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At least 937 records · Page 52

Dynamic and static initialization of a mesoscale model using VAS satellite data

Various mesoscale weather forecast model initialization procedures were tested in seven simulation forecasts for a 12 hr period in July 1981. Attention was given to the impacts of using as input radiosonde data, VISSR Atmospheric Sounder (VAS) data and a combination of VAS and data from a smoothed global analysis. The data were assimilated with successive correction objective analysis procedures. The model had a 60 km horizontal grid-length resolution, 14 layers in the vertical, and accounted for short- and long-wave energy in the surface energy budget but not in the atmosphere. Conventional data were used for the mass and moisture fields. The trials showed that VAS data enhanced the predictions of the temperature and mass variables, while winds were least accurately predicted when VAS data were entered in the initializations. Finally, statically initialized precipitation forecasts from radiosonde and/or VAS data exhibited equal skill.

Beauchamp, J. G.↗

Estimating noise levels of remotely sensed measurements from satellites using spatial structure analysis

A technique is presented whereby the noise level of satellite measurements of the atmosphere and earth can be estimated. The technique analyzes a spatial array of data measured by a satellite instrument. A minimum of about 200 satellite measurements is required, preferably in a regular pattern. Statistical structure analysis is used to describe a combination of the mean gradient and noise in the data. The noise level is then estimated by separating out the gradient information and leaving only the noise. Results are presented for four satellite sounding instruments, and effective blackbody or brightness temperature noise levels were compared to prelaunch specifications or inflight calibrations for each instrument. Comparisons showed that in the absence of cloud-contaminated measurements (in the case of infrared data) and away from the highly variable ground surface, the noise level of various satellite instruments can be obtained without the need for calibration data. The noise levels imply how much spatial averaging is possible, without smearing the detected geophysical gradient, and how much is necessary, to meet the absolute signal accuracy requirements for the intended use of the satellite measurements.

Hillger, Donald W.↗

Data Fusion With Uncertainty Quantification for Sub-City-Scale Air Quality Assessment and Forecasting

Many information sources can support air quality assessment and forecasting, including atmospheric chemistry model outputs, satellite retrievals of column chemical and aerosol constituents, and surface-based air quality monitoring data from both regulatory and low-cost instruments. Systematic integration of these data sources provides a major opportunity to improve understanding and management of air quality, but also presents technical barriers, especially in resource- and data-constrained settings in the Global South. This presentation describes a data fusion system, currently under development using the Google Earth Engine platform, which aims to integrate the information sources listed above to support comprehensive sub-city-scale assessment and management of air quality. Furthermore, the data fusion framework includes provisions for the quantification of uncertainties in the resulting fused estimates based on the variability of and among the input data sources. These capabilities will allow air quality managers to better understand their local air quality situation, including relative confidence in the fused estimates for different constituents, locations, and times, leading to better informed air quality management decisions. This presentation covers the underlying methodology of the data fusion and uncertainty quantification approaches, provides an update on the status of its implementation, and presents early qualitative and quantitative results.

Carl Malings↗

Cloud Masking and Surface Temperature Distribution in the Polar Regions Using AVHRR and other Satellite Data

Surface temperature is one of the key variables associated with weather and climate. Accurate measurements of surface air temperatures are routinely made in meteorological stations around the world. Also, satellite data have been used to produce synoptic global temperature distributions. However, not much attention has been paid on temperature distributions in the polar regions. In the polar regions, the number of stations is very sparse. Because of adverse weather conditions and general inaccessibility, surface field measurements are also limited. Furthermore, accurate retrievals from satellite data in the region have been difficult to make because of persistent cloudiness and ambiguities in the discrimination of clouds from snow or ice. Surface temperature observations are required in the polar regions for air-sea-ice interaction studies, especially in the calculation of heat, salinity, and humidity fluxes. They are also useful in identifying areas of melt or meltponding within the sea ice pack and the ice sheets and in the calculation of emissivities of these surfaces. Moreover, the polar regions are unique in that they are the sites of temperature extremes, the location of which is difficult to identify without a global monitoring system. Furthermore, the regions may provide an early signal to a potential climate change because such signal is expected to be amplified in the region due to feedback effects. In cloud free areas, the thermal channels from infrared systems provide surface temperatures at relatively good accuracies. Previous capabilities include the use of the Temperature Humidity Infrared Radiometer (THIR) onboard the Nimbus-7 satellite which was launched in 1978. Current capabilities include the use of the Advance Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) aboard NOAA satellites. Together, these two systems cover a span of 16 years of thermal infrared data. Techniques for retrieving surface temperatures with these sensors in the polar regions have been developed. Errors have been estimated to range from 1K to 5K mainly due to cloud masking problems. With many additional channels available, it is expected that the EOS-Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) will provide an improved characterization of clouds and a good discrimination of clouds from snow or ice surfaces.

Comiso, Joey C.↗

Seven Years of Observations of Mid-Tropospheric CO2 from the Atmospheric Infrared Sounder

The Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) on the EOS Aqua Spacecraft was launched on May 4, 2002. AIRS acquires hyperspectral infrared radiances in the 3.7-15.4 um spectral region with spectral resolution of better than 1200. The AIRS was designed to measure temperature and water vapor profiles and cloud properties for improvement in weather forecast and improved parameterization of climate processes. Currently the AIRS Level 1B Radiance Products are assimilated by NWP centers and have shown considerable forecast improvement. Scientists have also demonstrated accurate retrievals of minor gases from AIRS including Carbon Monoxide, Methane, and Ozone. The excellent sensitivity and stability of the AIRS instrument has recently allowed the AIRS team to successfully retrieve Carbon Dioxide (CO2) concentrations in the mid-troposphere (8-10 km) with a horizontal resolution of 100 km and accuracy of 1-2 ppm. The AIRS retrieves over 15,000 measurements per day and can achieve full global coverage in 30 days. The AIRS CO2 accuracy has been validated against a variety of aircraft measurements in the mid-troposphere and upward looking interferometers. Findings from the AIRS data include higher than expected variability in the mid-troposphere, the presence of a belt of CO2 in the southern hemisphere, and numerous observations of atmospheric circulation including the effects of El Nino/La Nina on the CO2 concentrations in the mid-troposphere. The full mid-tropospheric AIRS CO2 data set is now available at the NASA GES/DISC for almost eight years since AIRS has been operational.

carbon dioxide↗

Theory of optimal weighting of data to detect climatic change

A search for climatic change predicted by climate models can easily yield unconvincing results because of 'climatic noise,' the inherent, unpredictable variability of time-average atmospheric data. A weighted average of data that maximizes the probability of detecting predicted climatic change is presented. To obtain the optimal weights, an estimate of the covariance matrix of the data from a prior data set is needed. This introduces additional sampling error into the method. This is presently taken into account. A form of the weighted average is found whose probability distribution is independent of the true (but unknown) covariance statistics of the data and of the climate model prediction.

Bell, T. L.↗

The Shape of Long Outbursts in U Gem Type Dwarf Novae from AAVSO Data

We search the American Association of Variable Star Observers (AAVSO) archives of the two best studied dwarf novae in an attempt to find light curves for long out bursts that are extremely well-characterized. The systems are U Gem and S8 Cyg. Our goal is to search for embedded precursors such as those that have been found recently in the high fidelity Kepler data for superoutbursts of some members of the 8U UMa subclass of dwarf novae. For the vast majority of AAV80 data, the combination of low data cadence and large errors associated with individual measurements precludes one from making any strong statement about the shape of the long outbursts. However, for a small number of outbursts, extensive long term monitoring with digital photometry yields high fidelity light curves. We report the finding of embedded precursors in two of three candidate long outbursts. This reinforces van Paradijs' finding that long outbursts in dwarf novae above the period gap and superoutbursts in systems below the period gap constitute a unified class. The thermal-tidal instability to account for superoutbursts in the SU UMa stars predicts embedded precursors only for short orbital period dwarf novae, therefore the presence of embedded precursors in long orbital period systems - U Gem and SS Cyg - argues for a more general mechanism to explain long outbursts.

Cannizzo, John K.↗

Analytical and flight investigation of the influence of rotor and other high-order dynamics on helicopter flight-control system bandwidth

The increasing use of highly augmented digital flight-control systems in modern military helicopters prompted an examination of the influence of rotor dynamics and other high-order dynamics on control-system performance. A study was conducted at NASA Ames Research Center to correlate theoretical predictions of feedback gain limits in the roll axis with experimental test data obtained from a variable-stability research helicopter. Feedback gains, the break frequency of the presampling sensor filter, and the computational frame time of the flight computer were systematically varied. The results, which showed excellent theoretical and experimental correlation, indicate that the rotor-dynamics, sensor-filter, and digital-data processing delays can severely limit the usable values of the roll-rate and roll-attitude feedback gains.

Chen, R. T. N.↗

Influence of high-order dynamics on helicopter flight-control system bandwidth

The increasing use of highly augmented digital flight-control systems in modern military helicopters prompted an examination of the influence of the influence of rotor dynamics and other high-order dynamics on control-system performance. A study was conducted at NASA Ames Research Center to correlate theoretical predictions of feedback gain limits in the roll axis with experimental test data obtained from a variable-stability research helicopter. Feedback gains, the break frequency of the presampling sensor filter, and the computational frame time of the flight computer were systematically varied. The results, which showed excellent theoretical and experimental correlation, indicate that the rotor-dynamics, sensor-filter, and digital-data processing delays can severely limit the usable values of the roll-rate and roll-attitude feedback gains.

Chen, R. T. N.↗

Creep Testing of Vectran Yarn

NASA and industry are developing inflatable space structures to provide deployable habitable volumes for future exploration missions in space and on the surface of the Moon and Mars. These structures must withstand the constant pressure loading of multi-year missions. These missions therefore require excellent creep resistance in the constituent cordage and webbings that provide the primary structure of the vessel, which is typically constructed using high-strength synthetic materials such as Vectran. Real-time and accelerated creep testing of Vectran webbings has been performed at NASA Langley Research Center (LaRC), however, acceptable correlation between the results of the two approaches has not yet been achieved. Given the additional complexity of the webbing architecture, creep testing at the yarn level is being studied to reduce the number of interacting properties and focus on the core creep behavior to see if better correlation can be achieved between real-time and accelerated tests. To achieve this objective a creep test stand that is able to support simultaneous testing of five Vectran yarns had been previously designed and built. The test stand utilizes two clamp-wrap grips to mount the yarn and has a 10:1 load ratio, via a lever-arm, henceforth, known as the lever-arm test stand. Real-time creep testing (without measuring the strain of the yarn) in this fixture produces yarn ruptures in the gauge section. However, a large scatter in the times to failure was seen in the results across multiple loading conditions. For example, a test at 70% of the ultimate tensile strength (UTS) was found to have specimens that failed within a matter of hours and others that took over 6 weeks to fail. Prior test data on Vectran webbings had indicated high variability in the material strength, leading to higher than average scatter in the creep testing of webbings, which could translate to the scatter in creep behavior at the yarn level as well. However, there was still the possibility that the lever-arm test stand was causing the high scatter in data; specifically, due to potential variability in the loading of each specimen. Therefore, an additional creep test setup was designed and built to attempt to determine if the large scatter in the results was due to inherent material properties, the lever-arm test stand, or both. The newly designed creep test stand, henceforth known as the conventional test stand, utilized the more typical method for creep testing which involved hanging a weight from the yarn with no additional load amplification. The conventional test stand was designed and fabricated in-house at LaRC. High speed cameras were used to validate that the specimens in the conventional test stand failed in the gauge section. Once it was determined that the conventional test stand would provide valid failures in the gauge section, creep tests on the Vectran yarns were run to compare to the lever-arm test stand results. Preliminary results for a 70% UTS creep test have some specimens failing within a number of hours and some failing in excess of 6 weeks. These results are similar to those seen on the lever-arm test stand, pointing towards a large variability inherent in the material. The poster/presentation will focus on the design, fabrication, and validation of the conventional test stand as well as present preliminary results comparing the creep data from the conventional and lever-arm test stands

creep testing↗

Drop Size Distribution Measurements Supporting the NASA Global Precipitation Measurement Mission: Infrastructure and Preliminary Results

Global Precipitation Measurement Mission (GPM) retrieval algorithm validation requires datasets that characterize the 4-D structure, variability, and correlation properties of hydrometeor particle size distributions (PSD) and accumulations over satellite fields of view (5 -- 50 km). Key to this process is the combined use of disdrometer and polarimetric radar platforms. Here the disdrometer measurements serve as a reference for up-scaling dual-polarimetric radar observations of the PSD to the much larger volumetric sampling domain of the radar. The PSD observations thus derived provide a much larger data set for assessing DSD variability, and satellite-based precipitation retrieval algorithm assumptions, in all three spatial dimensions for a range of storm types and seasons. As one component of this effort, the GPM Ground Validation program recently acquired five 3rd generation 2D Video disdrometers as part of its Disdrometer and Radar Observations of Precipitation Facility (DROP), currently hosted in northern Alabama by the NASA Marshall Space Flight Center and the University of Alabama in Huntsville. These next-generation 2DVDs were operated and evaluated in different phases of data collection under the scanning domain of the UAH ARMOR C-band dual-polarimetric radar. During this period approximately 7500 minutes of PSD data were collected and processed to create gamma size distribution parameters using a truncated method of moments approach. After creating the gamma parameter datasets the DSDs were then used as input to T-matrix code for computation of polarimetric radar moments at C-band. The combined dataset was then analyzed with two basic objectives in mind: 1) the investigation of seasonal variability in the rain PSD parameters as observed by the 2DVDs; 2) the use of combined polarimetric moments and observed gamma distribution parameters in a functional form to retrieve PSD parameters in 4-D using the ARMOR radar for precipitation occurring in different seasons and for different rain system types. Preliminary results suggest that seasonal variations in the DSD parameters do occur, but are most pronounced when comparing tropical PSDs to either winter or summer convective precipitation. For example the previously documented shift to relatively smaller drop diameters in higher number concentrations for equivalent rain rate bins was observed in tropical storm rainbands occurring over Huntsville. On a more inter seasonal basis empirical fits between parameters such as D0 and ZDR do not appear to exhibit robust seasonal biases- i.e., one fit seems to work for all seasons within acceptable standard error (O[10%]) for estimates of D0. In polarimetric retrievals of the vertical variability in PSD (rain layer) for a tropical rainband we find that the Do varies with height when partitioned by specified precipitation categories (e.g., convective or stratiform, heavy and light stratiform etc.) but this variation is of order 10-20% and is smaller than the difference in D0 observed between the basic delineation of convective and stratiform precipitation types. Currently we are expanding our analysis of the vertical structure of the PSD to include several seasonally and/or dynamically-different storm system types (e.g., winter convection and stratiform events; summer mid-latitude convective etc.) sampled by ARMOR. The study will present the results of our combined analyses.

Petersen, Walter A.↗

Analysis of Multiple Precipitation Products and Preliminary Assessment of Their Impact on Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS) Land Surface States

Land surface models (LSMs) are computer programs, similar to weather and climate prediction models, which simulate the stocks and fluxes of water (including soil moisture, snow, evaporation, and runoff) and energy (including the temperature of and sensible heat released from the soil) after they arrive on the land surface as precipitation and sunlight. It is not currently possible to measure all of the variables of interest everywhere on Earth with sufficient accuracy and space-time resolution. Hence LSMs have been developed to integrate the available observations with our understanding of the physical processes involved, using powerful computers, in order to map these stocks and fluxes as they change in time. The maps are used to improve weather forecasts, support water resources and agricultural applications, and study the Earth's water cycle and climate variability. NASA's Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS) project facilitates testing of several different LSMs with a variety of input datasets (e.g., precipitation, plant type). Precipitation is arguably the most important input to LSMs. Many precipitation datasets have been produced using satellite and rain gauge observations and weather forecast models. In this study, seven different global precipitation datasets were evaluated over the United States, where dense rain gauge networks contribute to reliable precipitation maps. We then used the seven datasets as inputs to GLDAS simulations, so that we could diagnose their impacts on output stocks and fluxes of water. In terms of totals, the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) Merged Analysis of Precipitation (CMAP) had the closest agreement with the US rain gauge dataset for all seasons except winter. The CMAP precipitation was also the most closely correlated in time with the rain gauge data during spring, fall, and winter, while the satellitebased estimates performed best in summer. The GLDAS simulations revealed that modeled soil moisture is highly sensitive to precipitation, with differences in spring and summer as large as 45% depending on the choice of precipitation input.

Gottschalck, Jon↗

NASA's X-Plane Database and Parametric Cost Model v 2.0

The NASA Armstrong Cost Engineering Team with technical assistance from NASA HQ (SID)has gone through the full process in developing new CERs from Version #1 to Version #2 CERs. We took a step backward and reexamined all of the data collected, such as dependent and independent variables, cost, dry weight, length, wingspan, manned versus unmanned, altitude, Mach number, thrust, and skin. We used a well- known statistical analysis tool called CO$TAT instead of using "R" multiple linear or the "Regression" tool found in Microsoft Excel(TradeMark). We setup an "array of data" by adding 21" dummy variables;" we analyzed the standard error (SE) and then determined the "best fit." We have parametrically priced-out several future X-planes and compared our results to those of other resources. More work needs to be done in getting "accurate and traceable cost data" from historical X-plane records!

life cycle cost↗

Nonperiodic variations in astrophysical systems: Investigating frequency evolution

We present a method related to the wavelet transform, the Gabor transform, for investigating astronomical time series containing nonconsistent frequencies. Instances in which such data sets may arise include variable star light curves, numerical studies of the gravitational three-body problem, X-ray binaries, and signals from more exotic objects such as planets around pulsars and mass infall from accretion structures onto compact objects. As an illustration of its power, we apply the technique to a numerical data set of a gravitational three-body interaction and to photometry of the rapidly oscillating peculiar A star HD 60435. In the three-body example, the method provides an insightful shorthand that allows for the determination of episodes where the system behaves as two nearly Keplerian orbits. For HD 60435, the power in the main frequency exhibits unusual evolution over the duration of the observation.

Boyd, Patricia T.↗

Analyzing nonstationary financial time series via hilbert-huang transform (HHT)

An apparatus, computer program product and method of analyzing non-stationary time varying phenomena. A representation of a non-stationary time varying phenomenon is recursively sifted using Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) to extract intrinsic mode functions (IMFs). The representation is filtered to extract intrinsic trends by combining a number of IMFs. The intrinsic trend is inherent in the data and identifies an IMF indicating the variability of the phenomena. The trend also may be used to detrend the data.

Huang, Norden E.↗

GLDAS-2 Land Surface Model Data and Data Services at NASA GES DISC

The goal of the NASA Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS, https://ldas.gsfc.nasa.gov/gldas(https://ldas.gsfc.nasa.gov/gldas)) is to generate optimal fields of land surface states and fluxes by ingesting satellite- and ground-based observational data products, using advanced land surface modeling and data assimilation techniques (Rodell et al., 2004).The GLDAS dataset currently archived at and distributed by the NASA Goddard Earth Sciences Data and Information Services Center (GES DISC, https://disc.gsfc.nasa.gov/ (https://disc.gsfc.nasa.gov/)) is GLDAS Version 2 (GLDAS-2). It contains a series of output fields from the upgraded Noah-3.6, Catchment-F2.5, and VIC-4.1.2 Land Surface Models (LSMs) in the Land Information System (LIS-V7, https://lis.gsfc.nasa.gov/ (https://lis.gsfc.nasa.gov/)). GLDAS-2 has three components:GLDAS-2.0, GLDAS-2.1, and GLDAS-2.2. GLDAS-2.0 is forced entirely with the upgraded Princeton Meteorological ForcingV2.2 Dataset and provides a temporally consistent series from 1948 through 2014. GLDAS-2.1 is forced with a combination of model and observation data, with data spanning from 2000 to the present. The GLDAS-2.2 product suite uses data assimilation(DA), whereas the GLDAS-2.0 and GLDAS-2.1 products are "open-loop" (i.e., no data assimilation). The choice of forcing data, as well as DA observation source, variable, and scheme, varies for different GLDAS-2.2 products. The currently availableGLDAS-2.2 data contain a daily 0.25-degree output from the Catchment-F2.5 LSM in LIS-V7. The data are forced with the meteorological analysis fields from the operational European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Integrated Forecasting System (ECMWF-IFS) and assimilated with GRACE and GRACE-FO data, ranging from February 1, 2003 to the present. The current GLDAS-2.0 and 2.1 Noah LSM data were reprocessed in November 2019 and January 2020 respectively and their data from Catchment and VIC LSMs are new to the GLDAS-2 collection. This presentation provides a summary of theGLDAS-2 data products, their land surface fields, and their related data services at the GES DISC; and a description of the majorGLDAS-2 climatological characteristics as well as the intercomparison with the data of the previous version.

Hydrology↗

Techniques in Assessing Random Uncertainty of Wind Tunnel Replicate Test Data

The preferred method to determine the random uncertainty of variables of interest during wind tunnel tests is by direct analysis of replicate data. However, current information is limited to analysis of a single replicate set condition that does not consider data covariance. This paper provides additional information on considerations for quantifying random uncertainty including the evaluation and correction of replicate data covariance, the selection of replicate set conditions for the test, and the interpolation of random uncertainty at other than replicate set conditions. The analysis and techniques are supported by data from a conventional aircraft configuration test at the Oran Nicks Low-Speed Wind Tunnel and an ASME nozzle flow characterization at the Propulsion Systems Laboratory.

Uncertainty↗

NAMELIST Preprocessor

FORTRAN code modified for use with F4P compiler. NAMELIST provides FORTRAN programer with additional, flexible input and output capabilities. Feature is particularly useful in area of data input because NAMELIST data are input in form of variable symbolic name being set equal to constant value, similar to standard FORTRAN statement. Allows user to review input data readily and relieves user from having to place data in certain columns and formats as required in formatted READ statements.

Merwarth, P. D.↗