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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS1979

Solution of a few nonlinear problems in aerodynamics by the finite elements and functional least squares methods

The numerical simulation of the transonic flows of idealized fluids and of incompressible viscous fluids, by the nonlinear least squares methods is presented. The nonlinear equations, the boundary conditions, and the various constraints controlling the two types of flow are described. The standard iterative methods for solving a quasi elliptical nonlinear equation with partial derivatives are reviewed with emphasis placed on two examples: the fixed point method applied to the Gelder functional in the case of compressible subsonic flows and the Newton method used in the technique of decomposition of the lifting potential. The new abstract least squares method is discussed. It consists of substituting the nonlinear equation by a problem of minimization in a H to the minus 1 type Sobolev functional space.

Periaux, J.↗
NASA NTRS2018

A Singular Value Decomposition Framework for Retrievals with Vertical Distribution Information from Greenhouse Gas Column Absorption Spectroscopy Measurements

We describe a variation of the Optimal Estimation (OE) method for greenhouse gas remote sensing retrievals using a singular value decomposition (SVD) and an uninformative prior. The SVD method is capable of discerning vertical information in column integrated absorption measurements. While traditional Bayesian optimal estimation (OE) assumes a prior distribution in order to regularize the inversion problem, the SVD approach identifies principal components that can be retrieved from the measurement without explicitly specifying a prior mean and prior covariance matrix. We discuss the method, illustrate its use on an integrated path differential absorption CO2 lidar measurement model, and compare it to traditional optimal estimation using numerical simulations. In the absence of forward model error, the mathematics behind the SVD method guarantee it to be bias-free, which is confirmed by the numerical simulations. In contrast, traditional OE retrievals exhibit bias when the prior mean used in the retrieval differs from the true mean. While the SVD approach can be used for most trace gas retrievals, it is particularly useful for situations where prior knowledge of the trace gas profile is poor. The SVD analysis is also useful in illustrating how vertical information is treated by the traditional OE approach.

Ramanathan, Anand K.↗
DOE OSTI2022

Molecular weight growth by the phenyl + cyclopentadienyl reaction: Well-skipping, ring-opening, and dissociation

Radical-radical reactions contribute to molecular weight growth of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs), but their role is not well understood. The phenyl (Ph, C 6 H 5 ) + cyclopentadienyl (C 5 H 5 ) reaction has not been studied but can serve as a surrogate reaction for many reactions of larger aryl-σ radicals with resonance-stabilized π-radicals. The adducts of these reactions easily lose an H atom to produce a new π-radical. Here, through a combination of dilute flash pyrolysis experiments, theory, and simulation, we find that for the title reaction, substantial Ph—C 5 H 4 + H is formed, dominantly by a well-skipping pathway, at conditions around 30 Torr and 1400 K. This radical is thermally stable at moderate temperatures but decomposes at higher temperatures following ring opening of the 5-member ring. Products corresponding to the loss of H, C 2 H 2 , and C 3 H 3 are observed experimentally. Calculation of the C 11 H 9 potential energy surface affirms that these are expected decomposition products and reveals multiple possible pathways.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Using spatio-temporal graph neural networks to estimate fleet-wide photovoltaic performance degradation patterns

Accurate estimation of photovoltaic (PV) system performance is crucial for determining its feasibility as a power generation technology and financial asset. PV-based energy solutions offer a viable alternative to traditional energy resources due to their superior Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE). A significant challenge in assessing the LCOE of PV systems lies in understanding the Performance Loss Rate (PLR) for large fleets of PV systems. Estimating the PLR of PV systems becomes increasingly important in the rapidly growing PV industry. Precise PLR estimation benefits PV users by providing real-time monitoring of PV module performance, while explainable PLR estimation assists PV manufacturers in studying and enhancing the performance of their products. However, traditional PLR estimation methods based on statistical models have notable drawbacks. Firstly, they require user knowledge and decision-making. Secondly, they fail to leverage spatial coherence for fleet-level analysis. Additionally, these methods inherently assume the linearity of degradation, which is not representative of real world degradation. To overcome these challenges, we propose a novel graph deep learning-based decomposition method called the Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Network for fleet-level PLR estimation (PV-stGNN-PLR). PV-stGNN-PLR decomposes the power timeseries data into aging and fluctuation components, utilizing the aging component to estimate PLR. PV-stGNN-PLR exploits spatial and temporal coherence to derive PLR estimation for all systems in a fleet and imposes flatness and smoothness regularization in loss function to ensure the successful disentanglement between aging and fluctuation. We have evaluated PV-stGNN-PLR on three simulated PV datasets consisting of 100 inverters from 5 sites. Experimental results show that PV-stGNN-PLR obtains a reduction of 33.9% and 35.1% on average in Mean Absolute Percent Error (MAPE) and Euclidean Distance (ED) in PLR degradation pattern estimation compared to the state-of-the-art PLR estimation methods.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
NASA NTRS2001

Segmented Domain Decomposition Multigrid For 3-D Turbomachinery Flows

A Segmented Domain Decomposition Multigrid (SDDMG) procedure was developed for three-dimensional viscous flow problems as they apply to turbomachinery flows. The procedure divides the computational domain into a coarse mesh comprised of uniformly spaced cells. To resolve smaller length scales such as the viscous layer near a surface, segments of the coarse mesh are subdivided into a finer mesh. This is repeated until adequate resolution of the smallest relevant length scale is obtained. Multigrid is used to communicate information between the different grid levels. To test the procedure, simulation results will be presented for a compressor and turbine cascade. These simulations are intended to show the ability of the present method to generate grid independent solutions. Comparisons with data will also be presented. These comparisons will further demonstrate the usefulness of the present work for they allow an estimate of the accuracy of the flow modeling equations independent of error attributed to numerical discretization.

Celestina, M. L.↗
DOE OSTI2023

A laboratory-scale process for producing dilithium beryllium tetrafluoride (FLiBe) with dissolved uranium tetrafluoride

Flibe Energy, Incorporated (FEI)'s conceptual Lithium Fluoride Thorium Reactor (LFTR) incorporates a chemical processing facility aimed at recovering uranium and other valuable volatile radionuclides while managing harmful radionuclides from the used fuel. The fuel utilized in this reactor is a combination of dilithium beryllium tetrafluoride (Li 2 BeF 4 or FLiBe) and uranium tetrafluoride (UF 4 ), (FLiBe/U). FEI's plan involves extracting the uranium and other valuable volatile fluoride-forming radionuclides using nitrogen trifluoride (NF 3 ). To facilitate laboratory-scale testing of uranium extraction using NF 3 and address the toxicity and physical hazards associated with beryllium and beryllium fluoride (BeF 2 ), we used a two-step process to prepare the simulated fuel salt. The first step entailed thermally decomposing ammonium beryllium tetrafluoride [(NH 4 ) 2 BeF 4 ] (ABeF) through a nominal 3-step process, combined with appropriate amounts of lithium fluoride (LiF) and UF 4 , resulting in the formation of beryllium fluoride (BeF 2 ). In the second step, the mixture was repeatedly melted and frozen at the melting point of FLiBe to prepare the eutectic FLiBe with dissolved UF 4 . Although the concept appears straightforward, the production of FLiBe/U involved various challenges. These challenges included transporting the gaseous decomposition products of ABeF, hydrogen fluoride (HF) and ammonia (NH 3 ), while preventing the formation of ammonium fluoride (NH 4 F). Additionally, it was necessary to control the reaction between the higher-than-anticipated water content in the commercial ABeF with NH 3 , HF, and the condensed NH 4 F, protect UF 4 from forming an unknown black compound, select suitable structural materials to mitigate fluoride corrosion, address the risks associated with beryllium toxicity through equipment design and operational protocols, and monitor process conditions. This article provides an account of the thermal decomposition chemistry observed in the commercial ABeF, describes the FLiBe/U production apparatus, describes the experiences and process refinements developed to prepare FLiBe/U, and presents our characterizations of prepared FLiBe/U.

Ammonium beryllium fluoride thermal decomposition↗
NASA NTRS1991

GEOSIM: A numerical model for geophysical fluid flow simulation

A numerical model which simulates geophysical fluid flow in a wide range of problems is described in detail, and comparisons of some of the model's results are made with previous experimental and numerical studies. The model is based upon the Boussinesq Navier-Stokes equations in spherical coordinates, which can be reduced to a cylindrical system when latitudinal walls are used near the pole and the ratio of latitudinal length to the radius of the sphere is small. The equations are approximated by finite differences in the meridional plane and spectral decomposition in the azimuthal direction. The user can specify a variety of boundary and initial conditions, and there are five different spectral truncation options. The results of five validation cases are presented: (1) the transition between axisymmetric flow and baroclinic wave flow in the side heated annulus; (2) the steady baroclinic wave of the side heated annulus; (3) the wave amplitude vacillation of the side heated annulus; (4) transition to baroclinic wave flow in a bottom heated annulus; and (5) the Spacelab Geophysical Fluid Flow Cell (spherical) experiment.

Butler, Karen A.↗
NASA NTRS2009

Carbon Emissions from Deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon Region

A simulation model based on satellite observations of monthly vegetation greenness from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) was used to estimate monthly carbon fluxes in terrestrial ecosystems of Brazilian Amazon and Cerrado regions over the period 2000-2002. The NASA-CASA (Carnegie Ames Stanford Approach) model estimates of annual forest production were used for the first time as the basis to generate a prediction for the standing pool of carbon in above-ground biomass (AGB; gC/sq m) for forested areas of the Brazilian Amazon region. Plot-level measurements of the residence time of carbon in wood in Amazon forest from Malhi et al. (2006) were interpolated by inverse distance weighting algorithms and used with CASA to generate a new regional map of AGB. Data from the Brazilian PRODES (Estimativa do Desflorestamento da Amazonia) project were used to map deforested areas. Results show that net primary production (NPP) sinks for carbon varied between 4.25 Pg C/yr (1 Pg=10(exp 15)g) and 4.34 Pg C for the region and were highest across the eastern and northern Amazon areas, whereas deforestation sources of CO2 flux from decomposition of residual woody debris were higher and less seasonal in the central Amazon than in the eastern and southern areas. Increased woody debris from past deforestation events was predicted to alter the net ecosystem carbon balance of the Amazon region to generate annual CO2 source fluxes at least two times higher than previously predicted by CASA modeling studies. Variations in climate, land cover, and forest burning were predicted to release carbon at rates of 0.5 to 1 Pg C/yr from the Brazilian Amazon. When direct deforestation emissions of CO2 from forest burning of between 0.2 and 0.6 Pg C/yr in the Legal Amazon are overlooked in regional budgets, the year-to-year variations in this net biome flux may appear to be large, whereas our model results implies net biome fluxes had actually been relatively consistent from year to year during the period 2000-2002. This is the first study to use MODIS data to model all carbon pools (wood, leaf, root) dynamically in simulations of Amazon forest deforestation from clearing and burning of all kinds.

Potter, C.↗
DOE OSTI2020

Ion Pairing and Redissociaton in Low-Permittivity Electrolytes for Multivalent Battery Applications

Detailed speciation of electrolytes as a function of chemical system and concentration provides the foundation for understanding bulk transport as well as possible decomposition mechanisms. In particular, multivalent electrolytes have shown a strong coupling between anodic stability and solvation structure. Furthermore, solvents that are found to exhibit reasonable stability against alkaline-earth metals generally exhibit low permittivity, which typically increases the complexity of the electrolyte species. To improve our understanding of ionic population and associated transport in these important classes of electrolytes, the speciation of Mg(TFSI)2 in monoglyme and diglyme systems is studied via a multiscale thermodynamic model using first-principles calculations for ion association and molecular dynamics simulations for dielectric properties. The results are then compared to Raman and dielectric relaxation spectroscopies, which independently confirm the modeling insights. We find that the significant presence of free ions in the low-permittivity glymes in the concentration range from 0.02 to 0.6 M is well-explained by the low-permittivity redissociation hypothesis. Here, salt speciation is largely dictated by long-range electrostatics, which includes permittivity increases due to polar contact ion pairs. The present results suggest that other low-permittivity multivalent electrolytes may also reach high conductivities as a result of redissociation.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Physics-constrained, low-dimensional models for magnetohydrodynamics: First-principles and data-driven approaches

Plasmas are highly nonlinear and multiscale, motivating a hierarchy of models to understand and describe their behavior. However, there is a scarcity of plasma models of lower fidelity than magnetohydrodynamics (MHD), although these reduced models hold promise for understanding key physical mechanisms, efficient computation, and real-time optimization and control. Galerkin models, obtained by projection of the MHD equations onto a truncated modal basis, and data-driven models, obtained by modern machine learning and system identification, can furnish this gap in the lower levels of the model hierarchy. This work develops a reduced-order modeling framework for compressible plasmas, leveraging decades of progress in projection-based and data-driven modeling of fluids. We begin by formalizing projection-based model reduction for nonlinear MHD systems. To avoid separate modal decompositions for the magnetic, velocity, and pressure fields, we introduce an energy inner product to synthesize all of the fields into a dimensionally consistent, reduced-order basis. Next, we obtain an analytic model by Galerkin projection of the Hall-MHD equations onto these modes. We illustrate how global conservation laws constrain the model parameters, revealing symmetries that can be enforced in data-driven models, directly connecting these models to the underlying physics. We demonstrate the effectiveness of this approach on data from high-fidelity numerical simulations of a three-dimensional spheromak experiment. Finally, this manuscript builds a bridge to the extensive Galerkin literature in fluid mechanics and facilitates future principled development of projection-based and data-driven models for plasmas.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

A modular and extensible CHARMM-compatible model for all-atom simulation of polypeptoids

Peptoids (N-substituted glycines) are a class of sequence-defined synthetic peptidomimetic polymers with applications including drug delivery, catalysis, and biomimicry. Classical molecular simulations have been used to predict and understand the conformational dynamics of single chains and their self-assembly into morphologies including sheets, tubes, spheres, and fibrils. The CGenFF-NTOID model based on the CHARMM General Force Field has demonstrated success in accurate all-atom molecular modeling of peptoid structure and thermodynamics. Extension of this force field to new peptoid side chains has historically required reparameterization of side chain bonded interactions against ab initio data. This fitting protocol improves the accuracy of the force field but is also burdensome and precludes modular extensibility of the model to arbitrary peptoid sequences. In this work, we develop and demonstrate a Modular Side Chain CGenFF-NTOID (MoSiC-CGenFF-NTOID) as an extension of CGenFF-NTOID employing a modular decomposition of the peptoid backbone and side chain parameterizations, wherein arbitrary side chains within the large family of substituted methyl groups (i.e., –CH 3 , –CH 2 R, –CHRR', and –CRR'R") are directly ported from CGenFF. We validate this approach against ab initio calculations and experimental data to develop a MoSiC-CGenFF-NTOID model for all 20 natural amino acid side chains along with 13 commonly used synthetic side chains and present an extensible paradigm to efficiently determine whether a novel side chain can be directly incorporated into the model or whether refitting of the CGenFF parameters is warranted. We make the model freely available to the community along with a tool to perform automated initial structure generation.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Balancing solvation: stabilizing lithium metal batteries via optimized cosolvents for ionic-liquid electrolytes

In this study, we examined three cosolvents with distinct solvation capabilities for ionic-liquid electrolytes based on 1-methyl-1-propyl pyrrolidinium bis(fluorosulfonyl)imide (Py13FSI). We demonstrate that 1,1,1-trifluoro-2-(2-(2-(2,2,2-trifluoroethoxy)ethoxy)ethoxy)ethane (FDG) notably enhances the cycle life of Py13FSI-based electrolytes, outperforming 1,1,2,2-tetrafluoroethyl 2,2,3,3-tetrafluoropropylether (TTE) and diglyme (DG). Electrochemical and surface analyses showed that this improvement could be attributed to the formation of a favorable cathode interphase, promoting efficient Li+ transport with reduced overpotential. Spectroscopic techniques (FTIR, Raman, and NMR spectroscopy) and molecular dynamics simulations revealed that cosolvents with varying solvation abilities can influence the solvation structures in Py13FSI-based electrolytes. The mild solvating strength and lithium stability of FDG are key contributors to its effectiveness. Conversely, DG, a strong solvating solvent, destabilized the Py13FSI-DG electrolyte at the lithium metal anode, while TTE, a non-solvating solvent, failed to enhance lithium transport or form a stable cathode interphase. Our findings highlight that balanced solvation exerted by the cosolvents is critical for forming a stable electrolyte–cathode interface, potentially through FSI decomposition. This study offers valuable insights into the development of durable ionic-liquid electrolytes, emphasizing the importance of selecting cosolvents with optimal solvation properties.

Li, Xinlin [Argonne National Laboratory (ANL), Arg↗
DOE OSTI2022

Latent Space Dynamics Identification

LaSDI is a data-driven physical simulation software that forms a latent space for a given high-fidelity model and discovers a set of ordinary differential equations for the latent space dynamics. It allows a fast and accurate solution process, which is useful for multi-query decision making applications, such as design optimization and uncertainty quantification. The performance of the LaSDI framework is demonstrated on four different problems, i.e., 1D and 2D Burgers equations, nonlinear heat conduction, and radial advection problems. Both linear and nonlinear compression techniques, such as neural network and proper orthogonal decomposition, are used to form a latent space. A concept of local dynamics identification procedure is introduced to enable a parametric model, which enhances the accuracy level over a given parameter space.

Fries, William↗
DOE OSTI2025

Multiphysics Modeling of Microreactors with NEAMS codes, and Validation Based on KRUSTY Reactivity Insertion

The NEAMS Multiphysics Applications team continues to assess code usability and functionality for microreactor design and safety analyses, while demonstrating that NEAMS tools capture both steady-state and transient behavior across distinct microreactor concepts. In FY2025, the team advanced full-core, high-fidelity, multiphysics models that solve more complex problems and strengthen verification/validation for several microreactor systems: heat-pipe microreactor (HPMR), gas-cooled microreactor (GCMR), and the KRUSTY experiment. These models employ the MOOSE MultiApp/Transfers architecture with Griffin for neutronics, BISON for heat conduction/thermomechanics, Sockeye for heat pipes, SAM/THM for coolant channels and loops, and SWIFT for hydride behavior, with meshes generated via the MOOSE Reactor Module. The graphite models available in the Grizzly code were also investigated for future analyses. For the HPMR, a Na-HPMR variant was constructed to align with recently validated heat-pipe experiments and Sockeye’s LCVF capability, enabling mechanistic heat-pipe transients and startup modeling. The Na-HPMR will serve as the primary model for HPMR investigations in upcoming tasks. The load-following and single heat-pipe failure scenarios (Griffin/BISON/Sockeye), which were previously modeled for the K-HPMR, were replicated for the Na-HPMR, showing strong negative temperature feedback and highly localized thermal effects, respectively, while the startup case captured vapor-front progression and heat-removal activation. Solid mechanics was added to the previously built K-HPMR full-core model in BISON, showing minimal impact on steady-state reactivity yet enabling stress-field predictions that prepare the path for full-core TRISO performance analyses. For the GCMR, automated steady-state and four transient scenarios were executed using Griffin/BISON/SAM/SWIFT. Results confirm robust inherent safety: power collapses promptly in loss-of-cooling events, the inlet-temperature drop settles to a new equilibrium, and a single-channel blockage yields only a ~30 K local fuel-temperature rise with <0.4% power decrease. SWIFT-predicted hydrogen redistribution affects reactivity during both steady-state and transient conditions, underscoring its importance. A Brayton-cycle balance of plant (BOP) model in SAM/THM demonstrated stable startup behavior, and xenon-driven reactivity during load following was analyzed. To improve TRISO-compact temperature fidelity, a fast multiscale Heat Source Decomposition (HSD) treatment was implemented. Against heterogeneous benchmarks, HSD reduces underprediction of kernel temperatures and lowers predicted peak powers in reactivity-insertion transients compared to previous homogenized models. KRUSTY warm-critical validation progressed from FY2024 baselines: the 15Ȼ insertion shows excellent agreement in peak power (~2% high) and temperature trends, and the 30Ȼ case was automated via a feedback controller that maintained power near 3 kW for ~150 s with close agreement to data. The successful modeling of the warm critical tests has laid a strong foundation for simulating more complex nuclear system tests in the years ahead. Throughout FY2025, developer feedback was provided (e.g., MOOSE batch mesh generation, distributed pre-split meshes, Griffin sweeper on displaced meshes), several new models were contributed to the Virtual Test Bed, and an OECD-NEA WPRS multiphysics benchmark based on the HPMR was initiated to enable broader cross-comparison and best-practice development with the nuclear community at large.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Implicit Large-Eddy Simulation of Axisymmetric and Asymmetric Turbulent Shock Wave Boundary Layer Interaction at Mach 2.5

High-speed inlet flows feature turbulent shock wave boundary layer interactions at supersonic Mach numbers. A canonical Mach 2.5 shock wave boundary layer interaction experiment at the NASA Glenn Research Center was designed for axisymmetric and asymmetric interactions depending on the placement of the shock generator. Four different wall-resolved implicit large-eddy simulations of the experiment were carried out at one-tenth of the Reynolds number of the experiment: (1) Two axisymmetric interactions with shock generator radii of 9.2% and 14.7% of the test section diameter and (2) two asymmetric interactions with 14.7% shock generator radius and shock generator centerline offsets of one-third and one-fourth of the test section radius. For the two axisymmetric interactions, various sub-domains upstream of the interaction, within the interaction, and downstream of the interaction were analyzed with the proper orthogonal decomposition. For all three regions, the dominant modes are streamwise coherent structures with Strouhal numbers based on separation length of 0.15 and below. Fourier spectra of the wall-pressure coefficient for the interaction region have peaks at Strouhal numbers based on separation length of 0.15 and 0.04. For the two asymmetric interactions, the streamwise extent of the separation varies considerably in the azimuthal direction. For both shock generator offsets, the interaction is strongest for the azimuthal location that is closest to the shock generator. Compared to the axisymmetric interaction, the streamwise extent of the separated flow region is noticeably reduced and a substantial crossflow is observed. Fourier analyses of the unsteady flow indicate low-frequency content f or the upstream part of the interaction which is more two-dimensional. Away from the upstream region, with increasing sweep angle and crossflow, the low-frequency content is diminished.

Computational Fluid Dynamics↗
DOE OSTI2022

Investigation of methods for targeted search of dominant higher modes in subcritical systems

The reactor physics modeling of subcritical systems requires a substantially different approach from that of a critical reactor due to the presence of the so-called higher modes. Earlier investigations showed that the dominant higher modes lie in the inner part of the eigenvalue spectrum, making the conventional eigenvalue searches unfeasible and calling for a targeted search. This paper investigates the possibility of targeted and multitudinous eigenvalue calculation by testing the Krylov-Schur and the Dynamic Modes Decomposition (DMD) method for simple, analytically tractable problems. While the DMD method clearly showed its efficiency in a one-group homogeneous problem, modal analysis of a three-dimensional reflected reactor in two-groups approximation demonstrated that the increasing complexity poses challenges for both methods. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Smoothing Lexis diagrams using kernel functions: A contemporary approach

Lexis diagrams are rectangular arrays of event rates indexed by age and period. Analysis of Lexis diagrams is a cornerstone of cancer surveillance research. Typically, population-based descriptive studies analyze multiple Lexis diagrams defined by sex, tumor characteristics, race/ethnicity, geographic region, etc. Inevitably the amount of information per Lexis diminishes with increasing stratification. Several methods have been proposed to smooth observed Lexis diagrams up front to clarify salient patterns and improve summary estimates of averages, gradients, and trends. In this article, we develop a novel bivariate kernel-based smoother that incorporates two key innovations. First, for any given kernel, we calculate its singular values decomposition, and select an optimal truncation point—the number of leading singular vectors to retain—based on the bias-corrected Akaike information criterion. Second, we model-average over a panel of candidate kernels with diverse shapes and bandwidths. The truncated model averaging approach is fast, automatic, has excellent performance, and provides a variance-covariance matrix that takes model selection into account. We present an in-depth case study (invasive estrogen receptor-negative breast cancer incidence among non-Hispanic white women in the United States) and simulate operating characteristics for 20 representative cancers. The truncated model averaging approach consistently outperforms any fixed kernel. Our results support the routine use of the truncated model averaging approach in descriptive studies of cancer.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
NASA NTRS1990

Aerospace plane guidance using geometric control theory

A reduced-order method employing decomposition, based on time-scale separation, of the 4-D state space in a 2-D slow manifold and a family of 2-D fast manifolds is shown to provide an excellent approximation to the full-order minimum-fuel ascent trajectory. Near-optimal guidance is obtained by tracking the reduced-order trajectory. The tracking problem is solved as regulation problems on the family of fast manifolds, using the exact linearization methodology from nonlinear geometric control theory. The validity of the overall guidance approach is indicated by simulation.

Van Buren, Mark A.↗