Solving inverse problems for process-structure linkages using asynchronous parallel Bayesian optimization.
Abstract not provided.
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Abstract not provided.
Presentation delivered at 2023 Foundations of Computer-Aided Process Operations (FOCAPO) and Chemical Process Control (CPC) conference.
This conference paper was presented at the 2023 FOCAPO/CPC conference.
This presentation was delivered at the 2022 INFORMS Annual Meeting.
Abstract not provided.
In large and complex systems, operational decision-making requires a systematic analysis with a vast amount of data from both process parameters and component status monitoring. In this paper, we present an integrated artificial reasoning approach for system state transition models that can help operational decision-making with explainable and traceable reasoning. The integrated artificial reasoning framework is a physics-based approach of defining the system structure in a Bayesian network, so we leveraged it in a Markov decision process (MDP) for finding optimal operational solutions. In our proposed framework, the MDP is implemented on a dynamic Bayesian network (DBN), which represents causalities in a system. The multilevel flow modeling was utilized in order to extract these causalities in a more efficient and objective manner. Since multilevel flow modeling is based on the fundamental energy and mass conservation laws, the target system is decomposed into several mass, energy, and information structures, which serve as the basis for a DBN. The MDP consists of the processes of finding a solution for the Bellman equation, which can be derived from the conditional probability equations of the constructed DBN. System operators can capture stochastic system dynamics as multiple subsystem state transitions based on their physical relations and uncertainties coming from the component degradation process or random failures. We analyzed a simplified example system to illustrate finding an optimal operational policy with this approach.
O-type layered oxide cathode materials can be easily synthesized for a full sodium stoichiometry with high specific capacity, but they all suffer from a capacity fade on cycling. The sintering process control and optimization are critical to ensure a high quality and consistency of the prepared cathode materials with stable structure. Herein, in situ high-energy X-ray diffraction (HEXRD) was first employed to investigate the phase evolution of the oxides during the sintering process of O3-type NaNi 1/3 Fe 1/3 Mn 1/3 O 2 . The in situ HEXRD and both operando Bragg coherent diffraction (BCXD) and coherent multicrystal diffraction (CMCD) were utilized to investigate the phase transformation of the cathode materials during the sodiation/desodiation process. A composite structure comprised of O-type and P-type oxides was formed after the initial electrochemical activation of the cathode material, resulting in good structural and electrochemical stability. This finding implies that strain engineering can be a new design philosophy for the development of next generation high-performance sodium ion cathodes.
With the increasing concern due to climate change caused by a higher atmospheric concentration of CO 2 and other greenhouse gases, reducing environmental impact is becoming more important for every part of society. Manufacturing is responsible for a significant amount of energy/material consumption and environmental burden and, therefore, has a great opportunity to reduce its impact through green manufacturing. Green manufacturing presents opportunities across the manufacturing enterprise to increase the efficient usage of energy and material resources. These opportunities include designing products to consume fewer materials and energy during manufacturing and use, incorporating more efficient manufacturing processes, streamlining and optimizing manufacturing schedules and plans, and circularizing products. The goal of this paper will be to provide a perspective from the authors on the opportunities that exist within green manufacturing for discrete products through a review of pertinent topics and future directions. The paper will focus on processes, manufacturing equipment, manufacturing systems, recovering value at a product’s end-of-life, and additional thoughts that include metrics and indicators, techno-economic assessment, and a discussion of efficiency and effectiveness. Key findings from this review include a need for social indicators and renewable energy considerations in scheduling and process planning, integrating Industry 4.0 into circular economy along with social and institutional dimensions, consistency in the ability to measure and conceptualize metrics and indicators, a detailed evaluation of the life cycle impacts and cost of Addit Manuf, and more human and environment-oriented considerations for smart manufacturing.
The global automotive industry sprayed over 2.6 billion liters of paint in 2018, much of which through electrostatic rotary bell atomization, a highly complex process involving the fluid mechanics of rapidly rotating thin films tearing apart into micrometer-thin filaments and droplets. Coating operations account for 65% of the energy usage in a typical automotive assembly plant, representing 10,000s of gigawatt-hours each year in the United States alone. Optimization of these processes would allow for improved robustness, reduced material waste, increased throughput, and significantly reduced energy usage. Here, we introduce a high-fidelity mathematical and algorithmic framework to analyze rotary bell atomization dynamics at industrially relevant conditions. Our approach couples laboratory experiment with the development of robust non-Newtonian fluid models; devises high-order accurate numerical methods to compute the coupled bell, paint, and gas dynamics; and efficiently exploits high-performance supercomputing architectures. These advances have yielded insight into key dynamics, including i) parametric trends in film, sheeting, and filament characteristics as a function of fluid rheology, delivery rates, and bell speed; ii) the impact of nonuniform film thicknesses on atomization performance; and iii) an understanding of spray composition via primary and secondary atomization. These findings result in coating design principles that are poised to improve energy- and cost-efficiency in a wide array of industrial and manufacturing settings.
The objectives of this project were to develop new sample environments, measurement methodologies and associated modeling tools for characterizing the structural response to arbitrarily complex processing flows using small angle scattering, and to apply these new tools for understanding the fundamental physics governing the structuring of anisotropic particulate and polymeric materials under flow histories and conditions relevant to industrial processing flows. The research resulted in the development and implementation of a new sample environment, the fluidic four roll mill (FFoRM), for in situ small angle neutron and X-ray scattering (SANS/SAXS) measurements. These measurements are capable of generating large data sets that “fingerprint” how a complex fluid responds to a wide range of flow histories involving time variations in deformation type and rate. New modeling tools were developed to extract detailed microstructural information from such data sets, including orientation distribution functions and interparticle correlation functions, as well as reduced-order parametric descriptors of these high-dimensional functions that can be used to readily map, visualize and interpret a fluid’s structural response to its flow history. These new tools were applied to a range of model materials involving elongated particle suspensions in order to provide new insights into the physics of how flow couples with orientational and structural order in complex flows, particularly under non-dilute conditions for which no accurate theories currently exist. Using these investigations, we elucidated a number of new insights into the fundamental phenomena driving such process-structure-property relationships. These findings provide guidance for the further development of rheological models, and ultimately can inform the rational and model-based design of flow processes to achieve optimized orientational ordering that is key to the properties and function of a wide range of energy-relevant materials.
Selective laser melting (SLM) is a prominent metal additive manufacturing (AM) capable of processing a myriad of engineering materials with high precision and design freedom. However, similar to other AM processes, poor surface finishing has been an omnipresent problem in SLM technology. In this study, magnetic field assisted finishing (MAF) was used to finish SLM fabricated oxide dispersion strengthened (ODS) MA956, an iron-chromium-aluminum alloy. The effect of laser processing parameters on part density and surface roughness was first studied. Using a multi-objective optimization technique, the optimal parameters to obtain the highest density and lowest surface roughness were determined. Finally, MAF was applied to the parts built with the obtained optimal SLM parameters, but without significant improvement on the surfaces of as-printed samples. Hence, the surfaces of as-printed samples were post-processed (ground) to yield better initial surface conditions prior to MAF. The effect of initial roughness, iron particles size, and abrasive size on MAF performance was studied. Initial roughness had the most dominant effect followed by abrasive size. The underlying mechanism behind the dependency on initial roughness on final surface quality was analyzed by studying the change on the surface profiles with different starting initial roughness. The initial roughness required for MAF to be effective was determined. In conclusion, using the optimal processing conditions, MAF was applied to the post-processed samples to attain the final average surface roughness (R a ) as little as 0.36 μm starting from initial average roughness (R a ) of 1.53 μm.
Rapid decarbonization is fast becoming the primary environmental and sustainability initiative for many economic sectors. Industry consumes more than 30 % of all primary energy in the United States and accounts for nearly 25 % of all greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. More than 70 % of energy consumed by the industrial sector is related to thermal processes, which are also the largest contributors of carbon emissions, overwhelmingly due to the combustion of fossil fuels. Thermal process intensification (TPI) seeks to dramatically improve the energy performance of thermal systems through technology pillars focusing on alternative energy sources and processes, supplemental technologies, and waste heat management. The impacts of TPI have significant overlap with the goals of industrial decarbonization (ID) that seeks to phase out all GHG emissions from industrial activities. Emerging supplemental technologies such as smart manufacturing (SM) and the industrial internet of things (IoT) enable significant opportunities for the optimization of manufacturing processes. Combining strategies for TPI and ID with SM and IoT can open and enhance existing opportunities for saving time and energy via approaches such as tighter control of temperature zones, better adjustment of thermal systems for variations in production levels and feedstock properties, and increased process throughput. Data collected by smart processes will also enable new advanced solutions such as digital twins and machine learning algorithms to further improve thermal system savings. Herein, this paper examines the individual pathways of TPI, ID, and SM and how the combination of all three can accelerate energy and GHG reductions.
Cyberphysical attacks on the digital backbone of Additive Manufacturing (AM) can compromise the printed part’s functionality. They can alter features in the digital geometry to introduce geometric defects (e.g., missing fillets) or alter process parameters to create local defects (e.g., voids). Addressing the downtime, waste, and quality deterioration associated with existing solutions requires operational resilience, i.e., rapid elimination or disruption of defect formation (to retain part function) without production stoppage or part disposal (to retain yield). This need is unmet due to the inherently unpredictable nature of attack-induced alterations, lack of access to the original geometric model for identification of altered geometric features, and in-process imposition of unknown process dynamics via attack-driven alteration of real-time-uncontrolled (or exogenous) parameters. This work establishes the above-mentioned operational resilience for the first time by creating two Digital Twins (DT). The Geometric DT (Geo-DT) is based on a unique physical-field-driven soft sensor and topology optimization method. The Process Digital Twin (Pro-DT) combines local defect quantification with a novel Reinforcement Learning formulation and training method. The importance of these methodological advances and the scalability of our approach are examined on a real AM testbed. It is shown that Geo-DT can correct geometric defects without access to the original digital geometry or explicit knowledge of attack-altered geometric features. Further, Pro-DT can accelerate real-time disruption of local defects despite attack-driven imposition of unknown process dynamics. We discuss how our framework goes beyond the contemporary focus on pre-attack security and in-attack detection towards resilience for AM and beyond.
Qualifying large-scale metal additive manufacturing (M-AM) technologies such as wire arc additive manufacturing (WAAM) can be challenging. This is especially significant in precipitation hardened martensitic stainless steels like SS 17-4PH, where thermal histories induce location-specific microstructural variability and property anisotropy. The Department of Defense (DOD) and the United States Army Combat Capabilities Development Command Ground Vehicle Systems Center (GVSC) Ground Vehicle Materials Engineering (GVME) aim to build robust and qualified large-scale M-AM workflows that could reduce the time and cost through quick and informed evaluation, testing, and development of feedstock, processes, and parts. The report presents the findings from the collaborative efforts between Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) and the U.S. Army GVSC GVME. The aim of this project was to develop a geometric feature-based qualification framework for WAAM of SS 17-4PH components. This report outlines selection methodology of representative build geometries, optimization of WAAM process parameters, in-situ monitoring, microstructure-property evaluation, thermal simulations, as well as data visualization techniques incorporated in this project. The results from this project demonstrate a clear understanding of thermal history dependent phase evolution and consequent location-specific property variations in WAAM of SS 17-4PH. These results in conjunction with the data-driven methodologies used in this project are expected to reduce qualification timelines, improve predictability, and accelerate the development of reliable feature-based qualification strategies for part production via large-scale M-AM technologies.
Photonic curing (PC) can facilitate high-speed perovskite solar cell (PSC) manufacturing because it uses high-intensity light pulses to crystallize perovskite films in milliseconds. However, optimizing PC conditions is challenging due to its many variables, and using power conversion efficiency (PCE) as the optimization metric is both time-consuming and labor-intensive. This work presents a machine learning (ML) approach to optimize PC conditions for fabricating methylammonium lead iodide (MAPbI 3 ) films by quantitatively comparing their ultraviolet-visible (UV-vis) absorbance spectra to thermal annealed (TA) films using four similarity metrics. We perform Bayesian optimization coupled with Gaussian process regression (BO-GP) to minimize the similarity metrics. Refining PC conditions using active learning based on BO-GP models, we achieve a PC MAPbI3 film with an absorbance spectrum closely matching a TA reference film, which is further verified by its crystalline and morphological properties. Thus, we demonstrate that the UV-vis absorption spectrum can accurately proxy film quality. Additionally, we use an AI-based segmentation model for a more efficient grain size analysis. However, when we use the optimized PC condition to fabricate PSCs, we find that interaction between MAPbI 3 and the hole transport layer (HTL) during PC critically degrades the PSC performance. By adding a buffer layer between the HTL and MAPbI 3 , the optimized PC PSCs produce a champion PCE of 11.8%, comparable to the TA reference of 11.7%. Using UV-vis similarity metrics instead of device PCE as the objective in our BO-GP method accelerates the optimization of PC processing conditions for MAPbI 3 films.
A transparent conductive adhesive (TCA) interlayer for mechanically stacked multijunction solar cells provides adhesive strength and electrical connection between sub-cells when stacked. The fabrication of TCA sheets from an ethyl-vinyl acetate (EVA) matrix and silver coated compliant conductive microspheres, similar to industry-standard EVA encapsulant sheets, compatible with a standard lamination process was developed. Blade coating TCA sheets using 3D printed blades and testing of vertical conduction through the interlayer with a TCA conductivity jig allowed for reproducible measurements and low-cost fabrication. The supplemental information provides design files to enable other researchers to produce their own blades and testing jigs. We identified 0.5 mm as an optimal blade height for producing lab-scale TCA sheets and 120 °C at 3 psi for 10 min as the optimal vacuum lamination process to minimize resistance and possible damage to samples. For TCA sheets with coverages between 0.75% and 9%, the series resistance was approximately 0.2 O cm2 which should result in minimal losses for one-sun photovoltaic applications.
The goal of this final project report is to comprehensively summarize the work conducted on project FP-00006194. In accordance with the Project Management Plan (PMP) revised May 2019, and Statement of Project Objectives (SOPO) within, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), with industrial partners such as Mosaic Materials, Svante, and Electricore, as well as CCSI 2 , has developed a cost-effective post-combustion CO 2 capture system using diamineappended metal–organic frameworks (MOFs). This project involved (i) synthesis and characterization of framework materials that exhibit a switch-like CO 2 adsorption behavior, (ii) scaling-up of MOF production, development of production cost models, and fabrication of materials, and (iii) deployment of materials in a patented VeloxoTherm process and characterization to optimize the material’s performance in the context of real process streams and conditions. During each of the four project budget periods, the project team met Success Criteria for Year 1 to 3; however, because of the decision to halt the project in Q1 2021, Success Criteria for Year 4 were not achieved.
Future nuclear fuel cycle facilities will see a significant benefit from considering materials accountancy requirements early in the design process. The Material Protection, Accounting, and Control Technologies (MPACT) working group is demonstrating Safeguards and Security by Design (SSBD) for a notional electrochemical reprocessing facility as part of a 2020 Milestone. The idea behind SSBD is to consider regulatory requirements early in the design process to provide more optimized systems and avoid costly retrofits later in the design process. Safeguards modeling, using single analyst tools, allows the designer to efficiently consider materials accountancy approaches that meet regulatory requirements. However, safeguards modeling also allows the facility designer to go beyond current regulations and work toward accountancy designs with rapid response and lower thresholds for detection of anomalies. This type of modeling enables new safeguards approaches and may inform future regulatory changes. The Separation and Safeguards Performance Model (SSPM) has been used for materials accountancy system design and analysis. This paper steps through the process of designing a Material Control and Accountancy (MC&A) system, presents the baseline system design for an electrochemical reprocessing facility, and provides performance metrics from the modeling analysis. The most critical measurements in the electrochemical facility are the spent fuel input, electrorefiner salt, and U/TRU product output measurements. Finally, material loss scenario analysis found that measurement uncertainties (relative standard deviations) for Pu would need to be at 1% (random and systematic error components) or better in order to meet domestic detection goals or as high as 3% in order to meet international detection goals, based on a 100 metric ton per year plant size.