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At least 937 records · Page 52

Recent DIII-D progress toward validating models of tungsten erosion, re-deposition, and migration for application to next-step fusion devices

Abstract Fundamental mechanisms governing the erosion and prompt re-deposition of tungsten impurities in tokamak divertors are identified and analyzed to inform the lifetime of tungsten plasma-facing components in ITER and other future devices. Various experiments conducted at DIII-D to benchmark predictive models are presented, leveraging the DiMES removable sample exposure probe capability and the Metal Rings Campaign, in which toroidally symmetric rows of tungsten-coated tiles were installed in the DIII-D divertor. In tokamak divertors, the width of the electric sheath is of the order of the main ion Larmor radius, and a vast majority of sputtered tungsten impurities are typically ionized within the sheath. Therefore, W prompt redeposition is mainly governed by the ratio of the characteristic ionization mean-free path of neutral tungsten to the width of the sheath. In-situ monitoring of the prompt redeposition of tungsten impurities in divertors is demonstrated via the use of WII/WI line ratios and the ionizations/photon (S/XB) method in L-mode discharges. Even with this relatively limited set of emission measurements, net erosion measurements were found to be a consistent upper bound to an analytic scaling based on the ratio of the W ionization length, λ iz , and the width of the magnetic sheath rather than the ratio of λ iz and the W + gyro-radius. In the far-scrape-off layer (SOL) of the ITER divertor, however, it is calculated that the measurement of photon emissions associated with the ionization of tungsten impurities up to W 5 + may be required. Finally, W deposition patterns on DiMES collector probes, interpreted via DIVIMP-WallDYN modelling, reveal the key roles of progressive W erosion/re-deposition staps and E × B drifts in regulating long-range high-Z material migration.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Estimation of conditional cumulative incidence functions under generalized semiparametric regression models with missing covariates, with application to analysis of biomarker correlates in vaccine trials

Herein, this article presents generalized semiparametric regression models for conditional cumulative incidence functions with competing risks data when covariates are missing by sampling design or happenstance. A doubly robust augmented inverse probability weighted (AIPW) complete-case approach to estimation and inference is investigated. This approach modifies IPW complete-case estimating equations by exploiting the key features in the relationship between the missing covariates and the phase-one data to improve efficiency. An iterative numerical procedure is derived to solve the nonlinear estimating equations. The asymptotic properties of the proposed estimators are established. A simulation study examining the finite-sample performances of the proposed estimators shows that the AIPW estimators are more efficient than the IPW estimators. The developed method is applied to the RV144 HIV-1 vaccine efficacy trial to investigate vaccine-induced IgG binding antibodies to HIV-1 as correlates of acquisition of HIV-1 infection while taking account of whether the HIV-1 sequences are near or far from the HIV-1 sequences represented in the vaccine construct.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Global Explainability of A Deep Abstaining Classifier for Cancer Pathology Reports

We present a global explainability method to characterize sources of errors in a real-world multitask deep abstaining classifier (DAC), in the context of cancer histology prediction. Our multitask classifier, currently deployed for automated annotation of cancer pathology reports from NCI-SEER registries, was trained and evaluated on 1.04 million hand-annotated samples and makes simultaneous predictions of cancer site, subsite, histology, laterality, and behavior for each report. The DAC framework enables the model to abstain on ambiguous reports and confusing classes to achieve the target accuracy on the retained (non-abstained) samples, but at the cost of decreased coverage. Requiring 97% accuracy on the histology task caused our model to retain only 22% of all samples, mostly the less ambiguous and common classes. Local explainability with the GradInp technique provided a computationally efficient way of obtaining contextual reasoning for hundreds of thousands of individual predictions. Our method, involving dimensionality reduction of approximately 13000 aggregated local explanations (ALE), offers a tractable path to true global explainability. It enabled identification of sources of errors in histology classification, globally, as hierarchical complexity among classes, label noise, insufficient information, and conflicting evidence. This suggests several strategies for iterative improvement of our DAC, including well-designed exclusion criteria, focused annotation, and reduced penalties for errors involving hierarchically related classes.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Multiphysics Co-Optimization Design and Analysis of Double-Side Cooled Silicon Carbide-Based Power Module: Preprint

With the rapid growth of Electric Vehicles (EVs) and Hybrid Electric Vehicles (HEVs), much more rigorous design targets have been set for automotive power electronics, including high power density, high reliability, and low cost. Novel power module and inverter technologies based on wide bandgap (WEG) semiconductors have been developed to meet these design targets, while providing optimal power semiconductor operating temperature and promising thermomechanical performance. Compared with conventional cooling techniques which are normally applied only on one side of power module, double-side cooling approach is now believed to be the solution to enable high power density and low thermal resistance of WEG semiconductor-based power electronics. In this work, we develop a three-phase power module that is double-sided cooled using dielectric fluid jet impingement. In each phase, four silicon carbide (SiC) power semiconductors are bonded to copper busbars without electrical insulation layers. A finite element analysis (FEA) model is created for thermal and thermomechanical analysis. Based on FEA modeling results, we select particular dimensions for a parametric study to optimize thermal and mechanical performance. Using a multi-objective genetic algorithm (MOGA)-based optimization method, we have minimized the maximum junction temperature and thermal stresses within the power module. The multiphysics co-optimization approach has enabled an efficient design process of power modules with greatly reduced computational cost, as compared to conventional processes that rely on exhaustive numerical simulations and iterations.

ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Multigrid Reduction in Time for Chaotic Dynamical Systems

As CPU clock speeds have stagnated and high performance computers continue to have ever higher core counts, increased parallelism is needed to take advantage of these new architectures. Traditional serial time-marching schemes can be a significant bottleneck, as many types of simulations require large numbers of time-steps which must be computed sequentially. Parallel-in-time schemes, such as the Multigrid Reduction in Time (MGRIT) method, remedy this by parallelizing across time-steps and have shown promising results for parabolic problems. However, chaotic problems have proved more difficult, since chaotic initial value problems (IVPs) are inherently ill-conditioned. MGRIT relies on a hierarchy of successively coarser time-grids to iteratively correct the solution on the finest time-grid, but due to the nature of chaotic systems, small inaccuracies on the coarser levels can be greatly magnified and lead to poor coarse-grid corrections. Here we introduce a modified MGRIT algorithm based on an existing quadratically converging nonlinear extension to the multigrid Full Approximation Scheme (FAS), as well as a novel time-coarsening scheme. Together, these approaches better capture long-term chaotic behavior on coarse-grids and greatly improve convergence of MGRIT for chaotic IVPs. Further, we introduce a novel low-memory variant of the algorithm for solving chaotic PDEs with MGRIT which not only solves the IVP, but also provides estimates for the unstable Lyapunov vectors of the system. Finally, we provide supporting numerical results for the Lorenz system and demonstrate parallel speedup for the chaotic Kuramoto–Sivashinsky PDE over a significantly longer time-domain than in previous works.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

AGGREGATE: dAta-driven modelinG preservinG contRollable dEr for outaGe mAnagemenT and rEsiliency (Report for Task 10: Controllability and Observability Analysis (Deliverable D7))

It is common to have less than full observability for distribution systems, as the number of available measurements are not sufficient. Considering increasing penetration of distributed energy resources (DERs), it is imperative to understand and control distribution systems better. Developed for the transmission system, the original numerical observability analysis methods were based on the canonical DC Power Flow (DC-PF) model. However, the DC-PF model is ill-suited for the distribution system in which line resistance to reactance (R/X) ratios can be near unity. In this report, we apply the non-iterative Observability Test (OT) and Observable Island Identification Procedure (OIIP) in to the gain matrix from the distribution system state estimator. Because sensors are few in distribution systems, pseudo-measurements based on historical load profiles and zero-injection virtual measurements are often employed to ensure observability. However, both the observability and the accuracy of the state estimates are uncertain when historical data is limited/unavailable.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Development and transferability of neural-network models for plasma-surface interactions

Plasma-surface interactions are increasingly critical to modern technologies; yet, accurate molecular dynamics simulations remain limited by the capabilities of interatomic potentials. Deep Potentials (DPs) promise to revolutionize the field by providing a systematic method for producing accurate interatomic potentials. The primary challenge of DP development is selecting a dataset, which efficiently spans the set of atomic environments one expects to encounter in the subsequent molecular dynamics simulations. The computational cost of density functional theory calculations, which are the typical basis for DP development, makes it impossible to directly verify the quality of a given DP. To address this challenge, we explore the development of a deep-learned interatomic potential, “DeepREBO,” trained to reproduce the behavior of the REBO2 empirical potential, enabling direct validation of training methodology and transferability. Using an active learning framework, we begin with a minimal dataset and iteratively expand it to train a Deep Potential-Smooth Edition model that faithfully reproduces REBO2 results for 25 eV hydrogen bombardment of diamond (001), a particularly challenging case. We show that small, carefully curated datasets can outperform large, unguided ones, with effective models requiring fewer than 15 000 snapshots. Subsequent transferability tests demonstrate that while DeepREBO generalizes well to diamond (111) surfaces, performance degrades for amorphous carbon or higher-energy impacts, highlighting the need for use-case-specific training data. We also evaluate methods to improve short-range repulsion. This study outlines best practices for training robust deep potentials and underscores the importance of dataset design for predictive plasma simulations.

Ab-initio molecular dynamics↗

A graph-based network for predicting chemical reaction pathways in solid-state materials synthesis

Abstract Accelerated inorganic synthesis remains a significant challenge in the search for novel, functional materials. Many of the principles which enable “synthesis by design” in synthetic organic chemistry do not exist in solid-state chemistry, despite the availability of extensive computed/experimental thermochemistry data. In this work, we present a chemical reaction network model for solid-state synthesis constructed from available thermochemistry data and devise a computationally tractable approach for suggesting likely reaction pathways via the application of pathfinding algorithms and linear combination of lowest-cost paths in the network. We demonstrate initial success of the network in predicting complex reaction pathways comparable to those reported in the literature for YMnO 3 , Y 2 Mn 2 O 7 , Fe 2 SiS 4 , and YBa 2 Cu 3 O 6.5 . The reaction network presents opportunities for enabling reaction pathway prediction, rapid iteration between experimental/theoretical results, and ultimately, control of the synthesis of solid-state materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Leveraging Randomized Compiling for the QITE Algorithm

The success of the current generation of Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum (NISQ) hardware shows that quantum hardware may be able to tackle complex problems even without error correction. One outstanding issue is that of coherent errors arising from the increased complexity of these devices. These errors can accumulate through a circuit, making their impact on algorithms hard to predict and mitigate. Iterative algorithms like Quantum Imaginary Time Evolution are susceptible to these errors. This article presents the combination of both noise tailoring using Randomized Compiling and error mitigation with a purification. We also show that Cycle Benchmarking gives an estimate of the reliability of the purification. We apply this method to the Quantum Imaginary Time Evolution of a Transverse Field Ising Model and report an energy estimation and a ground state infidelity both below 1\%. Our methodology is general and can be used for other algorithms and platforms. We show how combining noise tailoring and error mitigation will push forward the performance of NISQ devices.

Ville, Jean-Loup↗

Randomized Preconditioned Solvers for Strong Constraint 4D-Var Data Assimilation

The Strong Constraint 4D Variational (SC-4DVAR) data assimilation method is widely used in climate and weather applications. SC-4DVAR involves solving a minimization problem to compute the maximum a posteriori estimate, which we tackle using the Gauss-Newton method. The computation of the descent direction is expensive since it involves the solution of a large-scale and potentially ill-conditioned linear system, solved using the preconditioned conjugate gradient (PCG) method. Here, to address this cost, we efficiently construct scalable preconditioners using three different randomization techniques, which all rely on a certain low-rank structure involving the Gauss-Newton Hessian. The proposed techniques come with theoretical guarantees on the condition number, and at the same time, are amenable to parallelization. We also develop an adaptive approach to estimate the sketch size and choose between the reuse or recomputation of the preconditioner. We demonstrate the performance and effectiveness of our methodology on two representative model problems—the Burgers and barotropic vorticity equation—showing a drastic reduction in both the number of PCG iterations and the number of Gauss-Newton Hessian products after including the preconditioner construction cost.

Gauss-Newton↗

Multiscale formulation of frictional contact mechanics at the pore scale

Direct numerical simulation (DNS) yields the highest fidelity predictions of mechanical deformation at the pore scale, but is prohibitively expensive for analyzing large or many samples. Discrete element methods (DEM) are an efficient alternative, but are limited to granular media and incapable of estimating or controlling prediction errors. We present a pore-level multiscale method (PLMM) that approximates DNS efficiently and with controllable accuracy. We focus on the linear elastic response of a consolidated geologic porous medium with arbitrary microstructure, heterogeneous mineralogy, containing cracks or defects. PLMM decomposes the solid phase into non-overlapping subdomains, on which local basis functions are constructed. The bases are then coupled with a global interface problem that accounts for slip or stick contact conditions between the subdomains. PLMM produces an initial, but accurate, approximation to DNS that can be iteratively improved. It is amenable to parallelism and allows for different mesh, models, and physics in each subdomain. An algebraic interpretation of PLMM as a preconditioner is also presented to allow non-intrusive implementation into existing solvers. Lastly, this work extends previous developments of PLMM in fluid dynamics to solid mechanics and enables future extensions towards modeling coupled flow and mechanics problems.

42 ENGINEERING↗

A modified model parametrization algorithm for solving a special type of heat and mass transfer systems

A new method for solving nonlinear heat and mass transfer design tasks was considered. Systems using the Number of Transfer Units (NTU) method are a special type of mathematical model of heat and mass exchangers. It was observed, that the NTU models in a form of differential-algebraic equations (DAEs) cannot be directly solved with higher values of NTU. The requirements for consistent initial conditions, as well as numerical limitations of DAEs solvers, result, that the solution to the considered design problems that cannot be obtained by a classical direct shooting procedure. To overcome the presented difficulties, the αDAE model optimization algorithm was adjusted for solving NTU-based models. The new approach consists of 3 main steps: 1) task discretization by a multiple-shooting approach, 2) design an appropriate function $f_{NTU}$(α) to effectively influence the variability of the state variables described by dynamical relations, 3) the iterative numerical optimization algorithm for the new parametrized system. Moreover, computations can be performed by a chosen numerical optimization approach, which can be communicated with an available outer procedure for solving differential-algebraic equations. The presented algorithm was implemented and applied to solve the design task with the NTU model of a counter-flow exchanger. Here, the new approach was used to modify the system dynamics to influence the difficulty of the considered problem. Finally, the presented method enabled failure-free numerical computations for the higher values of the NTU parameter.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Time-discretization of a plasma-neutral MHD model with a semi-implicit leapfrog algorithm

The semi-implicit leapfrog time-discretization is a workhorse algorithm for initial-value MHD codes to bridge between vastly separated time scales. Inclusion of atomic interactions with neutrals breaks the functional structure of the MHD equations that exploited by the leapfrog. In this work, we address how to best integrate atomic physics into the semi-implicit leapfrog. Following the Crank-Nicolson method, one approach is to time-center the atomic interactions in the linear solver and use a Newton method to include the nonlinear contributions. Alternatively, another family of methods are based on operator-splitting the terms associated with the atomic interactions using a Strang-splitting technique. These methods naturally break equations into constituent ODE and PDE parts and preserve the structure exploited by the semi-implicit leapfrog. We study the accuracy and efficiency of these methods through a battery of 0D and 1D cases and show that a second-order-in-time Douglas-Rachford inspired coupling between the ODE and PDE advances is effective in reducing the time-discretization error to be comparable to that of Crank-Nicolson with Newton iteration of the nonlinear terms. Splitting ODE and PDE parts results in independent matrix solves for each field which reduces the computational cost considerably and provides parallelization over species relative to Crank-Nicolson.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Construction of approximate invariants for nonintegrable Hamiltonian systems

We present a method to construct high-order polynomial approximate invariants (AI) for nonintegrable Hamiltonian dynamical systems and apply it to a modern ring-based particle accelerator. Taking advantage of a special property of one-turn transformation maps expressed as square matrices, AIs can be constructed order by order iteratively. Evaluating AI with simulation data, we observe that AI’s fluctuation is actually a measure of chaos. Through minimizing the fluctuations, the stable region of long-term motions, i.e., the dynamic aperture of the accelerator, could be enlarged.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Multiscale thermal hydraulic coupling methods for boiling water reactor simulation

During the last two years, the Virtual Environment for Reactor Applications (VERA) has been extended to simulate boiling water reactors (BWRs). The thermal hydraulic effects present in BWRs are far more complex than those in pressurized water reactors (PWRs). Therefore, the runtime is significantly increase and convergence behavior worse compared to PWRs. Most of the additional runtime is spent during the first few coupled iterations, when the power shape is still rapidly evolving, dramatically affecting the thermal hydraulics (TH). To alleviate the increased computational expense, a multiscale TH coupling approach was developed in VERA in which a highly efficient, simplified TH model is solved for several coupled iterations until the power shape is partially converged. The simplified solution is used to inform the assembly-wise flow distribution in the high-fidelity TH solver CTF, reducing the amount of work required to properly balance the pressure drop in each channel and reducing runtime for the couple calculation. Because the final TH calculations are performed with CTF, there is ultimately no impact on the accuracy of the converged solution. This paper presents the details of this multiscale TH coupling approach, along with results for a 4x4 array of GE-14 fuel bundles and whole-core coupled simulations of the Hatch core. These two cases show that the multiscale approach dramatically reduces the runtime of coupled BWR simulations. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

LandScan Mosaic

The LandScan program at Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), in collaboration with the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency (NGA), continues to deliver the most accurate and up to date global, high resolution gridded population data. Additionally, the latest advancements in the LandScan HD methodology led to reduced latency in development of rapid updates for geopolitical events. With momentum towards reporting more up to date population estimates, feedback from the user community expressed interest in reporting population estimates in ranges - whether to express a level of uncertainty or confirm to leadership and stakeholders the modeled data are estimates. Building upon the need to understand uncertainty or confidence in the modeled data and report ranges at the global scale, LandScan Mosaic was developed. LandScan Mosaic represents the next generation of high-resolution population modeling, building upon the established success of previous LandScan HD iterations. While LandScan HD employed a deterministic big data fusion approach, LandScan Mosaic enhances this methodology by integrating advanced machine learning techniques to impute missing, yet crucial, population model parameters. This advancement allows for probabilistic modeling of building occupancy and population distribution, incorporating uncertainty quantification through Monte Carlo sampling methods. By combining big data fusion with machine learning-driven imputation and stochastic modeling, LandScan Mosaic provides a more comprehensive and robust representation of population dynamics. LandScan Mosaic will be following the in the footsteps of its longstanding counterpart LandScan Global and releasing a global gridded population raster, at the 3-arcsecond resolution. This technical report documents the current stage of development of LandScan Mosaic, detailing the methodologies and data sources behind the modeling. Stakeholders are encouraged to use this document as an authoritative reference for insight into Mosaic’s data development processes. However, readers should note that LandScan Mosaic remains in a late-stage research and development phase, and methodologies and data presented here are subject to refinements ahead of the anticipated global release in Summer 2025. Feedback and inquiries from users and stakeholders are welcomed as we continue to refine and enhance this important population resource.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

A multisite decomposition of the tensor network path integrals

Tensor network decompositions of path integrals for simulating open quantum systems have recently been proven to be useful. However, these methods scale exponentially with the system size. This makes it challenging to simulate the non-equilibrium dynamics of extended quantum systems coupled with local dissipative environments. In this work, we extend the tensor network path integral (TNPI) framework to efficiently simulate such extended systems. The Feynman–Vernon influence functional is a popular approach used to account for the effect of environments on the dynamics of the system. In order to facilitate the incorporation of the influence functional into a multisite framework (MS-TNPI), we combine a matrix product state (MPS) decomposition of the reduced density tensor of the system along the sites with a corresponding tensor network representation of the time axis to construct an efficient 2D tensor network. The 2D MS-TNPI network, when contracted, yields the time-dependent reduced density tensor of the extended system as an MPS. The algorithm presented is independent of the system Hamiltonian. We outline an iteration scheme to take the simulation beyond the non-Markovian memory introduced by solvents. Applications to spin chains coupled to local harmonic baths are presented; we consider the Ising, XXZ, and Heisenberg models, demonstrating that the presence of local environments can often dissipate the entanglement between the sites. We discuss three factors causing the system to transition from a coherent oscillatory dynamics to a fully incoherent dynamics. The MS-TNPI method is useful for studying a variety of extended quantum systems coupled with solvents.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Modifying the Asynchronous Jacobi Method for Data Corruption Resilience

Moving scientific computation from high-performance computing (HPC) and cloud computing (CC) environments to devices on the edge, i.e., physically near instruments of interest, has received tremendous interest in recent years. Such edge computing environments can operate on data in situ, offering enticing benefits over data aggregation to HPC and CC facilities that include avoiding costs of transmission, increased data privacy, and real-time data analysis. Because of the inherent unreliability of edge computing environments, new fault-tolerant approaches must be developed before the benefits of edge computing can be realized. Motivated by algorithm-based fault tolerance, a variant of the asynchronous Jacobi (ASJ) method is developed that achieves resilience to data corruption by rejecting solution approximations from neighbor devices according to a bound derived from convergence theory. Numerical results on a two-dimensional Poisson problem show that the new rejection criterion, along with a novel approximation to the shortest path length on which the criterion depends, restores convergence for the ASJ variant in the presence of certain types data corruption. Numerical results are obtained for when the singular values in the analytic bound are approximated. Additional linear systems are also explored, one with a more dense sparsity pattern and one that includes advection. All results indicate that successful resilience to data corruption depends on whether the bound tightens fast enough to reject corrupted data before the iteration evolution deviates significantly from that predicted by the convergence theory defining the bound. This observation generalizes to future work on algorithm-based fault tolerance for other asynchronous algorithms, including upcoming approaches that leverage Krylov subspaces.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗