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NASA NTRS2015

Risk-Based Causal Modeling of Airborne Loss of Separation

Maintaining safe separation between aircraft remains one of the key aviation challenges as the Next Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen) emerges. The goals of the NextGen are to increase capacity and reduce flight delays to meet the aviation demand growth through the 2025 time frame while maintaining safety and efficiency. The envisioned NextGen is expected to enable high air traffic density, diverse fleet operations in the airspace, and a decrease in separation distance. All of these factors contribute to the potential for Loss of Separation (LOS) between aircraft. LOS is a precursor to a potential mid-air collision (MAC). The NASA Airspace Operations and Safety Program (AOSP) is committed to developing aircraft separation assurance concepts and technologies to mitigate LOS instances, therefore, preventing MAC. This paper focuses on the analysis of causal and contributing factors of LOS accidents and incidents leading to MAC occurrences. Mid-air collisions among large commercial aircraft are rare in the past decade, therefore, the LOS instances in this study are for general aviation using visual flight rules in the years 2000-2010. The study includes the investigation of causal paths leading to LOS, and the development of the Airborne Loss of Separation Analysis Model (ALOSAM) using Bayesian Belief Networks (BBN) to capture the multi-dependent relations of causal factors. The ALOSAM is currently a qualitative model, although further development could lead to a quantitative model. ALOSAM could then be used to perform impact analysis of concepts and technologies in the AOSP portfolio on the reduction of LOS risk.

Geuther, Steven C.↗
NASA NTRS1993

Thermomechanical postbuckling analysis of laminated composite shells

The nonlinear response of laminated composite structures subjected to thermal loads is investigated. Analysis is performed using a refined theory and an associated finite element model for geometrically nonlinear analysis of laminated composite shell structures. The model is based on a third-order displacement field which accounts for both transverse shear and transverse normal deformations. Numerical studies of simply-supported plates and cylindrical panels indicate that when the panels are free to expand or contract in the transverse direction, the predicted critical buckling temperatures do not depend significantly upon whether or not transverse normal deformations are explicitly accounted for in the analysis model. However, the critical buckling temperatures are strongly dependent upon whether or not the transverse normal deformations are restrained along the boundaries of the panels.

Averill, R. C.↗
NASA NTRS1982

Mathematical analysis for radiometric calorimetry of a radiating sphere

Equations are derived from which the temperature dependence of both the specific heat and the thermal diffusivity of a spherical sample of material can be calculated from observations of the time dependence of the surface temperature and the time-rate of energy loss from the sample as it cools. The derivation takes into account the nonuniformity of the interior temperature field of the sample, and the resulting equations can be applied not only to radiative cooling, but also to any other cooling mechanism that does not violate the assumed spherical symmetry. The analysis excludes change of phase, but it does take thermal expansion into account. To permit the making of estimates necessary for the design of radiative cooling experiments, a universal temperature-time cooling curve is derived for the post-transient cooling regime of a radiating sphere of any size with arbitrary, but constant, thermal parameters.

Schmid, L. A.↗
NASA NTRS1972

Roughness effects on radiant heat transfer between interacting surfaces.

The radiative transfer between interacting plates with rough surfaces is analyzed on the basis of Beckman's (1963) rough-surface bidirectional reflectance model and, for comparison, on the basis of a direction-dependent specular reflection property model and an approximate rough surface model which assumes a diffuse distribution of the scattered energy. It is found that the overall heat transfer obtained with the Beckman model is only slightly (1.5%) less than that obtained with the direction-dependent specular reflection model. Furthermore, constant property specular reflection analysis gave results within 3% of the rough surface values. The region of uncertainty for the rough surface flux increases, however, as optical roughness increases.

Houchens, A. F.↗
NASA NTRS1972

A look at V/STOL for business aircraft.

Attempt to ascertain the economic viability of the V/STOL capability for business aircraft and the manner in which this viability depends on the aircraft concept. A cost-benefit analysis is presented which indicates that a VTOL business aircraft would be more viable economically than a contemporary turbine-powered business aircraft. The combination of traveler's time value and trip distance for which each aircraft dominates is shown. The significance of disk loading in V/STOL concept application is discussed, and preliminary design configuration studies for three different business-aircraft-sized V/STOLs, using three concepts covering a range of disk loading, are presented as examples. Finally, a discussion of operational aspects of interest to future users of V/STOL business aircraft is presented which centers around the requirements for routine IFR terminal-area operations.

Feistel, T. W.↗
NASA NTRS1973

A use of regression analysis in acoustical diagnostics of gear drives

A study is presented of components of the vibration spectrum as the filtered first and second harmonics of the tooth frequency which permits information to be obtained on the physical characteristics of the vibration excitation process, and an approach to be made to comparison of models of the gearing. Regression analysis of two random processes has shown a strong dependence of the second harmonic on the first, and independence of the first from the second. The nature of change in the regression line, with change in loading moment, gives rise to the idea of a variable phase shift between the first and second harmonics.

Balitskiy, F. Y.↗
NASA NTRS1975

The scatter of obliquely incident plane waves from a corrugated conducting surface

A physical optics solution is presented for the scattering of place waves from a perfectly conducting corrugated surface in the case of waves incident from an arbitrary direction and for an observer far from the surface. This solution is used to compute the radar cross section of the surface in the case of backscatter from irregular (i. e. , stochastic) corrugations and is used to point out a correction to the literature on this problem. An interesting feature of the solution is the occurrence of singularities in the scattered fields. These singularities appear to be a manifestation of focussing by the surface at its "stationary" points. Whether or not the singularities occur in the solution depends on the manner in which one restricts the analysis to the far field.

David M Le Vine↗
NASA NTRS1976

An Experiment to Evaluate Skylab Earth Resources Sensors for Detection of the Gulf Stream

The author has identified the following significant results. An experiment to evaluate the Skylab earth resources package for observing ocean currents was performed in the Straits of Florida in January 1974. Data from the S190 photographic facility, S191 spectroradiometer and S192 multispectral scanner, were compared with surface observations. The anticyclonic edge of the Gulf Stream could be identified in the Skylab S190A and B photographs, but the cyclonic edge was obscured by clouds. The aircraft photographs were judged not useful for spectral analysis because vignetting caused the blue/green ratios to be dependent on the position in the photograph. The spectral measurement technique could not identify the anticyclonic front, but mass of Florida Bay water which was in the process of flowing into the Straits could be identified and classified. Monte Carlo simulations of the visible spectrum showed that the aerosol concentration could be estimated and a correction technique was devised.

Maul, G. A.↗
NASA NTRS1976

The scattering of obliquely incident plane waves from a corrugated conducting surface

A physical optics solution is presented for the scattering of plane waves from a perfectly conducting corrugated surface in the case of waves incident from an arbitrary direction and for an observer far from the surface. This solution is used to compute the radar cross section of the surface in the case of backscatter from irregular (i.e., stochastic) corrugations. An interesting feature of the solution is the occurrence of singularities in the scattered fields. These singularities appear to be a manifestation of focusing by the surface at its 'stationary' points. Whether or not the singularities occur in the solution depends on the manner in which one restricts the analysis to the far-field.

Surface waves↗
NASA NTRS1978

Energy distributions of sputtered copper neutrals and ions

Direct quantitative analysis of surfaces by secondary ion mass spectrometry will depend on an understanding of the yield ratio of ions to neutrals. This ratio as a function of the energy of the sputtered particles has been obtained for a clean polycrystalline copper surface sputtered by 1000-3000 eV Ar(+). The energy distributions of both neutral and ionized copper were measured with a retarding potential analyzer using potential modulation differentiation and signal averaging. The maximum for both distributions is identical and occurs near 2.5 eV. The energy distributions of neutrals is more sharply peaked than that of the ions, presumably as a consequence of more efficient nutralization of slow escaping ions by the mobile electrons of copper. The ion-neutral ratio is compared with results from various ionization models.

Lundquist, T. R.↗
NASA NTRS1978

Optical, spin-resonance, and magnetoresistance studies of /tetrathiatetracene/2/iodide/3 - The nature of the ground state

A recent investigation in which Isett and Perez-Albuerne (1977) found that (tetrathiatetracene)2(iodine)3 is a stable organic metal down to 3.3 K is of considerable interest. In view of the diversity of suggestions made regarding this compound, measurements, were made of its electrical, magnetic, and optical properties. The results obtained indicate a metallic state at high temperatures, but also support a nonmetallic state at temperatures below 30 K. At 20-30 K, a metal-to-insulator phase transition occurs. This is indicated by the onset of a large and positive magnetoresistance, the leveling off in the temperature dependence of the ESR linewidth, and by recent derivative analysis of the electrical conductivity in this region. The investigated compound represents an interesting one-dimensional electronic system in which it may be possible to study the combined effects of disorder and interchain coupling on charge transport processes.

Somoano, R. B.↗
NASA NTRS1979

A small-scale test for fiber release from carbon composites

A burn/impact test apparatus is used to determine the amount of fiber release from carbon fiber composites after burn and impact. The calculation of the theoretical char binder content of the composite is made based on the temperature of the test specimen and the char yield of the resin as determined by thermogravimetric analysis. The test results indicate that carbon fiber release depends on the type of reinforcement used. There was more fiber release with the quasi-isotropic composite made with unidirectional tape than with the woven fabric reinforcement. The amount of fiber release in the impact chamber after burning is coincident with the calculated char binder.

Gilwee, W. J., Jr.↗
NASA NTRS1981

Predicting aerodynamic sound utilizing a two-point, two-time turbulence theory

The feasibility of determining two-point, two-time turbulent velocity correlations based on extending closure models for one-point, one-time turbulence correlations is demonstrated. The procedure used is based on a spatial moment integral formulation of the governing equations using approximate, parameterized trial functions for the two-point, two-time velocity correlations. Solution of the equations is shown to give a set of anisotropic length scales and the separation-time-dependent decorrelation of the ensemble averaged turbulent velocities. The analysis is simplified using the assumption of homogeneous stationary turbulence and a constant shear, unidirectional mean flow. It is shown that the anisotropic behavior of measured turbulence correlations can be characterized through this technique.

Hecht, A. M.↗
NASA NTRS1984

The role of the reflection coefficient in precision measurement of ultrasonic attenuation

Ultrasonic attenuation measurements using contact, pulse-echo techniques are sensitive to surface roughness and couplant thickness variations. This can reduce considerable inaccuracies in the measurement of the attenuation coefficient for broadband pulses. Inaccuracies arise from variations in the reflection coefficient at the buffer-couplant-sample interface. The reflection coefficient is examined as a function of the surface roughness and corresponding couplant thickness variations. Interrelations with ultrasonic frequency are illustrated. Reliable attenuation measurements are obtained only when the frequency dependence of the reflection coefficient is incorporated in signal analysis. Data are given for nickel 200 samples and a silicon nitride ceramic bar having surface roughness variations in the 0.3 to 3.0 microns range for signal bandwidths in the 50 to 100 MHz range.

Generazio, E. R.↗
NASA NTRS1985

The role of the reflection coefficient in precision measurement of ultrasonic attenuation

Ultrasonic attenuation measurements using contact, pulse-echo techniques are sensitive to surface roughness and couplant thickness variations. This can reduce considerable inaccuracies in the measurement of the attenuation coefficient for broadband pulses. Inaccuracies arise from variations in the reflection coefficient at the buffer-couplant-sample interface. The reflection coefficient is examined as a function of the surface roughness and corresponding couplant thickness variations. Interrelations with ultrasonic frequency are illustrated. Reliable attenuation measurements are obtained only when the frequency dependence of the reflection coefficient is incorporated in signal analysis. Data are given for nickel 200 samples and a silicon nitride ceramic bar having surface roughness variations in the 0.3 to 3.0 microns range for signal bandwidths in the 50 to 100 MHz range.

Generazio, E. R.↗
NASA NTRS1985

Bounding solutions of geometrically nonlinear viscoelastic problems

Integral transform techniques, such as the Laplace transform, provide simple and direct methods for solving viscoelastic problems formulated within a context of linear material response and using linear measures for deformation. Application of the transform operator reduces the governing linear integro-differential equations to a set of algebraic relations between the transforms of the unknown functions, the viscoelastic operators, and the initial and boundary conditions. Inversion either directly or through the use of the appropriate convolution theorem, provides the time domain response once the unknown functions have been expressed in terms of sums, products or ratios of known transforms. When exact inversion is not possible approximate techniques may provide accurate results. The overall problem becomes substantially more complex when nonlinear effects must be included. Situations where a linear material constitutive law can still be productively employed but where the magnitude of the resulting time dependent deformations warrants the use of a nonlinear kinematic analysis are considered. The governing equations will be nonlinear integro-differential equations for this class of problems. Thus traditional as well as approximate techniques, such as cited above, cannot be employed since the transform of a nonlinear function is not explicitly expressible.

Stubstad, J. M.↗