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PERSIANN Dynamic Infrared–Rain Rate (PDIR-Now): A Near-Real-Time, Quasi-Global Satellite Precipitation Dataset

This study presents the Precipitation Estimation from Remotely Sensed Information Using Artificial Neural Networks–Dynamic Infrared Rain Rate (PDIR-Now) near-real-time precipitation dataset. This dataset provides hourly, quasi-global, infrared-based precipitation estimates at 0.04° × 0.04° spatial resolution with a short latency (15–60 min). It is intended to supersede the PERSIANN–Cloud Classification System (PERSIANN-CCS) dataset previously produced as the near-real-time product of the PERSIANN family. We first provide a brief description of the algorithm’s fundamentals and the input data used for deriving precipitation estimates. Second, we provide an extensive evaluation of the PDIR-Now dataset over annual, monthly, daily, and subdaily scales. Last, the article presents information on the dissemination of the dataset through the Center for Hydrometeorology and Remote Sensing (CHRS) web-based interfaces. The evaluation, conducted over the period 2017–18, demonstrates the utility of PDIR-Now and its improvement over PERSIANN-CCS at all temporal scales. Specifically, PDIR-Now improves the estimation of rain/no-rain days as demonstrated by a critical success index (CSI) of 0.53 compared to 0.47 of PERSIANN-CCS. In addition, PDIR-Now improves the estimation of seasonal and diurnal cycles of precipitation as well as regional precipitation patterns erroneously estimated by PERSIANN-CCS. Finally, an evaluation is carried out to examine the performance of PDIR-Now in capturing two extreme events, Hurricane Harvey and a cluster of summer thunderstorms that occurred over the Netherlands, where it is shown that PDIR-Now adequately represents spatial precipitation patterns as well as subdaily precipitation rates with a correlation coefficient (CORR) of 0.64 for Hurricane Harvey and 0.76 for the Netherlands thunderstorms.

Rainfall↗

Solid amine development program

A regenerable solid amine material to perform the functions of humidity control and CO2 removal for space shuttle type vehicle is reported. Both small scale and large scale testing have shown this material to be competitive, especially for the longer shuttle missions. However, it had been observed that the material off-gasses ammonia under certain conditions. This presents two concerns. The first, that the ammonia would contaminate the cabin atmosphere, and second, that the material is degrading with time. An extensive test program has shown HS-C to produce only trace quantities of atmospheric contaminants, and under normal extremes, to have no practical life limitation.

Lovell, J. S.↗

The mesosphere

The mesosphere is an atmospheric region characterized by a negative gradient of solar energy absorption and temperature. Although the distribution of most minor constituents is dominated by photochemistry, vertical transport does have a pronounced effect on many of them. The basic dynamic principles are discussed along with their application to the important mesospheric motions: acoustic-gravity waves, tides, planetary-scale waves, and eddy motions. Oxides of nitrogen and hydrogen are also examined which strongly influence the balance of odd oxygen (O and O3). Brief discussions of the chemistry of carbon compounds and of excited species are also included. The chemistry of ionic species in the mesosphere is very important because it strongly influences the propagation and absorption of radio waves. Because of ion clustering and negative-ion formation, such chemistry is extremely complex. The current state of knowledge is discussed in some detail. The principles involved in constructing models for predicting the distribution of minor constituents, both neutral and ionic, are presented.

Poppoff, I. G.↗

The Distribution of Cosmic-Ray Sources in the Galaxy, Gamma-Rays and the Gradient in the CO-to-H2 Relation

We present a solution to the apparent discrepancy between the radial gradient in the diffuse Galactic gamma-ray emissivity and the distribution of supernova remnants, believed to be the sources of cosmic rays. Recent determinations of the pulsar distribution have made the discrepancy even more apparent. The problem is shown to be plausibly solved by a variation in the Wco-to-N(H2) scaling factor. If this factor increases by a factor of 5-10 from the inner to the outer Galaxy, as expected from the Galactic metallicity gradient and supported by other evidence, we show that the source distribution required to match the radial gradient of gamma-rays can be reconciled with the distribution of supernova remnants as traced by current studies of pulsars. The resulting model fits the EGRET gamma-ray profiles extremely well in longitude, and reproduces the mid-latitude inner Galaxy intensities better than previous models.

Strong, A. W.↗

Origin and dynamics of emission line clouds in cooling flow environments

The author suggests that since clouds are born co-moving in a turbulent intra-cluster medium (ICM), the allowed parameter space can now be opened up to a more acceptable range. Large-scale motions can be driven in the central parts of cooling flows by a number of mechanisms including the motion of the central and other galaxies, and the dissipation of advected, focussed rotational and magnetic energy. In addition to the velocity width paradox, two other paradoxes (Heckman et al. 1989) can be solved if the ICM is turbulent. Firstly, the heating source for the emission line regions has always been puzzling - line luminosities are extremely high for a given (optical or radio) galaxy luminosity compared to those in non-cooling flow galaxies, therefore a mechanism peculiar to cooling flows must be at work. However most, if not all, previously suggested heating mechanisms either fail to provide enough ionization or give the wrong line ratios, or both. The kinetic energy in the turbulence provides a natural energy source if it can be efficiently converted to cloud heat. Researchers suggest that this can be done via magneto-hydrodynamic waves through plasma slip. Secondly, while the x ray observations indicate extended mass deposition, the optical line emission is more centrally concentrated. Since many of the turbulence-inducing mechanisms are strongest in the central regions of the ICM, so is the method of heating. In other words material is dropping out everywhere but only being lit up in the center.

Loewenstein, Michael↗

NASA GSFC's Role in the US Space Program

The paper discussss the GSFC research interests and how GSFC contributes to solve some of most basic questions Humans having been asking for thousands of years. How big is universe? How old is the universe? Will Humans and industrialization of the Earth change the climate significantly? Can Humans live in space? How does the Sun affect life on Earth? Goddard s role in Earth Science is very unique. We buy and build instruments that collect data about weather around the world. By flying those instruments on spacecraft, we have a unique vantage point to observe the weather patterns on a global scale. The best example is a satellite network called GOES (Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite) which produces the weather pictures and videos you see on the nightly news and weather channel. Earth Science is another area of great interest to Goddard scientists and spacecraft designers. This photo of an oil fire in Iraq taken on March 2Ist of this year shows the down range effect pollution will have on entire region. Space Weather has become extremely important in the Space business. Satellites not only can become inoperable due to the occasional high level of radiation but astronauts can be exposed to dangerous levels of radiation. Space Weather is actually an issue when planning Extra Vehicular Activities (EVA). At Goddard, our operation of the Hubble Space Telescope has meant we have worked closely with several Shuttle crews over the years.

Simpson, James E.↗

Relationship between Mean Winds and Large 10-day Precipitation Anomalies over the Continental U.S.

To better understand the role of surface boundary forcing upon interannual and decadal variability of droughts and precipitation excesses over the continental U. S., an observational study has been carried out to better investigate the dynamical linkages between surface boundary forcing and droughts/floods. This study examines the relationship during the warm season between observed mean wind patterns on the 10-15 day time scale and anomalies in precipitation on that same time scale over the U. S. Each of the 7 cases of significant 10-day, warm-season drought over the U, S. since 1948 that has been investigated was accompanied by significant continental-scale ridging of the mean 10-day 250 mb wind pattern over the continental U.S. and a mid-Pacific relative maximum of 250 mb wind speed of at least 30 m/sec within 20 degrees of the international Date Line. This perhaps suggests the presence of a wave-guide phenomenon over the Pacific. The drought signal for each of these cases was still quite evident when averaged over the monthly time scale. While peak magnitudes of the precipitation anomalies were much larger for the 7 chosen cases of significant of precipitation excess were than for the drought cases none of the patterns of precipitation excess were as unambiguous or wide-spread as the drought cases. In only 2 to 3 cases was there evidence of a continental trough in the 250 mb winds. In fact, one case showed slight ridging over Canada and the extreme northern U.S. Strong southerly low-level jets, however, were evident in the 925 mb winds over south-central Texas or the nearby Gulf of Mexico in virtually all of the excessive precipitation cases, while the Great Plains LLJ was weak or displaced to the north of Texas in most of the drought cases. We will further investigate the asymmetry between droughts and precipitation excesses in their horizontal homogeneity and extent, in their temporal evolution, and in how the are forced by the combined effects of the mean 250 mb westerlies and the mean 925 mb southerly winds.

Helfand, H. Mark↗

Radiometric Stability in 16 years of AIRS Hyperspectral Infrared Data (SPIE OP-431-20)

With global warming at the rate of 10 mK/yr, it is important to at least characterize any trend in the AIRS data, which may impact the use of AIRS data for climate change research. We evaluated the stability of the AIRS v5 calibration for seven atmospheric window channels between 2002 and 2018 under tropical ocean clear conditions. Trends for the channels between 961, 1128 and 1231 cm-1 channels are typically +3 mK/yr; for 790 and 901 cm-1 the trend is 6 mK/yr, i.e. the observations are increasingly getting warmer than expected. The trends are day/night consistent. The trend for the 2508 and 2616 cm-1 channels is close to 10 mK/yr at night, but closer to 6 mK/yr during the day. On an absolute scale these trends are small, but not when viewed in the context of global warming at a 10 mK/yr rate. While the warming trends are consistent with increased scattering from the scan mirrors, which create an error in reading the Onboard Blackbody Calibration, the resulting changes in the gain are a factor of about five larger than observed changes in the gain. The effects of scattering due to scan mirror contamination are evident at extremely cold temperatures, but scattering does not produce the observed warming at warm temperatures. It is possible that much of the observed warming in the AIRS window channels is a geophysical effect related to the warming of the oceans, resulting in a shift in the diurnal cycle and skin effect correction. This requires more careful evaluation.

Manning, Evan M.↗

Radiometric Stability in 16 years of AIRS Hyperspectral Infrared Data (SPIE OP-431-20)

With global warming at the rate of 10 mK/yr, it is important to at least characterize any trend in the AIRS data, which may impact the use of AIRS data for climate change research. We evaluated the stability of the AIRS v5 calibration for seven atmospheric window channels between 2002 and 2018 under tropical ocean clear conditions. Trends for the channels between 961, 1128 and 1231 cm-1 channels are typically +3 mK/yr; for 790 and 901 cm-1 the trend is 6 mK/yr, i.e. the observations are increasingly getting warmer than expected. The trends are day/night consistent. The trend for the 2508 and 2616 cm-1 channels is close to 10 mK/yr at night, but closer to 6 mK/yr during the day. On an absolute scale these trends are small, but not when viewed in the context of global warming at a 10 mK/yr rate. While the warming trends are consistent with increased scattering from the scan mirrors, which create an error in reading the Onboard Blackbody Calibration, the resulting changes in the gain are a factor of about five larger than observed changes in the gain. The effects of scattering due to scan mirror contamination are evident at extremely cold temperatures, but scattering does not produce the observed warming at warm temperatures. It is possible that much of the observed warming in the AIRS window channels is a geophysical effect related to the warming of the oceans, resulting in a shift in the diurnal cycle and skin effect correction. This requires more careful evaluation.

Manning, Evan M.↗

An extreme clear air turbulence incidence associated with a strong downslope windstorm

The meteorological conditions present during an occurrence of clear-air turbulence (CAT) associated with the presence of a mountain wave are documented. The incident caused severe vertical accelerations of two passenger aircraft travelling at 33,000 ft altitude. Satellite, pilot report and surface and upper air meteorological data were examined to characterize the situation. The CAT was apparently produced by an unusually strong westerly flow over the Rocky Mountains, causing a lee wave over the foothill regions where the turbulence was experienced. A downslope windstorm formed at the same time as wave activity on three scales: 60 nm, 17 nm and 1 nm in the troposphere. The data suggest that surface observations of severe windstorms in the mountain foothill regions could be used to predict the presence of CAT conditions, especially if combined with available data on lee waves.

Lester, P. F.↗

ERTS-1 flood hazard studies in the Mississippi River Basin

The Spring 1973 Mississippi River flood was investigated using remotely sensed data from ERTS-1. Both manual and automatic analyses of the data indicate that ERTS-1 is extremely useful as a regional tool for flood and floodplain management. The maximum error of such flood area measurements is conservatively estimated to be less than five percent. Change detection analysis indicates that the flood had major impacts on soil moisture, land pattern stability, and vegetation stress. Flood hazard identification was conducted using photointerpretation techniques in three study areas along the Mississippi River using pre-flood ERTS-1 imagery down to 1:100,000 scale. Flood prone area boundaries obtained from ERTS-1 were generally in agreement with flood hazard maps produced by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers and the U.S. Geological Survey although the latter are somewhat more detailed because of their larger scale. Initial results indicate that ERTS-1 digital mapping of the flood-prone areas can be performed at least 1:62,500 which is comparable to conventional flood hazard map scales.

Rango, A.↗

An investigation of turbulent transport in the extreme lower atmosphere

A model in which the Lagrangian autocorrelation is expressed by a domain integral over a set of usual Eulerian autocorrelations acquired concurrently at all points within a turbulence box is proposed along with a method for ascertaining the statistical stationarity of turbulent velocity by creating an equivalent ensemble to investigate the flow in the extreme lower atmosphere. Simultaneous measurements of turbulent velocity on a turbulence line along the wake axis were carried out utilizing a longitudinal array of five hot-wire anemometers remotely operated. The stationarity test revealed that the turbulent velocity is approximated as a realization of a weakly self-stationary random process. Based on the Lagrangian autocorrelation it is found that: (1) large diffusion time predominated; (2) ratios of Lagrangian to Eulerian time and spatial scales were smaller than unity; and, (3) short and long diffusion time scales and diffusion spatial scales were constrained within their Eulerian counterparts.

Koper, C. A., Jr.↗

A technique for scale model rocket base heating tests in a very large vacuum chamber

A series of tests was performed with a 0.040 scale Shuttle Orbiter Base Heating Model in a large vacuum chamber to determine the thermal effects of engine plume recirculation and direct engine plume impingement. The oxygen- and hydrogen-fueled model was fired through a range of simulated altitudes and configurations with varied engine gimbal angles and 'engine-out' combinations. Some of the special problems associated with conducting tests of this type related primarily to obtaining valid temperature and pressure data in the extremely short run times available. Run time is limited by the reflection of shock waves from the chamber wall, propellant charge-tube wave times, the time required to reach steady-state conditions for the engines, and model heating limitations. The 'data window' for potentially valid data usually begins with stabilized engine conditions and terminates with pressure perturbations from either of the aforementioned shock waves. The general approach for coping with these limitations and the method used to obtain valid data during the short data window (of the order of thirty milliseconds) are discussed.

Williams, F. U.↗

The extreme ultraviolet imaging telescope on board SOHO

The design of the multibandpass Extreme-Ultraviolet Imaging Telescope designed for 1996 launch on board the Solar Heliospheric Observatory is described. The telescope will observe simultaneously distinct temperature ranges in the solar corona, defined by well chosen emission lines. Images in four narrow bandpasses at wavelengths ranging from 17 to 31 nm will be obtained using normal-incidence multilayered optics deposited on quadrants of a Ritchey-Chretien telescope. Results are presented on the performances measured on a 2/3 scale mock-up. The bandpasses could be adjusted to better than 1 percent in wavelength.

Delaboudiniere, J. P.↗

The Need for High Spatial Resolution Multispectral Thermal Remote Sensing Data In Urban Heat Island Research

Although the study of the Urban Heat Island (UHI) effect dates back to the early 1800's when Luke Howard discovered London s heat island, it has only been with the advent of thermal remote sensing systems that the extent, characteristics, and impacts of the UHI have become to be understood. Analysis of the UHI effect is important because above all, this phenomenon can directly influence the health and welfare of urban residents. For example, in 1995, over 700 people died in Chicago due to heat-related causes. UHI s are characterized by increased temperature in comparison to rural areas and mortality rates during a heat wave increase exponentially with the maximum temperature, an effect that is exacerbated by the UHI. Aside from the direct impacts of the UHI on temperature, UHI s can produce secondary effects on local meteorology, including altering local wind patterns, increased development of clouds and fog, and increasing rates of precipitation either over, or downwind, of cities. Because of the extreme heterogeneity of the urban surface, in combination with the sprawl associated with urban growth, thermal infrared (TIR) remote sensing data have become of significant importance in understanding how land cover and land use characteristics affect the development and intensification of the UHI. TIR satellite data have been used extensively to analyze the surface temperature regimes of cities to help observe and measure the impacts of surface temperatures across the urban landscape. However, the spatial scales at which satellite TIR data are collected are for the most part, coarse, with the finest readily available TIR data collected by the Landsat ETM+ sensor at 60m spatial resolution. For many years, we have collected high spatial resolution (10m) data using an airborne multispectral TIR sensor over a number of cities across the United States. These high resolution data have been used to develop an understanding of how discrete surfaces across the urban environment (e.g., rooftops, pavements) interact from a surface-lower atmosphere energy flux perspective, to force the development of the UHI. Moreover, the airborne TIR sensor we used in our UHI studies was a multispectral sensor that had six channels in the 8-12pm range. The advantages of collecting multispectral TIR data became readily evident as a valuable tool for better calculation of unique surface thermal energy responses for urban materials over the 8-12 micrometer region, and also for getting a better handle on surface emissivity characteristics for these discrete surfaces. In this presentation, we will provide evidence on the virtues of how high spatial resolution multispectral TIR data can provide for better analysis of the UHI that cannot now be attained via TIR data obtained from satellites. Furthermore, we wish to provide compelling evidence on why future TIR satellite sensors should collect data at fine spatial resolutions (e.g. less than or equal to 30m) to better allow for measurement of surface thermal energy fluxes from discrete urban surfaces, and to better understand how surface fluxes from different urban materials in cities around the world in different climatic regimes, affect development of the UHI characteristics.

Quattrochi, Dale A.↗

Selection of a Representative Subset of Global Climate Models that Captures the Profile of Regional Changes for Integrated Climate Impacts Assessment

We present the Representative Temperature and Precipitation (T&P) GCM Subsetting Approach developed within the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) to select a practical subset of global climate models (GCMs) for regional integrated assessment of climate impacts when resource limitations do not permit the full ensemble of GCMs to be evaluated given the need to also focus on impacts sector and economics models. Subsetting inherently leads to a loss of information but can free up resources to explore important uncertainties in the integrated assessment that would otherwise be prohibitive. The Representative T&P GCM Subsetting Approach identifies five individual GCMs that capture a profile of the full ensemble of temperature and precipitation change within the growing season while maintaining information about the probability that basic classes of climate changes (relatively cool/wet, cool/dry, middle, hot/wet, and hot/dry) are projected in the full GCM ensemble. We demonstrate the selection methodology for maize impacts in Ames, Iowa, and discuss limitations and situations when additional information may be required to select representative GCMs. We then classify 29 GCMs over all land areas to identify regions and seasons with characteristic diagonal skewness related to surface moisture as well as extreme skewness connected to snow-albedo feedbacks and GCM uncertainty. Finally, we employ this basic approach to recognize that GCM projections demonstrate coherence across space, time, and greenhouse gas concentration pathway. The Representative T&P GCM Subsetting Approach provides a quantitative basis for the determination of useful GCM subsets, provides a practical and coherent approach where previous assessments selected solely on availability of scenarios, and may be extended for application to a range of scales and sectoral impacts.

Climate Change; GCMs; Climate Model Subset; Repres↗

Miniature Trace Gas Detector Based on Microfabricated Optical Resonators

While a variety of techniques exist to monitor trace gases, methods relying on absorption of laser light are the most commonly used in terrestrial applications. Cavity-enhanced absorption techniques typically use high-reflectivity mirrors to form a resonant cavity, inside of which a sample gas can be analyzed. The effective absorption length is augmented by the cavity's high quality factor, or Q, because the light reflects many times between the mirrors. The sensitivity of such mirror-based sensors scales with size, generally making them somewhat bulky in volume. Also, specialized coatings for the high-reflectivity mirrors have limited bandwidth (typically just a few nanometers), and the delicate mirror surfaces can easily be degraded by dust or chemical films. As a highly sensitive and compact alternative, JPL is developing a novel trace gas sensor based on a monolithic optical resonator structure that has been modified such that a gas sample can be directly injected into the cavity. This device concept combines ultra-high Q optical whispering gallery mode resonators (WGMR) with microfabrication technology used in the semiconductor industry. For direct access to the optical mode inside a resonator, material can be precisely milled from its perimeter, creating an open gap within the WGMR. Within this open notch, the full optical mode of the resonator can be accessed. While this modification may limit the obtainable Q, calculations show that the reduction is not significant enough to outweigh its utility for trace gas detection. The notch can be milled from the high- Q crystalline WGMR with a focused ion beam (FIB) instrument with resolution much finer than an optical wavelength, thereby minimizing scattering losses and preserving the optical quality. Initial experimental demonstrations have shown that these opened cavities still support high-Q whispering gallery modes. This technology could provide ultrasensitive detection of a variety of molecular species in an extremely compact and robust package. With this type of modified WGMR, one can inject a gas sample into the open gap, allowing highly sensitive trace molecule detection within a roughly 1-cm volume. Other critical components of the instrument, such as the detector and a semiconductor laser, could be directly packaged with the resonator so as to not significantly increase the size of the device. Besides its low mass, volume, and power consumption, the monolithic design makes these resonators intrinsically robust devices, capable of handling significant temperature excursions, without moving parts to wear out or delicate coatings that can be easily damaged. A sensor could integrate with microfluidics technology for a chip-scale device. It could be mounted to the end of a deployable arm, or inserted into a borehole. Also, a network of individual sensors could be dispersed to monitor conditions over a wide region

Aveline, David C.↗

Fine structure of the lower atmosphere as seen by high resolution radar

A ground-based vertically pointing FM-CW radar is described that permits remote probing of the refractive index structure in the troposphere. The radar has the characteristics of extremely high sensitivity, ultrahigh range resolution, and close minimum detection range without clutter. The sounder routinely detects layer structures in the lower troposphere. These layers are always associated with gradients in the vertical refractive index profile, and are frequently very thin, approaching the resolution of the radar (1 m). Very often they are perturbed by wave motions. Examples of various wave patterns are presented, and an explanation is given for organized substructures frequently superimposed on larger scale wave motions.

Richter, J. H.↗