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Thaw Transitions and Redox Conditions Drive Methane Oxidation in a Permafrost Peatland

Thawing permafrost, ground that has been frozen for 2 or more years, often results in wet conditions that promote the production of methane (CH 4 ). Methane is a greenhouse gas that is over 30 times more powerful than carbon dioxide at warming the atmosphere. Microorganisms called methanotrophs can consume a substantial portion of this CH 4 before it reaches the atmosphere, but the extent of this consumption is not well understood. Methanotrophs are affected by environmental conditions, such as oxygen availability, that change with permafrost thaw. We used laboratory experiments to measure how quickly methanotrophs consume CH 4 from sites within a permafrost peatland with little, intermediate, and full permafrost thaw. We found that CH 4 consumption increased as permafrost thawed and that sites transitioning between thaw stages had a different potential to consume CH 4 than intact and fully thawed sites. Methane consumption was also high in locations with low dissolved oxygen, which suggests that methanotrophs in these sites may tolerate low oxygen conditions in the field. We found that redox potential, a measurement that describes the tendency for a compound to be oxidized or reduced, was a strong predictor of CH 4 consumption in partially and fully thawed sites. Overall, these measurements highlight the potential for methanotrophs to mitigate CH 4 emissions in peatlands with thawing permafrost and provide new insights to modeling CH 4 dynamics across the full thaw gradient.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Transboundary health impacts of transported global air pollution and international trade

Millions of people die every year from diseases caused by exposure to outdoor air pollution1, 2, 3, 4, 5. Some studies have estimated premature mortality related to local sources of air pollution6, 7, but local air quality can also be affected by atmospheric transport of pollution from distant sources8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18. International trade is contributing to the globalization of emission and pollution as a result of the production of goods (and their associated emissions) in one region for consumption in another region14, 19, 20, 21, 22. The effects of international trade on air pollutant emissions23, air quality14 and health24 have been investigated regionally, but a combined, global assessment of the health impacts related to international trade and the transport of atmospheric air pollution is lacking. Here we combine four global models to estimate premature mortality caused by fine particulate matter (PM2.5) pollution as a result of atmospheric transport and the production and consumption of goods and services in different world regions. We find that, of the 3.45 million premature deaths related to PM2.5 pollution in 2007 worldwide, about 12 per cent (411,100 deaths) were related to air pollutants emitted in a region of the world other than that in which the death occurred, and about 22 per cent (762,400 deaths) were associated with goods and services produced in one region for consumption in another. For example, PM2.5 pollution produced in China in 2007 is linked to more than 64,800 premature deaths in regions other than China, including more than 3,100 premature deaths in western Europe and the USA; on the other hand, consumption in western Europe and the USA is linked to more than 108,600 premature deaths in China. Our results reveal that the transboundary health impacts of PM2.5 pollution associated with international trade are greater than those associated with long-distance atmospheric pollutant transport.

Zhang, Qiang↗

Cross-sectoral synergies for household energy savings: the role of electric vehicles, solar photovoltaics, and remote work

Over the past two decades, new technologies and behavioral shifts – such as electric vehicles, solar photovoltaics, and increased work-from-home practices – have reshaped residential electricity consumption and cost. However, their combined or synergistic impact on a household’s electricity cost remains unexplored. Leveraging data from the 2020 Residential Energy Consumption Survey, this study uses a structural equation model to unravel the extent to which the bundled adoption of EV-PV and stay-at-home decisions impact the total electricity cost of households. Results indicate that adopting both EVs and PV reduces electricity costs by 31% despite a 16% rise in consumption. When combined with stay-at-home practices, households still experience a 13% cost reduction, even with a 25% increase in electricity consumption. In conclusion, these findings suggest that financial savings are not merely a byproduct of adopting new technologies or behavioral changes but could serve as a key consideration for household contemplating engagement with multiple modern energy solutions simultaneously.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

A novel inert crystal delivery medium for serial femtosecond crystallography

Serial femtosecond crystallography (SFX) has opened a new era in crystallography by permitting nearly damage-free, room-temperature structure determination of challenging proteins such as membrane proteins. In SFX, femtosecond X-ray free-electron laser pulses produce diffraction snapshots from nanocrystals and microcrystals delivered in a liquid jet, which leads to high protein consumption. A slow-moving stream of agarose has been developed as a new crystal delivery medium for SFX. It has low background scattering, is compatible with both soluble and membrane proteins, and can deliver the protein crystals at a wide range of temperatures down to 4°C. Using this crystal-laden agarose stream, the structure of a multi-subunit complex, phycocyanin, was solved to 2.5Å resolution using 300µg of microcrystals embedded into the agarose medium post-crystallization. The agarose delivery method reduces protein consumption by at least 100-fold and has the potential to be used for a diverse population of proteins, including membrane protein complexes.

Conrad, Chelsie E.↗

HVAC load Disaggregation using Low-resolution Smart Meter Data

Traditional non-intrusive load monitoring (NILM) methods are effective for load disaggregation using high resolution smart meter data collected by power quality meters. However, smart meter data collected and stored by utilities are normally 15-, 30- or 60-minute in granularity, making most NILM methods ineffective. This paper presents a novel sequential energy disaggregation (SED) algorithm for extracting heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) energy consumptions from residential and small commercial building loads using 30 min smart meter data. Large, infrequently-used loads are first detected and removed from the total building energy consumption. Then, base energy consumption curves, defined as the energy consumption without heating and cooling loads, are identified using the mild-day method. After that, the heating and cooling loads are extracted using an average value subtracting method. Simulation results with real data show that the proposed SED method is computationally efficient, simple to implement and robust in performance across different types of buildings.

Liang, Ming↗

Stationary Spatial Charging Demand Distribution for Commercial Electric Vehicles in Urban Area

The electric vehicle (EV) is an increasingly popu- lar mobility solution today. It is especially appealing for urban commercial usage including serving commuters and delivering goods. Commercial EVs, defined as electric taxi fleets in this paper, contribute a lot to the energy consumption and emission. One critical component to facilitate the adoption of EVs is to provide sufficient charging infrastructures for road users to alleviate the range anxiety. In this study, we develop an analytical model to profile the stationary spatial distribution of charging demand for any given fleet of commercial EVs, which serves as the necessary input for planning the location of charging infrastructures. Our model considers the movement of EVs as a random walk, with the underlying Markov process driven by the spatial demand that the commercial EV fleet needs to serve. We then define the electricity consumption and charging models and develop the probability distribution that an EV may need to recharge its battery at any given location in the city, based on the stationary distribution of the random walk process. We calibrate the performance parameters of EVs from the trip record and present numerical experiments based on New York City taxi trip data and compare the solution from simulation with our analytical solution. The result shows that analytical solution is quite close to the simulation result. This paper provides insights to the city agencies and private companies to make charging infrastructure location planning.

Qian, Xinwu↗

Integrated Platform for Automated Sustainable Demand Response in Smart Grids

Demand Response(DR) is a common practice used by utility providers to regulate energy demand. It is used at periods of high demand to minimize the peak to average consumption ratio. Several methods have been Demand Response(DR) is a common praon using information about the baseline consumption and the consumption during DR. Our goal is to provide a sustainable reduction to ensure the elimination of peaks in demand. The proposed system includes an adaptation mechanism for when the provided solution does not meet the DR requirements. We conducted a series of experiments using consumption data from a real life micro grid to evaluate the efficiency as well as the robustness of our solution.

automated demand response↗

ScaleML: Machine Learning based Heap Memory Object Scaling Prediction

Memory subsystem contributes 28-40% of total energy consumption. Several studies investigated energy prediction and consumption via profiling memory object access patterns. However, such profiling leads to higher energy consumption due to intense memory object-level profiling to achieve high prediction accuracy. Further, memory object access pattern prediction has been considered through analyzing the variation between memory object access patterns, referred to as scaling rate. The existing techniques for scaling rate prediction, such as Linear Scaling Rate (LSR), suffer from a high error rate in prediction with changes in access patterns, which leads to a high error rate of energy consumption prediction. In this paper, we compare and evaluate several memory object access pattern prediction models including LSR and machine learning (ML) models. Further, we propose SCALEML, a heap memory object scaling rate prediction mechanism that employs an ML model to achieve high access pattern prediction accuracy with variations in memory object access patterns. We evaluate SCALEML using various application benchmarks. The experimental results show that SCALEML achieves about 20% higher accuracy than the LSR model for predicting the scaling rate of object access patterns and energy estimation.

Park, Joongeon↗

Formulation and Comparison of Two Real-Time Predictive Gear Shift Algorithms for Connected/Automated Heavy-Duty Vehicles

Our work investigates the problem of predictive gear scheduling for fuel consumption minimization in connected/automated heavy trucks. The literature highlights the fuel economy benefits of such predictive scheduling, but there is a need to optimize such scheduling online, in real time. To address this need, we begin by using dynamic programming (DP) to schedule gear shifting offline, in a manner that achieves a globally optimal Pareto tradeoff between the conflicting objectives of minimizing fuel consumption and shift frequency. The computational cost of DP is unfavorable for online implementation, but we present two algorithms addressing this issue. Both algorithms rely on the fact that in the Pareto limit where fuel consumption minimization is the sole objective, DP furnishes a simple static shift map . Our first algorithm trains a recurrent neural network to prune the shift schedule generated by this map. The second algorithm performs this pruning in a direct manner tailored to reduce the schedule's rain flow count. We simulate these algorithms for different drive cycles. Both algorithms achieve a reasonable tradeoff between fuel consumption and gear shift frequency. Yet, the rain flow count algorithm is both more effective in approaching the DP-based Pareto front and more computationally efficient.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Energy Prediction of the Chicago Metropolitan Area Using Distributed Transportation MBSE Framework

Energy consumption impact of vehicle powertrain is traditionally assessed using standard and regulatory drive cycles. In this paper, energy consumption is determined by studying all the trips occurring in the Chicago Metropolitan Area in a 24 hour period. The data is generated by combining Polaris, an agent based traffic flow model with SVTrip, a stochastic model that generates 1 Hz vehicle speed profiles and Autonomie, a detailed vehicle level modeling tool used to predict fuel consumption. Different scenarios are constructed to define trips for different timeframes and assumptions. Vehicle fleet distribution, vehicle technologies and automation levels are applied to represent an appropriate vehicle fleet for each scenario. Analysis of energy consumption is then discussed with a particular emphasis on the impact of powertrain technology and vehicle types.

Autonomie↗

Parametric Optimization Problem Formulation for Connected Hybrid Electric Vehicles using Neural Network based Equivalent Model

The dynamics of powertrain control systems are complicated and involve both nonlinear plant model and control functionalities, albeit they are well defined and formulated using first principle approaches. This constitutes difficulties in exploring implementable optimal tuning rules for some selected control parameters using vehicle-to-vehicle (V2V) communications. This paper presents a way to use neural networks (NN) to represent the problem of parameter tuning for optimizing fuel consumption. For this purpose, physical modelling and validation have been firstly performed for the closed loop powertrain system of the concerned vehicle for some given driving cycles. This is then followed by the sensitivity analysis that selects most influential control parameters to optimize. Using the data generated from the obtained physical models, an equivalent NN formulation has finally been obtained that gives simple yet unified objectives and constraints ready to be used to solve the optimization problem that produces optimal tuning rules for the selected control parameters to minimize fuel consumption.

Parameter optimization, V2X, Powertrain modeling↗

The Power Reclamation of Utilizing Micro-Hydro Turbines in the Aeration Basins of Wastewater Treatment Plants

Upgrading the aeration basin technology can improve the oxygen transfer efficiency (OTE), while keeping the energy consumption at its minimum level. Therefore, this paper introduces a new idea of installing micro-propeller turbines in the aeration basin of a wastewater treatment plant (WWTP) to extract power from the high-velocity location in the water column. This extracted power can be used to operate a mixer at the top of the membrane to induce the mixing in that region, which will drive the less oxygenated wastewater into the water column. The rest of the extracted power will rotate microturbine rotors for electric power generation. By applying the proposed microturbines to the 13 audited facilities, it was demonstrated to achieve a gross annual energy-savings of 3,836.9 MWh, a gross annual cost-saving of $260,497, and total CO 2 emissions that would be reduced by 2,714 metric tons/year. Generally, the addition of the proposed microturbines can save up to 15.7% of the annual plant electricity consumption (1.3–12.8% of the plant annual electricity bills).

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

Light Regimes Shape Utilization of Extracellular Organic C and N in a Cyanobacterial Biofilm

ABSTRACT Although it is becoming clear that many microbial primary producers can also play a role as organic consumers, we know very little about the metabolic regulation of photoautotroph organic matter consumption. Cyanobacteria in phototrophic biofilms can reuse extracellular organic carbon, but the metabolic drivers of extracellular processes are surprisingly complex. We investigated the metabolic foundations of organic matter reuse by comparing exoproteome composition and incorporation of 13 C-labeled and 15 N-labeled cyanobacterial extracellular organic matter (EOM) in a unicyanobacterial biofilm incubated using different light regimes. In the light and the dark, cyanobacterial direct organic C assimilation accounted for 32% and 43%, respectively, of all organic C assimilation in the community. Under photosynthesis conditions, we measured increased excretion of extracellular polymeric substances (EPS) and proteins involved in micronutrient transport, suggesting that requirements for micronutrients may drive EOM assimilation during daylight hours. This interpretation was supported by photosynthesis inhibition experiments, in which cyanobacteria incorporated N-rich EOM-derived material. In contrast, under dark, C-starved conditions, cyanobacteria incorporated C-rich EOM-derived organic matter, decreased excretion of EPS, and showed an increased abundance of degradative exoproteins, demonstrating the use of the extracellular domain for C storage. Sequence-structure modeling of one of these exoproteins predicted a specific hydrolytic activity that was subsequently detected, confirming increased EOM degradation in the dark. Associated heterotrophic bacteria increased in abundance and upregulated transport proteins under dark relative to light conditions. Taken together, our results indicate that biofilm cyanobacteria are successful competitors for organic C and N and that cyanobacterial nutrient and energy requirements control the use of EOM. IMPORTANCE Cyanobacteria are globally distributed primary producers, and the fate of their fixed C influences microbial biogeochemical cycling. This fate is complicated by cyanobacterial degradation and assimilation of organic matter, but because cyanobacteria are assumed to be poor competitors for organic matter consumption, regulation of this process is not well tested. In mats and biofilms, this is especially relevant because cyanobacteria produce an extensive organic extracellular matrix, providing the community with a rich source of nutrients. Light is a well-known regulator of cyanobacterial metabolism, so we characterized the effects of light availability on the incorporation of organic matter. Using stable isotope tracing at the single-cell level, we quantified photoautotroph assimilation under different metabolic conditions and integrated the results with proteomics to elucidate metabolic status. We found that cyanobacteria effectively compete for organic matter in the light and the dark and that nutrient requirements and community interactions contribute to cycling of extracellular organic matter.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Citywide Impacts of E-Commerce: Does Parcel Delivery Travel Outweigh Household Shopping Travel Reductions?

E-commerce has facilitated online ordering of goods by households in recent years. This technological advancement has disrupted shopping related transportation. While the National Household Travel Survey (NHTS [1]) finds that household shopping frequency has declined in the last 10-20 years, deliveries by parcel delivery trucks and vans [2] have increased. However, the net effect of these phenomena on overall trip making, vehicle-miles traveled (VMT) and fuel consumption has not been quantified. From a regional planning perspective, understanding the net effect is important for informing city policies--for example, in regards to land use and transportation planning. The objective of this research is to address this gap. In this study, the net regional impact of e-commerce on transportation and fuel consumption is evaluated. The approach relies on a powerful, agent-based modeling framework (POLARIS [3]) that models decisions made by individual household and commercial agents. E-commerce demand is modeled for each household using a bilevel multinomial probit structure that evaluates e-commerce participation and ordering frequency. Last-mile delivery tours were constructed using GIS-based tools and information from a major parcel delivery company [4]. After integrating the resulting supply and demand models with all other passenger and commercial traffic within POLARIS, a traffic simulation was performed and subsequently VMT and energy consumption were analyzed. The study finds that while e-commerce has generated an increase in parcel truck delivery trips, the net effect of e-commerce is a reduction in VMT and fuel consumption due major reductions in these quantities via shopping trip reductions.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Wattchmen: Watching the Wattchers – High Fidelity, Flexible GPU Energy Modeling

Modern GPU-rich HPC systems are increasingly becoming energy-constrained. Thus, understanding an application’s energy consumption becomes essential. Unfortunately, current GPU energy attribution techniques are either inaccurate, inflexible, or outdated. Therefore, we propose Wattchmen, a flexible methodology for measuring, attributing, and predicting GPU energy consumption. We construct a per-instruction energy model using a diverse set of microbenchmarks to systematically quantify the energy consumption of GPU instructions, enabling finer-grain prediction and energy consumption breakdowns for applications. Compared with the state-of-the-art systems like AccelWattch (32%) and Guser (25%), across 16 popular GPGPU, graph analytics, HPC, and ML workloads, Wattchmen reduces the mean absolute percent error (MAPE) to 14% on V100 GPUs. Furthermore, we show that Wattchmen provides similar MAPEs for water-cooled V100s (15%) and extends to later architectures, including air-cooled A100 (11%) and H100 (12%) GPUs. Finally, to further demonstrate Wattchmen ’s value, we apply it to applications such as Backprop and QMCPACK, where Wattchmen ’s insights enable energy reductions of up to 35%.

Tran, Brandon [University of Wisconsin, Madison] (↗

Analysis of Electric Vehicle Charging Behavior Patterns with Function Principal Component Analysis Approach

This manuscript focused on analyzing electric vehicles’ (EV) charging behavior patterns with a functional data analysis (FDA) approach, with the goal of providing theoretical support to the EV infrastructure planning and regulation, as well as the power grid load management. 5-year real-world charging log data from a total of 455 charging stations in Kansas City, Missouri, was used. The focuses were placed on analyzing the daily usage occupancy variability, daily energy consumption variability, and station-level usage variability. Compared with the traditional discrete-based analysis models, the proposed FDA modeling approach had unique advantages in preserving the smooth function behavior of the data, bringing more flexibility in the modeling process with little required assumptions or background knowledge on independent variables, as well as the capability of handling time series data with different lengths or sizes. In addition to the patterns revealed in the EV charging station’s occupancy and energy consumption, the differences between EV driver’s charging time and parking time were analyzed and called for the needs for parking regulation and enforcement. The different usage patterns observed at charging stations located on different land-use types were also analyzed.

Engineering↗

Weatherization Assistant NEAT/MHEA

The software provides a measure selection technique indicating cost effective retrofit activities that can be applied to a home using a standard Savings to Investment Ratio (SIR). Users must provide an input file describing the characteristics of the home to be evaluated. The software takes the input data provided and calculates energy savings and cost savings predicted for a standard set of measures given the input parameters. The Weatherization Assistant computes estimates of pre-retrofit whole building space heating and cooling energy consumptions based on the house description data supplied by the user. The consumptions are computed using a monthly heating and cooling variable base degree-day method by algorithms similar to those developed for the CIRA program [LBL, 1982]. The building consumptions are needed in computing the energy savings from measures affecting the efficiencies of the heating and cooling equipment. Weatherization Assistant then computes the energy savings and costs for each individual measure applicable to the building described as if it were the only measure installed in the house. From these energy savings, a discounted dollar savings over the life of each measure is computed. The ratio of this dollar savings to the cost of installing the measure, the "savings-to-investment ratio" (SIR), is used in an initial ranking of the measures' effectiveness. The "interacted" savings and SIR of measures are then determined assuming the measures are added to the house collectively, in order of their ranking, e.g., the second ranked measure is installed in the house initially described by the user after having been modified by the first ranked measure. If this second-ranked measure's updated SIR is greater than a user-defined limit, the measure is left implemented, else it is removed so that the next measure's effectiveness is not dependent on it. The choice between two mutually exclusive measures (such as different levels of insulation) is made on the basis of their "net present value" (NPV), the difference of life-time savings and installation cost, rather than their SIR. This has been shown to be the more correct criterion on which to base the selection between two measures, both of which cannot be installed. The audit computes and reports to the user the energy savings, discounted dollar savings, installation cost, and SIR for each measure considered cost-effective. For those with SIR greater than the user-designated cutoff, a materials list gives the material name, type, and quantity required for installation of the measure. Weatherization Assistant permits entry of pre-retrofit billing data for gas or electrically heated homes or homes with electric air-conditioning. The user may then make the decision to have the savings of the measures adjusted to reflect the difference in billed consumption and that predicted by the program.

Gettings, Michael↗

Trip Energy Estimation Methodology and Model Based on Real-World Driving Data for Green-Routing Applications

A data-informed model to predict energy use for a proposed vehicle trip has been developed in this paper. The methodology leverages roughly one million miles of real-world driving data to generate the estimation model. Driving is categorized at the sub-trip level by average speed, road gradient, and road network geometry, then aggregated by category. An average energy consumption rate is determined for each category, creating an energy rate look-up table. Proposed vehicle trips are then categorized in the same manner, and estimated energy rates are appended from the look-up table. The methodology is robust and applicable to a wide range of driving data. The model has been trained on vehicle travel profiles from the Transportation Secure Data Center at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory and validated against on-road fuel consumption data from testing in Phoenix, Arizona. When compared against the detailed on-road conventional vehicle fuel consumption test data, the energy estimation model accurately predicted which route would consume less fuel over a dozen different tests. When compared against a larger set of real-world origin-destination pairs, it is estimated that implementing the present methodology should accurately select the route that consumes the least fuel 90% of the time. The model results can be used to inform control strategies in routing tools, such as change in departure time, alternate routing, and alternate destinations to reduce energy consumption. This work provides a highly extensible framework that allows the model to be tuned to a specific driver or vehicle type.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗