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At least 937 records · Page 52

Quasi-decadal variability of the stratosphere: Influence of long-term solar ultraviolet variations

A multiple regression statistical model is applied to investigate the existence of upper-stratospheric ozone, temperature, and zonal wind responses to long-term (solar cycle) changes in solar ultraviolet radiation using 11.5 years of reprocessed Nimbus-7 Solar Backscattered Ultraviolet (SBUV) data and 12.4 years of National Meteorological Center (NMC) data. A positive solar cycle variation of independently measured ozone and temperature occurs with maximum amplitude near the low-latitude stratopause. The seasonal solar regression coefficients near 1 mb for both ozone and temperature occur at low latitudes supporting a role for photochemical and radiative forcing in their origin. Zonal wind perturbations that correlate with long-term solar ultraviolet variations are a strong function of season and pressure level. Above approximately 2 mbar, the largest solar-correlated zonal wind enhancements occur at middle winter latitudes near the time of winter solstice in both hemispheres. The Northern Hemisphere December enhancement at 1 mb was especially large, 23 +/- 9 m/s from solar minimum to maximum during the last solar cycle. The derived ozone, temperature, and zonal wind increases with increasing solar ultraviolet flux near the stratopause are larger than predicted by models that consider primarily photochemical and radiative processes. The higher ozone and temperature response amplitudes at low latitudes may be due to modified ozone transport and adiabatic temperature changes induced by the dynamical response. If the midlatitude winter solstice wind enhancements are solar induced, their high amplitudes require a positive feedback due to wave-mean flow interaction such that the planetary wave drag on the flow is reduced under solar maximum conditions.

Hood, L. L.↗

Flowfield And Download Measurements And Computation of a Tiltrotor Aircraft In Hover

A multipart study of the V-22 hover flowfield was conducted. Testing involved a 0.15-scale semispan model with multiple independent force balance systems. The velocity flowfield surrounding the airframe was measured using a robotic positioning system and anemometer. Both time averaged and cycle-averaged results are reported. It is shown that the fuselage download in hover can be significantly reduced using a small download reduction device. Measurements indicate that the success of the device is attributed to the substantial elimination of tiltrotor fountain flow. As part of.the study, an unsteady CFD prediction is time-averaged, and shown to have excellent agreement in predicting the baseline configuration fountain flow. Some discrepancies at the outboard edge of the rotor are discussed. An &&sessment of an advanced tip shape rotor comp"'Ietes the study. Derived from a nonrotating study, the advanced tip shape rotor was developed and tested on the Bell 0.15 scale semi-span V-22 model. The tip shape was intended to diffuse the tip vortex and reduce BVI noise. Rotor wake vorticity is extracted from the measured velocity dam to show that the advanced tip shape produces a tip vortex that is only slightly more diffuse than the baseline tip blade. The results indicate that nonrotating tests may overpredict the amount of tip vortex diffusion achieved by tip shape design in a rotating environment.

Brand, Albert G.↗

Methodology Development for Assessment of Spaceport Technology Returns and Risks

As part of Kennedy Space Center's (KSC's) challenge to open the space frontier, new spaceport technologies must be developed, matured and successfully transitioned to operational systems. R&D investment decisions can be considered from multiple perspectives. Near mid and far term technology horizons must be understood. Because a multitude of technology investment opportunities are available, we must identify choices that promise the greatest likelihood of significant lifecycle At the same time, the costs and risks of any choice must be well understood and balanced against its potential returns The problem is not one of simply rank- ordering projects in terms of their desirability. KSC wants to determine a portfolio of projects that simultaneously satisfies multiple goals, such as getting the biggest bang for the buck, supporting projects that may be too risky for private funding, staying within annual budget cycles without foregoing the requirements of a long term technology vision, and ensuring the development of a diversity of technologies that, support the variety of operational functions involved in space transportation. This work aims to assist in the development of in methods and techniques that support strategic technology investment decisions and ease the process of determining an optimal portfolio of spaceport R&D investments. Available literature on risks and returns to R&D is reviewed and most useful pieces are brought to the attention of the Spaceport Technology Development Office (STDO). KSC's current project management procedures are reviewed. It is found that the "one size fits all" nature of KSC's existing procedures and project selection criteria is not conducive to prudent decision-making. Directions for improving KSC's - procedures and criteria are outlined. With help of a contractor, STDO is currently developing a tool, named Change Management Analysis Tool (CMAT)/ Portfolio Analysis Tool (PAT), to assist KSC's R&D portfolio determination. A critical review of CMAT/PAT is undertaken. Directions for the improvement of this tool are provided. STDO and KSC intend to follow up on many, if not all, of the recommendations provided.

Joglekar, Prafulla↗

Relative Sensor with 4Pi Coverage for Formation Flying Missions

The Terrestrial Planet Finder (TPF) pre-project, an element of NASA s Origins program, is currently developing two architectures for a mission to search for earth-like planets around nearby stars. One of the architectures being developed is the Formation Flying Interferometer (FFI). The FFI is envisioned to consist of up to seven spacecraft (as many as six "collectors" with IR telescopes, and a "combiner") flying in precise formation within +/-1 cm of pre-determined trajectories for synchronized observations. The spacecraft-to-spacecraft separations are variable between 20 m and 100 m or more during observations to support various configurations of the interferometer in the planet-finding mode. The challenges involved with TPF autonomous operations, ranging from formation acquisition and formation maneuvering to high precision formation control during science observations, are unprecedented. In this paper we discuss the development of the formation acquisition sensor, which uses novel modulation and duplexing schemes to enable fast signal acquisition, multiple-spacecraft operation, and mitigation of inherent jamming conditions, while providing precise formation sensing and integrated radar capability. This approach performs delay synthesis and carrier cycle ambiguity resolution to improve range measurement, and uses differential carrier cycle ambiguity resolution to make precise bearing angle measurements without calibration maneuvers.

Tien, Jeffrey Y.↗

Relative Sensor with 4(pi) Coverage for Formation Flying Missions

The Terrestrial Planet Finder (TPF) pre-project, an element of NASA's Origins program, is currently developing two architectures for a mission to search for earth-like planets around nearby stars. One of the architectures being developed is the Formation Flying Interferometer (FFI). The FFI is envisioned to consist of up to seven spacecraft (as many as six 'collectors' with IR telescopes, and a 'combiner') flying in precise formation within f 1 cm of pre-determined trajectories for synchronized observations. The spacecraft-to-spacecraft separations are variable between 20 m and 100 m or more during observations to support various configurations of the interferometer in the planet-finding mode. The challenges involved with TPF autonomous operations, ranging from formation acquisition and formation maneuvering to high precision formation control during science observations, are unprecedented. In this paper we discuss the development of the formation acquisition sensor, which uses novel modulation and duplexing schemes to enable fast signal acquisition, multiple-spacecraft operation, and mitigation of inherent jamming conditions, while providing precise formation sensing and integrated radar capability. This approach performs delay synthesis and carrier cycle ambiguity resolution to improve range measurement, and uses differential carrier cycle ambiguity resolution to make precise bearing angle measurements without calibration maneuvers.

formation flying sensors↗

The 17 April 2021 Widespread Solar Energetic Particle Event

A complex and long-lasting solar eruption on 17 April 2021 produced a widespread solar energetic particle (SEP) event that was observed by five longitudinally well-separated observers in the inner heliosphere that covered distances to the Sun from 0.42 to 1 au: BepiColombo, Parker Solar Probe, Solar Orbiter, STEREO A, and near-Earth spacecraft. The event was the second widespread SEP event detected in solar cycle 25, and it produced relativistic electrons and protons. It was associated with a long-lasting solar hard X-ray flare that showed multiple hard X-ray peaks over a duration of one hour. The event was further accompanied by a medium-fast coronal mass ejection (CME) with a speed of 880 km s -1 that drove a shock, an extreme ultraviolet wave, and long-lasting and complex radio burst activity that showed four distinct type III burst groups over a period of 40 min. We aim to understand the reason for the wide spread of elevated SEP intensities in the inner heliosphere as well as identify the underlying source regions of the observed energetic electrons and protons. We applied a comprehensive multi-spacecraft analysis of remote-sensing observations and in situ measurements of the energetic particles and interplanetary context to attribute the SEP observations at the different locations to the various potential source regions at the Sun. We used an ENLIL simulation to characterize the complex interplanetary state and its role in the energetic particle transport. The magnetic connection between each spacecraft and the Sun was determined using ballistic backmapping in combination with potential field source surface extrapolations in the lower corona. Using also a reconstruction of the coronal shock front, we then determined the times when the shock establishes magnetic connections with the different observers. Radio observations were used to characterize the directivity of the four main injection episodes, which were then employed in a 2D SEP transport simulation to test the importance of these different injection episodes. A comprehensive timing analysis of the inferred solar injection times of the SEPs observed at each spacecraft suggests different source processes being important for the electron and proton events. Comparison among the characteristics and timing of the potential particle sources, such as the CME-driven shock or the flare, suggests a stronger shock contribution for the proton event and a more likely flare-related source for the electron event. In contrast to earlier studies on widespread SEP events, we find that in this event an important ingredient for the wide SEP spread was the wide longitudinal range of about 110 o covered by distinct SEP injections, which is also supported by our SEP transport modeling.

sun↗

Using observational mean-flow data to drive large-eddy simulations of a diurnal cycle at the SWiFT site

Reproducing realistic date- and site-specific unsteady wind conditions in large-eddy simulations is becoming increasingly useful in wind energy. How to run a large-eddy simulation to match observed conditions, however, remains an open research question. One approach that has received considerable attention is mesoscale-to-microscale coupling, in which information about the mesoscale weather, most commonly acquired from a mesoscale numerical weather model, is passed on to a microscale model. In this paper, we demonstrate how the recently developed profile-assimilation technique, a form of mesoscale-to-microscale coupling, can be used to drive large-eddy simulations solely based on observed mean-flow profiles at a single location, bypassing the need for auxiliary mesoscale simulations. The new approach is evaluated for a diurnal cycle at the Scaled Wind Farm Technology site. Observed mean-flow profiles from the ground up to a height of 2 km are reconstructed by aggregating measurements from multiple instruments, and gaps in the data are infilled with natural neighbor interpolation. We perform nine simulations using various forcing approaches to deal with data limitations. The results show that it is indeed possible to drive microscale large-eddy simulation with observations using the profile-assimilation technique, notwithstanding large gaps in virtual potential temperature measurements. However, profile assimilation with vertical smoothing of the error between the desired and actual profiles is required. Without that smoothing, the microscale simulations develop unrealistically high turbulence levels under many situations. Finally, we show that simulated mesoscale data can account for missing observations, although care is needed as both data sources are not necessarily compatible.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Candidate Nutritional Countermeasure to Mitigate Adverse Effects of Spaceflight

Problem statement: During spaceflight, astronauts are subjected to microgravity as well as radiation, both of which have adverse effects on bones, soft tissues and organs, possibly by shared mechanisms. For this reason there is a need to identify broad-spectrum countermeasures to protect multiple tissues from both insults.6.The spaceflight environment poses multiple challenges to homeostasis, including microgravity and ionizing radiation. Together, these factors contribute to cellular stress, and effects include increased generation of reactive oxygen species (ROS), oxidative and DNA damage, cell cycle arrest and cell senescence. We have shown that a purified diet supplemented with dried plum (DP, 25) conferred full protection of cancellous structure from the rapid bone loss caused by exposure to ionizing radiation (Schreurs et al. 2016). Based on these promising results for a new countermeasure to prevent space radiation induced-tissue damage, we will conduct additional studies to advance the potential countermeasure to a higher CRL level. We will test the DP diet for its ability to prevent bone loss caused by simulated microgravity as well as exposure to radiation. This will be achieved by exposing mice to each factor (simulated microgravity and radiation) alone and in combination. We hypothesize that spaceflight conditions lead to oxidative damage and bone loss, and that DP, a dietary additive rich in antioxidant and polyphenolic compounds, is an effective countermeasure for multiple tissues, including bone. To test this hypothesis we will accomplish the following aims: Aim 1 Determine if the antioxidant rich diet DP prevents simulated microgravity-induced bone loss. Aim 2 Determine if DP prevents simulated spaceflight-induced bone loss (microgravity and radiation combined). Aim 3 Determine if DP is effective as a countermeasure for adverse effects of simulated microgravity and radiation on non-skeletal tissues (brain, eye).

Schreurs, Ann-Sofie↗

NASA Low Power Stirling Convertor for Small Landers, Probes, and Rovers Operating in Darkness

A variety of mission concepts have been studied by NASA and the U. S. Department of Energy that would utilize low power Radioisotope Power Systems (RPS) for probes, landers rovers, and repeaters. These missions would contain science instruments distributed across planetary surfaces or near objects of interest where solar flux is insufficient for using solar cells. Landers could be used to provide data like radiation, temperature, pressure, seismic activity, and other surface measurements for planetary science and to inform future mission planners. The studies proposed using fractional versions of the General Purpose Heat Source (GPHS) or multiple Light Weight Radioisotope Heater Units (LWRHU) to heat power conversion technologies for science instruments and communication. Dynamic power systems are capable of higher conversion efficiencies, which could enable equal power using less fuel or more power using equal fuel, when compared to less efficient static power conversion technologies. Providing spacecraft with more power would decrease duty cycling of basic functions and, therefore, increase the quality and abundance of science data. Low power Stirling convertors are being developed at NASA Glenn Research Center (GRC) to provide future micro spacecraft with electrical power by converting heat from one or more LWRHUs. An initial design converts multiple watts of heat to one watt of electrical power output using a Stirling convertor. Development of the concept includes maturation of convertor and controller designs, performance evaluation of an evacuated metal foil insulation, and development of system interfaces. Demonstration of the convertor is planned and represents a new class of RPS with power levels an order of magnitude lower than previous practical designs.

Wilson, Scott D.↗

NASA Low-Power Stirling Convertor for Small Landers, Probes, and Rovers Operating in Darkness

A variety of mission concepts have been studied by NASA and the U. S. Department of Energy that would utilize low power Radioisotope Power Systems (RPS) for landers, probes, and rovers. These missions would contain science measuring instruments distributed across planetary surfaces or near objects of interest where solar flux is insufficient for using solar cells. Landers could be used to provide data like wind, temperature, pressure, seismic activity, and other planetary measurements to mission planners or future explorers. The studies proposed using fractional versions of the General Purpose Heat Source (GPHS) or multiple Light Weight Radioisotope Heater Units (LWRHU) to heat power conversion technologies for science instruments and communication. Dynamic power systems are capable of higher conversion efficiencies, which could enable equal power using less fuel or more power using equal fuel, when compared to less efficient static power conversion technologies. Providing spacecraft with more power would decrease duty cycling of basic functions and, therefore, increase the quality and abundance of science data. Low power Stirling convertors are being developed at NASA Glenn Research Center (GRC) to provide future micro spacecraft with electrical power by converting heat from one or more LWRHUs. An initial design converts multiple Watts of heat to one Watt of electrical power output using a Stirling convertor. Development of the concept includes maturation of convertor and controller designs, performance evaluation of an evacuated metal foil insulation, and development of system interfaces.

Wilson, Scott D.↗

NASA Low Power Stirling Convertor for Small Landers, Probes, and Rovers Operating in Darkness

A variety of mission concepts have been studied by NASA and the U. S. Department of Energy that would utilize low power Radioisotope Power Systems (RPS) for landers, probes, and rovers. These missions would contain science measuring instruments distributed across planetary surfaces or near objects of interest where solar flux is insufficient for using solar cells. Landers could be used to provide data like wind, temperature, pressure, seismic activity, and other planetary measurements to mission planners or future explorers. The studies proposed using fractional versions of the General Purpose Heat Source (GPHS) or multiple Light Weight Radioisotope Heater Units (LWRHU) to heat power conversion technologies for science instruments and communication. Dynamic power systems are capable of higher conversion efficiencies, which could enable equal power using less fuel or more power using equal fuel, when compared to less efficient static power conversion technologies. Providing spacecraft with more power would decrease duty cycling of basic functions and, therefore, increase the quality and abundance of science data. Low power Stirling convertors are being developed at NASA Glenn Research Center (GRC) to provide future micro spacecraft with electrical power by converting heat from one or more LWRHUs. An initial design converts multiple Watts of heat to one Watt of electrical power output using a Stirling convertor. Development of the concept includes maturation of convertor and controller designs, performance evaluation of an evacuated metal foil insulation, and development of system interfaces.

Wilson, Scott↗

Calculation of Flight Deck Interval Management Assigned Spacing Goals Subject to Multiple Scheduling Constraints

The Federal Aviation Administration's Next Generation Air Transportation System will combine advanced air traffic management technologies, performance-based procedures, and state-of-the-art avionics to maintain efficient operations throughout the entire arrival phase of flight. Flight deck Interval Management (FIM) operations are expected to use sophisticated airborne spacing capabilities to meet precise in-trail spacing from top-of-descent to touchdown. Recent human-in-the-loop simulations by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration have found that selection of the assigned spacing goal using the runway schedule can lead to premature interruptions of the FIM operation during periods of high traffic demand. This study compares three methods for calculating the assigned spacing goal for a FIM operation that is also subject to time-based metering constraints. The particular paradigms investigated include: one based upon the desired runway spacing interval, one based upon the desired meter fix spacing interval, and a composite method that combines both intervals. These three paradigms are evaluated for the primary arrival procedures to Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport using the entire set of Rapid Update Cycle wind forecasts from 2011. For typical meter fix and runway spacing intervals, the runway- and meter fix-based paradigms exhibit moderate FIM interruption rates due to their inability to consider multiple metering constraints. The addition of larger separation buffers decreases the FIM interruption rate but also significantly reduces the achievable runway throughput. The composite paradigm causes no FIM interruptions, and maintains higher runway throughput more often than the other paradigms. A key implication of the results with respect to time-based metering is that FIM operations using a single assigned spacing goal will not allow reduction of the arrival schedule's excess spacing buffer. Alternative solutions for conducting the FIM operation in a manner more compatible with the arrival schedule are discussed in detail.

ATD-1↗

FUEL PERFORMANCE SIMULATION OF HIGH BURNUP FUELS IN PLANNED INTEGRAL DESIGN BASIS ACCIDENT EXPERIMENTS

High burnup (HBu) fuel rods from the Byron Nuclear Generating Station (BNGS) were recently received at Idaho National Laboratory (INL) to support a variety of planned Nuclear Energy fuel cycle R&D objectives ranging from fuel performance, fuel recycle, and spent fuel research topics. Among these R&D activities, these fuel rods will be the subjects of multiple in-pile experiment programs at the Transient Reactor Test (TREAT) facility as well as detailed characterization and testing in the hot cells at INL and Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL). TREAT RIA experiments are planned for the Nuclear Energy Agency Framework for Irradiation Experiments (FIDES) Joint Experimental Program called High burnup Experiments in Reactivity Initiated Accident (HERA) program. TREAT and ORNL-furnace LOCA experiments are part of the Department of Energy (DOE) Advanced Fuels Campaign (AFC) program U.S. consensus LOCA test plan, and the in-pile experiments have also been proposed in a FIDES project called Loss of Coolant-High Burnup (LOC-HBu). The results of these test programs will provide crucial data about safety performance enabling extended licensable burnup limits for these fuels. The purpose of this paper is to document fuel performance computational simulations of the BNGS fuel using the Bison code. The detailed assessments include (1) the irradiation history of the fuel to provide prediction of as-run fuel conditions and (2) extending the irradiated fuel conditions into the as-designed experiment conditions for the HERA-HBu RIA experiments and for the LOC-HBu LOCA experiments. The results of these assessments will inform post-irradiation examinations (PIE) of the BNGS parent rods and detailed final design of the planned experiments.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

FUEL PERFORMANCE SIMULATION OF HIGH BURNUP FUELS IN PLANNED INTEGRAL DESIGN BASIS ACCIDENT EXPERIMENTS

High burnup (HBu) fuel rods from the Byron Nuclear Generating Station (BNGS) were recently received at Idaho National Laboratory (INL) to support a variety of planned Nuclear Energy fuel cycle R&D objectives ranging from fuel performance, fuel recycle, and spent fuel research topics. Among these R&D activities, these fuel rods will be the subjects of multiple in-pile experiment programs at the Transient Reactor Test (TREAT) facility as well as detailed characterization and testing in the hot cells at INL and Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL). TREAT RIA experiments are planned for the Nuclear Energy Agency Framework for Irradiation Experiments (FIDES) Joint Experimental Program called High burnup Experiments in Reactivity Initiated Accident (HERA) program. TREAT and ORNL-furnace LOCA experiments are part of the Department of Energy (DOE) Advanced Fuels Campaign (AFC) program U.S. consensus LOCA test plan, and the in-pile experiments have also been proposed in a FIDES project called Loss of Coolant-High Burnup (LOC-HBu). The results of these test programs will provide crucial data about safety performance enabling extended licensable burnup limits for these fuels. The purpose of this paper is to document fuel performance computational simulations of the BNGS fuel using the Bison code. The detailed assessments include (1) the irradiation history of the fuel to provide prediction of as-run fuel conditions and (2) extending the irradiated fuel conditions into the as-designed experiment conditions for the HERA-HBu RIA experiments and for the LOC-HBu LOCA experiments. The results of these assessments will inform post-irradiation examinations (PIE) of the BNGS parent rods and detailed final design of the planned experiments.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Fuel Performance Simulation of High Burnup Fuels in Planned Integral Design Basis Accident Experiments

High burnup (HBu) fuel rods from the Byron Nuclear Generating Station (BNGS) were recently received at Idaho National Laboratory (INL) to support a variety of planned Nuclear Energy fuel cycle R&D objectives ranging from fuel performance, fuel recycle, and spent fuel research topics. Among these R&D activities, these fuel rods will be the subjects of multiple in-pile experiment programs at the Transient Reactor Test (TREAT) facility as well as detailed characterization and testing in the hot cells at INL and Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL). TREAT RIA experiments are planned for the Nuclear Energy Agency Framework for Irradiation Experiments (FIDES) Joint Experimental Program called High burnup Experiments in Reactivity Initiated Accident (HERA) program. TREAT and ORNL-furnace LOCA experiments are part of the Department of Energy (DOE) Advanced Fuels Campaign (AFC) program U.S. consensus LOCA test plan, and the in-pile experiments have also been proposed in a FIDES project called Loss of Coolant-High Burnup (LOC-HBu). The results of these test programs will provide crucial data about safety performance enabling extended licensable burnup limits for these fuels. The purpose of this paper is to document fuel performance computational simulations of the BNGS fuel using the Bison code. The detailed assessments include (1) the irradiation history of the fuel to provide prediction of as-run fuel conditions and (2) extending the irradiated fuel conditions into the as-designed experiment conditions for the HERA-HBu RIA experiments and for the LOC-HBu LOCA experiments. The results of these assessments will inform post-irradiation examinations (PIE) of the BNGS parent rods and detailed final design of the planned experiments.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Revealing the working mechanism of a multi-functional block copolymer binder for lithium-sulfur batteries

The lithium-sulfur (Li-S) battery is one of the most promising substitutes for current energy storage systems because of its low cost, high theoretical capacity, and high energy density. However, the high solubility of intermediate products (i.e., lithium polysulfides) and the resultant shuttle effect lead to rapidly fading capacity and a low coulombic efficiency, which hinder the practical application of Li-S batteries. In this study, block copolymers are constructed with both an ethylene oxide unit and a styrene unit and then used as binders for Li-S batteries. Electrochemical performance improvements are attributed to the synergistic effects contributed by the different units of the block copolymer. Here, the ethylene oxide unit traps polysulfide, which bonds strongly with the intermediate lithium polysulfide, and enhances the transport of lithium ions to reach high capacity. Meanwhile, the styrene unit maintains cathode integrity by improving the mechanical properties and elasticity of the constructed block copolymer to accommodate the large volume changes. By enabling multiple functions via different units in the polymer chain, high sulfur utilization is achieved, polysulfide diffusion is confined, and the shuttle effect is suppressed during the cycle life of Li-S batteries, as revealed by operando ultraviolet–visible spectroscopy and S K-edge X-ray absorption spectroscopy.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Predicting initial trans-membrane pressure across cycles in the ultrafiltration process using random forest

With growing freshwater scarcity, direct potable reuse (DPR) systems that reclaim wastewater for drinking are becoming increasingly important for sustainable water supply. Reliable operation requires minimizing downtime in ultrafiltration (UF) units, where membrane fouling leads to elevated trans-membrane pressure (TMP). This study develops data-driven regression models based on random forest (RF) and autoregressive (AR) approaches to forecast the initial TMP at the start of each UF filtration cycle in a pilot-scale DPR system. The RF model consistently outperforms baseline methods, including historical mean, last observation carried forward, and AR models, across multiple forecast horizons, achieving the lowest root mean square error. To evaluate how different classes of process variables contribute to TMP dynamics over time, we examine the feature importance of independent input variables across multiple forecast horizons. This analysis provides insight into the temporal relevance of operational and sensor-derived features, guiding control and monitoring strategies. Additionally, the impact of hyperparameter tuning on TMP prediction performance is assessed for both direct and recursive RF modelling approaches. The proposed RF framework establishes a robust foundation for predictive monitoring and real-time optimization of UF operations, supporting sustainable and reliable water reuse.

direct potable reuse↗

Dynamic Leg Exercise Improves Tolerance to Lower Body Negative Pressure

These results clearly demonstrate that dynamic leg exercise against the footward force produced by LBNP substantially improves tolerance to LBNP, and that even cyclic ankle flexion without load bearing also increases tolerance. This exercise-induced increase of tolerance was actually an underestimate, because subjects who completed the tolerance test while exercising could have continued for longer periods. Exercise probably increases LBNP tolerance by multiple mechanisms. Tolerance was increased in part by skeletal muscle pumping venous blood from the legs. Rosenhamer and Linnarsson and Rosenhamer also deduced this for subjects cycling during centrifugation, although no measurements of leg volume were made in those studies: they found that male subjects cycling at 98 W could endure 3 Gz centrifugation longer than when they remained relaxed during centrifugation. Skeletal muscle pumping helps maintain cardiac filling pressure by opposing gravity-, centrifugation-, or LBNP-induced accumulation of blood and extravascular fluid in the legs.

Watenpaugh, D. E.↗