Data-Driven Model-Form Uncertainty with Bayesian Statistics and Neural Differential Equations.
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The major research goal of this project was to understand and quantify the fate of carbon stored in permafrost ecosystems using a combination of field and laboratory experiments to measure and model isotope ratios and carbon fluxes in a tundra ecosystem exposed to experimental warming. Field measurements centered on a two-factor experimental warming to increase air and soil temperatures alone, and in combination, at a tundra field site in Alaska. A second manipulation of water table was embedded within the warming treatment such that both major environmental factors (temperature, moisture) controlling ecosystem carbon dynamics were experimentally altered. The experiment was interfaced with modeling activities using both data assimilation and forward modeling approaches. Models were used to make forecasts of ecosystem carbon dynamics beyond the time frame and environmental space of the experiment itself. This project was a follow-on to previous work that made use of the same field manipulation; here we continued the experimental manipulation in order to test new hypotheses regarding long-term effects of warming and permafrost thaw and subsequent changes in moisture availability on ecosystem carbon dynamics. These results were linked with ongoing synthesis and model intercomparison activities through the Permafrost Carbon Network, which led to additional synthesis publications as a result of collaboration and data sharing from this project. As key outcomes, this project has produced new papers published in the peer-reviewed literature, archived datasets used for model-data intercomparisons, trained graduate students and postdoctoral researchers, and has raised awareness about the vulnerability of permafrost carbon to a wider audience.
High speed analog-to-digital converters (ADC), switched-capacitor delay elements, and pulsed radio frequency (RF) systems all require switches in the signal path operating at high switching speeds, providing low resistance when enabled, and providing high signal isolation when disabled. In semiconductor technologies such as CMOS, the enabled state resistance directly scales with the sizing of the switch device, where a larger width switch provides a lower enabled state resistance. As the device width is increased, so is the capacitance formed between the gate, drain, and source of the device.
The goal of fusion energy is to produce significantly more energy from fusion reactions than is input into the device. One of the products of fusion reactions is neutrons, which, due to their lack of charge, provide a unique view into the parameters of the device. Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) in collaboration with the University of California, Berkeley (UCB) have designed, assembled, and fielded a robust and portable neutron detection system known as PANDA (Portable and Adaptable Neutron Diagnostics for ARPA-E). This detector suite consists of three LaBr activation detectors that are calibrated to give a total neutron yield on shot, and twenty-four scintillators coupled to photo-multiplier tubes (SPMT). The SPMTs can be configured to attain spatial, temporal and/or energy information from fusion neutrons. The system was designed to be portable and is compartmentalized so that individual components can be used at different fusion facilities. During the duration of this work, part of the system was installed at the FuZE facility, a part of Zap Energy. Another component was installed that the CESZAR facility at the University of California, San Diego (UCSD) to support experiments by Magneto-Inertial Fusion Technologies, Inc. (MIFTI). The diagnostics were successful at both locations and the LLNL/UCB team supported the data analysis by creating and running analysis scripts and Monte-Carlo calculations. At Zap Energy the diagnostics demonstrated that the fusion from the FuZE device is thermonuclear in nature, a result that resulted in an invited talk at the American Physical Society Division of Plasma Physics and an invited paper. Additionally, temporal and spatial data was taken using the SPMTs to understand the duration and length of fusion production. At UCSD the neutron yield from the diagnostics was used to show improvements to fusion yields on their gas puff Z-pinch when using a gas shell surrounding the fuel. The success in this diagnostic has led to continued work at both Zap Energy and MIFTI, as well as follow on funding and interest at other fusion energy companies.
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Results obtained during the CCI internship during summer 2024, the project involved using DSC on the newly developed HEAs.
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