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At least 937 records · Page 52

Cryogenic System for Interferometric Measurement of Dimensional Changes at 40 K: Design and Performance

This report describes the facility, experimental methods, characterizations, and uncertainty analysis of the Cryo Distortion Measurement Facility (CDMF) at the Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC). This facility is designed to measure thermal distortions of structural elements as the temperature is lowered from 320K to below 40 K over multiple cycles, and is capable of unattended running and data logging. The first measurement is to be the change in length and any bending of composite tubes with Invar end-fittings. The CDMF includes a chamber that is efficiently cooled with two cryo-coolers (one single-stage and one two-stage) rather than with liquid cryogens. Five optical ports incorporate sapphire radiation shields - transparent to the interferometer - on each of two shrouds and a fused silica vacuum-port window. The change in length of composite tubes is monitored continuously with displacement-measuring interferometers; and the rotations, bending, and twisting are measured intermittently with theodolites and a surface-figure interferometer. Nickel-coated invar mirrors and attachment mechanisms were developed and qualified by test in the CDMF. The uncertainty in measurement of length change of 0.4 m tubes is currently estimated at 0.9 micrometers.

Blake, Peter↗

In-Flight Measurement of the Absolute Energy Scale of the Fermi Large Area Telescope

The Large Area Telescope (LAT) on-board the Fermi Gamma-ray Space Telescope is a pair-conversion telescope designed to survey the gamma-ray sky from 20 MeV to several hundreds of GeV. In this energy band there are no astronomical sources with sufficiently well known and sharp spectral features to allow an absolute calibration of the LAT energy scale. However, the geomagnetic cutoff in the cosmic ray electron- plus-positron (CRE) spectrum in low Earth orbit does provide such a spectral feature. The energy and spectral shape of this cutoff can be calculated with the aid of a numerical code tracing charged particles in the Earth's magnetic field. By comparing the cutoff value with that measured by the LAT in different geomagnetic positions, we have obtained several calibration points between approx. 6 and approx. 13 GeV with an estimated uncertainty of approx. 2%. An energy calibration with such high accuracy reduces the systematic uncertainty in LAT measurements of, for example, the spectral cutoff in the emission from gamma ray pulsars.

Cosmic-rays↗

Herschel-ATLAS: The Angular Correlation Function of Submillimetre Galaxies at High and Low Redshift

We present measurements of the angular correlation function of galaxies selected from the first field of the H-ATLAS survey. Careful removal of the background from galactic cirrus is essential, and currently dominates the uncertainty in our measurements. For our 250 micrometer-selected sample we detect no significant clustering, consistent with the expectation that the 250 pm-selected sources are mostly normal galaxies at z < or equal to 1. For our 350 micrometer and 500 micrometer-selected samples we detect relatively strong clustering with correlation amplitudes A of 0.2 and 1.2 at 1', but with relatively large uncertainties. For samples which preferentially select high redshift galaxies at z approx. 2-3 we detect significant strong clustering, leading to an estimate of r(0) approx. 7-11/h Mpc. The slope of our clustering measurements is very steep. delta approx. 2. The measurements are consistent with the idea that sub-mm sources consist of a low redshift population of normal galaxies and a high redshift population of highly clustered star-bursting galaxies.

Maddox, S. J.↗

Machine Learning for LBNF Beam Diagnostics

This paper focuses on developing a machine learning model for predicting initial beam parameters for the Long Baseline Neutrino Facility (LBNF) beamline using downstream muon monitor data. Parameters such as proton beam position on target, sigma on target, focusing horn current, and focusing horn tilt are parameters we anticipate to be predictable based on the muon monitors. Uncertainty in initial beam condition measurements are a major contributor to uncertainty in downstream flux, and over operation time beam misalignment can occur [1]. A machine learning model has promise to detect anomalies along the beamline based on discrepancies between predicted configurations and measured configurations, and thus can expedite error detection and handling. A PyTorch neural network is defined, trained, and tested. The developed model currently does not provide reliable predictions, with the lowest loss being 0.09.. Further steps to improve the model’s accuracy are discussed, as well as future plans to detect anomalous beam conditions using a digital twin.

O'Brien, Bridget [Fermilab]↗

Managing Uncertainty Due to a Fundamental Error Source Arising from Scatterer Distribution Complexity in Radar Remote Sensing of Precipitation

The assumption that cloud and rain drops are spatially distributed according to a Poisson distribution within a scattering volume probed by a radar being used to estimate precipitation has represented bedrock theory in establishing 'rules of the game' for pulse averaging--the process needed to beat down noise to an acceptable level in the measurement of radar reflectivity factor. Based on relatively recent observations of 'realistic' spatial distributions of hydrometeor scatterers in a cloudy atmosphere motivates a renewed examination of the consequences of using a too simplified assumption underlying volume scattering--particularly in regards to the standard pulse averaging rule. Our investigation addresses two extremes, simple to complex, insofar as allowed for complexities in an underlying scatterer distribution. It is demonstrated that as the spatial distribution ranges from Poisson (a narrow distribution) to multi-fractal (much broader distribution), uncertainty in a measurement increases if the rule for pulse averaging goes unchanged from its Poisson distribution reference county. [A bounded cascade is used for the multi-fractal distribution, a regularly observed distribution vis-a-vis cloud liquid water content.] The resultant measurement uncertainty leads to a fundamental source of error in the estimation of rain rate from radar measurements, one that has been disregarded since the early 1950s when radar sets first began to be used for rainfall measuring. It is shown how this source of error can be 'managed'--under the assumption that number of data analysis experiments would be carried out, experiments involving pulse-by-pulse measurements obtained from a radar set modified to output individual pulses of reflectivity factor. For practical applications, a new parameter called normalized k-sample intensity invariance is developed to enable defining the required pulse average count according to a preferred degree of uncertainty.

Smith, Eric A.↗

Radiometric Standards and Best Practices: Recent Progress

International standards and best practices for solar resource assessments provide assurance for traceable measurements associated with a low uncertainty. This benefits the solar energy industry by reducing the investment risks through heightened confidence in the solar resource information. NREL, in collaboration with international organizations, such as subcommittees G03 of ASTM (Radiometry) and TC180/SC1 of ISO (Climate measurement and data), recently revised some standards that are widely used by the solar industry. These include radiometric standards that assist in (i) maintaining calibration traceability; (ii) uncertainty analysis; (iii) measurement quality assurance, and (iv) establishing reference spectral irradiance distributions. The latter are widely used by the solar community to evaluate the actual absorptance, reflectance, and transmittance of solar energy materials, or the performance of solar energy devices and systems, relative to standard conditions. This paper provides a summary of the recent changes brought to these standards as a way to better support the solar energy industry.

industries↗

High-fidelity retrieval from instantaneous line-of-sight returns of nacelle-mounted lidar including supervised machine learning

Abstract. Wind turbine applications that leverage nacelle-mounted Doppler lidar are hampered by several sources of uncertainty in the lidar measurement, affecting both bias and random errors. Two problems encountered especially for nacelle-mounted lidar are solid interference due to intersection of the line of sight with solid objects behind, within, or in front of the measurement volume and spectral noise due primarily to limited photon capture. These two uncertainties, especially that due to solid interference, can be reduced with high-fidelity retrieval techniques (i.e., including both quality assurance/quality control and subsequent parameter estimation). Our work compares three such techniques, including conventional thresholding, advanced filtering, and a novel application of supervised machine learning with ensemble neural networks, based on their ability to reduce uncertainty introduced by the two observed nonideal spectral features while keeping data availability high. The approach leverages data from a field experiment involving a continuous-wave (CW) SpinnerLidar from the Technical University of Denmark (DTU) that provided scans of a wide range of flows both unwaked and waked by a field turbine. Independent measurements from an adjacent meteorological tower within the sampling volume permit experimental validation of the instantaneous velocity uncertainty remaining after retrieval that stems from solid interference and strong spectral noise, which is a validation that has not been performed previously. All three methods perform similarly for non-interfered returns, but the advanced filtering and machine learning techniques perform better when solid interference is present, which allows them to produce overall standard deviations of error between 0.2 and 0.3 m s−1, or a 1 %–22 % improvement versus the conventional thresholding technique, over the rotor height for the unwaked cases. Between the two improved techniques, the advanced filtering produces 3.5 % higher overall data availability, while the machine learning offers a faster runtime (i.e., ∼ 1 s to evaluate) that is therefore more commensurate with the requirements of real-time turbine control. The retrieval techniques are described in terms of application to CW lidar, though they are also relevant to pulsed lidar. Previous work by the authors (Brown and Herges, 2020) explored a novel attempt to quantify uncertainty in the output of a high-fidelity lidar retrieval technique using simulated lidar returns; this article provides true uncertainty quantification versus independent measurement and does so for three techniques rather than one.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

A Bayesian inferencing framework for ultrasound wave speed measurements in metal additive manufacturing

Process-related changes during metal additive manufacturing introduce microstructural variability in the material properties of printed parts, directly affecting component reliability. Accurate estimation of these property variations with part performance are essential for quality assurance. Ultrasound testing offers a non-destructive means to estimate mechanical properties and detect defects; however, conventional analysis methods often neglect the influence of microstructural variability, limiting their effectiveness. Here, this research presents a Bayesian inference technique for quantifying wave speed uncertainty from ultrasound measurements of metal additive manufactured parts. By integrating prior ultrasound data with a Bayesian model, the proposed approach generates posterior density estimates of wave speed that systematically account for manufacturing-induced variability and uncertainty. The novelty of this research lies in applying a Bayesian framework to analyze experimental ultrasound measurements within the context of metal additive manufacturing variability. The method enhances the accuracy of wave speed estimation by 64%, defect position by 50% and increases confidence associated with wave speed variance by 30% across different porosity levels, thereby providing a robust foundation for improved decision-making and increased reliability in additively manufactured components.

Additive manufacturing↗

Errors introduced in fission neutron spectrum measurements using a single reference

Measurements of physical quantities are often made relative to a reference quantity, simplifying the interpretation of the measurement and its uncertainties. However, if applied without careful considerations, this technique can carry with it a significant and complex systematic error that is usually ignored. For example, measurements of continuous neutron spectra relative to a reference spectrum yield a result that does not properly include the important effects of neutron scattering in the experimental environment. These effects act to distort the measured spectrum shape and create notable errors in spectrum-integrated quantities. While this effect is one of a series of known potential sources of systematic error including, but not limited to target impurities, angular distributions, incident beam flux, and others, the error introduced from differences in environmental scattering effects between the reference and desired spectra are frequently overlooked. In this work, we demonstrate the origin of this error using simulated data corresponding to measurements of the neutron-induced prompt fission neutron spectra of 233 U, 235 U, 238 U, and 239 Pu as well as the spontaneous fission neutron spectrum of 252 Cf. Errors in the spectrum shape can be as high as 10%–15% depending on the combination of incident and outgoing neutron energy. The spectrum integral and average spectrum energy also contain errors that change with incident neutron energy and can be as high as ~2%. Although this study is based on simulated data, we also show a method for proving that this error exists in an experimental data set and we show a correction that can be applied to results of this type to obtain a more accurate result, thereby largely removing systematic errors from environmental scattering effects. The potential for these kinds of errors should be considered in measurements producing continuous neutron spectra.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Use of the Sun to determine pointing of ST radar beams

Verification of the beam pointing direction for ST (stratosphere troposphere) radars is a technically difficult problem. Consequently it is not usually done. For measurement of horizontal wind, the lack of precise knowledge of the beam pointing direction is usually of little consequence as any errors cause only a small uncertainty in the measured velocity. However, instantaneous vertical velocities are typically more than an order of magnitude less than horizontal velocities and average vertical velocities are more than two orders of magnitude less than average horizontal velocities. Hence small pointing errors for vertical beams can result in large errors due to contamination by horizontal winds. Experimental confirmation of pointing accuracy using the measured winds is difficult but has been achieved where horizontal and vertical winds are measured at the same site. Using the techniques described by Balsley and Riddle, 1984 and Riddle and Balsley, 1985, pointing accuracy was measured at Ponape, Federated States of Micronesia. The experiment is described in detail.

Riddle, A. C.↗

Performance assessment of a real water source heat pump within a hardware-in-the-loop (HIL) testing environment

Over the last decade, the global fight against climate change through electrification has led to an increase in research on building heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems that utilize intelligent control algorithms to provide demand-side grid service while also maintaining the thermal comfort of building occupants. As the pivotal point between building electricity consumption and indoor thermal comfort, high-efficiency electrical vapor-compression heat pumps are at the center of these emerging studies, and various grid-interactive and occupant-comfort control algorithms have been developed for them. The impact of these algorithms on heat pump operation and performance when subjected to different weather conditions, building loads, and grid requests calls for investigation and verification via experimental testing with actual heat pumps integrated with real-time building and grid responses. This study introduces a Water-Source Heat Pump (WSHP) Hardware-in-The-Loop (HIL) Test Facility that is the first of its kind. This testbed utilizes a 2-ton variable speed water-to-air heat pump that is capable of interacting with a virtual environment currently comprised of an EnergyPlus (E+) building simulation, an agent-based occupant behavioral model, and a single U-tube ground-loop heat exchanger (GLHE) model. Detailed descriptions of the testbed’s physical design and operation, virtual environment, as well as their mutual communication is provided. An uncertainty analysis is also performed under manufacturer specified heating and cooling design conditions. This analysis shows that the total load across the WSHP’s demand side heat exchanger, i.e., the sum of its latent and sensible components, can be measured with a relative uncertainty of ± 10.4% and ± 3.6% in cooling and heating mode respectively. The WSHP’s coefficient of performance (COP) can be measured with relative uncertainties of ± 10.4% in cooling mode, and ± 3.7% in heating mode. A preliminary 24-h experimental demonstration is then performed utilizing the DOE prototype small commercial office building model in E+. The simulation takes place in Atlanta, GA on the date of 08/26/15 from 12:00 AM to 11:59 PM using TMY3 weather data. Here, the results from this demonstration show that over the course of this experiment the simulated outputs of zone dry-bulb temperature, zone humidity ratio, and WSHP inlet water temperature can be tracked by testbed emulators up to a root mean squared error (RMSE) of ± 0.27 °C, ± 0.376 g/kg, and ± 0.85 °C respectively. The WSHP’s dynamic behavioral characteristics and performance are also captured, and correspond well with the authors’ previous understanding of heat pump efficiency as a function of evaporator and condenser fluid inlet conditions respectively.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Rayleigh Scattering Diagnostic for Dynamic Measurement of Velocity and Temperature

A new technique for measuring dynamic gas velocity and temperature is described. The technique is based on molecular Rayleigh scattering of laser light, so no seeding of the flow is necessary. The Rayleigh scattered light is filtered with a fixed cavity, planar mirror Fabry-Perot interferometer. A minimum number of photodetectors were used in order to allow the high data acquisition rate needed for dynamic measurements. One photomultiplier tube (PMT) was used to measure the total Rayleigh scattering, which is proportional to the gas density. Two additional PMTs were used to detect light that passes through two apertures in a mask located in the interferometer fringe plane. An uncertainty analysis was used to select the optimum aperture parameters and to predict the measurement uncertainty due to photon shot-noise. Results of an experiment to measure the velocity of a subsonic free jet are presented.

Seasholtz, Richard G.↗

OC6 Phase Ia Definition Document: Validation of Nonlinear Hydrodynamic Loading on the DeepCwind Semisubmersible

The objective of OC6 Phase I is to investigate the persistent under-prediction (about 20% on average) of the structural loads in the OC5-DeepCwind floating semisubmersible wind system, as observed within the previous OC5 Phase II project. The OC5 results indicate that much of this under-prediction originates from the low-frequency response of the system at the surge/pitch natural frequencies, resulting from nonlinear hydrodynamic loading and/or overprediction of hydrodynamic damping. This work package therefore focuses on better understanding this low-frequency response behavior, the applicability of computational-fluid-dynamics (CFD) models and engineering-level hydrodynamic models for predicting the nonlinear hydrodynamic loading, and the level of uncertainty in the measured response characteristics. To address these objectives, two experimental campaigns were developed and performed in 2017 and 2018 by a sub-group of the OC5 project: Floating test campaign: A simplified OC5-DeepCwind semisubmersible model (no turbine, rigid tower) was moored to three taut-spring lines and subjected to motion decay and wave tests (regular and irregular waves), during which motion amplitudes of the model were measured (see Figure 1a). The purpose of this test campaign was to examine the repeatability of the low-frequency response of the system to wave excitation and determine the level of uncertainty in the response behavior.Constrained test campaign: The same model, but without the tower present, was fixed to a carriage and subjected to towing, forced oscillation and wave tests (regular and irregular waves), during which forces exerted upon the model were measured (see Figure 1b). The purpose of this test campaign was to examine the hydrodynamic loading contributions by separating the wave excitation and radiation forces. Both model test campaigns were performed in the concept basin of the Maritime Research Institute Netherlands (MARIN) in Wageningen, the Netherlands and the first test was within the framework of the MARINET2 project. Both experimental campaigns were examined within Phase Ia of the OC6 project. The purpose of this report is to supply the needed information to participants of the OC6 project to build and simulate the experimental campaigns.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Measurement of inclusive $J/ψ$ production in Au+Au collisions at $\sqrt{s_{\textrm{NN}}}$ = 54.4 GeV at STAR

This article presents measurements of inclusive J/ψ production at midrapidity (|y| < 1.0) in Au+Au collisions at $\sqrt{s_{\textrm{NN}}}$ = 54.4 GeV with the STAR detector at the Relativistic Heavy Ion Collider. A suppression of the J/ψ yield, quantified using the nuclear modification factors (R AA , R CP ), is observed with respect to the scaled production p + p in collisions. The dependence of R AA on collision centrality and J/ψ transverse momentum is measured with improved precision compared to previous measurements at 39 and 62.4 GeV, while the centrality dependence of R CP is measured and compared to the same results at 39, 62.4, and 200 GeV. In central collisions, no significant collision energy dependence of R AA is found within uncertainties for collision energies between 17.3 and 200 GeV. Two transport model calculations that include dissociation and regeneration contributions are consistent with the experimental results within uncertainties. Although no significant collision energy dependence of the J/ψ suppression in high energy heavy-ion collisions up to $\sqrt{s_{\textrm{NN}}}$ = 200 GeV is observed within uncertainties, the newly measured results at 54.4 GeV Au+Au collisions provide additional constraints on theoretical calculations of the hot medium evolution and cold nuclear matter effects.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

A Precise Physical Orbit For The M-Dwarf Binary Gliese 268

We report high-precision interferometric and radial velocity (RV) observations of the M-dwarf binary Gl 268. Combining measurements conducted using the IOTA interferometer and the ELODIE and Harvard Center for Astrophysics RV instruments leads to a mass of 0.22596 plus-minus 0.00084 Mass compared to the sun for component A and 0.19230 plus-minus 0.00071 Mass compared to the sun for component B. The system parallax as determined by these observations is 0.1560 plus-minus 0.0030 arcsec - a measurement with 1.9% uncertainty in excellent agreement with Hipparcos (0.1572 plus-minus 0.0033). The absolute H-band magnitudes of the component stars are not well constrained by these measurements; however, we can place an approximate upper limit of 7.95 and 8.1 for Gl 268A and B, respectively.We test these physical parameters against the predictions of theoretical models that combine stellar evolution with high fidelity, non-gray atmospheric models. Measured and predicted values are compatible within 2sigma. These results are among the most precise masses measured for visual binaries and compete with the best adaptive optics and eclipsing binary results.

Barry, R. K.↗

Methodology for error analysis and simulation of lidar aerosol measurements

A methodology is presented for objective and automated determination of the uncertainty in lidar aerosol measurements. This methodology is based on standard error-propagation procedures, a large data base on atmospheric behavior, and long experience in lidar data processing. Algebraic expressions for probable error are derived as a function of the relevant parameters. The validity of these expressions is then tested by making simulated measurements and analyses in which random errors of appropriate size are injected at proper steps of the measurement and analysis process. An illustrative example is given where the methodology is applied to a new lidar system now being used for airborne measurements of the stratospheric aerosol.

Russell, P. B.↗

Mass measurements of 60–63 Ga reduce x-ray burst model uncertainties and extend the evaluated T=1 isobaric multiplet mass equation

We report precision mass measurements of neutron-deficient gallium isotopes approaching the proton drip line. The measurements of 60–63 Ga performed with the TITAN multiple-reflection time-of-flight mass spectrometer provide a more than threefold improvement over the current literature mass uncertainty of 61 Ga and mark the first direct mass measurement of 60 Ga. The improved precision of the 61 Ga mass has important implications for the astrophysical rp process, as it constrains essential reaction Q values near the 60 Zn waiting point. Based on calculations with a one-zone model, we demonstrate the impact of the improved mass data on prediction uncertainties of x-ray burst models. The first-time measurement of the 60 Ga ground-state mass establishes the proton-bound nature of this nuclide, thus constraining the location of the proton drip line along this isotopic chain. Including the measured mass of 60 Ga further enables us to extend the evaluated T = 1 isobaric multiplet mass equation up to A = 60.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Methods for LEO Testing of CubeSat Propulsion Systems

Low Earth Orbit is becoming an inexpensive and readily available technology demonstration environment. Many new CubeSat technologies are taking advantage of this as an economical mechanism to advance beyond TRL 5. A wave of CubeSat propulsion systems favoring both reaction control and primary thrust will approach TRL 5 over the coming years, with some already there. These propulsion systems cover a wide range of capabilities including taking CubeSats to interplanetary destinations. In order to determine the feasibility of using LEO to validate the propulsion system performance and in doing so raising the TRL, a variety of factors need to be addressed. These factors include: method of measurement, environmental disturbances, spacecraft control states, and spacecraft mass properties. Propulsion Pathfinder is a NASA Ames Research Center lead project focused on raising the TRL of multiple propulsion systems over a series of flights in the coming years. This paper will highlight a few of the methods of measurement considered by this project to validate the performance of a propulsion system. The measurement methods range from tracking acceleration andor wheel spin-up to monitoring Two Line Elements between thrusting and non thrusting states. Focus will then be placed on the uncertainty of the measurement method and subsequently its feasibility through an analysis of LEO disturbance environment models and common CubeSat mass properties. In addition, the primary spacecraft control states and their imposition from the propulsion system are assessed.

Feasibility↗