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Assessment of NASA GISS CMIP5 and Post-CMIP5 Simulated Clouds and TOA Radiation Budgets Using Satellite Observations. Part I: Cloud Fraction and Properties

Although many improvements have been made in phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5), clouds remain a significant source of uncertainty in general circulation models (GCMs) because their structural and optical properties are strongly dependent upon interactions between aerosol/cloud microphysics and dynamics that are unresolved in such models. Recent changes to the planetary boundary layer (PBL) turbulence and moist convection parameterizations in the NASA GISS Model E2 atmospheric GCM(post-CMIP5, hereafter P5) have improved cloud simulations significantly compared to its CMIP5 (hereafter C5) predecessor. A study has been performed to evaluate these changes between the P5 and C5 versions of the GCM, both of which used prescribed sea surface temperatures. P5 and C5 simulated cloud fraction (CF), liquid water path (LWP), ice water path (IWP), cloud water path (CWP), precipitable water vapor (PWV), and relative humidity (RH) have been compared to multiple satellite observations including the Clouds and the Earth's Radiant Energy System-Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (CERES-MODIS, hereafter CM), CloudSat- Cloud-Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observations (CALIPSO; hereafter CC), Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS), and Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer for Earth Observing System (AMSR-E). Although some improvements are observed in the P5 simulation on a global scale, large improvements have been found over the southern midlatitudes (SMLs), where correlations increased and both bias and root-mean-square error (RMSE) significantly decreased, in relation to the previous C5 simulation, when compared to observations. Changes to the PBL scheme have resulted in improved total column CFs, particularly over the SMLs where marine boundary layer (MBL) CFs have increased by nearly 20% relative to the previous C5 simulation. Globally, the P5 simulated CWPs are 25 gm22 lower than the previous C5 results. The P5 version of the GCM simulates PWV and RH higher than its C5 counterpart and agrees well with the AMSR-E and AIRS observations. The moister atmospheric conditions simulated by P5 are consistent with the CF comparison and provide a strong support for the increase in MBL clouds over the SMLs. Over the tropics, the P5 version of the GCM simulated total column CFs and CWPs are slightly lower than the previous C5 results, primarily as a result of the shallower tropical boundary layer in P5 relative to C5 in regions outside the marine stratocumulus decks.

General circulation models↗

On Assessing ERA5 and MERRA2 Representations of Cold-Air Outbreaks Across the Gulf Stream

The warm Gulf Stream sea surface temperatures (SSTs) strongly impact the evolution of winter clouds behind atmospheric cold fronts. Such cloud evolution remains challenging to model. Here, the Gulf Stream is too wide within the ERA5 and MERRA2 reanalyses, affecting the turbulent surface fluxes. Known problems within the ERA5 boundary layer (too-dry and too-cool with too strong westerlies), ascertained primarily from ACTIVATE 2020 campaign aircraft dropsondes and secondarily from older buoy measurements, reinforce surface flux biases. In contrast, MERRA2 winter surface winds and air-sea temperature/humidity differences are slightly too weak, producing surface fluxes that are too low. Reanalyses boundary layer heights in the strongly-forced winter cold-air-outbreak regime are realistic, whereas late-summer quiescent stable boundary layers are too shallow. Nevertheless, the reanalysis biases are small, and reanalyses adequately support their use for initializing higher-resolution cloud process modeling studies of cold-air outbreaks.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Multi-scale Analysis of Surface Heterogeneity Induced Convection on Isentropic Coordinates

This research uses semi-idealized simulations to investigate multi-scale processes induced by the heterogeneity of soil moisture observed during the 2016 Holistic Interactions of Shallow Clouds, Aerosols, and Land-Ecosystems (HI-SCALE) field campaign. The semi-idealized simulations have realistic land heterogeneity, but large-scale winds are removed. Analysis on isentropic coordinates enables the tracking of circulation that transports energy vertically and facilitates the identification of the primary convective processes induced by realistic land heterogeneity. The isentropes associated with upward motion are found to connect the ground characterized by high latent heat flux to cloud bases directly over the ground with high sensible heat flux, while isentropes associated with downward motion connect precipitation to the ground characterized by high sensible heat fluxes. The mixing of dry, warm parcels ascending from the ground with high sensible heat fluxes and moist parcels from high latent heat regions leads to cloud formation. This new mechanism explains how soil moisture heterogeneity provides the key ingredients such as buoyancy and moisture for shallow cloud formation. We also found that the sub-mesoscale dominates upward energy transport in the boundary layer, while mesoscale circulations contribute to vertical energy transport above the boundary layer. Our novel method better illustrates and elucidates the nature of land atmospheric interactions under irregular and realistic soil moisture patterns.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Monsoon flood boundary delineation and damage assessment using space borne imaging radar and Landsat data

Space-borne synthetic aperture radar (SAR) data acquired by the Shuttle Imaging Radar-B (SIR-B) Program and Landsat Multispectral Scanner Subsystem (MSS) Data from Landsat 4 were used to map flood boundaries for the assessment of flood damage in the Peoples Republic of Bangladesh. The cloud penetrating capabilities of the L-band radar provided a clear picture of the hydrologic conditions of the surface during a period of inclement weather at the end of the wet phase of the 1984 monsoon. The radar image data were digitally processed to geometrically rectify the pixel geometry and were filtered to subdue radar image speckle effects. Contrast enhancement techniques and density slicing were used to create discrete land-cover categories corresponding to surface conditions present at the time of the Shuttle overflight. The radar image classification map was digitally registered to a spectral signature classification map of the area derived from Landsat MSS data collected two weeks prior to the SIR-B mission. Classification accuracy comparisons were made between the radar and MSS classification maps, and flood boundary and flood damage assessment measurements were made with the merged data by adding the classifications and inventorying the land-cover classes inundated at the time of flooding.

Imhoff, Marc L.↗

Wind Profiling With the Airborne Doppler Aerosol Wind Lidar During the 2022 Convective Processes Experiment

The 2017 Decadal Survey for Earth Science and Applications from Space (ESAS 2017) identifies a critical need for improving our understanding of Planetary Boundary Layer (PBL) processes and air-surface fluxes as well as why clouds, convection, and heavy precipitation occur when and where they do. Lidars are uniquely capable of collecting high precision and high spatio-temporal observations that have been used for atmospheric process studies from the ground, aircraft, and space. The wind lidar team at the NASA Langley Research Center (LaRC) started the development of Doppler wind lidar more than a decade ago to demonstrate technologies required for an Earth-orbiting system to globally measure wind profiles. Since then, an airborne Doppler Aerosol WiNd (DAWN) lidar system has been developed and participated in a series of field campaigns. The Doppler Aerosol WiNd (DAWN) lidar uses atmospheric aerosol motion to derive vertical profiles of horizontal wind speed and direction beneath the aircraft. In September 2022, DAWN, along with a suite of other instruments, was flown on a NASA DC-8 as part of The Convective Processes EXperiment – Cabo Verde (CPEX-CV) field campaign. A main objective of CPEX was to obtain a comprehensive set of temperature, humidity and, particularly, wind observations over tropical waters in undisturbed conditions, Saharan dust outbreaks, and in the vicinity of scattered through organized deep convection in all phases of the convective life cycle. DAWN collected data for approximately 90 hours across 13 CPEX-CV science flights. Airborne Vertical Atmospheric Profiling System (AVAPS) dropsondes were dropped throughout the flight for profiling the atmosphere and validating the DAWN instrument. DAWN had co-located data with 347 AVAPS NRD41 dropsondes, providing 32,117 vertical levels for a comprehensive validation of DAWN wind retrievals. DAWN showed very good agreement with dropsondes of ~0.2 m/s bias and ~1.8 m/s RMS. Given this agreement, DAWN is considered to be a worthy reference dataset, and its retrievals have been compared to winds derived from GOES Atmospheric Motion Vectors (AMVs), Advanced Scatterometer winds (ASCAT), and model data from GFS, GEOS, and MERRA-2 to better understand the quality of our current models and satellite wind observations. The proposed presentation will provide a brief description of the DAWN instrument, discuss the synergistic observations collected across a wide range of atmospheric conditions sampled during the CPEX-CV flights, and a summary of comparisons between DAWN, GOES AMV, ASCAT, and model analyses/predictions, with an emphasis on the PBL.

DAWN↗

The View from the Top: CALIOP Ice Water Content in the Uppermost Layer of Tropical Cyclones

NASA's CALIPSO satellite carries both the Cloud and Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization (CALIOP) and the Imaging Infrared Radiometer (IIR). The lidar is ideally suited to viewing the very top of tropical cyclones, and the IIR provides critical optical and microphysical information. The lidar and the IIR data work together to understand storm clouds since they are perfectly co-located, and big tropical cyclones provide an excellent complex target for comparing the observations. There is a lot of information from these case studies for understanding both the observations and the tropical cyclones, and we are just beginning to scratch the surface of what can be learned. Many tropical cyclone cloud particle measurements are focused on the middle and lower regions of storms, but characterization of cyclone interaction with the lowermost stratosphere at the upper storm boundary may be important for determining the total momentum and moisture transport budget, and perhaps for predicting storm intensity as well. A surprising amount of cloud ice is to be found at the very top of these big storms.

Avery, Melody A.↗

Understanding aerosol properties in convective outflows during TRACER

Convective outflow boundaries commonly form across the southeastern U.S., often originating from storms initiated along sea-breeze fronts. As outflows spread, merge, and collide, they frequently trigger secondary convection in air masses already modified by primary storm outflow. This resulting air mass carries a distinctive aerosol population, which can influence the development of secondary convective cells. During the U.S. DOE TRACER field campaign in summer 2022, we investigated how outflows affect aerosol size, composition, and hygroscopicity across Greater Houston, Texas. Using a novel detection algorithm, we identified and verified 72 outflow boundaries from surface meteorological observations. In the relatively simple continental environment northwest of Houston, a common relationship emerged between CCN-inferred hygroscopicity (κ) and size-resolved aerosol concentrations. The κ of aerosols typically decreased in size ranges where aerosol concentrations increased following outflow passage and increased where concentrations decreased. In contrast, at the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement’s (ARM) fixed site in La Porte, Texas, the aerosol response depended on outflow direction, shaped by concentrated industrial and shipping activity to the north and south/southeast along the Houston Ship Channel. Concurrent size distribution and composition changes suggested case-specific variability in κ, with either reinforcing or offsetting effects. Outflows passing over industrial/shipping sectors often promoted less hygroscopic aerosol populations while cleaner residential outflows often favored more hygroscopic aerosol populations. These results highlight key aerosol changes following outflow passage, providing a foundation for improved understanding of aerosol-cloud interactions related to secondary convection initiation along or in the wake of outflow boundaries.

Thompson, Seth A. [Texas A & M Univ., College Stat↗

Mechanisms Regulating Deep Moist Convection and Sea-Surface Temperatures of the Tropics

Despite numerous previous studies, two relationships between deep convection and the sea-surface temperature (SST) of the tropics remain unclear. The first is the cause for the sudden emergence of deep convection at about 28 deg SST, and the second is its proximity to the highest observed SST of about 30 C. Our analysis provides a rational explanation for both by utilizing the Improved Meteorological (IMET) buoy data together with radar rainfall retrievals and atmospheric soundings provided by the Tropical Ocean Global Atmosphere Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Response Experiment (TOGA-COARE). The explanation relies on the basic principles of moist convection as enunciated in the Arakawa-Schubert cumulus parameterization. Our analysis shows that an SST range of 28-29 C is necessary for "charging" the atmospheric boundary layer with sufficient moist static energy that can enable the towering convection to reach up to the 200 hPa level. In the IMET buoy data, the changes in surface energy fluxes associated with different rainfall amounts show that the deep convection not only reduces the solar flux into the ocean with a thick cloud cover, but it also generates downdrafts which bring significantly cooler and drier air into the boundary-layer thereby augmenting oceanic cooling by increased sensible and latent heat fluxes. In this way, the ocean seasaws between a net energy absorber for non-raining and a net energy supplier for deep-convective raining conditions. These processes produce a thermostat-like control of the SST. The data also shows that convection over the warm pool is modulated by dynamical influences of large-scale circulation embodying tropical easterly waves (with a 5-day period) and MJOs (with 40-day period); however, the quasi-permanent feature of the vertical profile of moist static energy, which is primarily maintained by the large-scale circulation and thermodynamical forcings, is vital for both the 28 C SST for deep convection and its upper limit at about 30 C.

Sud, Y. C.↗

Photochemistry of biogenic emissions over the Amazon forest

The boundary layer chemistry over the Amazon forest during the dry season is simulated with a photochemical model. Results are in good agreement with measurements of isoprene, NO, ozone, and organic acids. Photochemical reactions of biogenic isoprene and NOx can supply most of the ozone observed in the boundary layer. Production of ozone is very sensitive to the availability of NOx, but is insensitive to the isoprene source strength. High concentrations of total odd nitrogen (NOy) are predicted for the planetary boundary layer, about 1 ppb in the mixed layer and 0.75 ppb in the convective cloud layer. Most of the odd nitrogen is present as PAN-type species, which are removed by dry deposition to the forest. The observed daytime variations of isoprene are explained by a strong dependence of the isoprene emission flux on sun angle. Nighttime losses of isoprene exceed rates of reaction with NO3 and O3 and appear to reflect dry-deposition processes. The 24-hour averaged isoprene emission flux is calculated to be 38 mg/sq m per day. Photooxidation of isoprene could account for a large fraction of the CO enrichment observed in the boundary layer under unpolluted conditions and could constitute an important atmospheric source of formic acid, methacrylic acid, and pyruvic acid.

Jacob, Daniel J.↗

Airborne Measurements of Scale‐Dependent Latent Heat Flux Impacted by Water Vapor and Vertical Velocity Over Heterogeneous Land Surfaces During the CHEESEHEAD19 Campaign

Abstract The water vapor transport associated with latent heat flux (LE) in the planetary boundary layer (PBL) is critical for the atmospheric hydrological cycle, radiation balance, and cloud formation. The spatiotemporal variability of LE and water vapor mixing ratio ( r v ) are poorly understood due to the scale‐dependent and nonlinear atmospheric transport responses to land surface heterogeneity. Here, airborne in situ measurements with the wavelet technique are utilized to investigate scale‐dependent relationships among LE, vertical velocity ( w ) variance (), and r v variance () over a heterogeneous surface during the Chequamegon Heterogeneous Ecosystem Energy‐balance Study Enabled by a High‐density Extensive Array of Detectors 2019 (CHEESEHEAD19) field campaign. Our findings reveal distinct scale distributions of LE, , and at 100 m height, with a majority scale range of 120 m–4 km in LE, 32 m–2 km in , and 200 m–8 km in . The scales are classified into three scale ranges, the turbulent scale (8–200 m), large‐eddy scale (200 m–2 km), and mesoscale (2–8 km) to evaluate scale‐resolved LE contributed by and . The large‐eddy scale in PBL contributes over 70% of the monthly mean total LE with equal parts (50%) of contributions from and . The monthly temporal variations mainly come from the first two major contributing classified scales in LE, , and . These results confirm the dominant role of the large‐eddy scale in the PBL in the vertical moisture transport from the surface to the PBL, while the mesoscale is shown to contribute an additional ∼20%. This analysis complements published scale‐dependent LE variations, which lack detailed scale‐dependent vertical velocity and moisture information.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Steady accretion of a rotating fluid

The accretion of rotating gas on to a gravitating object is investigated by means of a perturbation to the spherically symmetrical flow. An expression is found for the correction to the accretion rate due to rotation of the gas in terms of the boundary conditions far from the object. In the case of accretion from a cloud with uniform angular velocity, the gas is accreted preferentially from a 'jet' near the axis of rotation. The angular-momentum distribution in the cloud can be altered by the propagation of inertia waves.

Cassen, P.↗

High resolution far-infrared observations of the evolved H II region M16

A balloon-borne telescope was used to map NGC 6611, and three far-IR sources embedded in an extended ridge of emission were detected. It is found that Source I is an unresolved far-IR source, embedded in a molecular cloud, which despite the association of an H2O maser with its source does not exhibit radio continuum emissions. Far-IR sources II and III are associated with ionized gas-molecular cloud interfaces, with the far-IR radiation arising from dust at the boundary heated by the OB cluster. These observations are consistent with models of the later stages of evolution of an H II region.

Mcbreen, B.↗

Observations and implications of natural laminar flow on practical airplane surfaces

The results of natural laminar flow (NLF) experiments conducted by NASA to determine if modern aircraft structures can benefit from NLF as do sailplanes are presented. Seven aircraft, ranging from a Cessna 210 to a Learjet 28/29, with relatively stiff skins were flown in production configurations with no modifications. Measurements were made of the boundary-layer laminar to turbulent transition locations on various aerodynamic surfaces, the effect of a total loss of laminar flow, the effect of the propeller slipstream on the wing boundary-layer transition and the boundary-layer profiles, the wing section profile drag, the effect of flight through clouds, and insect debris contamination effects. Favorable pressure gradients for NLF were concluded to be feasible up to a transition Reynolds number of 11 million. Laminar flows were observed in propeller slipstreams, and insects were found to cause transition 1/4 of the time.

Holmes, B. J.↗

An ER-2 aircraft airborne lidar as part of the development program of a spaceborne system: A potential NASA/CNES cooperative project

A lidar system for atmospheric investigations to fly aboard a high altitude aircraft is introduced. Scientific objectives of the program are reviewed in terms of the expected accuracy and temporal and/or spatial resolution of measurements such as ozone vertical profiles in the troposphere and stratosphere, cirrus clouds studies, tropospheric and stratospheric aerosol monitoring and water vapor measurements in the boundary layer and at the troposphere stratosphere interface. The instrument is conceived as an autonomous, space qualified system as a first step towards a fully automated system for spaceborne applications.

Megie, G.↗

Statistical analysis and use of the VAS radiance data

Special radiosonde soundings at 75 km spacings and 3 hour intervals provided an opportunity to learn more about mesoscale data and storm-environment interactions. Relatively small areas of intense convection produce major changes in surrounding fields of thermodynamic, kinematic, and energy variables. The Red River Valley tornado outbreak was studied. Satellite imagery and surface data were used to specify cloud information needed in the radiative heating/cooling calculations. A feasibility study for computing boundary layer winds from satellite-derived thermal data was completed. Winds obtained from TIROS-N retrievals compared very favorably with corresponding values from concurrent rawisonde thermal data, and both sets of thermally-derived winds showed good agreements with observed values.

Fuelberg, H. E.↗

Finite amplitude gravity waves in the Venus atmosphere generated by surface topography

A two-dimensional, fully nonlinear, nonhydrostatic, gravity wave model is used to study the evolution of gravity waves generated near the surface of Venus. The model extends from near the surface to well above the cloud layers. Waves are forced by applying a vertical wind at the bottom boundary. The boundary vertical wind is determined by the product of the horizontal wind and the gradient of the surface height. When wave amplitudes are small, the near-surface horizontal wind is the zonally averaged basic-state zonal wind, and the length scales of the forcing that results are characteristic of the surface height variation. When the forcing becomes larger and wave amplitudes affect the near-surface horizontal wind field, the forcing spectrum becomes more complicated, and a spectrum of waves is generated that is not a direct reflection of the spectrum of the surface height variation. Model spatial resolution required depends on the amplitude of forcing; for very nonlinear cases considered, vertical resolution was 250 m, and horizontal resolution was slightly greater than 1 km. For smaller forcing amplitudes, spatial resolution was much coarser, being 1 km in the vertical and about 10 km in the horizontal. Background static stability and mean wind are typical of those observed in the Venus atmosphere.

Young, R. E.↗

Effects of precipitation on the thermodynamic structure of the trade wind boundary layer

A model of the thermodynamic structure of the trade wind boundary layer is formulated to include the parameterization of precipitation in relatively shallow clouds. Although the area-averaged simulated precipitation rates are relatively small (less than 1 mm/day), the inclusion of precipitation has an appreciable effect on the predicted thermodynamic structure. The cloud layer structure simulated with precipitation is warmer, drier, and more stable than that simulated without precipitation. The simulated inversion height is lowered by as much as 60 mbar when precipitation is included.

Albrecht, Bruce A.↗

Numerical Study of the Role of Shallow Convection in Moisture Transport and Climate

The objective of this investigation was to study the role of shallow convection on the regional water cycle of the Mississippi and Little Washita Basins of the Southern Great Plains (SGP) using a 3-D mesoscale model, the PSU/NCAR MM5. The underlying premise of the project was that current modeling of regional-scale climate and moisture cycles over the continents is deficient without adequate treatment of shallow convection. At the beginning of the study, it was hypothesized that an improved treatment of the regional water cycle can be achieved by using a 3-D mesoscale numerical model having high-quality parameterizations for the key physical processes controlling the water cycle. These included a detailed land-surface parameterization (the Parameterization for Land-Atmosphere-Cloud Exchange (PLACE) sub-model of Wetzel and Boone), an advanced boundary-layer parameterization (the 1.5-order turbulent kinetic energy (TKE) predictive scheme of Shafran et al.), and a more complete shallow convection parameterization (the hybrid-closure scheme of Deng et al.) than are available in most current models. PLACE is a product of researchers working at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, MD. The TKE and shallow-convection schemes are the result of model development at Penn State. The long-range goal is to develop an integrated suite of physical sub-models that can be used for regional and perhaps global climate studies of the water budget. Therefore, the work plan focused on integrating, improving, and testing these parameterizations in the MM5 and applying them to study water-cycle processes over the SGP. These schemes have been tested extensively through the course of this study and the latter two have been improved significantly as a consequence.

Seaman, Nelson L.↗