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DOE OSTI2024

Climate change and its influence on water systems increases the cost of electricity system decarbonization

The electric sector simultaneously faces two challenges: decarbonization to mitigate, and adaptation to manage, the impacts of climate change. In many regions, these challenges are compounded by an interdependence of electricity and water systems, with water needed for hydropower generation and electricity for water provision. Here, we couple detailed water and electricity system models to evaluate how the Western Interconnection grid can both adapt to climate change and develop carbon-free generation by 2050, while accounting for interactions and climate vulnerabilities of the water sector. We find that by 2050, due to climate change, annual regional electricity use could grow by up to 2% from cooling and water-related electricity demand, while total annual hydropower generation could decrease by up to 23%. To adapt, we show that the region may need to build up to 139 GW of additional generating capacity between 2030 and 2050, equivalent to nearly thrice California's peak demand, and could incur up to $\$$150 billion (+7%) in extra costs.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2023

Quantitative Small-Signal Stability Analysis of Grid-Forming Inverters in Large-Scale Power Systems

In this paper, the challenges induced by the integration of inverter-based resources (IBRs) into existing power systems are discussed. Although the grid-forming (GFM) control has been used to enhance system performance in multiple sections of electric power systems (e.g., transmission and distribution systems, microgrids, among others), the coupling mechanism between GFM inverter and various types of other components in modern power systems should be clearly explored. Existing analyses mainly focus on qualitative investigations that verify the effectiveness of deploying GFM inverters for stability enhancement. A holistic system-level quantitative analysis is still missing to verify the detailed benefits of GFM inverters and their interactions with other generation units (e.g., synchronous generators [SGs], conventional grid-following [GFL] inverters, synchronous condensers, among others). To fill in the technical gaps, a holistic small-signal model of the entire system with both rotating generation units and IBRs is established along with the customized power flow analysis for varying steady-state operating points. Further, a quantitative method is proposed to identify the impacts of GFM inverters on system performance with an emphasis on a quantifiable stability margin and a complete modal analysis at the system level. Finally, a realistic test system is used to verify the proposed approach.

grid-following↗

DOE OSTI2020

Computationally Efficient Learning of Large Scale Dynamical Systems: A Koopman Theoretic Approach

In recent years there has been a considerable drive towards data-driven analysis, discovery and control of dynamical systems. To this end, operator theoretic methods, namely, Koopman operator methods have gained a lot of interest. In general, the Koopman operator is obtained as a solution to a least-squares problem, and as such, the Koopman operator can be expressed as a closed-form solution that involves the computation of Moore-Penrose inverse of a matrix. For high dimensional systems and also if the size of the obtained data-set is large, the computation of the Moore-Penrose inverse becomes computationally challenging. In this paper, we provide an algorithm for computing the Koopman operator for high dimensional systems in a time-efficient manner. We further demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed approach on two different systems, namely a network of coupled oscillators (with state-space dimension up to 2500) and IEEE 68 bus system (with state-space dimension 204 and up to 24,000 time-points).

Sinha, Subhrajit↗

DOE OSTI2026

High-throughput oxidation screening and down-selection of refractory high entropy alloys in the Al-Cr-Mo-Nb-Ta-Ti system

Rapid experimentation and characterization are ever-present needs in the discovery of high entropy alloys. High entropy alloy systems are difficult to survey with systematic composition sweeps using traditional synthesis methods. The number of distinct compositions in even a four-element system is experimentally intractable. Exploration of these, and higher-element systems, necessitates thermodynamic prediction coupled with an automated sample creation method and a rapid screening methodology to effectively down-select alloys with targeted properties. As a result, a high-throughput method for evaluating the oxidation performance of refractory high entropy alloys was developed and tested. The six-element system of aluminum, chromium, molybdenum, niobium, tantalum, and titanium was evaluated for single phase stability and short-duration oxidation resistance. Target compositions were initially determined via thermodynamic predictions of single-phase stability across a wide temperature range. A twenty-five-sample build plate was produced using directed energy deposition additive manufacturing. After fabrication, the twenty-five 1 cm 3 samples were heat treated and characterized for composition and phase identification. The build plate was exposed to a high temperature oxidizing environment at 1000 °C for three hours. After oxidation, the composition, morphology, and chemistry of the oxides formed were characterized. Of the twenty-five samples produced, nine exhibited a favorable oxidation response, from which a single-phase BCC alloy at a composition of Al 13 Cr 7 Mo 19 Nb 18 Ta 26 Ti 17 was identified as the alloy with the most protective oxidation coating with a thin, adherent oxide scale. Finally, the complete experimental down-selection—from machine setup to final alloy identification—required approximately 45 labor hours, demonstrating a rapid validation for alloy discovery.

Additive manufacturing↗

DOE OSTI2021

Laser Wavelength Shift from Splitters and Switches

The Detonation Science and Technology Group (Q-6) operates several photon Doppler velocimetry (PDV) systems as a diagnostic tool for measuring velocities in the 1–10 km/s range during high explosive (HE) detonation experiments. Q-6 uses “heterodyne” PDV systems that are produced by Traverse Solutions and Instrumentation, LLC (TS&I). These heterodyne systems combine wavelength (WL) tunable source and “reference” lasers with a WL offset of 10–100 pm from each other. Properly setting the source and reference WLs for an experiment can be critical for collecting the desired experimental data. The tunable lasers report WL readings in their control software, but these readings are based on a lookup table from a temperature reading and are not able to be calibrated. Therefore, recent test fire programs that require PDV as a diagnostic have also implemented requirements for monitoring the WL of the tunable lasers using a precision WL meter. To monitor the WL of several PDV lasers without disconnecting any patch fibers form the experimental setup, Q-6 developed a system splitters with a coupling ratio (%) of 99:1 and an optical switch with the switch output going to a single WL meter. A brief experiment was developed to determine if the splitters and/or switch introduced any WL bias into the readings. The purpose of this report is to document the system, the experiment, and its results.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2021

The PENELOPE Physics Models and Transport Mechanics. Implementation into Geant4

A translation of the PENELOPE physics subroutines to C++, designed as an extension of the GEANT4 toolkit, is presented. The Fortran code system PENELOPE performs Monte Carlo simulation of coupled electron-photon transport in arbitrary materials for a wide energy range, nominally from 50 eV up to 1 GeV. PENELOPE implements the most reliable interaction models that are currently available, limited only by the required generality of the code. In addition, the transport of electrons and positrons is simulated by means of an elaborate class II scheme in which hard interactions (involving deflection angles or energy transfers larger than pre-defined cutoffs) are simulated from the associated restricted differential cross sections. After a brief description of the interaction models adopted for photons and electrons/positrons, we describe the details of the class-II algorithm used for tracking electrons and positrons. The C++ classes are adapted to the specific code structure of GEANT4. They provide a complete description of the interactions and transport mechanics of electrons/positrons and photons in arbitrary materials, which can be activated from the G4ProcessManager to produce simulation results equivalent to those from the original PENELOPE programs. The combined code, named PENG4, benefits from the multi-threading capabilities and advanced geometry and statistical tools of GEANT4.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

DOE OSTI2025

Equilibrium-gated pattern formation: How molecular dissociation thermodynamics drive emergent behavior in dissipative polymeric systems

Emergent patterns in biological systems arise through dissipative processes that balance reaction and transport phenomena, producing highly functional properties from self-regulating mechanisms. Synthetic fabrication, by contrast, often relies on user-controlled, multistep methods that lack the self-organizing capabilities of natural systems. Inspired by nature, we sought chemical systems that integrate strongly coupled reaction and transport phenomena, identifying frontal ring-opening metathesis polymerization (FROMP) as a method capable of creating diverse forms and functions through reactive processing. By employing discrete molecular initiators, FROMP allows precise control of key reaction steps—inhibition, initiation, and propagation. Using an integrated computational and experimental framework, we uncover how near-equilibrium inhibition dynamics, coupled with far-from-equilibrium reaction kinetics, drive pattern formation in frontally polymerized synthetic materials. We propose the concept of equilibrium-gated pattern formation, demonstrating how initiator chemistry can be tuned to achieve programmable macroscale properties. Our study reveals a surprising insight: Emergent behavior in FROMP systems arises from the inhibition-dominated regime of resin composition, expanding prior observations that such behavior is confined to a narrow compositional space near the boundary between front quenching and uniform front propagation. We identify a broader compositional window, far from the quenching regime, where emergent behavior reliably manifests. This expanded design space significantly enhances the operational flexibility of reactive systems and their capacity for self-organization. Furthermore, these insights provide a roadmap for designing bioinspired materials with self-organizing capabilities, unlocking possibilities in synthetic manufacturing.

Architected Polymers↗

DOE OSTI2025

On a simplified solution of climate-carbon dynamics in idealized flat10MIP simulations

Abstract. Idealized experiments with coupled climate-carbon Earth system models (ESMs) provide a basis for understanding the response of the carbon cycle to external forcing and for quantifying climate-carbon feedbacks. Here, we analyze globally-averaged results from idealized esm-flat10 experiments and show that most models exhibit a quasi-linear relationship between cumulative carbon uptake on land and in the ocean during a period of constant fossil fuel emissions of 10 Pg C yr−1. We hypothesize that this relationship does not depend on emission pathways. Further, as a simplification, we quantify the relationship between cumulative ocean carbon uptake and changes in ocean heat content using a linear approximation. In this way, changes in oceanic heat content and atmospheric CO2 concentration become interdependent variables, reducing the coupled temperature-CO2 system to just one differential equation. The equation can be solved analytically or numerically for the atmospheric CO2 concentration as a function of fossil fuel emissions. This approach leads to a simplified description of global carbon and climate dynamics, which could be used for applications beyond existing analytical frameworks.

Brovkin, Victor↗

DOE OSTI2020

Ultra-wideband mutual coupling compensation of active electronically scanned arrays in multi-channel radar systems

Technologies pertaining to the calibration of ultra-wide-band active-electronically-scanned arrays to compensate for transmit and receive mutual coupling between array elements and/or non-ideal isolated channels are described herein. A plurality of near-field measurements are taken by way of probe or probes that may be moved among a plurality of positions aligned with respective elements in the array. For each position of the probe, each of the elements of the array is stimulated to transmit or receive a calibration signal to or from the probe, respectively. Frequency-domain transfer functions are computed from the received signals by the probe or the element for each of the array elements in each of the positions of the probe. The inverse of the matrix of transfer functions comprise frequency-domain transmit and receive correction factors that are used to modify desired array inputs/outputs such that the modified signals correct for mutual coupling between elements in the array.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2022

Probing antiferromagnetic coupling in magnetic insulator/metal heterostructures

Using depth- and element-resolved characterization, we report insights into antiferromagnetic coupling in Y 3 ⁢Fe 5 ⁢O 12 /permalloy (YIG/Py) and Y 3 ⁢Fe 5 ⁢O 12 /Co (YIG/Co) thin-film heterostructures grown on Si/SiO 2 and Gd 3⁢ Ga 5⁢ O 12 substrates. We build on recent work demonstrating antiferromagnetic coupling in polycrystalline YIG/metallic-ferromagnetic systems by characterizing differences in the structural and magnetic properties which depend on the choice of ferromagnet (Py vs Co), seed layer (with and without Pt), and substrate (Si/SiO 2 vs Gd 3 ⁢Ga 5 ⁢O 12 ). These differences in the sample structure manifest as notable changes in interface coupling sign, magnetic reversal mechanisms, magnetic depth profiles, and domain structure. Through a combination of magnetometry, polarized neutron reflectometry, and x-ray photoemission electron microscopy, a comprehensive picture of the magnetic interactions is realized, with lateral- and depth resolution at submicrometer and nanometer scales, respectively. These results confirm that both Co and Py share a preference to align antiparallel to polycrystalline YIG grown on some substrates (Si/SiO 2 and Si/SiO 2 /Pt), while coupling ferromagnetically with highly oriented YIG on (111) Gd 3⁢ Ga 5 ⁢O 12 and (110) Gd 3 ⁢Ga 5⁢ O 12 /Pt substrates. The complex interplay among magnetic interactions at the YIG/ferromagnetic interface has important implications for spintronic and magnonic devices based on this platform.

Exchange interaction↗

DOE OSTI2022

A Decentralized Approach for Modeling Organized Convection Based on Thermal Populations on Microgrids

Abstract In this study, a spectral model for convective transport is coupled to a thermal population model on a two‐dimensional horizontal “microgrid,” covering the typical gridbox size of general circulation models. The goal is to explore new ways of representing impacts of spatial organization in cumulus cloud fields. The thermals are considered the smallest building block of convection, with thermal life cycle and movement represented through binomial functions. Thermals interact through two simple rules, reflecting pulsating growth and environmental deformation. Long‐lived thermal clusters thus form on the microgrid, exhibiting scale growth and spacing that represent simple forms of spatial organization and memory. Size distributions of cluster number are diagnosed from the microgrid through an online clustering algorithm, and provided as input to a spectral multiplume eddy‐diffusivity mass flux scheme. This yields a decentralized transport system, in that the thermal clusters acting as independent but interacting nodes that carry information about spatial structure. The main objectives of this study are (a) to seek proof of concept of this approach, and (b) to gain insight into impacts of spatial organization on convective transport. Single‐column model experiments demonstrate satisfactory skill in reproducing two observed cases of continental shallow convection. Metrics expressing self‐organization and spatial organization match well with large‐eddy simulation results. We find that in this coupled system, spatial organization impacts convective transport primarily through the scale break in the size distribution of cluster number. The rooting of saturated plumes in the subcloud mixed layer plays a key role in this process.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Dynamical Complexity of Non-Gaussian Many-Body Systems with Dissipation

We characterize the dynamical state of many-body bosonic and fermionic many-body models with intersite Gaussian couplings, on-site non-Gaussian interactions, and local dissipation comprising incoherent particle loss, particle gain, and dephasing. We first establish that, for fermionic systems, if the dephasing noise is larger than the non-Gaussian interactions, irrespective of the Gaussian coupling strength, the system state is a convex combination of Gaussian states at all times. Furthermore, for bosonic systems, we show that if the particle loss and particle gain rates are larger than the Gaussian intersite couplings, the system remains in a separable state at all times. Building on this characterization, we establish that at noise rates above a threshold, there exists a classical algorithm that can efficiently sample from the system state of both the fermionic and bosonic models. Finally, we show that, unlike fermionic systems, bosonic systems can evolve into states that are not convex Gaussian even when the dissipation is much higher than the on-site non-Gaussianity. Similarly, unlike bosonic systems, fermionic systems can generate entanglement even with noise rates much larger than the intersite couplings.

Computational complexity↗

DOE OSTI2023

Coupled effects of future rainfall and land use on urban stormwater drainage system in Tampa, Florida (USA)

Future rainfall and land use are two important factors for flood management since they both directly and indirectly affect the functionality and performance of urban stormwater drainage infrastructures. Although some studies have already examined the coupled effects of future rainfall and land use conditions, they have not concluded how such effects on both surface runoff and flood areas would change with regional surface elevation variation and infrastructure conditions. This paper analyzed the coupled effects of future rainfall and land use on urban drainage systems in terms of surface runoff quantity and flood area changes using EPA SWMM. Future downscaled and bias-corrected precipitation projections for 2040–2060 and 2080–2099 from “Downscaled CMIP3 and CMIP5 Climate and Hydrology Projections” Archive and future land use for 2050 s and 2090 s from EPA ICLUS project were used for the City of Tampa in Florida (USA). It was shown that potential runoff volume and flood area changes ranged from –40% to 160%, and –40% to 400% due to rainfall change, while potential changes induced by land use change ranged from 0% to 3.5%, and 0% to 18% respectively. Additionally, this study examined the coupled effects of future rainfall and land use changes on flood area variations, considering the capacity of drainage infrastructure and elevation variation of study site. Results showed that flood area variations are not solely influenced by runoff quantity changes due to the two external drivers, but also by other factors. Specifically, in low-relief areas with inadequate drainage infrastructure and less elevation variation, these two drivers have no additive effects on the percentage of flood area changes. In contrast, in areas with adequate drainage infrastructure and greater surface elevation variation, there are additive effects from rainfall and land use changes on flood area expansions. These findings have important implications for stakeholders involved in city planning and flooding control, particularly for urban areas facing future precipitation and urbanization challenges.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Localizing individual exciton on a quantum Hall antidot

Excitons are bond states of electron-hole pairs formed through Coulomb interaction. While excitonic phases have been widely studied in semiconductors and quantum Hall double-layers, prior works largely focus on bulk systems with large number of excitons, limiting their applications in quantum devices. Here, employing the approach of quantum Hall antidot with two spatially separated edge channels, we demonstrate a type of quantum Hall quasiparticle exciton which represents a quantum-coherent bound state of an electron and a hole situated on their corresponding edges coupled through intralayer tunneling and Coulomb interaction. This approach allows localization and electrical tuning of individual quantum Hall excitons. Quantum-coherent dynamics of exciton are observed in the gate-dependence of antidot conductance peaks near the electron-hole resonance, which signifies a quantum superposition of vacuum- and electron-hole pairing states. Modeling the electron-hole pair as a coupled two-level system, semi-quantitative understanding of experimental observations is achieved. This work opens avenues for creating quantum systems of multiple quantum Hall quasiparticles.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

A review of thermo-hydro-mechanical modeling of coupled processes in fractured rock: From continuum to discontinuum perspective

Coupled thermo-hydro-mechanical (THM) processes in fractured rock are playing a crucial role in geoscience and geoengineering applications. Diverse and conceptually distinct approaches have emerged over the past decades in both continuum and discontinuum perspectives leading to significant progress in their comprehending and modeling. This review paper offers an integrated perspective on existing modeling methodologies providing guidance for model selection based on the initial and boundary conditions. By comparing various models, one can better assess the uncertainties in predictions, particularly those related to the conceptual models. The review explores how these methodologies have significantly enhanced the fundamental understanding of how fractures respond to fluid injection and production, and improved predictive capabilities pertaining to coupled processes within fractured systems. It emphasizes the importance of utilizing advanced computational technologies and thoroughly considering fundamental theories and principles established through past experimental evidence and practical experience. The selection and calibration of model parameters should be based on typical ranges and applied to the specific conditions of applications. The challenges arising from inherent heterogeneity and uncertainties, nonlinear THM coupled processes, scale dependence, and computational limitations in representing field scale fractures are discussed. Realizing potential advances on computational capacity calls for methodical conceptualization, mathematical modeling, selection of numerical solution strategies, implementation, and calibration to foster simulation outcomes that intricately reflect the nuanced complexities of geological phenomena. Future research efforts should focus on innovative approaches to tackle the hurdles and advance the state-of-the-art in this critical field of study.

Coupling scheme↗

DOE OSTI2024

R-matrix calculations for opacities: I. Methodology and computations

Abstract An extended version of the R -matrix methodology is presented for calculation of radiative parameters for improved plasma opacities. Contrast and comparisons with existing methods primarily relying on the distorted wave approximation are discussed to verify accuracy and resolve outstanding issues, particularly with reference to the opacity project (OP). Among the improvements incorporated are: (i) large-scale Breit–Pauli R -matrix calculations for complex atomic systems including fine structure, (ii) convergent close coupling wave function expansions for the ( e + ion) system to compute oscillator strengths and photoionization cross sections, (iii) open and closed shell iron ions of interest in astrophysics and experiments, (iv) a treatment for plasma broadening of autoionizing resonances as function of energy-temperature-density dependent cross sections, (v) a ‘top-up’ procedure to compare convergence with R -matrix calculations for highly excited levels, and (vi) spectroscopic identification of resonances and bound ( e + ion) levels. The present R -matrix monochromatic opacity spectra are fundamentally different from OP and lead to enhanced Rosseland and Planck mean opacities. An outline of the work reported in other papers in this series and those in progress is presented. Based on the present re-examination of the OP work, opacities of heavy elements might require revisions in high temperature-density plasma sources.

Pradhan, A. K. (ORCID:0000000187753643)↗

DOE OSTI2020

Generic characterization of electrical test benches for AC- and HVDC-connected wind power plants

The electrical test and assessment of wind turbines go hand in hand with standards and network connection requirements. In this paper, the generic structure of advanced electrical test benches, including grid emulator or controllable grid interface, wind torque emulator, and device under test, is proposed to harmonize state-of-the-art test sites. On the other hand, modern wind turbines are under development towards new features, concerning grid-forming, black-start, and frequency support capabilities as well as harmonic stability and control interaction considerations, to secure the robustness and stability of renewable-energy-based power systems. Therefore, it is necessary to develop new and revised test standards and methodologies to address the new features of wind turbines. This paper proposes a generic test structure within two main groups, including open-loop and closed-loop tests. The open-loop tests include the IEC 61400-21-1 standard tests as well as the additional proposed test options for the new capabilities of wind turbines, which replicate grid connection compliance tests using open-loop references for the grid emulator. In addition, the closed-loop tests evaluate the device under test as part of a virtual wind power plant and perform real-time simulations considering the grid dynamics. The closed-loop tests concern grid connection topologies consisting of AC and HVDC, as well as different electrical characteristics, including impedance, short-circuit ratio, inertia, and background harmonics. The proposed tests can be implemented using available advanced test benches by adjusting their control systems. The characteristics of a real power system can be emulated by a grid emulator coupled with real-time digital simulator systems through a high-bandwidth power-hardware-in-the-loop interface.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2021

Accomplishments and Year-End Performance Report; Wind Energy Program: Fiscal Year 2021

The National Wind Technology Center (NWTC), located at the U.S. Department of Energy's (DOE's) National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) Flatirons Campus, has been a driving force in advancing wind energy technology research worldwide since its designation as a DOE national research center in 1992. Enabled by the Flatirons Campus's world-class facilities, scientists, engineers, analysts, and researchers are pushing the frontiers of science to pursue wind energy innovation. In Fiscal Year (FY) 2021, NREL continued to provide the technical expertise, research capabilities, and industry understanding to support DOE's ambitious climate action and research goals by advancing technology, addressing market and deployment barriers, and driving down costs with more efficient, reliable, and predictable wind energy systems. One of several highlights, NREL received an R&D 100 Special Recognition Award for its Thermoplastic Resin System for Wind Turbine Blades. This breakthrough in the wind turbine manufacturing process will enable the production of recyclable blades that are stronger, longer, and less expensive, while increasing energy capture, decreasing energy and transportation costs, and increasing blade reliability. In a year when the entire U.S. economy struggled to address workforce gaps, an NREL study compared wind industry needs, training programs, and hiring practices with perspectives from students and recent college graduates. Researchers hope that, by pinpointing areas of disconnect, the expectations of employers who have difficulty filling entry-level jobs can better align with the preparation of the potential applicants who find it hard to break into the field. The lab also made numerous new data and modeling resources available in FY 2021. Recent NREL releases include a modeling tool for predicting the power performance and structural loads of wind turbines within a wind farm (FAST.Farm), a computational framework for modeling golden eagle behavior near wind farms, and 20 years of offshore wind data. Updates were also made to the widely used Wind Plant Integrated Systems Design and Engineering Model (WISDEM), which couples engineering and cost models to examine system-level trade-offs. Now, bolstered by a renewed national commitment to tackle climate change and revitalize the U.S. economy through increased investment in clean energy - particularly in offshore wind energy - NREL stands poised to lead the way to a sustainable future that powers the United States with significant levels of reliable, low-cost, accessible wind energy. This report provides an overview of the achievements NREL made on behalf of DOE's Wind Energy Technologies Office (WETO) and other partners during FY 2021 (between Oct. 1, 2020, and Sept. 30, 2021).

Flatirons Campus↗