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A Discussion on Uncertainty Representation and Interpretation in Model-Based Prognostics Algorithms based on Kalman Filter Estimation Applied to Prognostics of Electronics Components

This article discusses several aspects of uncertainty representation and management for model-based prognostics methodologies based on our experience with Kalman Filters when applied to prognostics for electronics components. In particular, it explores the implications of modeling remaining useful life prediction as a stochastic process and how it relates to uncertainty representation, management, and the role of prognostics in decision-making. A distinction between the interpretations of estimated remaining useful life probability density function and the true remaining useful life probability density function is explained and a cautionary argument is provided against mixing interpretations for the two while considering prognostics in making critical decisions.

Celaya, Jose R.↗

An evaluation with the Fourier Amplitude Sensitivity Test (FAST) of which land-surface parameters are of greatest importance in atmospheric modeling

Land-surface parameterizations based on a statistical-dynamical have been suggested recently to improve the representation of the surface forcing from heterogeneous land in atmospheric models. With this approach, land-surface characteristics are prescribed by probability density functions (PDFs) rather than single 'representative' values as in 'big-leaf' parameterizations. Yet the use of many PDFs results in an increased computational burden and requires the complex problem of representing covariances between PDFs to be addressed. In this study, a sensitivity analysis of a land-surface parameterization for atmospheric modeling was performed to evaluate the surface parameters most important to the variability of surface heat fluxes. The Fourier amplitude sensitivity test (FAST) used for this analysis determines the relative contribution of individual input parameters to the variance of energy fluxes resulting from a heterogeneous surface. By simultaneously varying all parameters according to their individual probability density functions, the number of computations needed is very much reduced by this technique. This analysis demonstrates that most of the variability of surface heat fluxes may be described by the distributions of relative stomatal conductance and surface roughness. Thus, the statistical-dynamical approach may be simplified by the use of only these two probability density functions.

Collins, Dan C.↗

Real-space representation of the quasiparticle self-consistent GW self-energy and its application to defect calculations

The quasiparticle self-consistent (QS) GW (G for Green's function, W for screened Coulomb interaction) approach incorporates the corrections of the quasiparticle energies from their Kohn-Sham density functional theory (DFT) eigenvalues by means of an energy-independent and Hermitian self-energy matrix usually given in the basis set of the DFT eigenstates. By expanding these into an atom-centered basis set (specifically here the linearized muffin-tin orbitals) a real space representation of the self-energy corrections becomes possible. In this work, We show that this representation is relatively short-ranged. This offers opportunities to construct the self-energy of a complex system from parts of the system by a cut-and-paste method. Specifically for a point defect, represented in a large supercell, the self-energy can be constructed from those of the host and a smaller defect-containing cell. The self-energy of the periodic host can be constructed simply from a GW calculation for the primitive cell. We show for the case of the As Ga in GaAs that the defect part can already be well represented by a minimal eight-atom cell and allows us to construct the self-energy for a 64-atom cell in good agreement with direct QSGW calculations for the large cell. Using this approach to an even larger 216-atom cell shows the defect band approaches an isolated defect level. The calculations also allow us to identify a second defect band which appears as a resonance near the conduction band minimum. The results on the extracted defect levels agree well with Green's function calculations for an isolated defect and with experimental data.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A Combined Machine Learning and High-Energy X-ray Diffraction Approach to Understanding Liquid and Amorphous Metal Oxides

Determining the structure-property relations of liquid and amorphous metal oxides is challenging, due to their variable short-range order and polyhedral connectivity. To predict chemically realistic structures, we have developed a Machine Learned, Gaussian Approximation Potential (GAP) for HfO 2 , with a focus on enhanced sampling of the training database and accurate density functional theory calculations. By using training datasets for the GAP model at the level of Density Functional Theory-Strongly Constrained and Appropriately Normed (DFT-SCAN) level of theory, our results show that the topology of both the low viscosity liquid and the amorphous form are dominated by edge-shared chains and small corner-shared rings of polyhedra. This topology is shown to be consistent with the structure of other liquid and amorphous transition metal oxides of variable ion size, such as TiO 2 and ZrO 2 . Current limitations of the ML-GAP modeling method for obtaining glass structures and future perspectives are also discussed.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

The correlation function for density perturbations in an expanding universe. III The three-point and predictions of the four-point and higher order correlation functions

Higher-order correlation functions for the large-scale distribution of galaxies in space are investigated. It is demonstrated that the three-point correlation function observed by Peebles and Groth (1975) is not consistent with a distribution of perturbations that at present are randomly distributed in space. The two-point correlation function is shown to be independent of how the perturbations are distributed spatially, and a model of clustered perturbations is developed which incorporates a nonuniform perturbation distribution and which explains the three-point correlation function. A model with hierarchical perturbations incorporating the same nonuniform distribution is also constructed; it is found that this model also explains the three-point correlation function, but predicts different results for the four-point and higher-order correlation functions than does the model with clustered perturbations. It is suggested that the model of hierarchical perturbations might be explained by the single assumption of having density fluctuations or discrete objects all of the same mass randomly placed at some initial epoch.

Mcclelland, J.↗

A numerical Poisson solver with improved radial solutions for a self-consistent locally scaled self-interaction correction method

Abstract The universal applicability of density functional approximations is limited by self-interaction error made by these functionals. Recently, a novel one-electron self-interaction-correction (SIC) method that uses an iso-orbital indicator to apply the SIC at each point in space by scaling the exchange-correlation and Coulomb energy densities was proposed. The locally scaled SIC (LSIC) method is exact for the one-electron densities, and unlike the well-known Perdew–Zunger SIC (PZSIC) method recovers the uniform electron gas limit of the uncorrected density functional approximation, and reduces to PZSIC method as a special case when isoorbital indicator is set to the unity. Here, we present a numerical scheme that we have adopted to evaluate the Coulomb potential of the electron density scaled by the iso-orbital indicator required for the self-consistent LSIC calculations. After analyzing the behavior of the finite difference method (FDM) and the green function solution to the radial part of the Poisson equation, we adopt a hybrid approach that uses the FDM for the Coulomb potential due to the monopole and the GF for all higher-order terms. The performance of the resultant hybrid method is assessed using a variety of systems. The results show improved accuracy than earlier numerical schemes. We also find that, even with a generic set of radial grid parameters, accurate energy differences can be obtained using a numerical Coulomb solver in standard density functional studies.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

The rise and fall of stretched bond errors: Extending the analysis of Perdew–Zunger self-interaction corrections of reaction barrier heights beyond the LSDA

Incorporating self-interaction corrections (SIC) significantly improves chemical reaction barrier height predictions made using density functional theory methods. We present a detailed orbital-by-orbital analysis of these corrections for three semi-local density functional approximations (DFAs) situated on the three lowest rungs of Jacob’s ladder of approximations. The analysis is based on Fermi–Löwdin Orbital Self-Interaction Correction (FLOSIC) calculations performed at several steps along the reaction pathway from the reactants (R) to the transition state (TS) to the products (P) for four representative reactions selected from the BH76 benchmark set. For all three functionals, the major contribution to self-interaction corrections of the barrier heights can be traced to stretched bond orbitals that develop near the TS configuration. The magnitude of the ratio of the self-exchange–correlation energy to the self-Hartree energy (XC/H) for a given orbital is introduced as an indicator of one-electron self-interaction error. XC/H = 1.0 implies that an orbital’s self-exchange–correlation energy exactly cancels its self-Hartree energy and that the orbital, therefore, makes no contribution to the SIC in the FLOSIC scheme. For the practical DFAs studied here, XC/H spans a range of values. Here, the largest values are obtained for stretched or strongly lobed orbitals. We show that significant differences in XC/H for corresponding orbitals in the R, TS, and P configurations can be used to identify the major contributors to the SIC of barrier heights and reaction energies. Based on such comparisons, we suggest that barrier height predictions made using the strongly constrained and appropriately normed meta-generalized gradient approximation may have attained the best accuracy possible for a semi-local functional using the Perdew–Zunger SIC approach.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Band Energy Dependence of Defect Formation in the Topological Semimetal Cd3As2

Cadmium Arsenide (Cd3As2) is a prototypical Dirac semimetal that manifests topological properties in a 3D bulk material. In defect-free Cd3As2, the Fermi level lies at a minimum in the density of states at the Dirac point, but experimentally it forms with excess electron carriers and an elevated EF, thereby masking the topological features. To computationally study the self-doping of Cd3As2, we combine density functional theory (DFT) calculations for defect formation energies with quasi-particle self-consistent GW (QSGW) electronic structure calculations. We demonstrate an innate dependence of the point defect formation energies on carrier concentrations and use the QSGW calculated density of states to extrapolate formation energies to arbitrary electron concentrations. This approach allows the quantitative modeling of thermodynamic defect equilibria in topological semimetals and is used to predict how Cd3As2 growth conditions affect the position of EF relative to the Dirac point.

CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSICS↗

Towards a Deeper Fundamental Understanding of (Al,Sc)N Ferroelectric Nitrides

Density functional theory (DFT) calculations, within the virtual crystal alloy approximation, are performed, along with the development of a Landau-type model employing a symmetry-allowed analytical expression of the internal energy and having parameters determined from first principles, to investigate properties and energetics of Al1-xScxN ferroelectric nitrides in their hexagonal forms. These DFT computations and this model predict the existence of two different types of minima, namely, the fourfold-coordinated wurtzite (WZ) polar structure and a five-fold coordinated paraelectric hexagonal phase (denoted as H5), for any Sc composition up to 40%. The H5 minimum progressively becomes the lowest-energy state within hexagonal symmetry as the Sc concentration increases from 0 to 0.4. Furthermore, the model points to several key findings. Examples include the crucial role of the coupling between polarization and strains to create the WZ minimum, in addition to polar and elastic energies, and that the origin of the H5 state overcoming the WZ phase as the global minimum within hexagonal symmetry when increasing the Sc composition mostly lies in the compositional dependency of only two parameters-one linked to the polarization and another one being purely elastic in nature. Other examples are that forcing Al1-xScxN systems to have no or a weak change in lattice parameters when heating them allows us to reproduce their finite-temperature polar properties well and that a value of the axial ratio close to that of the ideal WZ structure implies a large polarization at low temperatures but not necessarily at high temperatures because of the ordered-disordered character of the temperature-induced formation of the WZ state. Such findings should allow for a better fundamental understanding of (Al,Sc)N ferroelectric nitrides, which may be used to design efficient devices having, e.g., low operating voltages.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Solvated Nuclear–Electronic Orbital Structure and Dynamics

Nonadiabatic dynamical processes such as proton-coupled electron transfer and excited state intramolecular proton transfer have been the subject of much research. One of the promising theoretical methods to describe these processes is the nuclear–electronic orbital (NEO) approach. This approach inherently accounts for nuclear quantum effects within quantum chemistry calculations, and it has recently been extended to directly simulate nonadiabatic processes with the development of real-time NEO methods. These processes can also be significantly dependent on the surrounding chemical environment, however, and capturing the effects of the environment is often necessary for analyzing experimentally relevant systems. This work couples the NEO density functional theory and real-time time-dependent density functional theory approaches with solvation through the polarizable continuum model. Here, the effects of this coupling are investigated for ground state properties, solvent-dependent vibrational frequencies, and direct excited state intramolecular proton transfer dynamics.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Stochastic Modeling in a Multimaterial Continuum Mixture Shock Physics Code

Stochastic modelling approaches are presented to capture random effects at multiple time and length scales. Random processes that occur at the microscale produce nondeterministic effects at the macroscale. Here we present three stochastic modeling approaches that describe random processes at microscopic length scales and map these processes to the macroscopic length scale. The first stochastic modeling approach is based upon a particle based numerical technique to solve a Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE) using an arbitrary diffusion process to capture random processes at the microstructural level. The second approach prescribes a Probability Density Function (PDF) for the drift and diffusion of the random variable derived using the forward and backward Kolmogorov equations. This method requires mean and drift evolution PDF transport equations. The third approach is the coupling of multiple random variables which are dependent on each other. The relationship of the PDFs and a coupling function, known as a copula, produces a Joint Probability Density Function (JPDF). These stochastic modeling approaches are implemented into a Multiple Component (MC) shock physics computational code and used to model statistical fracture and reactive flow applications.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

A Convex Data-Driven Approach for Nonlinear Control Synthesis

We consider a class of nonlinear control synthesis problems where the underlying mathematical models are not explicitly known. We propose a data-driven approach to stabilize the systems when only sample trajectories of the dynamics are accessible. Our method is built on the density-function-based stability certificate that is the dual to the Lyapunov function for dynamic systems. Unlike Lyapunov-based methods, density functions lead to a convex formulation for a joint search of the control strategy and the stability certificate. This type of convex problem can be solved efficiently using the machinery of the sum of squares (SOS). For the data-driven part, we exploit the fact that the duality results in the stability theory can be understood through the lens of Perron–Frobenius and Koopman operators. This allows us to use data-driven methods to approximate these operators and combine them with the SOS techniques to establish a convex formulation of control synthesis. The efficacy of the proposed approach is demonstrated through several examples.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Large Eddy Simulation Of Gravitational Effects In Transitional And Turbulent Gas-Jet Diffusion Flames

The influence of gravity on the spatial and the compositional structures of transitional and turbulent hydrocarbon diffusion flames are studies via large eddy simulation (LES) and direct numerical simulation (DNS) of round and planar jets. The subgrid-scale (SGS) closures in LES are based on the filtered mass density function (FMDF) methodology. The FMDF represents the joint probability density function (PDF) of the SGS scalars, and is obtained by solving its transport equation. The fundamental advantage of LES/FMDF is that it accounts for the effects of chemical reaction and buoyancy exactly. The methodology is employed for capturing some of the fundamental influences of gravity in equilibrium flames via realistic chemical kinetic schemes. Some preliminary investigation of the gravity effects in non-equilibrium flames is also conducted, but with idealized chemical kinetics models.

Jaberi, Farhad A.↗

Hybrid functional calculations of electronic structure and carrier densities in rare-earth monopnictides

The structural parameters and electronic structure of rare-earth pnictides are calculated using density functional theory (DFT) with the Heyd, Scuseria, and Ernzerhof (HSE06) screened hybrid functional. Specifically, we focus on RE-V compounds, with RE=La, Gd, Er, and Lu, and V=As, Sb, and Bi, and analyze the effects of spin-orbit coupling and treating the RE4$\textit{f}$ electrons as valence electrons in the projector augmented wave approach. The results of HSE06 calculations are compared with DFT within the generalized gradient approximation (DFT-GGA) and other previous calculations. We find that all these RE-V compounds are semimetals with electron pockets at the $\textit{X}$ point and hole pockets at Γ. Whereas in DFT-GGA the carrier density is significantly overestimated, the computed carrier densities using HSE06 is in good agreement with the available experimental data.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Carbon complexes in highly C-doped GaN

We investigate the properties of heavily C-doped GaN grown by hydride vapor phase epitaxy using both optical experiments and hybrid density functional theory calculations. Previous work has established that carbon acceptors (C N ) give rise to a yellow luminescence band near 2.2 eV along with a blue luminescence band near 2.9 eV. Photoluminescence measurements show the yellow band shifting as a function of carbon concentration, suggesting a change in the behavior of carbon species as carbon content increases. With hybrid density functional theory we calculate the electrical and optical behavior of carbon centers containing multiple carbon impurities, which may arise in heavily doped material. We compare the behavior of these complexes to the isolated centers, and find that the dicarbon donor-acceptor (C Ga –C N ) complex is a candidate to explain the shift in the yellow luminescence peak. Tricarbon complexes have high formation energies and modest binding energies, and also give rise to optical transitions that are inconsistent with the observed spectra. We also identify the split dicarbon interstitial on the gallium site as a low-energy species with a large binding energy that may act to compensate carbon acceptors. Here, local vibrational modes are calculated for carbon impurity centers, and we compare these results to recent experiments. Dicarbon and tricarbon complexes involving C Ga and C N exhibit modes that are only slightly higher than the isolated species, while carbon interstitials and related complexes give rise to vibrational modes much higher than C Ga and C N .

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Exact and Model Exchange-Correlation Potentials for Open-Shell Systems

The conventional approaches to the inverse density functional theory problem typically assume nondegeneracy of the Kohn–Sham (KS) eigenvalues, greatly hindering their use in open-shell systems. Here, we present a generalization of the inverse density functional theory problem that can seamlessly admit degenerate KS eigenvalues. Additionally, we allow for fractional occupancy of the Kohn–Sham orbitals to also handle noninteracting ensemble-v-representable densities, as opposed to just noninteracting pure-v-representable densities. We present the exact exchange-correlation (XC) potentials for six open-shell systems–four atoms (Li, C, N, and O) and two molecules (CN and CH 2 )–using accurate ground-state densities from configuration interaction calculations. We compare these exact XC potentials with model XC potentials obtained using nonlocal (B3LYP, SCAN0) and local/semilocal (SCAN, PBE, PW92) XC functionals. Although the relative errors in the densities obtained from these DFT functionals are of $O$(10 –3 to 10 –2 ), the relative errors in the model XC potentials remain substantially large–$O$(10 –1 to 10 0 ).

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Emergent multiferroism with magnetodielectric coupling in EuTiO 3 created by a negative pressure control of strong spin-phonon coupling

Negative pressure has emerged as a powerful tool to tailor the physical properties of functional materials. However, a negative pressure control of spin-phonon coupling for engineering magnetism and multiferroicity has not been explored to date. Here, using uniform three-dimensional strain-induced negative pressure in nanocomposite films of (EuTiO 3 ) 0.5 :(MgO) 0.5 , we demonstrate an emergent multiferroicity with magnetodielectric coupling in EuTiO 3 , matching exactly with density functional theory calculations. Density functional theory calculations are further used to explore the underlying physics of antiferromagnetic-paraelectric to ferromagnetic-ferroelectric phase transitions, the spin-phonon coupling, and its correlation with negative pressures. The observation of magnetodielectric coupling in the EuTiO 3 reveals that an enhanced spin-phonon coupling originates from a negative pressure induced by uniform three-dimensional strain. Our work provides a route to creating multiferroicity and magnetoelectric coupling in single-phase oxides using a negative pressure approach.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Benchmark Data Set of Crystalline Organic Semiconductors

This work reports a Benchmark Data set of Crystalline Organic Semiconductors to test calculations of the structural and electronic properties of these materials in the solid state. The data set contains 67 crystals consisting of mostly rigid molecules with a single dominant conformer, covering the majority of known structural types. The experimental crystal structure is available for the entire data set, whereas zero-temperature unit cell volume can be reliably estimated for a subset of 28 crystals. Using this subset, we benchmark r 2 SCAN-D3 and PBE-D3 density functionals. Then, for the entire data set, we benchmark approximate density functional theory (DFT) methods, including GFN1-xTB and DFTB3(3ob-3-1), with various dispersion corrections against r 2 SCAN-D3. Our results show that r 2 SCAN-D3 geometries are accurate within a few percent, which is comparable to the statistical uncertainty of experimental data at a fixed temperature, but the unit cell volume is systematically underestimated by 2% on average. The several times faster PBE-D3 provides an unbiased estimate of the volume for all systems except for molecules with highly polar bonds, for which the volume is substantially overestimated in correlation with the underestimation of atomic charges. Considered approximate DFT methods are orders of magnitude faster and provide qualitatively correct but overcompressed crystal structures unless the dispersion corrections are fitted by unit cell volume.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗