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At least 937 records · Page 52
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2021

Multifunctional Utilization of Pitch-Coated Carbon Fibers in Lithium-Based Rechargeable Batteries

This work reports carbon fibers as an electrode material and current collector for dual-carbon and lithium-ion batteries. Here, fully graphitic and semigraphitic carbon fibers undergo anion intercalation beyond 4.5 V versus Li/Li + . Symmetric dual-carbon full cells using a pitch-coated fully graphitic carbon fiber mat as both cathode and anode delivers an energy-density of 276 and 322 Wh kg -1 at 342 W kg -1 power density in the voltage range of 3.0–5.0 and 3.0–5.2 V, respectively. On the other hand, nongraphitic carbon fibers do not exhibit anion intercalation up to 5.2 V and can be used as a current collector. They also possess a larger number of Li + storage sites in their randomly oriented microstructure when used as an anode. A lithium-ion full cell with double carbon-coated C-LiFePO 4 loaded on nongraphitic carbon fiber as a cathode and pitch-coated nongraphitic carbon fiber as an anode exhibits 202.6 and 75.2 Wh kg -1 energy density at power densities of 46.75 W kg -1 and 11.7 kW kg -1 , respectively in 2.0–3.5 V range. This pitch-coated carbon fiber-based battery configuration eliminates the need for metal foils and costly fluorinated binders, lowers overall weight of the cell, and is capable of sustaining mechanical stress and thermal shock.

PF6− intercalation↗
DOE OSTI2024

Natural carbonation of portland cement with synthetic zeolite Y as a supplementary cementitious material

Risks associated with carbonation are a key limitation to greater replacement levels of ordinary portland cement (OPC) by supplementary cementitious materials (SCMs). The addition of pozzolanic SCMs in OPC alters the hydrate assemblage by forming phases like calcium-(alumina)-silicate-hydrate (C-(A)-S-H). The objective of the present study was to elucidate how such changes in hydrate assemblage influence the chemical mechanisms of carbonation in a realistic OPC system. Here, in this paper, we show that synthetic zeolite Y (faujasite) is a highly reactive pozzolan in OPC that reduces the calcium content of hydration products via prompt consumption of calcium hydroxide from the evolving phase assemblage prior to CO 2 exposure. Suppression of portlandite at moderate to high zeolite Y content led to a more damaging mechanism of carbonation by disrupting the formation of a passivating carbonate layer. Without this layer, carbonation depth and CO 2 uptake are increased. Binders containing 12–18% zeolite Y by volume consumed all the calcium hydroxide from OPC during hydration and reduced the Ca/(Si+Al) ratio of the amorphous products to near 0.67. In these cases, higher carbonation depths were observed after exposure to ambient air with decalcification of C-(A)-S-H as the main source of CO 2 buffering. Binders with either 0% or 4% zeolite Y contained calcium hydroxide in the hydrated microstructure, had higher Ca/(Si+Al) ratios, and formed a calcite-rich passivation layer that halted deep carbonation. Although the carbonated layer in the samples with 12% and 18% zeolite Y contained 70% and 76% less calcite than the OPC respectively, their higher carbonation depths resulted in total CO 2 uptakes that were 12x greater than the OPC sample. Passivation layer formation in samples with calcium hydroxide explains this finding and was further supported by thermodynamic modeling. High Si/Al zeolite additives to OPC should be balanced with the calcium content for optimal carbonation resistance.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Integrating the evidence for a terrestrial carbon sink caused by increasing atmospheric CO 2

Atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration ([CO 2 ]) is increasing, which increases leaf-scale photosynthesis and intrinsic water-use efficiency. These direct responses have the potential to increase plant growth, vegetation biomass, and soil organic matter; transferring carbon from the atmosphere into terrestrial ecosystems (a carbon sink). A substantial global terrestrial carbon sink would slow the rate of [CO 2 ] increase and thus climate change. However, ecosystem CO 2 -responses are complex or confounded by concurrent changes in multiple agents of global change and evidence for a [CO 2 ]-driven terrestrial carbon sink can appear contradictory. In this work, we synthesise theory and broad, multi-disciplinary evidence for the effects of increasing [CO 2 ] (iCO 2 ) on the global terrestrial carbon sink. Evidence suggests a substantial increase in global photosynthesis since pre-industry. Established theory, supported by experiments, indicates that iCO 2 is likely responsible for about half of the increase. Global carbon budgeting, atmospheric data, and forest inventories indicate a historical carbon sink, and these apparent iCO 2 -responses are high in comparison with experiments and theory. Plant mortality and soil carbon iCO 2 -responses are highly uncertain. In conclusion, a range of evidence supports a positive terrestrial carbon sink in response to iCO 2 , albeit with uncertain magnitude and strong suggestion of a role for additional agents of global change.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Potential long-term, global effects of enhancing the domestic terrestrial carbon sink in the United States through no-till and cover cropping

Abstract Background Achieving a net zero greenhouse gas United States (US) economy is likely to require both deep sectoral mitigation and additional carbon dioxide removals to offset hard-to-abate emissions. Enhancing the terrestrial carbon sink, through practices such as the adoption of no-till and cover cropping agricultural management, could provide a portion of these required offsets. Changing domestic agricultural practices to optimize carbon content, however, might reduce or shift US agricultural commodity outputs and exports, with potential implications on respective global markets and land use patterns. Here, we use an integrated energy-economy-land-climate model to comprehensively assess the global land, trade, and emissions impacts of an adoption of domestic no-till farming and cover cropping practices based on carbon pricing. Results We find that the adoption of these practices varies depending on which aspects of terrestrial carbon are valued. Valuation of all terrestrial carbon resulted in afforestation at the expense of domestic agricultural production. In contrast, a policy valuing soil carbon in agricultural systems specifically indicates strong adoption of no-till and cover cropping for key crops. Conclusions We conclude that under targeted terrestrial carbon incentives, adoption of no-till and cover cropping practices in the US could increase the terrestrial carbon sink with limited effects on crop availability for food and fodder markets. Future work should consider integrated assessment modeling of non-CO 2 greenhouse gas impacts, above ground carbon storage changes, and capital and operating cost considerations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Carbon Removal Accounting for a Sustainable Future: Distributing CO 2 Flows in Multiservice Systems

Carbon dioxide removal (CDR) systems are an integral part of sustainable pathways limiting global warming to less than 2.0 °C. When the sole purpose of CDR is capturing and storing atmospheric CO 2 , carbon registries offer detailed procedures to calculate the carbon removal credits. However, the registries do not address how to distribute CO 2 flows when CDR provides additional services. Standardized, transparent rules for distributing CO 2 flows among CDR services are required for the formation of efficient private and public carbon markets. The lack of such rules could result in double counting if those reductions are allocated to more than one service, decreasing the trustworthiness of carbon removal credits or deterring the delivery of an additional low-carbon service, thus limiting the economic viability and deployment of CDR. We examine allocation rules in carbon registries and carbon accounting guidelines, including their life cycle assessment (LCA) principles. We evaluate physical (mass-based) and non-physical (economic) allocation methods using a generic CDR system and find both to be unworkable. We then develop a mass balance (MB) approach which can reliably allocate captured and stored carbon (CSC) between carbon removal credits and other services based on the value CO 2 removal in those markets. This practical approach to allocation can be used in a transparent way to provide flexibility that would allow CDR services to capture the value of the multiple services they provide and, through this, promote the deployment of these sustainable alternatives.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Unveiling the microstructural evolution of carbon fibers derived from polyamide-6

Polyacrylonitrile-based carbon fibers have dominated the industry for decades, but the high cost of polyacrylonitrile has prevented the widespread adoption of carbon fiber in high-volume structural applications. As such, a significant amount of research has been dedicated to finding an alternative, low-cost carbon fiber precursor. In this work, carbon fibers were produced from polyamide-6 using metal salt impregnation and a thermo-oxidative stabilization step. To gain further insight into the carbonization process and microstructural transformation, the morphologies, crystallinities, elemental compositions, and thermal stabilities of the fibers were characterized at various stages of processing. The stabilization step resulted in a significant increase in carbon yield, indicating a dramatic increase in thermal stability. This is due to the crosslinking of polyamide-6 chains, which was confirmed by functional group analysis. The crystallinity of the fibers was also significantly altered during processing, as the produced carbon fibers consisted of pseudo-amorphous carbon with two distinct regions of metal salt impregnation. Finally, the findings and microstructural evolution mechanisms provide guidelines for further research into carbon fiber produced from polyamide-6.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Biomass-Derived Carbon and Their Composites for Supercapacitor Applications: Sources, Functions, and Mechanisms

Biomass-derived carbons are eco-friendly and sustainable materials, making them ideal for supercapacitors due to their high surface area, excellent conductivity, cost-effectiveness, and environmental benefits. This review provides valuable insights into biomass-derived carbon and modified carbon for supercapacitors, integrating both experimental results and theoretical calculations. This review begins by discussing the origins of biomass-derived carbon in supercapacitors, including plant-based, food waste-derived, animal-origin, and microorganism-generated sources. Then, this review presents strategies to improve the performance of biomass-derived carbon in supercapacitors, including heteroatom doping, surface functionalization, and hybrid composite construction. Furthermore, this review analyzes the functions of biomass-derived carbon in supercapacitors both in its pure form and as modified materials. The review also explores composites derived from biomass-based carbon, including carbon/MXenes, carbon/MOFs, carbon/graphene, carbon/conductive polymers, carbon/transition metal oxides, and carbon/hydroxides, providing a thorough investigation. Most importantly, this review offers an innovative summary and analysis of the role of biomass-derived carbon in supercapacitors through theoretical calculations, concentrating on four key aspects: energy band structure, density of states, electron cloud density, and adsorption energy. Finally, the review concludes the future research directions for biomass carbon-based supercapacitors, including the discovery of novel biomass materials, tailoring surface functional groups, fabricating high-performance composite materials, exploring ion transfer mechanisms, and enhancing practical applications. In summary, this review offers a thorough exploration of the sources, functions, and mechanisms of biomass-derived carbon in supercapacitors, providing valuable insights for future research.

biomass-derived carbon↗
DOE OSTI2021

Quantifying carbon budget, crop yields and their responses to environmental variability using the ecosys model for U.S. Midwestern agroecosystems

As one of the major agricultural production areas in the world, the United States (U.S.) Midwest plays a vital role in the global food supply and agricultural ecosystem services. Although significant efforts have been made in modeling the carbon cycle dynamics over this area, large uncertainty still exists in the previous simulations in terms of reproducing individual components of the carbon cycle and their responses to environmental variability. Here we evaluated the performance of an advanced agroecosystem model, ecosys, in simulating carbon budgets over the U.S. Midwest, considering both the magnitude of carbon flux/yield and its response to environmental (climate and soil) variability. We conducted model simulations and evaluations at 7 cropland eddy-covariance sites as well as over 293 counties of Illinois, Indiana, and Iowa in the U.S. Midwest. The site-level simulations showed that ecosys captured both the magnitude and seasonal patterns of carbon fluxes (i.e., net ecosystem carbon exchange (NEE), ecosystem gross primary production (GPP), and ecosystem respiration (Reco)), leaf area index (LAI), and dynamic plant carbon allocation processes, with R2 equal to 0.92, 0.87, 0.87, and 0.78 for GPP, NEE, Reco, and LAI, respectively across all the sites compared with the observations. For regional scale simulations, ecosys reproduced the spatial distribution and interannual variability of corn and soybean yields with the constraints of observed yields and a new remotely sensed GPP product, with R2 of multi-year averaged simulated and observed yield equal 0.83 and 0.80 for corn and soybean, respectively. The simulated responses of carbon cycle dynamics to environmental variability were consistent with that from the empirical observations at both site and regional scales. Furthermore, our results demonstrated the applicability of ecosys in simulating the carbon cycle and soil carbon dynamics of the U.S. Midwestern agroecosystems under different climate and soil conditions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Optimizing a chemical cleaning protocol to determine the nickel isotopic composition of ancient seawater from carbonates

Reconstructing the ancient marine cycle of Ni, a trace metal in the oceans essential to enzymes regulating the C, N, and O cycles, would inform how Ni bioavailability shaped early life. The Ni isotopic composition of seawater (δ 60 Ni SW ) through time could provide insight, but this approach requires sedimentary archives that faithfully record δ 60 Ni SW . Carbonates are an often-used record of seawater chemistry, but contaminants could bias the measured δ 60 Ni of bulk sediment. To isolate the true carbonate-bound δ 60 Ni signal, we optimized a chemical cleaning protocol designed to minimize non‑carbonate Ni contributions and maximize carbonate recovery. We analyzed ODP Site 1007 sediments and evaluated oxidative and reductive pre-cleaning steps and carbonate dissolution protocols. Our results show that only reductive cleaning significantly altered the subsequent carbonate leachate composition, lowering Ni/Ca ratios by up to 60% and δ 60 Ni values by as much as 0.4 ‰. In contrast, δ 60 Ni values were largely insensitive to premature carbonate dissolution during pre-cleaning or to partial leaching of silicates during carbonate dissolution, even at higher acid molarities or longer reaction times. We recommend an evidence-based protocol that removes hydro-soluble salts and clays, applies reductive cleaning and oxidative cleaning for certain sample compositions, and dissolves carbonate using 0.5 M acetic acid, adjusted to pH 5. Using these results, we infer a ∼ 0.9 ‰ Ni isotopic fractionation between chemically cleaned deep-water carbonates (+0.4 ± 0.1 ‰) and deep seawater. This method development is a key step toward accurately reconstructing ancient marine Ni cycles.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2023

Long-term carbon intensity reduction potential of K-12 school buildings in the United States

School buildings have a great potential for carbon emission reduction since their annual emission is about 72 million metric tons. Currently, more than 30% of school buildings were built before 1960 and are underperforming. To effectively reduce carbon emissions via school building retrofits, it is critical for policymakers to understand the carbon intensity reduction potential of retrofitting school buildings in different regions. Hence, this study develops a method to comprehensively assess the long-term carbon intensity reduction potential of aggregated commercial buildings on a county-by-county basis in the continental U.S. We apply this method to the K-12 school buildings including primary and secondary school buildings. Here, this paper predicts the carbon intensity reduction potential of K-12 school buildings with eight building retrofit measures from 2022 to 2050 in the continental U.S. The results reveal several interesting findings: (1) In the approximately 3,000 counties of the U.S. from 2022 to 2050, the carbon intensity reduction potential of retrofitting K-12 school buildings in each county ranges from 0.41 kg/m 2 to 40.00 kg/m 2 . (2) Even in the same climate zone, the trends of carbon intensity reduction potential from 2022 to 2050 are different depending on their electricity sources. For example, in a hot and humid climate zone, the carbon intensity reduction potential in Florida will decrease from 2044 to 2048. However, in Mississippi, the carbon intensity reduction potential from 2044 to 2046 will increase due to the termination of the nuclear energy usage. (3) Generally, reducing lighting power density leads to more carbon intensity reduction in most states, but it might not be applicable for states with high clean energy penetration, such as Washington.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2020

Microbial functional genes commonly respond to elevated carbon dioxide

Atmospheric CO 2 concentration is increasing, largely due to anthropogenic activities. Previous studies of individual free-air CO 2 enrichment (FACE) experimental sites have shown significant impacts of elevated CO 2 (eCO 2 ) on soil microbial communities; however, no common microbial response patterns have yet emerged, challenging our ability to predict ecosystem functioning and sustainability in the future eCO 2 environment. Here we analyzed 66 soil microbial communities from five FACE sites, and showed common microbial response patterns to eCO 2 , especially for key functional genes involved in carbon and nitrogen fixation (e.g., pcc/acc for carbon fixation, nifH for nitrogen fixation), carbon decomposition (e.g., amyA and pulA for labile carbon decomposition, mnp and lcc for recalcitrant carbon decomposition), and greenhouse gas emissions (e.g., mcrA for methane production, norB for nitrous oxide production) across five FACE sites. Also, the relative abundance of those key genes was generally increased and directionally associated with increased biomass, soil carbon decomposition, and soil moisture. In addition, a further literature survey of more disparate FACE experimental sites indicated increased biomass, soil carbon decay, nitrogen fixation, methane and nitrous oxide emissions, plant and soil carbon and nitrogen under eCO 2 . A conceptual framework was developed to link commonly responsive functional genes with ecosystem processes, such as pcc/acc vs. soil carbon storage, amyA/pulA/mnp/lcc vs. soil carbon decomposition, and nifH vs. nitrogen availability, suggesting that such common responses of microbial functional genes may have the potential to predict ecosystem functioning and sustainability in the future eCO 2 environment.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Role of carbon treating in piperazine oxidation

Bench-scale experiments were performed to test the effects of carbon treating (8 × 30 mesh, lignite-based granular activated carbon from Nowata Filtration) on the oxidation of aqueous piperazine (PZ) at conditions of CO 2 capture. The combined mitigation with carbon treating and N 2 sparging was also tested. When carbon treating is applied, the UV–Vis absorbance at 320 nm, the NH 3 production rate, and the accumulation rate of dissolved Fe concentration and total formate concentration decrease. The effects of carbon treating last even when the carbon is bypassed, which is possibly due to the removal of catalytic degradation products. Therefore, it is better to apply carbon treating in the early stages of oxidation. Combining carbon treating and nitrogen sparging is more effective in oxidation mitigation than applying the methods separately. The amount of Fe removed by the carbon bed is greater than the result calculated from the solvent inventory and concentration difference of Fe in solvent, indicating that Fe colloids or other “soluble” Fe will dissolve into the solvent and replace the dissolved Fe that is adsorbed and removed. Furthermore, the carbon removes the degradation products that can complex with Fe 3+ , even if they are not complexed. Since the source of Fe includes fly ash and corrosion, removing the complexing agents instead of all the available Fe is a more feasible target.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Elucidating the Role of Carbon Conductive Additive in the Processing and Electrochemical Behavior of Surface-Modified Si Anodes

In the present work, we explore the impact of conducting carbon on the processing of silicon (Si)-rich electrodes, their resulting cycling performance, and parasitic side reactions. We employed three different carbon additives, Super C45 (carbon black), Super C65 (carbon black), and TIMCAL C-NERGY KS 6L (graphite), with varying sizes and morphologies to determine how these parameters influence the structure and the electrochemical behavior of the cast electrodes. Raman mapping indicates that the improved performance achieved using C45 can be explained by the homogeneous distribution of Si and carbon, enabling the formation of continuous electrical pathways throughout the electrode. Further, this finding aligns with the results of ζ potential measurements, which indicate that C45 can maintain more stable dispersions in N-methyl-2-pyrrolidone (NMP) compared with the other carbon additives. However, electrodes with C45 as the conducting agent exhibited increased parasitic side reactions, as evidenced by the leakage current obtained from voltage hold experiments. These side reactions can have adverse effects on the calendar life of the electrode. Furthermore, the Raman maps of the electrodes reveal heterogeneities in Si and carbon distribution with lower carbon content, especially with only 2% carbon. This drastically impacts the cyclability of the electrodes, with portions of the low-carbon electrodes that remain unable to undergo cycling even at slow rates (0.2 Ah g –1 ). Additionally, we found that slower formation rates are favored in the context of parasitic side reactions, although slower formation rates can potentially create thicker passivating films that could hinder Li + -ion transport. Therefore, we emphasize the need for an intricate balance in materials selection and cycling protocol for optimal electrode processing and electrochemical behavior.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Tailoring Pore Architecture and Heteroatom Functionality of Polymeric Waste-Derived Nanoporous Carbon for CO 2 Capture Applications

This study proposes upcycling polymeric waste, i.e., waste floral foam, into high-performance nanoporous carbon that efficiently captures CO 2 . This paper presents strategies for improving the properties of nanoporous carbon, which aid in a superior CO 2 capture performance. Initially, pristine nanoporous carbon was produced from waste floral foam using various KOH impregnation ratios. The nanoporous carbon with a 1:2 (waste floral foam:KOH) ratio exhibiting optimal CO 2 capture capability was further advanced through single and dual atom doping. The doping of N and codoping of N,S atoms into the nanoporous carbon altered its textural and surface chemical properties, making them efficient for CO 2 capture. Comparative CO 2 capture studies of pristine nanoporous carbon (NC-x), N-doped nanoporous carbon (N-NC2), and N,S-codoped nanoporous carbon (N,S-NC2) demonstrate the superiority of N-doping. N-doped nanoporous carbon exhibited the largest ultramicroporosity (0.3100 cm3/g, 63.43%) and highest heteroatom content (34.94 atomic %), contributing to its enhanced CO 2 capture capability (4.54 mmol/g). Finally, implementing the “waste-to-depollution” approach, this research lays the groundwork for producing low-cost, environmentally friendly nanoporous carbon with remarkable CO 2 capture attributes.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Coupled Experimental–Theoretical Characterization of a Carbon Electrode in Vanadium Redox Flow Batteries using X-ray Absorption Spectroscopy

Vanadium redox flow batteries (VRFBs) have emerged as promising solutions for stationary grid energy storage due to their high efficiency, scalability, safety, near room-temperature operation conditions, and the ability to independently size power and energy capacities. The performance of VRFBs heavily relies on the redox couple reactions of V 2+ /V 3+ and VO 2+ /VO 2 + on carbon electrodes. Therefore, a thorough understanding of the surface functionality of carbon electrodes and their propensity for degradation during electrochemical cycles is crucial for designing VRFBs with extended lifespans. In this study, we present a coupled experimental–theoretical approach based on carbon K edge X-ray absorption spectroscopy (XAS) to characterize carbon electrodes prepared under different conditions and identify relevant functional groups that contribute to unique spectroscopic features. Atomic models were created to represent functional groups, such as hydroxyl, carboxyl, methyl, and aldehyde, bonded to carbon atoms in either sp 2 or sp 3 environments. The interactions between functionalized carbon and various solvated vanadium complexes were modeled using density functional theory. A library of carbon K-edge XAS spectra was generated for distinct carbon atoms in different functional groups, both before and after interacting with solvated vanadium complexes. Here we demonstrate how these simulated spectra can be used to deconvolve ex situ experimental spectra measured from carbon electrodes and to track changes in the electrode composition following immersion in different electrolytes or extended cycling within a functional VRFB. By doing so, we identify the active species present on the carbon electrodes, which play a crucial role in determining their electrochemical performance.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2026

Model‐Based Interpretation of Solute Exports and Carbon Partitioning During Shale Weathering in a Mountainous Hillslope

The weathering of sedimentary rocks in high-elevation catchments influences freshwater quality and the global carbon cycle. While individual biogeochemical mechanisms involved in this process are relatively well understood, quantifying their contributions to solute export and carbon fluxes under natural, transient conditions remains challenging. Here, we implement a numerical multidimensional and multiphase model to simulate coupled hydrological and biogeochemical processes in a shale-underlain, snow-dominated hillslope in the Rocky Mountains, Colorado. The model captures the dynamic interplay between soil respiration, mineral weathering, and climate-driven hydrological forcing, reproducing observed soil CO 2 dynamics, groundwater chemistry, and subsurface flow. Our results reveal that seasonal snowmelt enhances carbonate weathering by promoting the infiltration of CO 2 -rich water to depth, while pyrite oxidation is primarily sensitive to low water saturation that facilitates O 2 diffusion through the regolith. Topography modulates the spatial distribution of shale weathering, as steeper slopes enhance lateral drainage, favoring the delivery of reactants to greater depths. While shale weathering at our site acts as a transient carbon sink, with silicates and carbonates buffering acidity and promoting atmospheric CO 2 consumption (1% of soil-derived CO 2 ), the exported dissolved inorganic carbon is predominantly geogenic (∼73%). Consequently, when accounting for long-term marine carbonate precipitation. The current weathering regime represents a net source of carbon to the atmosphere. The oxidation of pyrite and petrogenic organic carbon together release approximately 0.9 mol·m −2 ·yr −1 of CO 2 . Our findings highlight the role of topography, hydroclimate, and the coupling between acid-base reactions in shaping the carbon balance and the solute exports in mountainous critical zones.

carbon cycling↗
DOE OSTI2022

Using remote sensing to quantify the additional climate benefits of California forest carbon offset projects

Abstract Nature‐based climate solutions are a vital component of many climate mitigation strategies, including California's, which aims to achieve carbon neutrality by 2045. Most carbon offsets in California's cap‐and‐trade program come from improved forest management (IFM) projects. Since 2012, various landowners have set up IFM projects following the California Air Resources Board's IFM protocol. As many of these projects approach their 10th year, we now have the opportunity to assess their effectiveness, identify best practices, and suggest improvements toward future protocol revisions. In this study, we used remote sensing‐based datasets to evaluate the carbon trends and harvest histories of 37 IFM projects in California. Despite some current limitations and biases, these datasets can be used to quantify carbon accumulation and harvest rates in offset project lands relative to nearby similar “control” lands before and after the projects began. Five lines of evidence suggest that the carbon accumulated in offset projects to date has generally not been additional to what might have otherwise occurred: (1) most forests in northwestern California have been accumulating carbon since at least the mid‐1980s and continue to accumulate carbon, whether enrolled in offset projects or not; (2) harvest rates were high in large timber company project lands before IFM initiation, suggesting they are earning carbon credits for forests in recovery; (3) projects are often located on lands with higher densities of low‐timber‐value species; (4) carbon accumulation rates have not yet increased on lands that enroll as offset projects, relative to their pre‐enrollment levels; and (5) harvest rates have not decreased on most project lands since offset project initiation. These patterns suggest that the current protocol should be improved to robustly measure and reward additionality. In general, our framework of geospatial analyses offers an important and independent means to evaluate the effectiveness of the carbon offsets program, especially as these data products continue improving and as offsets receive attention as a climate mitigation strategy.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Role of Forest Carbon Change in Shaping Future Land Use and Land Cover Change

Global change, particularly the changes in atmospheric CO 2 concentration, climatic variables, and nitrogen deposition, has been widely recognized and examined to have worldwide impacts on forest carbon. However, its influence on forest area required to meet the demand for timber and carbon storage and subsequent land use and land cover change (LULCC) is rarely studied. This study explores the role of global change-driven forest carbon change in shaping future global LULCC projections and investigates underlying drivers. We incorporated the global change impacts on forest carbon from the Canadian Land Surface Scheme Including Biogeochemical Cycles model simulations (driven by meteorological forcing projections from two Earth system models [ESMs]) into the Global Change Analysis Model, under three combinations of shared socioeconomic pathways and representative concentration pathways (SSP126, SSP370, and SSP585). Including forest carbon change decreases the projected expansion of managed forest and managed pasture, reduces the loss of unmanaged pastures and forests, and provides more cropland. The relative change in managed forest by 2100 is -4.0%, -21.7%, and -31.9%, under SSP126, SSP370, and SSP585, respectively, when forest carbon change is considered. CO 2 fertilization is the dominant driver, increasing forest vegetation and soil carbon by 37% and 4.1%, and leading to 78.6% of the total area with a change in land use types by 2100 under SSP585. In comparison, climate change reduces forest vegetation and soil carbon by -3.5% and -0.8%, influencing 23.9% of the total area with a change in land use types by 2100 under SSP585, while nitrogen deposition has minor impacts. Using meteorological forcing data from two ESMs leads to similar impacts of forest carbon change on LULCC in terms of sign and trend but different magnitudes. This study highlights the large impact of forest carbon change on shaping future LULCC dynamics and the critical role of CO 2 fertilization.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗