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At least 919 records · Page 51

Improved Understanding of the Modeled QBO Using MLS Observations and MERRA Reanalysis

The Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO) dominates the variability of the tropical stratosphere on interannual time scales. The QBO has been shown to extend its influence into the chemical composition of this region through dynamical mechanisms. We have started our analysis using the realistic QBO internally generated by the Goddard Earth Observing System Version 5 (GEOS-5) general circulation model coupled to a comprehensive stratospheric and tropospheric chemical mechanism forced with observed sea surface temperatures over the past 33 years. We will show targeted comparisons with observations from NASAs Aura satellite Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS) and the Modern Era Retrospective-Analysis for Research and Applications (MERRA) reanalysis to provide insight into the simulation of the primary and secondary circulations associated with the QBO. Using frequency spectrum analysis and multiple linear regression we can illuminate the resulting circulations and deduce the strengths and weaknesses in their modeled representation. Inclusion of the QBO in our simulation improves the representation of the subtropical barriers and overall tropical variability. The QBO impact on tropical upwelling is important to quantify when calculating trends in sub-decadal scale datasets.

MERRA↗

SpaceCube v2.0 Space Flight Hybrid Reconfigurable Data Processing System

This paper details the design architecture, design methodology, and the advantages of the SpaceCube v2.0 high performance data processing system for space applications. The purpose in building the SpaceCube v2.0 system is to create a superior high performance, reconfigurable, hybrid data processing system that can be used in a multitude of applications including those that require a radiation hardened and reliable solution. The SpaceCube v2.0 system leverages seven years of board design, avionics systems design, and space flight application experiences. This paper shows how SpaceCube v2.0 solves the increasing computing demands of space data processing applications that cannot be attained with a standalone processor approach.The main objective during the design stage is to find a good system balance between power, size, reliability, cost, and data processing capability. These design variables directly impact each other, and it is important to understand how to achieve a suitable balance. This paper will detail how these critical design factors were managed including the construction of an Engineering Model for an experiment on the International Space Station to test out design concepts. We will describe the designs for the processor card, power card, backplane, and a mission unique interface card. The mechanical design for the box will also be detailed since it is critical in meeting the stringent thermal and structural requirements imposed by the processing system. In addition, the mechanical design uses advanced thermal conduction techniques to solve the internal thermal challenges.The SpaceCube v2.0 processing system is based on an extended version of the 3U cPCI standard form factor where each card is 190mm x 100mm in size The typical power draw of the processor card is 8 to 10W and scales with application complexity. The SpaceCube v2.0 data processing card features two Xilinx Virtex-5 QV Field Programmable Gate Arrays (FPGA), eight memory modules, a monitor FPGA with analog monitoring, Ethernet, configurable interconnect to the Xilinx FPGAs including gigabit transceivers, and the necessary voltage regulation. The processor board uses a back-to-back design methodology for common parts that maximizes the board real estate available. This paper will show how to meet the IPC 6012B Class 3A standard with a 22-layer board that has two column grid array devices with 1.0mm pitch. All layout trades such as stack-up options, via selection, and FPGA signal breakout will be discussed with feature size results. The overall board design process will be discussed including parts selection, circuit design, proper signal termination, layout placement and route planning, signal integrity design and verification, and power integrity results. The radiation mitigation techniques will also be detailed including configuration scrubbing options, Xilinx circuit mitigation and FPGA functional monitoring, and memory protection.Finally, this paper will describe how this system is being used to solve the extreme challenges of a robotic satellite servicing mission where typical space-rated processors are not sufficient enough to meet the intensive data processing requirements. The SpaceCube v2.0 is the main payload control computer and is required to control critical subsystems such as autonomous rendezvous and docking using a suite of vision sensors and object avoidance when controlling two robotic arms.

Xilinx FPGA↗

The Effect of a Deceleration Force on a Melting Boundary Layer

Most analytical studies of ablating layers which melt before they vaporize have been restricted to the stagnation region of bodies (e.g., see Sutton). To determine conditions all along the body, it is important to include the deceleration force that opposes the downstream flow of liquid. Some treatment has already been given to this problem, but it is rather limited because of the idealization of the considered configuration or the omission of some important features of the problem. This note gives a more general discussion of the phenomena that occur when a body force acts on a melting boundary layer. The basis for these remarks is an analysis of the flow of a material like Pyrex over a two-dimensional body. The liquid density, specific heat, and conductivity are assumed constant. To determine the conditions under which deceleration effects are important and to simplify the basic equations, all variables except velocity and time are made dimensionless in the usual way.

Ostrach, Simon↗

Comparison of Instantaneous Frequency Scaling from Rain Attenuation and Optical Disdrometer Measurements at K/Q bands

Rain attenuation is strongly dependent on the rain rate, but also on the rain drop size distribution (DSD). Typically, models utilize an average drop size distribution, such as those developed by Laws and Parsons, or Marshall and Palmer. However, individual rain events may possess drop size distributions which could be significantly different from the average and will impact, for example, fade mitigation techniques which utilize channel performance estimates from a signal at a different frequency. Therefore, a good understanding of the characteristics and variability of the raindrop size distribution is extremely important in predicting rain attenuation and instantaneous frequency scaling parameters on an event-toevent basis. Since June 2014, NASA Glenn Research Center (GRC) and the Politecnico di Milano (POLIMI) have measured the attenuation due to rain in Milan, Italy, on the 20/40 GHz beacon signal broadcast from the Alphasat TDP#5 Aldo Paraboni Q/V-band Payload. Concomitant with these measurements are the measurements of drop size distribution and rain rate utilizing a Thies Clima laser precipitation monitor (disdrometer). In this paper, we discuss the comparison of the predicted rain attenuation at 20 and 40 GHz derived from the drop size distribution data with the measured rain attenuation. The results are compared on statistical and real-time bases. We will investigate the performance of the rain attenuation model, instantaneous frequency scaling, and the distribution of the scaling factor. Further, seasonal rain characteristics will be analysed.

millimeter wave↗

The Ocean Carbon States Database: A Proof-of-Concept Application of Cluster Analysis in the Ocean Carbon Cycle

In this paper, we present a database of the basic regimes of the carbon cycle in the ocean, the 'ocean carbon states', as obtained using a data mining/pattern recognition technique in observation-based as well as model data. The goal of this study is to establish a new data analysis methodology, test it and assess its utility in providing more insights into the regional and temporal variability of the marine carbon cycle. This is important as advanced data mining techniques are becoming widely used in climate and Earth sciences and in particular in studies of the global carbon cycle, where the interaction of physical and biogeochemical drivers confounds our ability to accurately describe, understand, and predict CO2 concentrations and their changes in the major planetary carbon reservoirs. In this proof-of-concept study, we focus on using well-understood data that are based on observations, as well as model results from the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) climate model. Our analysis shows that ocean carbon states are associated with the subtropical-subpolar gyre during the colder months of the year and the tropics during the warmer season in the North Atlantic basin. Conversely, in the Southern Ocean, the ocean carbon states can be associated with the subtropical and Antarctic convergence zones in the warmer season and the coastal Antarctic divergence zone in the colder season. With respect to model evaluation, we find that the GISS model reproduces the cold and warm season regimes more skillfully in the North Atlantic than in the Southern Ocean and matches the observed seasonality better than the spatial distribution of the regimes. Finally, the ocean carbon states provide useful information in the model error attribution. Model air-sea CO2 flux biases in the North Atlantic stem from wind speed and salinity biases in the subpolar region and nutrient and wind speed biases in the subtropics and tropics. Nutrient biases are shown to be most important in the Southern Ocean flux bias.

carbon cycle↗

Autonomous Aerial Vehicles (AAVs) as a Tool for Improving the Spatial Resolution of Snow Albedo Measurements in Mountainous Regions

We present technical advances and methods to measure effective broadband physical albedo in snowy mountain headwaters using a prototype dual-sensor pyranometer mounted on an Autonomous Aerial Vehicle (an AAV). Our test flights over snowy meadows and forested areas performed well during both clear sky and snowy/windy conditions at an elevation of ~2650 m above mean sea level (MSL). Our AAV-pyranometer platform provided high spatial (m) and temporal resolution (sec) measurements of effective broadband (310–2700 nm) surface albedo. The AAV-based measurements reveal spatially explicit changes in landscape albedo that are not present in concurrent satellite measurements from Landsat and MODIS due to a higher spatial resolution. This AAV capability is needed for validation of satellite snow albedo products, especially over variable montane landscapes at spatial scales of critical importance to hydrological applications. Effectively measuring albedo is important, as annually the seasonal accumulation and melt of mountain snowpack represent a dramatic transformation of Earth’s albedo, which directly affects headwaters’ water and energy cycles.

albedo↗

The Earth's Exosphere and Its Response to Space Weather

Neutral-Plasma charge exchange is a fundamental physical process that occurs ubiquitously across the universe. In geospace, charge exchange occurs in the Earth’s topside ionosphere, polar wind, plasmasphere, inner magnetosphere, and magnetosheath. Past and current space missions have profiled plasma and electromagnetic characteristics in various parts of the Earth’s magnetospheric system. However, observations of the exosphere, i.e., neutrals above 500 km altitude, are still sparse and, in some regions, non-existent, which limits our understanding of the neutral contribution to the overall dynamics of the geospace environment. Cold exospheric neutrals (< 10 eV) play an important role in the Sun-Earth interaction. Variability of exospheric density provides key information of the Earth’s atmospheric loss under dynamic space environment conditions. Various neutral species and their density variations in the polar wind can alter ion outflow patterns, modifying global magnetospheric dynamics. Exospheric neutrals also provide an energy sink for the inner magnetosphere by creating Energetic Neutral Atoms (ENAs) through charge exchange with high-energy ring current ions, which subsequently leave our geospace system unimpeded by magnetic fields. Exospheric neutrals also provide a means to observe the global interaction of the solar wind – magnetosphere, through global imaging of the system via ENAs (e.g., the TWINS and IMAGE missions) and soft X-rays (e.g., the upcoming LEXI and SMILE missions), the byproducts of neutral-plasma charge exchange. In the coming decade, we advocate that our community needs to increase our exploration of the neutral populations in the outermost reaches of the Earth’s atmosphere. It is imperative that we improve both in-situ and remote-sensing technologies for measuring key neutral species in our exosphere. We also encourage dedicated exosphere missions and to stimulate model developments of our exosphere and its interaction with the co-located magnetospheric system and neighboring Ionosphere - Thermosphere - Mesosphere system.

Hyunju Connor↗

Effect of Pressure on Trace Element Activity Coefficients in Metal-Silicate Systems

The partitioning of trace elements between metal and silicate melts serves as the foundation for understanding the differentiation of a planetary body into a metallic core and silicate mantle. Element activity influences metal-silicate partitioning behavior. Activity coefficients are directly dependent on composition and temperature, and can be indirectly dependent on oxygen fugacity and pressure. Distinguishing the effect of pressure from other variables on the activity coefficients and partitioning is important for understanding the chemical evolution of different planetary bodies during differentiation. In this study, we investigated the influence of pressure on the activity coefficients of Cu, Mo, Pd, Pt, As, Sb, and Bi in Fe-Si metallic liquids. All of these elements exhibit moderate to high activity coefficients in Fe-Si liquids at low pressure, which significantly controls their metal-silicate partitioning behavior. Identifying whether this strong dependence persists at higher pressures is critical to modeling and understanding the chemical consequences of core formation. New experiments at 10 GPa were used to derive activity coefficients for these metals which can be compared to activity coefficients determined at 1 GPa. Experiments were conducted at 10 GPa and 2373K using a 10/5 assembly in the 880-ton multi-anvil press at NASA Johnson Space Center. The standard 10/5 COMPRES assembly was slightly modified to accommodate a sample capsule machined from single-crystal MgO that minimizes melt percolation out of the sample volume during the experiment. Experiment starting materials were comprised of 70 wt.% Knippa basalt and 30 wt.% metal. The metal mixture (~85 wt.% Fe) was created by adding the elements of interest (Cu, Mo, Pd, Pt, As, Sb, Bi) to Fe metal powder. Varied amounts of Si metal (0-10 wt.% Si) were added to the metal-silicate mixtures to generate a systematic series of starting materials. For each element, an epsilon interaction parameter in Fe-Si liquid was derived from the results of our 0-10 wt.% Si metal series. To investigate whether pressure influences the trace element activity coefficients in the 1-10 GPa pressure range, we compared our results at 10 GPa to those at 1-4 GPa [1-3]. Our results can also be directly compared to interaction parameters for Au, P, V, Mn, Ga, Zn, Cd, Sn, W, Pb, and Nb previously determined at 10 GPa and 2373K following the same methods [4]. Combined, this suite of interaction parameters will directly inform metal-silicate partitioning between 1 and 10 GPa, and assess whether these values can be extrapolated to modeling differentiation processes at pressures >10 GPa.

Kelsey Prissel↗

Effect of Pressure and Oxidation State on Pnictogen Metal-Silicate Partitioning

The partitioning of trace elements between metal and silicate melts serves as the foundation for understanding the differentiation of a planetary body into a metallic core and silicate mantle. Element activity influences metal-silicate partitioning behavior. Activity coefficients are directly dependent on composition and temperature, and can be indirectly dependent on oxygen fugacity and pressure. Distinguishing the effect of pressure from other variables on the activity coefficients and partitioning is important for understanding the chemical evolution of different planetary bodies during differentiation. In this study, we investigated the influence of pressure on the activity coefficients of Cu, Mo, Pd, Pt, As, Sb, and Bi in Fe-Si metallic liquids. All of these elements exhibit moderate to high activity coefficients in Fe-Si liquids at low pressure, which significantly controls their metal-silicate partitioning behavior. Identifying whether this strong dependence persists at higher pressures is critical to modeling and understanding the chemical consequences of core formation. New experiments at 10 GPa were used to derive activity coefficients for these metals which can be compared to activity coefficients determined at 1 GPa. Experiments were conducted at 10 GPa and 2373K using a 10/5 assembly in the 880-ton multi anvil press at NASA Johnson Space Center. The standard 10/5 COMPRES assembly was slightly modified to accommodate a sample capsule machined from single-crystal MgO that minimizes melt percolation out of the sample volume during the experiment. Experiment starting materials were comprised of 70 wt.% Knippa basalt and 30 wt.% metal. The metal mixture (~85 wt.% Fe) was created by adding the elements of interest (Cu, Mo, Pd, Pt, As, Sb, Bi) to Fe metal powder. Varied amounts of Si metal (0-10 wt.% Si) were added to the metal-silicate mixtures to generate a systematic series of starting materials. For each element, an epsilon interaction parameter in Fe-Si liquid was derived from the results of our 0-10 wt.% Si metal series. To investigate whether pressure influences the trace element activity coefficients in the 1-10 GPa pressure range, we compared our results at 10 GPa to those at 1-4 GPa [1-3]. Our results can also be directly compared to interaction parameters for Au, P, V, Mn, Ga, Zn, Cd, Sn, W, Pb, and Nb previously determined at 10 GPa and 2373K following the same methods [4]. Combined, this suite of interaction parameters will directly inform metal- silicate partitioning between 1 and 10 GPa, and assess whether these values can be extrapolated to modeling differentiation processes at pressures >10 GPa. [1] Righter et al. (2018) GCA 232, 101-123 [2] Righter et al. (2019) MaPS 54, 1379-1394 [3] Steenstra et al. (2020) Icarus, 335, 113391 [4] Righter et al. (2020) Geochem. Persp. Let. 15, 44-49

Kelsey Prissel↗

Data for FUN-PROSE: A Deep Learning Approach to Predict Condition-Specific Gene Expression in Fungi

mRNA levels of all genes in a genome is a critical piece of information defining the overall state of the cell in a given environmental condition. Being able to reconstruct such condition-specific expression in fungal genomes is particularly important to metabolically engineer these organisms to produce desired chemicals in industrially scalable conditions. Most previous deep learning approaches focused on predicting the average expression levels of a gene based on its promoter sequence, ignoring its variation across different conditions. Here we present FUN-PROSE—a deep learning model trained to predict differential expression of individual genes across various conditions using their promoter sequences and expression levels of all transcription factors. We train and test our model on three fungal species and get the correlation between predicted and observed condition-specific gene expression as high as 0.85. We then interpret our model to extract promoter sequence motifs responsible for variable expression of individual genes. We also carried out input feature importance analysis to connect individual transcription factors to their gene targets. A sizeable fraction of both sequence motifs and TF-gene interactions learned by our model agree with previously known biological information, while the rest corresponds to either novel biological facts or indirect correlations.

Genomics↗

Shallow cloud variability in Houston, Texas, during the ESCAPE and TRACER field experiments

Shallow convection plays an important role in Earth's climate system by regulating the vertical transport of heat, moisture, and momentum in the lower troposphere. Aerosols, large-scale meteorology, and low-level convergence influence the spatiotemporal variability in shallow convection, and the coastal urban area of Houston, Texas, is an ideal laboratory to investigate these complex interactions. Here, geostationary satellite and ground-based radar observations from June to September 2022 during the TRacking Aerosol Convection interactions ExpeRiment (TRACER) and Experiment of Sea Breeze Convection, Aerosols, Precipitation, and Environment (ESCAPE) field campaigns are used to characterize the spatial coverage, vertical extent, and precipitation fraction of shallow convective clouds. The fused operational remote sensing datasets over a 250 km × 250 km domain are evaluated against profiling observations. The domain-wide diurnal shallow cloud fractions are used to identify four distinct modes of shallow convection. In all clusters, the domain-wide cloud fractions are consistently higher than the domain-wide precipitation fractions, and shallow cloud fractions are higher over water than they are over land, while the shallow precipitation fractions show the opposite behavior. In the two modes with minimal deep cloud activity, shallow cloud frequency is highest over ocean in the early morning, and there is a transition to higher shallow cloud frequency over land by the afternoon in one cluster or to high shallow cloud frequencies everywhere by the afternoon in the other. Lastly, we find regions with higher shallow cloud top heights and a large region along the coastline where shallow clouds are more likely to precipitate.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Spatial variability of aerosol iron mineralogy and oxidation states over the Arctic Ocean

The mineralogy and oxidation state of aerosol iron (Fe) play important roles in controlling aerosol Fe solubility and consequent bioavailability in seawater. In this study, the spatial variability of Fe mineralogy and oxidation states in aerosols collected during the US GEOTRACES Western Arctic cruise (GN01) were determined using synchrotronbased X-ray absorption near edge structure (XANES) spectroscopy. Both Fe(II) minerals (biotite, ilmenite) and Fe (III) minerals (ferrihydrite, hematite, Fe(III) phosphate) were found in these samples. However, aerosol Fe mineralogy and solubility observed during this cruise varied spatially and can be grouped into three clusters based on the air masses that affected aerosols collected in different regions: (1) biotite-enriched particles (87 % biotite, 13 % hematite) with the air masses passing over Alaska, showing relatively low Fe solubility (4.0 +/- 1.7 %); (2) ferrihydrite-enriched particles (82 % ferrihydrite, 18 % ilmenite) collected in the remote Arctic air, showing relatively high Fe solubility (9.6 +/- 3.3 %); (3) the fresh dust derived from North America and Siberia, primarily dominated by hematite (41 % hematite, 25 % Fe(III) phosphate, 20 % biotite, 13 % ferrihydrite), showing relatively low Fe solubility (5.1 +/- 3.5). A significant positive correlation was found between Fe oxidation state and Fe fractional solubility, suggesting that long-range transport could modify iron (hydr) oxide such as ferrihydrite through atmospheric processing, influencing aerosol Fe solubility and consequently Fe bioavailability in the remote Arctic Ocean.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Preprocessing techniques to reduce atmospheric and sensor variability in multispectral scanner data.

Multispectral scanner data are potentially useful in a variety of remote sensing applications. Large-area surveys of earth resources carried out by automated recognition processing of these data are particularly important. However, the practical realization of such surveys is limited by a variability in the scanner signals that results in improper recognition of the data. This paper discusses ways by which some of this variability can be removed from the data by preprocessing with resultant improvements in recognition results.

Crane, R. B.↗

How do perceptions of safety and car ownership importance affect autonomous vehicle adoption?

In this study, we explicitly modeled how individuals' perceptions of automated vehicle (AV) safety and the importance they place on car ownership affect mode choices involving conventional and automated vehicles in the context of privately owned cars and ridehailing services. We adopted psychometric questions to capture these two latent variables and designed a stated preference survey based on the participants' actual travel patterns. Then, we quantified the impact of these latent variables on mode choices using an integrated choice and latent variable (ICLV) model. We found that both latent variables have a statistically significant effect on mode choices. The results show that car ownership importance has the most potent effect on privately owned cars (conventional car and self-driving car), followed by driverless ridehailing and conventional ridehailing. We also found that changes in safety perception are equivalent to sizable changes in price. In addition, we further investigated the impact of improvements in safety perception through four scenarios. The scenario testing results show that as the distribution of perceived safety is compressed toward positive safety perception, the market share of AVs spikes and dominates regular cars. Our results demonstrate that based on our respondents' current understanding of AVs, even if AV prices were comparable to regular cars, we cannot expect widespread use of AVs. However, improvements in AVs' safety and, consequently, consumer safety perception can considerably expand AVs' market share, and may offset the high cost of using the technology.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Interpreting Aircraft-Derived Ice Sheet Elevation Change Using Climate Station Data

This year repeat elevation surveys in the southern half of Greenland were made using the Airborne Topographic Mapper (ATM). The intent of these surveys is to compare present elevations to those measured in 1993 and determine the magnitude and spatial distributions of thickening and thinning rates. In order to effectively interpret any observed changes, it is important to understand the processes that affect these changes. Moreover, because the surveys are made over a brief period (2-4 weeks) during the spring or summer, it is also important to understand the effects of seasonal and interannual elevation variability, in relation to the timing of these surveys. Toward that end we are examining data from weather stations along the coast of Greenland along with data from GC-Net automatic weather stations (AWS's) on the ice sheet. The objectives are to assess: a) the importance of the timing of the flights in relation to natural processes that affect surface heights, namely accumulation and melt, and b) the temperature characteristics of the region in the five years that separated the two sets of surveys (1993-1998), in relation to the past 19 years.

Abdalati, Waleed↗

Dendritic cells focus CTL responses toward highly conserved and topologically important HIV-1 epitopes

During early HIV-1 infection, immunodominant T cell responses to highly variable epitopes lead to the establishment of immune escape virus variants. Here we assessed a type 1-polarized monocyte-derived dendritic cell (MDC1)-based approach to selectively elicit cytotoxic T lymphocyte (CTL) responses against highly conserved and topologically important HIV-1 epitopes in HIV-1-infected individuals from the Thailand RV254/SEARCH 010 cohort who initiated antiretroviral therapy (ART) during early infection (Fiebig stages I-IV). Autologous MDC1 were used as antigen presenting cells to induce in vitro CTL responses against HIV-1 Gag, Pol, Env, and Nef as determined by flow cytometry and ELISpot assay. Ultra-conserved or topologically important antigens were respectively identified using the Epigraph tool and a structure-based network analysis approach and compared to overlapping peptides spanning the Gag proteome. MDC1 presenting either the overlapping Gag, Epigraph, or Network 14-21mer peptide pools consistently activated and expanded HIV-1-specific T cells to epitopes identified at the 9-13mer peptide level. Interestingly, some CTL responses occurred outside known or expected HLA associations, providing evidence of new HLA-associated CTL epitopes. Comparative analyses demonstrated more sequence conservation among Epigraph antigens but a higher magnitude of CTL responses to Network and Gag peptide groups. Importantly, CTL responses against topologically constrained Gag epitopes contained in both the Network and Gag peptide pools were selectively enhanced in the Network pool-initiated cultures. Our study supports the use of MDC1 as a therapeutic strategy to induce and focus CTL responses toward putative fitness-constrained regions of HIV-1 to prevent immune escape and control HIV-1 infection.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Radar-derived precipitation climatology for wind turbine blade leading edge erosion

Wind turbine blade leading edge erosion (LEE) is a potentially significant source of revenue loss for wind farm operators. Thus, it is important to advance understanding of the underlying causes, to generate geospatial estimates of erosion potential to provide guidance in pre-deployment planning, and ultimately to advance methods to mitigate this effect and extend blade lifetimes. This study focuses on the second issue and presents a novel approach to characterizing the erosion potential across the contiguous USA based solely on publicly available data products from the National Weather Service dual-polarization radar. The approach is described in detail and illustrated using six locations distributed across parts of the USA that have substantial wind turbine deployments. Results from these locations demonstrate the high spatial variability in precipitation-induced erosion potential, illustrate the importance of low-probability high-impact events to cumulative annual total kinetic energy transfer and emphasize the importance of hail as a damage vector.

Letson, Frederick (ORCID:0000000192750359)↗

Mapping Surface Vapor Pressure Deficits From Geostationary Satellites for Fire Weather Monitoring

The increase in the wildfires were observed globally in accordance with global warming, and to real- time monitoring of wildfire risk in broad scale is demanded for wildfire management to prevent the spread of wildfires. Scientists invented a lot of indices to assess the wildfire risk. Vapor Pressure Deficit (VPD) is one of the most important meteorological components for those indices. Compared to other components of fire weather indices, VPD can change quickly from lower risk to higher risk even in sub-hourly. Therefore, real-time fire risk monitoring requires high-resolution and high- temporal VPD spatial map. Here, we developed VPD estimation method using the GOES Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI) data. Unlike the polar-orbital satellite data, the ABI can observe target region every 10 minutes, so that we can estimate VPD for fire weather in real-time. The method used to estimate VPD is same with the algorithm of NASA Earth Exchange Gridded Daily Meteorology (NEX- GDM), which estimate meteorological variables from ground weather observation and spatial variables based on random forest (RF). We calculated RF importance to select bands of ABI as input of the model. To validate our results, we compared the spatial pattern of our VPD data with the Real- Time Mesoscale Analysis (RTMA) data over the conterminous USA. We sought possibility of applying our method to the region where no real-time high-resolution weather data is available, such as South America. The developed method can produce real-time high-resolution high-frequent VPD data in the continental scale. The derived data from GOES ABI could contribute to improve the fire weather monitoring and lead to prevent wildfires.

Hirofumi Hashimoto↗