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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 901 records · Page 50

Capacity Investment under Bayesian Information Updates at Reporting Periods: Model and Application

We consider capacity addition decisions by a new product manufacturer faced with uncertain technology alternatives. The manufacturing capacity addition and technology development occurs in parallel, with preliminary results from a technology project's success providing valuable information to the manufacturer in adding capacity. We solve a stochastic dynamic program with Bayesian updates to obtain the manufacturer's expected profit‐maximizing capacity investment decision. Our model and applications are motivated by the Critical Materials Institute (CMI) (funded by the Department of Energy), which manages research projects focused on mitigating critical material constraints, vital to renewable energy technologies such as direct‐drive wind turbines, electric vehicles, and energy‐efficient lighting. We capture three unique aspects of the problem: first, the learning from project progress depends on task‐based stochastic outcomes and a project's percent‐done. Second, the underlying technology's profitability is based on a model of competition. Third, we evaluate the impact of progress across a portfolio of projects based on a manufacturer's capacity addition. We develop a heuristic that produces results that are close to optimal and can thus be used for large problem sizes. The managerial insights from an application of our model to CMI projects include: (i) technology projects that report the percent‐done of a project earlier increase expected manufacturer profit; (ii) careful choice of “safe bets,” that is, technologies with low profitability but a high probability of success, can increase expected manufacturer profit; (iii) a portfolio of projects can increase profits significantly over separate project evaluation; and (iv) dynamic management of project resources can increase overall profit.

Vedantam, Aditya↗

Multi-Physics Signature Field Experiment at LLNL's Site 300 (S300 FE): Atmospheric Sampling Technical Report

As a part of LLNL’s Local Venture’s field experiment (S300 FE), Site 300 was instrumented to determine the feasibility and methodology needed to detect an “atmospheric chemical signature” from an explosion. This objective was just one within a broader field campaign to collect multi-physics data for the Local Venture. LLNL leveraged two planned, above-ground shot events at B851’s open firing table in April 2017 which served as the explosive devices. Gas samples were taken using continuous in situ sensors and timed bag collection sampling. In situ collection of carbon monoxide (at the ppm level) was done with a Miran SapphIRe portable ambient air analyzer. The bag samples were taken using a “blue box” gas sampler. Collected bags were analyzed for multiple species using LLNL laboratory facilities. Observations of wind speed, direction, air pressure, air temperature, and relative humidity were taken at the Site 300 52 m tall meteorological tower.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Air Dispersion Modeling of Radioactive Releases During Proposed 236Z Rubble Pile Removal Activities

This report is part of the planning process for the removal of the 236Z rubble remaining as of January 1, 2018, at the Plutonium Finishing Plant (PFP) on the Hanford Site. This report documents an analysis considering standard techniques for the removal of demolition rubble. It does not document any decisions about the removal approaches. This document is intended to guide the establishment of a boundary for the application of an air monitoring regime. Atmospheric dispersion modeling using estimated release rates has been conducted to provide information on the location and levels of radioactive contamination that may be expected as the result of rubble removal activities. Hourly meteorological data collected over a 6-year period (2004–2009) were used to examine the effects of wind speed, direction, and stability on projected concentrations of contaminants in air and deposited on nearby surfaces. The source terms modeled in this report were based on the residual transuranic contamination levels that are anticipated to remain in the 236Z rubble following building demolition. The potential airborne concentrations were established using the five-factor formula from DOE-HDBK-3010 (DOE 1994) considering material-at-risk, damage ratio, airborne release fraction, respirable fraction, and leak path factor. Radioactive contamination emissions were calculated by release mechanism and rubble pile area for on-shift and off-shift activities. The emissions from the applicable sources were combined to provide emissions estimates for each day from each cleanup area. The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s (EPA’s) AERMOD computer code was used to estimate atmospheric dispersion and deposition of the released radioactive materials in the immediate vicinity of the planned rubble removal activities Both airborne and surface concentrations were modeled with AERMOD. Hourly derived air concentrations (DAC) were modeled for an array of receptors covering the rubble pile site and surrounding area. Peak (95th and 99th percentile) values of time-integrated air concentrations at these receptor points are derived from these hourly values, with modeling results reported as total incremental air concentrations in DAC-hours occurring over the selected time period. Total accumulated deposition amounts were also evaluated with AERMOD using the same array of receptors, with results reported as disintegrations per minute (dpm) per 100 cm2. Each rubble pile was considered in terms of its size, location, and estimated contamination levels. The modeling was based on the assumed sequence of the rubble removal activities. The results in this report are based on cleanup schedules and methods proposed by CHPRC. As of January 1, 2018, there are broadly three large rubble piles (west, footprint, and east) remaining of the 236Z Building process cell. It is assumed that the overall cleanup will require either 1) 30 days over a 6-week period, or 2) 60 days over a 12-week period. Work was assumed to be performed during 10-hour day shifts. The analysis shows that some releases of radioactive material are to be anticipated during the cleanup of the 236Z rubble piles. The modeling results presented here are closely tied to the details of how the rubble removal is to be conducted. The results indicate that for the rubble removal, the radiological exposures from the planned activities are predicted to be well below the designated limits for air and soil exposures. The cleanup of the 236Z main process cell rubble is expected to release some alpha-emitting radionuclides. However, results based on 6 years of hourly climatological data, two representative cleanup periods, realistic mitigating actions, and a bounding source term indicate that concentrations at the fence line of the PFP facilities should remain well below 12 DAC-hours/week. The results presented in this report are a reevaluation of a subset of the results presented in PNNL-20173 Rev. 4.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Boundary Layer Climatology at ARM Southern Great Plains

Operational since 1992, the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Southern Great Plains (SGP) site in Oklahoma, USA, has become a reference research site for meteorological studies. Because of an open data policy the ARM data are used by researchers all over the world. In this report, we review the long-term climatology of the atmospheric boundary layer, the SGP instrumentation, the site and some site-specific atmospheric conditions, which potentially affect wind turbines in the region. Because the atmospheric boundary layer is bounded and influenced by the land surface, observations of surface radiation components and heat fluxes are crucial to understanding land–atmosphere interactions. The entrainment of air, updrafts, downdrafts, and boundary layer height characteristics is needed for understanding the structure and growth of the atmospheric boundary layer. Therefore, measurements from both ground surface in situ and remote-sensing observations at the SGP site provide an overall climatology and their interactions from ground surface up to the boundary layer. Measurements from a 60 m meteorological tower, surface flux stations, disdrometers, soil temperature and moisture flux plates, coherent Doppler lidar, Raman lidar, radiosondes, and satellite data at the SGP central facility were analyzed. All the measurements were generally made within a few square kilometers of each other at the central facility. This report focuses on data from January 2010 to June 2020 at the SGP central facility. The various sections describe the ARM SGP site and surrounding wind turbines; in situ and remotesensing instrumentation used in the report; mathematical equations to analyze fluxes, turbulence, and other boundary layer parameters; a climatological analysis of surface winds, fluxes and thermodynamic parameters for several years; an analysis of observed winds in the framework of Monin-Obukhov Similarity Theory (MOST); an analysis of the boundary layer winds and direction from a Doppler lidar; multi-year turbulence estimates through the boundary layer from a Doppler lidar; atmospheric boundary layer water vapor and relative humidity profiles from Raman lidar; cloud base height and boundary layer height from multiple sensors and satellite data; and finally site-specific atmospheric conditions, such as nocturnal low-level jets.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Self-healable Copolymer Composites for Extended Service H 2 Dispensing Hoses

In this project, we designed, synthesized and fabricated using X-winder technologies precommercialized novel, self-healingable commodity copolymer fiber-reinforced composites to extend the H 2 hose service life beyond the current target of 1000 fills. These studies demonstrated that these composites are able to withstand over 25,000 damage-repair cycles, which was the main objective of the proposed project, in the temperature range of -40 to +80 °C under variable pressures. When micro-cracks are formed after about 1,000 cycles/fueling per hose in the inner composite layer, these micro-cracks self-heal, thus extending the lifetime of a prototype inner layer of the hose. These composites were tested by exposure to H 2 fuel and demonstrated the ability to recover from mechanical damage. Thermomechanical testing combined with analysis of the stress and strain fields across the cross-section of the inner layer composite hoses also identified the ring-like stresses on the edge of inner layers arising from changes of the fiber winding angle directions from +45° to -45°. The developed novel concept that self-healing commodity copolymers can be used in the development of prototype composites for the extended service of H 2 dispensing hoses will have major implications for other energy-related technologies, where the extended service life in harsh environments is expected. In this project, we optimized, validated, and demonstrated novel copolymer fiber-reinforced composites for H 2 dispensing hose applications, which can be utilized in future manufacturing using commodity materials. The estimated cost of materials (exluding labor) is in the range of < $1.0/ft.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Precipitation Meteorological Instruments (PRECIPMET) Handbook

The PRECIPMET surface meteorology instrument system provides temperature, relative humidity, pressure, wind speed and direction, and precipitation data relevant to the precipitation network instruments: laser disdrometer (PARS2) and radar wind profiler (RWP). The PRECIPMET is installed at the intermediate facilities (IF) of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)’s Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Southern Great Plains (SGP) atmospheric observatory. The instrument system consists of a Vaisala WXT520 weather transmitter and a 12”-diameter Novalynx tipping bucket rain gauge (TBRG). The WXT520 is mounted on top of the control building at a height of approximately 4 meters. The tipping bucket is mounted on a pole level with the surrounding fencing (approximately 2 meters) to prevent physical interference with the gauge.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Process-oriented evaluation of quasi-stationary Rossby waves and their impact on surface air temperature extremes in dynamical downscaling over North America

Quasi-stationary Rossby waves are a crucial component of the general circulation and play a significant role in regional water and energy cycles, as well as in extreme events. However, process-oriented evaluation for Rossby waves is rarely performed for dynamical downscaling simulations. To close this gap, we evaluate three classes of dynamical downscaling approaches, with a focus on quasi-stationary Rossby waves and their impact on surface air temperature over North America during Northern Hemisphere summer. The three classes of models differ in the way large-scale forcing is provided: a limited-area model (LAM) constrained only by lateral boundary conditions, represented by RegCM4 from the North American branch of the Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment (NA-CORDEX), a LAM with spectral nudging to maintain consistency in large-scale dynamics with the forcing data, represented by the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model simulation in NA-CORDEX, and a global variable-resolution model with smoothly varying grid spacings, represented by the Community Atmosphere Model version 5.4, with the Model for Prediction Across Scales (MPAS) as its dynamical core (CAM-MPAS). With no constraints on the atmospheric dynamics, CAM-MPAS exhibits several mean biases in the upper-level circulations over the Pacific Coast region: a weaker subtropical jet, a northward-shifted mid-latitude jet, and an overestimated southerly flow. With the lateral boundary constraint alone, RegCM4 also exhibits weaker jets and overestimated southerly winds off the West Coast. Rossby ray theory reveals that those wind biases direct incoming Rossby waves northward. The erroneously routed Rossby waves distort the relationship between the accumulation of wave activity over the US West Coast and surface temperature anomalies over the Southern Great Plains, which emerges approximately 4 d after the convergence of wave-activity flux in the ERA-Interim reanalysis. Furthermore, the response of heatwaves to the extreme wave activity flux is not reproduced by the two models, a serious drawback as a dynamical downscaling framework is expected to connect large-scale forcing to local-scale phenomena. The WRF model employing spectral nudging is largely free from the aforementioned problems. A pair of sensitivity simulations suggests that spectral nudging is the key to improving the dynamics of quasi-stationary Rossby waves and their impact on surface air temperature. Our results also demonstrate the effectiveness of Rossby wave diagnostics that allow for realistic background flows for assessing the credibility of dynamical downscaling over North America, where incoming Rossby waves propagate through complex circulation patterns before traveling across the continent.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

PyDDA: A Pythonic Direct Data Assimilation Framework for Wind Retrievals

This software assimilates data from an arbitrary number of weather radars together with other spatial wind fields (eg numerical weather forecasting model data) in order to retrieve high resolution three dimensional wind fields. PyDDA uses NumPy and SciPy’s optimization techniques combined with the Python Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Radar Toolkit (Py-ART) in order to create wind fields using the 3D variational technique (3DVAR). PyDDA is hosted and distributed on GitHub at https://github.com/openradar/PyDDA. PyDDA has the potential to be used by the atmospheric science community to develop high resolution wind retrievals from radar networks. These retrievals can be used for the evaluation of numerical weather forecasting models and plume modelling. This paper shows how wind fields from 2 NEXt generation RADar (NEXRAD) WSR-88D radars and the High Resolution Rapid Refresh can be assimilated together using PyDDA to create a high resolution wind field inside Hurricane Florence.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Soil Moisture Data for TRACER project (Houston, TX)

Three soil moisture and metrological data collection sites are located in the Houston, TX, area and collect data every 5 minutes. The data includes soil moisture, volumetric wate content, electrical conductivity of soil, soil temperature, rain precipitation, air temperature and other parameters. For real-time streaming of the data please visit the website: https://coastal.beg.utexas.edu/soilmoisture/#!/

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Reduced-Order Modeling of Hydrogen Releases from Vent Stacks and with Wind Effects

Here, the physical release behavior of hydrogen is important to understand from a safety and design perspective. The consequences of unignited pressurized gaseous hydrogen plumes exiting vent stacks were considered by extending and modifying existing general hydrogen plume models. Entrainment, vent stack backpressure, and the flow regime of hydrogen exiting the vent were found to be significant factors affecting plume shape and size, but further investigation and validation with unchoked, low-Froude-number flows is recommended to improve the model’s robustness. Additionally, models for the effects of wind on unignited plume momentum and entrainment were added to explore this behavior. Wind was assumed to increase mixing of hydrogen with the ambient air, and to affect the momentum of the released jet. Introducing wind into the plume model led to a shorter plume for all wind and jet directions. A high counter-flowing wind led to non-physical results and challenges in interpreting the visualization. The proposed jet plume wind sub-models (specifically entrainment coefficients) were fit and compared to experimental data of different releases of hydrogen into a wind tunnel, but the quantity of data available and experimental conditions were limited. Thus, collection of more empirical data and for a wider range of conditions is recommended for improvement of the proposed computational models. Developing reduced-order models for these physical phenomena can improve accessibility to predicted physical behavior and the rate at which hydrogen systems can be safely designed and deployed.

entrainment↗

Standard deviation of vertical two-point longitudinal velocity differences in the atmospheric boundary layer.

Statistical estimates of wind shear in the planetary boundary layer are important in the design of V/STOL aircraft, and for the design of the Space Shuttle. The data analyzed in this study consist of eleven sets of longitudinal turbulent velocity fluctuation time histories digitized at 0.2 sec intervals with approximately 18,000 data points per time history. The longitudinal velocity fluctuations were calculated with horizontal wind and direction data collected at the 18-, 30-, 60-, 90-, 120-, and 150-m levels. The data obtained confirm the result that Eulerian time spectra transformed to wave-number spectra with Taylor's frozen eddy hypothesis possess inertial-like behavior at wave-numbers well out of the inertial subrange.

Fichtl, G. H.↗