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At least 919 records · Page 51

Mars 2020 Navigation Performance

On February 18, 2021, the Perseverance rover and Ingenuity helicopter demonstration landed at Jezero Crater. The Entry, Descent, and Landing (EDL) architecture, largely the same used to land Curiosity at Gale Crater on August 6, 2012, required high-fidelity flight dynamics simulation with two independent tools to verify performance. The process for creating the EDL simulation using the Dynamics Simulator for Entry, Descent and Surface landing (DSENDS) tool will be discussed, along with its use for for independent verification of the EDL statistical analysis results and reference trajectory simulation. Analysis and usage details both in development and cruise, along with post-landing assessment of the prediction performance of the simulation, will also be discussed.

Wagner, Sean↗

Data augmentation and multimodal learning for predicting drug response in patient-derived xenografts from gene expressions and histology images

Patient-derived xenografts (PDXs) are an appealing platform for preclinical drug studies. A primary challenge in modeling drug response prediction (DRP) with PDXs and neural networks (NNs) is the limited number of drug response samples. We investigate multimodal neural network (MM-Net) and data augmentation for DRP in PDXs. The MM-Net learns to predict response using drug descriptors, gene expressions (GE), and histology whole-slide images (WSIs). We explore whether combining WSIs with GE improves predictions as compared with models that use GE alone. We propose two data augmentation methods which allow us training multimodal and unimodal NNs without changing architectures with a single larger dataset: 1) combine single-drug and drug-pair treatments by homogenizing drug representations, and 2) augment drug-pairs which doubles the sample size of all drug-pair samples. Unimodal NNs which use GE are compared to assess the contribution of data augmentation. The NN that uses the original and the augmented drug-pair treatments as well as single-drug treatments outperforms NNs that ignore either the augmented drug-pairs or the single-drug treatments. In assessing the multimodal learning based on the MCC metric, MM-Net outperforms all the baselines. Our results show that data augmentation and integration of histology images with GE can improve prediction performance of drug response in PDXs.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Data for: A hybrid biophysical-machine learning framework for diurnal surface energy flux estimation using proximal sensing

Thermal-based remote sensing of surface energy fluxes has traditionally relied on high spatial resolution satellite data with revisit frequencies on the order of weeks. In this study, we evaluate a biophysics-based analytical surface energy balance model for predicting latent energy (LE) and sensible heat (H) fluxes using proximal sensing observations. The Surface Temperature Initiated Closure (STIC1.2) model has been extensively validated across a wide range of spatial and temporal scales using various satellite-derived thermal datasets. Here we extend this validation by applying STIC at sub-hourly temporal resolution over multiple growing seasons for four distinct agricultural systems. We further develop and evaluate novel STIC variants that incorporate machine learning (ML) techniques to eliminate the need for specific surface energy balance observations, specifically net radiation and soil heat flux, thereby enhancing model applicability in data-sparse settings. The integration of an ML component to estimate surface available energy is shown to have strong predictive performance for both LE (R2 = 0.81-0.94) and H (R2 = 0.46-0.72) across all agricultural systems examined here, demonstrating the potential of hybrid biophysical – machine learning approaches for surface energy balance modeling with minimal data requirements. This study concludes with a novel application of explainable machine learning (exML) to diagnose sources of model error. This exML framework attributes residual prediction errors to both model input variables and environmental drivers not explicitly included in the simulation experiments. This approach provides a new pathway for improving model design and integrating previously overlooked yet influential variables into future model iterations.

Agricultural Sciences↗

Damping Effects of Drogue Parachutes on Orion Crew Module Dynamics

Currently, simulation predictions of the Orion Crew Module (CM) dynamics with drogue parachutes deployed are under-predicting the amount of damping as seen in free-flight tests. The Apollo Legacy Chute Damping model has been resurrected and applied to the Orion system. The legacy model has been applied to predict CM damping under drogue parachutes for both Vertical Spin Tunnel free flights and the Pad Abort-1 flight test. Comparisons between the legacy Apollo prediction method and test data are favorable. A key hypothesis in the Apollo legacy drogue damping analysis is that the drogue parachutes' net load vector aligns with the CM drogue attachment point velocity vector. This assumption seems reasonable and produces good results, but has never been quantitatively proven. The wake of the CM influences the drogue parachutes, which makes performance predictions of the parachutes difficult. Many of these effects are not currently modeled in the simulations. A forced oscillation test of the CM with parachutes was conducted in the NASA LaRC 20-Ft Vertical Spin Tunnel (VST) to gather additional data to validate and refine the Apollo legacy drogue model. A second loads balance was added to the original Orion VST model to measure the drogue parachute loads independently of the CM. The objective of the test was to identify the contribution of the drogues to CM damping and provide additional information to quantify wake effects and the interactions between the CM and parachutes. The drogue parachute force vector was shown to be highly dependent on the CM wake characteristics. Based on these wind tunnel test data, the Apollo Legacy Chute Damping model was determined to be a sufficient approximation of the parachute dynamics in relationship to the CM dynamics for preliminary entry vehicle system design. More wake effects should be included to better model the system. These results are being used to improve simulation model fidelity of CM flight with drogues deployed, which has been identified by the project as key to a successful Orion Critical Design Review.

Aubuchon, Vanessa V.↗

A survey of techniques for optimizing transformer inference

Recent years have seen a phenomenal rise in the performance and applications of transformer neural networks. The family of transformer networks, including Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformer (BERT), Generative Pretrained Transformer (GPT) and Vision Transformer (ViT), have shown their effectiveness across Natural Language Processing (NLP) and Computer Vision (CV) domains. Transformer-based networks such as ChatGPT have impacted the lives of common men. However, the quest for high predictive performance has led to an exponential increase in transformers' memory and compute footprint. Researchers have proposed techniques to optimize transformer inference at all levels of abstraction. Further, this paper presents a comprehensive survey of techniques for optimizing the inference phase of transformer networks. We survey techniques such as knowledge distillation, pruning, quantization, neural architecture search and lightweight network design at the algorithmic level. We further review hardware-level optimization techniques and the design of novel hardware accelerators for transformers. We summarize the quantitative results on the number of parameters/FLOPs and the accuracy of several models/techniques to showcase the tradeoff exercised by them. We also outline future directions in this rapidly evolving field of research. We believe that this survey will educate both novice and seasoned researchers and also spark a plethora of research efforts in this field.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Multi-Trait Regressor Stacking Increased Genomic Prediction Accuracy of Sorghum Grain Composition

Genomic prediction has enabled plant breeders to estimate breeding values of unobserved genotypes and environments. The use of genomic prediction will be extremely valuable for compositional traits for which phenotyping is labor-intensive and destructive for most accurate results. We studied the potential of Bayesian multi-output regressor stacking (BMORS) model in improving prediction performance over single trait single environment (STSE) models using a grain sorghum diversity panel (GSDP) and a biparental recombinant inbred lines (RILs) population. A total of five highly correlated grain composition traits—amylose, fat, gross energy, protein and starch, with genomic heritability ranging from 0.24 to 0.59 in the GSDP and 0.69 to 0.83 in the RILs were studied. Average prediction accuracies from the STSE model were within a range of 0.4 to 0.6 for all traits across both populations except amylose (0.25) in the GSDP. Prediction accuracy for BMORS increased by 41% and 32% on average over STSE in the GSDP and RILs, respectively. Prediction of whole environments by training with remaining environments in BMORS resulted in moderate to high prediction accuracy. Our results show regression stacking methods such as BMORS have potential to accurately predict unobserved individuals and environments, and implementation of such models can accelerate genetic gain.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Validation of Universal Cryogenic Flow Boiling Correlations in Thermal Desktop for Liquid Helium

Understanding two-phase cryogenic propellant behavior is key to enabling technologies for future spaceflight missions. Developing accurate models of two-phase flow phenomena, particularly in the current work, flow boiling in the heating configuration, is relevant to the propellant transfer process both in 1-g and microgravity. Currently there is a need for more accurate, direct cryogenic data anchored models for various boiling phenomena. Recently, universal correlations for cryogens flowing in heated tubes have been developed for a wide variety of fluids, thermodynamic conditions, and various regimes across the boiling curve, and have been patched to provide a smooth, continuous predictive curve. This paper describes implementation and validation of these correlations into Thermal Desktop to improve predictive performance, with a focus on liquid helium. Results from Thermal Desktop using both the built-in and new correlations are validated against a historical dataset of flow boiling experiments in the heating configuration using liquid helium. Based on results, the new correlations show a substantial improvement over the original built-in flow boiling correlations in Thermal Desktop in predicting the wall temperature as a function of preponderant parameters for this quantum fluid at temperatures greater than the lambda temperature, T λ = 2.17K.

cryogenic propellant transfer↗

A microgravity isolation mount

The design and preliminary testing of a system for isolating microgravity sensitive payloads from spacecraft vibrational and impulsive disturbances is discussed. The Microgravity Isolation Mount (MGIM) concept consists of a platform which floats almost freely within a limited volume inside the spacecraft, but which is constrained to follow the spacecraft in the long term by means of very weak springs. The springs are realized magnetically and form part of a six degree of freedom active magnetic suspension system. The latter operates without any physical contact between the spacecraft and the platform itself. Power and data transfer is also performed by contactless means. Specifications are given for the expected level of input disturbances and the tolerable level of platform acceleration. The structural configuration of the mount is discussed and the design of the principal elements, i.e., actuators, sensors, control loops and power/data transfer devices are described. Finally, the construction of a hardware model that is being used to verify the predicted performance of the MGIM is described.

Jones, D. I.↗

A Hybrid Biophysical‐Machine Learning Framework for Diurnal Surface Energy Flux Estimation Using Proximal Sensing

Thermal infrared-based remote sensing of surface energy fluxes has traditionally relied on high spatial resolution satellite data with revisit frequencies on the order of weeks. In this study, we evaluate a biophysics-based analytical surface energy balance model for predicting latent energy ( LE ) and sensible heat ( H ) fluxes using proximal sensing observations. The Surface Temperature Initiated Closure (STIC1.2) model has been extensively validated across a wide range of spatial and temporal scales using various satellite-derived thermal infrared data sets. Here we extend this validation by applying STIC at sub-hourly temporal resolution over multiple growing seasons for four distinct agricultural systems. We further develop and evaluate novel STIC variants that incorporate machine learning (ML) techniques to eliminate the need for surface energy balance observations, specifically net radiation and soil heat flux, thereby enhancing model applicability in data-sparse settings. The integration of a ML component to estimate surface available energy is shown to have strong predictive performance for both LE (R 2 = 0.81–0.94) and H (R 2 = 0.46–0.72) across all agricultural systems examined here, demonstrating the potential of hybrid biophysical-machine learning approaches for surface energy balance modeling with minimal data requirements. This study concludes with a novel application of explainable machine learning (exML) to diagnose sources of model error. This exML framework attributes residual prediction errors to both model input variables and environmental drivers not explicitly included in the simulation experiments. This approach provides a new pathway for improving model design and integrating previously overlooked yet influential variables into future model iterations.

evapotranspiration↗

Comparing Designed Training Sets to Optimize Multivariate Regression Models for Pr, Nd, and Nitric Acid Using Spectrophotometry

Chemometric regression models were developed for the quantification of praseodymium (Pr, 0–1000 µg/mL), neodymium (Nd, 0–1000 µg/mL), and nitric acid (HNO 3 , 0.1–5 M) using spectrophotometry. Designed calibration sets were composed of 20 samples each: 10 model points and 10 lack-of-fit (LOF) points. The D-optimal designs effectively minimized the number of samples required to build models, and each design resulted in similar prediction performance, suggesting that statistical design of experiments can provide a reliable framework for selecting training set samples in three-variable systems. Partial least squares regression (PLSR) models were validated against a one-factor-at-a-time validation set composed of 125 samples (three variables, five levels). The top PLS-1 models resulted in average percent root mean square error of prediction error values of 3.5%, 1.7%, and 1.2% for Pr(III), Nd(III), and HNO 3 , respectively. Power set augmentations of the model and LOF samples were investigated to optimize the number of training set samples. PLSR models built using just required model points (10) had similar predictive capabilities as models including the LOF points (20) but with fewer samples. The number of validation samples was also varied systematically to learn how many samples are needed to validate regression models. This work addresses long-standing questions in the field of chemometrics to help make this approach amenable to the near-real-time quantification of hazardous species in remote settings.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Effect of Silicon on High Temperature Oxidation of Fe-Cr-Si Alloys in Carbon Dioxide Environments

Supercritical carbon dioxide offers the potential for efficient and sustainable power generation. Identifying materials that can be used to construct the high temperature portions of the cycle is a barrier to developing this technology. Various Fe-Cr alloys have been identified as promising construction materials due to a favorable combination of high temperature strength, commercial availability, and cost. The effect of minor alloying elements, particularly Si, has been shown to significantly impact the oxidation and carburization processes for these alloys after relatively short duration exposures in hot carbon dioxide. The long-term impact is less understood, making it challenging to predict performance of real components that will be in service for many years. The objectives in this project are to better understand the long-term oxidation and carburization behavior of Fe-Cr alloys and the important role of Si; to enhance the existing body of literature on the long-term exposure of alloys to hot carbon dioxide; and enable lifetime predictions for future supercritical carbon dioxide power cycle components.

Menna, Valerie↗

A Predictive Safety Management System Software Package Based on the Continuous Hazard Tracking and Failure Prediction Methodology

The goal of this research was to integrate a previously validated and reliable safety model, called Continuous Hazard Tracking and Failure Prediction Methodology (CHTFPM), into a software application. This led to the development of a safety management information system (PSMIS). This means that the theory or principles of the CHTFPM were incorporated in a software package; hence, the PSMIS is referred to as CHTFPM management information system (CHTFPM MIS). The purpose of the PSMIS is to reduce the time and manpower required to perform predictive studies as well as to facilitate the handling of enormous quantities of information in this type of studies. The CHTFPM theory encompasses the philosophy of looking at the concept of safety engineering from a new perspective: from a proactive, than a reactive, viewpoint. That is, corrective measures are taken before a problem instead of after it happened. That is why the CHTFPM is a predictive safety because it foresees or anticipates accidents, system failures and unacceptable risks; therefore, corrective action can be taken in order to prevent all these unwanted issues. Consequently, safety and reliability of systems or processes can be further improved by taking proactive and timely corrective actions.

Quintana, Rolando↗

Using Latent Sleepiness to Evaluate an Important Effect of Promethazine

Astronauts often use promethazine (PMZ) to counteract space motion sickness; however PMZ may cause drowsiness, which might impair cognitive function. In a NASA ground study, subjects received PMZ and their cognitive performance was then monitored over time. Subjects also reported sleepiness using the Karolinska Sleepiness Score (KSS), which ranges from 1 - 9. A problem arises when using KSS to establish an association between true sleepiness and performance because KSS scores tend to overly concentrate on the values 3 (fairly awake) and 7 (moderately tired). Therefore, we defined a latent sleepiness measure as a continuous random variable describing a subject s actual, but unobserved true state of sleepiness through time. The latent sleepiness and observed KSS are associated through a conditional probability model, which when coupled with demographic factors, predicts performance.

Feiveson, Alan H.↗

The Quantum Alternating Operator Ansatz for Satisfiability Problems

Here, we comparatively study, through large-scale numerical simulation, the performance across a large set of Quantum Alternating Operator Ansatz (QAOA) implementations for finding approximate and optimum solutions to unconstrained combinatorial optimization problems. Our survey includes over 100 different mixing unitaries, and we combine each mixer with both the standard phase separator unitary representing the objective function and a thresholded version. Our numerical tests for randomly chosen instances of the unconstrained optimization problems Max 2-SAT and Max 3-SAT reveal that the traditional transverse-field mixer with the standard phase separator performs best for problem sizes of 8 through 14 variables, while the recently introduced Grover mixer with thresholding wins at problems of size 6. This result (i) corrects earlier work suggesting that the Grover mixer is a superior mixer based only on results from problems of size 6, thus illustrating the need to push numerical simulation to larger problem sizes to more accurately predict performance; and (ii) it suggests that more complicated mixers and phase separators may not improve QAOA performance.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Application of Machine Learning to Assist a Moisture Durability Tool

The design of moisture-durable building enclosures is complicated by the number of materials, exposure conditions, and performance requirements. Hygrothermal simulations are used to assess moisture durability, but these require in-depth knowledge to be properly implemented. Machine learning (ML) offers the opportunity to simplify the design process by eliminating the need to carry out hygrothermal simulations. ML was used to assess the moisture durability of a building enclosure design and simplify the design process. This work used ML to predict the mold index and maximum moisture content of layers in typical residential wall constructions. Results show that ML, within the constraints of the construction, including exposure conditions, does an excellent job in predicting performance compared to hygrothermal simulations with a coefficient of determination, R2, over 0.90. Furthermore, the results indicate that the material properties of the vapor barrier and continuous insulation layer are strongly correlated to performance.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Methodology for predictive testing of fuel cells

A perturbation testing method has been developed and tested for predictive testing of fuel cells. This method involves application of small changes to the operating conditions of the cell in a predetermined sequence. The resultant response of the cell is then measured and statistically correlated with the corresponding test conditions. This method has been applied to the phosphoric acid fuel cell, and the effect of operating and cell-component variables on cell-performance degradation has been studied. A strong effect of the cell temperature and cathode potential on fuel-cell-performance degradation has been observed. A cell-performance degradation model has been formulated, and the unknown parameters in the model have been estimated by a regression analysis of the experimental data. A reasonable agreement between the fuel cell performance predicted by this model (derived from the perturbation experiments) and the unperturbed test data supports fthe applicability of the perturbation method.

Patel, D. N.↗

Event-Based Study of the Effect of Execution Environments on Parallel Program Performance

In this paper we seek to demonstrate the importance of studying the effect of changes in execution environment parameters, on parallel applications executed on state-of-the-art multiprocessors. A comprehensive methodology for event-based analysis of program behavior is introduced. This methodology is used to study the performance significance of various system parameters such as processor speed, message-buffer size, buffer copy speed, network bandwidth, communication latency, interrupt overheads and other system parameters. With the help cf a few CFD examples, we illustrate the use of our technique in determining suitable parameter values of the execution environment for three applications. We also demonstrate how this approach can be used to predict performance across architectures and illustrate the use of visual and profile-like feedback to expose the effect of system parameters changes on the performance of specific applications module.

Sarukkai, Sekhar R.↗

Evaluation of Cryofreezer Technology through Simulation and Testing (DRAFT)

A cryofreezer system is being evaluated as a new method of compressing and storing carbon dioxide (CO2) in an Advanced Life Support (ALS) Environmental Control and Life Support System (ECLSS). A cryocooler is used to provide cold temperatures and heat removal while CO2 freezes and accumulates around a coldtip. The CO2 can then be stored as a liquid or high-pressure gas after it has been accumulated. This system was originally conceived as an In-Situ Resource Utilization (ISRU) application for collecting CO2 from the Mars atmosphere to be converted to methane fuel with a Sabatier reaction. In the ALS application, this system could collect CO2 from the International Space Station (ISS) Carbon Dioxide Removal Assembly (CDRA) for delivery to the Sabatier reactor. The Sabatier reaction is an important part of proposed Air Revitalization System (ARS) for ALS, and technology sharing is often possible between ISRU and ARS applications in CO2 processing systems. A prototype system developed and initially tested by Lockheed Martin Astronautics is now being evaluated in the Air Revitalization Technology Evaluation Facility (ARTEF) at NASA Johnson Space Center (JSC). This paper will discuss testing conducted through December 2004 to examine the performance and capacity of the system under a variety of input conditions. A simulation of the system was developed simultaneously using the Aspen Custom Modeler (ACM) software package. Several approaches using varying levels of detail could be used when modeling the system, and this paper will discuss the assumptions and choices made in this simulation, as well as the validity of the simulation for predicting performance of the prototype unit.

Anderson, Molly↗