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At least 919 records · Page 51

Measuring Thread Timing to Assess the Feasibility of Early-Bird Message Delivery Across Systems and Scales

Early-bird communication is a communication/computation overlap technique that leverages fine-grained communication to improve application run-time. Communication is divided such that each individual thread can initiate transmission of its portion of the data upon completion rather than waiting for a dedicated communication phase. The benefit of early-bird communication depends on the completion timing of the individual threads: On the one hand, if all threads are complete at nearly the same time, the overheads of sending multiple messages will accumulate, leading to performance that is worse than if a single message had been sent. On the other hand, if thread completions are spread out in time, those that complete earlier can send data while others continue working, leading to performance that is better than if a single message had been sent. The challenge is that the completion times are currently unknown and can vary based on application, problem size, system software, and underlying hardware. In this paper, we address this lacuna by measuring and evaluating the potential overlap afforded by early-bird communication for a selection of proxy applications. These measurements help us understand whether a given application could benefit from early-bird communication. Here, we present our technique for gathering this data and evaluate data collected from three proxy applications: MiniFE, MiniMD, and MiniQMC. Each application is run on three systems with distinct CPU architectures and strong scales across three run sizes. To characterize the behavior of these workloads, we study the trends of thread timings at both a macro level, across all threads across all runs of an application, and a micro level, that is, within a single process of a single run. We observe that our tested applications exhibit significantly different thread arrival distributions. The machine used had a significant impact, with the window of potential overlap varying by as much as an order of magnitude.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING

Movement Models to Predict Low‐Altitude Flight of Soaring Birds Using Look‐Ahead Environmental Factors

Advances in fine-scale movement modeling of soaring birds can aid efforts to understand and resolve the impacts of anthropogenic activities on such birds. Soaring birds often rely on underlying terrain and low-altitude updrafts to govern their flights at rotor-swept altitudes (≤ 200 m above ground level), which puts them at risk of collision with wind turbines. We developed a data-driven Markov model at 1-s resolution that predicts the fine-scale flight behavior of golden eagles (Aquila chrysaetos) as a function of ecological covariates at the current location as well as those within an eagle's line of sight. We only considered ecological covariates that are readily available in real-time (ground elevation and wind conditions). Latent factors (age, sex, species, behavioral intent, migratory status) were intentionally left out of the model. We calibrated the model using golden eagle telemetry data collected in two different ecoregions of the United States. Given a starting location, the calibrated model simulates multiple stochastic 3D paths to produce a time-explicit and spatially explicit risk map of turbine collisions. We discovered an empirical relation between the rate of change of heading and the orographic updraft conditions within an eagle's line of sight. Our model performed most effectively when predicting predominantly-soaring flights at rotor-swept altitudes during wind conditions in which turbines are likely to be operational. The calibrated model could be used in concert with automated eagle detection and turbine curtailment technologies. Specifically, once an eagle is detected by those systems, our model could then provide accurate predictions of turbines the eagle is likely to interact with in the near term.

17 WIND ENERGY

Joint Modeling of Wind Speed and Wind Direction Through a Conditional Approach

Atmospheric near surface wind speed and wind direction play an important role in many applications, ranging from air quality modeling, building design, wind turbine placement to climate change research. It is therefore crucial to accurately estimate the joint probability distribution of wind speed and direction. In this work, we develop a conditional approach to model these two variables, where the joint distribution is decomposed into the product of the marginal distribution of wind direction and the conditional distribution of wind speed given wind direction. To accommodate the circular nature of wind direction, a von Mises mixture model is used; the conditional wind speed distribution is modeled as a directional dependent Weibull distribution via a two-stage estimation procedure, consisting of a directional binned Weibull parameter estimation, followed by a harmonic regression to estimate the dependence of the Weibull parameters on wind direction. A Monte Carlo simulation study indicates that our method outperforms two other approaches in estimation efficiency: one that utilizes periodic spline quantile regression and another that generates data from the commonly used Abe-Ley distribution for cylindrical data. We illustrate our method by using the output from a regional climate model to investigate how the joint distribution of wind speed and direction may change under some future climate scenarios. Our method indicates significant changes in the variation of wind speed with respect to some directions.

17 WIND ENERGY

Molecular Insights Into the Ionic Assembly of Poly-Galacturonic Acid Oligomers - Impact of Charge, Ionic Radius, and Polymer Functionalization

Pectin, a major class of matrix polysaccharides present in plant cell walls (PCW), contains widespread anionic saccharides that cross-link in the presence of cations. It modulates important functions such as cell-cell adhesion and determines the PCW's biomechanical properties. It is known that mono-, di-, and tri-valent cations facilitate cross-linking; however, significant knowledge gaps remain in understanding the structure and mechanism of pectin cross-linking. In this study, replica-exchange molecular dynamics (REMD) simulations were employed to elucidate the role of ionic charge, ionic radii, and functional groups on the cross-linking of homogalacturonan (HG), the most abundant pectin molecule. Our enhanced sampling approach in fully solvated environments suggests more effective cross-linking with higher-valent and smaller ions, and that the "zipper" conformation is more favorable than the prevalent "egg-box" conformation. These findings advance our fundamental understanding of pectin matrix structure in PCWs and provide a solid foundation to probe structure-property relationships in pectic polysaccharides.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH

Positive Co‐Degree Density of Hypergraphs

The minimum positive co-degree of a nonempty r-graph H, denoted $δ^+_{r-1}$ (H), is the maximum k such that if S is an (r-1)-set contained in a hyperedge of H, then is contained in at least distinct hyperedges of H. Given an r-graph F, we introduce the positive co-degree Turán number co + ex(n, F) as the maximum positive co-degree $δ^+_{r-1}$ (H) over all n-vertex r-graphs H that do not contain F as a subhypergraph. In this paper, we concentrate on the behavior of co + ex(n, F) for 3-graphs F. In particular, we determine asymptotics and bounds for several well-known concrete 3-graphs F (e.g. $K^-_4$ and the Fano plane). Here, we also show that, for r-graphs, the limit γ + (F)≔ lim$_{n→∞}$ $\frac{co^+ex(n, F)}{n}$ exists, and “jumps” from 0 to 1/r, that is, it never takes on values in the interval . Moreover, we characterize which r-graphs F have γ + (F) = 0. Our motivation comes primarily from the study of (ordinary) co-degree Turán numbers where a number of results have been proved that inspire our results.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING

Optimal Polynomial Smoothers and One‐Sided V‐Cycles for Poisson Problems

The solution to the Poisson equation arising from the spectral element discretization of the incompressible Navier‐Stokes equations needs robust preconditioning strategies. One such strategy is multigrid. To realize the potential of multigrid methods, effective smoothing strategies are needed. Chebyshev polynomial smoothers, in conjunction with pointwise Jacobi or additive Schwarz methods (ASMs), prove to be an effective smoother. Other polynomial smoothers, however, may provide superior convergence to the multigrid preconditioner. The authors compare the standard Chebyshev polynomial smoothers to both the novel fourth‐kind Chebyshev polynomial smoothers proposed by Lottes as well as smoothers based on the polynomial of best uniform approximation to as proposed by Kraus, Vassilevski, and Zikatanov. At the cost of symmetry, further improvements may be made. For example, a order polynomial smoother on both sides of the V‐cycle may be substituted with an order polynomial smoother on one side at no additional cost. The choice of omitting the postsmoother in favor of higher‐order polynomial presmoothing is advantageous in cases where the multigrid approximation property constant is large. The authors consider a 2D model problem based on finite differences to motivate the choice of polynomial smoother, order, and whether to apply postsmoothing for the target application of high‐order ‐geometric multigrid methods for GPU architectures. Results from both domains demonstrate the substantial improvement of these approaches over the standard Chebyshev polynomial smoother with a symmetric V‐cycle.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING

Overlapping Schwarz Methods Are Not Anisotropy‐Robust Multigrid Smoothers

We analyze overlapping multiplicative Schwarz methods as smoothers in the geometric multigrid solution of two-dimensional anisotropic diffusion problems. For diffusion equations, it is well known that the smoothing properties of point-wise smoothers, such as Gauss Seidel, rapidly deteriorate as the strength of anisotropy increases. On the other hand, global smoothers based on line smoothing are known to generally provide good smoothing for diffusion problems, independent of the anisotropy strength. Here, a natural question is whether global methods are really necessary to achieve good smoothing in such problems, or whether it can be obtained with locally overlapping block smoothers using sufficiently large blocks and overlap. Through local Fourier analysis and careful numerical experimentation, we show that global methods are indeed necessary to achieve anisotropy-robust smoothing. Specifically, for any fixed block size bounded sufficiently far away from the global domain size, we find that the smoothing properties of overlapping multiplicative Schwarz rapidly deteriorate with increasing anisotropy, irrespective of the amount of overlap between blocks. Moreover, our results indicate that anisotropy-robust smoothing requires blocks of diameter 𝒪⁡(𝜖 −1/2 ) for anisotropy ratio 𝜖 ∈(0,1] .

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING

Physics-Informed Active Learning With Simultaneous Weak-Form Latent Space Dynamics Identification

The parametric greedy latent space dynamics identification (gLaSDI) framework has demonstrated promising potential for accurate and efficient modeling of high-dimensional nonlinear physical systems. However, it remains challenging to handle noisy data. Here, to enhance robustness against noise, we incorporate the weak-form estimation of nonlinear dynamics (WENDy) into gLaSDI. In the proposed weak-form gLaSDI (WgLaSDI) framework, an autoencoder and WENDy are trained simultaneously to discover intrinsic nonlinear latent-space dynamics of high-dimensional data. Compared with the standard sparse identification of nonlinear dynamics (SINDy) employed in gLaSDI, WENDy enables variance reduction and robust latent space discovery, therefore leading to more accurate and efficient reduced-order modeling. Furthermore, the greedy physics-informed active learning in WgLaSDI enables adaptive sampling of optimal training data on the fly for enhanced modeling accuracy. The effectiveness of the proposed framework is demonstrated by modeling various nonlinear dynamical problems, including viscous and inviscid Burgers' equations, time-dependent radial advection, and the Vlasov equation for plasma physics. With data that contains 5%–10% Gaussian white noise, WgLaSDI outperforms gLaSDI by orders of magnitude, achieving 1%–7% relative errors. Compared with the high-fidelity models, WgLaSDI achieves 121 to 1779x speed-up.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING

Central Compact Finite‐Difference Scheme With High Spectral Resolution for KdV Equation

This work presents a combination of cell‐node and cell‐centered compact finite difference scheme for the approximation of third derivatives involved in Korteweg–de Vries (KdV) equations. This approach employs a half‐shifted derivative construction at cell centers, avoiding the need for compact interpolation, thereby removing transfer errors; hence, it improves spectral resolution and maintains high‐order accuracy. Fourier analysis is performed to show the spectral properties of the proposed formulation, which provides higher spectral resolutions as compared to node‐based compact schemes. A filtering strategy is incorporated to suppress high‐frequency oscillations without compromising the accuracy of the numerical scheme, and the total variation diminishing Runge Kutta (TVDRK3) method is applied for time integration. Numerical experiments on linear, nonlinear, and coupled KdV systems are conducted, and a comparative analysis with cell‐node compact schemes confirms that the proposed scheme consistently reduces errors by up to an order of magnitude and achieves high spectral resolution properties.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING

Assessing the Impacts of Extreme Weather Events on Photovoltaic Installations Using Remote Sensing Imagery

In this study, we analyze poststorm satellite imagery to assess solar photovoltaic (PV) damage for over 11,300 systems following a catastrophic hailstorm in Austin, TX, in September 2023, which produced softball‐sized hail and for over 1500 systems across Puerto Rico and the US Virgin Islands after Hurricanes Irma and Maria in September 2017. Findings show that approximately 5.5% of identified PV sites were damaged in the hailstorm and approximately 17% of PV installations were damaged after the hurricanes. A weak correlation between hurricane wind gust speed and percent site damage was determined, with installation practices playing a heavy role in site resilience. Additionally, we show that newer module vintages are more susceptible to hail damage than older modules, possibly due to a convergence of larger size modules, decreased frame dimensions, and decreased front glass thickness but more research is needed. For hail sizes of 60 mm or greater, consistent hail damage is sustained by PV installations, regardless of system configuration.

14 SOLAR ENERGY

Image Distinguishability Analysis Testing Through Principal Components and Its Application to Hot Spot Scale Invariance

Hot spots are spatial regions of intense energy localization that govern initiation of secondary high explosives. Studies that characterize or compare simulated hot spots are frequently either qualitatively descriptive or resort to quantitative distribution functions that neglect stochastic variations and spatial correlations—effects that are also neglected in common comparison tests like the Kolmogorov–Smirnov test. To this end, we develop an image distinguishability analysis (IDA) test based on principal component (PC) analysis that makes pixel-by-pixel comparisons between small, for example, O(<10), image data sets. The IDA test makes comparisons through a generalized distance metric in the PC space and a test statistic that is derived to calculate mathematical equation-values. Here, we derive a statistical distribution and criticality criterion to determine whether images are distinguishable from established baselines. We apply the IDA test on images generated from molecular dynamics simulations of hot spots from pore collapse in TATB to assess scale invariance in the complex patterns of hot spots that form in a representative high explosive crystal. The IDA test shows that TATB hot spot spatial temperature fields and their derived temperature histograms exhibit scale-invariant features over specific intervals of shock orientation, strength, and initial pore diameter. However, the IDA test also shows that qualitatively different conclusions regarding invariance can be reached depending on whether the hot spot is treated as a spatially correlated field as opposed to a distribution function that lacks spatial information.

organic

Using Explainable Artificial Intelligence to Predict Perovskite Solar Cell Electrical Metastability from Operando Photoluminescence Images in Accelerated Stress Testing

Metal halide perovskite (MHP) solar cells exhibit a metastable response to bias governed by coupled ionic–electronic processes, complicating the conventional reciprocity relation between luminescence intensity and device open-circuit voltage (V oc ). This limits the use of luminescence as a diagnostic for device screening or accelerated stress testing, motivating new approaches that can interpret photoluminescence (PL) signals under nonequilibrium conditions. From the artificial intelligence perspective, we develop an explainable deep learning framework that integrates convolutional neural networks (CNN), long short-term memory (LSTM) layers, and an attention mechanism to learn spatiotemporal features from operando photoluminescence PL image sequences. The model achieves a mean absolute error of ±0.027 V in predicting open-circuit voltage transients and reduces extreme-tail errors by up to 78% compared to physics-based reciprocity calculations. Gradient-weighted Class Activation Mapping (Grad-CAM) provides interpretability by highlighting physically meaningful regions such as electrode edges and emergent defect features. From the engineering application perspective, this framework enables accurate, contactless prediction of device V oc and identification of degradation-relevant features during accelerated aging of perovskite solar cells. This approach demonstrates how explainable AI can enhance operando diagnostics and reliability analysis in photovoltaic devices under nonequilibrium conditions.

14 SOLAR ENERGY

A Corrected Score Function Framework for Modelling Circadian Gene Expression

Many biological processes display oscillatory behaviour based on an approximately 24 h internal timing system specific to each individual. One process of particular interest is gene expression, for which several circadian transcriptomic studies have identified associations between gene expression during a 24 h period and an individual's health. A challenge with analysing data from these studies is that each individual's internal timing system is offset relative to the 24 h day-night cycle, where day–night cycle time is recorded for each collected sample. Laboratory procedures can accurately determine each individual's offset and determine the internal time of sample collection. However, these laboratory procedures are labour-intensive and expensive. Here, in this paper, we propose a corrected score function framework to obtain a regression model of gene expression given internal time when the offset of each individual is too burdensome to determine. A feature of this framework is that it does not require the probability distribution generating offsets to be symmetric with a mean of zero. Simulation studies validate the use of this corrected score function framework for cosinor regression, which is prevalent in circadian transcriptomic studies. Illustrations with data from three circadian transcriptomic studies further demonstrate that the proposed framework consistently mitigates bias relative to using a score function that does not account for this offset.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Bayesian Adaptive Polynomial Chaos Expansions

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCEs) are widely used for uncertainty quantification (UQ) tasks, particularly in the applied mathematics community. However, PCE has received comparatively less attention in the statistics literature, and fully Bayesian formulations remain rare—especially with implementations in R. Motivated by the success of adaptive Bayesian machine learning models such as BART, BASS and BPPR, we develop a new fully Bayesian adaptive PCE method with an efficient and accessible R implementation: khaos. Our approach includes a novel proposal distribution that enables data-driven interaction selection and supports a modified g-prior tailored to PCE structure. Through simulation studies and real-world UQ applications, we demonstrate that the Bayesian adaptive PCE provides competitive performance for surrogate modeling, global sensitivity analysis and ordinal regression tasks.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING

An Analysis of Future Wind Energy Resources and Cost Uncertainties Across the United States

Wind power is a growing source of energy generation that relies on complex global atmospheric and earth system processes. There has been evidence of reductions in average wind speeds over land in North America since the 1980s, and several models project that average wind speeds will continue to decrease. Concurrently, the cost of wind energy systems in the United States has been decreasing since around 2010, a trend also projected to continue. There is considerable uncertainty in these future projections, with quantitative estimates of future wind resource and system costs varying widely. To study this, we run wind energy models with possible future system costs, turbine designs, and meteorological inputs from multiple downscaled earth system models over the contiguous United States. Changes in mean annual energy production from 2000-2019 to 2040-2059 can be as high as +10% in South Texas or as low as -20% in Iowa. Larger turbines and moderate reductions in system costs can offset the largest projected decreases in wind resource, but much uncertainty remains in the extent to which wind resources will change and to what extent system costs can be reduced. An analysis of variance shows, in several states in the Midwest, uncertainty in future wind resources can influence the cost of wind energy nearly as much as uncertainty in future system costs.

17 WIND ENERGY

Symbol alphabets in QCD and flag cluster algebras

The full 245-letter symbol alphabet for all planar massless two-loop six-point Feynman integrals was recently determined in arXiv:2412.19884 and arXiv:2501.01847. In a parallel mathematical development, it was shown in arXiv:2408.14956 that there is an embedding of the cluster algebra associated to the partial flag variety $\mathcal{Fl}$ $2,n-2;n$ , which describes the kinematics of n massless particles, into that of the Grassmannian Gr(n–2, 2n–4). In this paper we connect these developments by showing that most of the rational symbol letters can be expressed in terms of flag cluster variables, and that all of the algebraic symbol letters arise from infinite mutation sequences.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING