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A Semi-Empirical Scheme for Bathymetric Mapping in Shallow Water by ICESat-2 and Sentinel-2: A Case Study in the South China Sea

To derive shallow water bathymetry for coastal areas, a common approach is to deploy a scanning airborne bathymetric light detection and ranging (LiDAR) system or a shipborne echosounder for ground surveys. However, recent advancements in satellite remote sensing, including the Ice, Cloud and land Elevation Satellite-2 (ICESat-2) offer new tools for generating satellite derived bathymetry (SDB). The key payload onboard ICESat-2 is the Advanced Topographic Laser Altimeter System (ATLAS), a micro-pulse, photon-counting LiDAR system, simultaneously emitting six separate 532 nm beams at 10 kHz pulse rate. However, despite its high resolution, the major limitation for bathymetry is that ICESat-2 only provides along-track height profiles, leaving observation gaps between the parallel ground tracks. Merging ICESat-2 observations with optical multispectral imagery, as demonstrated herein, provides an effective solution for deriving a full scene of water depth in light of the spectral attenuation behavior. This study aims to combine ICESat-2 and Sentinel-2 optical data to derive shallow water bathymetry (depth <20 m) at six islands and reefs in the South China Sea. ICESat-2 ATL03 point clouds of georeferenced photons are first filtered to determine the seafloor elevation along the ground track. Results indicate a root-mean-square error (RMSE) of 0.26–0.61 m as compared with independent observations from an airborne LiDAR campaign. Next, three semi-empirical functions, namely the Modified Linear/Polynomial/Exponential Ratio Models with its kernel formed by the log ratio between Sentinel-2′s green and blue bands, are used to fit the spectral data with ICESat-2 height profiles. After water depth mapping using the trained model, independent ICESat-2 point clouds are used to validate the Sentinel-2 derived bathymetry. The RMSE values of the three models using the weighted average of multiple images for these six islands are within 0.50–0.90 m in 0–15 m deep. We also demonstrate that a synthesis of satellite laser altimetry and optical remote sensing can produce SDB results that potentially meet the requirement of category C in Zones of Confidence (ZOC) of the Electronic Navigational Chart (ENC) in 0–8 m deep. It is foreseen that ICESat-2 will be a helpful tool for mapping coastal and shallow waters around the world especially where bathymetric data are unavailable.

Coastal Bathymetry↗

The Cooling Loop A Anomaly of 2013: A Case Study in Human-Systems Resilience

Throughout the history of human spaceflight, NASA has employed an operational paradigm of 24/7 dependence on experts in Mission Control Center (MCC). In addition to nominal flight control and mission operations, these 85+ experts per shift manage anomaly detection, diagnosis, and response, and support the crew in real-time in performing maintenance and repair, procedure execution, and other complex mission operations. Future long-duration exploration missions (LDEMs) beyond low-Earth orbit (LEO) will not operate successfully using this same Human-Systems Integration Architecture (HSIA) where crew rely on ground controllers, have ready access to resupply, and have a fallback plan of evacuation. As distance from Earth increases and the communication delay grows, crews will need to respond independently and adequately to time-critical vehicle malfunctions. It will not always be sufficient or even possible to ‘safe the system’ and then wait upon ground intervention. A new and radically different HSIA is needed to accommodate the paradigm shift of deep-space travel. Historical International Space Station (ISS) data show that for a 30-day mission, the likelihood of a high-consequence vehicle anomaly of uncertain origin that requires rapid response is greater than 10%. The likelihood of such an event is 50% by the fourth month of the mission, and it grows exponentially with time. Our team has conducted in-depth investigations into these events and their corresponding anomaly resolution activities. Using MCC and Mission Evaluation Room (MER) anomaly resolution artifacts (including meeting summaries, caution and warning data, and ISS daily summaries), we created timelines detailing ground actions and in-orbit events for two significant anomalies. We then mapped these timelines onto Mars transit conditions, introducing a ground-crew communications time delay and shifting immediate response, time-critical task execution, and vehicle commanding to the crew. In detailing successful anomaly resolution in transit to Mars, the timelines highlight where effective resolution requires drastically evolved onboard capabilities. Though this research has yielded a rich data set based on ground response in past missions, there is still insufficient knowledge to assess the potential impact of inflight anomalies on a small autonomous crew on future LDEMs beyond LEO. To begin building an evidence base that will inform future HSIA standards and requirements, we are developing an approach to systematically capture crew anomaly response and procedure execution during early Artemis missions. Being the first human spaceflight beyond LEO since Apollo, early Artemis missions provide a rare and unique opportunity to serve as a testbed for Mars missions. Our work aims to capitalize on planned data collection to derive crew operational responses to anomalous events in real-time. Our team is also researching the level of simulation fidelity required for empirically validating proposed HSIA standards and evaluating HSIA implementations for LDEMs beyond LEO. This work will produce a trade space study of HSIA simulation objectives and fidelity requirements. Ultimately, these research efforts will assist in developing the standards and technologies needed to build a next-generation HSIA for LDEMs beyond LEO.

human-systems integration architecture↗

Automatic variable selection in ecological niche modeling: A case study using Cassin’s Sparrow (Peucaea cassinii)

MERRA/Max provides a feature selection approach to dimensionality reduction that enables direct use of global climate model outputs in ecological niche modeling. The system accomplishes this reduction through a Monte Carlo optimization in which many independent MaxEnt runs, operating on a species occurrence file and a small set of randomly selected variables in a large collection of variables, converge on an estimate of the top contributing predictors in the larger collection. These top predictors can be viewed as potential candidates in the variable selection step of the ecological niche modeling process. MERRA/Max’s Monte Carlo algorithm operates on files stored in the underlying filesystem, making it scalable to large data sets. Its software components can run as parallel processes in a high-performance cloud computing environment to yield near real-time performance. In tests using Cassin’s Sparrow (Peucaea cassinii) as the target species, MERRA/Max selected a set of predictors from Worldclim’s Bioclim collection of 19 environmental variables that have been shown to be important determinants of the species’ bioclimatic niche. It also selected biologically and ecologically plausible predictors from a more diverse set of 86 environmental variables derived from NASA’s Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications Version 2 (MERRA-2) reanalysis, an output product of the Goddard Earth Observing System Version 5 (GEOS-5) modeling system. We believe these results point to a technological approach that could expand the use global climate model outputs in ecological niche modeling, foster exploratory experimentation with otherwise difficult-to-use climate data sets, streamline the modeling process, and, eventually, enable automated bioclimatic modeling as a practical, readily accessible, low-cost, commercial cloud service.

John L. Schnase↗

Learning from Past Missions for Today’s Case Studies

As interest in small spacecraft and its community continue to grow, the extensive selection of subsystem parts and service providers can present as many opportunities as unique challenges for mission design and implementation. These challenges often include inadequate trade studies, missing lessons learned, and unknown solutions to common pitfalls. Trade studies frequently fall short if products and services ultimately do not meet customer expectations, especially if the actual performance of a particular service or technology is not shared with others seeking similar products or services. It is difficult to quantify the viability and robustness of desired products and services, truly understand what solutions exist, and account for unique failures from previous SmallSat missions when experiences are not shared and captured. This noted, one reason for the lack of information as input for trade studies is that it is problematic to capture and disseminate the relevant lessons learned, experienced anomalies, and programmatic issues in both the laboratory and on-orbit setting, as these types of information can be extremely sensitive and are specific to each unique mission. Often, they are not made publicly available. The adoption and use of existing tools and databases, as well as contributions toward and sharing of information available in literature can help distribute useful information for future SmallSat missions to help avoid these common pitfalls. This paper will provide the required framework for current and future SmallSat mission implementation by providing best practices and identifying helpful resources to assist with subsystem parts and services as part of trade study selections.

Bruce Yost↗

Spatial Downscaling of GOES-R Land Surface Temperature over Urban Regions: A Case Study for New York City

The surface urban heat island (SUHI) effect is among the major environmental issues encountered in urban regions. To better predict the dynamics of the SUHI and its impacts on extreme heat events, an accurate characterization of the surface energy balance in urban regions is needed. However, the ability to improve understanding of the surface energy balance is limited by the heterogeneity of surfaces in urban areas. This study aims to enhance the understanding of the urban surface energy budget through an innovation in the use of land surface temperature (LST) observations from remote sensing satellites. A LST database with 5–min temporal and 30–m spatial resolution is developed by spatial downscaling of the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites—R (GOES–R) series LST product over New York City (NYC). The new downscaling method, known as the Spatial Downscaling Method (SDM), benefits from the fine spatial resolution of Landsat–8 and high temporal resolution of GOES–R, and considers the temporal variation in LST for each land cover type separately. Preliminary results show that the SDM can reproduce the temporal and spatial variability of LST over NYC reasonably well and the downscaled LST has a spatial root mean square error (RMSE) of the order of 2 K as compared to the independent Landsat–8 observations. The SDM shows smaller RMSE of 1.93 K over the tree canopy land cover, whereas RMSE is 2.19 K for built–up areas. The overall results indicate that the SDM has potential to estimate LST at finer spatial and temporal scales over urban regions.

land surface temperature↗

Developing and Validating Measurement Scales During Pandemic Conditions: A Case Study with the Scale for Habitat Usability

At NASA, habitat evaluations often employ subjective measures. Some measures are frequently used, well established tools, whereas others are homegrown measures tailored to specific projects. The variety of measures used makes evaluation comparisons across projects difficult. Additionally, some of these measures are burdensome, may be too specialized, or may require an expert to use and interpret, limiting their utility. Taken together, these drawbacks suggest the need for a new measurement tool. To that purpose, a team at NASA worked on developing a new scale for measuring habitat usability, the Scale for Habitat Usability (SHU). The SHU is intended to be a quick, multi-faceted measure for evaluating habitat usability across the development lifecycle. However, like many research projects, the development of the SHU faced setbacks due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Pandemic prevention protocols precluded in-person data collection, forcing the team to take some non-traditional approaches to scale development. This paper reports the steps the team took to complete the project.

Ian Robertson↗

Assimilation of NASA’s Airborne Snow Observatory Snow Measurements for Improved Hydrological Modeling: A Case Study Enabled by the Coupled LIS/WRF-Hydro System

he NASA LIS/WRF-Hydro system is a coupled modeling framework that combines the modeling and data assimilation (DA) capabilities of the NASA Land Information System (LIS) with the multi-scale surface hydrological modeling capabilities of the WRF-Hydro model, both of which are widely used in both operations and research. This coupled modeling framework builds on the linkage between land surface models (LSMs), which simulate surface boundary conditions in atmospheric models, and distributed hydrologic models, which simulate horizontal surface and sub-surface flow, adding new land DA capabilities. In the present study, we employ this modeling framework in the Tuolumne River basin in central California. We demonstrate the added value of the assimilation of NASA Airborne Snow Observatory (ASO) snow water equivalent (SWE) estimates in the Tuolumne basin. This analysis is performed in both LIS as an LSM column model and LIS/WRF-Hydro, with hydrologic routing. Results demonstrate that ASO DA in the basin reduced snow bias by as much as 30% from an open-loop (OL) simulation compared to three independent datasets. It also reduces downstream streamflow runoff biases by as much as 40%, and improves streamflow skill scores in both wet and dry years. Analysis of soil moisture and evapotranspiration (ET) also reveals the impacts of hydrologic routing from WRF-Hydro in the simulations, which would otherwise not be resolved in an LSM column model. By demonstrating the beneficial impact of SWE DA on the improving streamflow forecasts, the article outlines the importance of such observational inputs for reservoir operations and related water management applications.

Hydrologic modeling↗

Performance Metrics for the Assessment of Satellite Data Products: An Ocean Color Case Study

Performance assessment of ocean color satellite data has generally relied on statistical metrics chosen for their common usage and the rationale for selecting certain metrics is infrequently explained. Commonly reported statistics based on mean squared errors, such as the coefficient of determination (r2), root mean square error, and regression slopes, are most appropriate for Gaussian distributions without outliers and, therefore, are often not ideal for ocean color algorithm performance assessment, which is often limited by sample availability. In contrast, metrics based on simple deviations, such as bias and mean absolute error, as well as pair-wise comparisons, often provide more robust and straightforward quantities for evaluating ocean color algorithms with non-Gaussian distributions and outliers. This study uses a SeaWiFS chlorophyll-a validation data set to demonstrate a framework for satellite data product assessment and recommends a multimetric and user-dependent approach that can be applied within science, modeling, and resource management communities.

remote sensing↗

Planetary Protection Lunar Policy: A Case Study in Balancing COSPAR Guidelines, Scientific Consensus, NASA Policy, and Mission Implementation

With the increase of missions to the Earth’s Moon over the next decade, NASA initiated an assessment and review of the policy and protection of Earth’s Moon to enable scientific exploration. The assessment involved gathering scientific consensus regarding the Earth’s Moon and proposed mission operations considering an understanding of the desired science needs for the Moon. This process involved seeking advice from the National Academies of Science, Engineering, and Medicine’s (NASEM) Committee on Planetary Protection, engagement with the Committee on Space Research (COSPAR) Planetary Protection Panel (PPP), and consultation within NASA. To begin this process, NASA issued a NASA Interim Directive (NID) 8715.128 entitled, “Planetary Protection Categorization for Robotic and Crewed Missions to the Earth’s Moon” in July of 2019. This NID defined sensitive regions (e.g., permanently shadowed regions) on the Moon and required reporting on missions to these sensitive areas. Meanwhile, a NASEM study on the impact of human activities on lunar polar volatiles and the scientific value of protecting the surface and subsurface regions of the Earth’s Moon from organic and biological contamination was initiated. This resulted in a NASEM report entitled, “Planetary Protection for the Study of Lunar Volatiles” which enabled further dialogue within NASA and with COSPAR. COSPAR PPP then leveraged this scientific consensus along with multi-agency input to develop an updated COSPAR Policy on Planetary Protection in June 2021 resulting in updated mission categorizations for Earth’s Moon (existing Category II for orbiters, and new categories IIa and IIb for landed missions). NASA then updated its current planetary protection policy to apply directly to NASA and NASA partnered missions in NASA Procedural Requirements (NPR) 8715.24 entitled, “Planetary Protection Provisions for Robotic Extraterrestrial Missions”. Along with the policy update NASA’s Office of Planetary Protection has worked with mission and programmatic teams to streamline reporting requirements to a simplified checkbox and fill-in-the-blank type of template. Throughout the abovementioned process, open and transparent communication between the policy makers and implementers was essential to ensure a balance with the updated policy, scientific intent, and practicality for each mission to be responsive and achieve mission success, including Artemis I and each of its secondary payloads, Gateway, CAPSTONE and Lunar Trailblazer.

James Benardini↗

Using Automated Scheduling for Mission Design: A Case Study for EMIT

The Earth Surface Mineral Dust Source InvesTigation (EMIT) is an Earth Ventures-Instrument (EVI-4) mission to map the surface mineralogy of arid dust source regions. EMIT used automated scheduling technology to analyze aspects of the mission design. The automated scheduling technology was used to construct schedules which were then automatically analyzed with respect to science acquired. These analyses can be performed for a range of spacecraft hardware configurations, observation strategies, and science requirements. By studying the effects of changes on the above inputs, better hardware configurations, observation strategies, and science requirements can be formulated. The use of a pointing mirror on EMIT was under consideration, and this analysis aided in determining whether or not to keep it as part of the design of the instrument. Clouds will also have a large impact on the coverage of science targets achievable by the mission. Analysis was done on how clouds could impact the coverage achievable as well as the data volume. This analysis with clouds also aided in determining the coverage criteria for the mission. It was necessary to find a criteria that was achievable with some margin as well as satisfies the science goals of the mission.

Thompson, David R.↗