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At least 901 records · Page 50

Distribution System Blackstart and Restoration Using DERs and Dynamically Formed Microgrids

Extreme weather events have led to long-duration outages in the distribution system (DS), necessitating novel approaches to blackstart and restore the system. Existing blackstart solutions utilize blackstart units to establish multiple microgrids (MGs), sequentially energize non-blackstart units, and restore loads. However, these approaches often result in isolated MGs. In DERs-aided blackstart, the continuous operation of these MGs is limited by the finite energy capacity of commonly used blackstart units like battery energy storage (BES)-based gridforming inverters (GFMIs). To address this issue, this article proposes a holistic blackstart and restoration framework that incorporates synchronization between dynamic MGs and the entire DS with the transmission grid (TG). To support synchronization, we leveraged virtual synchronous generator-based control for GFMIs to estimate their frequency response to load pick-up events using only initial/final quasi-steady-state points. Subsequently, a synchronization switching condition is developed to model synchronizing switches, aligning them seamlessly with a linearized branch flow problem. Finally, we designed a bottomup blackstart and restoration framework that considers the switching structure of the DS, energizing/synchronizing switches, DERs with grid-following inverters, and BES-based GFMIs with frequency security constraints. In conclusion, the proposed framework is validated in IEEE-123-bus system, considering cases with two and four GFMIs under various TG recovery instants.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

CPUC Avoided Transmission and Distribution Cost Study to Support the Avoided Cost Calculator: Avoided Transmission Costs Draft Research Plan

Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) and Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL) have been contracted by the California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC) Energy Division (ED) to perform a study which explores and selects an improved methodology to estimate avoided electricity transmission and distribution (T&D) infrastructure costs that can be attributed to the presence of distributed energy resources (DERs). PNNL is performing the study for avoided electricity transmission infrastructure costs and LBNL is performing the study for avoided electricity distribution infrastructure costs. This document summarizes CPUC’s research questions related to avoided transmission infrastructure costs and PNNL’s proposed technical approach to answer these questions.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

The chlorine budget of the present-day atmosphere - A modeling study

The contribution of source gases to the total amount of inorganic chlorine (ClY) is examined analytically with a time-dependent model employing 11 source gases. The source-gas emission data are described, and the modeling methodology is set forth with attention given to the data interpretation. The abundances and distributions are obtained for all 11 source gases with corresponding ClY production rates and mixing ratios. It is shown that the ClY production rate and the ClY mixing ratio for each source gas are spatially dependent, and the change in the relative contributions from 1950 to 1990 is given. Ozone changes in the past decade are characterized by losses in the polar and midlatitude lower stratosphere. The values for CFC-11, CCl4, and CH3CCl3 suggest that they are more evident in the lower stratosphere than is suggested by steady-state estimates based on surface concentrations.

Weisenstein, Debra K.↗

An XMM-Newton Monitoring Campaign of the Accretion Flow in IGRJ16318-4848

This grant is associated to a successful XMM-Newton-AO3 observational proposal to monitor the spectrum of the X-ray loud component of the recently discovered binary system IGR J16138-4848, to study the conditions of the accretion flows (and their evolution) in binary system. All four EPIC-PN and MOS observations of the target have now been performed (the last one of the 4, only 3 months ago). The four observations were logarithmically spaced, so to cover timescales from days to months. Data from all four pointings have now been reduced, using the XMM-Newton data reduction pipeline, and spectra and lightcurves from the target have been extracted. For the first three observations we have already performed the observation-by-observation data analysis, by fitting the single EPIC spectra with spectral models that include an intrinsic continuum power law (reduced at low energy by neutral absorption), a 6.4 keV iron emission line (detected in all spectra with varying intensity) and a Compton-reflection component. A Compton reflection component is also detected in all spectra, although at lower significance. The analysis of the fourth and last observation of our monitoring campaign has just recently begun. Next, we will (1) stack together the four observations of IGR J16138-4848, to obtain high-accuracy estimates of the average spectral parameters of this object; and then (2) proceed to the time-evolving analysis, of the three spectral parameters: (a) Gamma (the slope of the intrinsic continuum), (b) W(FeK), the equivalent width of the 6.4 keV Iron emission line, and (c) R, the relative amount of Compton reflection. Through this time-resolved spectroscopic analysis we hope to constrain (a) the physical state of the accreting matter and its relation with the X-ray output, and (b) the evolution of the accretion flow geometry, distribution and covering factor.

Mushotzky, Richard↗

Quickbird Geometry Report for Summer 2003

Digital Globe provides for general use 2.4 m multi-spectral and 0.7 m panchromatic imagery acquired by the Quickbird satellite. This geometrically corrected imagery was obtained as standard and orthorectified products; the difference between the two products is primarily in the degree of geometric accuracy that Digital Globe claims. For both products, every image pixel contains estimated sets of Northing/Easting and lat/long coordinates accessible through an image display application such as ENVI. Ground processing was performed by Digital Globe using the ADP 2.1 version of their system. Analysis conducted at South Dakota State University attempted to verify the geometric accuracy of standard and orthorectified Quickbird imagery to determine if specifications for the NASA Science Data Purchase (SDP) were met. These specifications are in Table 1 of Appendix 1. In this analysis, we had approximately 90 Ground Control Points (varies depending on scene size on each date), uniformly distributed over the Brookings, SD, area, from 4 Quickbird scenes acquired August 23, September 15, and October 21 of 2003.

Darbha, Ravikanth↗

Revisiting Source Convergence Diagnostics in the KENO Monte Carlo Neutron Transport Codes [Abstract]

Monte Carlo criticality transport codes, which rely on the power iteration procedure, are a fundamental tool for nuclear criticality safety practitioners in assessing the neutron multiplication factor (k eff ) for problems involving fissile material. In these calculations, ensuring the convergence of both the fission source distributions and the k eff estimate for accurate results is crucial. However, a converged k eff estimate does not necessarily mean the fission source distribution is also converged because the fission source and flux distribution may continue to evolve even after k eff convergence. Therefore, most Monte Carlo transport criticality codes now offer various diagnostic tests to assess fission source convergence in addition to the k eff convergence by analyzing the trends of these quantities over multiple generations.

AZURE↗

Habitat-specific seasonal densities of sympatric raccoons and opossums in the southeastern United States

Raccoon and opossum densities have implications for rabies management, but estimates of seasonal densities of both species are lacking for rural nonagricultural habitats of the southeastern United States, a core portion of their geographic range. Consequently, it remains unclear whether the densities of 1 species limit the other, which is possible considering their substantial niche overlap. We carried out a mark–recapture study of raccoons and opossums in 4 rural nonagricultural habitats (bottomland hardwood forest, riparian forest, upland pine forest, and isolated wetlands) in South Carolina, United States (2020 to 2022), and combined this with previous data from the same habitats (2017 to 2019) to estimate habitat-specific spring and fall densities. Raccoon densities ranged from 5.17 ± 0.96 animals/km 2 (bottomland hardwood fall) to 1.63 ± 0.83 animals/km 2 (upland pine spring) and were on average 19% higher in fall compared to spring. Opossum densities ranged from 10.35 ± 1.98 animals/km 2 (bottomland hardwood fall) to 1.11 ± 1.55 animals/km 2 (upland pine spring) with divergent seasonal patterns among habitats. These low densities across all habitats compared to other studies are likely the result of low resource availability, consistent with other habitats that have minimal anthropogenic influence. We observed a positive association between raccoon and opossum densities across trapping grids, suggesting that raccoons do not suppress opossum densities, but that densities of both species increase with increasing resource availability. Furthermore, our results can be used to inform oral rabies vaccination efforts such as refining bait densities and timing of bait distribution in these habitats.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Inference of Multichannel r -process Element Enrichment in the Milky Way Using Binary Neutron Star Merger Observations

Observations of GW170817 strongly suggest that binary neutron star (BNS) mergers produce rapid neutron-capture nucleosynthesis ( r -process) elements. However, it remains an open question whether these mergers can account for all the r -process element enrichment in the Milky Way’s history. Here, we constrain the contributions of the BNS channel using astrophysical neutron star observations. The rate and mass distributions are constrained by LIGO/Virgo/Kagra through the latest catalog GWTC-3, the neutron star equation of state by gravitational-wave, radio, and X-ray observations, and the delay time distribution by short gamma-ray burst (GRB) host galaxy associations. We present a Bayesian framework to consistently combine these observations with abundance information to quantify the contribution and uncertainties of single and multiple astrophysical enrichment sources, and obtain a distribution of per-event BNS r -process element yields consistent with geophysical and astrophysical abundance constraints. We then adopt a Galactic chemical evolution model assuming an instantaneous and fixed amount of Fe enrichment from core-collapse supernovae, and show that BNS-only enrichment scenarios remain inconsistent with the observed r-process abundance trend of disk stars in the Galaxy even with the uncertainties in BNS merger observations. Using stellar abundance observations instead of the short GRB constraints, we can infer a shorter BNS delay time distribution with power-law index α ≤ −2.0 and minimum delay time ${t}_{{\rm{\min }}}\leqslant 40$ Myr at 90% confidence, consistent with detailed Galactic chemical evolution models. Such delay times are in tension with those predicted by standard BNS formation models. Alternatively, we confirm that a two-channel scenario, in which the second channel tracks the star formation history without significant delay, can account for both Galactic stellar and short GRB observations. We estimate that 45%–90% of the r -process abundance in the Milky Way today would have been produced by this star formation-tracking channel, rather than BNS mergers with significant delay times.

gravitational wave astronomy↗

Weibel-mediated filamentary structures observed in the ICF context

Here, in light of novel and past experimental results, we demonstrate how Weibel-mediated filamentary structures can develop in the expanding plasma plume of a laser-irradiated foil. The transverse ballistic cooling that occurs during the quasi-spherical plasma expansion naturally drives an electron pressure anisotropy, resulting in the growth of electron current filaments. This effect competes with electron–ion Coulomb collisions, which tend to isotropize the electron distribution function. Based on theoretical and particle-in-cell modeling, we provide estimates of the dominant wavelength and amplitude of the self-generated magnetic fluctuations, which are found to explain experimental data obtained at the OMEGA and Laser Megajoule facilities.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Demand Response Under Stochastic, Price-Dependent User Behavior

This letter focuses on price-based demand response (DR) implemented through dynamic adjustments of electricity prices. It extends existing DR models to a stochastic framework in which customer response is represented by price-dependent random variables, leveraging models and tools from the theory of stochastic optimization with decision-dependent distributions. The inherent epistemic uncertainty in the customers' responses renders open-loop, model-based DR strategies impractical. We propose a stochastic, feedback-based pricing strategy to compensate for estimation errors and uncertainty in customer response, establish theoretical results demonstrating the stability and near-optimality of the proposed approach, and validate its effectiveness through numerical simulations.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Multidimensional Distributional Neural Network Output Demonstrated in Super‐Resolution of Surface Wind Speed

Accurate quantification of uncertainty in neural network predictions remains a central challenge for scientific applications involving high-dimensional, correlated data. While existing methods capture either aleatoric or epistemic uncertainty, few offer closed-form, multidimensional distributions that preserve spatial correlation while remaining computationally tractable. In this work, we present a framework for training neural networks with a multidimensional Gaussian loss, generating a closed-form predictive distribution over outputs informed by non-identically distributed training data. Our approach captures aleatoric uncertainty by iteratively estimating the means and covariance matrices, and is demonstrated on a super-resolution example out-of-training-sample. We leverage a Fourier representation of the covariance matrix to stabilize network training and preserve spatial correlation. We introduce a novel regularization strategy—referred to as information sharing—that interpolates between image-specific and global covariance estimates, enabling convergence of the super-resolution downscaling network trained on image-specific distributional loss functions. This framework allows for efficient sampling, explicit correlation modeling, and extensions to more complex distribution families all without disrupting prediction performance. We demonstrate the method on a surface wind speed downscaling task and discuss its broader applicability to uncertainty-aware prediction in scientific models.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

A scaling law of the neutral penetration length and Balmer- α wing shape in high-temperature plasmas

Hydrogen atoms penetrating deep inside high-temperature magnetically confined plasmas by repetitive charge-exchange collisions result in a particle source of the plasma, which affects the plasma transport significantly. In this paper, we present an approximate solution of the fluid equations for neutral transport and an analytical representation of the neutral penetration length, in a simplified plasma geometry. This analysis predicts a power-law decay in the Balmer-α line wings which reflects the velocity distribution of the neutral atoms, with the power-law exponent analytically represented as well. These scaling laws are compared with a simple Monte–Carlo simulation and spectroscopic observations of Large Helical Device plasmas. Since the Balmer-α line wings are experimentally accessible, our formulation opens the possibility to quickly estimate the neutral penetration length from spectroscopic observations.

neutral opacity↗

Logarithmic Resilience Risk Metrics That Address the Huge Variations in Blackout Cost

Resilience risk metrics must address the customer cost of the largest blackouts of greatest impact. However, there are huge variations in blackout cost in observed distribution utility data that make it impractical to properly estimate the mean large blackout cost and the corresponding risk. These problems are caused by the heavy tail observed in the distribution of customer costs. To solve these problems, we propose resilience metrics that describe large blackout risk using the mean of the logarithm of the cost of large-cost blackouts, the slope index of the heavy tail, and the frequency of large-cost blackouts.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Consistency Between NASS Surveyed Soil Moisture Conditions and SMAP Soil Moisture Observations

The USDA National Agricultural Statistics Survey (NASS) collects and publishes crop growth status and soil moisture conditions in major US agricultural regions. The operationally-produced weekly reports are based on survey information. The surveys are based on visual assessments and ? in the case of soil moisture ? report soil moisture levels in one of four categories (Very Short, Short, Adequate and Surplus). In this study, we show that these reports have remarkable correspondence with the NASA Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) Level-4 Soil Moisture (L4SM) product. This consistency allows the combining the two distinct types of data to produce a value-added combination, which is mapped fields rather than State-by-State tables and it is refreshed daily rather than weekly. In this study classification thresholds are derived for L4SM by mapping cumulative distribution functions of L4SM surface and root-zone SM to the categorical NASS SM conditions. The results show that, year-over-year, the SMAP cumulative SM distributions are consistent with the NASS SM conditions and, furthermore, that the temporal evolution of the SMAP-derived thresholds is consistent with the seasonal crop growth cycles from year to year. The results signify that the SMAP SM retrievals are relatable to SM estimation conducted in agriculture by land managers and farmers, which underlines the general applicability of the SMAP data.

Andreas Colliander↗

Advanced Modular Power System Fully Populated Electronics Enclosure Thermal Testing

A thermal test of an enclosure housing the AMPS electronics cards was performed. The enclosure was fully populated with 17 nonfunctioning AMPS electronics cards. Heaters were applied to the cards to simulate their operation. A cold plate was installed on the top of the case. The case was then insulated to simulate its installation within an electronics rack with the face and rear of the enclosure left open. The cold plate was connected to a chiller which provided cooling water at a fixed input temperature to the cold plate. Flow rates from the chiller of 0.0 L/min, 1.4 L/min and 1.8 L/min were tested. The test was operated at each flow rate over a range of heater power levels until the steady state temperature of the electronics cards was reached. Heater power levels from 2.5 W/card to 45 W/card were tested. The data collected was used to determine the steady state operating temperature of the cards, the temperature distribution between the cards, the time to reach steady-state temperature, the change in steady state temperature with change in heater power, the temperature distribution between the cards at the steady state condition and the heat lost to the surrounds by the enclosure. One of the main goals of the testing was to determine how much waste heat the cards could generate and still maintain a touch temperature at or below 40°C. Based on this requirement, for the 3 cooling rates tested, the maximum card waste heat that could be generated by each individual card was 3.9 W, 16.3 W and 17.6 W respectively. An analysis was also set up to provide an analytical model to estimate the card temperature under different cold plate flow rates and card heater power levels. The results off the analysis was compared to that of the experiment of the range of flow rates and power levels tested.

Anthony Colozza↗

A Multiwavelength Approach to Constraining the Merger Properties of ACT-CL J0034.4+0225

ACT-CL J0034.4+0225 is a previously unrecognized merging galaxy cluster at z = 0.38588 ± 0.00068. Our primary evidence is provided by a 21 ks Chandra image that shows two surface brightness peaks separated by ∼49″ (259 kpc) surrounded by an extended cluster gas distribution. Each gas peak contains a brightest cluster galaxy, offset from the gas peak. We collect new South African Large Telescope optical spectra that, when augmented by archival data, yield redshifts for the two BGCs and 58 other cluster members. Archival Giant Metrewave Radio Telescope and MeerKAT data reveal a radio halo that encompasses the X-ray peaks. We provide and compare three X-ray-based mass estimates (5.0 × 1014Me, 6.4 × 1014Me, and 8.6 × 1014Me). The Planck and ACT Sunyaev–Zel’dovich masses are ≈5.8 × 1014 Me. We constrain the merger state and properties by comparing them to an existing suite of N-body/hydrodynamical models using the measured gas peak separation (259 kpc, projected) and radial velocity difference (0–1000 km s−1 ). This constrains the epoch of the merger to be within ∼100 Myr of first pericenter passage. A strong lensing analysis constrains the mass ratio to be in the range 1:1–1:20, while the cluster morphology prefers values near the equal-mass range.

Peter Doze↗

Validation of an Erythema-Weighted UV Model Using Broadband Solar Irradiance Measurements From Eleven U.S. Sites: Preprint

Erythema-weighted UV solar irradiance (UV-E) has a potential impact on human health if the recommended maximum exposure times are exceeded. In spite of this, it is not measured at most sites that measure Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI). However, since UV-E is highly correlated with GHI and total ozone content it can be estimated from this information with sufficient accuracy to assisst in public health recommendations. The Power Model (PM) provides a simple method to estimate the erythema-weighted UV irradiance (UV-E) from measured GHI, total ozone column and air mass. In this work, the performance of the PM method is assessed using high-quality data from 11 sites in the continental U.S. (part of SURFRAD and SOLRAD networks) and total ozone estimates publicly available from the MERRA-2 re-analysis database. A three year period (2021- 2023) at 1-minute frequency is considered. The results (for time aggregations of 5 and 60 minutes) show a high Pearson's correlations (> 0.99), consistently positive mean bias deviations (below 13%) and dispersions in the 8-19% range at all sites. Relative values are expressed in terms of the corresponding measurement mean. The performance indicators remain consistent across time resolutions (5 or 60 minutes), suggesting that the model's performance is robust and not significantly affected by short-term variability (which is captured by GHI). Spatial patterns reveal higher biases and RMSD in northern and eastern locations. These values represent a significant improvement over widely used satellite-based global UV-E estimates and open the possibility of using the PM with satellite-based GHI estimates for operational UV-E mapping over the contiguous U.S. territory.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Power System Options Evaluated for the Radiation and Technology Demonstration Mission

The Radiation and Technology Demonstration (RTD) Mission is under joint study by three NASA Centers: the NASA Johnson Space Center, the NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, and the NASA Glenn Research Center at Lewis Field. This Earth-orbiting mission, which may launch on a space shuttle in the first half of the next decade, has the primary objective of demonstrating high-power electric thruster technologies. Secondary objectives include better characterization of Earth's Van Allen trapped-radiation belts, measurement of the effectiveness of the radiation shielding for human protection, measurement of radiation effects on advanced solar cells, and demonstration of radiation-tolerant microelectronics. During the mission, which may continue up to 1 year, the 2000-kg RTD spacecraft will first spiral outward from the shuttle-deployed, medium-inclination, low Earth orbit. By the phased operation of a 10-kW Hall thruster and a 10-kW Variable Specific Impulse Magneto-Plasma Rocket, the RTD spacecraft will reach a low-inclination Earth orbit with a radius greater than five Earth radii. This will be followed by an inward spiraling orbit phase when the spacecraft deploys 8 to 12 microsatellites to map the Van Allen belts. The mission will conclude in low Earth orbit with the possible retrieval of the spacecraft by the space shuttle. A conceptual RTD spacecraft design showing two photovoltaic (PV) array wings, the Hall thruster with propellant tanks, and stowed microsatellites is presented. Early power system studies assessed five different PV array design options coupled with a 120-Vdc power management and distribution system (PMAD) and secondary lithium battery energy storage. Array options include (1) state-of-the-art 10-percent efficient three-junction amorphous SiGe thin-film cells on thin polymer panels deployed with an inflatable (or articulated) truss, (2) SCARLET array panels, (3) commercial state-of-the-art, planar PV array rigid panels with 25-percent efficient, three-junction GaInP2/GaAs/Ge solar cells, (4) rigid panels with 25-percent efficient, three-junction GaInP2/GaAs/Ge solar cells, in a 2 -concentrator trough configuration, and (5) thin polymer panels with 25-percent efficient, three-junction GaInP2/GaAs/Ge solar cells deployed with an inflatable (or articulated) truss. To assess the relative merits of these PV array design options, the study group developed a dedicated Fortran code to predict power system performance and estimate system mass. This code also modeled Earth orbital environments important for accurately predicting PV array performance. The most important environmental effect, solar cell radiation degradation, was calculated from electron-proton fluence input from the industry standard AE8/AP8 trapped radiation models and the concept of damage equivalence. Power systems were sized to provide 10 kW of thruster power and approximately 1 kW of spacecraft power at end of life. Of the five PV array design options, the option 1 (thin-film cells) power system was the most massive 590 kg, whereas the option 4 (trough concentrator) power system was the lightest 260 kg. Arguably, the lowest cost would come from the option 3 (commercial array panels) power system with an acceptable, albeit greater, system mass of 320 kg. Predicted power system performance during the spiral-out mission phase is shown the preceding graph for the option 5 (flexible-panel) array. From the results, the radiation-induced power loss over time is evident as the spacecraft slowly spirals outward through the trapped proton belt. The importance of the spiral trip time is also evident in the two curves representing 74-day and 182-day spiral-out periods. The longer spiral time introduces a beginning-of-life power oversizing penalty greater than 1 kW. Future studies will analyze power system performance and mass with a 50-Vdc power management and distribution architecture favorable to the VASIMR thruster and longer missions.

Kerslake, Thomas W.↗