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At least 919 records · Page 51

The persistent shadow of the supermassive black hole of M87. II. Model comparisons and theoretical interpretations

The Event Horizon Telescope (EHT) observation of M87∗ in 2018 has revealed a ring with a diameter that is consistent with the 2017 observation. The brightest part of the ring is shifted to the southwest from the southeast. In this paper, we provide theoretical interpretations for the multi-epoch EHT observations for M87∗ by comparing a new general relativistic magnetohydrodynamics model image library with the EHT observations for M87∗ in both 2017 and 2018. The model images include aligned and tilted accretion with parameterized thermal and nonthermal synchrotron emission properties. The 2018 observation again shows that the spin vector of the M87∗ supermassive black hole is pointed away from Earth. A shift of the brightest part of the ring during the multi-epoch observations can naturally be explained by the turbulent nature of black hole accretion, which is supported by the fact that the more turbulent retrograde models can explain the multi-epoch observations better than the prograde models. The EHT data are inconsistent with the tilted models in our model image library. Assuming that the black hole spin axis and its large-scale jet direction are roughly aligned, we expect the brightest part of the ring to be most commonly observed 90 deg clockwise from the forward jet. This prediction can be statistically tested through future observations.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Grey-box modeling and application for building energy simulations - A critical review

Grey-box modeling, as one of the three fundamental modeling techniques for building energy models, has many advantages compared with black-box modeling and white-box modeling. Additionally, it has been widely applied to solve problems of building technologies, such as building load estimation, control and optimization, and building-grid integration. However, a thorough review of grey-box modeling is not available. This review study systematically investigated various aspects of grey-box modeling for buildings. First, the fundamental aspects of grey-box modeling are presented, including the theoretical background, modeling of building elements, modeling order, modeling diagram, and order reduction. Second, the detailed modeling approaches are discussed. Third, multiple applications of grey-box modeling are investigated for building energy domain, which are categorized into the following groups: heat dynamics analysis, thermal load estimation, building control and optimization, district/urban scale energy modeling, and building-grid integration. Finally, the available software packages for grey-box modeling are compared. Overall, the challenges of using grey-box modeling can be summarized as follows: (1) the theoretical limitations and assumptions of grey-box modeling are unclear; (2) grey-box model naming convention and structure are confusing; (3) grey-box model creation is vague; (4) suitable applications of grey-box models are unknown; and (5) grey-box models lack unified software solutions for wider adoption.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

An experimental, theoretical and kinetic modeling study of the N 2 O-H 2 system: Implications for N 2 O + H

The reaction of N 2 O with His the key step in consumption of nitrous oxide in thermal processes. The major product channel is N 2 + OH, while NH + NO constitute minor products. In addition, a pathway involving HNNO, initiated by N 2 O + H (+M)$\rightleftarrows$HNNO (+M) (R3, R4), has been inferred from experiment and theory by Burke and coworkers. At longer reaction times, the reaction may reach partial equilibration, and in addition to k 3 and k 4 the importance of this channel depends on the thermodynamic properties of HNNO and its consumption reactions, mainly HNNO + H. In the present work, we re-examined the thermochemistry of HNNO and calculated rate constants and branching fractions for the HNNO + H reaction. Experiments on the N 2 O-H 2 system were conducted in a high-pressure flow reactor at 100 atm as a function of temperature (600-925 K) and stoichiometry and explained in terms of an updated chemical kinetic model. The results support the importance of the HNNO pathway, which results in inhibition of N 2 O consumption and formation of NH 3 . In addition, selected literature results on the N 2 O-H 2 system are re-examined and the implications for the other product channels of N 2 O + H, in particular NH + NO, are discussed.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Empirical investigation of nuclear correlation function distributions in lattice QCD

Two-point correlation functions of systems with baryon number 𝐵 ∈ {1,2,3,4} are investigated using lattice quantum chromodynamics (QCD). In particular, the empirical distributions of importance-sampling Monte-Carlo samples of these correlation functions are examined as a function of the spacetime separation between the two points and the baryon number. While the exact forms of these distributions are not known for QCD, recent work has determined asymptotic expressions for analogous correlation function distributions in simpler theories such as scalar field theory and the disordered phase of the 𝑂⁡(𝑁) model. The theoretical 𝑂⁡(𝑁) model distributions are found to provide an accurate description of the empirical QCD distributions at zero momentum over a wide range of temporal separations for each baryon number when assessed with a range of different statistical tests. In particular, the behavior of the baryon number 𝐵 QCD correlation function at large temporal separation is well reproduced by the 𝑂⁡(𝑁 ∼ 2/𝐵) model distribution.

Lattice field theory↗

Photo- and Electro-Induced Hadron Production from Nuclei at Jefferson Laboratory

Understanding many-body knockout processes is crucial for nuclear physics, particularly in photo- and electro-induced reactions. In turn, understanding two- and three-body forces, including higher-order forces, is vital for a complete understanding of atoms. We present photo-induced many-proton knockout processes, with multiplicities from 1 to 6, using 12C, CH2, and C4H9OH targets in the g9a FROST dataset. Our analysis covers photon energies from 600 to 4500 MeV, significantly expanding current world data. Comparing our experimental data to the state-of-the-art GiBUU model offers a new challenge in the model’s theoretical description of many-body processes. GiBUU reasonably describes the data at lower photon energies but struggles at higher energies and missing masses, likely due to missing processes, such as initial 3-pion photoproduction. Our results will inform future developments in describing proton knockout processes, indicating GiBUU’s overall reasonable description of many-proton knockout data up to around 2.2 GeV. We also assess various electro-induced reactions using 2D, 12C, and 40Ar targets in the RGM dataset. Our results, obtained at electron beam energies of 2, 4, and 6 GeV, are compared in detail to GENIE and GiBUU, two widely used theory models in neutrino oscillation experiments. Discrepancies between model predictions and experimental data underscore the need for refining the two theoretical models. Despite discrepancies, GiBUU provides a more accurate modelling of electro-induced reactions, especially for 40Ar - crucial for future neutrino oscillation facilities such as DUNE. Understanding the fundamental nuclear physics involved in neutrino-nuclei interactions is essential for reducing the systematic uncertainties in extracting neutrino oscillation parameters. Many-body processes significantly contribute to the background processes observed in neutrino-nuclei interactions, hence the results from both analyses are crucial for developing the theoretical framework for the underlying nuclear physics.

Williams, Rhidian↗

Ground-state phase diagram of the t-t ′ -J model

Significance Theoretical efforts to understand the superconducting cuprates have focused on a few simplified but challenging models: notably the Hubbard and the t - t ′ - J models. Using density matrix renormalization group (DMRG) simulations on width-8 cylinders, we study the ground-state phase diagram of the t - t ′- J model. The next nearest-neighbor hopping t ′ allows one to distinguish between hole ( t ′ < 0 ) and electron doping ( t ′ > 0 ). We find for the magnetic, charge, and single-particle properties that this model roughly captures the differences between the electron- and hole-doped cuprates. However, the superconducting properties differ. For hole doping ( t ′ < 0 ), there is an absence of superconductivity, while for electron doping ( t ′ > 0), we find d -wave superconductivity coexisting with antiferromagnetism and a secondary triplet p -wave pairing component.

Jiang, Shengtao↗

A measurement of the equation of state of carbon envelopes of white dwarfs

White dwarfs represent the final state of evolution for most stars. Certain classes of white dwarfs pulsate, leading to observable brightness variations, and analysis of these variations with theoretical stellar models probes their internal structure. Modelling of these pulsating stars provides stringent tests of white dwarf models and a detailed picture of the outcome of the late stages of stellar evolution. However, the high-energy-density states that exist in white dwarfs are extremely difficult to reach and to measure in the laboratory, so theoretical predictions are largely untested at these conditions. In this paper we report measurements of the relationship between pressure and density along the principal shock Hugoniot (equations describing the state of the sample material before and after the passage of the shock derived from conservation laws) of hydrocarbon to within five per cent. The observed maximum compressibility is consistent with theoretical models that include detailed electronic structure. This is relevant for the equation of state of matter at pressures ranging from 100 million to 450 million atmospheres, where the understanding of white dwarf physics is sensitive to the equation of state and where models differ considerably. The measurements test these equation-of-state relations that are used in the modelling of white dwarfs and inertial confinement fusion experiments, and we predict an increase in compressibility due to ionization of the inner-core orbitals of carbon. We also find that a detailed treatment of the electronic structure and the electron degeneracy pressure is required to capture the measured shape of the pressure–density evolution for hydrocarbon before peak compression. Our results illuminate the equation of state of the white dwarf envelope (the region surrounding the stellar core that contains partially ionized and partially degenerate non-ideal plasmas), which is a weak link in the constitutive physics informing the structure and evolution of white dwarf stars.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Early-Universe Model Building

Theoretical investigations into the evolution of the early universe are an essential part of particle physics that allow us to identify viable extensions to the Standard Model as well as motivated parameter space that can be probed by various experiments and observations. In this white paper, we review particle physics models of the early universe. First, we outline various models that explain two essential ingredients of the early universe (dark matter and baryon asymmetry) and those that seek to address current observational anomalies. We then discuss dynamics of the early universe in models of neutrino masses, axions, and several solutions to the electroweak hierarchy problem. Finally, we review solutions to naturalness problems of the Standard Model that employ cosmological dynamics.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Direct cross section measurement of 102 Pd ⁢(𝛾,𝑝) and 102 Pd ⁢(𝛾,𝛼) for the astrophysical 𝑝 process

Background: A handful of neutron-deficient stable nuclei, known as the “p nuclei,” cannot be produced through astrophysical neutron capture processes. Instead, some of these nuclei are proposed to be produced by 𝛾-induced reactions on existing r- and s-process seeds. The specific astrophysical site or sites are not yet identified, however, with uncertainties in the cross sections of these 𝛾-induced reactions playing a role. Databases of reaction rates for astrophysical simulations often rely on theoretical statistical model calculations, such as Hauser-Feshbach, for rates where no experimental information is known. However, reasonable variations in the choice of parametrizations of various nuclear properties can create order-of-magnitude variations in the final predicted cross sections and reaction rates, which are then propagated through the models to the predicted final abundances. Purpose: To better constrain these statistical model calculations and ultimately reduce the uncertainties from the nuclear physics on our understanding of the p nuclei, a measurement of the cross sections of 𝛾-induced reactions on the p-nucleus 102 Pd was undertaken. This work represents the first measurement of its kind, using segmented silicon detectors to measure prompt charged particle emission from 𝛾-induced reactions. Methods: Quasimonoenergetic gamma beams from the High Intensity 𝛾 Source facility bombarded an enriched 102 Pd target. A segmented silicon array was arranged to detect the particles emitted from (𝛾,𝑝) and (𝛾,𝛼) reactions. Results: Reaction cross sections were deduced at multiple 𝛾-beam energies between 10 and 19 MeV, and compared to statistical model calculations using talys-1.96. The 102 Pd ⁢(𝛾,𝑝)⁢ 101 Rh reaction cross section was reasonably well reproduced by a subset of photon strength functions and level densities, though the strength to the ground state of 101 Rh was underestimated at higher incident gamma energies. The 102 Pd ⁢(𝛾,𝛼)⁢ 98 Ru was in general overpredicted by the various alpha-nucleus optical model potentials. Conclusions: While the theoretical cross sections used to model the (𝛾,𝑝) reactions for the p process may be reasonable, a more careful approach is needed in the case of (𝛾,𝛼). Further work to probe gamma-induced reaction cross sections at and near the p nuclei is warranted.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Comment on “Review of experimental studies of secondary ice production” by Korolev and Leisner (2020)

Abstract. This is a comment on the review by Korolev and Leisner (2020, hereafter KL2020). The only two laboratory/field studies ever to measure the breakup in ice–ice collisions for in-cloud conditions were negatively criticised by KL2020, as were our subsequent theoretical and modelling studies informed by both studies. First, hypothetically, even without any further laboratory experiments, such theoretical and modelling studies would continue to be possible, based on classical mechanics and statistical physics. They are not sensitive to the accuracy of lab data for typical situations, partly because the nonlinear explosive growth of ice concentrations continues until some maximum concentration is reached. To a degree, the same final concentration is expected regardless of the fragment number per collision. Second, there is no evidence that both lab/field observational studies characterising fragmentation in ice–ice collisions are either mutually conflicting or erroneous such that they cannot be used to represent this breakup in numerical models, contrary to the review. The fact that the ice spheres of one experiment were hail sized (2 cm) is not a problem if a universal theoretical formulation, such as ours, with fundamental dependencies, is informed by it. Although both lab/field studies involved head-on collisions, rotational kinetic energy for all collisions generally is only a small fraction of the initial collision kinetic energy (CKE) anyway. Although both lab/field experiments involved fixed targets, that is not a problem since the fixing of the target is represented via CKE in any energy-based formulation such as ours. Finally, scaling analysis suggests that the breakup of ice during sublimation can make a significant contribution to ice enhancement in clouds, again contrary to the impression given by the review.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

On the flow-stress model of Preston, Tonks, and Wallace - Observations, parameter constraints, and implementations (Rev. 1)

A detailed discussion about the PTW flow-stress model has been presented, including theoretical considerations, model calibrations to experimental data, and model implementations in LANL ASC hydro-codes. The main findings are: In order to reproduce the intended behavior of the PTW model at high strain rates, the following conditions on the model parameters need to be valid: y 1 ≥ s 0 and y 2 ≥ β ; When the conditions above are not satisfied, PTW and PTW_Mod1 have slightly different behavior in the phonon-drag regime, and should be treated as different models. PTW exhibits a discontinuity above the critical strain rate. PTW_Mod1 does not show such a discontinuity but implies a different strain-rate dependence at high strain rates. Examples of this behavior include older calibrations for stainless steel and depleted uranium; In the thermal-activation regime, some flexibility was introduced in the original PTW model to allow for different rate-dependent behaviors at intermediate strain rates. Example: copper. However, many material calibrations do not require this extra flexibility, and the complexity and ambiguity of the intended behavior can be partially blamed for the inconsistent model implementations across ASC codes; The limit for the material constant p going to zero is well defined and leads to a simplified flow-stress equation, discontinuity free; Modern calibrations of the PTW parameters are done using Impala. Constraints on the PTW parameters are enforced; Implementation of the PTW model in LANL ASC hydro-codes suffered of several shortcom ings. At the time of writing, FLAG and xRAGE contain consistent and correct implemen tations of the PTW and PTW_Mod1 models. Corresponding changes to Pagosa have been suggested.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Analytic insights on the information content of new observables

Uncertainty quantification has emerged as a rapidly growing field in nuclear science. Theoretical predictions of physical observables often involve extrapolations to regions that are poorly constrained by laboratory experi- ments and astrophysical observations. Without properly quantified theoretical errors, such model predictions are of limited value. Also, one often deals with theoretical constructs that involve fundamental quantities that are not accessible to experiment or observation. Particularly relevant in this context is the pressure of pure neutron matter. Furthermore, in this Rapid Communication, we develop an analytic framework to answer the question of “How can new data reduce uncertainties of current theoretical models?” Simple and insightful expressions are obtained to quantify the impact of one or two new observables on theoretical uncertainties in two critical quantities: The slope of the symmetry energy at saturation density and the pressure of pure neutron matter at twice nuclear matter saturation density.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Measurement Problems: Contemporary Discussions and Models

In this paper I review the basic concepts of measurement that have existed from the end of the nineteenth century to the present day, such as representational theory and the realistic, operationalist, conventionalist, information-theoretical, and theoretical-operational models, with their respective advantages and weaknesses. Such characteristics of measurement as accuracy, precision, and various aspects of their application, related to agreement between measurement results, measurements and standards, and measurements and “true” values, as well as the internal and external reproducibility of measurements, are considered. The theoretical-operational model approach to experiment (and measurement), based on V.A. Fock’s three-part scheme, proposed by him for quantum mechanics, is discussed in detail using an example from the physics of elementary particles. The comparative advantages of the latter approach as well as its possible applications for the determination of systematic uncertainty are examined.

Pronskikh, V.↗

Simulation of Particulate Transport for Delivery of Solid Amendments into the Subsurface: FY24 Status Report

For particulate-based amendments to be viable for field-scale remediation at the Hanford Site (e.g., 200 DV-1 Operable Unit), particles need to be delivered a sufficient radial distance from an injection well and retained at concentrations high enough for effective treatment. An accurate description of the particle radius of influence (ROI) is critical for developing an overall remediation strategy. However, field-scale particle simulations are currently limited due to insufficient simulation capabilities and a lack of experimental data to validate and parameterize particle transport models. To help build toward field-scale deployment, this fiscal year (FY) we have (1) developed a pre screening tool to estimate particle transport, (2) implemented particle transport models within PFLOTRAN, and (3) conducted preliminary estimations of particle ROI. While field-scale numerical simulations will ultimately be necessary before remedy design and field implementation, we have developed a pre-screening tool that offers valuable estimations of expected particle injectability and ROI in a 1-D system. The advantage of the tool is that it does not require extensive laboratory experiments and instead makes predictions based solely on routine laboratory measurements. This tool can assist in down-selection and decision-making by identifying which particle amendment systems are worth pursuing in future laboratory experiments, such as 1-D column tests and beyond. With any system, scaling up from the lab to the field presents challenges. Currently, there is no field data available for model calibration or validation. However, the theoretical particle models being developed herein are the best tools available to guide progress toward field deployment. To help bridge this gap and verify model predictions, larger-scale lab experiments are being proposed. To advance simulation capabilities, six particle transport models are being integrated into the reactive transport simulator PFLOTRAN. These include colloid filtration theory (CFT) and five additional particle transport models (M1-M5). Each model, from M1 to M5, progressively incorporates additional particle transport and retention processes. Ultimately, the simplest model capable of accurately describing 1-D column data will be selected and parameterized. During FY24, the CFT and M1 model have been fully implemented within PFLOTRAN. Using an existing 1 D column experiment, the two currently implemented particle transport models (CFT and M1), and associated parameters, were fit to this experiment. While simpler model formulations are helpful for estimations, these formulations could not fully describe particle transport and retention behavior in the previous 1-D column experiment. Thus, additional complexities will need to be considered, which will be accounted for in the M2-M5 model formulations. Additionally, because a viscous, shear thinning fluid was required to keep particles in suspension, considerations for flow will also need to also be accounted for. Therefore, a new immiscible two-phase flow mode is currently being implemented in PFLOTRAN. With some modifications, this new flow module could also support simulation of non-Newtonian liquid amendments, foams, and emulsions. We also estimated the expected ROI of solid amendments using 1-D simulations. The average predicted ROI was approximately 15 ft for micron-sized zero valent iron (mZVI) suspended in xanthan gum (XG). Using the pre screening tool and ROI estimates, additional amendment-delivery laboratory characterization and experiments are proposed. The results from additional experiments can be used to validate and parametrize particulate transport model formulations, which will ultimately provide predictive capabilities for field amendment-delivery systems.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Physics-based modeling and information-theoretic sensor and settings selection for tool wear detection in precision machining

Precision machining of metals is an energy intensive process with applications and impacts across the manufacturing industry. The energy efficiency, product yield, and maintenance of the precision machine require a digital twin that can assist with prognostics and health management. In this report a physics-based model is developed and validated against face milling data, and then used for the timely and precise inference of machining faults that cannot be measured directly. Computer numerical control (CNC) measurements of power and force are used through this physics-based machining model to predict deviations of the outputs of power consumption and cutting forces during normal operation. A model-based fault detection and isolation methodology is applied to determine the optimal (traditional and available) sensor suite and the test settings (admissible input values) that improve the inference of tool wear in face milling. The optimal sensor suite and input test settings are obtained by solving a mixed integer non-linear program that optimizes information-theoretic metrics relevant to the detection and isolation of tool wear from steady-state or transient machining measurements. Dynamic time warping and k—NN classification are then used to validate the robustness of the optimal design for fault detection test design, including the optimal sensor suite.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Impact of Control on Availability and Cycling of Residential HVAC in a Real-World Experiment

Demand response is an important emerging part of smart grids and there is a large stream of research from theoretical and modeling perspectives. However, there is relatively little experimental evidence that could help researchers and building operators make informed decisions on best practices for modeling, developing, and deployment of control mechanisms. We contribute to the body of experimental research by providing numerical insights into the role and availability of residential HVAC systems for control. We share the findings on the duration of the cooling cycle, off cycle, and temperature settling time of HVAC systems from data collected from a smart neighborhood located in Atlanta, GA.

cycling↗

Experimental Evidence on Latency in a Fleet of Controllable Water Heaters

Demand response is an important emerging part of smart grids with wide coverage in theoretical and modeling research. However, experimental evidence on the real-life behavior of controllable loads is still limited. We present observations regarding latency and communication aspects of the operation on a fleet of residential water heaters in a smart neighborhood in Atlanta, GA. Our analysis shows that latency in water heaters is not constant and does not follow a Gaussian distribution. We also find that there is a systematic relationship between latency and hour of the day. Latency was found to increase during morning and evening hours compared to the afternoon. These findings could help better plan deployment of control for demand response programs. Understanding delays associated with controlling smart devices is crucial for proper design and algorithm development for optimization, frequency of dispatch, and override detection.

communication delay↗