece heatshield. It required development of forming techniques to transform a flat woven panel into a sphere cone shape and enhanced infusion processes to support larger scale infusion of resin into the formed preforms. A rigorous performance testing campaign was conducted to develop and validate the materials thermal response model used to determine the required material thickness and to demonstrate the material can survive the extreme entry conditions. The end of the development effort (end of FY26) will result in a TPS at Technical Readiness Level (TRL) 6 and Manufacturing Readiness Level (MRL) 6+ for the MSR EES mission and a mature system ready to support other missions. This poster will provide a snapshot of where 3MDCP is in its development phase.

Ablator↗
DOE OSTI2021

Development and Refinement of DER Steady State Model for QSTS Analysis

EPRI formed a working group of utilities and software vendors called the Distribution Advanced PV Model Working Group (DAWG). The working group has been focused on building consensus regarding the models that represent the reactive power capabilities outlined in Section 5 of IEEE Std 1547™-2018. This report provides an overview of the reactive and active power capabilities specified in IEEE Std 1547™-2018 and outlines a specification of key functions for usage during steady state snapshot and time series power flow analysis. Additionally, it presents a framework for performing tests to verify the correct operation of functions during power flow analysis.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2022

Solar Decathlon Celebrates 20 Years of Building Impact

The U.S. Department of Energy Solar Decathlon® is a collegiate competition that has inspired students worldwide to enter the clean energy workforce since its inception. Celebrating its 20th anniversary in 2022, the Solar Decathlon has challenged more than 25,000 students to create efficient, affordable buildings powered by renewables, while promoting student innovation, STEM education, and workforce development opportunities in the buildings industry. Compelling graphics, videos, and visuals are being developed to launch a 20th anniversary campaign in January 2022. These graphics include an interactive 20th anniversary infographic, a "Solar Decathlon - By the Numbers" video, and a graphic highlighting the diverse group of more than 25,000 past participants. In presenting these graphics at the ACEEE summer 2022 panel, attendees will be exposed to the latest communications techniques to apply to their own work. The Solar Decathlon invests in compelling visuals to recruit and inspire an imaginative and diverse group of participants each year - something that organizations of all sizes in the energy efficiency sector also need to do as they recruit for new talent. The Virtual Village of the 2020 Build Challenge homes (with more than 11,000 unique views) and the map of past competition houses highlight the competition's emphasis on multimedia that connects with competitors and the general public. Using more than 4,400 publicly available photos, including engaging virtual event snapshots with Department of Energy leaders, the Solar Decathlon captures the innovate ideas of the Build Challenge and Design Challenge teams in a way that everyone can understand.

collegiate competition↗
DOE OSTI2022

Global virtual address space consistency model

An approach is disclosed that maintains a consistent view of a virtual address by a local node which writes a first value to the virtual address and, after writing the first value, establishes a snapshot consistency state of the virtual address. The virtual address is shared amongst any number of processes and the processes includes a writing process and other processes that read from the virtual address. After writing the first value, the writing process writes a second value to the virtual address. Even after writing the second value, the first value is still visible to the other processes.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2023

Advancing the Theory of Nuclear Data Evaluations [Abstract]

We present recent advances in the R-matrix formalism as well as the Bayesian evaluation framework for improved nuclear data evaluations. The advances in the R matrix formalism include: 1) direct processes, 2) doorway, as well as multistep, processes, and 3) various forms of the Reich-Moore approximation for eliminated capture channels. Furthermore, to address unreasonably small posterior uncertainties often encountered in nuclear data evaluations of large data sets using the conventional form of the Bayes’ theorem, we introduce imperfections (of the data or the model) as a formal evaluation tool for taming the evaluated uncertainties in harmony with Bayes’ theorem. These theoretical advances were motivated by the nuclear data evaluations of differential resolved resonance cross section data using the code SAMMY, as well as the integral benchmark experiments using the SCALE code system, being performed at Oak Ridge National Laboratory for the Nuclear Criticality Safety Program. Some pedagogical applications of the new formalism, as well as a snapshot of the SAMMY modernization efforts, will be presented.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Integrated Urban Services (IUS) Pilot Project Profile - Integrated Urban Agricultural Hub Development: Cagayan de Oro (CdO), Philippines

This brief provides a project snapshot of the Integrated Urban Services program's support to Cagayan de Oro, Philippines for development of an integrated urban agricultural hub. Integrated Urban Services is a U.S. State Department program launched in 2021 under the United States-Association of Southeast Asian Nations Smart Cities Partnership helping cities build resilience in their energy, food, and water provisioning systems.

ASEAN↗
DOE OSTI2023

Integrated Urban Services (IUS) Pilot Project Profile - Integrated AgriTech Hub Development in Flagship F Zone: Iskandar Malaysia

This brief provides a project snapshot of the Integrated Urban Services program's support to Iskandar Malaysia for development of an integrated urban agricultural hub. Integrated Urban Services is a U.S. State Department program launched in 2021 under the United States-Association of Southeast Asian Nations Smart Cities Partnership helping cities build resilience in their energy, food, and water provisioning systems.

ASEAN↗
DOE OSTI2020

A Systematic Evidence Based Performance Approach to Regulation of Nuclear Sites in England and Wales - 20058

The Environment Agency for England has developed a systematic evidence-based approach to pursue our strategic environmental objectives for the regulation of nuclear sites. We use an annual evidence review process to ensure effective and efficient targeting of limited resources to achieve those objectives. Over the last 8 years, we have been developing and refining this approach to ensure risk-based and value driven regulation. The approach comprises nuclear site and nuclear sector review processes known as Site Environment Review (SER) and Nuclear Environment Review (NER). This approach complements our regulation of nuclear site permit holders under the Environmental Permitting Regulations (EPR). We deliver our regulation of nuclear sites in England and Wales alongside the Office for Nuclear Regulation. The SER process involves the lead regulator for each nuclear site assessing the permit holder's environmental performance across 14 themes, set within the context of the site's main activities and associated waste disposals. Our themes include environmental leadership, resources and climate change, radioactive waste management, facility management and decommissioning, groundwater, and environmental radiological protection. We use evidence from site inspections and working within our subject matter groups to grade current and predicted future environmental performance. We are particularly interested in sustainability and the application of Best Available Techniques (BAT) to prevent the creation, and minimise the disposal, of radioactive wastes. We use risk analysis (strengths, weaknesses, threats and opportunities) to examine performance against our strategic environmental objectives, which are set out, in our 5-year Nuclear Delivery Plan (NDP). The output supports the targeting of our resources at each nuclear site. We consult the relevant permit holders on the SER priorities and use their feedback to refine our plans. We expect all permit holders to take account of our priorities when considering their own programmes of work, objectives and plans. The NER process brings together what we learn and achieve through regulation across the sector. It provides input to planning priorities, supported by qualitative and semi-quantitative evidence. It covers the 28 nuclear sites in England and Wales and spans the same 14 environmental themes. During the process we collate, compile and summarise evidence from the SERs and other sources such as inspection reports and evidence from our other nuclear work programmes. The output is the NER annual report. This provides a snapshot of the status of the nuclear sector and gives insights to enable us to regulate more efficiently and effectively. It also takes account of cross-cutting issues and risks such as changes in international standards, domestic policy, regulatory framework, domestic standards and guidance, learning from experience such as incidents, events and good practice, and innovation, research and development. It provides graphics that illustrate the grading of environmental performance for the nuclear sector across the fourteen environmental themes. This analysis allows benchmarking of nuclear site's environmental performance and the visualisation provides a convenient comparison of performance across themes, sites, and over time. We use this intelligence to inform our investment in training and development of our staff, and our cross-cutting engagement on strategic issues with government, the Nuclear Decommissioning Authority (NDA) and other corporate organisations. Adopting this approach can provide benefits with organisational reputation, stakeholder participation and ensuring value from the public investment. This paper describes the history of the SER/NER process, a selection of outputs from the process and ideas for improvement. The paper will be of interest to other regulators and organisations across the world that are interested in supporting continuous improvement. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗
DOE OSTI2022

Neutron diffusion calculation in heterogeneous geometry based on local/global iteration using proper orthogonal decomposition

This study newly proposes a heterogeneous core calculation method based on local/global iteration using proper orthogonal decomposition (POD). By using the singular value decomposition (SVD) and the low-rank approximation, appropriate POD bases for expanding the neutron flux can be obtained from snapshot data of the neutron flux obtained by fine mesh calculations. By projection using the POD bases, the dimension of the target equation (e.g., discretized neutron diffusion equation) can be dramatically reduced. In the proposed method, POD is effectively applied to each single assembly calculation (local calculation). Furthermore, using the local/global iteration, the effective neutron multiplication factor and the neutron flux distribution in the whole core geometry can be obtained by combining the numerical results of the local calculation for each fuel assembly and the global calculation for the whole core. As a feasibility study, the proposed method is applied to a one-dimensional heterogeneous core analysis, and the accuracy is investigated by changing the total number of POD bases. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Liquid Interfacial Electron Microscopy Identifies Nanogalvanic Corrosion in Pearlitic Steel

The nanoscale mechanisms of localized corrosion in low carbon steels have remained elusive due to the complexity of studying the degradative material behavior at nanoscale solid-liquid interfaces. We identified various steps in the nanogalvanic corrosion processes using in-situ liquid-cell scanning transmission electron microscopy (STEM) using a microfluidic holder by Hummingbird Scientific. Initial work, performed at low magnification, identified the initiation point on a 1018 low-carbon steel surface. This initiation point was determined to be a triple junction of two ferrite grains bridging a cementite grain in contact with a baseline electrolyte of 6 uM CO2 dissolved in a buffered (2.78 uM Na2SO4) aqueous solution, pH 6.1. The pre-etched low-carbon steel surface was prepared using focused ion beam lift-out procedures to extract a cross-section of the low-carbon steel surface, which then was thinned to about 150 nm and transferred to a SiN membrane microfluidic window. The transfer was made using a lift-out needle to attach the low-carbon steel lamella to the corner of the SiN window, and then Pt/C deposition held the lamella in contact with the window while it was released from the lift out needle. To identify the triple point on the low carbon steel lamella, prior to attachment on the SiN window, the sample was characterized for compositional variations with energy dispersive x-ray spectroscopy mapping, grain orientation and phase mapping with precession electron diffraction, and thickness mapping with energy filtered transmission electron microscopy. This pre-characterization prior to the in-situ experiment provided a map of the multiphase and multigrain structure, where the in-situ liquid cell imaging provided a clear understanding of the initiation point on the sample. These data were cross-correlated to paint a holistic picture of the triple junction site, enabling low electron-fluence in-situ snapshot imaging to avoid dominating the native corrosion reactions with effects from the incident electron beam. This initial result identified that localized, nanogalvanic corrosion at the phase interface was the dominant corrosion process in the low-carbon steel, so we next targeted the observation of an array of these nanogalvanic features phase boundaries in a pearlite grain. Near-surface ferrite/cementite phase interfaces that typify pearlitic low-carbon steel were extracted, pre-characterized, and imaged for the in-situ corrosion processes. The sample was a cross-section from a pearlite grain, with alternating ferrite and cementite grains that extended microns down from the pre-etched low-carbon steel pipe surface. After contact with a buffered aqueous solution, the phase boundaries between the ferrite and cementite began to dissolve, with observable material loss and thickness changes in the dark-field and bright-field STEM images. Within minutes, the corrosion front proceeded deeper into the material, claiming a thin layer of ferrite around all exposed phase boundaries before progressing laterally into the ferrite matrix, converting the ferrite to corrosion product normal to each buried cementite grain. Formation of the corrosion product causes a volumetric expansion, creating a lateral wedging force that mechanically ejects the cementite grains from their grooves and leaves behind percolation channels into the steel substructure. Rapid and deleterious, this nanogalvanic corrosion pathway represents an important target for understanding and preventing run-away degradation in this common building material. Observation of this corrosion mechanism was enabled by the combination of pre-characterization using standard structural, grain, and compositional analysis in the TEM, which provides maps for understanding the reaction propagation captured in low-dose, in-situ, liquid-cell STEM.

corrosion↗
DOE OSTI2024

Importance of Higher Fidelity Model Geometries during Optimization of Critical Experiments

PARADIGM, PARallel Approach of Differential and InteGral Measurements, is a cross-collaborative effort at Los Alamos National Laboratory between nuclear data theorists, differential and integral experimenters, as well as machine learning statisticians to tackle uncertainties in the intermediate region of 239 Pu. In essence, the idea behind PARADIGM is to remove the linear conceptualization of the nuclear data pipeline, shown in Figure 1, and replace it with a far more parallelized approach. The novel approach leverages machine learning to guide which differential measurements and integral experiments will result in the largest decrease in uncertain ties for a nuclide reaction pair in a given energy range. The concept builds off earlier work, EUCLID, which focused on the fast region of 239 Pu. The practical benefit of having evaluation, differential measurement, and integral experiment personnel in collaboration with machine learning is to represent the entire nuclear data in one snapshot. This enable large reduction in the time to deliver improved nuclear data, which using the PARADIGM approach could be done in 3 years. A general outline of PARADIGM and specific topics are available in other papers. The discussion here will pertain directly to the integral experiment design. More specifically, the process of taking a rough design and transforming it into a finalized neutronic model will be discussed.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Integration of Condition-Based, Diagnostic, Prognostic, And Anomaly Detection Data into Reliability Models to Support a Predictive Maintenance Context

Reliability data employed in plant reliability models are an approximated integral representation of the past industrywide operational experience, and they neglect the present asset health status (available, for example, from online monitoring data and diagnostic assessments) and forecasted health projection (when available from prognostic models). Ideally, in a predictive maintenance context, system reliability models should support decision making by propagating actual health information from the asset to the system level in order to provide a quantitative snapshot of system health and identify the most critical assets. Asset health should be informed solely by that specific asset’s current and historical performance data and should not be an approximated integral representation of the past industrywide operational experience (as currently performed by system reliability models through Bayesian updating processes). This paper proposes a reliability modeling approach that relies on asset diagnostic and prognostic assessments, along with monitoring data to measure asset health. We show how state-of-the art condition-based, diagnostic, prognostic, and anomaly detection models can be linked to system reliability models not in probability terms, but in terms of margin where margin is defined as the “distance” between the present status and an undesired event (e.g., failure or unacceptable performance). Then, we show how the propagation of margin data from the asset to the system level is performed through classical reliability models such as fault trees or reliability block diagrams. The described method is in fact able to propagate heterogenous health data from the asset to the system level in order to analytically assess system health.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗