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At least 901 records · Page 50

The Impact of Clean Grid Transition on Wastewater Sector Greenhouse Gas Emissions

This study examines the spatial and temporal impacts of the U.S. clean energy grid transition on related greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from the wastewater treatment industry. By analyzing data from 17,156 water resource recovery facilities (WRRFs) and state-specific grid decarbonization scenarios, the results project a 60% reduction in Scope 2 emissions by 2050, driven by the national shift to renewable energy. However, regional disparities are prominent, with northeastern and western states achieving the most significant reductions, while the Ohio Valley and Rockies are likely to experience higher emissions due to the reliance on fossil fuels. This study offers the first assessment of clean grid impacts on the WRRFs and highlights the need for targeted, region-specific strategies across different emission scopes. This research provides insights for policymakers and stakeholders in the wastewater sector, emphasizing the critical role of grid decarbonization in achieving GHG reduction goals.

Li, Xiatong↗

Impact of Disorder and Defects on Bond Energies in Highly Fluorinated Graphene

Fluorinated graphite materials are of interest for an assortment of applications and can be synthesized under a variety of synthetic conditions from many different types of carbon. Due to such variations, structural disorders in the form of defects and polymorphism are often present. Here, we investigate the impact of local structural variations on the C–F bond dissociation energies (BDEs) in carbon-based fluoride materials using density functional theory (DFT) computational methods. Employing fluorographene (FG) cluster models, we determine the impact of different C–F bonding configurations in the core of each platelet on the equilibrium BDEs for each C–F bond. The introduction of structural disorder decreases the first C–F BDE by approximately 1 eV compared to the canonical arrangement of axial C–F bonds ordered as in a network of cyclohexane “chairs”. Variability of calculated BDEs among the different polymorphs decreases upon subsequent F removal. Common structural tendencies of the adiabatic defluorination pathways for each polymorph are identified. In conclusion, our analysis suggests that at F/C ratios near 1.0, disorder in the local structure can play a significant role in the energetics of the initial carbon fluoride defluorination and that the influence of this configurational disorder diminishes with decreasing F/C ratios.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Proton-Coupled Defects Impact O–H Bond Dissociation Free Energies on Metal Oxide Surfaces

Proton-coupled electron transfer (PCET) reactions on metal oxides require coupling between proton transfer at the solid-liquid interface and electron transfer involving defects at or near the band edge. Herein, hybrid functional periodic density functional theory is used to elucidate the impact of proton-coupled defects on the bond dissociation free energies (BDFEs) of O-H bonds on anatase TiO 2 surfaces. These O-H BDFEs are directly related to interfacial PCET thermochemistry. Comparison between geometrically similar O-H bonds associated with different defect types, namely conduction d-band electrons or valence p-band holes, reveals that the BDFEs differ by ~81 kcal/mol (3.50 eV), comparable to the wide TiO 2 band gap. These differences are shown to be determined primarily by differences in electron transfer driving forces, which are analyzed by using band energies and inner-sphere reorganization energies within a Marcus theory framework. Furthermore, these fundamental insights about the impact of proton-coupled defects on PCET thermochemistry at semiconductor surfaces have broad implications for electrocatalysis.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Impact of n -Butylammonium Bromide on the Chemical and Electronic Structure of Double-Cation Perovskite Thin Films

2D/3D perovskite heterostructures have emerged as a promising material composition to reduce nonradiative recombination in perovskite-based LEDs and solar cells. Such heterostructures can be created by a surface treatment with large organic cations, for example, n-butylammonium bromide (BABr). To understand the impact of the BABr surface treatment on the double-cation (Cs 0.17 FA 0.83 Pb(I 0.6 Br 0.4 ) 3 ) (FA = formamidinium) perovskite thin film and further optimize the corresponding structures, an in-depth understanding of the chemical and electronic properties of the involved surfaces, interfaces, and bulk is required. We study the impact of the BABr treatment with a combination of surface-sensitive X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy and bulk-sensitive resonant inelastic soft X-ray scattering (RIXS). A quantitative analysis of the BABr-treated perovskite thin film shows a modified chemical perovskite surface environment of carbon, nitrogen, bromine, iodine, and lead, indicating that the treatment leads to a perovskite surface with a modified composition and bonding structure. With K-edge RIXS, the local environment at the nitrogen and carbon atoms is probed, allowing us to identify the presence of BABr in the perovskite bulk albeit with a modified bonding environment. This, in turn, identifies a "hidden parameter" for the optimization of the BABr treatment and overall performance of 2D/3D perovskite solar cell absorbers.

2D/3D perovskite heterostructure↗

Impact of Porous Transport Layer Morphology on the Performance of Proton Exchange Membrane Water Electrolyzers with Ultra-Low Iridium Loadings

Reducing Ir loadings in proton exchange membrane water electrolyzer anodes is critical for lowering capital expenses. Loading reduction could be achieved by improving the Ir activity via doping/alloying and/or the development of advanced microstructures. However, the anode porous transport layer (PTL) is a comparatively simple component whose properties also impact Ir utilization. Therefore, well-designed PTLs may also enable reduced Ir loadings. In this work, we survey eight PTLs from various manufacturers to observe their impact on cell performance at low (0.4 mg Ir cm -2 ) and ultralow (0.1 mg Ir cm -2 ) Ir loadings. The PTLs were characterized by their microstructural properties, including porosity, particle size distribution, and pore size distribution. Electrochemical cell performance was correlated to PTL morphology, and it was found that PTLs with lower porosities and smaller particle and pore radii enabled good performance even at ultralow Ir loadings. 1000-h durability testing indicated that using lower porosity PTLs can significantly improve durability behavior. A runaway voltage phenomenon was observed during durability testing of cells with ultralow Ir loadings, which was caused by increases in both anode and cathode overpotentials. Furthermore, we observed that the beginning of test performance of 0.1 mg Ir cm -2 cells correlates to the 1000-h degradation rates of 0.4 mg Ir cm -2 cells, suggesting that for the Ir catalyst used in this work, short-term testing at ultralow loadings can be used as an indicator of long-term degradation at higher loadings.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Influence of Surface Ligands on Energetics at FASnI 3 /C 60 Interfaces and Their Impact on Photovoltaic Performance

Interfacial chemistry and energetics significantly impact the performance of photovoltaic devices. In the case of Pb-containing organic metal halide perovskites, photoelectron spectroscopy has been used to determine the energetic alignment of frontier electronic energy levels at various interfaces present in the photovoltaic device. For the Sn-containing analogues, which are less toxic, no such measurements have been made. Through a combination of ultraviolet, inverse, and X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (UPS, IPES, and XPS, respectively) measurements taken at varying thickness increments during stepwise deposition of C 60 on FASnI 3 , we present the first direct measurements of the frontier electronic energy levels across the FASnI 3 /C 60 interface. The results show band bending in both materials and transport gap widening in FASnI 3 at the interface with C 60 . The XPS results show that iodide diffuses into C 60 and results in n-doping of C 60 . This iodide diffusion out of FASnI 3 impacts the valence and conduction band energies of FASnI 3 more than the core levels, with the core level shifts displaying a different trend than the valence and conduction bands. Surface treatment of FASnI 3 with carboxylic acids and bulky ammonium substituted surface ligands results in slight alterations in the interfacial energetics, and all surface ligands result in similar or improved PV performance relative to the untreated devices. Finally, the greatest PV stability results from treatment with a fluorinated carboxylic acid derivative; however, iodide diffusion is still observed to occur with this surface ligand.

interfacial energetics↗

Recent Developments in Revealing the Impact of Complex Metal Oxide Reconstruction on Catalysis

Surface reconstruction of complex metal oxides refers to the alterations of the topmost catalyst surface, relative to the bulk structure, following exposure to pretreatment or reaction conditions during heterogeneous catalysis. (1) This structural and electronic transformation may involve (1) changes of the exposed crystallographic facets, (2) changes in chemical composition, such as the enrichment of specific elements, and, (3) morphological variations, including surface roughness and defects (Scheme 1). Beyond relaxation, surface reconstruction here also encompasses disruptions to the periodicity of the sublayers and changes to its stoichiometry. This change significantly influences the chemical properties of the catalyst surface, such as redox sites, (2) acid/base pairs, hydroxyl groups, (3) and surface defects. Surface reconstruction occurs due to the thermodynamic drive to lower the surface energy of the catalyst under the surrounding environment (e.g., temperature, chemical potential of species present). In addition to the treatment or reaction conditions, the extent of reconstruction also depends on the elements in the metal oxide structure. For instance, annealing ABO 3 perovskites (SrTiO 3 , BaTiO 3 , and BaZrO 3 ) at high temperatures (500 °C) in O 2 has a very different impact on the A/B ratio at the surface (ranging from 0.9 to 2.5), depending on the identity of A and B. (4) Metal oxide surface reconstruction under an electric field and exposure to acidic and alkaline media has recently gained increased attention in electrocatalysis, such as in the oxygen evolution reaction (OER); (5,6) however, in this Viewpoint we focus on the impact of surface reconstruction on thermal catalysis, a critical enduring research theme with ongoing challenges. Here, we start showcasing approaches to characterize surface reconstruction at the topmost surface layer, such as low-energy ion scattering (LEIS), discussing advantages and limitations. Next, we connect characterization of surface reconstruction to site-specific kinetic analysis, enabled via steady-state isotopic transient kinetic analysis (SSITKA), and we express our viewpoint on building structure–performance relationships by deeply understanding reconstructed surfaces. Later, we comment on the potential of tuning surface reconstruction to enhance catalytic performance. Finally, we explore the interplay between surface reconstruction and the “intelligent behavior”.

alcohol conversion↗

From Pure to Seawater Electrolysis: Unveiling the Impact of Ionic Species and Contaminants on Electrocatalysis

Water electrolysis, including seawater splitting to produce hydrogen and oxygen, stands as a promising approach for the efficient storage of intermittent energy. However, the half-reactions of water splitting, the oxygen evolution reaction (OER) and hydrogen evolution reaction (HER), are known to be very sensitive toward the quality of water employed and are susceptible to contaminants originating from various sources, including the electrolyte or the electrodes. Those contaminants have a profound impact on the activity of these reactions of water splitting by modifying the electronic and physical structures of electrocatalysts as well as electrode–electrolyte interfaces. For seawater electrolysis, the unintentional presence of impurities, such as anions, cations, and organic compounds, affects the catalyst stability, selectivity, and activity. Despite the existence of numerous comprehensive reviews that delve into various aspects of catalysts and their structure–property relationships for several electrocatalytic reactions, the impact of contaminants has often been ignored. This critical review endeavors to address this issue by providing an overview of the diverse sources of contaminants influencing electrocatalytic water splitting and seawater splitting reactions, delineating the trends in electrochemical parameters and detailing different characterization methods for elucidating the physical and electronic changes of the electrode and electrolyte.

HER↗

Surface Composition Impacts Selectivity of ZnTe Photocathodes in Photoelectrochemical CO 2 Reduction Reaction

Light-driven reduction of CO 2 into chemicals using a photoelectrochemical (PEC) approach is considered as a promising way to meet the carbon neutral target. The very top surface of the photoelectrode and semiconductor/electrolyte interface plays a pivotal role in defining the performance for PEC CO 2 reduction. However, such impact remains poorly understood. Here, we report an electrodeposition-annealing route for tailoring surface composition of ZnTe photocathodes. Our work demonstrates that a Zn-rich surface on the ZnTe photocathode is essential to impact the CO 2 reduction activity and selectivity. In particular, the Zn-rich surface not only facilitated the interfacial charge carrier transfer, but also acted as electrocatalyst for boosting carbon product selectivity and suppressing the hydrogen evolution reaction. This work provides a new avenue to optimize the photocathode, as well as improvement of the CO 2 RR performance.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

The Role of Dimer Formation in the Nucleation of Superlattice Transformations and Its Impact on Disorder

The formation of defect-free two-dimensional nanocrystal (NC) superstructures remains a challenge as persistent defects hinder charge delocalization and related device performance. Understanding defect formation is an important step toward developing strategies to mitigate their formation. However, specific mechanisms of defect formation are difficult to determine, as superlattice phase transformations that occur during fabrication are quite complex and there are a variety of factors influencing the disorder in the final structure. Here, we use Molecular Dynamics (MD) and electron microscopy in concert to investigate the nucleation of the epitaxial attachment of lead chalcogenide (PbX, where X = S, Se) NC assemblies. We use an updated implementation of an existing reactive force field in an MD framework to investigate how initial orientational (mis)alignment of the constituent building blocks impacts the final structure of the epitaxially connected superlattice. This Simple Molecular Reactive Force Field (SMRFF) captures both short-range covalent forces and long-range electrostatic forces and allows us to follow orientational and translational changes of NCs during superlattice transformation. Our simulations reveal how robust the oriented attachment is with regard to the initial configuration of the NCs, measuring its sensitivity to both in-plane and out-of-plane misorientation. We show that oriented attachment nucleates through the initial formation of dimers, which corroborate experimentally observed structures. We present high-resolution structural analysis of dimers at early stages of the superlattice transformation and rationalize their contribution to the formation of defects in the final superlattice. Collectively, the simulations and experiments presented in this paper provide insights into the nucleation of NC oriented attachment, the impact of the initial configuration of NCs on the structural fidelity of the final epitaxially connected superlattice, and the propensity to form commonly observed defects, such as missing bridges and atomic misalignment in the superlattice due to the formation of dimers. Here, we present potential strategies to mitigate the formation of superlattice defects.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Direct Ab Initio Simulation of the Synthesis of BaZrO 3 and the Microstructure Impacts on Proton Transport

Controlling and predicting the processing-structure-performance relationship in functional materials is a grand challenge in materials science, with important implications for a wide range of emerging applications; a high fidelity understanding of the performance impact of microstructures formed under synthesis conditions is required to develop advanced materials, such as solid-state fuel cells and electrolyzers. Using the ceramic BaZrO 3 as a case study, we directly simulate the synthesis and investigate how proton transport is dictated by microstructures. We develop a framework that couples density functional theory (DFT), machine-learning interatomic potential (MLIP) driven molecular dynamics, and grand canonical Monte Carlo to perform large-scale, microstructure-resolved, atomistic simulations of proton transport in experimentally representative polycrystalline structures. Our fully ab initio approach, using a MLIP as a proxy for DFT, allows us to quantify the competition between two distinct diffusion mechanisms: one associated with grain-boundary regions and another within grains. When the impacts of grain boundaries are taken into account, proton transport exhibits substantial deviation from the bulk oxide limit. This addresses long-standing discrepancies between theory and experiments. Our integrated approach provides atomistic insight into microstructure-dependent proton pathways in BaZrO 3 and establishes a general protocol for predicting processing-structure-performance relationships.

organic↗

Storage-Induced Collapse of Lignin Macromolecular Structure and Its Impacts on the Biorefinery

Lignin plays a vital role in the economics of biorefineries, serving as a source of process energy and a feedstock for sustainable fuels and chemical production. While understanding lignin’s chemical composition is crucial, emerging evidence suggests that a more comprehensive understanding of its macromolecular structure is critical to explaining its complex behavior in the biorefinery. This study investigated the partial collapse of the lignin network in corn stover feedstock after harvest and storage as a result of the microbial digestion of hemicellulose. Fluorescence microscopy was used to detect the collapse of lignin in terms of lignin’s inter-molecular interaction and the re-orientation of lignin’s chromophores, by the changes in lignin’s fluorescence lifetime, anisotropy, and the number of effective emitters. With minimal sample perturbation, our in-situ microscopic results revealed lignin's coil-globule transition phenomena, which was only previously predicted by molecular dynamics modeling extracted lignin in solvent. This collapse of lignin macromolecular structure was confirmed by results from NMR, IR, Raman, and powder X-ray diffraction. We also investigated the impact of this storage-induced collapse on the downstream biorefinery processes. Our study revealed that the two major approaches for lignin valorization in the lignin-first biorefinery model, namely monomer extraction and milled wood lignin extraction, were negatively impacted by the lignin collapse. As changes during storage are a source of feedstock variability, our study highlights the importance of understanding the effect of feedstock handling on biorefinery operations and economics.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Impact of Molecular Design on Degradation Lifetimes of Degradable Imine-Based Semiconducting Polymers

Transient electronics are a rapidly emerging field due to their potential applications in the environment and human health. Recently, a few studies have incorporated acid-labile imine bonds into polymer semiconductors to impart transience; however, understanding of the structure–degradation property relationships of these polymers is limited. In this work, we systematically design and characterize a series of fully degradable diketopyrrolopyrrole-based polymers with engineered sidechains to investigate the impact of several molecular design parameters on the degradation lifetimes of these polymers. By monitoring degradation kinetics via ultraviolet–visible spectroscopy, we reveal that polymer degradation in solution is aggregation-dependent based on the branching point and M n , with accelerated degradation rates facilitated by decreasing aggregation. Additionally, increasing the hydrophilicity of the polymers promotes water diffusion and therefore acid hydrolysis of the imine bonds along the polymer backbone. The aggregation properties and degradation lifetimes of these polymers rely heavily on solvent, with polymers in chlorobenzene taking six times as long to degrade as in chloroform. We develop a new method for quantifying the degradation of polymers in the thin film and observe that similar factors and considerations (e.g., interchain order, crystallite size, and hydrophilicity) used for designing high-performance semiconductors impact the degradation of imine-based polymer semiconductors. We found that terpolymerization serves as an attractive approach for achieving degradable semiconductors with both good charge transport and tuned degradation properties. This study provides crucial principles for the molecular design of degradable semiconducting polymers, and we anticipate that these findings will expedite progress toward transient electronics with controlled lifetimes.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Understanding the Impacts of Support–Polymer Interactions on the Dynamics of Poly(ethyleneimine) Confined in Mesoporous SBA-15

Supported amines are a promising class of CO 2 sorbents offering large uptake capacities and fast uptake rates. Additionally, among supported amines, poly(ethyleneimine) (PEI) physically impregnated in the mesopores of SBA-15 silica is widely used. Within these composite materials, the chain dynamics and morphologies of PEI strongly influence the CO 2 capture performance, yet little is known about chain and macromolecule mobility in confined pores. Here, we probe the impact of the support–PEI interactions on the dynamics and structures of PEI at the support interface and the corresponding impact on CO 2 uptake performance, which yields critical structure–property relationships. The pore walls of the support are grafted with organosilanes with different chemical end groups to differentiate interaction modes (spanning from strong attraction to repulsion) between the pore surface and PEI. Combinations of techniques, such as quasi-elastic neutron scattering (QENS), 1 H T 1 –T 2 relaxation correlation solid-state NMR, and molecular dynamics (MD) simulations, are used to comprehensively assess the physical properties of confined PEI. We hypothesized that PEI would have faster dynamics when subjected to less attractive or repulsive interactions. However, we discover that complex interfacial interactions resulted in complex structure–property relationships. Indeed, both the chain conformation of the surface-grafted chains and of the PEI around the surface influenced the chain mobility and CO 2 uptake performance. By coupling knowledge of the dynamics and distributions of PEI with CO 2 sorption performance and other characteristics, we determine that the macroscopic structures of the hybrid materials dictate the first rapid CO 2 uptake, and the rate of CO 2 sorption during the subsequent gradual uptake stage is determined by PEI chain motions that promote diffusive jumps of CO 2 through PEI-packed domains.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Impact of Changes to the Atmospheric Soluble Iron Deposition Flux on Ocean Biogeochemical Cycles in the Anthropocene

Abstract Iron can be a growth‐limiting nutrient for phytoplankton, modifying rates of net primary production, nitrogen fixation, and carbon export ‐ highlighting the importance of new iron inputs from the atmosphere. The bioavailable iron fraction depends on the emission source and the dissolution during transport. The impacts of anthropogenic combustion and land use change on emissions from industrial, domestic, shipping, desert, and wildfire sources suggest that Northern Hemisphere soluble iron deposition has likely been enhanced between 2% and 68% over the Industrial Era. If policy and climate follow the intermediate Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5 trajectory, then results suggest that Southern Ocean (>30°S) soluble iron deposition would be enhanced between 63% and 95% by 2100. Marine net primary productivity and carbon export within the open ocean are most sensitive to changes in soluble iron deposition in the Southern Hemisphere; this is predominantly driven by fire rather than dust iron sources. Changes in iron deposition cause large perturbations to the marine nitrogen cycle, up to 70% increase in denitrification and 15% increase in nitrogen fixation, but only modestly impacts the carbon cycle and atmospheric CO 2 concentrations (1–3 ppm). Regionally, primary productivity increases due to increased iron deposition are often compensated by offsetting decreases downstream corresponding to equivalent changes in the rate of phytoplankton macronutrient uptake, particularly in the equatorial Pacific. These effects are weaker in the Southern Ocean, suggesting that changes in iron deposition in this region dominates the global carbon cycle and climate response.

Hamilton, Douglas S.↗

Quantifying long-term seasonal and regional impacts of North American fire activity on continental boundary layer aerosols and cloud condensation nuclei

An intimate knowledge of aerosol transport is essential in reducing the uncertainty of the impacts of aerosols on cloud development. Datasets from the U. S. Department of Energy (DOE) Atmospheric Radiation Measurement platform in the Southern Great Plains region (ARM-SGP) and the NASA Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, version 2 (MERRA-2) showed seasonal increases in aerosol loading and total carbon concentration during the spring and summer months (2008-2016) which was attributed to fire activity and smoke transport within North America. The monthly mean MERRA-2 surface carbonaceous aerosol mass concentration and ARM-SGP total carbon products were strongly correlated (R=0.82, p<0.01) along with a moderate correlation with the ARM-SGP cloud condensation nuclei (N CCN ) product (0.5, p~0.1). The monthly mean ARM-SGP total carbon and N CCN products were strongly correlated (0.7, p~0.01). An additional product denoting fire number and coverage taken from the National Interagency Fire Center (NIFC) showed a moderate correlation with the MERRA-2 carbonaceous product (0.45, p<0.01) during the 1981-2016 warm season months (March-September). With respect to meteorological conditions, the correlation between the NIFC fire product and MERRA-2 850 hPa isobaric height anomalies was lower (0.26, p~0.13) due to the variability in the frequency, intensity, and number of fires in North America. An observed increase in the isobaric height anomaly during the past decade may lead to frequent synoptic ridging and drier conditions with more fires, thereby potentially impacting cloud/precipitation processes and decreasing air quality.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Impact of a New Sea Ice Thermodynamic Formulation in the CESM2 Sea Ice Component

Abstract The sea ice component of the Community Earth System Model version 2 (CESM2) contains new “mushy‐layer” physics that simulates prognostic salinity in the sea ice, with consequent modifications to sea ice thermodynamics and the treatment of melt ponds. The changes to the sea ice model and their influence on coupled model simulations are described here. Two simulations were performed to assess the changes in the vertical thermodynamics formulation with prognostic salinity compared to a constant salinity profile. Inclusion of the mushy layer thermodynamics of Turner et al. (2013, https://doi.org/10.1002/jgrc.20171 ) in a fully coupled Earth system model produces thicker and more extensive sea ice in the Arctic, with relatively unchanged sea ice in the Antarctic compared to simulations using a constant salinity profile. While this is consistent with the findings of uncoupled ice‐ocean model studies, the role of the frazil and congelation growth is more important in fully coupled simulations. Melt pond drainage is also an important contribution to simulated ice thickness differences as also found in the uncoupled simulations of Turner and Hunke (2015; https://doi.org/10.1002/2014JC010358 ). However, it is an interaction of the ponds and the snow fraction that impacts the surface albedo and hence the top melt. The changes in the thermodynamics and resulting ice state modify the ice‐ocean‐atmosphere fluxes with impacts on the atmosphere and ocean states, particularly temperature.

Bailey, David A.↗

Assessing the Impacts of Recent Crop Expansion on Water Quality in the Missouri River Basin Using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool

The Missouri River Basin (MORB) has experienced a resurgence of grassland conversion to crop production, which raised concerns on water quality. We applied the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) to address how this conversion would impact water quality. We designed three crop production scenarios representing conversion of grassland to: (a) continuous corn; (b) corn/soybean rotation; and (c) corn/wheat rotation to assess the impact. The SWAT model results showed: (a) the lower MORB produced high total nitrogen (TN) and total phosphorus (TP) load before conversion (baseline) due mainly to high precipitation and high agricultural activity; (b) the greatest percentage increases of TN and TP occurred in the North and South Dakotas, coinciding with the highest amount of grassland conversion to cropland; and (c) grassland conversion to continuous corn resulted in the greatest increase in TN and TP loads, followed by conversion to corn/soybean and then conversion to corn/wheat. Although the greatest percentage increases of TN and TP occurred in the North and South Dakotas, these areas still contributed relatively low TN and TP to total basin loads after conversion. However, watersheds, predominantly in the lower MORB continued to be “hotspots” that contributed the greatest amounts of TN and TP to the total basin loads—driven by a combination of grassland conversion, high precipitation, and loading from pre-existing cropland. At the watershed outlet, the TN and TP loads were increased by 6.4% (13,800 t/yr) and 8.7% (3,400 t/yr), respectively, during the 2008–2016 period for the conversion to continuous corn scenario.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗