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At least 901 records · Page 50

A Complex Systems Approach to More Resilient Multi-Layered Security Systems

In July 2012, protestors cut through security fences and gained access to the Y-12 National Security Complex. This was believed to be a highly reliable, multi-layered security system. This report documents the results of a Laboratory Directed Research and Development (LDRD) project that created a consistent, robust mathematical framework using complex systems analysis algorithms and techniques to better understand the emergent behavior, vulnerabilities and resiliency of multi-layered security systems subject to budget constraints and competing security priorities. Because there are several dimensions to security system performance and a range of attacks that might occur, the framework is multi-objective for a performance frontier to be estimated. This research explicitly uses probability of intruder interruption given detection (P I ) as the primary resilience metric. We demonstrate the utility of this framework with both notional as well as real-world examples of Physical Protection Systems (PPSs) and validate using a well-established force-on-force simulation tool, Umbra.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Improving Grid Resilience through Informed Decision-making (IGRID)

The transformation of the distribution grid from a centralized to decentralized architecture, with bi-directional power and data flows, is made possible by a surge in network intelligence and grid automation. While changes are largely beneficial, the interface between grid operator and automated technologies is not well understood, nor are the benefits and risks of automation. Quantifying and understanding the latter is an important facet of grid resilience that needs to be fully investigated. The work described in this document represents the first empirical study aimed at identifying and mitigating the vulnerabilities posed by automation for a grid that for the foreseeable future will remain a human-in-the-loop critical infrastructure. Our scenario-based methodology enabled us to conduct a series of experimental studies to identify causal relationships between grid-operator performance and automated technologies and to collect measurements of human performance as a function of automation. Our findings, though preliminary, suggest there are predictive patterns in the interplay between human operators and automation, patterns that can inform the rollout of distribution automation and the hiring and training of operators, and contribute in multiple and significant ways to the field of grid resilience.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Regional Resiliency Assessment Program Dependency Analysis Framework

The purpose of this report is to develop a common understanding and consistent analytic approach for evaluating critical infrastructure dependencies and interdependencies that will inform the programs of the U.S. Department of Homeland Security (DHS) Protective Security Coordination Division (PSCD). The framework outlined here prioritizes a need to tie together top-down and bottom-up analyses to produce a comprehensive “system of systems” view of dependencies and interdependencies that integrates the best available data. Examples of dependency and interdependency analyses from recent Regional Resiliency Assessment Program (RRAP) projects are included to illustrate practical applications of these concepts in support of infrastructure resilience.

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗

Applied Resiliency for More Trustworthy Grid Operation (ARMORE) (Final Technical Report)

Applied Resiliency for More Trustworthy Grid Operation (ARMORE) is an open-source software system that can perform inspection of network packets and alarm on communication that does not comply with the specified ARMORE policy. ARMORE can be configured to take action to block network traffic based on deep inspection of common substation communications protocols, such as the Distributed Network Protocol (DNP3). After validation for compliance with policy, ARMORE can encapsulate and encrypt legacy communications and resiliently transmit this information among ARMORE nodes (such as between the substation and the control center). Through this peer-based framework for secure information exchange, ARMORE provides the functionality to push secure, fault-tolerant real-time communication capabilities deeper into critical utility networks

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Gas-Electrical Grid Coordination for Cross Infrastructure Resilience Enhancement

An electric power grid is exceedingly faced with extreme events, such as physical attacks and natural disasters. In comparison, the underground natural gas pipeline-based transportation network is considered less vulnerable to such environmental threats. We consider that the overhead power transmissions can be hardened by replacing segments of electric power system with underground natural gas pipelines as an energy transportation system to counter effect extreme events which can damage interdependent infrastructures severely. This project investigates an extension of the power system planning problem considering extreme events and identifies the feasibility of solving this problem with advanced modeling and optimization methods. The proposed planning framework is formulated as a two-stage optimization problem. It is found that the integrated planning introduces the additional cost of pipeline planning and the operation constraints into the power system planning. However, gas pipelines are generally less exposed to extreme events, which can provide a more resilient power transmission for supplying the electrical loads. It is with this potential for enhancing the power grid resilience that the proposed integrated expansion of electricity and natural gas system is considered an optimal layout for the transportation of energy.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

System of Systems Model Development for Evaluating EMP Resilient Grid Mitigation Strategies

This Laboratory Directed Research and Development (LDRD) project focused on understanding the mathematical relationships that can be used in assessing the value of executing various EMP mitigation strategies on the grid. This is referred to as the EMP Resilient Grid Value Model. Because the range of mitigation strategies can contain widely differing characteristics (operational vs. technological), it is necessary to compute functions of many interrelated metrics at varying levels of fidelity that will be used to provide feedback as to the cost/benefit relationship of any proposed strategy. The value model is a hierarchical decomposition of a system of systems (SoS) model down to a grid circuit model. The model is intended to be suitable for use in subsequent decision support optimization for resilience to EMP events. The metric set goes beyond direct, technical impacts on the electrical grid to include ancillary impacts on dependent infrastructure and enterprise concerns (water, DoD, transportation, etc.).

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Development of an Urban Resilience Analysis Framework with Application to Norfolk, VA

The same water that makes Norfolk, Virginia an ideal home for international ports and naval installations is also increasingly flooding large parts of the city and the surrounding Hampton Roads region. This report describes the development of a process to analyze the resilience of urban regions to the shocks and stresses that those cities care about, and applies this process to address flooding in Norfolk and Hampton Roads. The goal is to provide Norfolk city officials and regional asset owners with actionable information to plan the infrastructure improvements that will most greatly enhance the regions resilience to flooding. Results suggest that there are wide - ranging impacts of a major acute flooding event beyond the Hampton Roads region. A single four - day, 100 - year flood event in Hampton Roads would cause on the order of $355 - 606 million in detrimental impacts to global production, with greater impacts occurring in the future as net sea levels rise. This report highlights the infrastructure behaviors, interdependencies, and the economic analyses that determine these impacts.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

The Use of Embedded Electric Grid Storage for Resilience, Operational Flexibility, and Cyber-Security

In recent years, bulk energy storage has been applied to electric power systems as an auxiliary device for the support of grid reliability via grid services. This approach is useful but only extracts value from storage on a marginal basis because grid services involve only a tiny fraction of the power flowing in a grid. While storage is flexible enough to perform many services, assessing its value on a stacked-services basis obscures its real value: storage is a buffer for electric energy flows. All of its capabilities stem from this one fundamental property. Limiting storage to use as an ancillary services device leaves this primary value untapped. The real value of storage is as a means to provide a key characteristic missing from power grids: the ability to absorb stresses with little or no loss of performance – the essence of resilience. Storage applied systematically throughout the grid can provide the missing “shock absorber” springiness that the grid is missing. To provide this value, storage must be incorporated into the grid as core infrastructure and must be deeply integrated into grid operations. Doing so will provide far-reaching benefits to users of electricity at all levels, including vastly increased system resilience, expanded system operational flexibility, support for critical lifeline functions during critical events, and even improved cyber security.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Water Network Tool for Resilience (WNTR). User Manual, Version 0.2.3

The Water Network Tool for Resilience (WNTR, pronounced winter) is a Python package designed to simulate and analyze resilience of water distribution networks. Here, a network refers to the collection of pipes, pumps, valves, junctions, tanks, and reservoirs that make up a water distribution system. WNTR has an application programming interface (API) that is flexible and allows for changes to the network structure and operations, along with simulation of disruptive incidents and recovery actions. WNTR is based upon EPANET, which is a tool to simulate the movement and fate of drinking water constituents within distribution systems. Users are encouraged to be familiar with the use of EPANET and/or should have background knowledge in hydraulics and pressurized pipe network modeling before using WNTR. EPANET has a graphical user interface that might be a useful tool to facilitate the visualization of the network and the associated analysis results. Information on EPANET can be found at https://www.epa.gov/water-research/epanet. WNTR is compatible with EPANET 2.00.12 [Ross00]. In addition, users should have experience using Python, including the installation of additional Python packages. General information on Python can be found at https://www.python.org/.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Federal Energy Management Program’s Technical Resilience Navigator: Communications Plan

The Federal Energy Management Program is working to develop a standard, agency-neutral energy and water technical resilience navigator (TRN) to assist federal agencies with their resilience planning efforts, building on agency-expressed needs. The TRN Communications Plan defines how the project team and FEMP will generate awareness of the TRN, recruit validators, encourage its use across federal agencies, increase awareness among various audiences, and solicit user feedback on its usefulness including suggestions for improvement. In support of this purpose, the communications plan characterizes the key audiences, messages, communications channels, and activities needed to help ensure success. The role of communications is to define strategy and ensure leadership and consistency in messaging, writing, outreach, media relations, editing, and design related to the TRN.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Summary of Preliminary Concepts for a Port of Alaska Resilient Microgrid

The Port of Alaska in Anchorage enables the economic vitality of the Municipality of Anchorage and State of Alaska. It also provides significant support to defense activities across Alaska, especially to the Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson (JBER) that is immediately adjacent to the Port. For this reason, stakeholders are interested in the resilience of the Ports operations. This report documents a preliminary feasibility analysis for developing an energy system that increases electric supply resilience for the Port and for a specific location inside JBER. The project concept emerged from prior work led by the Municipality of Anchorage and consultation with Port stakeholders. The project consists of a microgrid with PV, storage and diesel generation, capable of supplying electricity to loads at the Port a specific JBER location during utility outages, while also delivering economic value during blue-sky conditions. The study aims to estimate the size, configuration and concept of operations based on existing infrastructure and limited demand data. It also explores potential project benefits and challenges. The report goal is to inform further stakeholder consultation and next steps.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Overview of Preliminary Concepts for a Port of Alaska Resilient Microgrid

The Port of Alaska in Anchorage enables the economic vitality of the Municipality of Anchorage and State of Alaska. It also provides significant support to defense activities across Alaska, especially to the Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson (JBER) that is immediately adjacent to the Port. For this reason, stakeholders are interested in the resilience of the Ports operations. This report documents a preliminary feasibility analysis for developing an energy system that increases electric supply resilience for the Port and for a specific location inside JBER. The project concept emerged from prior work led by the Municipality of Anchorage and consultation with Port stakeholders. The project consists of a microgrid with PV, storage and diesel generation, capable of supplying electricity to loads at the Port a specific JBER location during utility outages, while also delivering economic value during blue-sky conditions. The study aims to estimate the size, configuration and concept of operations based on existing infrastructure and limited demand data. It also explores potential project benefits and challenges. The report goal is to inform further stakeholder consultation and next steps.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

A Hybrid Approach to Estimating the Economic Value of Enhanced Power System Resilience

The costs that power interruptions impose on customers and society have emerged as essential considerations for decision making about power system reliability and resilience. There is well-established literature on the direct costs of localized and relatively short-duration power interruptions. However, far less is known about the costs of widespread and long-duration (WLD) power interruptions, especially the indirect costs and related economy-wide impacts of these events. As a result, utility planning activities generally incorporate these costs incompletely or not at all. This report proposes a new approach to estimating WLD power interruption costs to support utility resilience planning studies. Specifically, the paper describes a hybrid method that integrates: (1) empirical surveys of region- and sector-specific inherent and adaptive customer behaviors during and after power interruptions, and (2) computable general equilibrium (CGE) modeling, which estimates the direct and indirect impacts of WLD power interruptions. The report provides both a rationale for the proposed hybrid approach and a roadmap outlining how it could be implemented.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Enhancing Resilience of Urban Systems Against Climate-Induced Floods Using Advanced Data-Driven and Computing Techniques: A Driver-Pressure-State-Impact-Response (DPSIR) Framework

Focal Area: This white paper proposes advanced data-driven and computing techniques to improve the predictability of extreme climate events (precipitation) and focuses on comprehending their impact dynamics to enhance resilience of urban systems. Science Challenge: In urban systems, climate change has presented significant challenges related to accurate spatiotemporal prediction of extreme climate events (heavy precipitation) and their impacts, i.e. flooding. The occurrence of extreme climate events and their compounding repercussions on the built environment make urban systems increasingly more vulnerable. The interactions between extreme climate events, urban systems, and the corresponding impacts are irregular, non-linear, and dynamic, making it difficult to standardize resilience. As it stands, the management of complex urban systems is affected by uncertainties related to the nature of short- and long-term consequences caused by extreme events.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Converter-Interfaced CHP Plant for Improved Grid-Integration, Flexibility and Resiliency

GE Research and its partner GE Renewables have proposed the use of an interface converter solution to increase the penetration of small to medium-sized CHP (1MWe to 20MWe) into distribution grids and improve their flexibility and grid support capability. Indeed, the proposed interface converter solution thanks to presence of the grid-ready inverter, allows to streamline the compliance to grid codes requirements, reduce the interconnection delays and costs and ultimately one of the main barriers for CHP adoption by commercial and industrial facilities. An additional benefit provided by the interface converter is the use of the grid-ready inverter for reactive power which eliminates the need of sizing the generator for that capability. These two benefits highly favor the economic feasibility of converter-interfaced CHP. Five user cases, each in one of the leading U.S states for CHP potential reported by the DOE in its estimation of the U.S Technical Potential of CHP, were selected to compare the economic performances of converter-interfaced CHP as compared with directly-coupled. They include a college campus in California, a hospital in New York, a water reclamation plant in Texas, a hotel in Minnesota, and a large office building in Pennsylvania. Results showed that, the presence of the interface converter allows to increase the return on investment (ROI) by 0.5 to 2 percentage points in most of the cases (4 of 5). Indeed, the interface converter by shortening the interconnection process allows to accelerate revenues while reducing interconnection costs. Added to the reduced cost of the required generator these savings trade favorably the capital cost of the converter. The analysis also showed that the profitability of the converter-interfaced CHP is highly sensitive to the energy price, interconnection delay, and converter cost. However, it appears that if the interface converter can shorten the interconnection process by at least 6 months, adopting this solution will be more economically viable than directly-coupled configuration in almost all the +23,000 sites of the U.S Technical Potential CHP. The evaluation of the benefits of a converter-interfaced CHP also showed that it enables higher ROI when coupled with other distributed energy resources (DER) such as battery energy systems (BESS) or solar photovoltaic (PV). Indeed, in those scenario, the grid-ready inverter included in the interface converter eliminates the need of separate inverters if DC-coupling is used. On the technical performance, it has been verified that the presence of the interface converter allows to reduce by 70% to 80% the CHP short-circuit contribution to grid faults. This not only reduces the mechanical and thermal stresses exposed to the CHP electrical components but also increases the grid hosting capacity which ultimately enables higher penetrations CHP. Another key benefit of the interface converter validated with hardware-in-the-loop simulations and testing is its superior capability for reactive power support. Indeed, using a power hardware testbed with two +700kW inverters configured in back-to-back, a microgrid controller and actual facilities loads it was demonstrated that the presence of the interface converter can help maintain a power factor near ~1 or regulate the voltage to ~1.0pu at the point of common coupling. This benefit can be highly valuable if in the future, due to higher penetration of renewable distributed energy resources (DER), utilities start billing demand charge based on kVA instead of kW as currently. It was also validated that converter-interfaced CHP can dispatch heat and power commands and seamlessly switch between the two modes while consistently controlling the power factor or voltage at PCC. Indeed, the power hardware testing showed that grid-connected converter-interfaced CHP can follow either the power or heat demand while maintaining a unity power factor at converter output. This research proved that the adoption of an interface converter as the solution for interconnection of CHP system into the distribution grid can greatly improve the economic feasibility of small to medium-sized CHP as well as the plant power quality, flexibility and resiliency. Additionally, it allows increased penetrations of CHP into the distribution grid, extends their grid support capability, and facilitates the integration of BESS and PV DER by streamlining their collocation within the same facilities. This ultimately provides an opportunity for commercial and small industrial facilities in the U.S to accelerate their energy transition thanks to the high energy efficiency of CHP systems and its reliable, flexible, and resilient microgrid operation when interconnected with an interface converter.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Makah Tribe Climate Assessment, Adaptation, and Resilience Planning

Our aim was to develop a Climate Adaptation and Resilience Plan through gathering community input through personal interviews and individual surveys, building from our Climate Impacts Assessment work completed in 2018. This project has collected traditional, cultural, and local knowledge to support the ongoing multi-departmental environmental planning processes of the Makah Tribe. This information was then used to identify specific human wellbeing indicators to inform and enhance Makah tribal policy, management, and decision-making processes. Combined our tribal environmental planning to include the work of the Tribal Resilience Work Group (TRWG) and Oil Spill Work Group (OSWG), which relied on publicly available Western science-based data. While this information provided a strong basis for tribal environmental planning, it does not capture the unique traditional, cultural needs, and local knowledge and tribal voices of the Makah community.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Optimization Framework for Solar Energy Integrated Resilient Distribution Grid

The increasing penetration of distributed photovoltaic (PV) energy and other distributed energy resources (DERs) such as energy storage batteries, diesel generators, and mobile generators deployed in distribution grids must be properly controlled and coordinated to ensure reliable, resilient, and affordable grid operation in response to various operating conditions. Particularly, weather-induced power outages, such as natural disasters, are among the most common causes of power supply interruptions for distribution grid operations [E-1]. Distributed PV and DERs feature advanced grid supporting capabilities and can potentially enhance power supply continuity during and after extreme weather events. To leverage PV and other DERs to provide resilience benefits while ensuring operational and economic feasibility, distribution grids must be carefully designed, proactively managed, and safely operated through a comprehensive framework.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗