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At least 901 records · Page 50

Improved Few-group Homogenized Cross-section Sensitivity Analysis for Lattice Physics Calculation

In the conventional reactor physics 'two-step' calculation scheme, lattice-physics calculation is followed by core calculation using neutron diffusion theory. The few-group spatially homogenized cross-sections are the outputs of the lattice-physics calculation as well as the inputs of the core calculation. The uncertainties of fundamental nuclear data will be propagated to the core calculation results through few-group spatially homogenized cross-sections. Consequently, assessing the sensitivity and uncertainty of few-group homogenized cross-sections is necessary for the core-calculation sensitivity and uncertainty analysis. Conventional method for sensitivity analysis is usually performed with respect to effective self-shielding cross sections but not continuous-energy cross sections by neglecting resonance self-shielding effects. The purpose of this work is to improve the sensitivity analysis of few-group cross sections and assess the effects introduced by resonance calculation with the subgroup method being used for resonance calculation. This paper is organized as follows: Firstly, theoretical models of this work are described. Secondly, validation and analysis are performed based on a boiling-water reactor (BWR) fuel-pin cell under hot zero power (HZP) condition. Finally, summaries and conclusions are given. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Uncertainty analysis of correlated parameters in automated reaction mechanism generation

Abstract Uncertainty analysis is a useful tool for inspecting and improving detailed kinetic mechanisms because it can identify the greatest sources of model output error. Owing to the very nonlinear relationship between kinetic and thermodynamic parameters and computed concentrations, model predictions can be extremely sensitive to uncertainties in some parameters while uncertainties in other parameters can be irrelevant. Error propagation becomes even more convoluted in automatically generated kinetic models, where input uncertainties are correlated through kinetic rate rules and thermodynamic group values. Local and global uncertainty analyses were implemented and used to analyze error propagation in Reaction Mechanism Generator (RMG), an open‐source software for generating kinetic models. A framework for automatically assigning parameter uncertainties to estimated thermodynamics and kinetics was created, enabling tracking of correlated uncertainties. Local first‐order uncertainty propagation was implemented using sensitivities computed natively within RMG. Global uncertainty analysis was implemented using adaptive Smolyak pseudospectral approximations as implemented in the MIT Uncertainty Quantification Library to efficiently compute and construct polynomial chaos expansions to approximate the dependence of outputs on a subset of uncertain inputs. Cantera was used as a backend for simulating the reactor system in the global analysis. Analyses were performed for a phenyldodecane pyrolysis model. Local and global methods demonstrated similar trends; however, many uncertainties were significantly overestimated by the local analysis. Both local and global analyses show that correlated uncertainties based on kinetic rate rules and thermochemical groups drastically reduce a model's degrees of freedom and have a large impact on the determination of the most influential input parameters. These results highlight the necessity of incorporating uncertainty analysis in the mechanism generation workflow.

Gao, Connie W.↗

Component-level Performance and Mass Sensitivity Analysis of NEP MW-class Power System

Nuclear electric propulsion (NEP) is a promising option towards enabling missions to Mars and is an area of interest for NASA’s Space Nuclear Propulsion project. This project is currently investigating technology development opportunities for an NEP vehicle. Physics-based modeling can be used in the early stages of technology development to gain understanding of the effects of technology and performance assumptions on the system performance and mass. This information can then inform technology maturation planning for near term development. By using a Brayton power conversion model and vehicle mass model for megawatt class NEP applications, a sensitivity analysis is performed to assess the impact of individual components’ performance on the power conversion system performance and system mass. A Monte Carlo simulation is also used to determine the variability in system mass based on uncertainty within the modeling parameters. The sensitivity analysis shows a high sensitivity to power conversion inlet temperature, compressor inlet temperature, and recuperator performance. A Monte Carlo analysis suggests a range of -10% to +15% for a 90% confidence interval on system mass based on the uncertainties in the model inputs.

Nuclear electric propulsion↗

Dark matter directionality revisited with a high pressure xenon gas detector

An observation of the anisotropy of dark matter interactions in a direction-sensitive detector would provide decisive evidence for the discovery of galactic dark matter. Directional information would also provide a crucial input to understanding its distribution in the local Universe. Most of the existing directional dark matter detectors utilize particle tracking methods in a low-pressure gas time projection chamber. These low pressure detectors require excessively large volumes in order to be competitive in the search for physics beyond the current limit. In order to avoid these volume limitations, we consider a novel proposal, which exploits a columnar recombination effect in a high-pressure gas time projection chamber. The ratio of scintillation to ionization signals observed in the detector carries the angular information of the particle interactions. In this paper, we investigate the sensitivity of a future directional detector focused on the proposed high-pressure Xenon gas time projection chamber. We study the prospect of detecting an anisotropy in the dark matter velocity distribution. We find that tens of events are needed to exclude an isotropic distribution of dark matter interactions at 95% confidence level in the most optimistic case with head-to-tail information. However, one needs at least 10-20 times more events without head-to-tail information for light dark matter below ~50 GeV. For an intermediate mass range, we find it challenging to observe an anisotropy of the dark matter distribution. Our results also show that the directional information significantly improves precision measurements of dark matter mass and the elastic scattering cross section for a heavy dark matter.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Sensitivity, optimal scaling and minimum roundoff errors in flexible structure models

Traditional modeling notions presume the existence of a truth model that relates the input to the output, without advanced knowledge of the input. This has led to the evolution of education and research approaches (including the available control and robustness theories) that treat the modeling and control design as separate problems. The paper explores the subtleties of this presumption that the modeling and control problems are separable. A detailed study of the nature of modeling errors is useful to gain insight into the limitations of traditional control and identification points of view. Modeling errors need not be small but simply appropriate for control design. Furthermore, the modeling and control design processes are inevitably iterative in nature.

Skelton, Robert E.↗

Portraying double Higgs at the Large Hadron Collider

We examine the discovery potential for double Higgs production at the high luminosity LHC in the final state with two b-tagged jets, two leptons and missing transverse momentum. Although this dilepton final state has been considered a difficult channel due to the large backgrounds, we argue that it is possible to obtain sizable signal significance, by adopting a deep learning framework making full use of the relevant kinematics along with the jet images from the Higgs decay. For the relevant number of signal events we obtain a substantial increase in signal sensitivity over existing analyses. We discuss relative improvements at each stage and the correlations among the different input variables for the neutral network. The proposed method can be easily generalized to the semi-leptonic channel of double Higgs production, as well as to other processes with similar final states.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Pseudoatom molecular dynamics plasma microfields

Spectral lines are powerful diagnostic tools for both laboratory and astrophysical plasmas, as their shape is sensitive to the plasma environment. The low-frequency component of the electric microfield is an important input for semi-analytic line broadening codes. Here, in this paper, we detail a new method of calculating plasma microfields using configuration-resolved pseudoatom molecular dynamics. This approach accounts for both quantum atomic structure and N-body effects, similar to density functional theory molecular dynamics, but with less computational cost. We present pseudoatom microfields at plasma conditions relevant for recent high energy density laboratory astrophysics experiments conducted at the Sandia Z-Machine, National Ignition Facility, and Linac Coherent Light Source. Compared to established microfield codes we find moderate deviations at solid density conditions and strong agreement at lower plasma densities.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

The IAEA coordinated research programme on HTGR uncertainty analysis: Phase I status and Ex. I-1 prismatic reference results

The quantification of uncertainties in design and safety analysis of reactors is today not only broadly accepted, but in many cases became the preferred way to replace traditional conservative analysis for safety and licensing analysis. The use of a more fundamental methodology is also consistent with the reliable high fidelity physics models and robust, efficient, and accurate codes available today. To facilitate uncertainty analysis applications a comprehensive approach and methodology must be developed and applied, in contrast to the historical approach where sensitivity analysis were performed and uncertainties then determined by a simplified statistical combination of a few important input parameters. New methodologies are currently under development in the OECD/NEA Light Water Reactor (LWR) Uncertainty Analysis in Best-Estimate Modelling (UAM) benchmark activity. High Temperature Gas-cooled Reactor (HTGR) designs require specific treatment of the double heterogeneous fuel design and large graphite quantities at high temperatures. The IAEA has therefore launched a Coordinated Research Project (CRP) on HTGR Uncertainty Analysis in Modelling (UAM) in 2013 to study uncertainty propagation specifically in the HTGR analysis chain. Two benchmark problems are defined, with the prismatic design represented by the General Atomics (GA) MHTGR-350 and a 250 MW modular pebble bed design similar to the Chinese HTR-PM. Work has started on the first phase and the current CRP status is reported in the paper. A comparison of the Serpent and SCALE/KENO-VI reference Monte Carlo results for Ex. I-1 of the MHTGR-350 design is also included. It was observed that the SCALE/KENO-VI Continuous Energy (CE) k ∞ values were 395 pcm (Ex. I-1a) to 803 pcm (Ex. I-1b) higher than the respective Serpent lattice calculations, and that within the set of the SCALE results, the KENO-VI 238 Multi-Group (MG) k ∞ values were up to 800 pcm lower than the KENO-VI CE values. The use of the latest ENDF-B-VII.1 cross section library in Serpent lead to ~180 pcm lower k ∞ values compared to the older ENDF-B-VII.0 dataset, caused by the modified graphite neutron capture cross section. Furthermore, the fourth beta release of SCALE 6.2 likewise produced lower CE k∞ values when compared to SCALE 6.1, and the improved performance of the new 252-group library available in SCALE 6.2 is especially noteworthy. A SCALE/TSUNAMI uncertainty analysis of the Hot Full Power variant for Ex. I-1a furthermore concluded that the 238 U(n,γ) (capture) and 235 U(View the MathML source) cross-section covariance matrices contributed the most to the total k ∞ uncertainty of 0.58%.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Sensitivity evaluation of the Kudryavtsev permafrost model

Modeling is an important way to assess current and future permafrost spatial distribution and dynamics, especially in data poor areas like the Arctic region. Here, we evaluate a physics-based analytical model, Kudryavtsev's active layer model, which is widely used because it has relatively few data requirements. This model was recently incorporated into a component modeling toolbox, allowing for coupled modeling of permafrost and geomorphic processes over geological timescales. However, systematic quantitative assessment of the influence of its controlling parameters on permafrost temperature and active layer thickness predictions has not been undertaken before. In this work, we investigate the sensitivity of the Kudryavtsev's active layer model by Monte Carlo simulations to generate probability distributions for input parameters and compare predictions with a comprehensive benchmark dataset of in-situ permafrost observations over entire Alaska. Predicted permafrost surface temperature is highly dependent on mean annual air temperature (r = 0.78 on average), annual temperature amplitude (–0.41), and winter-averaged snow thickness (0.30). Uncertainty of predicted permafrost temperature is relatively small (RMSE = 1 °C), when air temperature and snow depth are well constrained. Similarly, RMSE between simulated and observed ALT at stations is ~0.08 m. However, under given air temperature and snow conditions, soil water content bias can significantly affect modeled active layer thickness (RMSE = 0.1 m or 40% of the observed active layer thickness). If soil water content has a large bias, improvements in other parameters may not significantly improve the active layer predictions of the Kudryavtsev's model.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Cataloging accreted stars within Gaia DR2 using deep learning

The goal of this study is to present the development of a machine learning based approach that utilizes phase space alone to separate the Gaia DR2 stars into two categories: those accreted onto the Milky Way from those that are in situ. Traditional selection methods that have been used to identify accreted stars typically rely on full 3D velocity, metallicity information, or both, which significantly reduces the number of classifiable stars. The approach advocated here is applicable to a much larger portion of Gaia DR2. Methods. A method known as “transfer learning” is shown to be effective through extensive testing on a set of mock Gaia catalogs that are based on the F IRE cosmological zoom-in hydrodynamic simulations of Milky Way-mass galaxies. The machine is first trained on simulated data using only 5D kinematics as inputs and is then further trained on a cross-matched Gaia /RAVE data set, which improves sensitivity to properties of the real Milky Way. Results. The result is a catalog that identifies ~767 000 accreted stars within Gaia DR2. This catalog can yield empirical insights into the merger history of the Milky Way and could be used to infer properties of the dark matter distribution.

Astronomy & Astrophysics↗

A Faster-Than-Real-Time Framework for Reliability-Oriented Simulation of PV Inverters

Physics-of-Failure (PoF) based reliability assessment for photovoltaic (PV) inverters requires long-duration electrical and electrothermal stress histories, yet generating such stress histories with high-fidelity switching models over year long mission profiles is computationally prohibitive. Conventional methods either sacrifice modeling fidelity for speed or require runtimes that are impractical for design iteration and uncertainty studies. To address this bottleneck, this paper presents a High-Performance Computing (HPC) based simulation frame work for faster-than-real-time reliability-oriented simulation. The proposed framework integrates the Average-to-Switching (A2S) method with parallel computing techniques to accelerate switching-level waveform reconstruction. We further introduce optimization strategies, including cluster merging and sensitivity based mission profile screening, to reduce the computational burden. Evaluated using real-world mission profile inputs and a MATLAB/Simulink switching-model reference, the framework reduces the simulation time for a one-year mission from an intractable multi-year duration to approximately 7.3 minutes while maintaining low waveform error. This acceleration provides a practical reliability-oriented simulation engine that can be coupled with component-specific aging models for subsequent PV inverter PoF assessment.

High-performance Computing↗

Estimating Material Properties Under Extreme Conditions by Using Bayesian Model Calibration with Functional Outputs

Summary Dynamic material properties experiments provide access to the most extreme temperatures and pressures attainable in a laboratory setting; the data from these experiments are often used to improve our understanding of material models at these extreme conditions. We apply Bayesian model calibration to dynamic material property applications where the experimental output is a function: velocity over time. This framework can accommodate more uncertainties and facilitate analysis of new types of experiments relative to techniques traditionally used to analyse dynamic material experiments. However, implementation of Bayesian model calibration requires more sophisticated statistical techniques, because of the functional nature of the output as well as parameter and model discrepancy identifiability. We propose a novel Bayesian model calibration process to simplify and improve the estimation of the material property calibration parameters. Specifically, we propose scaling the likelihood function by an effective sample size rather than modelling the auto-correlation function to accommodate the functional output. Additionally, we propose sensitivity analyses by using the notion of 'modularization' to assess the effect of experiment-specific nuisance input parameters on estimates of the physical parameters. The Bayesian model calibration framework proposed is applied to dynamic compression of tantalum to extreme pressures, and we conclude that the procedure results in simple, fast and valid inferences on the material properties for tantalum.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Performance Demonstration of Self-Powered Neutron Detectors for Steady-State Reactor Operations

The irradiation testing of sensors in reactors is a crucial step towards calibrating and qualifying sensors prior to their deployment in experiments. This report details the process toward qualifying and calibrating custom-designed rhodium-based self-power neutron detectors (Rh-SPNDs) for steady-state reactor irradiations. This process serves to both demonstrate the performance capabilities of Rh-SPNDs as well as to provide experimental data for development of a sensor sensitivity model. Two designs of Rh-SPNDs were tested in various reactors to demonstrate: detection resolution in a low neutron flux environment, a delayed-response compensation technique, output linearity in a large range of neutron flux, and measurement accuracy verified with dosimetry. The detection resolution and compensation technique was demonstrated in the AGN-201m reactor at Idaho State University. The irradiation confirmed the sensors’ capability to perform steady-state operations in a low neutron flux of ~2E8 n/cm 2 -sec. Sensor output linearity coupled with the delayed-response compensation was investigated at the neutron radiography reactor at Idaho National Laboratory. A Rh-SPND was irradiated to neutron fluxes ranging from 2E8 to 2E13 n/cm2-sec range. The measured data demonstrated a wide and linear range of operation with a measured linear sensitivity of 1.0129 ×10 -13 A/W with a correlation-squared value of r 2 =0.9927. The measurement accuracy was investigated at the Advanced Test Reactor Critical reactor. The SPNDs were inserted into a test vehicle with collocated flux wires. Two irradiations with different flux levels were performed, and the SPNDs relative measurement between the two irradiations was calculated to be 1.2613 ± 0.0153 for the small SPND design and 1.1809 ± 0.0108 for the large SPND design. Both SPND measurements fell between the co-axial dosimetry result, which reported 1.218 ± 0.047. Additionally, the preliminary MCNP model for calculating SPND sensitivity was developed in parallel to this work. Modeled neutron spectrum with measured magnitude was used for inputs to determine the simulated SPND output. The results showed an overestimation of signal strength by a factor of 5, which was expected because of model simplification. This leads to future modeling work to account for signal losses from additional physical properties, including high temperature environments for FY-21.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Quantitative results of stellar evolution and pulsation theories.

The discrepancy between the masses of Cepheid variables deduced from evolution theory and pulsation theory is examined. The effect of input physics on evolutionary tracks is first discussed; in particular, changes in the opacity are considered. The sensitivity of pulsation masses to opacity changes and to the ascribed values of luminosity and effective temperature are then analyzed. The Cepheid mass discrepancy is discussed in the light of the results already obtained. Other astronomical evidence, including the mass-luminosity relation for main sequence stars, the solar neutrino flux, and cluster ages are also considered in an attempt to determine the most likely source of error in the event that substantial mass loss has not occurred.

Fricke, K.↗

Comparison of ASGARD and UFOCapture

The Meteoroid Environment Office is undertaking a comparison between UFOCapture/Analyzer and ASGARD (All Sky and Guided Automatic Realtime Detection). To accomplish this, video output from a Watec video camera on a 17 mm Schneider lens (25 degree field of view) was split and input into the two different meteor detection softwares. The purpose of this study is to compare the sensitivity of the two systems, false alarm rates and trajectory information, among other quantities. The important components of each software will be highlighted and comments made about the detection/rejection algorithms and the amount of user-labor required for each system.

Blaauw, Rhiannon C.↗

Development and Test of Robotically Assisted Extravehicular Activity Gloves

Over the past two years, the High Performance EVA Glove (HPEG) project under NASA's Space Technology Mission Directorate (STMD) funded an effort to develop an electromechanically-assisted space suit glove. The project was a collaboration between the Johnson Space Center's Software, Robotics, and Simulation Division and the Crew and Thermal Systems division. The project sought to combine finger actuator technology developed for Robonaut 2 with the softgoods from the ILC Phase VI EVA glove. The Space Suit RoboGlove (SSRG) uses a system of three linear actuators to pull synthetic tendons attached to the glove's fingers to augment flexion of the user's fingers. To detect the user's inputs, the system utilizes a combination of string potentiometers along the back of the fingers and force sensitive resistors integrated into the fingertips of the glove cover layer. This paper discusses the development process from initial concepts through two major phases of prototypes, and the results of initial human testing. Initial work on the project focused on creating a functioning proof of concept, designing the softgoods integration, and demonstrating augmented grip strength with the actuators. The second year of the project focused on upgrading the actuators, sensors, and software with the overall goal of creating a system that moves with the user's fingers in order to reduce fatigue associated with the operation of a pressurized glove system. This paper also discusses considerations for a flight system based on this prototype development and address where further work is required to mature the technology.

Rogers, Jonathan M.↗

Sensitivity Study of Dust-Laden Flows in the DLR GBK Facility using the DUST-US3D Framework

The current work is aimed at performing a detailed numerical sensitivity study of dust-laden flow through the DLR GBK facility using the DUST-US3D frame-work. A three-dimensional volumetric grid of the GBK facility with emphasis on a precise reproduction of the dust particle injection process and the transit of particles through the facility has been developed for this work. The sensitivity study on this grid involves varying particle injection parameters such as the diameter distribution probability function, input velocity magnitude, and input velocity direction and accounting for particle-particle collisions. The resulting impact on particle-related statistics such as the dust mass flow rate is studied, and comparisons made to experimental data.

Dusty Flows↗

Thermal Modeling of a Novel Air-Cooled Temperature Swing Adsorption Compressor (AC-TSAC)

Contaminant removal technology, such as the Carbon Dioxide Removal Assembly (CDRA) on the International Space Station (ISS), is critical to Environmental Control and Life Support Systems (ECLSS), which enable humans to live and work in outer space. The CDRA includes an adsorbent bed, which absorbs CO 2 from the cabin air and releases it to a Sabatier reactor for water production when thermally cycled. An effective system would heat and cool the adsorbent quickly and uniformly to maximize the amount of CO 2 removed from the cabin and delivered to the Sabatier reactor. Air-Cooled Temperature Swing Adsorption Compressors (AC-TSAC) are promising for use downstream of the CDRA because they are a simple alternative to more mechanically-complex compressors, which are currently in use on the ISS. The current investigation addresses the thermal modeling of potential AC-TSAC designs. An initial thermal model was created and validated by comparing the model outputs to experimental data for the heating phase. Several design trades were conducted, including bed geometry (rectangular vs. cylindrical), bed structural material (i.e., the material that makes up the walls and shelves), and configuration of heat spreading elements within the bed. Also investigated is AC-TSAC performance sensitivity to the thermal conductivity of the adsorbent material and the heat pipes as well as the input power for heating. The results from these studies will inform the design of the next generation of the AC-TSAC, and the thermal modeling results will be further validated through testing.

Hannah S. Alpert↗