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At least 901 records · Page 50

DOWNWARD CATASTROPHE OF SOLAR MAGNETIC FLUX ROPES

2.5-dimensional time-dependent ideal magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) models in Cartesian coordinates were used in previous studies to seek MHD equilibria involving a magnetic flux rope embedded in a bipolar, partially open background field. As demonstrated by these studies, the equilibrium solutions of the system are separated into two branches: the flux rope sticks to the photosphere for solutions at the lower branch but is suspended in the corona for those at the upper branch. Moreover, a solution originally at the lower branch jumps to the upper, as the related control parameter increases and reaches a critical value, and the associated jump is here referred to as an upward catastrophe. The present paper advances these studies in three aspects. First, the magnetic field is changed to be force-free; the system still experiences an upward catastrophe with an increase in each control parameter. Second, under the force-free approximation, there also exists a downward catastrophe, characterized by the jump of a solution from the upper branch to the lower. Both catastrophes are irreversible processes connecting the two branches of equilibrium solutions so as to form a cycle. Finally, the magnetic energy in the numerical domain is calculated. It is found that there exists a magnetic energy release for both catastrophes. The Ampère's force, which vanishes everywhere for force-free fields, appears only during the catastrophes and does positive work, which serves as a major mechanism for the energy release. The implications of the downward catastrophe and its relevance to solar activities are briefly discussed.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

A consideration of atomic oxygen interactions with space station

A computer model is developed in order to calculate fluence for a generalized spacecraft in orbital flight based on mass spectrometer and incoherent scatter (MSIS) measurements of ambient density. The calculations are used to identify criteria for the selection of materials for the construction of an LEO Space Station. The model is generalized such that the surfaces for study can be oriented in any direction with respect to: a body coordinate system fixed to the spacecraft (E surfaces); and a solar inertial coordinate system. A parametric study was performed in order to evaluate the effects of altitude, inclination, and solar activity on atomic oxygen fluence. Values are obtained for samples of Mylar, Kevlar, Kapton, Tedlar, Teflon and sulfone, as well as for some ethylene polymers. The range of values for material reactivities is from 360 microns for ram-facing surfaces to 200 microns for solar power surfaces during each cycle of solar activity. The possibility of improving reactivity by employing certain chemical coatings is also discussed.

Leger, L. J.↗

Timing of solar cycles by rigid internal rotations

The so-called 11-year cycle of solar activity is really more complex and contains many periods of greatly different lengths. Periods as long as 178 years and as short as 3.1 years are predicted by a theory based on beats between rigidly rotating, inertially oscillating g-modes inside the sun. Most of the beat periods are then confirmed to about 1 percent accuracy in sunspot observations. Since the agreement is of high statistical significance, one can conclude that approximate alignment of major solar oscillation modes contributes to high solar activity. The theory receives further support when tested against an independent class of observations - the large-scale magnetic sector structure. Predicted rotation rates of at least four solar oscillation modes are detected in the sector data with discrepancies all less than 0.3 percent. As a by-product of these successful fits to observation, the mean rotation of the entire solar mass becomes known. Its rotation frequency is 4.49 by 10 to the -7th power Hz, which is a sidereal period of 25.8 days. Magnetic fields have played no role in calculating the length of any of these solar cycles.

Wolff, C. L.↗

Methods to Improve the Maintenance of the Earth Catalog of Satellites During Severe Solar Storms

The objective of this thesis is to investigate methods to improve the ability to maintain the inventory of orbital elements of Earth satellites during periods of atmospheric disturbance brought on by severe solar activity. Existing techniques do not account for such atmospheric dynamics, resulting in tracking errors of several seconds in predicted crossing time. Two techniques are examined to reduce of these tracking errors. First, density predicted from various atmospheric models is fit to the orbital decay rate for a number of satellites. An orbital decay model is then developed that could be used to reduce tracking errors by accounting for atmospheric changes. The second approach utilizes a Kalman filter to estimate the orbital decay rate of a satellite after every observation. The new information is used to predict the next observation. Results from the first approach demonstrated the feasibility of building an orbital decay model based on predicted atmospheric density. Correlation of atmospheric density to orbital decay was as high as 0.88. However, it is clear that contemporary: atmospheric models need further improvement in modeling density perturbations polar region brought on by solar activity. The second approach resulted in a dramatic reduction in tracking errors for certain satellites during severe solar Storms. For example, in the limited cases studied, the reduction in tracking errors ranged from 79 to 25 percent.

Wilkin, Paul G.↗

The sun is observed to be a torsional oscillator with a period of 11 years

Twelve years of full-disk Mount Wilson velocity data have been analyzed to study horizontal east-west motions. A torsional wave pattern with alternating latitude zones of slow and fast rotation is found, after subtracting a differentially rotating frame. Amplitudes of the flow pattern average about 3 m/s. It requires about 22 years for zones to drift from the poles, where they originate, to the equator, where they disappear. The pattern is symmetric about the equator. The zones representing the next solar cycle (No. 22) are seen now at high solar latitudes. Solar active regions are formed in a latitude strip centered on the boundary of fast- and slow-velocity zones. This pattern evidently represents a deep-seated circulation pattern and is the first evidence of the association of mass motions with large-scale characteristics of the solar activity cycle.

Howard, R.↗

Modeling and Observations of OH UV-emissions in the Lunar Exosphere

The discovery of water on the Moon has led to several questions about lunar water’s origin, evolution, and total amount. One of the technique used to better understand the origin of the water, notably by the NASA LADEE/UVS instrument, is the observation of OH fluorescence. However, to better interpret the data, it is important to understand the processes leading to that emission. We present an application of the Aeroplanets model to the simulation of the OH emissions from the solar fluorescence and the dissociation of H2O from photon and electron impact in function of the solar activity. We applied the model to several cases of Lunar exosphere affected or not by meteor impacts that are known to release water in the exosphere.We show how we can retrieve the amount of OH and H2O on the line of sight of the different instruments and how the solar activity can affect that retrieval.

Guillaume Gronoff↗

SUN-LIKE MAGNETIC CYCLES IN THE RAPIDLY ROTATING YOUNG SOLAR ANALOG HD 30495

A growing body of evidence suggests that multiple dynamo mechanisms can drive magnetic variability on different timescales, not only in the Sun but also in other stars. Many solar activity proxies exhibit a quasi-biennial (∼2 year) variation, which is superimposed upon the dominant 11 year cycle. A well-characterized stellar sample suggests at least two different relationships between rotation period and cycle period, with some stars exhibiting long and short cycles simultaneously. Within this sample, the solar cycle periods are typical of a more rapidly rotating star, implying that the Sun might be in a transitional state or that it has an unusual evolutionary history. In this work, we present new and archival observations of dual magnetic cycles in the young solar analog HD 30495, a ∼1 Gyr old G1.5 V star with a rotation period near 11 days. This star falls squarely on the relationships established by the broader stellar sample, with short-period variations at ∼1.7 years and a long cycle of ∼12 years. We measure three individual long-period cycles and find durations ranging from 9.6 to 15.5 years. We find the short-term variability to be intermittent, but present throughout the majority of the time series, though its occurrence and amplitude are uncorrelated with the longer cycle. These essentially solar-like variations occur in a Sun-like star with more rapid rotation, though surface differential rotation measurements leave open the possibility of a solar equivalence.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Solar Flare Activity from 2006 to 2016 according to Data from the PAMELA and ARINA Spectrometers

In the period from 2006 to 2016, experiments based on the use of the PAMELA and ARINA spectrometers and aimed at detecting cosmic rays were performed on board the RESURS-DK1 satellite. Although the main goal of these experiments was to study the galactic component of cosmic rays, the instruments in question also detected, over a broad energy range, solar particles accelerated in powerful explosive processes on the Sun (solar flares). A list of solar events in which the PAMELA and ARINA spectrometers detected, in various years of their operation, an increase in the intensities of fluxes of solar protons whose energies were above 45 MeV is presented among other things.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

A Major Solar Eruptive Event in July 2012: Defining Extreme Space Weather Scenarios

A key goal for space weather studies is to define severe and extreme conditions that might plausibly afflict human technology. On 23 July 2012, solar active region 1520 (approx. 141 deg W heliographic longitude) gave rise to a powerful coronal mass ejection (CME) with an initial speed that was determined to be 2500+/-500 km/s. The eruption was directed away from Earth toward 125 deg W longitude. STEREO-A sensors detected the CME arrival only about 19 h later and made in situ measurements of the solar wind and interplanetary magnetic field. In this paper, we address the question of what would have happened if this powerful interplanetary event had been Earthward directed. Using a well-proven geomagnetic storm forecast model, we find that the 23-24 July event would certainly have produced a geomagnetic storm that was comparable to the largest events of the twentieth century (Dst approx. - 500 nT). Using plausible assumptions about seasonal and time-of-day orientation of the Earth's magnetic dipole, the most extreme modeled value of storm-time disturbance would have been Dst= - 1182 nT. This is considerably larger than estimates for the famous Carrington storm of 1859. This finding has far reaching implications because it demonstrates that extreme space weather conditions such as those during March of 1989 or September of 1859 can happen even during a modest solar activity cycle such as the one presently underway. We argue that this extreme event should immediately be employed by the space weather community to model severe space weather effects on technological systems such as the electric power grid.

solar longitude↗

Bombs and Flares at the Surface and Lower Atmosphere of the Sun

A spectacular manifestation of solar activity is the appearance of transient brightenings in the far wings of the H α line, known as Ellerman bombs (EBs). Recent observations obtained by the Interface Region Imaging Spectrograph have revealed another type of plasma “bombs” (UV bursts) with high temperatures of perhaps up to 8 × 10{sup 4} K within the cooler lower solar atmosphere. Realistic numerical modeling showing such events is needed to explain their nature. Here, we report on 3D radiative magnetohydrodynamic simulations of magnetic flux emergence in the solar atmosphere. We find that ubiquitous reconnection between emerging bipolar magnetic fields can trigger EBs in the photosphere, UV bursts in the mid/low chromosphere and small (nano-/micro-) flares (10{sup 6} K) in the upper chromosphere. These results provide new insights into the emergence and build up of the coronal magnetic field and the dynamics and heating of the solar surface and lower atmosphere.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Latitudinal anisotropy of the solar far ultraviolet flux - Effect on the Lyman alpha sky background

An estimate is given for the anisotropy of the solar full disk flux in the far ultraviolet, as it would be observed for lines of sight within and above the ecliptic plane through the predominant influence of plages at low heliocentric latitudes. The flux anisotropy for Lyman alpha, at a level of solar activity with a sunspot number of roughly 160, is approximately 0.88 for the integrated flux over the Lyman alpha profile and 0.83 for the flux at line center. The effect of this Lyman alpha flux anisotropy on the Lyman alpha sky background intensity, resonantly backscattered from the local interstellar medium that is streaming through the solar system, is examined. It is concluded that the solar Lyman alpha anisotropy should be included in models of the interplanetary background during periods of moderate to high solar activity.

Cook, J. W.↗

Frequency spectra of short-period variations of cosmic ray

Frequency spectra for different periods of solar activity were calculated by 5-minutes data of a neutron super-monitor, (altitude 3340 m, cutoff rigidity is 6, 7 GV, counting rate is about 4.5.10 per hour). It was shown that shifting of the spectrum power from low-frequency range to high-frequency range takes place from minimum to maximum of the solar activity. It was reliably distinguished the peak with 160-minutes period coincided with the period of the Sun's atmosphere oscillation and some types of geomagnetic pulsation by the method of accumulation of the frequency spectra. It was conducted the comparison of cosmic ray spectra with spectra of geomagnetic field for the same point of the registration and at the same period.

Antonova, V. P.↗

Spectroscopy of Very Hot Plasma in Non-flaring Parts of a Solar Limb Active Region: Spatial and Temporal Properties

In this work we investigate the thermal structure of an off-limb active region (AR) in various non-flaring areas, as it provides key information on the way these structures are heated. In particular, we concentrate on the very hot component (>3 MK) as it is a crucial element to distinguish between different heating mechanisms. We present an analysis using Fe and Ca emission lines from both the Solar Ultraviolet Measurement of Emitted Radiation (SUMER) on board the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) and the EUV Imaging Spectrometer (EIS) on board Hinode. A data set covering all ionization stages from Fe x to Fe xix has been used for the thermal analysis (both differential emission measure and emission measure, EM). Ca xiv is used for the SUMER-EIS radiometric cross calibration. We show that the very hot plasma is present and persistent almost everywhere in the core of the limb AR. The off-limb AR is clearly structured in Fe xviii. Almost everywhere, the EM analysis reveals plasma at 10 MK (visible in Fe xix emission), which is down to 0.1% of EM of the main 3 MK plasma. We estimate the power-law index of the hot tail of the EM to be between −8.5 and −4.4. However, the question about the possible existence of a small minor peak at around 10 MK remains open. The absence in some part of the AR of the Fe xix and Fe xxiii lines (which fall into our spectral range) enables us to determine an upper limit on the EM at these temperatures. Our results include a new Ca xiv 943.59 Å atomic model.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

NEW EVIDENCE FOR CHARGE-SIGN-DEPENDENT MODULATION DURING THE SOLAR MINIMUM OF 2006 TO 2009

The PAMELA space experiment, in orbit since 2006, has measured cosmic rays (CRs) through the most recent period of minimum solar activity with the magnetic field polarity as A < 0. During this entire time, galactic electrons and protons have been detected down to 70 MV and 400 MV, respectively, and their differential variation in intensity with time has been monitored with unprecedented accuracy. These observations are used to show how differently electrons and protons responded to the quiet modulation conditions that prevailed from 2006 to 2009. It is well known that particle drifts, as one of four major mechanisms for the solar modulation of CRs, cause charge-sign-dependent solar modulation. Periods of minimum solar activity provide optimal conditions in which to study these drift effects. The observed behavior is compared to the solutions of a three-dimensional model for CRs in the heliosphere, including drifts. The numerical results confirm that the difference in the evolution of electron and proton spectra during the last prolonged solar minimum is attributed to a large extent to particle drifts. We therefore present new evidence of charge-sign-dependent solar modulation, with a perspective on its peculiarities for the observed period from 2006 to 2009.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Simulations of the gross solar magnetic field during sunspot cycle 21

Regarding new bipolar magnetic regions as sources of flux, the evolution of the radial component of the solar photospheric magnetic field during 1976-1984 has been simulated with a spatial resolution of about 34,000 km, and the corresponding evolution of its absolute value averaged over the visible disk is derived. For nominal values of the transport parameters, this simulated gross field is in close, though imperfect, agreement with the observed gross field and its associated indices of solar activity. By analyzing the response of the simulated gross field to variations in the transport parameters and the source properties, it is found that the simulated field originates in newly erupted bipolar regions. The lifetimes of these regions are almost always less than three mo. Consequently, the strength of the simulated gross field is a measure of the current level of solar activity, and any recurrent patterns with lifetimes in excess of six mo must reflect the continuing eruption of new flux at 'active longitudes' rather than the persistence of old flux in long-lived magnetic structures.

Sheeley, Neil R., Jr.↗

New results on the site of initiation of Cornal Mass Ejections (CMES), and an interpretation of observation of their interaction with streamers

In this paper it is shown that in some months of the phase of minimum solar activity 1985-1987 as many as (80-90)% of a total number of CMEs occur near belts of streamers with neutral line (NL), and only (10-20)% of them appear near belts of streamers without NL. (Streamers without NL separate regions in the corona with the same direction of radial fields of magnetic tubes originating from adjacent coronal holes). With increasing solar activity, the center of gravity of the number of emerging CMEs is shifting toward belts of steamers without NL and reaches over 80% of their total number in some months by the end of 1989. The CME position angle (PA) coincides, on average, with the angle of the portion of NL which straddles the CME. It is quite possible that this condition is satisfied not in the average but rigorously for each CME. The streamer observed on the limb does not disrupt if the CME in transit either only slightly overlaps with the streamer or lies at all outside it. If in the limb plane under consideration the steamer lies inside the CME, then it disrupts after CME passage.

Eselevich, V. G.↗

Observed variability in the Fraunhofer line spectrum of solar flux, 1975 - 1980

Over the five years double-pass spectrometer observations of the Sun-as-a-star revealed significant changes in line intensities. The photospheric component weakened linearly with time 0 to 2.3%. From a lack of correlation between these line weakenings and solar activity indicators like sunspots and plage, a global variation of surface properties is inferred. Model-atmosphere analysis suggests a slight reduction in the lower-photospheric temperature gradient corresponding to a 15% increase in the mixing length within the granulation layer. Chromospheric lines such as Ca II H and K, Ca II 8543 and the CN band head weaken synchronously with solar activity. Thus, the behavior of photospheric and chromospheric lines is markedly different, with the possibility of secular change for the former.

Livingston, W.↗

The Propulsive Small Expendable Deployer System (ProSEDS)

This Annual Report covers the following main topics: 1) Updated Reference Mission. The reference ProSEDS (Propulsive Small Expendable Deployer System) mission is evaluated for an updated launch date in the Summer of 2002 and for the new 80-s current operating cycle. Simulations are run for nominal solar activity condition at the time of launch and for extreme conditions of dynamic forcing. Simulations include the dynamics of the system, the electrodynamics of the bare tether, the neutral atmosphere and the thermal response of the tether. 2) Evaluation of power delivered by the tether system. The power delivered by the tethered system during the battery charging mode is computed under the assumption of minimum solar activity for the new launch date. 3) Updated Deployment Control Profiles and Simulations. A number of new deployment profiles were derived based on the latest results of the deployment ground tests. The flight profile is then derived based on the friction characteristics obtained from the deployment tests of the F-1 tether. 4) Analysis/estimation of deployment flight data. A process was developed to estimate the deployment trajectory of the endmass with respect to the Delta and the final libration amplitude from the data of the deployer turn counters. This software was tested successfully during the ProSEDS mission simulation at MSFC (Marshall Space Flight Center) EDAC (Environments Data Analysis Center).

Lorenzini, Enrico C.↗