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Characterizing the Relationships Among Lightning and Storm Parameters: Lightning as a Proxy Variable

We have gained important insights from prior studies that have suggested relationships between lightning and storm growth, decay, convective rain flux, vertical distribution of storm mass and echo volume in the region, and storm energetics. A study was initiated in the Summer of 1996 to determine how total (in-cloud plus ground) lightning observations might provide added knowledge to the forecaster in the determination and identification of severe thunderstorms and weather hazards in real-time. The Melbourne Weather Office was selected as a primary site to conduct this study because Melbourne is the only site in the world with continuous and open access to total lightning (LDAR) data and a Doppler (WSR-88D) radar. A Lightning Imaging Sensor Data Applications Demonstration (LISDAD) system was integrated into the forecaster's workstation during the Summer 1996 to allow the forecaster to interact in real-time with the multi-sensor data being displayed. LISDAD currently ingests LDAR data, the cloud-to-ground National Lightning Detection Network (NLDN) data, and the Melbourne radar data in f real-time. The interactive features provide the duty forecaster the ability to perform quick diagnostics on storm cells of interest. Upon selection of a storm cell, a pop-up box appears displaying the time-history of various storm parameters (e.g., maximum radar reflectivity, height of maximum reflectivity, echo-top height, NLDN and LDAR lightning flash rates, storm-based vertically integrated liquid water content). This product is archived to aid on detailed post-analysis.

Goodman, S. J.↗

Relationship of Topside Ionospheric Ion Outflows to Auroral Forms and Precipitations, Plasma Waves, and Convection Observed by POLAR

The POLAR satellite often observes upflowing ionospheric ions (UFls) in and near the auroral oval on southern perigee (approximately 5000 km altitude) passes. We present the UFI features observed by the thermal ion dynamics experiment (TIDE) and the toroidal imaging mass-angle spectrograph (TIMAS) in the dusk-dawn sector under two different geomagnetic activity conditions in order to elicit their relationships with auroral forms, wave emissions, and convection pattern from additional POLAR instruments. During the active interval, the ultraviolet imager (UVI) observed a bright discrete aurora on the dusk side after the substorm onset and then observed a small isolated aurora form and diffuse auroras on the dawn side during the recovery phase. The UFls showed clear conic distributions when the plasma wave instrument (PWI) detected strong broadband wave emissions below approximately 10 kHz, while no significant auroral activities were observed by UVI. At higher latitudes, the low-energy UFI conics gradually changed to the polar wind component with decreasing intensity of the broadband emissions. V-shaped auroral kilometric radiation (AKR) signatures observed above approximately 200 kHz by PWI coincided with the region where the discrete aurora and the UFI beams were detected. The latitude of these features was lower than that of the UFI conics. During the observations of the UFI beams and conics, the lower-frequency fluctuations observed by the electric field instrument (EFI) were also enhanced, and the convection directions exhibited large fluctuations. It is evident that large electrostatic potential drops produced the precipitating electrons and discrete auroras, the UFI beams, and the AKR, which is also supported by the energetic plasma data from HYDRA. Since the intense broadband emissions were also observed with the UFIs. the ionospheric ions could be energized transversely before or during the parallel acceleration due to the potential drops.

Hirahara, M.↗

Investigation of the Relationship of Vortex-Generated Sound and Airframe Noise

Airframe noise contributes the most to the environmental contamination from airports during take-off and landing. Two sources of noise are from the vortex-system associated with the slat and flap of multi-element wing designs. The flap-side edge vortex experiences bursting, known as vortex breakdown, at a critical deflection angle and experimental results show that this event may be one source of increased noise levels. Understanding of the edge roll-up phenomenon has increased but further focused studies on the role of the growth and bursting of the vortex structure are needed. The goal of the research is to plan a research program that will contribute to the understanding of the fluid physics of vortex breakdown and its relationship to noise production. The success of this program will lead to a priori predictions of when vortex breakdown will occur on the flap side-edge and accurate calculations of its effect on the noise level experienced by an observer near the aircraft during take-off and landing.

Smith, Sonya T.↗

The Relationship of the MOLA Topography of Mars to the Mean Atmospheric Pressure

The MOLA topography of Mars is based on a new mean radius of the planet and new equipotential surface for the areoid. The mean atmospheric pressure surface of 6.1mbars that has been used in the past as a reference level for topography does not apply to the zero level of MOLA elevations. The MOLA mean radius of the planet is 3389508 meters and the mean equatorial radius is 339600 meters. The areoid of the zero level of the MOLA altimetry is defined to be the potential surface with the same potential as the mean equatorial radius. The MOLA topography differs from the USGS digital elevation data by approximately 1.6 km, with MOLA higher. The average pressure on the MOLA reference surface for Ls =0 is approximately 5.1 mbars and has been derived from occultation data obtained from the tracking of Viking, Mariner, and MGS spacecraft and interpolated with the aid of the Ames Mars GCM. The new topography and the new occultation data are providing a more reliable relationship between elevation and surface pressure.

Smith, David E.↗

Launch Vehicle Mass Estimating Relationship Database

This document is a printout of the contents of a database designed to estimate the mass for a launch vehicle. The Mass Estimating Relationship (MER) is given for specific parts of a launch vehicle.

Brothers, Bobby↗

Intrinsic Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Modes of the Asian Summer Monsoon: A Re-assessment of Monsoon-ENSO Relationships

Using global rainfall and sea surface temperature (SST) data for the past two decades (1979-1998), we have investigated the intrinsic modes of Asian summer monsoon (ASM) and ENSO co-variability. Three recurring ASM rainfall-SST coupled modes were identified. The first is a basin scale mode that features SST and rainfall variability over the entire tropics (including the ASM region), identifiable with those occurring during El Nino or La Nina. This mode is further characterized by a pronounced biennial variation in ASM rainfall and SST associated with fluctuations of the anomalous Walker circulation that occur during El Nino/La Nina transitions. The second mode comprises mixed regional and basin-scale rainfall and SST signals, with pronounced intraseasonal and interannual variabilities. This mode features a SST pattern associated with a developing La Nina, with a pronounced low level anticyclone in the subtropics of the western Pacific off the coast of East Asia. The third mode depicts an east-west rainfall and SST dipole across the southern equatorial Indian Ocean, most likely stemming from coupled ocean-atmosphere processes within the ASM region. This mode also possesses a decadal time scale and a linear trend, which are not associated with El Nino/La Nina variability. Possible causes of year-to-year rainfall variability over the ASM and sub-regions have been evaluated from a reconstruction of the observed rainfall from singular eigenvectors of the coupled modes. It is found that while basin-scale SST can account for portions of ASM rainfall variability during ENSO events (up to 60% in 1998), regional processes can accounts up to 20-25% of the rainfall variability in typical non-ENSO years. Stronger monsoon-ENSO relationship tends to occur in the boreal summer immediately preceding a pronounced La Nina, i.e., 1998, 1988 and 1983. Based on these results, we discuss the possible impacts of the ASM on ENSO variability via the west Pacific anticyclone and articulate a hypothesis that anomalous wind forcings derived from the anticyclone may be instrumental in inducing a strong biennial modulation to natural ENSO cycles.

Lau, K.-M.↗

The Relationship Between Magnetotail Dynamics and Substorm Onset Longitudes Determined from Spacecraft Images

Geotail plasma and magnetic field observations of plasmoids between 25 and 30 Re have been compared to Polar UVI observations of auroral brightenings. Plasmoids almost always corresponded to brightenings but the brightenings were sometimes weak and spatially limited and did not always grow to a global substorm. Even a case where a plasmoid event occurred with fast post-plasmoid flow corresponded to a weak brightening but no substorm. Some brightenings did not correspond to plasmoids, but these events were observed away from the longitude of Geotail. The plasmoids are observed 0-2 min after the brightenings in most cases. It seems likely that formation of a near-Earth neutral line causes each brightening in the polar ionosphere, but these formations do not have a one-to-one relationship with a substorm onset. What causes development of the full, large-scale substorm remains an open question.

Ieda, A.↗

The Evolution of Tropospheric Temperature Field and its Relationship With The Onset of Asian Summer Monsoon

The mean state and year-to-year variations of the tropospheric temperature fields and their relationship with the establishment of the summertime East Asian monsoon (EAM) and the Indian monsoon (INM) are studied using the NCEP reanalysis data of 15 years (1982-1996). The results show that the seasonal shift of the South Asian High in the upper troposphere and the establishment of the EAM and the INM are closely related to the seasonal warming which causes a reversal of the meridional gradient of upper tropospheric mean temperature over the monsoon regions. On the average of 15 years, the reversal time of the temperature gradient in the EAM region (INM region) is concurrent with (one pentad earlier than) the onset time of the summer monsoon. In most years of the 15-year period, the reversal of temperature gradient coincides or precedes the onset time of the summer monsoon in both the EAM region and the INM region. The results suggest an important role of thermal processes on the establishment of the Asian monsoon. The contributors to the upper tropospheric warming over the EAM region are the strong horizontal warm advection and the diabetic heating against the adiabatic cooling due to upward motion. In the INM region, strong adiabatic heating by subsidence and the diabetic heating are major warming processes against the strong horizontal cold advection related to the persistent northwestlies to the southwestern periphery of the Tibetan Plateau. It appears that the early or late establishment of the Asian summer monsoon is not directly related to the differential warming near the surface.

He, H.↗

Relationships Between the Medusae Fossae Formation (MFF), Fluvial Channels, and the Dichotomy Boundary Southeast of Nicholson Crater, Mars

We use Mars Global Surveyor's Mars Orbiter Laser Altimeter (MOLA) and Mars Orbiter Camera (MOC) data to investigate the Medusae Fossae Formation (MFF) and its relationship to fluvial channels southeast of Nicholson Crater. In this area the MFF shows small-scale layering and is draped over Labou Vallis. Additional information is contained in the original extended abstract.

Bradley, B. A.↗

Structure-Property Relationship in High Tg Thermosetting Polyimides

This viewgraph presentation gives an overview of the structure-property relationship in high glass transition temperatures (T(sub g)) thermosetting polyimides. The objectives of this work are to replace MDA in PMR-15 with 2,2-substituted benzidine and to evaluate the thermo-oxidative stability and mechanical properties of DMBZ-15 against PMR-15. Details are given on the T(sub g) of polyimide resins, the x-ray crystal structure of 2,2-Bis(trifluoro)benzidine (BFBZ), the isothermal aging of polyimide resins at 288 C under 1 atm of circulating air, the compressive strength of polyimide composites, and a gas evaluation profile of DMBZ-15 polyimide resins.

Chuang, Kathy C.↗

The NO(x)-HNO3 System in the Lower Stratosphere: Insights from In Situ Measurements and Implications of the J(HNO3)-[OH] Relationship

During the 1997 Photochemistry of Ozone Loss in the Arctic Region in Summer (POLARIS) mission, simultaneous in situ observations of NOx and HOx radicals, their precursors, and the radiation field were obtained in the lower stratosphere. We use these observations to evaluate the primary mechanisms that control NOx-HNO3 exchange and to understand their control over the partitioning between NO2 and HNO3 in regions of continuous sunlight. We calculate NOx production (PNOx) and loss (LNOx) in a manner directly constrained by the in situ measurements and current rate constant recommendations, using approaches for representing albedo, overhead O3 and [OH] that reduce model uncertainty. We find a consistent discrepancy of 18% between modeled rates of NOx production and loss (LNOx = 1.18P(sub NOx)), which is within the measurement uncertainty of +/- 27%. The partitioning between NOx production processes is [HNO3 + OH (41 +/- 2)%; HNO3 + hv (59 +/- 2)%] and between NOx loss processes is [NO2 + OH, 90% to >97%; BrONO2 + H2O, 10% to <3%]. The steady-state description of NOx-HNO3 exchange reveals the significant influence of the tight correlation between the photolysis rate of HNO3 and [OH] established by in situ measurements throughout the lower stratosphere. Parametrizing this relationship, we find: (1) the steady-state value of [NO2](sub 24h-avg)/[HNO3] in the continuously sunlit, lower stratosphere is a function only of temperature and number density; and (2) the partitioning of NOx production between HNO3 + OH and HNO3 + hv is nearly constant throughout most of the lower stratosphere. We describe a methodology (functions of latitude, day, temperature, and pressure) for accurately predicting the steady-state value of [NO2](sub 24h-avg)/[HNO3] and the partitioning of NOx production within these regions. The results establish a metric to compare observations of [NO2](sub 24h-avg)/[HNO3] within the continuously sunlit region and provide a simple diagnostic for evaluating the accuracy of models that attempt to describe the coupled NOx-HOx photochemistry in the lower stratosphere.

Perkins, K. K.↗

Precipitation-Lightning Relationships on a Global Basis and a Study of Tropical Continental Convection in TRMM Brazil

This report is concerned with a summary of work completed under NASA Grant NAG5-4778 entitled: "Precipitation-Lightning Relationships on a Global Basis", with a supplement entitled: "A Study of Tropical Continental Convection in TRMM/Brazil". Several areas of endeavor are summarized, some of them concerned directly with the observations from the TRMM satellite, and others focussing on ground based measurements in the NASA TRMM LBA field program in Brazil.

Williams, Earle R.↗

The Relationship of Tropical Cyclone Convective Intensity to Passive Microwave Observations

During the 1998 and 2001 hurricane seasons, the Advanced Microwave Precipitation Radiometer (AMPR) was flown aboard the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) ER-2 high altitude aircraft as part of the Third Convection And Moisture EXperiment (CAMEX-3) and the Fourth Convection And Moisture Experiment (CAMEX-4). Several hurricanes and tropical storms were sampled during these experiments. The passive microwave observations of these tropical cyclones collected at frequencies of 10.7, 19.35, 37.1, and 85.5 GHz will be presented to explain differences in precipitation features of the hurricanes. In particular, the relationship of the passive microwave signatures of precipitation-sized ice to vertical updraft strength will be examined as a possible indicator of future convective intensity. Correlated aircraft radar, lightning, visible and infrared information will also be examined to provide further insight.

Hood, Robbie E.↗

The Relationship of Self-Efficacy and Complacency in Pilot-Automation Interaction

Pilot 'complacency' has been implicated as a contributing factor in numerous aviation accidents and incidents. The term has become more prominent with the increase in automation technology in modern cockpits and, therefore, research has been focused on understanding the factors that may mitigate its effect on pilot-automation interaction. The study examined self-efficacy of supervisory monitoring and the relationship between complacency on strategy of pilot use of automation for workload management under automation schedules that produce the potential for complacency. The results showed that self-efficacy can be a 'double-edged' sword in reducing potential for automation-induced complacency but limiting workload management strategies and increasing other hazardous states of awareness.

Prinzel, Lawrence J., III↗

Implications of Lag-Luminosity Relationship for Unified GRB Paradigms

Spectral lags (tau(sub lag)) are deduced for 1437 long (T(sub 90) greater than 2 s) BATSE gamma-ray bursts (GRBs) with peak flux F(sub p) greater than 0.25 photons cm(sup -2)/s, near to the BATSE trigger threshold. The lags are modeled to approximate the observed distribution in the F(sub p)-T(sub lag) plane, realizing a noise-free representation. Assuming a two-branch lag-luminosity relationship, the lags are self-consistently corrected for cosmological effects to yield distributions in luminosity, distance, and redshift. The results have several consequences for GRB populations and for unified gamma-ray/afterglow scenarios which would account for afterglow break times and gamma-ray spectral evolution in terms of jet opening angle, viewing angle, or a profiled jet with variable Lorentz factor: A component of the burst sample is identified - those with few, wide pulses, lags of a few tenths to several seconds, and soft spectra - whose Log[N]-Log[F(sub p)] distribution approximates a -3/2 power-law, suggesting homogeneity and thus relatively nearby sources. The proportion of these long-lag bursts increases from negligible among bright BATSE bursts to approx. 50% at trigger threshold. Bursts with very long lags, approx. 1-2 less than tau(sub lag) (S) less than 10, show a tendency to concentrate near the Supergalactic Plane with a quadrupole moment of approx. -0.10 +/- 0.04. GRB 980425 (SN 1998bw) is a member of this subsample of approx. 90 bursts with estimated distances less than 100 Mpc. The frequency of the observed ultra-low luminosity bursts is approx. 1/4 that of SNe Ib/c within the same volume. If truly nearby, the core-collapse events associated with these GRBs might produce gravitational radiation detectable by LIGO-II. Such nearby bursts might also help explain flattening of the cosmic ray spectrum at ultra-high energies, as observed by AGASA.

Norris, J. P.↗

Temporal Stability of the NDVI-LAI Relationship in a Napa Valley Vineyard

Remotely sensed normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) values, derived from high-resolution satellite images, were compared with ground measurements of vineyard leaf area index (LAI) periodically during the 2001 growing season. The two variables were strongly related at six ground calibration sites on each of four occasions (r squared = 0.91 to 0.98). Linear regression equations relating the two variables did not significantly differ by observation date, and a single equation accounted for 92 percent of the variance in the combined dataset. Temporal stability of the relationship opens the possibility of transforming NDVI maps to LAI in the absence of repeated ground calibration fieldwork. In order to take advantage of this circumstance, however, steps should be taken to assure temporal consistency in spectral data values comprising the NDVI.

Johnson, L. F.↗