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At least 901 records · Page 50

Update on Parallel Process Execution in the Next Generation System Analysis Model

As of the end of 2021, 88,880 metric tons of heavy metal (MTHM) (44,741 MTHM in dry storage; 44,139 MTHM in wet storage) of spent nuclear fuel (SNF) were stored at various reactor sites across the United States [1]. The Office of Storage and Transportation in the Department of Energy is planning for the transportation, storage, and eventual disposal of SNF and high-level radioactive waste (HLW). To aid in this effort and inform decision-makers about the backend of the spent fuel cycle, systems analysis tools capable of analyzing the various options with respect to SNF and HLW management are being used as well as continuously improved to meet the evolving needs of the program. System analysts typically use these tools to vary underlying assumptions (shipping rates, allocation priority, available facilities, start dates, etc.) and study the implications of these changes on site clearance schedules, campaign costs, transportation infrastructure acquisition, etc.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Coupling SCALE with DAKOTA for Axial Burnup Profiles Assessment in Burnup Credit

This paper presents a computational study that demonstrates the application of the SCALE code system in conjunction with the Design Analysis Kit for Optimization and Terascale Applications (DAKOTA) for the analysis of key factors influencing the evaluation of burnup credit (BUC) in pressurized water reactors (PWRs). The primary objective of this analysis is to characterize the model by utilizing parameterization, uncertainty quantification, and optimization studies. Using this approach, we can comprehensively assess the system and conduct informed predictive studies. This study highlights the effectiveness of the SCALE code system integrated within the DAKOTA framework in terms of efficiency and capability. With the coupling of the burnup code ORIGAMI with the CSAS or TSUNAMI-3D sequence embedded in a DAKOTA analysis, we can characterize the factors that influence the k eff of PWR 17x17 spent nuclear fuel (SNF) in the GBC-32 computational benchmark cask for the assessment of BUC in criticality safety analysis. The coupling methodology used in this study is not exclusive to BUC analysis. However, the choice to apply this methodology to the BUC problem is particularly significant because of the diverse range of aspects it encompasses in nuclear criticality safety analyses. This problem presents a unique opportunity to explore and address multiple facets of such analyses related to BUC and illustrates the capability of the SCALE code system with DAKOTA. This analysis makes use of historical reference data for the axial burnup profile, where the entire space within the bounds is considered. Both SCALE and DAKOTA are currently integrated in the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling Simulation (NEAMS) Workbench code system, which has a user-friendly graphical interface that simplifies the setup of simulations and configuration of input parameters as well as the visualization of simulation results.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

An Anisotropic Yield and Damage Material Model to Improve the Contact Pressure Analysis in a Biomass Shredding System

Size reduction systems used in biomass processing break biomass into smaller pieces by utilizing the kinetic energy from the sharp rotating blades. Abrasive and/or erosive wear caused by biomass comminution results in blade wear of the sharp edged cutters, deteriorating the process efficiency. Here, this study aims to optimize the blade design and improve the system efficiency by attempting to understand the interactions between the blades and biomass particles. Since real-time monitoring of these interactions is impractical during operation, mechanical simulations offer a viable alternative for investigating the shredding process. Yet, the irregular geometry and complex mechanical properties of biomass—such as the anisotropic nature of woodchips and their nonlinear fracture behavior—pose significant challenges for accurately simulating contact pressure. In this work an anisotropic yield material model, along with a damage initiation and evolution function, is applied to the woodchip particle to study the contact pressure on shredder blade, offering a scientific basis for improved blade design and process efficiency. This approach can be extended to other biomass processing systems with similar anisotropic feedstocks, making it a valuable tool for advancing sustainable biomass utilization.

09 - BIOMASS FUELS↗

THESEUS: A techno-economic design, integration and downselection framework for energy storage

Optimal selection of energy storage technologies is critical to ensure reliable integration of intermittent and often uncertain renewable energy in electricity grids. The consideration of a diverse set of energy storage technologies is required for a more sustainable deployment of energy storage. We present THESEUS (TecHno-Economic framework for Systematic Energy storage Utilization and downSelection), which is a comprehensive framework for the optimal selection, design and operation of energy storage systems. THESEUS includes rigorous models of major energy storage technologies at different maturity levels, such as thermal storage using phase-change materials or molten salt, cryogenic storage, mechanical storage in the form of compressed air and pumped hydro storage, chemical storage using hydrogen, and electrochemical storage in the form of lithium-ion, sodium sulfur and vanadium flow batteries. An illustrative case study on state-wide prospective energy storage shows that storage integration with fossil power plants could reduce the cost of meeting the grid energy demand by 20%, with mechanical storage as the best suited technology. Although high-temperature thermal storage has low storage efficiency, it is optimal for integration with renewable energy plants. In addition, Li-ion batteries are optimal for high ramping but low storage duration requirements. Furthermore, such insights can enable the deployment of both existing and emerging energy storage technologies to facilitate a smooth transition to a clean energy future.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Modeling strategy for progressive failure prediction in lithium-ion batteries under mechanical abuse

The prediction for the internal failure of lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) under external mechanical abuse loading remains a challenge for safe design. This paper systematically studies the modeling approach for progressive failure simulation and short-circuit prediction. Hemispherical indentation experiments are conducted on a battery specimen containing 5 representative sandwich (RS) layers to examine the deformation and progressive failure behavior of battery components. Three different models, viz, a high-fidelity detailed model, an intermediate homogenized model and a fully homogenized model, are developed and employed to simulate the progressive failure in a multi-layer battery specimen. The simulation results obtained using the three models all correlate well with experimental phenomena, capturing the overall stress-strain response and ultimate failure of the battery structure. The numerical results can help us understand the failure behavior and the mechanism for mechanical abuse-induced short circuit in LIBs. The feasibility of the three models for use in progressive failure prediction is compared by analyzing the capability of the models in predicting the critical failure events, the computational efficiency of the models, and the feasibility to implement coupled mechanical-electrochemical-thermal simulations. The results of this work provide useful insights on practical choices for the modeling strategy and safety design of LIBs under mechanical abuse conditions.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Internal consistency and diversity scenario development: A comparative framework to evaluate energy model scenarios

Energy modeling frameworks and scenario analysis help us explore the potential impact of our actions and uncertainties in future energy systems. Despite their importance, there is no systematic procedure for evaluating the scenario development process. In a literature review, we identify two core elements of the scenario development process: internal consistency and diversity which are oftentimes missing from scenarios. Here, to address this gap, we create the Internal consistency and Diversity Scenario Development (IDSD) comparative framework which aims to assess the feasibility and diversity of scenarios for a given energy model. With this framework, we review commonly used energy models and demonstrate our framework on their scenarios. The IDSD comparative framework can serve several purposes absent from previous scenario development work by aiding energy modelers and report writers in crafting high-quality scenarios. First, the IDSD is a reflective tool which can improve the quality of the scenario development process, enabling a comparative assessment of energy models and scenarios. Second, the IDSD can provide guidance to modeling frameworks with existing scenarios and those still in development; this feedback will enable modelers to improve the development and the communication of the limitations of their scenarios. Third, this study has highlighted areas for improvement in the scenario development of some commonly used energy model frameworks. Finally, there is a complete lack of explanation regarding the stakeholder selection process. Addressing these identified items could increase opportunities for advanced energy technology uptake and improve our options for achieving a more resilient energy system.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Biochar as a carbon dioxide removal strategy in integrated long-run mitigation scenarios

Abstract Limiting global warming to under 2 °C would require stringent mitigation and likely additional carbon dioxide removal (CDR) to compensate for otherwise unabated emissions. Because of its technology readiness, relatively low cost, and potential co-benefits, the application of biochar to soils could be an effective CDR strategy. We use the Global Change Analysis Model, a global multisector model, to analyze biochar deployment in the context of energy system uses of biomass with CDR under different carbon price trajectories. We find that biochar can create an annual sink of up to 2.8 GtCO 2 per year, reducing global mean temperature increases by an additional 0.5%–1.8% across scenarios by 2100 for a given carbon price path. In our scenarios, biochar’s deployment is dependent on potential crop yield gains and application rates, and the competition for resources with other CDR measures. We find that biochar can serve as a competitive CDR strategy, especially at lower carbon prices when bioenergy with carbon capture and storage is not yet economical.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Competition between energy- and entropy-driven activation in glasses

In simplified models of glasses we clarify the existence of two different kinds of coexisting activated dynamics, with one of the two dominating over the other. One is the energy barrier hopping that is typically used to understand activation, and the other, which we call entropic activation, is driven by the scarcity of convenient directions in phase space. When entropic activation dominates, the height of the energy barriers is no longer the primary factor governing the system's slowdown. In our analysis, dominance of one mechanism over the other depends on temperature and the shape of the density of states. Herein, we also find that at low temperatures a phase transition between the two kinds of activation can occur. Our observations are used to provide a scenario that can harmonize the facilitation and thermodynamic pictures of the slowdown of glasses into a single description.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Digital Twins for Data Centers

Fueled by an unprecedented adoption of AI (Artificial Intelligence), data centers are becoming the largest growing consumers of energy. Digital Twins provide living digital models of physical systems that enable data-driven analysis and application of AI to better manage selective aspects of the data center and drive efficiency for sustainability. Digital twins have emerged as a way to create virtual prototypes of physical artifacts, which may be used in a variety of contexts. Physical artifacts include airplanes, factories, or even static objects, such as bridges or dams. Digital twin helps monitor changes and assist in predicting planned or unplanned behaviors of physical objects. In this paper, we discuss digital twins for data centers.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

An Integrated Transmission-Distribution Co-Simulation for a Distribution System with High Renewable Penetration

Traditionally, transmission and distribution system dynamic simulations are performed independently. However, dynamic co-simulation of transmission-distribution systems can be beneficial in analyzing distribution systems with high penetration of distributed renewable resources. The authors describe a framework for conducting transmission-distribution dynamic co-simulation (TDDS). A model of a real network including detailed models of solar photovoltaic units in the distribution system is constructed. The initial operating point of the network is validated against field measurements. The TDDS tool is used to simulate a single line-to-ground fault on the distribution system, highlighting the need for conducting transmission-distribution co-simulations.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Federal Aviation Administration Vertiport Electrical Infrastructure Study

In this detailed analysis, the authors assess the charging infrastructure needed for the deployment of advanced air mobility involving electrified vertical take-off and landing technologies. The report covers four research areas: (1) Identifying charging infrastructure requirements for existing facilities based on flight operational parameters, potential use cases, charging strategy, and other constraints. (2) Assessing sites on power availability to meet charging demand, the impact on grid infrastructure, potential hazards, and cybersecurity needs, and using technoeconomic analysis to identify opportunities for onsite distributed energy resources, primarily solar photovoltaics and battery energy storage systems. (3) Calculating greenhouse gas emission based on total energy consumption attributable to each site. (4) Analyzing the job and economic development impact for sites adopting new infrastructure.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Application of Quantum Machine Learning to High Energy Physics Analysis at LHC using IBM Quantum Computer Simulators and IBM Quantum Computer Hardware

One of the major objectives of the experimental programs at the LHC is the discovery of new physics. This requires the identification of rare signals in immense backgrounds. Using machine learning algorithms greatly enhances our ability to achieve this objective. With the progress of quantum technologies, quantum machine learning could become a powerful tool for data analysis in high energy physics. In this study, using IBM gate-model quantum computing systems, we employ the quantum variational classifier method and the quantum kernel estimator method in two recent LHC flagship physics analyses: $t\bar{t}H$ (Higgs boson production in association with a top quark pair) and $H\rightarrow\mu\mu$ (Higgs boson decays to two muons). We have obtained early results with 10 qubits on the IBM quantum simulator and the IBM quantum hardware. On the quantum simulator, the quantum machine learning methods perform similarly to classical algorithms such as SVM (support vector machine) and BDT (boosted decision tree), which are often employed in LHC physics analyses. On the quantum hardware, the quantum machine learning methods have shown promising discrimination power, comparable to that on the quantum simulator. This study demonstrates that quantum machine learning has the ability to differentiate between signal and background in realistic physics datasets.

Chan, Jay↗

Feedback Control Strategy for Transient Stability Application

Power systems are subjected to a wide range of disturbances during daily operations. Severe disturbances, such as a loss of a large generator, a three-phase bolted fault on a generator bus, or a loss of a transmission line, can lead to the loss of synchronism of a generator or group of generators. The ability of a power system to maintain synchronism during the few seconds after being subjected to a severe disturbance is known as transient stability. Most of the modern methods of controlling transient stability involve special protection schemes or remedial action schemes. These special protection schemes sense predetermined system conditions and take corrective actions, such as generator tripping or generation re-dispatch, in real time to maintain transient stability. Another method is the use of a real-time feedback control system to modulate the output of an actuator in response to a signal. This paper provides a fundamental evaluation of the use of feedback control strategies to improve transient stability in a power system. An optimal feedback control strategy that modulates the real power injected and absorbed by distributed energy-storage devices is proposed. Its performance is evaluated on a four-machine power system and on a 34-machine reduced-order model of the Western North American Power System. The result shows that the feedback control strategy can increase the critical fault clearing time by 60%, thereby improving the transient stability of the power system.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Annual Technology Baseline (ATB): The 2024 Transportation Update

The Transportation Annual Technology Baseline (ATB) provides detailed cost and performance data, estimates, and assumptions for vehicle and fuel technologies in the United States. It includes current and projected estimates for vehicle technologies as well as fuels, and it details the assumptions used to calculate those costs, such as gas and electricity prices, discount rates, and vehicle miles traveled. The 2024 update added more biofuels pathways to align with pathways used in the Biomass Scenario Model.

ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS,DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSI↗

Impact of Wildfires on Solar Generation, Reserves and Energy Prices

Wildfire seasons in the Western U.S. become more prolonged and intense in recent years bringing significant variability and uncertainty of solar generation. It greatly challenges the bulk power system and electricity market operation managed by California Independent System Operator (CAISO) as California leads both the wildfire records and the solar power integration. This study presents a screening-level analysis of the impact of wildfires on solar generation, operating reserve and energy prices applying historical real-world wildfire and market operation data. To the best of the authors knowledge, it is a first-of-its-kind study and will lay the foundation for market impact quantification and wildfire mitigation strategies design based on projected wildfire activities in future years.

electricity price↗

ARCUS Vertical-Axis Wind Turbine (Final Scientific/Technical Report)

While land-based wind energy has become economically competitive with traditional energy generation sources in the U.S., offshore wind is not. For floating offshore wind this difference is even more substantial where the levelized cost of energy (LCOE) is projected to be around 3-5 times more expensive than land-based wind. The turbine capital costs represent around 50% of the LCOE for land-based wind sites, but the increased system costs for floating offshore wind reduce this to 20%. The platform and mooring costs are the single largest contributor to the LCOE for floating offshore wind where their mass must counteract the overturning moment caused by the turbine’s thrust force. Despite the high costs of the platform and relatively low cost of the turbine, current offshore wind turbines are designed essentially the same as for land-based sites. Reducing the LCOE is the greatest challenge to realize the benefits of sustained development of floating offshore wind in the U.S. Reducing the complicated system costs of floating offshore wind will enable the industry to continue to grow and outpace current projections if reduced cost curves can be reached. The ideal wind energy system would remove all mass and cost that is not directly capturing energy from the wind. For floating offshore wind energy systems, this objective is even more significant as increased mass above the water level must be supported by larger and more expensive floating platforms. For this reason, vertical-axis wind turbines (VAWTs) are ideal for floating offshore sites and have several advantages over horizontal-axis wind turbines (HAWTs) at this scale. Large VAWTs offer opportunities for improved energy capture over HAWTs as single units and with reduced wind plant aerodynamic losses through enhanced wake recovery. Additionally, the platform-level placement of the VAWT drivetrain greatly reduces the demands placed on the floating platform and its mass and cost. The ARCUS vertical-axis wind turbine concept (U.S. 11,421,650 B2) is an iteration beyond traditional Darrieus-type VAWTs that replaces the rigid tower with blades that are bent into shape and held in place with tensioned center supports, like a bow. The ARCUS design has been shown to further decrease the VAWT rotor mass properties, with a 50% reduction over traditional Darrieus VAWTs quantified in the ATLANTIS program. The ARCUS VAWT’s efficient use of material for the rotor and turbine support structures combined with its lowered center of gravity enables a tension-leg platform (TLP) with simplified installation procedures. TLPs have been an emerging platform architecture in the Oil and Gas industry and demonstrated to have the lowest hull mass requirements while maintaining stability with minimal roll and pitch deflections in operation. A 22 MW ARCUS turbine has been designed with a three-column TLP that enables quayside integration of the turbine while maintaining system stability during tow-out and installation and having optimal mass and cost properties. A comprehensive analysis shows the optimal ARCUS TLP system design minimizes LCOE through efficient material usage and increased energy capture to yield a competitive LCOE estimate of $\$$55/MWh. A comparison with a reference HAWT, having the same swept area, quantifies the advantages that helped to produce this improved LCOE for the ARCUS concept: (1) 30% reduction in total turbine mass, (2) 70% reduction in turbine center of gravity, and (3) 45% increase in energy production over what is optimal for a HAWT. Intellectual property has been generated through the ATLANTIS program providing opportunities to further reduce the LCOE and improve the performance of the ARCUS turbine and TLP system, expanding the list of innovations to support commercial development of the ARCUS concept.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Many-body expansion for light nuclear systems

Here we extend the many-body expansion (MBE), previously applied to hydrogen bonded and molecular systems, to the light nuclear systems 3 H and 3 He by considering the nucleonic degrees of freedom as fundamental in the expansion. The analysis is based on the Pauli nucleonic dynamics (PND) model, a simple antisymmetrized dynamical code, inspired by the sophisticated constrained molecular dynamics (CoMD) model. The total energy of the 2 H nucleus is calculated with this model at -2.312 MeV, which is within 4% of the experimental value of -2.225 MeV. The application of the MBE yields results for the three-body term in the 3 H nucleus that is comparable with previous estimates, while it is reported for the first time for the nucleus of 3 He . The energies of 3 H and 3 He that include the sum of the one- and two-body terms with the model are - 6.97 ± 0.21 MeV and - 6.19 ± 0.21 MeV and the three-body terms, estimated from the difference of the sum of the one- and two-body terms from the experimentally measured energies, are -1.51 ± 0.21 MeV and -1.53 ± 0.21 MeV, respectively. The MBE for the 3 H and 3 He nuclei is qualitatively similar to the one previously reported for the water trimer: the two- and three-body terms are negative with the latter amounting to ~3% of the former. Additionally, the three-body terms correspond to about 16–23% of the total energy of the bound systems, a percentage that is also comparable to the one in the water trimer (17%). In this manner, the MBE analysis can be applied to light nuclear systems following the same protocol as the one that has been previously extensively used for hydrogen bonded molecular systems.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗