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At least 919 records · Page 51

Biomass Burning Emissions of Black Carbon over the Maritime Continent and ENSO Variability

Fire emissions from the Maritime Continent (MC) over the western tropical Pacific are strongly influenced by El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), posing various climate effects to the Earth system. Here, in this study, we show that the historical biomass burning emissions of black carbon (BC bb ) aerosol in the dry season from the MC are strengthened in El Niño years due to the dry conditions. The eastern Pacific type of El Niño exerts a stronger modulation in BC bb emissions over the MC region than the central Pacific type of El Niño. Based on simulations using the fully coupled Community Earth System Model (CESM), the impacts of increased BC bb emissions on ENSO variability and frequency are also investigated in this study. With BC bb emissions from the MC scaled up by a factor of 10, which enables the identification of climate response from the internal variability, the increased BC bb heats the local atmosphere and changes land–sea thermal contrast, which suppresses the westward transport of the eastern Pacific surface water. It leads to an increase in sea surface temperature in the eastern tropical Pacific, which further enhances ENSO variability and increases the frequency of extreme El Niño and La Niña events. This study highlights the potential role of BC bb emissions on extreme ENSO frequency, and this role may be increasingly important in the warming future with higher wildfire risks.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Uncertainty Quantification of a Rotorcraft Conceptual Sizing Toolsuite

A computational framework to support the quantification of system uncertainties and sensitivities for rotorcraft applications is presented using the NASA Design and Analysis of Rotorcraft (NDARC) conceptual sizing tool. A 90 passenger conceptual tiltrotor configuration was used for case demonstration in the modeling of uncertainties in NDARCs emission module. A non-intrusive forward propagation uncertainty quantification approach was applied to ensemble simulations using a Monte Carlo methodology with stratified Latin hypercube sampling. An off-the-shelf software, DAKOTA, which supports trade studies and design space exploration, including optimization, surrogate modeling and uncertainty analysis was used to address the research goals. A toolsuite was further developed incorporating DAKOTA with automated design processes and methods using function wrappers to execute program routines including support for data post-processing. Uncertainties in rotorcraft emissions modeling using the Average Temperature Response metric for a set mission profile were studied. It was shown that for the current study, using the base-line best estimate modeling parameters for the Average Temperature Response metric, NDARC under-estimates the effects of emissions when compared with results from Monte Carlo simulations. A global sensitivity analysis was further undertaken to quantify the contribution of the various emission species on output sensitivity, hence uncertainty. The work demonstrates that the developed toolsuite is robust and will support the quantification of system uncertainties and sensitivities in future rotorcraft design efforts.

Rotorcraft↗

Secondary electron generation, emission and transport: Effects on spacecraft charging and NASCAP models

Secondary electrons control a spacecraft's response to a plasma environment. To accurately simulate spacecraft charging, the NASA Charging Analyzer Program (NASCAP) has mathematical models of the generation, emission and transport of secondary electrons. The importance of each of the processes and the physical basis for each of the NASCAP models are discussed. Calculations are presented which show that the NASCAP formulations are in good agreement with both laboratory and space experiments.

Katz, Ira↗

Field Emission Analysis in SRF Cavities for PIP-II Using GEANT4

Field emission (FE) remains a key limitation to achieving optimal performance and reliability in superconducting radiofrequency (SRF) cavities used in accelerator cryomodules. Addressing this challenge requires a detailed understanding of the generation and transport of FE-induced radiation; however, the absence of standardized measurement protocols complicates comparisons across different testing stages and facilities. This work presents initial steps toward a quantitative, systematic framework for analyzing FE-induced radiation using Geant4 simulations. We model four cavity types to be deployed in Fermilab’s Proton Improvement Plan-II (PIP-II) linac - HB650, LB650, SSR2, and SSR1 - to investigate radiation signatures and their dependence on emission conditions. By integrating simulation results with radiation diagnostics, our goal is to identify probable emission sites, enhance diagnostic accuracy, and optimize detector placement. Ultimately, this approach seeks to inform cavity preparation, assembly, and testing procedures, enabling the delivery of FE-free SRF cryomodules for PIP-II.

Wijethunga, Sajini [Fermilab] (ORCID:0000000287659↗

Field Emission Analysis in SRF Cavities for PIP-II Using GEANT4

Field emission (FE) remains a key limitation to achieving optimal performance and reliability in superconducting radiofrequency (SRF) cavities used in accelerator cryomodules. Addressing this challenge requires a detailed understanding of the generation and transport of FE-induced radiation; however, the absence of standardized measurement protocols complicates comparisons across different testing stages and facilities. This work presents initial steps toward a quantitative, systematic framework for analyzing FE-induced radiation using Geant4 simulations. We model four cavity types to be deployed in Fermilab’s Proton Improvement Plan-II (PIP-II) linac - HB650, LB650, SSR2, and SSR1 - to investigate radiation signatures and their dependence on emission conditions. By integrating simulation results with radiation diagnostics, our goal is to identify probable emission sites, enhance diagnostic accuracy, and optimize detector placement. Ultimately, this approach seeks to inform cavity preparation, assembly, and testing procedures, enabling the delivery of FE-free SRF cryomodules for PIP-II.

Wijethunga, Sajini [Fermilab] (ORCID:0000000287659↗

Limits to forests-based mitigation in integrated assessment modelling: global potentials and impacts under constraining factors

Forests-based measures such as afforestation/reforestation (A/R) and reducing deforestation (RDF) are considered promising options to mitigate climate change, yet their mitigation potentials are limited by economic and biophysical factors that are largely uncertain. The range of mitigation potential estimates from integrated assessment models raises concerns about the capacity of land systems to provide realistic, cost-effective and permanent land-based mitigation. We use the Global Change Analysis Model to quantify the economic mitigation potential of forests-based measures by simulating a climate policy including a tax on greenhouse gas emissions from agriculture, forestry, and other land uses. In addition, we assess how constraining unused arable land (UAL) availability, forestland expansion rates, and global bioenergy demand may influence the forests-based mitigation potential by simulating scenarios with alternative combinations of constraints. Results show that the average forests-based mitigation potential in 2020–2050 increases from 738 MtCO 2 .yr -1 through a forestland increase of 86 Mha in the fully constrained scenario to 1394 MtCO 2 .yr -1 through a forestland increase of 146 Mha when all constraints are relaxed. Regional potentials in terms of A/R and RDF differ strongly between scenarios: unconstrained forest expansion rates mostly increase A/R potentials in northern regions (e.g., +120 MtCO 2 .yr -1 in North America); while unconstrained UAL conversion and low bioenergy demand mostly increase RDF potentials in tropical regions (e.g., +76 and +68 MtCO 2 .yr -1 in Southeast Asia, respectively). This study shows that forests-based mitigation is limited by many factors that constrain the rates of land use change across regions. These factors, often overlooked in modelling exercises, should be carefully addressed for understanding the role of forests in global climate mitigation and defining pledges towards the Paris Agreement.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Potential Energy, Demand, Emissions, and Cost Savings Distributions for Buildings in a Utility’s Service Area

Several companies, universities, and national laboratories are developing urban-scale energy modeling that allows the creation of a digital twin of buildings for the simulation and optimization of real-world, city-sized areas. Prior to simulation-based assessment, a baseline of savings for a set of utility-defined use cases was established to clarify the initial business case for specific energy efficient building technologies. In partnership with a municipal utility, 178,337 OpenStudio and EnergyPlus models of buildings in the utility’s 1400 km 2 service area were created, simulated, and assessed with measures for quantifying energy, demand, cost, and emissions reductions of each building. The method of construction and assumptions behind these models is discussed, definitions of example measures are provided, and distribution of savings across the building stock is provided under a maximum technical adoption scenario.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Refined Telluric Absorption Correction for Low-resolution Ground-based Spectroscopy: Resolution and Radial Velocity Effects in the O{sub 2}A-band for Exoplanets and K i Emission Lines

Telluric correction of spectroscopic observations is either performed via standard stars that are observed close in time and airmass along with the science target, or recently growing in importance, by theoretical telluric absorption modeling. Both approaches work fine when the telluric lines are resolved, i.e., at a spectral resolving power larger than about 10,000, and it is sufficient to facilitate the detection of spectral features at lower resolution. However, a meaningful quantitative analysis also requires the reliable recovery of line strengths. Here, we show for the Fraunhofer A-band of molecular O{sub 2} that the standard telluric correction approach fails in this at lower spectral resolutions, as an example for the general problem. Doppler-shift-dependent errors of the restored flux may arise, which can amount to more than 50% in extreme cases, depending on the line shapes of the target spectral features. Two applications are discussed: the recovery of the O{sub 2} band in the reflected light of an Earth analog atmosphere, as facilitated potentially in the future using an orbiting starshade and a ground-based extremely large telescope; and the recovery of the intrinsic ratio of the K i lines in the post-nova V4332 Sgr tracing the optical depth of the emitting region, to exemplify the relevance using present-day instrumentation. We show how one should derive correction functions for the compensation of the error in dependence of radial velocity shift, spectral resolution, and target line-profile function by use of high-resolution atmospheric transmission modeling, which has to be solved for the individual case.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Exploring the Constraints on Simulated Aerosol Sources and Transport across the North Atlantic with Island-Based Sun Photometers

Atmospheric aerosol over the North Atlantic Ocean impact regional clouds and climate. In this work, we use a set of sun photometer observations of Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) located on the Graciosa and Cape Verde islands, along with the GEOS-Chem chemical transport model to investigate the sources of these aerosol and their transport over the North Atlantic Ocean. At both locations, the largest simulated contributor to aerosol extinction is the local source of sea-salt aerosol. In addition to this large source, we find that signatures consistent with long-range transport of anthropogenic, biomass burning, and dust emissions are apparent throughout the year at both locations. Model simulations suggest that this signal of long-range transport in AOD is more apparent at higher elevation locations; the influence of anthropogenic and biomass burning aerosol extinction is particularly pronounced at the height of Pico Mountain, near the Graciosa Island site. Using a machine learning approach, we further show that simulated observations at these three sites (near Graciosa, Pico Mountain, and Cape Verde) can be used to predict the simulated background aerosol imported into cities on the European mainland, particularly during the local winter months, highlighting the utility of background AOD monitoring for understanding downwind air quality.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Wave emissions from dc and modulated electron beams on STS 3

During the third Space Shuttle Columbia flight (STS 3) in March 1982, investigations were conducted to assess the electrical, electromagnetic, and plasma environment of the orbiter and to diagnose wave emissions and related plasma effects due to the injection of an electron beam into the surrounding ionosphere. Attention is given to wave emissions and related plasma processes which were stimulated by the first electron beam emissions from the Space Shuttle. The on-orbit measurements are compared to measurements made in a space simulation chamber. Instrumentation and operations are considered along with the plasma effects of beam emissions, wave emissions from dc beams, wave emissions from VLF-modulated beams, and wave emissions from ELF-modulated beams.

Shawhan, S. D.↗

Comparison of spontaneous emission in trapped-ion multiqubit gates at high magnetic fields

Penning traps have been used for performing quantum simulations and sensing with hundreds of ions and provide a promising route toward scaling up trapped ion quantum platforms because of the ability to trap and control hundreds or thousands of ions in two- and three-dimensional crystals. In both Penning traps and the more common RF Paul traps, lasers are often used to drive multi-qubit entangling operations. A leading source of decoherence in these operations is off resonant spontaneous emission. While many trapped ion quantum computers or simulators utilize clock qubits, other systems, especially those with high magnetic fields such as Penning traps, rely on Zeeman qubits, which require a more complex calculation of this decoherence. We therefore examine theoretically the impacts of spontaneous emission on quantum gates performed with trapped-ion ground state Zeeman qubits in a high magnetic field. In particular, we consider two types of gates—light-shift ($\hat{σ}^z_i$ $\hat{σ}^z_j$) gates and Mølmer-Sørensen ($\hat{σ}^x_i$ $\hat{σ}^x_j$) gates—obtained with laser beams directed approximately perpendicular to the magnetic field (the quantization axis) and compare the decoherence errors in each. Within each gate type, we also compare different operating points with regards to the detunings, polarizations, and required intensity of the laser beams used to drive the gates. Here, we show that both gates can have similar performance at their optimal operating conditions at high magnetic fields and examine the experimental feasibility of various operating points. By examining the magnetic field dependence of each gate, we demonstrate that, when the P state fine structure splitting is large compared to the Zeeman splittings, the theoretical performance of the Mølmer-Sørensen gate is significantly better than that of the light-shift gate. Additionally, for the light-shift gate, we make an approximate comparison between the fidelities that can be achieved at high fields with the fidelities of state-of-the-art two-qubit trapped ion quantum gates. We show that, with regards to spontaneous emission, the achievable fidelity of the current NIST configuration is about an order of magnitude below that of the best low-field gates, but we also discuss several alternative configurations with potential error rates that are comparable with those for state-of-the art trapped ion gates.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Maritime Battery Electrification Simulator (MariBES) v1

MariBES is a Python-based software designed for calculating emissions and energy consumption in maritime transportation. This software is capable of performing calculations for multiple vessels, facilitating emission analysis at regional, national, and international scales. It also allows for the examination of energy consumption under various resource such as heavy fuel oil, diesel, and battery-electric, enabling the assessment of different decarbonization strategies in the maritime sector. MariBES utilizes public data on ship activities combined with detailed vessel specifications, significantly enhancing the accuracy of its simulations. This approach marks a considerable advancement over previous models that were constrained by limited spatial and temporal resolution. It features a temporal resolution based on 5-minute intervals and a spatial resolution using precise coordinates.

Moon, HeeSeung↗

The Cherenkov Telescope Array Will Test Whether Pulsars Generate the Galactic Center Gamma-Ray Excess

The GeV-scale gamma-ray excess observed from the region surrounding the Galactic Center has been interpreted as either the products of annihilating dark matter particles, or as the emission from a large population of faint and centrally-located millisecond pulsars. If pulsars are responsible for this signal, they should also produce detectable levels of TeV-scale emission. In this study, we employ a template-based analysis of simulated data in an effort to assess the ability of the Cherenkov Telescope Array (CTA) to detect or constrain the presence of this emission, providing a new and powerful means of testing whether millisecond pulsars are responsible for the observed excess. We find that after even a relatively brief observation of the Inner Galaxy, CTA will be able to definitively detect this TeV-scale emission, or rule out pulsars as the source of the Galactic Center Gamma-Ray Excess.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Simulation of Relativistic Shocks and Associated Radiation from Turbulent Magnetic Fields

Using our new 3-D relativistic particle-in-cell (PIC) code, we investigated long-term particle acceleration associated with a relativistic electron-positron jet propagating in an unmagnetized ambient electron-positron plasma. The simulations were performed using a much longer simulation system than our previous simulations in order to investigate the full nonlinear stage of the Weibel instability and its particle acceleration mechanism. Cold jet electrons are thermalized and ambient electrons are accelerated in the resulting shocks. Acceleration of ambient electrons leads to a maximum ambient electron density three times larger than the original value as predicted by hydrodynamic compression. Behind the bow shock, in the jet shock, strong electromagnetic fields are generated. These fields may lead to time dependent afterglow emission. In order to go beyond the standard synchrotron model used in astrophysical objects we have used PIC simulations and calculated radiation based on first principles. We calculated radiation from electrons propagating in a uniform parallel magnetic field to verify the technique. We also used the technique to calculate emission from electrons based on simulations with a small system. We obtain spectra which are consistent with those generated from electrons propagating in turbulent magnetic fields. This turbulent magnetic field is similar to the magnetic field generated at an early nonlinear stage of the Weibel instability. A fully developed shock within a larger system may generate a jitter/synchrotron spectrum.

Nishikawa, K.-I.↗

Impact of Three-Dimensional Radiative Effects on Satellite Retrievals of Cloud Droplet Sizes

There are several dozen papers that study the effects of cloud horizontal inhomogeneity on the retrievals of cloud optical thickness, but only a few of them deal with cloud droplet sizes. This paper is one of the first comprehensive attempts to fill this gap: It takes a close theoretical look at the radiative effects of cloud 3-D structure in retrievals of droplet effective radii. Under some general assumptions, it was found that ignoring subpixel (unresolved) variability produces a negative bias in the retrieved effective radius, while ignoring cloud inhomogeneity at scales larger than a pixel scale (resolved variability), on the contrary, leads to overestimation of the domain average droplet size. The theoretical results are illustrated with examples from Large Eddy Simulations (LES) of cumulus (Cu) and stratocumulus (Sc) cloud fields. The analysis of cloud drop size distributions retrieved from both LES fields confirms that ignoring shadowing in 1-D retrievals results in substantial overestimation of effective radii which is more pronounced for broken Cu than for Sc clouds. Collocated measurements of broken Cu clouds by Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectrometer (MODIS) and Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer (ASTER) are used to check simulations and theory with observations. The analysis of ASTER and MODIS data and associated derived products recommends against blindly using retrieved effective radii for broken cloud fields, especially if one wants to relate aerosol amounts to cloud droplet sizes.

Marshak, Alexander↗

Bipolar planetary nebulae from outflow collimation by common envelope evolution

ABSTRACT The morphology of bipolar planetary nebulae (PNe) can be attributed to interactions between a fast wind from the central engine and the dense toroidal-shaped ejecta left over from common envelope (CE) evolution. Here we use the 3D hydrodynamic adaptive mesh refinement (AMR) code AstroBEAR to study the possibility that bipolar PN outflows can emerge collimated even from an uncollimated spherical wind in the aftermath of a CE event. The output of a single CE simulation via the smoothed particle hydrodynamics (SPH) code phantom serves as the initial conditions. Four cases of winds, all with high enough momenta to account for observed high momenta pre-PN outflows, are injected spherically from the region of the CE binary remnant into the ejecta. We compare cases with two different momenta and cases with no radiative cooling versus application of optically thin emission via a cooling curve to the outflow. Our simulations show that in all cases highly collimated bipolar outflows result from deflection of the spherical wind via the interaction with the CE ejecta. Significant asymmetries between the top and bottom lobes are seen in all cases. The asymmetry is strongest for the lower momentum case with radiative cooling. While real post-CE winds may be aspherical, our models show that collimation via ‘inertial confinement’ will be strong enough to create jet-like outflows even beginning with maximally uncollimated drivers. Our simulations reveal detailed shock structures in the shock-focused inertial confinement (SFIC) model and develop a lens-shaped inner shock that is a new feature of SFIC-driven bipolar lobes.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Isotopic mass effects of tritium-fueled high-performance TFTR supershots

An increase in total stored energy correlated with the addition of tritium fuel was observed in supershots during the TFTR DT campaign. This supershot regime had strikingly high, centrally peaked ion and electron temperatures, and the largest neutron emission rates observed in TFTR. This paper presents a study of the causes of this increase in stored energy in supershots. Twenty-six supershots have been recently reanalyzed with the TRANSP plasma analysis code. Early TRANSP simulations did not accurately match the measured magnitude and time evolutions of the neutron emission rates. This mismatch is attributed to neglecting apparent increases of trace amounts of heavy impurities during neutral beam injection. The new TRANSP runs were tuned to accommodate this and match the measured global neutron emission rates. These new runs also had improved fidelity in predicting the time histories and radial dependencies of measured DT neutron emission rates. That in turn adds confidence in the simulated thermal deuterium and tritium density profiles that are needed for calculating the average hydrogenic atomic mass profiles. Six subsets of these supershots had well matched toroidal field B tor , plasma current I p , flux geometry, and total injected neutral beam power. The mix of D and T beam ions was varied for different discharges. The magnitude of the increase of the thermal ion energy W i with added tritium was relatively small, and the total W tot increase is dominated by the increase in fast beam ions with T. Analyses at times before the occurrences of deleterious MHD instabilities yielded scaling of W tot with the volume-average isotopic mass consistent with previous publications. The relative fraction of fast energy ions is expected to be small in practical tokamak reactors. Thus the increase in stored energy W tot observed in TFTR supershots does not appear likely to be significantly helpful for producing useful fusion energy.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Nighttime Cirrus Detection using Atmospheric Infrared Sounder Window Channels and Total Column Water Vapor

A method of cirrus detection at nighttime is presented that utilizes 3.8 and 10.4 (micro)m infrared (IR) window brightness temperature differences (dBT) and total column precipitable water (PW) measurements. This technique is applied to the Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) and Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit A (AMSU-A) instrument suite on board EOS-Aqua, where dBT is determined from sets of carefully selected AIRS window channels, while PW is derived from the synergistic AIRS and AMSU-A water vapor retrievals. Simulated and observed dBT for a particular value of PW are not constant; several physical factors impact dBT, including the variability in temperature and relative humidity profiles, surface emissivity, instrument noise, and skin/ near-surface air temperature differences. We simulate clear-sky dBT over a realistic range of PWs using 8350 radiosondes that have varying temperature and relative humidity profiles. Thresholds between cloudy and uncertain sky conditions are derived once the scatter in the clear-sky dBT is determined. Simulations of optically thin cirrus indicate that this technique is most sensitive to cirrus optical depth in the 10 (micro)m window of 0.1-0.15 or greater over the tropical and subtropical oceans, where surface emissivity and skin/near-surface air temperature impacts on the IR radiances are minimal. The method at present is generally valid over oceanic regions only, specifically, the tropics and subtropics. The detection of thin cirrus, and other cloud types, is validated using observations at the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) program site located at Manus Island in the tropical western Pacific for 89 coincident EOS-Aqua overpasses. Even though the emphasis of this work is on the detection of thin cirrus at nighttime, this technique is sensitive to a broad cloud morphology. The cloud detection technique agrees with ARM-detected clouds 82-84% of the time, which include thin cirrus, as well as other cloud types. Most of the disagreements are well explained by AIRS footprint-scale heterogeneity compared to ARM point measurements, cirrus overlying lower-layer water clouds, possible mixed phase microphysics in midlevel clouds, and significant IR channel noise for cold BT scenes over deep convective towers.

Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (RAM)↗