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TASTI-GRID: Overview of the State of Oregon’s Resilience and Reliability [Slides]

This report is intended to help your state identify the most effective investments to improve grid resilience and reliability, based on analysis of outage data, weather events, and the current state of the electric grid. The information presented is derived from the best available data. The discussions and recommendations included provide context and valuable insights into potential high returns on investment (ROI). Specifically, the report offers an overview of electric grid resilience in Oregon, covering outage information, reasons for outages, calculated "resilience scores" across the state, and recommendations for both immediate and long-term investments in grid infrastructure. The document provides a concise overview of the analytical capabilities of the TASTI-GRID team. By utilizing additional data and resources, it synthesizes insights from the platform to present a distinct perspective on investing in grid resilience throughout Oregon. This document is not intended to influence or direct state-level decisions related to investments in grid resilience and reliability. TASTI-GRID should not be used for real-time monitoring, supporting the ESF #12 emergency response functions, or predicting the restoration times for outages.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

A Cellular Automaton Simulation for Predicting Phase Evolution in Solid-State Reactions

New computational tools for solid-state synthesis recipe design are needed in order to accelerate the experimental realization of novel functional materials proposed by high-throughput materials discovery workflows. This work contributes a cellular automaton simulation framework for predicting the time-dependent evolution of intermediate and product phases during solid-state reactions as a function of precursor choice and amount, reaction atmosphere, and heating profile. The simulation captures the effects of reactant particle spatial distribution, particle melting, and reaction atmosphere. Reaction rates based on rudimentary kinetics are estimated using density functional theory data from the Materials Project and machine learning estimators for the melting point and the vibrational entropy component of the Gibbs free energy. The resulting simulation framework allows for the prediction of the likely outcome of a reaction recipe before any experiments are performed. We analyze five experimental solid-state recipes for BaTiO 3 , CaZrN 2 , and YMnO 3 found in the literature to illustrate the performance of the model in capturing reaction selectivity and reaction pathways as a function of temperature and precursor choice. This simulation framework offers an easier way to optimize existing recipes, aid in the identification of intermediates, and design effective recipes for yet unrealized inorganic solids in silico .

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Evaluating Mean State Cloud Properties in the Simple Cloud‐Resolving E3SM Atmosphere Model (SCREAM)

Accurately simulating clouds remains a key challenge in global climate models, primarily because cloud formation involves sub-grid processes that are parameterized and crudely represented in models. This study examines the performance of DOE's Simple Cloud-Resolving Energy Exascale Earth System (E3SM) Atmosphere Model (SCREAM) in simulating cloud properties and their spatio-temporal distribution by comparing against satellite observations. Two horizontal resolutions of SCREAM (3 and 12 km) are examined, and both depict a realistic spatial structure of mean-state cloud cover but underestimate its global mean magnitude. SCREAM 3 km reasonably reproduces the distribution of mean-state cloud properties across various cloud optical thickness and cloud-top pressure regimes, with performance comparable to CMIP5 and CMIP6 ensemble and marginally outperforming SCREAM 12 km. Still, SCREAM 3 km tends to underpredict low clouds and optically thin clouds, highlighting the need for continued improvement in representing unresolved processes. This study provides a basis for confidence in the representation of clouds in SCREAM, as simulating mean-state clouds is a necessary prerequisite for trusting its cloud responses to changes in aerosols and greenhouse gases.

Geosciences↗

Operando X-ray absorption spectroscopic investigation of electrocatalysts state in anion exchange membrane fuel cells

Capturing the active state of (electro)catalysts under operating conditions, namely operando, is the ultimate objective of (electro)catalyst characterization, enabling the unraveling of reaction mechanisms and advancing (electro)catalyst development. Operando insights advance our understanding of the correlations between electrochemical tests and device-level performances. However, operando characterization of electrocatalysts is challenging due to the complexity of electrochemical devices and instrumental limitations. As a result, the majority of electrocatalyst characterizations have been limited to half-cell in situ studies. Here, we present an operando X-ray absorption spectroscopic study of Mn spinel oxide electrocatalysts in an operating fuel cell employing a custom-designed cell. Our results reveal that in anion exchange membrane fuel cells, the Mn valence state, within spinel Mn 3 O 4 /C, increases to above 3+, adopting an octahedral coordination devoid of Jahn-Teller distortions. This structural change results in an AEMFC performance equivalent to that of Co 1.5 Mn 1.5 O 4 /C, a composition that outperforms Mn 3 O 4 /C in rotating disk electrode tests. Our results underscore the importance of operando characterizations in elucidating the active state of electrocatalysts and understanding the correlation(s) between electrochemical tests and device performance.

Electrocatalysis↗

Crystal field splittings and magnetic ground state of the square-lattice antiferromagnets YbBi 2 ⁢ClO 4 and YbBi 2 ⁢IO 4 with J eff = $\frac{1}{2}$

Here, we report on the crystal field level splitting and magnetic ground state of the J eff = $\frac{1}{2}$ square lattice antiferromagnets YbBi 2 ⁢ClO 4 and YbBi 2 ⁢IO 4 using powder inelastic neutron scattering (INS) and neutron diffraction measurements. Both compounds exhibit a well-isolated Γ 7 doublet ground state under a tetragonal crystal field environment, confirming a robust J eff = $\frac{1}{2}$ picture with slight XY-type anisotropic character in the g-tensor. Notably, the ground state wave functions closely resemble the Γ 7 doublet expected in the perfect cubic limit, consistent with the nearly cubic ligand configuration of eight O 2- ions surrounding Yb 3+ . Below T N = 0.21 K, YbBi 2 ⁢IO 4 exhibits a stripe long-range magnetic order characterized by an ordering wave vector q m = (1/2, 0, 0) or its symmetry-equivalent (0, 1/2, 0), with magnetic moments aligned along q m . The ordered moment is approximately 79% of the classical prediction, significantly larger than expected from the isotropic J 1 -J 2 model, suggesting the possible involvement of exchange anisotropy in explaining this observation. We show that symmetry-allowed XXZ and bond-dependent anisotropic exchange terms in a square lattice can play a critical role in stabilizing the stripe order and suppressing the moment reduction as observed. These findings establish YbBi 2 ⁢ClO 4 and YbBi 2 ⁢IO 4 as unique platforms for exploring rich J eff = $\frac{1}{2}$ magnetism from two less investigated perspectives: (i) on a square lattice and (ii) within a (nearly) cubic ligand environment.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Dynamic, symmetry-preserving, and hardware-adaptable circuits for quantum computing many-body states and correlators of the Anderson impurity model

We present a hardware-reconfigurable ansatz on N q -qubits for the variational preparation of many-body states of the Anderson impurity model (AIM) with N imp + N bath = N q /2 sites, which conserves total charge and spin z component within each variational search subspace. The many-body ground state of the AIM is determined as the minimum over all minima of O(N$^2_ q$) distinct charge-spin sectors. Hamiltonian expectation values are shown to require ω(N q ) < N meas. $\leqslant$ O(N imp N bath ) symmetry-preserving, parallelizable measurement circuits, each amenable to postselection. To obtain the one-particle impurity Green’s function we show how initial Krylov vectors can be computed via midcircuit measurement and how Lanczos iterations can be computed using the symmetry-preserving ansatz. For a single-impurity Anderson model with a number of bath sites increasing from one to seven, we show using numerical emulation that the ease of variational ground-state preparation is suggestive of linear scaling in circuit depth and subquartic scaling in optimizer complexity. We therefore expect that, combined with time-dependent methods for Green’s function computation, our ansatz provides a useful tool to account for electronic correlations on early fault-tolerant processors. Finally, with a view towards computing real materials properties of interest like magnetic susceptibilities and electron-hole propagators, we provide a straightforward method to compute many-body, time-dependent correlation functions using a combination of time evolution, midcircuit measurement-conditioned operations, and the Hadamard test.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Manipulation of the Electronic State of Mott Iridate Superlattice through Protonation Induced Electron-Filling

Spin-orbit-coupled Mott iridates show great similarity with parent compounds of superconducting cuprates, attracting extensive research interest especially for their electron-doped states. However, previous experiments have been largely limited within a small doping range due to the absence of effective dopants, and therefore the electron-doped phase diagram remains elusive. Here, an ionic-liquid-gating-induced protonation method is utilized to achieve electron-doping into a 5d Mott-insulator built with a SrIrO 3 /SrTiO 3 superlattice (SL), and a systematic mapping of its electron-doped phase diagram is achieved with the evolution of the iridium valence state from 4+ to 3+, equivalent to doping of one electron per iridium ion. Along increasing doping level, the parent Mott-insulator is first turned into a localized metallic state with gradually suppressed magnetic ordering, and then further evolves into a nonmagnetic band insulating state. This work forms an important step forward for the study of electron-doped Mott iridate systems, and the strategy of manipulating the band filling in an artificially designed SL structure can be readily extended into other systems with more exotic states to explore.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Dressed vs. pairwise states, and the geometric phase of monopoles and charges

We construct the Faddeev-Kulish dressed multiparticle states of electrically and magnetically charged particles, incorporating the effects of real and virtual soft photons. We calculate the properties of such dressed states under Lorentz transformations, and find that they can be identified with the pairwise multi-particle states that transform under the pairwise little group. The shifts in the dressing factors under Lorentz transformations are finite and have a simple geometric interpretation. Using the transformation properties of the dressed states we also present a novel, fully quantum field theoretic derivation of the geometric (Berry) phase obtained by an adiabatic rotation of the Dirac string, and also of the Dirac quantization condition. For half integer pairwise helicity, we show that these multiparticle states have flipped spin-statistics, reproducing the surprising fact that fermions can be made out of bosons.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Chemical and structural origin of hole states in yttria-stabilized zirconia

Yttria-stabilized zirconia (YSZ) has important electrochemical applications as a fast oxygen ion conductor and is the state-of-the-art electrolyte material for solid oxide fuel/electrolyzer cells. While much attention has been paid to the fast oxygen ion conduction, the electronic conductivity and especially hole carriers are not well understood, yet essential for the electrochemical stability, conduction kinetics and microstructural evolution in YSZ. The present work uses first-principles calculations to illustrate the chemical nature and local structural features of hole states in oxidized YSZ. Three types of hole states have been identified, including delocalized hole states on normal oxygen ions, localized hole states on special oxygen ions with extreme local structures, and peroxide-like groups. In conclusion, the implications on various experimental observations are discussed.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Ghost states and surface structures of the charge density wave kagome metal ScV 6 Sn 6

In this work, we investigate the high-temperature phase of the kagome metal ScV 6 Sn 6 using scanning tunneling microscopy/spectroscopy (STM/S) and density functional theory calculations. STM topographic images of the cleaved sample reveal two distinct surface terminations: flat islands with Sn termination and trenches terminated by kagome layers with Sn as the outermost atomic layer. STS measurements on the Sn-terminated and kagome-terminated surfaces show significant differences, in particular the presence of large density of states near the Fermi level in the former case. Our first-principles calculations reveal that the charge density on the kagome-terminated surface gives rise to “ghost states” which show intensity away from surface atoms, arising due to hybridization of orbitals above the surface. These states can obscure the intrinsic properties of the surface, potentially leading to misattribution of the surface termination. This underscores the need for careful interpretation in STM studies, especially when discerning surface states of localized states. Understanding the surface structure of this versatile quantum material provides essential information for interpreting surface-sensitive experiments, tailoring material properties, engineering interfaces, and controlling stability and reactivity. This knowledge paves the way for further exploration and potential applications of kagome lattice materials in various fields, including quantum computing, topological physics, and advanced electronic devices.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Smart detection of indoor occupant thermal state via infrared thermography, computer vision, and machine learning

The ability to measure occupants’ thermal state in real time will enable major advances in the control of air conditioning systems. This study proposes predicting occupant thermal state by a combination of infrared thermography, computer vision, and machine learning. The approach (1) uses cheek, nose, and hand temperatures because they are least subject to blockage by hair, glasses, and clothing; (2) measures the distribution of skin temperatures within geometrically defined sub-areas of the face and hand; and (3) uses temperature differences within and between these areas to eliminate the effects of calibration drift that are unavoidable in thermal infrared (TIR) cameras. Two series of tests were conducted, respectively in an outdoor carport and an indoor environmental chamber, collecting a total of 48,422 sets of cheek, nose, and hand skin temperatures using a TIR camera and computer-vision technology, coupled with 715 subjective responses of thermal sensations. To predict occupant thermal state, Random Forest classification models were built using either absolute skin temperatures (the maximum and median temperatures of cheek and hand segments, and the temperature of the central spot on the nose), or intra- and inter-segment temperature differences of cheeks, hands, and nose. These measurements were found to accurately predict occupant thermal state. Using the maximum and median temperatures for cheek and nose, or for cheek and hand, predicts thermal state with an accuracy of 92–96%. In conclusion, using only the intra- and inter-segment temperature differences from cheek and nose is 83% accurate; adding the hand temperature differences increases the accuracy to 96%.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Rich methane oxidation on Pt/Pd/Al 2 O 3 : Steady state performance, multiplicity features, and spatial patterns

Performance features are reported for the catalytic sub-stoichiometric (rich) oxidation of methane on a Pt + Pd/ Al 2 O 3 washcoated monolith over a range of feed temperatures and O 2 /CH 4 for both dry and wet feeds. Near isothermal steady state multiplicity and co-existing states with different methane conversions are presented. The methane conversion vs. O 2 feed concentration consists of a higher conversion regime at lower concentrations and a lower conversion, inhibited regime at higher concentration. Here, the conversion maximum is accompanied by an overlap of the two regimes in the form of a clockwise hysteresis loop. Spatial concentration profiles for the dry feed reveal an upstream oxidation zone and downstream stream reforming zone. Measurements extending beyond the catalyst imply the co-existence of active and inhibited states. Addition of water promotes oxidation and steam reforming while the multiplicity and nonuniform states persist. Underlying mechanistic aspects responsible for the inhibition, rate multiplicity and co-existing states are discussed.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

How will United States commercial building energy use be impacted by IPCC climate scenarios?

Climate change and anthropogenically-forced shift of weather in the future will impact energy use and resilience of both the built environment and the electric grid. The aim of this analysis is to understand how future climate scenarios will impact electricity and natural gas use of commercial buildings in the United States. Here, this study analyzes this impact for 2030, 2045, and 2100 using Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) scenarios defined in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Assessment Report 5. The large, gridded simulation of meteorological variables for RCPs 2.6, 4.5, 6.0, and 8.5 are selected and downscaled to make available hourly Future Meteorological Year (FMY) weather files for use and improvement in subsequent studies. High performance computing resources use these FMYs to simulate commercial prototype buildings in every American Society of Heating, Refrigeration, and Air Conditioning Engineers (ASHRAE) climate zone of the United States (US), and results are scaled to nation-wide energy use using conditioned floor area multipliers. The analysis is conducted without speculating the physical and performance traits of future buildings or the grid characteristics. This analysis quantifies the impact of climate change on source electrical and natural gas usage for commercial buildings in the United States over the next 80 years. If US commercial floorspace remained constant, total energy use by 2100 is predicted between an 1.75% decrease under the greatest emission scenario (8.5) and a 1.76% increase under the lowest emission scenario (2.6). When adjusted for anticipated urban growth by 2100, the predicted range is 65% increase (8.5) and 71% increase (2.6). Under a global temperature rise climate scenario, the warmest US climate zones will see a large increases in electricity use derived from space cooling while the coldest US climate zones will see significant decreases in natural gas use caused by the decrease in heating necessary. While climate change may ultimately require adaptations of the built environment to withstand its effects and because the United States is a country that requires more heating than cooling, from a building energy perspective, climate change (average temperature rise) is a net energy saver for the United States.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Effect of solenoidal magnetic field on charge-state purity in laser ion source

A solenoidal magnetic field has been used to enhance the ion flux of a laser ion source. However, the dependence of the increase in ion current on the charge-state has not been clarified. In this study, to control the purity of the charge-state in the laser ion source, we investigated the effect of a solenoidal magnetic field on the charge-state distribution of ions in laser ion sources with a solenoid. The results indicate that the flux of ions with a heavier and/or lower charge-state can be increased using higher magnetic flux densities, and that each charged ion has an optimal solenoidal magnetic flux density that maximizes its flux. These results imply that it is possible to increase the purity of the desired charge-state ions by selecting a suitable solenoidal magnetic flux density.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

A novel conditional generative model for efficient ensemble forecasts of state variables in large-scale geological carbon storage

Integrating monitoring data to efficiently update reservoir pressure and CO 2 plume distribution forecasts presents a significant challenge in geological carbon storage (GCS) applications. Inverse modeling techniques are commonly used to fuse observational data and refine reservoir model parameters, thereby improving state variable forecasts. However, these techniques often rely on linear or Gaussian assumptions, which can limit their effectiveness in accurately predicting state variables. Moreover, simulating large-scale three-dimensional (3D) GCS problems is computationally expensive, making iterative runs in inverse problems prohibitive. To address these challenges, we propose a conditional generative model utilizing the score-based diffusion method for real-time 3D pressure and saturation field distribution predictions. Our approach involves solving the score function with a mini-batch-based Monte Carlo estimator to generate labeled data. This data is subsequently employed to train a fully connected neural network, enabling it to learn the conditional sample generator within a supervised learning framework. This method enables the rapid generation of a large ensemble of predictions, facilitating comprehensive uncertainty quantification of state variables. Here we applied our method to forecast the dynamic 3D distributions of pressure and saturation fields over a 30-year injection period. The statistical assessment with low root mean square error (RMSE) values demonstrates that our method can accurately predict the spatiotemporal distributions of both pressure and saturation fields. Moreover, the developed conditional generative model shows high computational efficiency by generating 100 ensemble forecasts of 3D state variables in less than 10 min. The consistency between ensemble averages and ground truth values further illustrates the model’s capability to capture state variable dynamics during the CO 2 plume injection process. Notably, the ground truth values fall within the ensemble forecasts, indicating that our uncertainty quantification effectively captures variability and potential noise in the observations. Thus, the developed conditional generative model proves to be a more efficient, accurate, and practical tool for GCS applications, facilitating timely risk analysis and informed decision-making.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Manipulation of self-organized multi-vortical states in active magnetic roller suspensions

Ensembles of active magnetic colloids demonstrate complex collective behavior and self-organization when driven out of equilibrium by external magnetic fields. The interplay between magnetic and hydrodynamic interactions often result in spontaneous self-assembly and the emergence of localized vortices in ensembles of ferromagnetic rollers. We report experimental and computational study of the self-organized multi-vortical state in ensembles of magnetic rollers under the imposed external confining potential realized by patterned substrates. We explore the behavior of the system on a substrate patterned with shallow wells ordered in a lattice with square symmetry and lattice spacing smaller than the wells’ diameter. Here we demonstrate, that ensembles of active magnetic rollers evolve in response to changes in the geometry of the confining lattice from a globally correlated state characterized by anti-ferromagnetic vortex ordering to a state with rapidly changing particle flows and self-organized vortical states with a lattice constant larger than one of the confining pattern. Our experimental observations are accompanied by numerical simulations based on phenomenological coarse grained particle dynamics coupled to Navier–Stokes hydrodynamics in shallow water approximation. The reported results provide insights into the collective behavior of active magnetic rollers under confinement and suggest strategies for the manipulation of collective dynamic states in active magnetic liquids.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

High-resolution rovibrational spectroscopy of trans -formic acid in the v 1 OH stretching fundamental: Dark state coupling and evidence for charge delocalization dynamics

High-resolution infrared (IR) reduced-Doppler absorption spectra of jet-cooled gas phase trans-formic acid in the v 1 OH stretching fundamental region are reported for the first time, obtained by supersonically expanding trans- formic acid/Ar mixtures through a slit jet nozzle source and rotationally cooling to T rot ≈ 10.9(5) K, with ab- sorption signals recorded by high-resolution difference-frequency IR absorption spectroscopy. Two a/b-type rovibrational bands of comparable intensity, one ~10-fold weaker b-type band, and one ~6-fold weaker a-type band are observed, with vibrational band origins at 3570.493(5), 3566.793(5), 3560.032(9), and 3534.6869(2) cm –1 , respectively. Based on previous Raman jet spectroscopic work by Nejad and Sibert [A. Nejad, E.L. Sibert III, The Raman jet spectrum of trans-formic acid and its deuterated isotopologs: Combining theory and experi- ment to extend the vibrational database, J. Chem. Phys. 154(6) (2021) 064301.], these four rovibrational bands have been assigned to v 1 , (v 2 + v 7 ), (v 6 + 2v 7 + 2v 9 ), and 2v 3 , respectively. Specifically, two of the three upper dark states (2 1 7 1 (a') and 6 1 7 2 9 2 (a')) are close enough to the “bright” 1 1 (a') state to facilitate strong anharmonic resonance interactions, which results in intensity mixing into the two zero-order bands that would otherwise be “dark”. Furthermore, our high-resolution spectral analysis reveals that there are local rotational crossings be- tween these zero-order 1 1 and 2 1 7 1 states resulting in extra lines (i.e., some upper levels in the nominally v 1 band have majority zero-order 2 1 7 1 state character). This motivates development of a 3 coupled state (1 1 , 2 1 7 1 , and 6 1 7 2 9 2 ) picture to aid in the spectral analysis, which is able to match all 3 observed band origins and relative band intensities, as well as indicate the necessity of multistate (> 2) coupling. Though limited by range of J and Ka levels (J’ ≤ 9 and K a ’ ≤ 3) populated at supersonic jet temperatures, this work offers first precision spec- troscopic analysis of trans-formic acid in the v 1 OH stretch region, which should aid in assignment of the more complete yet highly congested room temperature FTIR spectra. Lastly, and in sharp contrast to the spectral complexity in the three predominantly b-type bands, the lone a-type 2v 3 rovibrational band at 3534.6869(2) cm –1 is well described by a simple, rigid asymmetric top Hamiltonian.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Effects of Composition and Oxidation States on the Structures of Chromium-Containing Sodium Silicate Glasses: Molecular Dynamics Simulations using Machine Learning Interatomic Potentials

Chromium represents a significant challenge for the vitrification of high-level nuclear waste into silicate and borosilicate glasses due to its low solubility and variable oxidation states, which can limit the waste loading due to promotion of crystallization or phase separation during processing. In this study, we modeled chromium containing silicate glasses using molecular dynamics simulations with three machine learning interatomic potentials (MLIPs), MACE, CHGNet, and PFP were employed, to gain insights on glass composition and oxidation states on the structures of these glasses. One of the goals is to evaluate their ability of these MLIPs to accurately represent the general structure of silicate glasses and chromium local environments as a function of chromium oxidation states. Density Functional Theory (DFT) based calculations and experimental data such as neutron structure factors were used to validate the structural models. It was found that the foundation models of all three MLIPs are able to reproduce general structural features of the sodium silicate glass structure consistent with experimental and DFT data, but only CHGNet and PFP can accurately capture the oxidation states and local environment of chromium: tetrahedral for Cr6+ and octahedral for Cr3+. Furthermore, we studied the effect of varying Cr3+/ Cr6+ (Cr3+/Crtotal) ratio and total chromium content using PFP. Our results show that Cr6+ enhances network polymerization by reducing non-bridging oxygens through Na? charge compensation required due to the formation of chromate (CrO42-) species, while Cr³? acts as a network modifier that disrupts connectivity. System size effects on the structural characteristics and chromium environments were also tested using the PFP potential. This work highlights the importance of careful validation on the precision, transferability, and potential of MLIPs for modeling glasses containing transition metal elements that can exist in multiple oxidation states. It is also encouraging to see the foundational models are all three MLFFs are able to reproduce the basic sodium silicate glass structures, while suggesting additional training or refining is needed to improve the description of more complex systems containing transition metals.

Puga, Christina L.↗